XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 12Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4192, Support: 4030
4-Hour Resistance: 4155, Support: 4080
1-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4100
From a technical perspective, the monthly/weekly charts clearly indicate a short-term upward trend. The "rounded bottom" pattern on the daily candlestick chart is essentially confirmed. The previous pullback highs of 4155/4162 are key resistance levels in the short term, potentially leading to a downward technical correction. Short-term caution is advised regarding a test of the previous support/resistance level in the 4185-4180 area. Pay attention to the 4100/4080 support levels; if these levels hold, continue to buy on dips, while also monitoring the continuation of the upward trend after a breakout.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are converging, and the candlestick pattern forms a range-bound trading pattern between 4100 and 4150. The MACD/KDJ indicators provide upward momentum, but the short-term market continuity remains to be seen. During the European and American sessions, watch for potential resistance and a pullback around 4145/4150.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4105~4100
SELL: 4145~4150
More Analysis →
Commodities
How to Trade Crude Oil with Smart Money Concepts SMC Explained
Smart Money Concepts is one of the most reliable techniques for trading WTI Crude Oil.
In this article, I will teach you a profitable SMC strategy for analysing and trading USOIL futures and CFD.
This simple strategy is based on an important event every SMC trader should know - a break of structure BoS.
In a bullish trend, the best break of structure will be based on a violation and a candle close above a current higher high.
It will signify a highly probable bullish continuation and provides a great opportunity to buy
Though you can spot a bullish break of structure on any time frame, the most reliable one is a daily.
After a formation of a new high, I suggest waiting for a short term intraday correctional movement.
With a high probability, the market will retest a recently broken structure and smart money will manipulate the market, pushing the price below that, making buyers close their positions.
Once the market starts retracing, analyze an hourly time frame. The price will need to establish an i ntraday minor bearish trend.
In this bearish trend, 2 trend lines should connect lower highs and lower lows composing an expanding, parallel or contracting channel - a bullish flag pattern.
Your best signal will be a breakout of a resistance line of the flag and a violation of the level of the last lower high - a bullish change of character of a liquidity grab.
It will confirm a completion of a correction.
Buy the market on a retest of the level of the last higher low, it will be your best entry.
Set your stop loss at least below a trend line and aim at the next strong daily resistance.
That will be a perfect model for trading break of structure on WTI Crude Oil.
We spotted such a setup in my trading academy on one of the live streams with my students.
WTI Crude Oil was trading in an uptrend on a daily time frame.
A bullish violation of the last Higher High and a candle close above that confirmed a Break of Structure BoS.
The price started a correctional movement then, and we spotted a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
The market completed a correction after grabbing a liquidity below a broken structure.
A bullish movement started then, and the price violated a resistance line of the flag and the level of the last lower high.
These 2 breakouts confirmed a completion of a correction and a resumption of a bullish trend.
We opened a buy position immediately on a retest of a broken level of the last lower high.
Stop loss was below a trend line, take profit was based on the closest key daily resistance.
And the price went straight to the target.
Break of Structure BoS will be useful for analysis, forecasting and trading WTI Crude Oil.
Combining that with top-down analysis and lower time frames confirmations will provide accurate signals and profitable trading setups.
Integrate a price model that I shared in your strategy, and good luck to you trading USOIL!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Xauusd 11.12We had a huge move yesterday! Let’s see if we can keep it up today! We can see the correction starting — but how far will it go? Maybe back to 4000? We’ll see, but that’s what we’re watching today! If the entry doesn’t trigger, leave it — don’t chase the trade! And once you hit 50% profit, close half immediately! Let’s go, have a great day!
XAUUSD XAUUSD Sell Short Call
After first TP1 move SL to Entry and book partial pofits. TP2 is possible selling pressure contniue.
4h Hour candle was bearish , retrcement has been done 0.5. now bearish momentum should reflect on price action with bearish canlde.
CPI news tommorow will clear the Gold direction further.
Always manage risk reward!
XAU/USD – Bulls Face Resistance at Key Supply ZoneGold prices have shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the rally is now encountering significant resistance near the $4,148 zone. After an extended impulse leg, price appears to be losing steam, signaling the potential for a short-term pullback or correction.
