Get started

Commodities

EURUSD, (1H chart pattern).EURUSD, (1H chart pattern). Clear double top (“1st top” and “2nd top”) around 1.1900 Price is extended above the Ichimoku cloud → pullback / correction likely Me’ve already marked downside target zones, which makes sense Logical downside targets Based on structure + support levels: 🎯 Target 1 (conservative) ≈ 1.1800 Prior consolidation area Psychological round number Likely first reaction / partial profit zone 🎯 Target 2 (main target) ≈ 1.1680 – 1.1700 Strong previous support Near cloud base / value area Matches measured pullback after impulsive move In short TP1: 1.1800 TP2: 1.1680–1.1700 If price breaks and holds above 1.1900, the double-top idea is invalid and bearish targets are off. If my want, I can also: Suggest stop-loss placement Do a risk-reward breakdown Or map bullish targets if it breaks higher 📈
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
1
Nat Gas: At The Moon - $6.. Now Next Stop $7?! NYMEX:NG1! NYMEX:NGG2026 Well it's been 4 days since my last post, In my previous post I put forward a target of $6 for the prompt month NG contract . Now that we've blown through that target with a strong weekend open, the next question is where do we go from these historic Winter 2026 highs?? Many NG bears, would argue everything is already priced in, and there's no more gas left in the tank. However, if you look back a year from now, you'll realize we're finally at the bullish levels that were the BASE CASE for what we thought the supply & demand picture would like for 2026. This means we are finally at the expected value that markets had anticipated, 12 months ago, not that we are OVERVALUED. Now BEARS are supposed be hibernating during the winter, but for some the recent historic rally has caused them to come out of hibernation. Well... there's a reason bears try to sleep through the winter.... it's because you don't chase penny's... when there's dollars to be made!! Right now you should only be taking tactical & quick shorts. This rally still has room to run, and you don't want to step in front of this Bull Train!! From my charts & fundamental insights, I believe our next target for a session close will be $6.55 then $6.99, and that the February 2026 contract will expire above $6. Looking at the charts for the front month, you can clearly see an upward directional channel that's now been established. The 30 minute ichi cloud has been providing upward support for NG. The 30min ichi wave targets are lower than the 1hour ichi cloud, and at first if you're looking at the lower time frame, it might seem that the near term movement is to the downside, below the lower upward channel support line & the next wave targets take us lower. Howeverrrrrrr, if you look at the 1hour ichi, you can clearly see a support cloud above the upward channels bottom support. The next wave targets on the hourly seem to imply, that we can reach $6.55 to $6.65, and if those targets are smashed through next resistance is at $6.99 at the top of the upward channel. The one hope for Bears, that may lead to consolidation & accumulation at or below the $6 level, before another move higher past $6.30 : "..analysts said potential reductions in LNG exports and pipeline deliveries to Mexico could help offset some of the tightening. “Another potential wrinkle is how much LNG exports may decline as a result of Fern,” said Pat Rau, NGI’s senior vice president of research and analysis. “Back during Winter Storm Uri, LNG exports fell as well. That meant the overall supply/demand picture wasn’t just lost supply, there was some curtailed demand to help balance things a bit.””-NGI Now, taking the above quote into consideration... I know you must be skeptical of a continuation of this breakout, but please refer to my previous post of why this rally had legs to begin with to take out the $6 level. But to reach the $7 level, I'll provide a few more quotes below, of why this historic Winter Freeze will keep the bull train going strong down the tracks. A few fundamental insights on why the cold weather in the U.S. has been an ignition switch for NG prices for the weekend open, quotes provided from industry news source Natural Gas Intelligence: “I think this storm has all the elements to make it a major risk on the level of Elliott and Uri,” said NGI’s Dan Spangler, senior director of analytics. “There’s going to be widespread cold in nearly all major producing areas, so there will definitely be a freeze-off impact.” "Wood Mackenzie said Friday that average U.S. natural gas production month-to-date is down to 109.2 Bcf/d, “reflecting the impact of supply-related outages.” The consultancy’s freeze-off projections for the final two weeks of January jumped 9.5 Bcf on Thursday to 138.8 Bcf. That would be an all-time high if realized, breaking the 118.7 Bcf record set in February 2021 when Uri hit.” "When Uri struck in mid-February 2021, LNG feed gas flows slowed to a trickle. Deliveries fell 87% to 1.3 Bcf/d from above 10 Bcf/d at the start of the month, Wood Mackenzie data show." “Prices still took off back then, of course,” Rau said, “but the impact may have been even worse if LNG hadn’t served as a demand destruction vehicle to help counter some of the lost production.” "Even so, Fern may not stress the Texas power grid to the same degree as Uri, according to RBN Energy LLC analyst John Abeln. The expected zone of extreme cold during Fern “does not extend as far south across Texas” as it did during Uri, Abeln said, and the storm is forecast to move through the state much more quickly. Temperatures in Dallas are expected to rise above freezing by Tuesday, compared with a much longer stretch below freezing during Uri. “The sustained deep freeze that exhausted storage and led to equipment failures is likely to be much less severe this time around,” Abeln said. If deep snow materializes, frigid temperatures linger and production freeze-offs mount, February natural gas “could rally to the $7.500 area” in a highly bullish scenario, Yawger added. Exceptional storage withdrawals are in the cards as well, with most analysts now looking for a pull far north of 300 Bcf for the last week of the month. “The chatter around the natural gas space is a storage draw of over 350 Bcf or greater,” Yawger said. “There have only ever been four draws of 300 Bcf or greater in the history” of federal storage data.
