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XAUUSD NEW ATH: Trend Continuation & Expansion ScenarioGold continues to trade in a strong impulsive bullish structure, with price firmly holding above prior breakout levels and pressing into new all-time highs. The most important detail on this chart is not the ATH itself, but the clean demand + imbalance (GAP) zone around 4,980–5,010, which formed after aggressive upside expansion. This confirms institutional participation and suggests the market is still in a markup phase, not distribution. Structurally, each pullback during this rally has been shallow, corrective, and immediately bought, with no acceptance below prior demand. The projected path is logical: a controlled retracement into the demand/GAP zone to rebalance liquidity, followed by continuation. As long as price holds above this zone, the bullish bias remains intact. The dotted projection reflects a typical expansion cycle: pullback → higher low → breakout → extension. If demand holds, the next upside objective aligns around $5,180–5,220, which is a measured expansion beyond ATH and consistent with momentum continuation rather than exhaustion. A deeper pullback would only become concerning if price accepts below the GAP and loses demand, which would signal a temporary pause or broader consolidation. Until then, this remains a trend-following environment where pullbacks are opportunities, not reversal signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
This Gold pullback is structure-driven, not distributionGold is currently in a clear impulsive bullish cycle, and the structure on this chart aligns cleanly with an Elliott Wave 5-wave advance. The rally from the support premium zone marks Wave (1), followed by a shallow corrective Wave (2) that respected structure and held above demand. The strong vertical expansion into new highs represents Wave (3) the strongest and most impulsive leg, confirmed by strong candle bodies and minimal overlap. The pullback labeled (4) is corrective in nature, overlapping but not violating Wave (1) territory, which keeps the impulsive count valid. Price is now pushing into Wave (5), targeting a new ATH around 5,140–5,160, where momentum typically starts to diverge and upside extension becomes more fragile. From a cycle perspective, once Wave (5) completes, the market is statistically likely to enter an ABC corrective phase, which is exactly what your projection reflects. Wave (A) would be a sharp pullback from ATH, followed by a Wave (B) relief rally that fails below the high, and then Wave (C) completing into the 5,000–4,980 support zone, which aligns perfectly with prior structure support and liquidity. This confluence between Elliott Wave theory, horizontal structure, and support zones significantly strengthens the scenario. As long as price remains above the support zone during the corrective phase, the broader trend remains bullish, and the correction should be viewed as re-accumulation rather than reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
GOLD is in “blue-sky” mode… but the next move will be decided Price just ripped higher and is now pausing near ~5,09x — the kind of compression that looks like it wants to launch again. Your projection to ~5,203 is plausible, but it’s not “provable.” The market still has to confirm the continuation by defending the GAP / reclaim zone. GAP support zone ≈ 4,990–5,000 This is the “line in the sand.” If price revisits this band and reclaims / holds, the uptrend structure stays intact and the breakout thesis remains valid. If price loses this band with acceptance, the chart flips from “continuation” to “pullback / fill” mode. Trade Plan ✅ Scenario A — Bull continuation (only with confirmation) Trigger: Price pulls back into the GAP zone (~4,990–5,000) and prints a clear hold (strong bounce / reclaim close). Entry idea: Buy the reclaim (or the first higher low after the reclaim). Targets: T1: prior high area (~5,09x) T2: ~5,203 (your “NEW TARGET” zone) Invalidation: Clean breakdown and acceptance below the GAP zone. ⚠️ Scenario B — GAP fails Trigger: Breakdown below ~4,990 + weak retest (can’t reclaim). Targets below (step-by-step magnets): 4,917 4,880 4,838 4,775 Execution note: don’t over-hold shorts into support take partials at each shelf. Macro context Gold can keep trending if the market keeps pricing: softer real yields / rate-cut expectations, USD weakness (or even just USD instability), geopolitical headline risk (spikes + re-pricing), persistent safe-haven allocation. But none of that guarantees this path. Price confirmation at the GAP is the proof. Bottom line bullish path is credible but the market must validate it. If the GAP holds → we trade continuation. If the GAP breaks → we trade the fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
1