On the 1-hour timeframe, price has tested the upper resistance multiple times without a clear breakout, forming a potential double-top pattern. The latest bearish candle from this area reinforces the presence of sellers and suggests a possible rejection phase before any continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $4,148 – $4,155 (supply zone / neckline area)
Support: $4,076 (short-term demand zone), $3,995 (major demand zone)
Trading Strategy:
Short-term traders could look for bearish confirmation signals below $4,120 for potential short entries, targeting $4,076 as the first take-profit zone. However, if price breaks and closes above $4,148 with volume, it could invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for a continuation toward new highs.
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bearish in the short term while below $4,148. Watch for price reaction at this level for the next directional move.
Follow for more high-probability gold setups and daily technical insights.
Gold H1 – Liquidity swept, time for the next bullish legAfter a strong impulsive rally, Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating within a premium zone, showing clear signs of accumulation before continuation.
The structure remains bullish after multiple CHoCH → BMS sequences, confirming Smart Money’s intent to maintain control above the 4,073–4,090 range.
The recent liquidity sweep formed a double-tap reaction near 4,090–4,085, creating a clean H1 Demand / Mitigation zone.
This area aligns perfectly with the 0.618–0.786 retracement, where I’ll be watching for confirmation to rejoin the bullish leg toward 4,148 — the current Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) target.
💎 Technical View
BUY ZONE: 4,090 – 4,085 (SL 4,080)
→ M15 CHoCH confirmation preferred before entry.
TARGET: 4,148
→ BSL / equal highs above the previous expansion.
INVALIDATION: below 4,080 = short-term bias neutralized.
The market is offering a textbook SMC structure — liquidity sweep, retrace, and continuation.
I’ll remain patient for entry confirmation within the Buy Zone, as chasing price at premium levels rarely pays off. 🌙
💭 Karina’s Note
In Smart Money trading, precision isn’t about prediction — it’s about patience.
Wait for the story to unfold; liquidity will always reveal the next move. 💛
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice.
✨ Like & Follow for daily London session updates ✨
XAUUSD TRADES AND RESULTS
The provided 15-minute Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) chart from November 12, 2025, shows notable short-term volatility. The price action initially moved higher, peaking near 4,157.00, before entering a consolidation phase overnight. Several significant downward movements followed, marked by large black (bearish) candles. The chart highlights three successful short trades, yielding profits of "125+ Pips (Partial)," "70+ Pips (Partial)," and a final drop capturing "140+ Pips." A substantial bearish move occurred around 10:00, pushing the price sharply lower. The gold price is currently trading around 4,114.535 after forming a temporary low and attempting a minor recovery. The overall momentum is currently bearish on this timeframe
XAU/USD – The Tug of War Before CPI: Sideway or Breakout?1. MARKET CONTEXT
The U.S. government reopens after a 40-day shutdown (a historical record).
Investors are on the sidelines observing ahead of tomorrow's CPI announcement → the market is likely to sideway awaiting news.
2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–M30)
Main fluctuation range: 4097–4148
Break 4097 → adjust deeply to 407x – 403x
Break 4148 → activate short-term increase, target 418x – 4205
Decision zones: 4097 & 4148
3. TRADING PLAN
🎯 Main strategy: Trade within the range (Sideway)
→ “Buy low – Sell high” according to support/resistance zones
RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:2 | SL: 10 points | TP: 10–20 points
BUY zone:
4097–4100 (strong support) → TP 4110–4120
Buy scalp: 4120–4124 → TP 4140–4145
Buy swing: 407x / 403x (if candle reaction occurs)
SELL zone:
4145–4147 → TP 4125–4100
If break 415x & retest, switch to Buy breakout
→ Entry 4140–4145 | TP 416x–418x–4205
4. SUMMARY
Main trend: Sideway awaiting CPI news
Strategy: “Break any range, trade that range”
Focus zones:
Upper range: 414x (Sell)
Lower range: 4095–4100 (Buy)
GOLD → The bullish trend continues its movement FX:XAUUSD is testing the $4,150 level, hitting a three-month high amid expectations of a resumption of US government operations and weak economic data. The weekly gain exceeded 3%.
Expectations of Fed easing - 64% probability of a rate cut in December, Consumer Sentiment Index (50.3) - lowest in 3.5 years.
Layoffs rose 183.1% in October.
The end of the shutdown will allow the release of missed data (NFP, CPI), which may confirm the need for a rate cut. All of this provides support for the metal.
Today, it is worth paying attention to ADP employment data (4-week average) — an assessment of the labor market.