NYMEX:NGG2026Long
by TX_MicrosTrader
3
Gold long term targetsAs I personally think we will see gold hitting 5600$! Based on what? Well this is why I think what I think ! My first target hit long ago(as you can see in the image) and I sold all my Long term position already...Sadly. I honestly thought price would have retraced a bit but instead it didn't even stop. This strongly convince me , now that we have created a monthly FVG above 0.75 DRT level, that price will retrace in it and that will give me an advantage to open a light swing trade to last target 5600$. Check it out and see if you like the idea.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Antonio_Cirrincione
XAUUSD (Gold) – 30M Trendline Support & Breakout ContinuationPrice is holding above the rising trendline and support zone, forming a bullish continuation structure. A successful hold or breakout above the range opens the path toward higher targets. Immediate Support: 4960 – 4975 Range High / Resistance: 4985 – 4990 First Target: 5025 – 5045 Extended Target: 5070 – 5100 Bullish bias remains valid above trendline support. Look for retest confirmation or clean breakout before entries and manage risk accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XauusdMarketNavigator
18
XAGUSD (Silver) 3H — chart pattern...XAGUSD (Silver) 3H — chart pattern. Strong impulsive bullish breakout Price above trendline + above Ichimoku cloud No nearby resistance until the upper range 🎯 Upside Targets Current price: ~103.4 ✅ Target 1 (TP1 – conservative) 105.80 – 106.00 Psychological level + minor structure pause Good spot to secure partials 🎯 Target 2 (TP2 – main target) 110.50 – 112.00 Matches my marked target point Measured move from the last consolidation leg High-liquidity zone from prior range expansion 🚀 Extension (if momentum stays aggressive) 115.00 Round number + trend acceleration target ❌ Invalidation / Pullback Zone Bullish bias holds as long as price stays above 98.50–99.00 Deeper retrace support: 96.00 (top of cloud) Summary: Bias = bullish continuation Best target = 110–112 zone 🎯
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
7
USDJPY 4H chart pattern ...USDJPY 4H chart pattern . Context (quick read): Clean breakdown below the rising trendline Strong impulsive bearish candle → structure break Price is slicing through the prior demand / consolidation zone (~156.3–156.7) 🎯 Downside Targets Primary target (TP1): 155.20 – 155.00 Nearest liquidity + prior swing lows Logical pause / partial take-profit zone Extended target (TP2): 154.50 – 154.30 Equal lows + liquidity sweep area Matches the “target point” marked on my chart If momentum stays strong (TP3): 153.80 – 153.50 Next clean demand from previous structure ❌ Invalidation / Caution Bearish bias weakens if price reclaims and holds above ~156.80 Strong bullish rejection from 155.0 would suggest short covering Summary: Bias = bearish continuation Best target = 154.5 area 🎯
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
1
Gold breakout supported at 4957The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 4957 – a key level from the previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 4957 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 5242 – initial resistance 5350 – psychological and structural level 5495 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 4957 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 4862 – minor support 4737 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4957. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Trade Nation
Silver bullish breakout supported at 9900The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 9900 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 9900 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 11200 – initial resistance 11617 – psychological and structural level 12070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 9900 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 9468 – minor support 9010 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 9900. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by Trade Nation
WARNING!!! 19 Year Dollar Channel is Now Broken!Trading Fam, The title is NOT clickbait. If you’ve been following me for any length of time, you’ll know I have been warning you about this exact moment for some time. We’ve had many signs. Many clues. But the price of gold and silver rising exponentially was our crystal ball. And now, price movement on the U.S. dollar has confirmed to us that the dollar will continue its descent. For the first time in 19 years, the dollar has dropped from its ascending channel. The price of everything is about to increase. Be prepared. Let’s take a look at our chart. In the upper rectangle, you’ll see the U.S. dollar on the daily. We have existed inside this channel for 19 years. And for 8 months now, we’ve been consistently hammering away at the bottom of our channel, which has been acting as strong support. 