TODAY'S LIMITED STRATEGY JAN 261.Current Market Context Gold remains in a strong bullish structure on the H1 timeframe, respecting the rising trendline and staying above key EMA (34/89/200) support. Price has broken above the previous resistance zone (4989–4999) with momentum and is now trading at extended levels. The market is approaching a high-risk zone, where continuation is possible, but short-term pullbacks are also likely. 2.Key Technical Observations Strong impulse leg just completed → price is temporarily stretched from the mean. Stochastic remains in overbought territory, signaling potential short-term correction or consolidation. Structure still bullish: higher highs & higher lows remain intact as long as price holds above the trendline and dynamic EMAs. 3.Scenarios for Today Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation): If price holds above the broken resistance (4989–4999) and forms a healthy pullback with confirmation, gold can continue its markup toward the next upside target around 5146. Secondary Scenario (Corrective Pullback): Failure to hold above the breakout zone may trigger a technical retracement back toward the trendline / EMA support area to rebalance momentum before the next move. 📌 Trading Strategy Avoid FOMO buying at extended highs. Preferred BUY setup: Wait for a pullback into the broken resistance zone (now support) or trendline, then enter only with clear confirmation (price action / momentum reset). Risk management is critical — market is strong but sensitive at current levels. Short-term sells are counter-trend only, suitable for scalping with strict stops. Summary The broader trend remains bullish and healthy, but price is currently in an extension phase. Today’s focus should be patience and precision—let the market come to your levels. Trade with structure, not emotion. Trend first. Confirmation always. Discipline above all.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
XAUUSD Bullish Structure Intact - $5,040 AheadHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. Gold continues to trade within a broader bullish context, maintaining a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Earlier in the move, price spent a significant amount of time consolidating inside multiple range structures, indicating accumulation before continuation. After breaking out of the most recent range, XAUUSD accelerated higher and respected a rising trend structure, confirming sustained buyer control. This bullish impulse transitioned into a rising wedge formation, where price continued to climb while compressing between the wedge support and resistance lines. During this phase, pullbacks remained corrective, and buyers consistently defended higher support levels. Recently, Gold broke above the key Buyer Zone around the 4,900 level, confirming a successful breakout and acceptance above previous structure. This level has now flipped into support and aligns with the broader Support Level marked on the chart. Price is currently consolidating above this zone while respecting the wedge support line, suggesting continuation rather than exhaustion. Above the market, a well-defined Seller Zone and Resistance Level near 5,040–5,050 stands as the next major obstacle, where profit-taking or selling pressure may emerge. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,900 Buyer Zone and continues to respect the rising wedge support, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to maintain control and attempt a continuation toward the 5,040 resistance area (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this Seller Zone would confirm further upside continuation and open the door to new highs. However, a clear rejection from resistance could lead to a short-term pullback toward the Buyer Zone before the next directional move. A decisive breakdown below support would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, market structure and momentum continue to favor buyers. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
58
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4946 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
38
Gold Vs Bitcoin- I don’t publish much these days and right now, it’s very difficult to analyze Bitcoin in isolation. - The market is currently heavily focused on metals, and retail investors usually rush into whatever is already pumping, which is precisely what you want to avoid. - This chart is not a prediction, but it can help identify good entry zones to accumulate more BTC. What we need is confirmation. Gold has formed a double top breakout and moved above $5,000. From here, regardless of whether gold continues higher, the key is to wait for a bearish divergence and then rotate. - When Bitcoin begins its next leg up, Gold.D should start to roll over. Until then, and until clear signals appear, the safest approach is to stay on the sidelines. Sometimes, the best trade is not to trade at all, just wait patiently for the right opportunity. Happy Tr4Ding !