Fundamentally, gold remains bullish thanks to a combination of monetary expectations and macro risks.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4160
Support levels: 4125, 4085
The trend is bullish and quite aggressive, with the market not allowing for deep pullbacks. Ahead lies resistance at 4150-4160, a fairly dense pool of liquidity that is likely to halt the current movement and trigger a small correction before continuing to rise to 4200-4250.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold maintains its upward trend.Gold continued its upward trend, with the New York closing price holding above the 5-day moving average (MA5). The 10-day and 7-day moving averages (MA10/MA7) remain upward-sloping, and the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour and hourly charts are also widening upwards, with the price remaining within the upper half of the Bollinger Bands. The moving average system continues its upward trend, and the MACD indicator shows a golden cross. The technical outlook for gold remains bullish, and the trading strategy remains to wait for support levels to buy.
On the upside, watch for resistance at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4190) and the psychological level of 4200. Overall, barring unforeseen events, the likelihood of gold prices breaking new highs for the remainder of the year is low. A wide-range, back-and-forth movement is expected, but the fundamental bullish trend remains unchanged, and the bull market is expected to continue next year. Therefore, any subsequent dips should be used as buying opportunities. A break below the 4381 high is only a matter of time. Short-term support lies at 4100-4080; buy on dips to these levels is a good entry point. However, avoid hasty purchases after significant short-term gains; a sustained upward trend should be characterized by gradual, stepped increases.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4122, Second Support: 4102, Third Support: 4083
First Resistance: 4160, Second Resistance: 4177, Third Resistance: 4200
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
Buy: 4105-4110, SL: 4095, TP: 4125-4135;
Sell: 4185-4190, SL: 4200, TP: 4170-4160;
More Analysis →
The Dual Catalyst: Why Silver's \$50 Breakout is SustainableSilver (XAG/USD) recently broke the crucial $50 per ounce level, signaling a fundamental shift in its market dynamics. While the price edges lower in the short term, primarily due to a strengthened US Dollar (USD), its long-term trajectory is decisively bullish. This surge is not merely speculative. It is driven by an unprecedented convergence of geopolitical risks, critical industrial demand, and shifting macroeconomic policy. Analyzing these catalysts across multiple domains confirms silver's evolving role from a precious metal to a critical industrial asset.
Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
Silver's price strength reflects global systemic risk and monetary policy uncertainty. Current market expectations strongly favor a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut by December, with a nearly 68% probability priced in by the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding silver, making it relatively more attractive than bonds or cash. This dovish outlook provides a powerful structural floor for the price.
From a geopolitical perspective, ongoing global tensions and elevated political risks, like recent US government funding debates, accelerate safe-haven demand. Investors seek hard assets to hedge systemic risks. While gold often leads as the primary safe haven, silver's lower cost and dual-use nature attract broader retail and institutional flows, pushing it higher. A strong, sustained rally will require the price to hold above $50 and overcome the next major resistance near the historical high of $54.50.
Technology, Science, and Patents
Industrial demand now constitutes over 50% of silver’s total annual consumption, fundamentally redefining its market. Its unmatched electrical and thermal conductivity makes it indispensable in high-growth sectors.
* Renewable Energy: Silver is critical for photovoltaics (PV), specifically in solar cells, which form the conductive paste that harvests electrons. The global push for green energy and solar capacity expansion creates structural, persistent demand that consistently tightens the market.
* High-Tech and EVs: Electric Vehicles ( EVs) require significantly more silver (25–50 grams per unit) than traditional vehicles for inverters, battery management systems, and high-voltage contacts. The expansion of 5G technology, advanced computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT) further relies on silver-based components for seamless connectivity and efficiency.
Geostrategy and Supply Chain Risk
Silver is now recognized as a critical mineral by several major economies. This reclassification acknowledges its essential role in national security, advanced manufacturing, and the energy transition. This status highlights a geopolitical vulnerability: silver's supply chain is increasingly seen as a strategic concern.
The market currently runs a persistent supply deficit, depleting above-ground stockpiles to critically low levels. Mining silver often occurs as a byproduct of copper, lead, and zinc, meaning its supply cannot easily scale up based on price alone. Trade conflicts or export controls imposed by major producing nations could severely disrupt supply, immediately spiking the price due to its non-substitutable role in key high-tech applications.
Cyber and Economics: The Future Nexus
Silver’s unique properties extend into emerging fields like cybersecurity* and advanced computing. Research integrates silver nanoparticles and quantum materials into sophisticated systems. These materials enhance data processing efficiency and bolster the security of financial supply chains. Furthermore, flexible electronics using silver nanowires* will drive the next generation of wearable and flexible displays, creating entirely new demand vectors.
