HBAR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:HBAR
🎯 Price has printed a textbook ABC for wave 2, now the weekly bullish divergence in the RSI. The bottom may be in with last week’s bullish engulfing candle at the Fibonacci golden pocket, the most likely termination for wave 2. Wave 3 has an expected target of the R3 weekly pivot $0.77.
📈 Price is below the weekly pivot, and there is still no 200EMA so there is still a chance for further downside with a target of the alt-coin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, S1 pivot and High Volume Node support, $0.75.
👉 Bullish analysis is invalidated below $0.95, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
Coin
SUI Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:SUI
🎯 Price appears to have completed a shallow wave (B) correction at the S1 weekly pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. The chart is clean. Wave (C) has a terminal target os the R3 weekly pivot at $10.38 but could also over extend in the right conditions towards the R5, $15.
📈 Price is below the weekly pivot, and there is no 200EMA yet on this young asset. Weekly RSI is ticking bullish near oversold with no divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (B) at $1.3
Safe trading
DOGE Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:DOGE
🎯 Uptrend remains intact from the multiyear wave 4 running flat bottom. We could still be in wave 4, as characterised by their long, complex ranges with shallow retracement 0.236 Fibs in this case. The initial upside resistance is the weekly pivot at $0.29, and macro wave 5 has a terminal target off a poke above all-time high at $0.76.
📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence as price tests the weekly 200EMA. Overcoming this is the first challenge and will add confluence to a bullish move.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave 4 and the S1 pivot, $0.0986
Safe trading
AAVE - Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersEURONEXT:AAVE
🎯 I am still looking at this multiyear triangle to break out to the upside with a terminal target of $670, the all-time High Volume Node resistance. Price is rangebound between $440 and $130 and appears to have completed triangle wave (C). Wave (D) is next, with a target of the upper boundary trend-line ~$340.
📈 Price is below the weekly 200EMA and pivot, reflecting the recent bearish trend, but finding support with bullish divergence in the RSI, suggesting a major bottom is forming. Wave (A) found terminal support at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (A) or wave (B). This asset has been one of the best assets for trading signals in the last 3 years, sticking to the rules strictly.
Safe trading
XRP Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:XRP
🎯 Wave 4 appears to have completed an expanded flat correction defined by the poke above the all-time high. Price found support at the weekly pivot, just above the weekly 200EMA and High Volume Node, keeping trend signals bullish. Wave 5 has a target of the R3 weekly pivot $5.7.
📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we fall below $1.5, keeping wave 4 alive.
Safe trading
SOL Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:SOL
🎯 Sol has been holding up significantly well with only a shallow retracement to the 0.382 for wave A of 4. A running flat correction appears complete at the Fibbonaci 0.236, weekly 200EMA and High Volume Node. Wave 5 has a target of the R3 weekly pivot at $462, but I expect this to overextend due to the shallow pullback to the R% pivot at $660.
📈 Price is above the weekly 200EMA, which is bullish, but below the pivot, which is bearish, giving the overall pattern ambiguity. Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall, but doesn’t often reach oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave A, $90
Safe trading
ONDO Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersLSE:ONDO
🎯 Wave 2 appears complete at the altCoin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support. Price is reacting well with a bullish engulfing candle. Wave 3 has an expected target in price discovery os the R£ weekly pivot $4.21, offering a 10x from here.
📈 Weekly RSI hit oversold threshold and ticked up bullishly.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below $0.35
Safe trading
ETH Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:ETH
🎯 Wave (IV) appears to have completed a multiyear running flat with weekly bullish divergence. A new motif wave is underway, completing its wave 1 of 5 with a poke above all time high on weekly bearish divergence. Wave 2 appears complete at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support. Wave 3 has a target of the R4 weekly pivot at $7348. Wave 5 could extend towards $10,000.
📈 The retracement has been shallow compared to other alts. Weekly RSI is flipping bullish from below the EQ while price is about to challenge the weekly pivot. Price is above the weekly 200EMA, keeping the bullish trend in tact.
👉 Analysis is invalidated only if we get below$2634, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
XRP Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:XRP
🎯Price printed a bullish engulfing 3 white knight candle pattern, reclaiming the daily pivot and heading to test the daily 200EMA. Overcoming this will be very bullish. Wave 1 of 3 appears to be underway locally.
📈 Daily RSI has bearish divergence has been negated with yesterdays pump
👉 Analysis is invalidated below the swing low $1.8, keeping the downtrend alive.