by thecryer
Middle East Risks Keep Brent Oil Bullish — Higher TargetsAs I expected in the previous idea , Brent Crude OIL( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) has risen and reached its targets, with a Risk-To-Reward: 2:01 (full target). Brent Crude OIL is currently trading near the support zone($63.30-$62.00) and the support lines. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Brent Crude OIL has completed main wave 4, and we can now expect the next impulsive wave for the main wave 5. Additionally, news from the Middle East does not indicate a reduction in tensions, and we can expect potential surprises in the region. Therefore, I prefer to maintain long positions in Brent Crude OIL rather than short positions, and I’m looking for triggers to enter long. I expect that Brent Crude OIL will once again target the resistance zone($66.80-$65.00) and potentially rise to around $66.47. The next target could be the yearly pivot point($67.30). First Target: $66.47 Second Target: $67.30 Stop Loss(SL): $62.60 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌U.S. Dollar/Brent Crude OIL Analysis (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
FX_IDC:USDBROLong
by pejman_zwin
1
Brent Oil M30 HTF Discount Reaction and Bullish Continuation📝 Description BLACKBULL:BRENT crude oil has completed a corrective pullback after a strong impulsive rally and is now stabilizing above a key short-term demand zone. Price has reacted cleanly from the SSL and lower boundary of the recent range, suggesting buyers are defending this area and preparing for another leg higher toward premium liquidity. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the recent swing low and SSL Preferred Setup: • Entry: 65.015 • Stop Loss: Below 64.730 • TP1: 65.25 • TP2: 65.45 • TP3: 65.73 ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Sell-side liquidity sweep followed by bullish displacement • Reaction from intraday support and SSL confirms demand • No bearish break of structure after the pullback • Upside targets aligned with prior highs and premium liquidity ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary As long as BLACKBULL:BRENT holds above the 64.75–64.90 support zone, the bullish continuation scenario remains favored. The current pullback appears corrective, with expectations of a rotation higher toward recent highs and upper liquidity pools. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Oil sentiment remains constructive amid steady demand expectations and the absence of strong bearish catalysts. Short-term pullbacks into defended demand zones are likely to be viewed as buying opportunities rather than trend reversals. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by TFlab
Gold Approaches $5,000 Resistance Amid PRZ & Divergence🎂 Today marks the beginning of a new chapter in my life. When I blow out the candles, my greatest wish is not just for myself — I wish health, peace, freedom, and happiness for all people around the world. May every heart feel calm, every soul feel safe, and every dream find its way. This year, I hope we grow stronger together, share deeper insights, and move toward success with wisdom, profit, and humanity. Thank you for being part of my journey. 🤍✨ ----------------------------------- With the start of this week, gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has opened with a significant gap upward, driven by tensions surrounding Greenland and Trump’s threats of tariffs on European countries, as well as the potential escalation of tensions in the Middle East. This has contributed to gold’s upward trend over the past few days. Over the last few days, gold has been creating new all-time highs with each passing day. The question is whether gold can break through the psychological resistance level of $5,000 without any correction, or if it will continue its bullish trend smoothly. Gold is currently near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) around the Round Number: $5,000. Looking at it from an Elliott Wave perspective on the 1-hour timeframe, it seems that gold is completing its wave 5, which could occur within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . We also notice a significant negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks. Today’s upcoming US Flash PMI and Consumer Sentiment data could act as a short-term catalyst for Gold. If Manufacturing and Services PMI print clearly stronger than expectations, it would signal ongoing economic resilience in the US, support the USD, and reduce near-term rate-cut expectations. In that scenario, Gold may face short-term downside pressure or a corrective pullback, as the market reprices a more patient Federal Reserve stance. I expect gold to decline from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , possibly dropping to around $4,884. If the support lines are broken, we could see further declines toward $4,851. First Target: $4,884 Second Target: $4,851 Stop Loss(SL): $5,016 Points may shift as the market evolves Note: It’s important to note that when an asset sets a new all-time high, technical analysis becomes less reliable since it lacks historical data. Note: In general, it is not possible to provide a medium-term or long-term analysis for gold because there are currently many parameters that can affect the gold trend. I’d love to hear your thoughts on gold. How long do you think it can maintain this bullish trend? 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