19 years’ worth of strong support. Today, we finally confirmed a break below this support. Two times in the past, once in July of last year and once in Sept., we did break the bottom of the channel. But we received no confirmation. We were looking for a lower low closing candle, but we never received that, and somehow we escaped back into our “safe” zone, the channel. Today, the break from our channel is looking like it will be confirmed. Yes, we do have to wait and see where our candle will close. But the reason I am confident this is our move is mainly because of that overhead trendline (white) coming all the way from 1983, drawn through a couple of tops in 2001, and extended through today. This will now act as major resistance. And it intersects almost precisely with the bottom of our 19-year channel! This is not good. It means the price of everything is about to inflate even more than it already has. Any student of monetary history will know that all fiat currency always only ever ends in hyper-inflationary recession/depression. I’m not saying we are at that point yet. But maybe we are? Or is this time different? Whatever the case may be, we can’t cling to hopium to preserve our cash. We must take steps to hedge against this massive deterioration of our dollar that will continue to occur. So, what do we do? Where do we go from here? My suggestion is to concentrate on acquiring assets that the FED cannot print! This would include things like physical gold and silver. I have long been a proponent of the 4 “G’s” in investing/hedging strategy. Each “G” is symbolic of a larger class of commodities that will do well to keep one safe in both times of inflationary pressures as well as deflationary pressures. The 4 “G’s” are these: Gold - anything categorized as precious metals Ground - real estate providing tangible value and income potential Guns - again, not literal. So, don’t let this scare you. But to keep the alliteration alive, guns stand for anything physical that can be used to protect your wealth. Usually, this comes in the form of something metal. Whether that be a safe, a tractor, or an iron tool that is hard to get, these tools can be used to protect your property, your precious metals, and anything else that is considered of value. Some may interpret this to be defensive type stocks. Gas - energy related stocks and investments How you acquire the above-listed and by what means is entirely up to you. But I don’t think you can go wrong. In the great depression, these categories saved people. In any sort of inflationary recession/depression, they are also most likely to do the same, and they will always hedge against a currency devaluation and an economy that can no longer be controlled. ✌️Stew
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
NG: Natural Gas Surge as the Polar Vortex Tests the Upper Range Market Overview and Key Drivers Natural gas futures are among the most seasonally sensitive products in the commodity markets, with prices largely driven by predictable demand cycles and unpredictable weather shocks. Demand typically begins to build in late summer, with prices often finding seasonal lows between July and August before rallying into September and October as the market prices in winter heating demand. Volatility generally accelerates from November through February, when cold weather events, storage draws, and forecast revisions can rapidly shift sentiment. As winter demand fades, prices often soften into March and April, followed by a weaker period in May and June as heating demand subsides and storage injections resume. Beyond seasonality, traders closely monitor weekly EIA storage reports, temperature forecasts measured through heating degree days, production trends, and LNG export flows. Short term price discovery is frequently driven by changes in weather models, while medium term direction is shaped by whether storage levels and production trends confirm or contradict seasonal expectations. Natural gas does not maintain a consistent correlation with other energy products, as pricing is driven more by regional supply and demand than global macro flows. That said, broader risk sentiment and energy sector positioning can still influence short term price behavior. Volatility remains elevated, especially during winter, when forecast changes can reprice the market quickly. Over the past week, natural gas prices reacted sharply to weather driven headlines. A polar vortex warning across large parts of the United States triggered a surge in short term demand expectations, leading to an aggressive upside move. This rally pushed price into the upper portion of the broader multi-year range. What the market has done • The market remains within a larger multi-year range, with clearly defined weekly resistance in the 5.8 to 6.0 area and weekly support near the 3.2 area. • Since the end of winter in 2025, price has