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Nifty, BankNifty & S&P500 Weekly Outlook Nifty closed the week at 25910, posting a strong 418-point gain. Once the index sustained above 25600, it delivered a clean 400-point rally toward 26000, pulled back briefly, and regained strength to close near the highs. Overall Bias: Mildly Bullish As long as Nifty holds above 25600, the structure remains constructive. However, expect volatility near 26000–26400. 📌 Key Levels for Next Week Support: 25600 / 25400 Resistance: 26050 / 26400 Nifty is likely to stay within 25400–26400 . A breakout on either side can trigger sharp directional moves. Bullish sector themes: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Metals, Auto — ideal zones for swing traders. BankNifty Update BankNifty reclaimed 57900, extended a smooth upside move, hit all three bullish targets, and closed at a fresh all-time high of 58517. If it sustains above 58615, upside zones open toward: 59267 60087 (Key Fibonacci level) Continued strength here can act as a strong tailwind for Nifty’s next leg up. S&P 500 Weekly View S&P 500 closed flat at 6734, but the weekly structure still favors a bullish W-pattern. Key Breakout Levels Above 6869: Targets 6959 → 7000 → 7122 Below 6631: Trend weakens, downside opens toward 6350 / 6225 The index is at a decision point — a breakout or breakdown will set the tone globally. Final Take Markets are at crucial levels, and next week will decide who takes control — Bulls or Bears. Which level do you think breaks first — 26400 or 25400?
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please see our weekly chart timeframe Routemap and Trading plans for the week ahead. After securing 4059 last week, we now have a long range candle body close gap above at 4294, with 4059 acting as support. We can expect price action to play between these two levels. A further EMA5 cross and lock above 4059 will strengthen the gap toward 4294. Conversely, a candle body close back below 4059 would reopen the broader retracement range. We’ll keep these long timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plan to buy dips. We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds. Mr Gold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD)- Institutional WEEKLY 📘 YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) Institutional WEEKLY — COMPREHENSIVE OUTLOOK Week of Mon 17 → Fri 21 Nov 2025 All times Africa/Cairo (UTC+2). EDUCATIONAL ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Spot ref (XAUUSD): ~4,080 $/oz GC1 (Dec ’25, front month): ~4,184 $/oz GC2 (Feb ’26, next): ~4,220 $/oz Term spread (GC2–GC1): ≈ +0.9% → mild CONTANGO ──────────────────────────────── GC FUTURES CURVE — QUICK GUIDE ──────────────────────────────── • Contango → GC2 > GC1 (upward curve): Normal structure. Storage + carry costs are priced in. This is NOT automatically bearish for gold. • Backwardation → GC2 < GC1 (downward curve): Often signals strong immediate demand or short-term supply/flow stress. Can be short-term bullish for spot. • Term spread (%) → (GC2 − GC1) / GC1 × 100: Shows how steep the futures curve is. Bigger positive spread = market pricing more “future upside / carry”. Narrow or negative spread = nearer-term stress or demand. Current read: Mild, healthy contango → gold is expensive but NOT in panic backwardation; market still comfortable holding exposure into early 2026. ──────────────────────── 0) WEEKLY SNAPSHOT & MAP ──────────────────────── • Big picture: – Gold is trading just below recent all-time highs (above 4,200 printed last month). – Past month: soft pullback of roughly −3% from highs but still very elevated on a multi-year basis. – Last 5–7 sessions: strong two-way flow, with intraday spikes both directions and closes clustering ~4,050–4,150. • XAUMO structural read: – Below: multi-week “Uploading” zone (institutional accumulation) where prior dips were bought aggressively. – Above: fresh “Offloading” zone close to the recent record highs where large players started distributing size into strength. – Vol & spreads: • Volatility remains high but off the absolute peak. • Spreads and intraday ranges expanded mid-week and cooled slightly into Friday. → Interpretation for 17–21 Nov: • This is a “decision