My short followers cheer for the victoryThis is the trading idea I provided in my previous article. Clearly, the gold price movement has been in line with my expectations and has started to decline, earning us a considerable amount of profit from this short-term trade. www.tradingview.com Seven hours ago, I once again suggested opening a short position at 3695. The market has now dropped to around 3680, and we have once again reaped a good amount of profit.
During this round of strong and rapid rise in gold prices, there are traders who have made considerable profits by following the trend, while there are also many who have held short positions against the trend. I believe the latter situation is quite common. Some have already given up halfway, while others are still struggling. So, no matter which situation you are in now, you can follow me and share your entry point in the comment section. I will analyze and reply to each one, helping you turn losses into profits. Welcome to join my free camp.
TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Commodities
GOLD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and we are
Bullish biased so as the price
Is already making a rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 3680$ a further bullish
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Short: Awaiting Rejection from the Supply LineHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been defined by a broadening wedge pattern, signaling a period of expanding volatility. This structure has been formed by a series of higher highs and lower lows, with key pivot points establishing the diverging supply and demand lines. This indicates a fierce but structured battle between buyers and sellers within a clear range.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this wedge. Following a strong rally from the demand line, the price is now directly testing the descending supply line. This is a high-liquidity area where seller initiative has previously overwhelmed buyers, making it a key decision point for the market.
The primary scenario anticipates a rejection from this supply line, continuing the rotational pattern within the wedge. The expectation is that sellers will defend this upper boundary and initiate a new downward swing back towards support. A failure to break out higher would confirm the short-term corrective scenario. The take-profit is therefore set at 3595, targeting the upper part of the first major demand zone. Manage your risk.
Zinc & Copper Correlation is very healthyZinc and copper markets are closely related because both metals are used heavily in construction, manufacturing, and electrical applications, so demand often rises and falls together with industrial activity.
They’re also frequently mined from the same deposits, meaning supply-side disruptions can affect both. As a result, prices for zinc and copper tend to show a high degree of correlation, moving in similar cycles tied to global economic growth and infrastructure.
Comparing the Charts (Zinc on the left on a Monhtly TF), we see that Zinc has a lot of room left to the upside. Because it's goal is to go back to balance, which is the Centerline.
And because of the close correlation, I think the Chart of Copper HG1! is still OK.
So, in Copper, the Centerline target is still in play.
OIL Trade Insights📲 NFX TRADE ALERT
📊 TRADE TYPE: SWING TRADE
♻ PAIR: GBEBROKERS:USOIL
⬇️ SELL AT MARKET
📝 ORDER TYPE: MARKET ORDER
👨🏻💻 ENTRY : $64.45
⭕️ SL: 65.450
✅ TP: $62.00
📝 REASONS FOR TRADE: H1 Confirmation of Price Rejection at Resistance - SR Holds📈
Multiple reversal candles spotted on H4 around supply zone, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Pay close attention to US Inventory report later the morning.
I expect report to be bearish for oil given the high supply as seen last week.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 17 SeptI am looking for a bullish setup on Gold ahead of FOMC, with my buy zone placed at 3669–3671, which aligns with previous support and a liquidity grab area. My stop-loss is set just below the recent swing low at 3658, keeping risk contained. If data comes in favor, I expect price to rally toward the 3703+ zone, with potential extension toward all-time highs as momentum builds. The setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile, and given the rejection from lower levels, I’ll be watching closely for fundamentals to confirm continuation to the upside.
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,678.55 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Is Gold about to confirm a double top on the 4H chart?
This pattern could mark the start of a short-term correction, but I’ll only take action if my trading system confirms all the right variables.
Gold has rallied strongly, but momentum looks to be fading. A double top is forming, and with RSI divergence building, this setup has my attention.
Some of the things my system would need to confirm are:
- H4 candle to close in the entry range
- That candle must close with a specific closure rate
- RSI needs to create another divergence
- Lower volume ideally, though this may be exempted due to upcoming data events
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 4.4
Entry: 3 703.0
Stop Loss: 3 719.7
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3 640.4
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3 616.5
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading double tops, I project the distance from the highest point to the neckline downward to identify profit targets. This keeps my trade plan systematic and objective.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me to catch the next update and share your thoughts — I’d love to hear how you’re viewing Gold right now.
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3674.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3669.3
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3685.6
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold short-term support levels to watch for FOMCInitial support comes in at $3655/50 area, followed by $3564, before the focus turns to the more significant $3,500 level. Will we see a dip to any of these levels today, and get a bounce? Well, a lot depends on the FOMC.
Yesterday saw sold and stock averages both pulled back in unison from record highs ahead of the FOMC rate decision, suggesting the move was driven by profit-taking. The dollar’s renewed drop against the yen and yuan today suggests the gold selling may be limited and the metal could even rally to a new high if the Fed turns out to be a little more on the dovish side of things today.