respected a block step trend down, consistently rotating lower after each failed rally attempt. • The market began its seasonal rally in September, driven by expectations of increased winter heating demand and tightening balances. • Sellers responded aggressively at the start of December at offer block 2, auctioning price lower and pushing the market back toward the 3.2 weekly support area. • In the past week, a polar vortex weather warning across the United States triggered a sharp upside spike, driving price toward the 5.6 area, aligning with offer block 1 near the top of the multi-year range and directly into the March 2025 mVAH. What to expect in the coming weeks The key level to monitor remains the 5.0 area, which aligns with daily level 1, the March mVAL, and the April mVAH. This zone is likely to act as the primary decision point for both buyers and sellers as the winter season progresses. Bullish scenario • If the market holds above the previous week’s close at 5.278, continued momentum could carry price higher toward the 6.0 area. • The 6.0 level aligns with weekly resistance and the upper boundary of the multi year range. • Sellers are expected to respond aggressively in this area, potentially leading to rotational or rejection based price action rather than sustained breakout behavior. Neutral scenario • Price may balance between the 5.0 area and the 5.75 zone for the remainder of the winter season. • This range represents a region of prior acceptance, with 5.75 aligning with weekly resistance and the March 2025 mVAH. • In this scenario, traders should expect two sided trade and rotational behavior rather than directional continuation. Bearish scenario • If buyers fail to hold price above the 5.0 area, long liquidation could accelerate. • A downside move could target the SOC, repairing single prints left behind during the recent weather driven rally. • Buyers are expected to respond near the 4.47 and 4.25 area, which aligns with the December 2025 VPOC and daily level 2. Conclusion Natural gas remains a headline driven market where technical structure and macro fundamentals must be evaluated together. While seasonal demand and extreme weather events continue to support volatility, the broader market remains constrained within a well defined multi year range. From a technical perspective, acceptance or rejection around the 5.0 area will likely dictate whether price continues higher toward weekly resistance or rotates lower to repair unfinished auctions. Fundamentally, traders should remain alert to shifts in weather forecasts, storage trends, and production data, as these factors can quickly invalidate technical setups. As winter unfolds, traders will need to respect the speed of rotations and the market’s tendency to punish late positioning near range extremes. If you found this analysis helpful, consider sharing your own levels or scenarios and join the discussion. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk. Acronyms: C - Composite w - Weekly m - Monthly VAH - Value Area High VAL - Value Area Low VPOC - Volume Point of Control LVN - Low Value Node HVN - High Value Node LVA - Low Value Area SP - Single print
NYMEX:NG1!
by EdgeClear
Gold Options Expiry: The $4,375 "Gravity" vs. StatisticalHey traders! Tomorrow is a financial battleground for the gold market. It's the major monthly options expiry, and the numbers reveal a fascinating tug-of-war. Let’s break down the forces at play and what they mean for the price. The Setup: Huge Open Interest Looking at the latest data, we have over **126,000 open call contracts** and more than **155,000 open put contracts** set to expire. Here’s the breakdown: Calls: - In the Money (ITM): 105,859 - At the Money (ATM): 68 - Out of the Money (OTM): 20,572 - Total OI: 126,499 Puts: - In the Money (ITM): 111 - At the Money (ATM): 47 - Out of the Money (OTM): 154,874 - Total OI: 155,032 That’s a massive pile of open interest, with most puts sitting deep out of the money—a sign that a lot of traders have been betting on a drop or hedge there bull trades. But the story doesn't end here. The "Gravity" of Max Pain The Max Pain level is currently sitting at $4,375. What is Max Pain? Think of it as the "house's" ideal price. Option sellers (market makers and institutions) collect premiums from buyers. They make the most money if options expire worthless. The Max Pain price is the strike where the maximum number of options (both puts and calls) expire worthless, causing the most financial "pain" to buyers and maximum profit for sellers. The theory suggests that as expiry approaches, the price will be gravitationally pulled toward this level. If you take this theory at face value, gold should drop from its current to $4,375 by tomorrow's close. But… Is That Even Possible? Here’s where we need to pump the brakes. Statistically speaking, the odds of such a move are close to zero—and here’s why. On developed markets, asset price