The long-term economic case for a $100 silver price remains dependent on this confluence of factors. Sustained high industrial consumption, a breakdown in global supply chains, and a continued environment of monetary debasement must align. Silver has truly become a dual-catalyst metal, positioned to thrive as both a financial safe haven and a fundamental building block of the twenty-first-century green and digital economy.
4130-4150 Resistace Test for GoldGold has reached the 4130-4150 resistance zone, now it is time to cool off a bit. I was a little late writing this here, my entry is close to 4135 half size but it it get 4145 again i plan to buy the other half. If 4150 broken, the idea will fail so I will place my stops accordingly. I also plan to enter long from the take profit level but not 100% sure yet.
Is XTI/USD Setting Up for a Sharp Bearish Correction?🚨 WTI/USD CRUDE OIL: THE BEARISH HEIST AWAITS 🎯
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
THE SETUP: Breaking Down The Crime Scene 🕵️♂️
We're executing a bearish pullback strategy on WTI/USD spot crude oil, leveraging the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) as our primary technical confirmation. The energy sector is flashing opportunity signals, and it's time to work the levels like a seasoned professional.
📊 STRATEGY FRAMEWORK
Market Direction: Bearish Pullback from 200 SMA Resistance
Timeframe: Suitable for Swing & Day Trading Operations
Asset Class: Energies | WTI Crude Oil Spot
💰 THE LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY (Multi-Level Approach)
This is where the Thief Method shines—stacking limit orders at key price levels to accumulate positions as the market comes to you:
Suggested Entry Layer Points:
Layer 1: 60.50 💧
Layer 2: 60.00 💧
Layer 3: 59.50 💧
Layer 4: 59.00 💧
⚠️ Pro Tip: Feel free to add or adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and position size. The beauty of this method is scalability—customize to YOUR account size and risk parameters.
🛑 STOP LOSS PLACEMENT
Primary SL Level: 61.00
Positioned at the nearest swing high/candle wick resistance above our entry cluster. This respects natural market structure and gives us a defined, measurable risk point.
⚡ DISCLAIMER ON RISK MANAGEMENT:
This is NOT financial advice. Risk management is YOUR responsibility. The suggested SL is based on technical structure, but YOU control your account. Set stops that align with YOUR risk tolerance. Trade only what you can afford to lose.
🎯 PROFIT TARGET STRUCTURE
Primary Target: 56.50
Secondary Support Level: 56.00 — A police barricade of strength where multiple factors converge:
Strong historical support confluence 📍
Oversold zone recognition ⚖️
Potential reversal trap (exit strategy alert) ⚠️
Exit Strategy: Consider banking profits at 56.50 before support intensifies at 56.00. Lock in gains as the technical structure suggests potential friction.
⚡ DISCLAIMER ON PROFIT TARGETS:
Again, these are TECHNICAL levels only. YOU decide your exit strategy. Whether you take full profits at 56.50, trail stops, or use partial exits—this is YOUR trading plan. No setup is guaranteed.
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Check)
Understanding energy market interrelations helps you spot confirmation signals:
US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) → Inverse correlation to crude oil. Strengthen USD = Bearish pressure on oil. Watch DXY for confirmation of our bearish bias.
CSEMA:S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY / CME_MINI:ES1! ) → Risk sentiment indicator. If equities weaken, crude often follows bearish patterns. Check equity trends for macro confirmation.
Energy Select Sector ETF ( AMEX:XLE ) → Direct correlation. Tracks large-cap energy stocks. Oil weakness often precedes XLE drops.
FX:EURUSD → Global risk sentiment. Weak euro = risk-off environment = potential crude weakness. Monitor for macro context.
AMEX:USO (Crude Oil ETF) → Direct oil tracking instrument. Moves in lockstep with WTI. Use for backup confirmation.
📋 THE THIEF STRATEGY CHECKLIST
✅ Confirm 200 SMA as resistance/bearish context
✅ Stack limit orders—don't chase price
✅ Define your personal stop loss (around 61.00 structure)
✅ Target scale-outs near 56.50-56.00
✅ Use correlation pairs for macro confirmation
✅ Manage position size ruthlessly
✅ Accept losses—they're tuition in the market
💬 ENGAGEMENT BOOST
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#WTI #CrudeOil #EnergyTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Trading101 #ForexEnergy #MultiLayerEntry #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #FinancialMarkets #Energies #TradingCommunity
Crude Oil – Sell around 61.00, target 60.00-58.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has rebounded, presenting another selling opportunity. We maintain our bearish outlook on crude oil. Today, you can sell directly at 61.00, or consider selling at 61.50. Regardless of the fluctuations, it's a sell opportunity. Crude oil volatility has been minimal in recent months, so patience is needed to enter the market. The overall trend for crude oil is unlikely to change.
