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XAU/USD Short-Term Bearish OutlookThe XAU/USD 15-minute chart shows a clear bearish structure following a strong rejection from the descending trendline. Price failed to sustain above the previous supply zone and has broken back below key intraday support, confirming sellers’ control. Multiple lower highs and lower lows indicate continuation of the short-term downtrend. The recent pullback into the broken support area aligns with a sell-on-rally scenario, supported by trendline resistance and cloud rejection. Momentum favors further downside as price consolidates below resistance, suggesting another bearish leg. The highlighted support zone has already been tested and weakened, increasing the probability of a breakdown. If selling pressure continues, the first downside target is 4291, followed by 4277, with an extended move potentially reaching 4255 as bearish momentum accelerates. If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Dynamic_Trade_Strategies
1
How Overconfidence Destroys Profitable TradersHow Overconfidence Destroys Profitable Traders Understanding Overconfidence in Trading Welcome everyone to another article. One of the most dangerous stages a trader can walk into is not fear… but overconfidence. (EGO) Overconfidence in trading is essentially ego. However, there is still an important difference: - Confidence is a real belief built on proof, statistics, and discipline. - Overconfidence is an inflated belief in your ability beyond the proof. This is driven by ego. Many traders do not fail because they do not know enough. They fail because at some point, they believe they know enough or know “everything.” What Overconfidence appears as in Trading: A trader builds a system. ( yay! ) They go on a clean winning streak maybe 10, 12, even 15 profitable trades in a row. At this point, the trader begins to think and assume: “ I’ve cracked the code. ” - Risk gets increased . - Position sizes get bigger . - Rules start to bend . Confidence continues grow until it crosses a dangerous path where belief is no longer supported by data, statistics and proof. Reality eventually steps in. You will never again feel as confident as you did during your first major winning streak when it looked like the market finally made sense and success was “ figured out. ” That feeling is exactly what traps traders. Overconfidence WILL break Risk Management Overconfidence destroys a trader by slowly dismantling their risk management, their system, their discipline, their psychology and their consistency. It rarely happens all at once. First: - “ I’ll just risk a little more this time. ” - “ This setup looks perfect. ” - “ I’m on a winning streak. ” Over time, the trader begins to: • Ignore position sizing rules ( Too many LOTS or contracts ) • Move stop losses (Increases risk) • Add to losing trades ( Does not accept the original loss ) • Trade larger to “maximize opportunity” (Stick to what you can afford to lose ) The trader thinks and believes the system will continue to work, because it worked before. But markets do not reward belief, they reward discipline. (I have mentioned this many times in my previous posts.) Once risk management breaks, even a profitable system becomes dangerous and can lead to zero profits, or even down to negatives. Overconfidence Blocks Positive criticism and continuous Learning There is no such thing and there will never be a 100% perfecto trading system/strategy. Losses are part of the game. Overconfident traders struggle when reality does not meet their expectations. Instead of adapting to the market by adjusting their strategy they: - Resist feedback (Or consider any feedback as hate/negative criticism) - Ignore changing market conditions (Consolidation, flat lining, barcoding etc) - Refuse to admit the system is underperforming (Bad performance & results) - Believe the problem can’t be them (“It’s not the system, it’s the computer!”) But Why…? Well because… their mind keeps rewinding the dopamine high from when everything worked perfectly and the win rate was 99% They only remember the