moves are largely governed by well-known mathematical and statistical boundaries, especially the **expected volatility range**. Hedge funds and institutional traders have relied on these ranges for years to guide their decisions. The range is defined by standard deviations: - 1st standard deviation:** Price stays within this range 68% of the time (up or down). - 2nd standard deviation:** 95% probability. - 3rd standard deviation:** 98% probability. So, to seriously claim that gold will hit $4,375 by tomorrow’s close, you’d need to calculate the 3rd standard deviation from today’s settlement and see if $4,375 is even in the realm of possibility. In my experience, I do these calculations right after the daily clearing and plot them on the current gold futures chart. (If you’re not up for the math, just follow my posts—I regularly share these volatility bands and show how well they work. Spoiler: price bounces or stalls at these levels with at least 70% effectiveness.) Can Gravity Break the Leash? Now, let's be data-driven analysts and combine our two forces: Max Pain "Gravity" Target: $4,375. Statistical "Leash" Range for Today(3rd SD): $4,855-5,300 The conclusion is immediate and powerful: The Max Pain level of $4.375 lies far outside the probable 3rd standard deviation statistical range. For the price to reach $4,375, it would need to break not just the 1st, but likely the 2nd or even 3rd standard deviation boundary. While not impossible, this is a very low-probability event. The Bottom Line: What to Expect So, will gold collapse to $4,375 tomorrow? Statistically, the odds are heavily against it. The "leash" of volatility is too short. The theory of Max Pain is a vital tool for identifying points of financial interest, but it's not a crystal ball. It works best when the Max Pain level falls inside the statistical volatility range. When it's outside, volatility almost always wins. In a hot market like gold, where every dip is being bought, a low-probability statistical move becomes even less likely. Instead of a crash to Max Pain, a more probable scenario is for the price to remain pinned within its statistical range (for today $4,855-5,300), possibly testing the lower bound of that range. I hope this article has sparked your interest in diving deeper into these topics and prompted you to start incorporating statistical data into your trading decisions. This is precisely the kind of edge that is essential for successful practical trading 💰 Check our account bio for more ADVANTAGE! Trade Smart!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
XAUUSD Time to correct for the last time before $8000?Almost 5 months ago (September 05 2025, see chart below) we posted a multi-decade analysis on Gold (XAUUSD), making a case why $8000 was the long-term Target by late 2029: Now as the price has almost reached the top of its Bull Cycle Channel Up (green) and it is time to start considering a multi-month technical correction. That was what happened back in March 2008 when the price was almost at the exact point as today. At the top of its Bull Cycle Channel Up, just after the 0.786 Time Fibonacci level and just below the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level. With just this month's rise (January 2026), Gold managed to reach the 0.236 Channel Fib just a month after it hit the current 0.786 Time Fib. So that technical confluence initiated an 8-month correction that breached the 0.236 Horizontal Fib (orange), did the same to the 0.618 Channel Fib and just before it hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), it bottomed. On today's fractal we know where both the 0.618 Channel Fib and 1M MA50 are so what's left is to confirm where the price peaks and draw the 0.236 Fib. If we top a little higher, then the 0.236 Fib will be at 3600, so we can expect to fulfil the 2008 conditions a little lower. In any case, the moment Gold approaches its 1M MA50 again (remember this is also where the market bottomed in November 2022 and this massive rally started), it will be our choice for a long-term buy again, targeting the top of this Cycle at $8000. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
3
Gold Breaks $5,000 | 2026 Outlook, Risk-Off Rally & Next Price ZOANDA:XAUUSD Gold Outlook 2026 Buy or Sell 📅 26 January 2026 🌍 MARKET OVERVIEW Gold surged sharply on Friday, January 23, 2026, extending its historic rally as safe haven demand intensified amid geopolitical tensions, US policy uncertainty, and a weaker dollar outlook. COMEX gold futures hit record intraday highs near $4,990 to $4,995 and settled around $4,980 to $4,990, capping a massive weekly gain of over 8 percent. Spot gold closely followed, pushing toward the key $5,000 psychological level after trading near $4,800 to $4,900 earlier in the week. The rally was driven by strong central bank buying, de dollarization trends, and escalating global risks, with silver also posting explosive gains. 