COIN Testing Key Support – Potential Long SetupNASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase) is currently testing a major support zone in the $235–$240 range, which has acted as a strong base in previous pullbacks. This level is attracting renewed interest as the broader crypto market shows signs of upward momentum, with BTC and ETH stabilizing and pushing higher. A bounce from this level could set up a strong risk/reward opportunity.
💡 Trade Idea
🔹 Entry: $235–$240 (support zone)
🔹 Take Profit Zones:
• TP1: $300–$335
• TP2: $375–$415
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $230 (to manage downside risk)
A break below $230 could invalidate this setup, but holding this level opens the door for a potential breakout if crypto strength continues. Watch volume and correlation with BTC closely in the coming sessions.
Coin
COIN Breakdown Setup Activated — Sellers in Control!🔥 COIN Bearish Heist 🕵️♂️ | Layered Sell Strategy in Play
📊 Asset Overview
COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN)
📍 NASDAQ Exchange
📈 Instrument Type: US Stock
⏱️ Trading Style: Swing Trade / Day Trade
COIN is currently showing structural weakness after failing to hold key consolidation levels. Price behavior suggests distribution, not accumulation.
🧠 Technical Analysis Breakdown (Detailed)
🔻 Market Structure
Price formed a symmetrical / contracting triangle
Breakout occurred to the downside, confirming bearish intent
Follow-through shows lower highs + weak rebounds
➡️ This indicates sellers are absorbing liquidity on every bounce.
📐 Moving Average Context
Price broke below clustered moving averages
MAs have shifted from support → resistance
Compression + expansion = volatility release
📉 When moving averages fail together, continuation risk increases.
📊 Momentum & Price Action
Bearish candles with long upper wicks
Failed recovery attempts = supply dominance
No strong bullish displacement after the breakdown
➡️ This favors sell-on-rally, not buy-the-dip behavior.
🎯 Trading Plan — Thief Style (Layering Strategy)
Instead of predicting the exact top, this plan uses multiple limit sell orders to build a position gradually as price reacts into resistance zones.
🕵️♂️ Entry Philosophy:
No single “perfect” entry
Scale in calmly
Let price come to you
🔴 Sell Limit Layer Zones (Example)
256.00
250.00
248.00
240.00
📌 These zones align with:
Prior structure resistance
MA rejection areas
Liquidity grab zones
➡️ You may add or reduce layers based on your execution model.
🛑 Risk Management (Expanded)
Reference Stop Loss:
265.00
This level represents:
Triangle invalidation
Failed bearish structure
Strong bullish reclaim zone
⚠️ Important Note to Thief OGs:
This stop is not mandatory.
You control:
Position sizing
Risk per layer
Partial exits or full invalidation
Trade responsibly and within your system.
🎯 Target Logic (Why 220.00?)
Target Zone: 🎯 220.00
This area is supported by:
Major historical demand
Oversold technical conditions
Correction completion zone
Possible bear trap resolution
💨 Execution Style:
Fast profit-taking
No greed
Exit when liquidity is offered
🚨 Escape quickly before volatility reverses.
🔗 Related Symbols to Watch (Correlation Insight)
Watching correlated assets improves timing and confidence:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 🟠
↳ Strong correlation with COIN direction and sentiment
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD 🔵
↳ Confirms crypto market risk appetite
IG:NASDAQ 📊
↳ Tech stocks weakness = pressure on COIN
NASDAQ:MSTR 🧠
↳ High-beta crypto equity, often moves first
📌 If BTC + NASDAQ show weakness, COIN downside probability increases.
🧠 Key Execution Rules
✅ Trade the structure, not emotions
✅ Layer entries, don’t chase
✅ Respect invalidation
✅ Take profits quickly at target
✅ Risk management > prediction
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📢 Disclaimer:
This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun.
Educational & entertainment purposes only — not financial advice.
#COIN #Coinbase #NASDAQ #BearishSetup #SwingTrade #DayTrade
#TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TradingView
BTCUSD SELL SETUPPOSSIBLE SELL SETUP BTCUSD
SL ABOVE SUPPLY ZONE
TP 1 BELOW DEMAND ZONE
TP 2 OPEN USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT
FOLLOW YOUR TRADING PLAN !!!!
