Oh_If_Only

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About me Part Time trader with interest in Australian Stocks, US and Australian Stock Futures, and Commodities
Joined Toowoomba, Qld, Australia
Making mistakes means you are trying!
Markets Allocation
61 % commodities 30 % stocks 4 % indices 4 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
CLG 13% | 3 CLK 13% | 3 ABC 8% | 2 WES 8% | 2
Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CLM2017, D,
CLM2017: WTI June Oil CLM7 Short/Neutral
80 0 7
CLM2017, D
WTI June Oil CLM7 Short/Neutral

Hello Supporters and Viewers, Here is new month Oil chart. Currently there is an "in-neck" bar forming which suggests further downside. Indicators are also suggesting more downside, as is the bulk of TV opinion. Looking at the main players, this view may be borne out. Call volumes are sitting 55-57 with a weekly change of +13k. Put volumes are at 50-52 with a ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CL1!, D, Long ,
CL1!: US Oil WTI CL1! May
180 2 8
CL1!, D Long
US Oil WTI CL1! May

Oil Update. Refer related US OIl WTI CLK7 tag Hit my $52 ellipse. Open Producer positions have dropped to 638k Short and 379k Long net short 259k vs 253k Managed Money positions are 116k and 344k respectively; net 228k vs 210k last week May open Interest is 482k down from 586k I am expecting a drift upwards for the next few days then tailing off into contract ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CLK2017, D, Long ,
CLK2017: US OIl WTI CLK7
90 0 4
CLK2017, D Long
US OIl WTI CLK7

May Oil contract rolls Apr 20. Expect a gap! Open Interest is currently 2.22m (Mar 28 CFTC Reports) Time Line: Mar 28, Mar 21, Mar 14, Mar 7, Feb 28 K (000's) Producer Longs: 410, 416, 402, 342, 323 Prdcr Shorts: 663, 678, 674, 663, 661 Prdcr Net: 253, 262, 272, 321, 338 Money Manager Longs: 345, 361, 384, 418, 429, 449 MM Shorts: 135, 128, 129, 61, 61, 44 MM ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only WES, D, Short ,
WES: AUS200 WES D Short
26 0 2
WES, D Short
AUS200 WES D Short

WES is ex dividend Mon 20 Feb by $1.03 so $43.09 - $1.03 := $42+/-. Allowing for slippage, it could trade down to $41.85 Monday before attempting to rally back to support at $42. But over the next few days I believe it will drift lower towards old resistance now support at $41.50 There is also that break away body gap at $40.98-41.18 which needs to fill. The keys ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CLK2017, D, Long ,
CLK2017: May WTI CL K Long
119 4 8
CLK2017, D Long
May WTI CL K Long

Feb 17 18:00 AEDT March Futures expire next week hence I am using "K" May 17. As at Feb 7 Net Long CoT Managed Money stood at 360k open interest. (Source CME Group) I commented on the Weekly Chart last week, but thought I would add my view on the Daily, since I am now long oil. I believe this chart shows a bull flag on the late Nov 2016 rise. I have an up sloping ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CLK2017, W, Long ,
CLK2017: CLK17 WTI Weekly Futures
99 1 5
CLK2017, W Long
CLK17 WTI Weekly Futures

Feb 13 19:30 AEDT CL WTI May Weekly Update Consolidation and Seller Absorption Bars!. Buy Area -sub $54.20 down to $54.00 (I don't think it will make $53.50) Good Support at $53.10/20 (buy a few wells at that price) Struggling with the T-Line at the moment, but the 55 SMA is sweeping up nicely for added future support. Text book Dow with a break out; higher highs ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only STO, D, Long ,
STO: ASX STO Oil Play Long
107 0 14
STO, D Long
ASX STO Oil Play Long