🧠 KEY FUNDAMENTALS 🇺🇸 US Durable Goods Orders Expected around 8:30 AM ET. Strong data may support the USD and pressure gold, while weak data could boost safe haven demand. 🏭 US Capital Goods Orders Released alongside durable goods. Impacts growth outlook and USD direction, indirectly affecting gold. 🌍 Other Minor Data Possible Eurozone or Canada GDP and early regional releases, but no major gold moving impact expected. 🌐 GEO POLITICS 🟡 Gold breaks $5,000 Spot gold surged to new record highs between $5,092 and $5,108 intraday on Monday, January 26, driven by intense safe haven demand. 🇺🇸 US tariff and policy uncertainty Renewed fears around broad US tariffs involving Europe, trade partners, and Greenland rhetoric revived Trump era volatility, triggering capital flight into gold. 🔥 Rising global geopolitical risks Ongoing Middle East tensions including Iran concerns, Russia Ukraine dynamics, and shifting US foreign policy are fueling global risk aversion. 🏦 De dollarization and central bank buying Persistent central bank accumulation and investor hedging continue to underpin gold’s upside momentum. ⚖️ RISK ON RISK OFF ANALYSIS 📉 US 10 Year Treasury Yield Current level 4.208 percent Change 0.032 percent lower versus previous close around 4.24 percent Daily range 4.208 percent to 4.223 percent 52 week range 3.860 percent to 4.660 percent Trend Yields drifting lower confirming a risk off bias 🧠 WHAT DO ANALYST EXPECT Gold surged to new all time highs above $5,100, extending its historic breakout into January 26. The $5,000 level was breached for the first time late on January 25, triggering accelerated upside momentum. Escalating US tariff threats including potential 100 percent tariffs linked to China and Canada heightened global trade war fears. Policy uncertainty and confrontational rhetoric increased risk off sentiment, driving safe haven flows into gold. Gold’s rally is increasingly viewed as a signal of declining confidence in fiat currencies and global policy stability, reinforcing strong bullish momentum. 🟢 CONCLUSION Gold’s move above $5,000 confirms a strong risk off shift driven by geopolitical stress, tariff fears, and declining confidence in policy stability. Falling yields and a weaker dollar are reinforcing safe haven demand. Central bank buying and de dollarization trends continue to support the rally. The move is structural rather than data driven. Upside momentum remains firmly intact.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Bitcoin vs Gold — Major Support Says “Watch This Now” ⚔️ Bitcoin vs Gold — Major Support Says “Watch This Now” 🏅 This is one of the most underrated charts in macro right now — the BTC/XAU ratio is sitting at multi-year ascending channel support , the same level that triggered massive reversals in 2020 and 2022. We're talking about a structure that’s been respected for years — and it’s flashing a signal again. Support is between 15.39 and 17.09 , and we’ve just tagged it. Divergences are present, momentum is slowing, and risk-to-reward is building. 📺 This setup was covered in detail in the full macro video: 🔗 Silver $110, Gold $5K — Bitcoin Pump Next? This isn’t just about BTC vs Gold. It's about where we are in the rotation cycle : – Silver just hit $110 – Gold is hovering above $5,000 – Bitcoin has underperformed — until now? If this level holds again, we could see a sharp reversal in favor of BTC. If it breaks… you already know the play — sit back and wait for a deeper flush. Mindset Check 🧘 Real macro setups don’t scream — they whisper at key levels. This BTC/Gold chart is whispering now, just like it did before the 2020 breakout. If you’re focused only on dollar pairs, you're missing the real rotations. Disclaimer: Nothing I post is financial advice. It's perspective. I’ve mastered the art of prognosis, but you are the one behind the trigger. Always know your levels, and respect your risk. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
6
SilverOver the last 10 trading days, silver futures have exhibited a strong bullish trend, extending a powerful rally that began in late 2025. The price has advanced from roughly $88–90/oz to above $105/oz, with successive higher highs and higher lows Surpassed ~$100/oz decisively and sustained above this psychological threshold toward recent highs near ~$110/oz The rally has been supported by risk-on flows as the US dollar softened and safe-haven and industrial demand factors strengthened. Speculative positioning and ETF inflows have underpinned upside interest, though sentiment signals indicate extended bullishness and potential for corrections.. Like and Share
TVC:SILVERLong
by emraldconsul