Fundamental Analysis:
There are no major data releases today; all are routine data. The most important data this week is tomorrow's CPI, which has seen significant fluctuations over the past year.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 61.00, target 60.00-58.00
Gold Continues to Maintain Upward StructureHello, Traders! It's Leo again. Are you following XAUUSD today?
Yesterday, gold moved in line with the expected structure when it held steady above the EMA20/50 around $4,050 and responded well at the main trendline support.
On the other hand, weak US economic data such as the consumer confidence index and the announcement of a surge in layoffs have put pressure on growth and increased the value of gold as a safe haven asset.
This continues to reinforce the medium-term uptrend that is still in place, although a short-term technical correction may appear in today's session.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around $4,100, after breaking the old trendline and moving into a slight accumulation state.
In my personal opinion, next time gold holds above the $4,050 - $4,060 zone, there is a high possibility of a technical recovery back to the $4,150 zone, before the market moves towards the strong resistance zone of $4,320.
In terms of price structure, the current model is still showing a support test recovery wave - rebounding, in line with the main trend maintained since October.
👉 What do you think, comment below. Wish you a successful transaction!
XAU/USD – Price Consolidates Near Key Resistance After Strong RaGold (XAU/USD) on the H1 timeframe is currently showing signs of price consolidation after a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the metal toward the 4,160 zone. The market is now hovering just below that key resistance, forming a short-term range between 4,115 – 4,145.
This range represents a decision zone: buyers are attempting to maintain structure above 4,100, while sellers are defending the upper resistance level. As long as price stays above 4,100–4,090, the bullish structure remains intact, and another breakout attempt toward 4,160–4,180 could occur.
However, a confirmed close below 4,100 may signal a short-term correction back toward the 4,020–4,000 demand zone, where stronger buyers could reenter the market.
Key technical levels:
Support: 4,100 – 4,000
Resistance: 4,145 – 4,180
Trading plan:
Bullish scenario: Look for buying opportunities near 4,100 with confirmation of bullish price action, targeting 4,160–4,180.
Bearish scenario: A break below 4,100 could open the way for a correction toward 4,000.
Gold remains in an overall uptrend, but momentum is cooling near resistance. Watch for clear breakout or rejection signals before entering.
Follow for more daily gold trading insights and technical setups
Is the Metals Market Signaling a New Platinum Upswing?🏆 PLATINUM VS U.S. DOLLAR 📊 Metals Market Swing Trade Blueprint
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📈 BULLISH SWING TRADE SETUP ⚡
Asset: XPT/USD (Platinum Futures)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Strategy: Breakout Reversal
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.85 ✓
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 TRADE SETUP PARAMETERS
💰 ENTRY ZONE
Primary Level: @1,620 (Post-Resistance Breakout Confirmation)
Trigger: Clear breakout above key resistance
Strategy Note: Enter ANY price level AFTER confirmed breakout candle closes above 1,620
🛑 STOP LOSS
Hard SL: @1,530 (Risk Buffer: $90 per contract)
⚠️ CRITICAL: Place SL ONLY AFTER breakout confirmation
📌 This is YOUR risk management choice - adjust per your position sizing & strategy
🎪 TARGET LEVELS
Primary TP: @1,720 (Resistance Trap + Overbought Zone)
Profit Taking: Strong resistance cluster + momentum divergence
📌 Exit strategy is YOUR choice - capture profits when conditions align
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 📊
1️⃣ GC/USD (GOLD vs USD) 🥇
Correlation: POSITIVE (0.85+) - Precious metals move together
Key Point: If gold breaks above 2,050, XPT bullish bias strengthens
Watch: USD weakness = simultaneous gold/platinum rallies
2️⃣ SI/USD (SILVER vs USD) 🔶
Correlation: POSITIVE (0.78+) - Precious metals complex
Key Point: Silver acts as leading indicator; watch for breakout first
Watch: Industrial demand driver for platinum alternatives
3️⃣ DXY (US DOLLAR INDEX) 💵
Correlation: NEGATIVE (-0.82) - Inverse relationship
Key Point: Weaker dollar = stronger commodity prices
Watch: If DXY drops below 104.50, XPT uptrend likely accelerates
4️⃣ PALLADIUM/USD (PA/USD) 🔹
Correlation: POSITIVE (0.72+) - Autocatalyst/industrial metals