week inside a high range”, not a clean new trend. • Market will likely choose between: – (A) Deeper rotation back into the Uploading zone if macro = hawkish / growth-OK, or – (B) A second push toward or beyond the highs if macro = dovish / growth-scared. ──────────────────────────── 1) CROSS-ASSET TAPE (RISK MAP) ──────────────────────────── • Dollar Index (DXY) ~99.2: – Off its mid-year peaks, closer to the bottom of its recent range. – Bias: mild dollar softness compared to earlier in 2025. • S&P 500 ~6,734: – Near record territory but with recent pullbacks and intraday volatility. – Investors still “buying the dip” in AI/tech, but sensitivity to Fed signals is high. • VIX ~19–20: – Elevated vs “calm” (12–15), but below panic (>25). – Tells you: this is a market that can accelerate on headlines; gold benefits from that volatility. • US 10-year yield ~4.1–4.2%: – Still high in historical terms. – Polls/forecasts show expectations for only modest moves higher in coming months, with cuts further out on the curve. – Gold is coexisting with high nominal yields thanks to: • Debasement narrative (debt, deficits), • Central-bank buying, • Uncertainty about real growth. → XAUMO conclusion: – Cross-asset tape is mildly risk-on but fragile. – Any surprise in Fed tone, data, or geopolitical risk can flip the intraday regime quickly and feed into gold. ────────────────────────────── 2) MACRO CALENDAR: 17–23 NOV ────────────────────────────── Focus: what can MOVE gold, not every minor data point. MON 17 NOV • CAD CPI (inflation, Canada) – Direct on CAD, indirect on commodities risk sentiment. – Bigger-than-expected upside surprise can revive “sticky inflation” narrative. TUE 18 NOV • RBA Meeting Minutes (Australia) – Asia-Pac risk sentiment signal. – Dovish tone → supportive for gold via weaker AUD yields / global growth worries. – Hawkish tone → limited direct effect but can tilt Asia risk-on. WED 19 NOV — KEY DAY • FOMC Minutes (October meeting) – The main event of the week for gold. – Market will scan for: – How split is the committee? – How worried about inflation vs growth? – Hints about timing/pace of future cuts into 2026. – Less hawkish / more growth-worry: → Bond yields ease, dollar softens → supportive for gold. – More hawkish / inflation-worry: → Yields nudge higher, dollar firmer → pressure on gold (at least initially). THU 20 NOV • PBoC rate decision / China credit stance – Extra easing / credit support = better commodity demand narrative (indirect positive for gold). – Disappointment or more signs of slowdown = risk-off in cyclicals, but can also support gold as safe haven if sentiment sours. FRI 21 NOV • UK Retail Sales • Flash PMIs (Germany, Eurozone, UK, US) – Global growth thermometer. – Weak PMIs → recession / stagnation chatter → more medium-term support for gold (cuts + safe-haven flows). – Strong PMIs → short-term support for equities and possibly the dollar → can cap gold near the top of its range. SUN 23 NOV (outside main trading week) • NZ Retail Sales – Minor for gold directly, but part of the global growth mosaic. ────────────────────────────── 3) HOLIDAYS / LIQUIDITY CHECK ────────────────────────────── • No major US federal holiday during 17–21 Nov. • Thanksgiving is on Thu 28 Nov (the following week), with Black Friday 28–29 Nov. • Europe: no major pan-EU market holiday in this week; only usual local events with limited impact on global liquidity. → Read: This is a full-liquidity week. Moves around FOMC Minutes and PMIs are likely to be “real” flows, not just holiday noise. ──────────────────────────────────── 4) XAUMO STRUCTURE — RANGE DIAGNOSTIC ──────────────────────────────────── (Conceptual: Uploading vs Offloading, MegaBars & Delta behavior) • Uploading zones (support side): – Built over recent weeks on pullbacks after the run to ~4,200+. – Characterized by: • Positive volume delta on down days, • Strong reaction candles (MegaBars) stopping selloffs, • RVOL elevated on lows (buyers stepping in). – Each revisit has so far triggered a bounce, reinforcing these zones as “dynamic institutional support”. • Offloading zones (resistance side): – Close to or slightly above the recent record highs. – Features: • RVOL spikes on up-swings with fading delta (distributions into