Feb 12: 23.00 AEDT Ok here is one for the oil bulls. This stock has been beaten up recently, but the falling wedge and solid volume support at $3.60 and $3.90 suggests ST potential. Weekly Support is rising underneath, but at $3.50+ Ok the Trade: Buy now on the bullish gap bar at $3.90 SL $3.80 TP#1 $4.10 TP#2 $4.40 RR := 50/10 If it fails - re-enter at the ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only ABC, D, Long ,
ABC: ASX ABC Long
28 0 2
ABC, D Long
ASX ABC Long

Feb 12: 11.00 AEDT This stock starts throwing up long pins in consolidation mode. In trend, it tends to have longer bars w/ short pins. My previous discussion (12 Jan) suggested a rally out of (expected) support at $5.29. This failed, and it pulled back to secondary support around $5.15 and $5.10 It is well supported on weekly as shown and has a higher high/ ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only WES, D, Long ,
WES: WES Wesfarmers AU
42 1 6
WES, D Long
WES Wesfarmers AU

Detail is on the chart This is a dividend play!

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only AUS200, D, Short ,
AUS200: AUS200 XJO D Short
57 0 7
AUS200, D Short
AUS200 XJO D Short

Detail is on the Chart. This is my view ... not a guarantee. Remember you are adults so please use your own analysis and processes.

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only GCG2017, D, Short ,
GCG2017: XAUUSD GCG7 Short ... soon
31 1 4
GCG2017, D Short
XAUUSD GCG7 Short ... soon

Jan 17 16:00 AEDT Detail is within the chart. I prefer the Upper sell zone around $1220 so the strategy would Short x 1 1215-1212 Short x 3 1222-1218 Then when it falls Short x 1 1215 -1212 again Stop 1226 ... Ouch! TP#1 Buy 3 x 1200-1205 TP#2 Buy 2 x 1180-1185 Remember you are all adults. Do your own analysis

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only TLS, D,
TLS: ASX TLS D Wait
56 4 8
TLS, D
ASX TLS D Wait

Detail on the Chart

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only ABC, D, Long ,
ABC: ASX ABC D Long
14 0 6
ABC, D Long
ASX ABC D Long

Detail is in the Charts. Remember you are all adults. Trade your own plans and your own limits

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only NHF, D, Long ,
NHF: ASX NHF Long
28 0 8
NHF, D Long
ASX NHF Long

Detail is in the chart. Encouraged by seeing Pardis post re ASX Stocks ... hat tip

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only XJO, D, Short ,
XJO: XJO Short
41 0 6
XJO, D Short
XJO Short

Detail is within the Chart. As usual the XJO is pre-empting the SPY and the AUD Our market is not big enough to have its own ideas.

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only ESH2017, D, Short ,
ESH2017: S&P 500 (ESH7 Mar Mini)
87 0 5
ESH2017, D Short
S&P 500 (ESH7 Mar Mini)

Jan 02: 17.30 AEDT Awkward chart - due to spinning top on Friday. I was expecting window dressing last week, and it was the bears. Next week, with most traders still on break, I am now expecting a brief rally. The tax losers are sold and growth stocks may support. Strong support at the 50% Fib, with rising secondary support by late Feb. The rolling top pattern ...

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CLG2017, 30,
CLG2017: WTI ST Short
24 0 6
CLG2017, 30
WTI ST Short

Dec 31: Down Trend Channel suggesting downside into support areas. Some solid resistance in current chart area with a long upper pin. Struggling.

Oh_If_Only Oh_If_Only CLG2017, D,
CLG2017: WTI MT Short
22 0 6
CLG2017, D
WTI MT Short

Dec 31. Toppish pattern suggesting roll over and rising wedge. Short into lower Buy area. Then watch development for a (possible) second leg down

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AUS200
S&P/ASX index of Australian listed shares
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USOIL
WTI CRUDE OIL
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CLG2017
LIGHT CRUDE OIL FUTURES
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WTIF2017
WTI MIDLAND (ARGUS) TRADE MONTH FUTURES
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