20
Will #USOIL (WTI Crude) Falling Channel Rise? –Weekly Timeframe Will #USOIL USOIL (WTI Crude) Falling Channel Rise? – Weekly Timeframe Technical Analysis Current Price: 61.1 Market Structure WTI remains in a long-term corrective phase following the 2022 peak - Over 50% Retracement. Price action is clearly contained within a well-defined descending channel (red), characterised by lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that, structurally, the market is still bearish on a primary timeframe. However, price is now trading very close to the lower boundary of the channel with a double bottom, where downside momentum historically weakens. Key Support & Demand Zone Major support is between 56.00 – 61.00 This zone has acted as a multi-year demand area, repeatedly absorbing selling pressure. The most recent weekly candles show **rejection wicks and reduced downside follow-through**, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than aggressive distribution. A sustained weekly close **below 56** would invalidate this current recovery and expose the low-40s. Resistance & Upside Levels If price holds above support and breaks channel resistance, the following upside levels come into focus: 73.96 Prior structural resistance and midpoint reaction zone 91.95 Major range resistance from previous distribution 111.65: Upper macro resistance 127.95: Long-term target aligned with prior highs. These levels align well with historical supply zones and would likely trigger profit-taking on any rally. Momentum, Bias and Invalidation Momentum remains neutral-to-bearish but losing downside strength A weekly close above the descending channel would signal a structural shift from bearish continuation to bullish recovery. Until that breakout occurs, rallies should still be treated as corrective within a broader downtrend. Invalidation and Bearish Continuation lives below 56 (A weekly close below) Conclusion WTI is at a critical inflection point. While the dominant trend remains bearish, price location favours a potential upside reaction due to strong historical demand and channel compression. Confirmation, not anticipation, is key. Not Financial Advice!!
TVC:USOILLong
by Ifiok-Trades
Gold at $7,000? The Strategic Case for the Next Historic LeapGold has shattered the psychological glass ceiling. With spot prices piercing the $5,000 mark in January 2026, the yellow metal has entered uncharted territory. While UBS forecasts a consolidation around $5,000, a growing chorus of institutional voices now identifies a credible path to $7,000 per ounce. This trajectory is not merely speculative; it is the mathematical output of a fractured global order. The following analysis dissects the structural drivers propelling gold toward this new paradigm. Geopolitics: The Chaos Premium The "fear trade" has evolved into a permanent "chaos premium." Markets are pricing in the unpredictability of the U.S. administration, where foreign policy is increasingly used as a transactional lever. President Trump’s recent threats regarding Greenland’s status and tariffs on European allies have injected unprecedented volatility into the Atlantic alliance. Simultaneously, U.S. military maneuvers involving Venezuela and escalating tensions with Iran have dismantled the traditional assumption that U.S. assets are the ultimate safe haven. Investors are fleeing this geopolitical instability, utilizing gold not just as insurance, but as a non-sovereign store of value immune to sanctions or diplomatic seizure. Geostrategy: The Sovereign Pivot A quiet revolution is occurring in central bank vaults. The global monetary architecture is shifting away from a dollar-centric system, driven by the weaponization of finance. Central banks are aggressively diversifying reserves, with official purchases forecast to reach 950 tonnes in 2026. This is a strategic realignment, not a tactical trade. Nations like China and others in the Global South are systematically replacing U.S. Treasuries with gold to inoculate their economies against potential asset freezes. This "sovereign bid" creates a price floor, effectively removing massive quantities of bullion from the circulating supply and tightening the market structure. Macroeconomics: The Debasement Trade The most potent catalyst for $7,000 gold lies in the erosion of fiat currency credibility. The "debasement trade" is accelerating as investors confront the reality of U.S. fiscal sustainability. With national debt exceeding $324 trillion globally and U.S. deficits widening, the Federal Reserve faces