strength), • Rejection candles / Kill Bars, • Choppy clusters where upside follow-through stalls. – This behavior is classic “distribute at extremes”, not clean breakout acceleration. • Volatility regime: – Elevated but not parabolic. – XAUMO view: we are in a “high-altitude balancing act”: → deep pockets are carefully rotating risk at high prices, not simply panic-buying or panic-selling. ────────────────────────────── 5) WEEKLY REGIME (TREND VS BALANCE) ────────────────────────────── High-level trend (multi-TF conceptually): • Monthly: – Strong bullish secular trend still intact (structure higher highs/higher lows). – Over-extended zone; any deep pullback is still “inside” a long-term uptrend unless key prior monthly lows break. • Weekly: – Price is at/just below prior extremes with a broad horizontal band forming (multi-week range). – XAUMO reads this as: “Distribution-and-re-accumulation at high altitude” — not confirmed reversal, not confirmed blow-off continuation. • Daily: – Alternation: sharp pushes up followed by sharp shake-outs. – Choppy value re-tests near the middle of the weekly range between Uploading and Offloading. → Regime label for 17–21 Nov: “High-level BALANCED with directional optionality around FOMC Minutes.” In other words: the trend is up on big TFs, but this week is about “who wins the range”: buyers defending Uploading vs sellers leaning on Offloading. ────────────────────────────── 6) WEEKLY SCENARIO LAB (NO ENTRIES) ────────────────────────────── ⚠ These are structural scenarios for study ONLY — NOT trade signals, no entries, no SL/TP. SCENARIO A — “Dip then Reload” (Pro-gold bias) • Setup: – Early week: gold drifts lower or chops sideways as markets front-run FOMC Minutes. – We see tests toward/into known Uploading zones on your XAUMO map. • FOMC tone: – Less hawkish / more concerned about growth and debt sustainability. • Market reaction: – US yields ease a bit, DXY softens. – Gold prints supportive delta + MegaBars from the lower half of the range. • Outcome: – Week closes towards mid-to-upper portion of the recent band. – Under this scenario, dips are “used to reload” rather than start a full reversal. SCENARIO B — “Fed Hawkish Squeeze” (Pressure on gold) • Setup: – Markets go into Wednesday still near mid or upper band of the recent range. • FOMC tone: – Minutes show more concern about inflation, less urgency about cuts. • Market reaction: – 10-year yields push higher again; dollar stabilizes or firms. – Equities wobble or correct. – Gold fails to hold mid-range value and rotates back firmly toward the lower band. • Outcome: – Week prints a bearish body on weekly candle (longer upper wick), with tests or even temporary breaks beneath recent Uploading zones. – This doesn’t kill the long-term bull but warns of deeper corrective structure into late November. SCENARIO C — “Risk-On Sideways” (Range extension without decision) • Setup: – PMIs and data come in “OK but not scary”, – FOMC Minutes are balanced, nothing shockingly new. • Market reaction: – Equities stay near highs with some volatility, – Dollar only slightly moved, – Gold oscillates between Uploading and Offloading with no decisive break. • Outcome: – Another wide range weekly candle closes inside the same band. – XAUMO takeaway: continuing accumulation/distribution at altitude; bigger move postponed to December or post-Thanksgiving. SCENARIO D — TAIL RISK (Shock event) • Could be: – Geopolitical flare-up, – Surprise credit event, – Major policy misstep headline. • Reaction: – Spiky MegaBars, large RVOL, fast repricing across DXY, yields, and equities. – XAUMO focus shifts from “fine-tuning the range” to: • Identifying NEW Uploading/Offloading zones created by the shock. ────────────────────────────── 7) XAUMO WEEKLY EXECUTION CHECKLIST ────────────────────────────── Use this to structure your own plan (NOT to auto-trade): BEFORE MONDAY OPEN: Mark your key Uploading zones (multi-week support clusters). Mark your key Offloading zones (multi-week distribution caps). Note the middle of the recent range — where “fair value” has been trading. EACH DAY (PRE-LONDON): Review overnight Asia flows: – Did Tokyo/Asia buy dips or sell rallies? – Any unusual RVOL / MegaBar activity? Check macro diary for the day (is it