Safe trading
SUI Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:SUI
🎯Price printed a 3 white knight bullish engulfing pattern, reclaiming the daily pivot. Wave 3 of a new uptrend appears to be underway with a target of the daily 200EMA followed by $3.1
📈 Daily RSI bearish divergence has been negated
👉 Analysis is invalidated below $1.31, keeping the downtrend alive
Safe trading
SOL Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:SOL
🎯Price caught a strong bid moving bullishly above the daily pivot but struggling at the High Volume Node resistance. Wave 1 of a new motif wave appears to be underway with an inital target of the daily 200EMA.
📈 Daily RSI has bearish divergence, price must get above $145 to negate this or face further downside.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave C, $110
Safe trading
ONDO Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsLSE:ONDO
🎯Price printed a 3 white knight bullish engulfing pattern, jumping above the daily pivot and the descending resistance trend-line. Price must get above $0.5 to negate the bearish divergence that has emerged. Wave 1 of a new uptrend appears to be underway.
📈 Daily RSI tapped oversold with bullish divergence, where it caught a bid.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below the swing low, $0.35
Safe trading
HBAR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:HBAR
🎯Price caught a strong bid on bullish divergence, flipping the local structure bullish. However, bearish divergence has emerged at High Volume Node resistance. Price is above the daily pivot, which is bullish, but has a long way to go to reach the daily 200EMA.
📈 Price must get above $0.148 to negate the bearish divergence.
👉Analysis is invalidated below the swing low, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
DOGE Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:DOGE
🎯 Price printed a bullish engulfing 3 white knight candle pattern. It is above the daily pivot, showing a bullish trend is emerging, but still below the daily 200EMA. Overcoming this will be very bullish. The Elliot wave count is tricky, so I will await more confirmation.
📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence. The RSI shot up too hard and fast, which often results in a reversal, potentially testing the daily pivot as support.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below the swing low, keeping the downtrend alive
Safe trading
BNB Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:BNB
🎯Price has closed above the daily 200EMA and daily pivot, suggesting a new bull trend has taken hold. If this is wave (3), we should expect a strong breakout in the coming days/weeks towards the all-time high. Wave 4 appears complete, with a textbook ABC correction ending at High Volume Node support.
📈 Daily RSI is currently showing bearish divergence across many altcoins, including BNB. A push above wave (1) will negate this divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (2), daily pivot and 200EMA.
Safe trading
AAVE Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:AAVE
🎯 Price printed a bullish engulfing candle from daily RSI bullish divergence and High Volume Node support. It is currently testing the pivot. Overcoming this will add confidence to the bullish move, with a first target of the daily 200EMA and High Volume Node resistance at $220. Overcoming the daily 200EMA will add confluence to a major bottom being in.
📈 Wave (C) of triangle wave (D) appears to be underway. Daily RSI sits at the channel EQ and is crossed bullishly.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we drop below $148, keeping wave (B) alive.
Safe trading
BNB Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:BNB
🎯 Price completed a macro wave 3 with bearish divergence on the RSI. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci $640, and can not extend below the 0.5 Fib, $506. Crypto assets can overextend in wave 5, which I believe we will see in 2026, with a terminal target of the R5 weekly pivot target, $2000, a psychological milestone where heaving selling may begin.
📈 Wave 4 is still underway, testing the previous all-time High Volume Node, 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, $760. Weekly RSI is at the EQ, where a bottom was found the previous two times and the price returned to an all-time high.
👉 Analysis is only invalidated if price falls below the 0.5 Fib, $506.
Safe trading
NEAR - spot, long term.BINANCE:NEARUSDT.P
Throughout 2025, the coin remained within its range.
I consider exiting the range a deviation, and we will get the same deviation on the other side of the range.
Good luck with your trading! Use your risk management strategy.
The ideal entry point will be: $1.4 and $1.25.
The targets on the chart are a minimum of $3.2.
COIN Testing Key Support – Potential Long SetupNASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase) is currently testing a major support zone in the $235–$240 range, which has acted as a strong base in previous pullbacks. This level is attracting renewed interest as the broader crypto market shows signs of upward momentum, with BTC and ETH stabilizing and pushing higher. A bounce from this level could set up a strong risk/reward opportunity.
💡 Trade Idea
🔹 Entry: $235–$240 (support zone)
🔹 Take Profit Zones:
• TP1: $300–$335
• TP2: $375–$415
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $230 (to manage downside risk)
A break below $230 could invalidate this setup, but holding this level opens the door for a potential breakout if crypto strength continues. Watch volume and correlation with BTC closely in the coming sessions.