wins, and “ GREEN ” $$$ %%% not the probability. The exact moment a trader believes they “can’t be wrong,” learning comes to a halt. And in trading, when learning stops, losses accelerate, revenge trading increase, risk management collapses, and consistency becomes scrambled. Overconfidence changes Traders into > Gamblers Overconfidence does not just cause losses it can also change behavior. Frustration from unexpected losses turns into: - Anger - Impatience - Forced trades - Revenge trading Rules get ignored. Emotions take control. The trader may still look like a trader, but they are acting like a gambler. The most dangerous part? They still believe they are right… Example: How Overconfidence Destroyed a Profitable Trader Let’s look at Bobby. Bobby was a profitable trader. A very successful one in his 4th year of trading. He discovered what he believed was a 99% win-rate system. The first month was incredible. The second month was just as good. Cash flowing in, heaps of green. By the third month, losses started to appear. Instead of falling back, taking a breather and reassessing , Bobby doubled down. Continuing to trade the same system despite clear signs of underperformance. He was no longer focusing on perfect executions and setups, he was chasing the high. Losses turned into frustration . Frustration turned into anger . Anger turned into impatience . Soon Bobby was: • Forcing trades • Revenge trading • Ignoring risk management Bobby refused to take responsibility. “It was my internet.” “My computer lagged.” “My family distraccted me.” The excuses piled up, but the account kept shrinking. Bobby did not fail because of the system. Bobby failed because ego stopped him from adapting to the market and adjusting his system. Markets Will Always Humble Ego Markets will humble traders in ways they never expect. No matter how experienced you are, there is always something else to learn. Trading is not a destination, it is a constant process of adaptation towards the market. Traders who believe they “know everything” will always be reminded by the market that They. Do. Not. Overconfidence doesn’t end trading careers immediately. But it slowly erodes them trade by trade turning it into mental torture. Final Thoughts Confidence is necessary to trade.. But Ego is fatal! The very moment a trader believes they have cracked the code is often the moment their decline begins. Stay humble. Respect risk. Let statistics, not emotion, guide your decisions. Because in trading, the market doesn’t punish ignorance it punishes ego.
Education
by King_BennyBag
9
BTCUSD 1H Corrective Range after Supply RejectionBTCUSD 1H is trading within a corrective range after rejecting a clearly defined supply zone. Earlier bullish momentum, highlighted by higher highs, higher lows, and an ascending trendline, weakened near 90,000–90,200, where repeated rejections indicated strong selling pressure. Failure to hold above this level caused a break below the trendline, confirming a short-term structure shift. Price now forms lower highs under a descending trendline, showing controlled selling rather than aggressive liquidation, suggesting consolidation within a wider range. Supply: 90,000–90,200 remains primary resistance and key supply. Secondary resistance lies at 88,800–89,200, aligned with recent lower highs and the descending trendline. Demand: Immediate support is 87,200–87,000, maintaining consolidation if held. Below this, the higher-timeframe demand zone at 84,500–84,200 marks prior strong buying and the range low. Price reactions here will determine the next move.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
OGDC 30Min Chart Analysis 17-Dec-25Stop Loss: 280 PKR Sell Stop: 274 PKR Take Profit 1: 268 PKR Take Profit 2: 262 PKR On the 30-minute timeframe, a bearish divergence has formed, indicating a potential shift in trend from bullish to bearish. If the price breaks below the Sell Stop level at 274 PKR, it may confirm downside momentum, with expected targets at 268 PKR and 262 PKR. ⚠️ Always remember to protect your capital with a proper stop-loss and disciplined risk management.