SIMPLE BTCUSD TRADING PLAN
1️⃣ Timeframe
15m or 1H only
2️⃣ Indicators
200 EMA → trend
50 EMA → entry
RSI (14) → confirmation
3️⃣ BUY RULES
✅ Price above 200 EMA
✅ Pullback to 50 EMA
✅ RSI above 50
✅ Bullish candle
➡️ Then BUY
4️⃣ SELL RULES
✅ Price below 200 EMA
✅ Pullback to 50 EMA
✅ RSI below 50
✅ Bearish candle
➡️ Then SELL
5️⃣ Risk Rules
Risk 1% per trade
Always use Stop Loss
Target = 2× Stop Loss (1:2)
6️⃣ Management
At 1:1, move stop to breakeven
Do nothing else
7️⃣ Golden Rules
❌ No stop loss = no trade
❌ No emotions
❌ No overtrading
ONE LINE RULE
If all rules aren’t met → NO TRADE
COIN | 200 SMA Confluence + Bullish Doji = High-Value Setup🎯 COIN: The 200 MA Heist — Dip Buyers Stacking Bags While Others Panic 💼🔥
📊 Asset Intelligence
Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) — NASDAQ
Strategy Classification: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: Bullish Pullback Confirmation
Risk Profile: Calculated Aggression
🧠 Technical Thesis — Why This Setup Slaps
Listen up, Thief OG's 👀
COIN just pulled back to the 200 Simple Moving Average and did exactly what professional setups do — it respected support and reversed. We got a textbook Heikin Ashi reversal doji candle forming right at the MA, signaling buyer exhaustion turned into buyer dominance.
Translation for the streets: Big money stepped in. Retail panicked. We capitalize.
📈 What We're Seeing:
200 SMA holding like a vault door 🔐
Heikin Ashi doji = indecision flipped to bullish conviction
Volume profile showing accumulation, not distribution
Buyers got the juice to push this higher
This isn't hopium. This is structure meeting momentum at a critical support zone.
💰 The "Thief Strategy" Entry Playbook
We don't chase. We layer. We scale. We steal profits from emotional traders.
Instead of slapping market buy like a degen, we're using layered limit orders to build our position as price moves in our favor. Think of it like planting money traps on the way down.
🎯 Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
Layer 1: $330 💵
Layer 2: $340 💵
Layer 3: $350 💵
Layer 4: $360 💵
You can add more layers if you're feeling spicy 🌶️. The goal is to dollar-cost average into strength, not weakness. Let the market come to YOU.
Pro Tip: Not all layers need to fill. Sometimes you only catch 2-3. That's fine. Better to miss some entry than to get caught in a fake-out.
🛡️ Risk Management — Protect Ya Neck
Stop Loss: $310 🚨
Real talk, Thief OG's: This is MY stop based on MY risk tolerance. You are NOT me. You don't have my account size, my strategy, or my psychology.
Set your own stop based on:
How much you're willing to lose per trade
Your position size
Your personal pain threshold
If COIN breaks below $310, the thesis is invalidated. The 200 MA failed. Buyers lost control. We exit, regroup, and find the next heist. No ego. No revenge trading. Just discipline.
🎯 Target Acquisition — Where We Take the Bag
Primary Target: $430 💎
⚡⚠️ WARNING: Resistance Fortress Ahead
At $430, we're walking into a battlefield:
Historical resistance = sellers have limit orders stacked
Overbought territory = indicators flashing red
Trap zone activated = late buyers will get liquidated here
What smart money does: Lock profits. Don't marry the trade. Don't get greedy.
Potential scenarios:
🟢 Strong momentum? Trail your stop and let winners run
🟡 Consolidation at $420? Take 50-75% off the table
🔴 Rejection at $430? Exit immediately, don't hope
(Thief OG's — again, this is MY target. You might want to exit at $400 for quick profits. You might want to hold for $450. Your rules. Your capital. Your consequences.)
🔗 Correlated Assets — The Bigger Picture
Don't trade COIN blind. Context is king.
Watch These Tickers:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD & BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Correlation: STRONG
COIN is basically a leveraged play on crypto sentiment. Bitcoin pumps = COIN pumps harder. Bitcoin dumps = COIN dumps harder. Always check the crypto market before entering.
⛏️ NASDAQ:MARA & NASDAQ:RIOT
Correlation: HIGH
Fellow crypto-exposed stocks. If they're ripping, COIN usually follows. If they're bleeding, stay cautious.
💳 SET:SQ (Block Inc.)
Correlation: MODERATE
Fintech + crypto exposure. Similar institutional money flows. Good confirmation indicator.
💵 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Correlation: INVERSE
Strong dollar = crypto weakness = COIN weakness
Weak dollar = crypto strength = COIN strength
Simple math. Don't ignore macro.
🔑 Key Insight: If Bitcoin is fighting resistance at $70K while COIN is trying to break out, one of them is lying. Read the room.
📌 Technical Breakdown — The Charts Don't Lie
✅ 200 SMA Support: Holding firm — institutional support level
✅ Heikin Ashi Reversal: Doji + bullish follow-through = momentum shift confirmed
✅ Volume Analysis: Accumulation on dips, not capitulation
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: Solid if stops are honored and targets are realistic
⚠️ Resistance at $430: Real, tested, and dangerous — respect it
⚠️ Crypto Market Dependency: If BTC drops 10%, COIN drops 15%. Stay alert.
