Coffee
ETFS Coffee before the 82% rise... I believe that based on my analysis, Coffee will start to rise. The rise begins with a rise from the W1 ATR axis. After leaving the ATR axis, the exchange rate can build a rising wave structure on the wave axis (green line). The size and size of the wave structure may be similar to the size of the wave crossing the wave axis previously. The rising target price is 1.2306 usd.
Coffee reaches accumulation levelsCoffee is trading near multi year horizontal support of 95 cents. While excessive supply and falling Brazilian real crushed the prices, there is ray of hope ahead. With price almost reaching 95 level which seems safe accumulation level, there can be gains in coming months. Farmers in Brazil are reducing coffee cultivation area will lead reduction in inventories in coming months. Price hovering near critical  long term support risk to reward is very low for investing in coffee for some months. 
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Coffee time?I've been stalking coffee in the background from many weeks. It's looking pretty ripe about now for taking a controlled loss (aka stop-loss). When coffee moves, it really moves. This is a longer time frame trade, which I do not usually get involved in - but it's probably time for me to get involved in one or two of these. 
Short position in coffee futures. Horizon: 4 monthsThis is another average position form our long-term investments, very risky, which is included in our bearish commodity group over the next 5-6 months, correlated with bullish equity markets, a bullish dollar, a bearish euro, and a bearish token market.
Get me a coffee: strong and blackI'm eyeing up a long entry on coffee. I'll look at trading this through the 3CFL ETF. If the trade goes as envisaged and hits my wave 3 target, it could yield 100% profit thanks to the leveraged ETF.
 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do not follow my trades. Do your own analysis, make your own trading plans. I am not an Elliot Wave analyst and only use the tool to map out a general idea of how price may move. Constructive comments are welcomed and encouraged. 
 So why am I taking this trade? 
The recent move up from the late September low looks pretty impulsive and price is currently printing what looks to me like a bull flag;
As price has been falling throughout this year, volume has started to swell, giving clear bullish divergence
More recently, in the July to September period of this year, the swelling volume could be considered stopping volume
Price has bounced off the $96 dollar level (12 year low) a level which has previously been a springboard.
Monthly / Daily RSI and stochastic RSI look bullish
 Why am I targeting $148 by end of year? 
Historical resistance level
Confluence with specific, modest fib extension level
Use of fib time tool to project key dates for pivots
 Any reasons to be cautious? 
Weekly RSI and stochastic RSI look bearish
Price could possibly make a W bottom and even make a lower low, with strong bullish divergence on stoch RSI / RSI - which would provide another good entry for a long.
 Stop loss? 
Subject to the opening price on the ETF tomorrow, I'll consider placing a tight stop around the $110 mark.
 
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Cheap Caffeine FixCoffee Futures fall today below 100, to 97.25, not seen since 2006.  Producers, according to the CFTC COT reports, are net long some 80,000 contracts, an all-time high.  These extremes in positioning are accurate contrarian signals, presenting a opportunity to bet on a rebound in future coffee prices over the next 6 month.






