PSX:OGDCShort
by Sohaib_zafar007
ICICIPRULI–Short-Term Breakout.Mid & Long-Term Technical OutlookICICIPRULI – Multi-Timeframe Technical View Daily Timeframe | Long-Term Perspective ICICIPRULI is trading within a well-defined structure and continues to move inside a clear parallel channel, reflecting a healthy long-term trend. The stock has a strong long-term support zone near 590–610, where: Volume expanded significantly Price showed a clear reversal from support Historically, the stock has delivered returns of ~60% and ~34% from similar structures. If price action repeats this nature, a long-term upside toward 780 and 940 remains a strong possibility. Mid-Term View | Structure & Pattern On the mid-term timeframe, the stock previously formed a falling wedge near the support zone, indicating accumulation. Post that, ICICIPRULI appears to be developing an ascending broadening formation, suggesting expanding momentum. Key Levels: Support: 620–630 Short- to Mid-term Resistance / Target: 680–700
NSE:ICICIPRULILong
by FiveCircles
#LINK/USDT – Triangle Pattern Breakout Loading?#LINK The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 12.26. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 12.43 First target: 12.67 Second target: 12.54 Third target: 12.47 Stop loss: Below the support zone in green. Don't forget a simple thing: capital management. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
KIWI H1 | Could We See A Bullish Reversal?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off our buy entry level at 0.5755, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and also aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Our stop loss is set at 0.5735, which is a swing low support. Our take profit is set at 0.5792, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (
Long
by FXCM
Accumulation Continues — Expansion Needs a Breakout.BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is stuck in a clear accumulation range, with price rotating between the 86,000 support zone and the 90,200–90,800 resistance area. Repeated rejections near the top of the range show supply remains active, while buyers continue to defend dips, keeping structure balanced rather than trending. The EMA cluster is flattening, reinforcing range conditions and liquidity rotation. Directional expansion will require a clean break from this box. Key Levels Resistance: 90,200 – 90,800 Support: 86,000 – 86,500 Range focus: 86,000 – 90,800 ➡️ Primary: hold above 86k → range continuation → push back toward 89.5k–90.8k. ⚠️ Risk: loss of 86k → downside sweep into lower demand before reassessment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
PIBTL | Adam & Eve Bottom Pattern🔥 Stock Alert – PIBTL 🚀🔥 PIBTL is showing a strong Adam & Eve bottom pattern on the monthly chart, supported by surging volumes that signal a powerful breakout confirmation 📈. The stock has cleared its neckline zone and is now poised for the next leg higher. 🎯 Target: 19.30 🛑 Stop-Loss: 11.35 (risk/reward ratio ~2:1) With volume backing this breakout, PIBTL looks set to accelerate towards its next resistance at 19.30 — a bullish move in the making! 🚀✨
PSX:PIBTLLong
by mbaberhanif
BTC BUY SETUP ACTIVE🚀 BTC BUY SETUP | BULLISH MOMENTUM LOADING 🔥 Bitcoin is reacting from a strong demand zone with buyers stepping in aggressively. Market structure remains bullish, and momentum suggests a continuation toward higher levels if support holds. 📌 Trade Plan 🔓 Entry: 87500 – 87100 🎯 Target: 89000 ❌ Stop Loss: 86400 ⚠️ Trade with proper risk management. Not financial advice. 📈 Follow for more high-probability crypto & forex setups.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by LEO_TRADES98
Silver Monthly Thesis: A Multi-Decade Cup and Handle With Asymme This is a long term thesis for silver based on the monthly timeframe. While I do not typically place heavy emphasis on classical chart patterns such as cup and handles, I believe this is a rare exception where the structure is both precise and meaningful. On the monthly chart, silver appears to be completing a massive cup and handle formation that has been developing over the course of multiple decades. The scale and duration of this structure alone suggest that any resolution should be viewed as a long term repricing rather than a short term trade. The cup itself is well defined, and the handle has retraced cleanly into approximately 50 percent of the cup value area. This is consistent with classical handle behavior, particularly on higher timeframes where volatility is naturally compressed. Importantly, the handle has already broken out, signaling that the structure is active rather than speculative. Because this is a monthly pattern, I do not expect price to move in a straight line. Volatility, consolidations, and multi month pullbacks should be expected. However, as long as higher timeframe structure remains intact, I believe silver is in the process of climbing a much larger ladder. Using a value area based measurement rather than wick extremes, the cup depth measures approximately 