📢 Thief OG Community Rules
Never risk more than you can afford to lose — period.
Position sizing > entry price — manage your risk first, profits second.
Stick to YOUR plan — my plan is mine. Yours is yours.
Take profits — unrealized gains aren't real until you close the trade.
No FOMO, no revenge trades — discipline beats emotion every time.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#COIN #Coinbase #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #PullbackSetup #HeikinAshi #200MA #NASDAQ #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrader
FIL Is Losing Bearish Momentum => Bullish Takeover Soon?📉FIL has been printing a series of progressively weaker bearish impulses, first a big drop, then a smaller one, and now a flat one.
This loss of bearish strength is happening while price is hovering above a major demand zone (orange), a level that previously triggered a massive rally.
📉📈Notice how the bearish swings are curving and flattening (dotted pink curve). This is often an early sign that sellers are exhausting.
⚔️As long as FIL remains above the demand zone, we will be looking for bullish reversal setups, especially if price retests the orange zone one more time and rejects it.
🏹For the bulls to take over entirely, price needs to break above the blue consolidation zone, confirming a shift in momentum.
Do you think FIL is gearing up for a bigger move? Let me know below! 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
COINBASE entering a brutal Bear Cycle. 1st Stop = $150Coinbase (COIN) has been on a strong decline since its July All Time High (ATH) and right now is within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1W MA100 (green trend-line) range. This is similar so far to the correction phases since March 2024 that found a bottom on the Support Zone but more importantly looks identical to the start of the 2022 Bear Cycle.
Based on the latter, after the current 3-wek consolidation is over, the stock should decline more, towards the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. The latter is where the Support Zone is, hence our medium-term Target is $150.00 (marginally above).
If the Support Zone breaks and the market keeps mirroring the 2022 Bear Cycle, we are looking at a brutal sell-off that could be as low as $54.00 (Fib 0.786) and $32.00 (Fib 1.0). Notice that in 2022, the most efficient bottom buy signal was given initially by a massively oversold 1W RSI (nearly 20.00) and finally confirmed by a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence of the same indicator. Use that to time the bottom to your advantage regardless of the price and buy for the next long-term Bull Cycle.
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COINBASE Still looks strong!NASDAQ:COIN Coinbase appears to have printed completed 2 of (V), extending the targets to the upper boundary trend-line and R4 weekly pivot, $718.
Price found support at the weekly pivot just above the weekly 200EMA and lower trend-line.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $718 based on the weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI has reset below the EQ.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (IV)
Safe trading
COIN bottom forming? Wave 4 changed to wave 2NASDAQ:COIN Price appears to be completing wave C of IV, a corrective pattern to the downsid,e expected to be shallow
Wave 4 was invalidated due to the retracement depth becoming wave 2 of V, which actually presents a bigger target for the wave 3 move to come. Price stopped at the golden pocket reflecting its higher cap characteristics.
📈 Daily RSI has printed a confirmed bullish divergence from oversold.
👉 Continued downside has a target of the S2 pivot at $210
Safe trading
$XRP count changed, wave 4 underwayCRYPTOCAP:XRP Wave 4 appears to be a flat correction defined by the poke above the all-time high. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, also the weekly 200EMA ~$1.2.
The multi-year triangle is a penultimate move, so continuation in wave 5 to price discovery is my preferred count. For no,w price is stuck in a range aboev the weekly pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $4.31 based on the weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall after printing bearish divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we fall below $0.64, as wave 4 can not go below 0.55 Fibs
Safe trading
SUI Macro outlook changed...Price appears to be near the completion of a wave C correction.
Price is falling below the S1 pivot, bringing up the next target of the golden pocket and High Volume Node. There is no weekly 200EMA. The series of macro ABC’s suggests upside targets may be limited to the R3 pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $10 based on weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish, almost oversold with no divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave B at $0.43
Safe trading
Sol continues to hold up strongCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding up well with only a shallow retracement to the 0.382 for wave (4)- the weekly 200EMA.
Price is above the weekly 200EMA, which is bullish, but lost the pivot, which is bearish, giving the overall pattern ambiguity. Wave C is underway, but looks near completion at wave 4’s expected Fib targets.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $660 based on weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall, but doesn’t often reach oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $50, as wave 4 can not go below the 0.5 Fib.
Safe trading
HBAR still holding strongCRYPTOCAP:HBAR Price has printed a textbook ABC for wave 2, but as long as we are below the descending trend-line, the probability is lower still. The wick has now been revisited, which is expected behaviour.