COIN Breakdown Setup Activated — Sellers in Control!🔥 COIN Bearish Heist 🕵️♂️ | Layered Sell Strategy in Play
📊 Asset Overview
COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN)
📍 NASDAQ Exchange
📈 Instrument Type: US Stock
⏱️ Trading Style: Swing Trade / Day Trade
COIN is currently showing structural weakness after failing to hold key consolidation levels. Price behavior suggests distribution, not accumulation.
🧠 Technical Analysis Breakdown (Detailed)
🔻 Market Structure
Price formed a symmetrical / contracting triangle
Breakout occurred to the downside, confirming bearish intent
Follow-through shows lower highs + weak rebounds
➡️ This indicates sellers are absorbing liquidity on every bounce.
📐 Moving Average Context
Price broke below clustered moving averages
MAs have shifted from support → resistance
Compression + expansion = volatility release
📉 When moving averages fail together, continuation risk increases.
📊 Momentum & Price Action
Bearish candles with long upper wicks
Failed recovery attempts = supply dominance
No strong bullish displacement after the breakdown
➡️ This favors sell-on-rally, not buy-the-dip behavior.
🎯 Trading Plan — Thief Style (Layering Strategy)
Instead of predicting the exact top, this plan uses multiple limit sell orders to build a position gradually as price reacts into resistance zones.
🕵️♂️ Entry Philosophy:
No single “perfect” entry
Scale in calmly
Let price come to you
🔴 Sell Limit Layer Zones (Example)
256.00
250.00
248.00
240.00
📌 These zones align with:
Prior structure resistance
MA rejection areas
Liquidity grab zones
➡️ You may add or reduce layers based on your execution model.
🛑 Risk Management (Expanded)
Reference Stop Loss:
265.00
This level represents:
Triangle invalidation
Failed bearish structure
Strong bullish reclaim zone
⚠️ Important Note to Thief OGs:
This stop is not mandatory.
You control:
Position sizing
Risk per layer
Partial exits or full invalidation
Trade responsibly and within your system.
🎯 Target Logic (Why 220.00?)
Target Zone: 🎯 220.00
This area is supported by:
Major historical demand
Oversold technical conditions
Correction completion zone
Possible bear trap resolution
💨 Execution Style:
Fast profit-taking
No greed
Exit when liquidity is offered
🚨 Escape quickly before volatility reverses.
🔗 Related Symbols to Watch (Correlation Insight)
Watching correlated assets improves timing and confidence:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 🟠
↳ Strong correlation with COIN direction and sentiment
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD 🔵
↳ Confirms crypto market risk appetite
IG:NASDAQ 📊
↳ Tech stocks weakness = pressure on COIN
NASDAQ:MSTR 🧠
↳ High-beta crypto equity, often moves first
📌 If BTC + NASDAQ show weakness, COIN downside probability increases.
🧠 Key Execution Rules
✅ Trade the structure, not emotions
✅ Layer entries, don’t chase
✅ Respect invalidation
✅ Take profits quickly at target
✅ Risk management > prediction
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📢 Disclaimer:
This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun.
Educational & entertainment purposes only — not financial advice.
#COIN #Coinbase #NASDAQ #BearishSetup #SwingTrade #DayTrade
#TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TradingView
BTCUSD SELL SETUPPOSSIBLE SELL SETUP BTCUSD
SL ABOVE SUPPLY ZONE
TP 1 BELOW DEMAND ZONE
TP 2 OPEN USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT
FOLLOW YOUR TRADING PLAN !!!!
SIMPLE BTCUSD TRADING PLAN
1️⃣ Timeframe
15m or 1H only
2️⃣ Indicators
200 EMA → trend
50 EMA → entry
RSI (14) → confirmation
3️⃣ BUY RULES
✅ Price above 200 EMA
✅ Pullback to 50 EMA
✅ RSI above 50
✅ Bullish candle
➡️ Then BUY
4️⃣ SELL RULES
✅ Price below 200 EMA
✅ Pullback to 50 EMA
✅ RSI below 50
✅ Bearish candle
➡️ Then SELL
5️⃣ Risk Rules
Risk 1% per trade
Always use Stop Loss
Target = 2× Stop Loss (1:2)
6️⃣ Management
At 1:1, move stop to breakeven
Do nothing else
7️⃣ Golden Rules
❌ No stop loss = no trade
❌ No emotions
❌ No overtrading
ONE LINE RULE
If all rules aren’t met → NO TRADE
COIN | 200 SMA Confluence + Bullish Doji = High-Value Setup🎯 COIN: The 200 MA Heist — Dip Buyers Stacking Bags While Others Panic 💼🔥
📊 Asset Intelligence
Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) — NASDAQ
Strategy Classification: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: Bullish Pullback Confirmation
Risk Profile: Calculated Aggression
🧠 Technical Thesis — Why This Setup Slaps
Listen up, Thief OG's 👀
COIN just pulled back to the 200 Simple Moving Average and did exactly what professional setups do — it respected support and reversed. We got a textbook Heikin Ashi reversal doji candle forming right at the MA, signaling buyer exhaustion turned into buyer dominance.