From a macro point of view, today's housing market data disappointed with both housing starts and building permits fall. This comes on the back of retail sales data from yesterday, which rose more than expected, but does it matter? Well, the retails data suggests it is not all doom and gloom out there, but this is probably too little too late to prevent a rate cut today. The Fed has clearly signalled it will trim rates and everyone expects them to do so. But the recent dollar selling was never about this week’s likely rate cut. It was all about whether we will get one or two more cuts before the year is out. Well, the jury is still out on that, as surely one retail sales report is unlikely to sway the Fed in one or the other direction. So, from a rate cut perspective, traders may take the retail sales beat in their stride and continue to buy dips in foreign currencies and gold.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to hold super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC
📊 Market Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently broken out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is currently trading around 3,684–3,690.
Market is in bullish structure after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS).
However, imbalances remain below current price, suggesting a potential retracement before continuation.
Liquidity pools are forming above 3,721–3,725, creating the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near FOMC.
🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS.
Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited).
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-side liquidity at 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone).
Sell-side liquidity around 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone).
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone:
3,686.88 (immediate resistance)
3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone)
Support / Buy Zones:
3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest)
3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone)
✅ Priority Scenario – BUY
Entry 1
BUY Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest)
SL: 3,661
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 2
BUY Limit: 3,656 – 3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 3
BUY Limit: 3,626 – 3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity)
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade)
If price reaches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before retesting lower buy zones → watch for rejection patterns.
SELL if bearish confirmation appears.
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Expect high volatility during FOMC – traps around liquidity zones are likely.
Reduce lot size before news release to mitigate risk.
Stick to confirmation entries (avoid blind buys/sells).
Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41.788 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41.386.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold All Time High Continue – Next Target?Gold is currently trading around $3688, just above the 3675–3680 breakout zone, which has now turned into a crucial support. Price is moving within an upward channel, but the recent breakout above equal highs and the labeling of a “weak high” suggest that buyers may still push towards the 3740–3750 resistance area before facing stronger rejection. A decisive break above the $3,700–3,750 zone would open the way to targets in the $3,800+ region and eventually toward $4,000 if the Fed proves dovish and ETF/central-bank demand remains strong.
However, failure to hold above 3680 would shift momentum back towards the lower channel, where immediate supports lie at 3565, 3530, and 3498. A deeper breakdown below these levels would open the door for further downside towards the 3440–3400 zone. Any surprise hawkish Fed commentary, a meaningful USD recovery, or a quick drop in inflation expectations could trigger sharper mean-reversion.
Buy Zone & Buy Trigger:
- Buy Zone: 3670 – 3680 area
- Buy Trigger: A clean breakout and 4H close above 3700 will be a buy trigger.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 16Gold Technical Analysis
4-Hour Support: 3656
1-Hour Support: 3675
30-Minute Support: 3685
Technical Analysis: The gold market opened around 3642 on Monday, then retreated, reaching a daily low of $3625.9/oz. It then experienced a strong upward trend, reaching a new all-time high of 3685 during the US trading session, before entering a sideways trend. It hit a new high of 3698 on Tuesday.
The daily chart shows that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in extreme overbought territory near 80, indicating continued strong gold buying. From an upside perspective, 3700 is a short-term hurdle to overcome; a break above this level would open the door to the 3750/3800 area.
As for support, if spot gold prices fall further, the previous high of 3674 will provide some support. If this level is broken, gold prices could test support around 3656. During NY time, we'll focus on a possible downward correction after breaking through 3700. However, this doesn't necessarily mean we're bearish. Focus on support at 3675-3658. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 3675. My personal recommendation: Buy on dips!
Observe the reaction near support levels, and continue to be bullish after any downward correction. Potential buying areas:
BUY: 3687-3682
BUY: 3665-3660
WTI OIL This is the bigger picture.WTI Oil (USOIL) is currently on the 2nd straight green week ahead of today's Fed Rate Decision. The long-term pattern though is has been a Channel Down since August 2022 and until it gets invalidated, the trend will remain bearish.
In fact, it has made 3 emphatic rejections on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) since August 12 2024. The 1W RSI sequence since then, resembles the pattern of 2023, where WTI found a Higher Lows Support on the 1W MA200. The last such contact was on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before a last rebound to the top of the Channel Down.
That is exactly what we are expecting now, with the new 0.786 Fib waiting at $59.50. That is our medium-term Target.
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Crude Oil Pivot at $65 | Break & Hold Fuels UptrendLast Sunday Opec+ agrees further oil output boost by 137K barrels per day, but less than Sep / Aug output, when market open it went higher.
How to manage short-term risk, in this case opportunity with CME Group weekly energy options on such a scheduled announcement?
Video version:
Crude Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: CL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.01 per barrel = $10.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
Gold corrects ahead of rate cut (bullish) Gold is rebounding from trend resistance ahead of the new week. The market was not ready to buy at high prices ahead of a possible Fed interest rate cut. Under pressure from sellers, the price of gold is falling to retest trend support.
The price attraction zone is support at 3657-3646. Below this area, there is an accumulation of trader positions that may be liquidated before the price begins to rise.