Silver $110, Gold $5K — Bitcoin Pump Next?Silver at $110, Gold at $5K, Bitcoin at Support — The Rotation Has Begun New all-time highs for silver at $110 mark a historic moment. From $50 in November 2025 to blasting through $70, $80, $90 — and now triple digits — this has been one of the most aggressive moves in precious metals history . Next resistance? $111.40 , followed by $116 and potentially $134. Yes, I shorted at $103 and got smashed — life goes on. We adapt. 👊 But this video and analysis isn’t just about silver. It’s about where we are in the macro rotation — across silver, gold, and Bitcoin. Gold is holding firm above $5,000 , with $5,405 as the next upside target. $5K now acts as psychological support. The metal remains strong — but the key question is: how much longer can gold outperform? Bitcoin still looks weak — but the BTC/Gold ratio tells a different story . We’re hitting major long-term support from a 2020 ascending channel , backed by positive divergences . From here to the channel midpoint, there’s 73% room for corrective upside . That’s no small move. The Gold/Silver ratio , using nearly 100 years of history, shows that sharp drops in gold’s relative value happen fast — and reverse just as fast . We’re at 46 now, with 41 as a possible floor. So yes — silver may still squeeze out another 10% outperformance … but exhaustion is near. BTC/Silver reflects the same dynamic: silver still has the upper hand, but we're nearing major support levels . And when these ratios snap back, they do so hard. These aren’t trades to chase blindly. They’re rotations to observe, prepare for, and trade with precision. Momentum is shifting — in real time. Trading Wisdom 📜 When one market peaks, another prepares to rise. Silver's breakout is historic and undeniable — but century-old ratios don’t lie. Bitcoin is approaching key support against both gold and silver simultaneously . If the shift comes, it won’t be slow. It’ll be sharp, fast, and violent. Stay sharp, stay reactive, examine everything. Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
OANDA:XAGUSD
by FX_Professor
1
XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Continuation with Mapped TargetsGold (XAUUSD) is trading in a strong bullish structure on the 1H timeframe, characterized by consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently consolidating near recent highs, indicating healthy price action and potential continuation rather than reversal. This chart highlights: A clear buy-on-dip zone aligned with previous demand A well-defined invalidation level to manage risk Multiple upside targets based on market expansion and liquidity zones As long as price holds above the key structure support, the bullish bias remains valid. Breakout or pullback confirmations from the marked zone may offer continuation opportunities in the direction of the trend. ⚠️ A strong close below the invalidation level would signal a possible shift into correction or consolidation. 🔑 Key Concepts Used Market Structure (HH / HL) Demand & Resistance Zones Trend Continuation Logic Risk-to-Reward Target Mapping
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JaxonJackFX
Bearish Reversal Setup on XAU/USD (SMC Analysis)The chart depicts a potential short (sell) setup after a significant bullish run. The price is currently trading near all-time highs (marked around $5,091 in this simulation/chart) and is showing signs of exhaustion at a structural resistance level. Key Technical Elements: • Trend Context: The price has been moving within an ascending channel (the blue diagonal lines). It recently hit a "Weak Swing High," suggesting the upward momentum may be fading. • Market Structure: * BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple bullish breaks are visible on the way up. • CHoCH (Change of Character): Several internal shifts in trend are highlighted in orange, indicating local volatility. • Supply & Demand Zones: * The red box at the top represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block where the "Smart Money" is expected to enter sell positions. • The green shaded area below represents the Target/Take Profit zone, aiming for a return to previous support levels around $4,975 - $5,000. • FVG (Fair Value Gaps): The yellow highlighted areas and text labels indicate gaps in price action that the market often returns to "fill" or rebalance. • Projected Path: The large pink arrow and the black zig-zag lines predict a breakdown from the current consolidation, moving toward the "Strong Swing Low" identified near the $4,900 handle.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by marcomr
RIOT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:RIOT 🎯 Price completed wave II of 3, reclaiming the daily 200EMA and pivot. The next challenge is to overcome the High Volume Node resistance. The uptrend is strong. 📈 Daily RSI hit oversold with bullish divergence and has room to grow. 👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node, $10 Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯RIOT is behaving as expected in the usual range, sitting above fv, moving along its steady growth path. 👉Fair value is ~$15 safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
3