event-driven or purely technical?). PRE-NEW YORK (ESPECIALLY WED FOMC DAY): Re-assess: – Is gold closer to Uploading or Offloading? – Are DXY, SPX, and US10Y aligned with risk-on or risk-off? Decide which scenario (A/B/C/D) the market is closer to and what would invalidate that read. END OF WEEK: Where did the weekly close land? – Near highs → Offloading challenged or absorbed. – Near lows → Uploading stressed or broken. – Middle → range still dominant. Update your XAUMO Gate Map and redraw your higher-TF structure for the final weeks of Q4. ────────────────────────────── BOTTOM LINE FOR THE WEEK ────────────────────────────── • Environment: – Gold is in a high-altitude balance: big secular bull, but stuck between institutional Uploading and Offloading zones. – FOMC Minutes + global PMIs are the main catalysts for a range break or confirmation of continued balancing. • Practical XAUMO message: – Respect BOTH tails: a dovish surprise can fuel another push toward the highs, a hawkish surprise can drive a deeper retest of support. – Instead of predicting, let structure + volume + delta + sessions show you: “Where are they loading the truck?” vs “Where are they unloading it?” This whole report is for education, orientation, and planning — not for executing trades, not a substitute for your own risk management, ================================ 📘 EDUCATIONAL PRECISION MAP — XAUUSD (Next Week) Reference spot (Fri close): ~4,080 $/oz Recent extremes: low ~4,032 • highs ~4,215–4,250 ⚠️ Not signals. Use as study levels only. You own your risk. ──────────────────────── 1) “Shallow Dip” Accumulation Study ──────────────────────── Idea: market defends Friday’s lower zone and re-loads above 4,030. • Study ENTRY zone (buyers to watch): → 4,040 – 4,065 (just above the 4,032 low and round 4,050 handle) • STRUCTURAL invalidation for this idea: → H4 close below 4,010 (means that whole shallow support band failed, attention shifts to deeper zone). • EDUCATIONAL targets if this zone holds: → TP1 (mid-range): 4,120 – 4,135 (recent intraday balance / minor resistance) → TP2 (upper band test): 4,170 – 4,190 (cluster of recent daily closes / resistances) Risk logic: once you’re under 4,010, you’re no longer trading a “shallow dip”; you’re in deep-correction territory. ──────────────────────── 2) “Deep Dip” Accumulation Study ──────────────────────── Idea: shallow zone fails, market washes into the bigger structural support around 4,000. • Study ENTRY zone: → 3,980 – 4,005 (psychological 4,000 + early-November lows near 4,004–4,005) • STRUCTURAL invalidation: → Daily close below 3,950 (breaks prior swing structure; opens room toward mid-3,800s mentioned in some forecasts). • EDUCATIONAL targets if that zone absorbs selling: → TP1: 4,060 – 4,080 (back to value / ref area) → TP2: 4,120 – 4,140 (same mid-range resistance as in Scenario 1). Risk logic: below 3,950 you’re no longer “buying a dip in a strong trend”, you’re in candidate trend-change. ──────────────────────── 3) “Offloading Fade” — Range Sell Study ──────────────────────── Idea: big players keep distributing into strength near last week’s cap. • Study ENTRY zone (sellers to watch): → 4,185 – 4,215 (recent daily closes and intraday caps; multiple analyses flag 4,203–4,219 as key resistance) • STRUCTURAL invalidation: → H4 close above 4,245 (clears the rejection high / wick zone ~4,245–4,250). • EDUCATIONAL downside targets if sellers defend: → TP1: 4,140 – 4,150 (recent support/flip area before Friday’s drop) → TP2: 4,080 – 4,095 (current reference / Friday settlement band). Risk logic: if price accepts above 4,245 on closing basis, this “fade the top” idea is dead — you’re on the wrong side of a breakout. ──────────────────────── 4) “Breakout & Hold” Continuation Study ──────────────────────── Idea: market finally accepts above the rejection band and builds a new leg higher. • Trigger condition (not entry by itself): → H4 / Daily close above 4,245 with RVOL > 1 and no immediate full rejection. • Study ENTRY zone (post-break retest): → 4,230 – 4,245 (retest of broken resistance as support). • STRUCTURAL invalidation: → Close back inside / below 4,200 (failed breakout → bull trap, reverts to range or reversal). • EDUCATIONAL upside targets: → TP1: 4,285 – 4,300 (next