Key Point: Similar industrial demand patterns
Watch: Pd strength validates industrial commodity rally
5️⃣ CRB INDEX (Commodity Index) 📉
Correlation: POSITIVE (0.68+) - Broad commodity sentiment
Key Point: General risk-on environment supports metals
Watch: If CRB breaks resistance, XPT momentum likely continues
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📋 TRADE MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for CONFIRMED breakout candle above 1,620
✅ Risk only what you can afford to lose
✅ Monitor USD weakness as bullish catalyst
✅ Watch gold (GC) for correlation confirmation
✅ Set alerts at key resistance levels
✅ Take partial profits at 1,720 resistance
✅ Trail stop after 50+ pips profit
✅ Review position during FOMC/economic data
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎓 KEY TAKEAWAYS
→ Platinum bullish bias on breakout above 1,620
→ Multiple precious metals correlations support uptrend
→ USD weakness = primary tailwind
→ Gold confirmation = higher probability setup
→ Target 1,720 resistance with proper risk management
Trade Smart. Trade Safe. Trade Responsibly. 🎯
Gold Consolidating Above 4,110$: The Next Wave Is Loading📊 Technical Overview (H1)
Gold is holding firm around the 4,110$ zone, where a clear liquidity pocket has formed after a short-term correction from last week’s rally. The market continues to build a higher-low structure, showing that bulls are quietly absorbing supply before the next impulsive leg.
Price is currently balancing between support at 4,085$ – 4,113$ and resistance at 4,146$ – 4,172$.
A clean break above 4,146$ could trigger the next bullish leg targeting 4,203$, while a temporary dip toward 4,085$ would still remain within the bullish structure.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch:
• Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 4,113$, expect a breakout toward 4,172$ → 4,203$.
• Pullback Scenario: A retest to 4,085$ could act as a liquidity sweep before continuation.
🧠 MMFLOW Insight
“Smart Money doesn’t chase momentum — it builds it. The current range is the calm before the next move.”
⚜️ Bias: Bullish as long as price stays above 4,085$
Breakout Confirmed – Watching for 4H FVG RebalanceAfter a full week of sideways chop, Gold finally broke structure on Monday with a strong bullish impulse. The breakout clears the 7-day range and confirms higher-timeframe bullish intent.
I’m now watching the 4H FVG sitting just below the previous day’s low — that’s where I’d like to see price rebalance before continuing the next leg higher.
If price respects that zone and holds structure, it could mark the start of a sustained bullish push for the week.
Bias stays bullish unless price breaks back below the H4 FVG or fails to hold the weekly open.
Will $Aradel Aradel Fractal Setup Repeat? Down -18% from ATHARADEL’s Fractal Setup — Will History Repeat?
Is Aradel ( NSENG:ARADEL ) moving in repeating fractals? — a pattern of strong rallies, quick pauses, sharp pullbacks, and steep recoveries. Each dip in this sequence has so far created the foundation for the next rally leg, showing how market psychology often mirrors itself on the chart. Current price: 710naira/share
---
The First Fractal
The first major pattern appeared when price rallied from **₦520 → ₦689 (+29%)**, followed by a mild correction of about –13%.
That retracement found support around the moving average zone, after which the stock continued its steady climb — confirming strong buyer re-entry at lower levels.
---
The Current Setup
This latest fractal looks even more aggressive.
Price surged from ₦580 → ₦869 (+49%) before pulling back sharply — already down roughly –18%.
Currently, the ₦710 zone is acting as a short-term support level.
If this area holds, it could mark the end of the correction and the start of the next bullish swing.
The Fractal Projection
If history rhymes once more, the next upward leg could target the **₦950–₦1,000** resistance range — a natural extension zone aligning with prior swing highs.
However, a decisive breakdown below **₦624** would invalidate the fractal and signal a deeper retracement phase, possibly toward the longer-term trend support.
Summary
* Current support: ₦710 (key pivot)
* Fractal invalidation: ₦624
* Next potential target: ₦950–₦1,000
* Trend bias: Bullish if ₦710 holds; neutral-to-bearish if ₦624 breaks.
Fractals don’t predict price — they simply hint where institutional interest and historical rhythm may align. #ARADEL #NGX #NigerianStocks #PriceAction #FractalPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingNigeria






