As for the Fed, rates are likely to be cut, but it will be necessary to monitor what Powell says about future policy. If he supports 2-3 interest rate cuts, gold may continue its global growth...
COFFEE At Crossroads: Up or down?COFFEE has seen a strong impulse to the upside. But guess what? Now price is being coiling into a tight triangle. In this case, there are two scenarios possible, and taking into account that the market conditions are bullish, I am more inclined to say that the price will break to the upside of the triangle formation.
Do you agree? Drop a comment below. Engaging with the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and grow as traders.
Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts. Trade safely 😊
GOLD → The market depends on the mood of the FED. Rate cuts FX:XAUUSD , after reaching 3700, entered a correction phase triggered by profit-taking ahead of important market news—the Fed's interest rate meeting.
Gold is falling and testing 3660-3650 after updating its ATH to 3703 ahead of the Fed's decision. All eyes are on Powell's forecasts and comments on future policy.
Fundamentally, a 25 bp rate cut is already priced in. Much more important is whether the Fed will hint at more than two cuts before the end of the year.
The market is expecting aggressive easing due to the risks of stagflation (weak labor market + persistent inflation).
If the Fed takes a dovish stance (three rate cuts), gold could hit new records.
If it is hawkish, i.e., a surprise (only one or two rate cuts), the dollar will strengthen and gold will correct
Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3686, 3700
Support levels: 3657, 3646.5, 3637
Technically, the further scenario for gold depends solely on the mood of the Fed and Powell's comments. The market still hopes to hear more positive hints and, before that, is forming a deep correction to the liquidity zones indicated on the chart in order to buy cheaper, if the situation allows...
Best regards, R. Linda!
DeGRAM | GOLD under the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD rejected the 3,690–3,700 resistance area and broke below the channel support, signaling fading bullish momentum.
● The structure now favors continuation lower, with short-term pullbacks likely capped below 3,678 before targeting the 3,664 and 3,638 supports.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold remains pressured as firm U.S. yields and hawkish Fed expectations support the dollar, while easing safe-haven demand limits upside momentum.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 3,678; targets 3,664 → 3,638. Invalidation on a close above 3,690.
-------------------
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Gold: Will It Hold 3,675 for a Bounce?Hello everyone,
Looking at OANDA:XAUUSD today, after reaching a peak of 3,690, gold is experiencing a slight pullback, leaving behind a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3,675–3,680. I see this as the nearest support level. The Ichimoku cloud remains upward, indicating that the bullish trend is intact. However, with significant news coming up, the chances of some sharp volatility are high.
The market is eyeing the Fed’s decision. If FOMC cuts rates by 25bps, the USD is likely to weaken, and gold tends to benefit from that. However, I’m also mindful that August Retail Sales exceeded expectations, which raises concerns that the Fed could be more hawkish, meaning they may keep rates high for longer, leading to short-term downside pressure.
Therefore, I’m considering two possible scenarios: if gold holds above 3,675–3,680, we could see a bounce back to test 3,700–3,710. However, if it breaks below 3,660, the risk of a deeper correction towards 3,630 increases.
Overall, I lean towards a scenario where gold tests 3,675–3,680 before bouncing up, but I’ll be extremely cautious around the news release.
What do you think? Could gold break through 3,700 in this move, or will it continue to chop around? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Price Analysis XAUUSD – September 17, 2025 (H1 Chart)Gold (XAUUSD) recently broke out of its ascending channel and reached a peak around 3,690 – 3,700 USD/oz, but this level was strongly rejected. The market is now shaping an ABC corrective structure, signaling a potential bearish wave in the short term.
1. Technical Outlook
Trendline break: The bullish channel has been violated, showing weakening momentum.
Key resistance: 3,690 – 3,700 (previous top, highlighted in orange).
Immediate support: 3,645 – 3,650 (wave A test zone).
Major support: 3,600 – 3,580 (wave C target area).
2. Indicators
EMA (short-term): Price is trading below the EMA, confirming bearish pressure.
RSI (H1): Exiting overbought levels and pointing downward, supporting further decline.
Fibonacci retracement: The 50–61.8% zone (3,600 – 3,580) aligns with the projected wave C completion, making it a crucial decision point.
3. Trading Scenarios
Primary scenario (bearish bias):
Expect a technical pullback toward 3,675 – 3,680 (wave B).
Look for short entries around this zone.
Take profit at 3,600 – 3,580 (wave C).
Stop loss above 3,695.
Alternative scenario (bullish breakout):
A clean break above 3,700 will invalidate the bearish setup.
Next bullish targets: 3,735 – 3,750.
4. Strategy Notes
Given the rejection at major resistance and weakening momentum, sell on rally setups are preferred. Risk management is crucial—avoid holding positions blindly through high-impact news events.
- Keep a close eye on the 3,675 – 3,680 resistance area for confirmation before entering. Save this analysis if you find it useful, as it outlines today’s key intraday trading roadmap.