projected resistance band from current S/R ladders). → TP2: 4,325 – 4,350 (extension based on recent daily ranges ~170–200 $/oz added above 4,170–4,190). Risk logic: if the breakout can’t hold 4,200 on a retest, treat it as distribution, not continuation. ──────────────────────── How to actually USE this (educationally) ──────────────────────── 1) Mark the four zones on your chart: • 4,040–4,065 • 3,980–4,005 • 4,185–4,215 • 4,230–4,245 2) For each touch next week, ask: • What is volume doing (normal / high RVOL / drying up)? • What is delta doing (aggressive buyers or sellers taking control)? • Are DXY and 10Y yields confirming the move or fading it? 3) Only THEN design your own trade plan (or stay flat). These levels are a **map**, not orders. 🏆 Winners trade with XAUMO indicators EDUCATIONAL ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
How did crude oil take over and start rising?Rebalancing of Fed policy expectations, weakening of dollar suppression The core inflation data in the US shows a downward trend. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December remains above 60%, and overly hawkish expectations have been partially corrected. The US dollar index is experiencing pressure near the 100 mark, and the momentum of its previous strength has weakened, reducing its suppression effect on crude oil. Historical data indicates that the negative correlation between the US dollar index and crude oil prices is more significant in volatile markets. If the US dollar declines next week, it will provide liquidity support for the rebound of oil prices. Next week, we will share the trading strategies for crude oil. buy：59.50-59.70 tp:60.50-60.70 sl:59.95
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAUUSD - Liquidity Compression Before Major Breakout?🌐 MARKET CONTEXT For the week of 17–21 November 2025, gold continues to move inside a wide H4 consolidation range, with two major liquidity extremes: Upper Liquidity Zone: 4218–4220 → 4332–4334 Lower Liquidity Zone: 3980–3978 → 3890–3888 1️⃣ H4 Sentiment Gold is trading below major H4 resistance, with no confirmed higher-timeframe bullish reversal yet. Recent H4 candles show clear liquidity engineering, signaling that Smart Money is accumulating orders before a strong directional move. 2️⃣ Market Psychology Slight risk-on environment, but gold retains safe-haven demand as the Dollar weakens. Institutional traders appear to be positioning ahead of the FOMC Minutes. 3️⃣ Overall H4 Bias Neutral → Bearish at the highs Bullish → Reversal potential near the lows Market likely continues: Upper liquidity sweep → drop → test low-demand zones → rebound. 📉 H4 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY) Market Structure H4 is in a descending structure, forming consistent Lower Highs. Recent swing highs remain at 4218–4220 and the untouched major high at 4332–4334. Liquidity Zones 4332–4334: Major Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) cluster, untouched for weeks. 3890–3888: Strong Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) cluster, respected multiple times. Order Blocks & Imbalances H4 Supply OB: 4330–4335 (untested). H4 Demand OB: 3890–3888 (multi-TF confluence). Large FVG between 3980–4040, likely to be filled. 🔑 H4 KEY PRICE ZONES 4332–4334 ▶️ Major H4 Supply – BSL Sweep Zone High-impact liquidity level. Price likely sweeps above before reversing strongly. 4218–4220 ▶️ Intraday Supply – Imbalance Fill Zone Minor swing high with pockets of liquidity. Consistent rejection in previous tests → ideal for quick scalp sells. 3980–3978 ▶️ H4 Intraday Demand – Scalp Buy Zone Repeated small rejections indicate active Smart Money accumulation. 3890–3888 ▶️ Major H4 Demand – Strong Low Cluster The strongest demand base on H4. A very high-probability bullish reversal zone. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (H4 Confirmation Required) 🔻 SELL SETUP 1 – Sweep & Drop (High-Probability) Entry: 4332–4334 Stoploss: 4339 TP1: 4300 TP2: 4220 TP3: 3980 Logic: Major liquidity sweep + Supply OB mitigation → strong reversal expected. 🔻 SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Supply Reject Entry: 4218–4220 Stoploss: 4226 TP1: 4185 TP2: 4120 TP3: 4040 Logic: Imbalance fill + weak high liquidity → fast rejection typical on H4. 