Price is below the weekly pivot. The next downside target is the S1 pivot at $0.075, which is also the alt-coin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $0.8
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with no divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 2, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
FET looking more and more like a pump & dump scam.Huge engulfing candle from the oversold threshold just above the 0.786 alt-coin golden pocket.
The trend remains down despite this candle with no bullish market structure yet. The weekly 200EMA is finally turning down. Until we get above the descending trend-line, the probability is lower. The 5-wave structure down hints at no new all-time high, as this is a motif wave.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high $1.2 when momentum returns
📈 Weekly RSI tapped oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months
👉 Analysis is invalidated above the weekly pivot
Safe trading
ETH hit my downside target now what?Wave 1 appears to have completed a leading diagonal with a poke above all-time high- what we expect from wave 1. Wave 2 is underway, testing the weekly 200EMA so far, and an expected reversal point- also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
The retracement has been shallow, but ETH was beaten down and undervalued, making a shallow pullback expected. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is the next downside target at the S1 pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $9000
📈 Weekly RSI was oversold with bearish divergence and has now reset below the channel EQ.
👉 Analysis is invalidated only if we get below the wave (4) bottom $1365
Safe trading
DOGE, Weekly bullish divergence!Uptrend remains intact from the wave 4 bottom. We could still be in wave 4 as they are characterised by their long, complex ranges. A flat or a triangle is possible.
Wave (1) appears complete as a leading diagonal followed by a deep wave (2), which is expected after this pattern. Price is bullishly riding the weekly 200EMA but bearish below the pivot. Wave (3) should be powerful and fast; any slow grind may hint that we are still in wave IV
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1.7 based on Fibonacci extensions
📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence, a good sign but it can take weeks to play out
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (2)
BNB Count changed, wave 4 underwayPrice completed a macro wave 3. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci and may not extend below the 0.5. Crypto assets can overextend in wave 5, which I believe we will see over the next year.
ave 4 is underway testing the previous all-time High Volume Node and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement zone. Price remains in an uptrend.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $2000, the R5 weekly pivot
📈 Weekly RSI printed bearish divergence from overbought and is already resetting below the EQ. It rarely gets oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below the weekly pivot and 200EMA
Safe trading
AAVE Macro outlook, weekly bullish divergenceA price range between $440 and $130 continues. Price appears to have completed triangle wave (c) of a larger wave B. Wave (D) is next, with a target of the upper boundary trend-line ~$340.
Price has lost the 200EMA but followed the outlined path of a pump and pullback after wave ©. The weekly pivot is the likely termination point for wave (E), but there is work to be done first. Price found terminal support at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement.
We are just in a huge range, and there isn’t much more to say on the macro. This asset has been one of the best winners for trading the last 3 years, sticking to the rules strictly.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle is still the 1:1 Fib extension, but may be overextended to the 1.272, per wave C rules. Both are around the all-time High Volume Node ~$600
📈 Weekly RSI has room to fall and has printed bullish divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (A) or wave (B)
Safe trading
XRP count changed, wave 4 underwayPrice appears to have completed a WXY after the Oct 10th flash crash, but further downside is possible to complete wave 4.
Wave (B) completed a barrier triangle, which suggests the thrust down was the final move before reversal. Price has revisited the wick- expected price behaviour, and we are now looking for a bottom.
Price is below the daily 200EMA and pivot, which is bearish.
📈 Daily RSI reached oversold with no divergences
👉 Continued downside brings up the $1.75 High Volume Node EQ
Safe trading
SUI Dropped hard! More to come?Price accelerated in a downtrend, falling below a major High Volume Node support, invalidating the macro triangle.
Wave C of a textbook ABC correction is underway with a target of the golden pocket. and S2 pivot at $1.
📈 Daily RSI is oversold with no divergence
👉 Continued downside has a next target of $1
Safe trading
SOL looks weak, lower in wave C?Price continues lower, a textbook ABC correction so far.
Wave B ended shy of all-time high. Price lost the daily 200EMA and is testing the major High Volume Node support. The probability is a continuation to the downside.
📈 Daily RSI reached oversold with no divergence
👉 Continued downside brings up the $112 target
Safe trading
HBAR still in the channel!Price is back in the descending range after dropping below during the flash crash, which can be viewed as an anomaly.
Wave 2 appears complete at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement. Price was rejected at the daily 200EMA and channel upper boundary and has lost the daily pivot and High Volume Node, suggesting further downside is to come.
📈 Daily RSI bounced from oversold alongside price with no divergence.
👉 Continued downside has a target of $0.07 at the next High Volume Node support and alt-coin golden pocket 0.786
Safe trading






