immense pressure to monetize debt. Real yields are expected to remain subdued or negative, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. As the Fed potentially moves toward a more dovish stance to support labor markets, the dollar’s purchasing power declines, mathematically necessitating a higher gold price to value the world’s outstanding liabilities. Industry Trends & Technology: The Scarcity Engine Physical constraints are colliding with algorithmic demand. Fibonacci extension models used by technical analysts now identify $7,040 as a major target zone, driven by momentum trading and high-frequency algorithms chasing the breakout. On the supply side, the industry faces a geological plateau. New major discoveries are rare, and ore grades are deteriorating, making extraction more expensive and technically challenging. This scarcity is compounded by a structural deficit in silver, which often leads gold in precious metal bull markets. The combination of finite supply and infinite monetary expansion creates a powerful engine for price appreciation. Conclusion The ascent to $7,000 is no longer a fringe theory but a plausible outcome of converging crises. Gold has transitioned from a cyclical commodity to a strategic necessity for preserving capital. As faith in political institutions wavers and the global debt burden swells, the market is actively repricing the world’s oldest form of money.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by the5erstrading
Natural gas 50% rally eyes $5.25! Arctic blast, Trump $83b shiftWhile everyone is focused on gold hitting $5,100 and silver approaching $110, natural gas has staged one of the most vertical rallies we've seen in years, surging nearly 50% from the mid-January low of $2.65 to near $4.00 in just 10 days. Is this the start of a sustained bull market? We analyse the powerful combination of weather-driven demand and structural policy shifts driving natural gas prices higher. We break down the technical setup across multiple timeframes, identifying key resistance zones and two potential scenarios for the next move. Key topics : Dual fundamental catalysts : Arctic blast : The polar vortex hit the US harder than forecasted, spiking heating demand and freezing production in key basins. Trump's $83 billion shift : The administration cancelled green energy loans and redirected funds specifically to Natural Gas and Nuclear infrastructure, adding a structural tailwind to long-term demand. Daily analysis : Golden Cross confirmation : Price broke above the 200MA and is now testing the 50MA, confirming the bullish cross from November. 50% Fibonacci resistance : Currently testing the $3.95 level (50% retracement from $5.24 to $2.65) with RSI at 60—room for another 10 points of upside momentum. Cluster resistance : The confluence of the 50MA and 50% Fib creates strong resistance, but a break could turn this into powerful support. 4-hour chart : Scenario 1 (Cup & Handle complete) : If the pattern is finished at the 23.6% Fib, the measured move targets $4.70 (78.6% extension). Scenario 2 (Double Top at $4.00) : RSI divergence suggests resistance could hold. A pullback to $3.45-$3.65 would form the handle, with the neckline projection targeting $5.25. Trade setup Entry : Current levels or on pullback to $3.45-$3.65. Stop Loss : Below the 61.8% Fibonacci (unlikely to break if this is a true impulse). Target : $5.25 (previous December 2025 peak), with potential extension if $4.25 breaks decisively. Risk Management : Secure partial profits along the way and trail stops to protect gains. Are you buying the dip or waiting for confirmation above $4? Let us know in the comments! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NGASLong
by ThinkMarkets
3
Gold: Overbought but unstoppable, $5K next?The previous week was another strong week for the price of gold, where the newest ATH has been reached. The week started at the level of $4.580 and ended at $4.989. The market is expecting that the price of gold might reach the $5K target at the start of the week ahead. The high level of political and geopolitical insecurity including uncertain effects on macroeconomic factors, all contributed to the weakening of the US Dollar and further strong push of the price of both gold and silver. The price of silver reached $100 this week, which was the strongest push of this metal for many decades in the past. The RSI continues to move in the highly overbought territory, reaching the level of 82 on Friday. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days are still moving without any changes for a longer period of time, as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Generally, when there is such a strong demand for one asset and it continuously is moving historically higher grounds, technical analysis cannot provide higher accuracy in probabilities. Analysts are noting that the next target for gold is the $5K mark, which is at this moment quite feasible. The bottom-line is that currently fundamentals are moving markets, and not the real state of the economy. As long as insecurity and fear are driving investors sentiment, so long the safe-haven asset will go higher. Reversal can be expected at some point, but it should not be a significant one.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