🔺 BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday H4 Demand Entry: 3980–3978 Stoploss: 3972 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4080 TP3: 4218 Logic: SSL sweep + reaction from lower-range demand and FVG. 🔺 BUY SETUP 2 – Major H4 Reversal Zone (High-Probability) Entry: 3890–3888 Stoploss: 3882 TP1: 3925 TP2: 3980 TP3: 4120 / Open Logic: Major H4 demand with strong low structure → ideal for swing entries. 🧠 H4 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Focus on selling from high liquidity zones and buying from low liquidity zones. All entries require H4 or M30–H1 confirmation (wick rejection, BOS, CHoCH). Avoid trading inside the noisy mid-range 4040–4150. Expect strong volatility around FOMC Minutes. Patience is key—let liquidity be taken before entering. 🏁 CONCLUSION (H4 Bias Summary) The XAUUSD playbook for 17–21 November 2025 is built around four major Smart Money zones: 4332–4334 → High-probability SELL 4218–4220 → Scalp SELL 3980–3978 → Scalp BUY 3890–3888 → High-probability BUY These zones represent areas where Smart Money is most active, giving the best risk-to-reward setups for the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alicee_Trader
2
Gold The Week Ahead Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 4147 Resistance Level 2: 4207 Resistance Level 3: 4243 Support Level 1: 4033 Support Level 2: 4009 Support Level 3: 3985 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Trade Nation
Where traders tend to failAfter 25 years playing this game, it is incredible to see the same issues today for new traders as there have always been. In a nutshell, OVERCOMPLICATION!!! New traders will often go looking for as much information as possible, adding instruments, screens, indicators, timeframes, news feeds. Anything looking for an edge. Go back over 100 years and Charles Dow - yes, the same Dow behind the #DJI (The industrial average) laid down a very simple framework for understanding the markets. I have written several posts here on @TradingView about Dow Theory here's one of them. Inside this post, you will see this image. For some of you familiar with either Elliott Wave principles or Wyckoff Techniques, you might recognise some elements of an image like this. Both Richard Wyckoff and Ralph Elliott were onto something. But over the years these techniques have been "added to" creating hybrids and then assumptions are often made. Complex is key... Or so they think. When you try and trade an Elliott wave cycle on a 5-minute chart on some instrument that has not been fully adopted by institutional players, you are asking for trouble. Psychology is more important in trading than, quite possibly 99.9% of other aspects of trading. So whilst people tend to add to the technical analysis part of trading, they often ignore the psychology controlling the market. I am not talking about psychology in terms of simple risk management and high probability moves. I am talking about the piece of the psychology studies that controls the masses. Sentiment is one thing, the psychology that drives sentiment is where the failing and struggling traders simply ignore. I wrote a post - trying to add some humour. Here's a Simpson's post. ========================================= Let me give you an example; People tend to use simple off the shelf indicators; now when millions use the same tools. Why is it that 90% + of traders still lose money? Here is a snapshot of the MACD and RSI side by side. Now look closely at the price action. What additional info are you getting from these lagging indicators (rhetorical question). . Let's look at this in a simple way; no indicators, clean chart, Dow Theory in focus. When price moves up you will often see accumulation, then as price reaches it's next area of interest and starts to pullback (oversimplified) you will see, even on smaller timeframes as this is not always obvious on the same timeframe. a distribution pattern. Overall, the price action has created a simple Elliott Wave move from a zero point, up to one and pushing down for a two. Where this gets interesting, and simple... Is the psychology behind it, The momentum up is often created by early buyers (yes, state the obvious) these buyers have been