Translation for the streets: Big money stepped in. Retail panicked. We capitalize.
📈 What We're Seeing:
200 SMA holding like a vault door 🔐
Heikin Ashi doji = indecision flipped to bullish conviction
Volume profile showing accumulation, not distribution
Buyers got the juice to push this higher
This isn't hopium. This is structure meeting momentum at a critical support zone.
💰 The "Thief Strategy" Entry Playbook
We don't chase. We layer. We scale. We steal profits from emotional traders.
Instead of slapping market buy like a degen, we're using layered limit orders to build our position as price moves in our favor. Think of it like planting money traps on the way down.
🎯 Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
Layer 1: $330 💵
Layer 2: $340 💵
Layer 3: $350 💵
Layer 4: $360 💵
You can add more layers if you're feeling spicy 🌶️. The goal is to dollar-cost average into strength, not weakness. Let the market come to YOU.
Pro Tip: Not all layers need to fill. Sometimes you only catch 2-3. That's fine. Better to miss some entry than to get caught in a fake-out.
🛡️ Risk Management — Protect Ya Neck
Stop Loss: $310 🚨
Real talk, Thief OG's: This is MY stop based on MY risk tolerance. You are NOT me. You don't have my account size, my strategy, or my psychology.
Set your own stop based on:
How much you're willing to lose per trade
Your position size
Your personal pain threshold
If COIN breaks below $310, the thesis is invalidated. The 200 MA failed. Buyers lost control. We exit, regroup, and find the next heist. No ego. No revenge trading. Just discipline.
🎯 Target Acquisition — Where We Take the Bag
Primary Target: $430 💎
⚡⚠️ WARNING: Resistance Fortress Ahead
At $430, we're walking into a battlefield:
Historical resistance = sellers have limit orders stacked
Overbought territory = indicators flashing red
Trap zone activated = late buyers will get liquidated here
What smart money does: Lock profits. Don't marry the trade. Don't get greedy.
Potential scenarios:
🟢 Strong momentum? Trail your stop and let winners run
🟡 Consolidation at $420? Take 50-75% off the table
🔴 Rejection at $430? Exit immediately, don't hope
(Thief OG's — again, this is MY target. You might want to exit at $400 for quick profits. You might want to hold for $450. Your rules. Your capital. Your consequences.)
🔗 Correlated Assets — The Bigger Picture
Don't trade COIN blind. Context is king.
Watch These Tickers:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD & BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Correlation: STRONG
COIN is basically a leveraged play on crypto sentiment. Bitcoin pumps = COIN pumps harder. Bitcoin dumps = COIN dumps harder. Always check the crypto market before entering.
⛏️ NASDAQ:MARA & NASDAQ:RIOT
Correlation: HIGH
Fellow crypto-exposed stocks. If they're ripping, COIN usually follows. If they're bleeding, stay cautious.
💳 SET:SQ (Block Inc.)
Correlation: MODERATE
Fintech + crypto exposure. Similar institutional money flows. Good confirmation indicator.
💵 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Correlation: INVERSE
Strong dollar = crypto weakness = COIN weakness
Weak dollar = crypto strength = COIN strength
Simple math. Don't ignore macro.
🔑 Key Insight: If Bitcoin is fighting resistance at $70K while COIN is trying to break out, one of them is lying. Read the room.
📌 Technical Breakdown — The Charts Don't Lie
✅ 200 SMA Support: Holding firm — institutional support level
✅ Heikin Ashi Reversal: Doji + bullish follow-through = momentum shift confirmed
✅ Volume Analysis: Accumulation on dips, not capitulation
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: Solid if stops are honored and targets are realistic
⚠️ Resistance at $430: Real, tested, and dangerous — respect it
⚠️ Crypto Market Dependency: If BTC drops 10%, COIN drops 15%. Stay alert.
📢 Thief OG Community Rules
Never risk more than you can afford to lose — period.
Position sizing > entry price — manage your risk first, profits second.
Stick to YOUR plan — my plan is mine. Yours is yours.
Take profits — unrealized gains aren't real until you close the trade.
No FOMO, no revenge trades — discipline beats emotion every time.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#COIN #Coinbase #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #PullbackSetup #HeikinAshi #200MA #NASDAQ #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrader






