1
BTCUSD: continuation of the fall🛠 Technical Analysis: BTC is trading below the 90K psychological zone after the recent pullback, with price compressing near the MA cluster (dynamic resistance). The rising support line and the 88,335 area act as the key “trigger” zone: a clean breakdown can open the way for a deeper correction. Nearest resistance is 92,193 . Key downside support/target zone is 80,820. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: 88335.83 🎯 Take Profit: 80820.02 🔴 Stop Loss: 92193.50 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Trade8Eight
$NATGAS - Ready for Winter Storms ahead ?PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS January/2026 Weekly Chart - East Coast and North-East of United States are about to face a harsh winter ahead Short-Term Strong Bullish Momentum Fundamentally driven for PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS High Probability Set-up Semi-Correction is expected as a Bullish pull-back and profit taking , leaving so, some breathing room for new participants to jump on-board, as well decreasing the risk-reward ratio if not yet entered. www.youtube.com TRADE SAFE *** NOTE THAT THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE ! PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE PARTAKING ON ANY TRADING ACTIVITY BASED SOLY UPON THIS IDEA
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Mr_J__fx
GOLD - Test $5000... Will the rally continue?FX:XAUUSD closes Friday's session with a new record and consolidation after the rally. Focus on 4988 - 4968. The session closed quite favorably for continued growth, everything depends on Asian traders... Fundamentals: The tense situation between Trump and the EU over Greenland and tariffs is still present. The Bank of Japan intervened (which strengthened the yen), triggering a fall in the dollar, which in turn is affecting the price of gold. Overall, the market remains aggressively bullish. New session: - Fed meeting (January 31) – focus on Powell's tone. Softening rhetoric on inflation could weaken the dollar and support gold. - Selection of a new Fed chair (announcement possible by the end of January) – candidates Waller or Warsh are perceived as more “dovish,” which could put pressure on the dollar. - Geopolitics – any escalation with Iran will trigger a new influx into gold Resistance levels: 4988, 5000, 5024 Support levels: 4967, 4958, 4945 Gold maintains its upward momentum, driven by a weak dollar and geopolitical risks. Any correction is likely to be limited. Asian traders may buy up all the supply. A breakout and close above 4988 could trigger a continuation of the rally to 5025-5050. However, it is possible that the market may test support at 4958-4945 before rallying... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
XAUUSD 1H Outlook Today: Bullish Channel ContinuationXAUUSD 1H Outlook Today: Bullish Channel Continuation, Key Support-Resistance & Trade Setups Gold (XAUUSD) is still trading inside a clean rising channel on the 1H chart, printing higher highs and higher lows with strong impulsive legs. The latest candle shows price holding near 5095 after pushing a weak high area, which often invites a short pullback before the next expansion. 1H Market Structure: Trend Is Up, But “Weak High” Needs Liquidity The move from the mid-zone breakout to the current top is impulsive, and the channel structure remains intact. The top is tagged as a weak high (equal highs/liquidity pool behavior). That usually means: Either a quick sweep above the high then continue higher, or A dip to rebalance (pullback into value) before continuation. Key Resistance Levels (Sell Pressure / Take-Profit Zones) 5095–5100: Current weak high and immediate supply reaction zone. 5120–5130: Next resistance if price breaks and holds above 5100. 5160: Higher target aligned with projected channel continuation (next expansion leg). Key Support Levels (Buy Zones / Defensive Lines) 5065: Intraday swing low on the latest 1H candle; first line of defense for bulls. 5040: Psychological + structure support; also matches typical channel pullback behavior. 4900–4920: Major demand zone (visible grey block). If price returns here, it’s a high-quality “reset” area for trend continuation. 4820–4840: Deeper demand zone (second grey block). This becomes the “last hold” for the broader bullish swing. 