accumulating. Then, as retail jumps in because RSI says so. The price pulls back. This is often deep into the zone it just left, retail often using small timeframes and tight stops - 5 pips, 10 pips. So you often see a PB of 11 pips (example) and you get that feeling of "why does it always hit my stop and then go in my desired direction"? The momentum from taking these stops, then goes on to create an impulsive 2-3 move in EW terms. This is stops becoming opposing orders. Thus creating momentum to break the high of the 1 move. New stops from shorts get triggered and momentum traders enter positions. All of which fuels a larger rally. Now, when you break this down. You can draw ranges and operate inside these ranges to know the general bias. And just like that, you are on the right side of the market more often than not. Here's a more detailed post on this aspect. To give an example here: The larger swing creates a range. An obvious high and low as marked in this image. Then as the move inside happens; Think Dow Theory; The market is giving a very clear clue. We just took out a fresh high and the market is seeking liquidity. That internal move will have a fractal move inside; let's call that a trigger move. Keep in mind, the larger trend does not change it's directional bias until it breaks the old low or the fresh high. Now, although the price does not have to. The price can pull all the way back to the low and not change the larger trend. Once you get to grips with this, you will stop trying to predict the market and instead work with price action. Less, really, is more! Have a great weekend!!! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
15
Gold: buyers defend the key demand zoneGold has reached the major demand zone at 4026–3993 — the same area where strong bullish reactions appeared multiple times in the past. The chart shows several reversal structures forming right inside this zone, while the price retests previous liquidity sweeps and a fair-value imbalance created before the last upward impulse. Technically, gold remains inside a local descending channel, but the main focus is on the reaction from the demand zone. This level is supported by previous BOS signals, high-volume reactions and a clear accumulation base. EMA lines remain above the price, confirming the short-term bearish impulse, but zones like this often become the starting point for medium-term reversals. Fundamentally, gold stays under pressure due to a strong USD and Fed expectations; however, macro-risks and safe-haven demand continue to prevent a deeper decline. If buyers hold 4026–3990, a recovery toward the major supply zone at 4210–4268 becomes highly probable. Tactically: the main scenario is to look for confirmations to go long inside the demand zone. First target: 4170–4180. Main target: 4210–4268. If the zone breaks down, gold may head toward 3950. If demand holds, the next impulse may come much faster than the market expects — gold often moves sharply once liquidity is collected.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestWorld_777
Gold - Next move🟡 GOLD – NEXT MOVE (Forecast) This chart is screaming HTF correction vibe, lining up for a bigger rocket-launch leg once price finishes doing its clean-up job below. Let’s break it down 👇 🧱 1. Strong Resistance Above – The Big Ceiling Price got smacked from that external BSL zone up top. That level is no joke — heavy sell orders sitting there, and the market reacted exactly as expected. Think of that zone like the bouncer at the club: ➡️ “Not tonight bro.” So yeah — rejection ✔️ 🔻 2. Current Move = Sweepy Pullback Energy Price is now dripping down in a corrective way. Nothing impulsive. Nothing aggressive. Just a classic “let me grab liquidity before I send it” pullback. We've already seen internal sell-side taken… But the real bag sits lower. 👇 🧊 3. Strong Support Below – The Bounce Zone That external SSL + demand block + trendline confluence zone is STACKED. This is the place where market makers love to refill the engine before a major up-leg. Expect price to: ✔️ Sweep liquidity ✔️ Tap the demand ✔️ Tag trendline ✔️ Rebalance the inefficiency ➡️ THEN send it 🚀 Basically… “dip for the drip.” 