89 percent. Projecting that percentage expansion from the breakout zone produces a long term target near the 194 level. This is not intended to be an exact price, but rather a high level destination zone consistent with historical proportional moves following large scale consolidations. At present, silver is interacting with the golden Fibonacci region within the monthly Fibonacci channel. This area is often associated with extended volatility and digestion rather than immediate continuation. For that reason, I expect choppier conditions and potential consolidation heading into the 2026 window. That behavior would be consistent with a market transitioning from breakout to trend development rather than exhaustion. The duration of this structure is a critical part of the thesis. This is a cup that has taken decades to form. Moves that follow structures of this magnitude tend to express themselves over years, not months. As such, this outlook is explicitly long term and not designed for short term trading decisions. From a relative value perspective, I believe silver offers more asymmetric upside than gold over the long run. While I remain bullish on gold and expect it to eventually challenge its prior all time highs, silver historically exhibits greater percentage expansion once secular moves begin. Platinum also has constructive potential, but silver stands out to me as the value play when measured on a percentage basis. I do expect some tapering across the metals complex following the sharp advances seen in 2025. That does not invalidate the broader bullish thesis. It simply suggests digestion before continuation. Longer term outcomes will also depend on macro forces, including institutional positioning, monetary policy, and government intervention. A more pronounced bearish macro environment in 2026 could delay or reshape the path, but it would not automatically invalidate the higher timeframe structure. - Scenario Probability Weighting - These probabilities reflect current structure, timeframe, and historical behavior of long duration bases. They should be updated as new monthly information becomes available. Primary scenario: Continued long term advance toward the 194 target zone following consolidation Estimated probability: 55% to 60% Alternative scenario: Extended multi year consolidation before higher continuation Estimated probability: 20% to 25% Bullish failure scenario: Structural breakdown that invalidates the cup and handle Estimated probability: 15% to 20% - Invalidation and Hypothesis Change Levels - This thesis would be materially weakened or invalidated under the following conditions: A sustained monthly breakdown back below the handle low, signaling failure of the post breakout structure Loss of the broader monthly channel support with continued acceptance below it A prolonged inability to hold above the former rim zone, indicating a false breakout rather than trend initiation As long as silver maintains higher timeframe structure and continues to hold above the breakout region on a monthly closing basis, I remain constructive on the long term outlook. - Summary - This is not a short term trade idea. It is a long duration hypothesis based on a multi decade base, value area based measurement, and proportional expansion rather than nominal price targets. Volatility should be expected. Time should be respected. But if the structure continues to hold, I believe silver has the potential to deliver one of the more compelling long term percentage returns within the metals complex. Time and structure will ultimately determine the outcome.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Alexander_Thaddeus
Bullish breakout?US Dollar index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 98.16 1st Support: 97.87 1st Resistance: 98.76 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
1
31 Dec 2025 — Last Trading Day of the Year (Wining +15 Points)🚀 Thank You Traders! Wishing everyone a powerful & profitable journey in 2026 with the BTR Price Action Indicator. 2025 was just the beginning… BTR Price Action launched in Dec 2025 — and even with just one month of live testing, we saw consistent clarity, clean entries, and multiple winning trades. 📌 Today’s Trade — BSE LTD Timeframe: 15M Signal: Long (Buy) Entry: 2620 Exit: 2635 Profit: +15 Points in Intraday 💥 ➡️ Market conditions didn’t matter. ➡️ No noise, No confusion. ➡️ Just follow BTR. 🔄 What Happened BTR Price Action generated a fresh long signal Entry Activated at 2620 Target Reached → Exit at 2635 Another Winning Trade to close the year 🎯 🔥 2026 Vision 2026 = Full Year of Trading with BTR 📈 More setups 📈 More confidence 📈 More rule-based entries 📈 More discipline 📈 More success stories I’ll share a complete recap of all December 2025 trades soon. Stay tuned! 💡 Want to Start with BTR? 📌 Go to my TradingView Profile → Scripts Section 📌 Add BTR Price Action Indicator 📌 Start trading with clarity, not chaos. 🚀 Happy New Year in Advance 🥳 Follow BTR. Follow Discipline. Let’s Win 2026 Together. 💙📊
NSE:BSELong
by Adijohn