4660: Larger timeframe base support (lower grey band). Fibonacci Map (Best “Value” Areas for Dip Buys) Using the latest upswing into the 5095 area, the highest-probability rebalance zones typically sit at: 0.382 retracement: around 5045–5035 0.5 retracement: around 5020–5005 0.618 retracement: around 4990–4970 In an uptrend, the 0.382–0.5 zone is often the “aggressive buy-the-dip” area, while 0.618 is the “last discounted entry” before structure starts to weaken. EMA + RSI Confirmation (How to Filter Bad Trades) EMA (20/50): In a healthy channel, price tends to respect the faster EMA on pullbacks. If your EMA20/EMA50 are stacked bullish and price holds above them after a dip, that’s confirmation for continuation buys. RSI (14): Bull trend behavior: RSI holds above 50 and often rides 60–70 during impulses. Warning sign: bearish divergence near 5095–5100 can trigger a pullback to 5065/5040 before pushing higher again. Trading Strategies for Today (High-Probability Plans) Plan A: Breakout Continuation (Buy the Break + Retest) Condition: 1H close above 5100, then a retest holding above 5095–5100. Entry idea: Buy on retest confirmation (bullish candle close back above the level). Stop loss: Below 5065 (or below the retest swing low if tighter). Targets: 5120–5130, then 5160. Why it works: Sweeping a weak high + holding above it often flips the level into support and triggers the next expansion leg. Plan B: Trendline Dip Buy (Buy at Channel Support + Fib Value) Condition: Price rejects 5095–5100 and pulls back into 5065 → 5040 region while staying inside the channel. Entry idea: Buy at channel lower trendline confluence with Fib 0.382–0.5 zone. Stop loss: Below 5030 (aggressive) or below 4990 (safer, if volatility is high). Targets: Back to 5095–5100, then extension to 5120–5160. Why it works: In rising channels, the best R:R usually comes from buying the lower boundary, not chasing the top. Plan C: Short Only If Structure Breaks (Countertrend Scalp) Condition: Clear rejection at 5095–5100 followed by a 1H break below 5065. Entry idea: Sell the breakdown retest of 5065 (now resistance). Stop loss: Back above 5095. Targets: 5040, then 5020–5005, deeper target 4900–4920 if momentum accelerates. Why it works: You avoid shorting into strength; you only short once the market proves a structural shift. What Would Invalidate the Bullish Bias? Sustained trading below 5040, then a deeper acceptance toward 4990–4970. A full rotation into 4900 demand is not automatically bearish, but it means the market is rebalancing deeper and you should reduce leverage and wait for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo 4933.Colleagues, the price continues its upward movement in wave “5” of the higher order (red wave), and a major correction is already quite close, but we need to understand where the upward momentum will end. I believe that the price will renew its maximum and rise to the 50% Fibonacci extension level to the 4933 area, which will mark the end of the middle wave “5” and the higher wave “5”. It is possible that wave “4” will be renewed, but I do not believe that the correction will be deep. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
62
#GBPJPY , Continue to hell ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep 🔎 Instrument Focus: #GBPJPY ⚠️ Risk Environment: High 📈 Technical Overview: I believe there is a chance we do see retracement from the point and goes up a bit then drop , but lets have this plan in our watchlist either. 🚀 Trading Plan: • Wait for Momentum around key levels • LTF ENTRY NEEDED • Manage risk aggressively, and secure ASAP. 🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot #Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Short
by Ash_TheTrader
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Analysis | Market StructureFrom a technical standpoint, gold continues to trade within a structurally sound bullish environment. Price action maintains a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the broader upward structure remains intact. Recent pullbacks have been controlled and shallow, suggesting consolidation rather than trend exhaustion. Instead of aggressive selling, the market shows signs of balance during retracements, with buyers stepping in at higher levels. This behavior is typical of a healthy trend where participation remains supportive. At this stage, price is approaching a key area of technical interest, where demand was previously active. Such zones often act as decision points, as the market temporarily slows down to reassess the balance between buyers and sellers. A sustained hold above this area would keep the bullish structure valid and allow price to continue respecting the broader trend. On the upside, the 4,870 USD region stands out as a notable technical reference, aligned with prior structural interaction. This level represents an area where price may react, rather than a guaranteed objective. From a risk perspective, the current structure would only be challenged by a decisive break below the established support zone. Until such a development occurs, downside moves are best viewed as part of a broader consolidation process rather than a trend reversal. Overall, gold remains technically supported, with price behavior favoring continuation as long as key structural levels continue to hold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lounaa_
46