Long OIL c/w optionstrade # 21 cl direction l Mar 12 18 entry price 61.06
Debit trade # 16 cl may 65 call direction l Mar 12 18 entry price 0.41 (edited)
credit trade # 9 cl may 57 put direction l Mar 12 18 entry price 0.46 (edited)
this trade triggered a few day back but was waiting for a good drop to get long into, maybe a bit early, but portfolio is empty so getting things going
Cl!
CL - Crude at resistanceCrude arrived at the resistance level, where price broke down 2018-02-07.
We know that if price is missing the L-MLH, we have a Hagopian cooking according to the ForkTrading BLUEPRINT rules.
If this is the case, then a move below the yellow circled low point is very possible, ending this Pendulum up-swing on a higher timescale basis.
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CL - Crudes Next Trip To The Long SideAction/Reaction lines seem to catch the frequency of crude.
Also, price stoped dead at the WL1.
How ever - it's probably too early to think of a trade.
Observation hat on...
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If you like these Forks, why not dive into it with my free ForkTrading BLUEPRINT. See Footer...
CL - Crude reached it's balance - what now?As we see, price reached the Centerline, which is Rule Nr. 1 on ForkTrading: "Price reach the Centerline over 80% of time".
OK, but what now?
Energies move from balance to extremes.
This means, that price will either drop to the L-MLH, or trade through the Centerline and towards the U-MLH.
Since we don't know what will go on from here, how about to take both sides?
Wait...trading Long AND Short?
Jep!
Follow me on my trading blog (see footer) and see how I'l will plan this.
P!
Crude oil AB=CD Bull pattern >> final bear legIt doesnt get much easier than these!
USD or DX is our price driver but the pattern remains none the less.
Price target is $62 for profit taking, then hunting for dbl bottoms or unusual fundamental shifting in crude to spot the support reversal above $62
If anyone new to futures is playing test or real funds also look into trading 1 mini crude contract.
Its much safer to hold and wont destroy your account. NQM is the mini crude ticker.
cheers!
Crude Oil Short_CLG18_Wave&Fib Analysis_Strategic entry desiredEvening traders.
Crude oil appears to present the best pattern for swing trades on this 4 hour chart. Like EUR/USD and DXY, they are at the end of 5 wave impulse pattern. Next step is to complete a three wave correction which should take us between wave 3 and wave 4.
That being said I'd really like to see price push back up to the strategic entry labeled on the chart. Price has rejected the level once already. I had not developed the trade theory at that point or that would have been a perfect entry. That move only stands to influence our confidence in this setup. It is proof of overhead resistance and new found downward momentum.
I feel comfortable taking the aggressive entry to be in this market. I'd risk 2% (1 contract) at the aggressive entry and 1% (1 contract) at the strategic price. 3% total position. This way I've got low risk if price shoots up and fills the strategic entry and runs to the stop, but I've also got enough skin in the game to be content if this pattern plays out. (Obviously futures contracts are not able to determine percentage risk, so I did single contracts instead. I will be trading with ETF)
Goodluck!
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Disclaimer: Nymex data shown. This is NOT investment advice.
Oil/WTI calendar spread sets up againThis trade location is approaching again and it again could be a great trade. However i am liking the opposite trade more now due to the rising prices in oil. So the short could be a nice fast scalp but the trade I will focus on, as long as oil is seeking higher values, is a long of the bottom of this upper range.
CL - Crude overviewHere you see 4 different timeframes:
Quarterly (Upper Right)
- price reached a natural resistance level, where a break is expected
Monthly (UL)
- the quarterly natural resistance level, mirrored on the monthly has confluence with the Centerline. Price reached the Centerline a couple times now. If we can't crack the Centerline, then price will fall back, at least to a quarterly natural support level.
Weekly (LL)
The weekly Fork gives more insight.
Here we see that there is more room to the Centerline. But as we know, markets breathe in and out. So a pullback to the weekly levels would be no surprise. From there, a further attack towards the Centerline would be expected, because this slope of the Fork is different then the Weekly!
Daily (LR)
Crude cracked the last days high and is falling below it, as of the time I write this analysis. Potential levels are the weekly and the L-MLH too.
Depending on your trading timeframe, you know have a lot to go through and many potential levels to trade off.
Consider the footer of this analysis to learn more.
P!