📈 4. What’s Likely Next? (The Forecast) Here’s the clean sequence: 🔻 Step 1 — Price dips into strong support Red arrow on your chart nails the idea. Expect that slow grind down, maybe a wick flush to catch late sellers. 🔄 Step 2 — Reversal formation Small accumulation Fake break Wick trap All the usual suspects. 🚀 Step 3 — Explosive rally back toward major resistance Once demand holds, expect a fast, impulsive, and clean leg right back into the 4,300+ resistance zone. This is where wave traders, SMC traders, and Elliott heads all agree: BIG MOVE LOADING. Wave (iii) also aligns perfectly with this. 🧭 5. Summary (Trader Friendly) 🔥 HTF = bullish (correction before continuation) 🧊 STF = bearish pullback into demand 🛒 Ideal Buy Zone = strong support + SSL 🎯 Target = 4,300 – 4,350 🚀 Bias = bullish after the sweep ⚠️ Avoid buying early — let the liquidity grab play out
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jibzy_Trades
GOLD Is Going Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 4,087.79. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,161.33 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Do you want to be a Millionaire ?Hi Guys, This bull run has been very unusual with Bitcoin reaching record highs while the altcoins are watching from the sidelines, considering Gold,Stocks, and pretty much every other assets are At ATH and the current AI bubble (ticking time bomb) I think all markets are due to crash very soon! So I've been comparing current BTC chart with all types of other assets and I came to the conclusion that Nvidia 2000-2010 chart looks very similar to what we have in Bitcoin right now! Is Bitcoin following Nvidia's (Dot Com) bubble crash ? Both charts looks extreamly similar And Bitcoin has already broke below the weekly 50MA and the current chart pattern looks like a huge Head & shoulders are forming on the monthly period. Even Michel Burry is shorting the AI bubble right now and the crypto community detected a suspiciouse activity on Microstrategy's Bitcoin wallets! So I think this is it boys ..its the opportunity of the century to achieve financial freedom and I refuse to live in denial and "HODL" like what most of us did in the previouse bear markets. Feel free to leave a comment and let me know what you think about this idea !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Crypto-Shrimp
GOLD Local Short! Sell! GOLD is sliding away from the horizontal supply zone, with bearish displacement hinting at continuation toward the next liquidity pocket below. Any minor pullback may simply serve as distribution before the markdown resumes. Time Frame 1H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
XAU/USD | Gold Faces Pullback After Breaking $4200, What’s Next?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after breaking above the $4200 resistance, the price continued to rise and reached $4244 before reacting negatively from the OTE zone, correcting down to $4184. Gold is currently trading around $4195, with an FVG zone between $4141–$4181 that might get filled soon. There’s also a key demand area between $4098–$4125 to watch closely. If gold manages to hold above $4181 without breaking below, we could see another strong bullish move toward $4269. Monitor price reactions carefully at all mentioned levels! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
21
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please check out our updated Weekly Chart Route Map, featuring updated revised key levels after completion of our last long term weekly chart idea for precise level-to-level tracking. Price action has successfully filled EMA5 detachment (highlighted with a circle) and we are now seeing price play between 4059 (resistance) and 3821(support). To determine the next directional move, we’ll need a decisive test and break of either boundary level. On the broader horizon, 3006 stands as the long-range pivotal swing zone, which may come into play if a major correction unfolds. 🔹 Note: The key distinction between a retracement range and a swing range is that swing ranges typically produce larger bounces and wider price reactions compared to standard retracement ranges. We’ll continue to update this outlook throughout the week as the structure develops. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
18