GOLD ANALYSIS 01/09/20261. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD: The USD is showing a mild recovery after the previous decline, mainly driven by technical correction and the market waiting for early-year data. There is still no strong catalyst to reverse the broader USD trend.
• U.S. Stock Market: Trading remains choppy with no clear direction. Capital flows are cautious, not strongly “risk-on.”
• FED: The FED maintains a cautious stance and has not signaled further tightening. Medium–long-term expectations still lean toward rate cuts → supportive for gold.
• TRUMP: No new policy actions with direct market impact. U.S. political factors are temporarily neutral.
b) Politics:
• Global geopolitical risks remain present. No major escalation, but sufficient to sustain defensive demand for gold.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Slight risk-off sentiment. Investors are not chasing prices (no FOMO), preferring to wait for pullbacks to buy → gold holds its value well despite USD recovery.
=> Conclusion: Sideways with an upward bias.
2. Technical Analysis (M15):
• Short-term trend: UPTREND
• Price is trading above EMA, with a clear Higher High – Higher Low structure.
• Current zone ~ 4475–4480 is a technical correction area after a strong rally.
=> Price is correcting within an uptrend, not a reversal.
RESISTANCE: 4,480 – 4,500 – 4,519
SUPPORT: 4,450 – 4,427 – 4,412
3. Previous Session (8/1/26):
• Gold corrected first, then rallied strongly from the 4412 low up to 4480.
• Strong bullish momentum with clear volume during the rally.
• Late-session mild pullback → healthy correction, no distribution signals.
4. Today’s Strategy (9/1/26):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4520 – 4518
• SL: 4524
• TP1: 4512
• TP2: 4506
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4436 – 4440
• SL: 4432
• TP1: 4448
• TP2: 4456
Commodities
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.50, with a target of 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Recent crude oil buying has been largely ineffective. Despite support from fundamentals and data, there has been little upward movement, only small fluctuations. Sell crude oil at 58.50 today. The chart pattern indicates short-term consolidation, with resistance around 60.00. A break above 62 might open new buying opportunities; otherwise, the outlook remains bearish.
Fundamental Analysis:
The previous ADP employment data has reassured the market, and expectations for the non-farm payrolls report have largely been priced in.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.50, with a target of 56.00-55.00.
XAUUSD (DAILY T~F)Looking at the daily time-frame, we can see we have been unable to continue the bullish momentum. This is due to the sell zone at 4490's
According to candle formation, theres a visible path that leads gold back 4500 and above.
We could see gold filling up the bullish liquidity on the weekly timeframe
Further breakdowns on the lower timeframe would be given as the market gains momentum
WTI(20260109)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On Tuesday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average hit record closing highs, marking the first buy signal from Dow Theory in over a year.
Technical strategists believe this confirms the bull market that began in late 2022 remains firmly established, even as some previously high-performing AI-related stocks have recently faced pressure.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average's last record closing high was on January 5th, while the Dow Jones Transportation Average's record high was even further back. Dow Jones market data shows that the index's last record closing high was on November 25th, 2024.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
57.58
Support and Resistance Levels:
60.26
59.26
58.61
56.54
55.89
54.89
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 58.61, consider buying with a first target price of 59.26.
If the price breaks below 57.58, consider selling with a first target price of 56.54.
SILVER Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER reacts from a well-defined horizontal demand zone after a corrective sell-off. Sell-side liquidity has been swept and smart money mitigation is visible, suggesting a bullish reaction toward higher internal liquidity and upside targets. Time Frame 2H.
Buy!
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CRUDE OIL Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading into a well-defined horizontal supply area where smart money distribution is evident. Buy-side liquidity has been taken, and a bearish reaction from premium suggests continuation toward lower liquidity pools below recent lows.
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Stop Loss: 58.90$
Take Profit: 57.74$
Entry: 58.42$
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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Can geopolitics rescue oil from five-year lows?At some point this year there could be a strong opportunity to buy crude oil, as prices near USD 55 per barrel are potentially unsustainable.
WTI crude oil futures rose more than 3.5% on Thursday to trade above USD 57.9 per barrel, rebounding from a two-day slide. The move, however, was not enough to recover the losses earlier in the week, and prices remain close to the five-year low set in December.
Uncertainty around Venezuelan exports resurfaced after Washington announced plans to maintain indefinite control over the country’s crude sales.
Meanwhile, in Iran, protests have been reported in Tehran and other cities as inflation rises and the currency weakens, adding another layer of geopolitical risk for oil. Unlike Venezuela, Iran continues to export roughly 2 million barrels per day and produces between 3.2 and 3.5 million barrels per day, contributing a meaningful volume of global supply.
GOLD STRONG BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅XAUUSD remains in a strong ICT bullish structure, holding above a key demand zone after shallow pullbacks. Price continues to respect premium-discount dynamics, with bullish displacement intact and buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs as the next draw. Time Frame 12H.
LONG🚀
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BullishBullish trend will be officially confirmed when price decisively breaches above $70.
This is a great place (in my opinion) to buy if looking to speculate.
I entered multiple positions this morning that will benefit if I am correct.
Complex corrections are extremely difficult to get accurate wave counts on, but I feel pretty good about this one overall. We could of course not be finished with the final wave Y down and have a bit more to go before, but we will see!
Let me know what you all think.
Cheers,
GOLD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffThe price has bounced off our buy entry level at 4,403.41, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 4,316.54, whic is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 4,534.93, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Stop!Loss|Market View: AUDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the AUDUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 0.66813
💰TP: 0.65955
⛔️SL: 0.67244
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Most instruments are trading near key levels that will lead to impulse movements. AUDUSD is one such trading instrument, where the price is trading near the support of an ascending channel. Markets are also actively anticipating the release of this week's most important data, namely, the Non-Farm data (NFP). Ahead of this event, the technical picture favors sellers over buyers, but sharply negative NFI data will certainly lead to immediate weakening of the USD.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Review and plan for 9th January 2026 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Stocks analysed.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
XAUUSD: gold decides whether the impulse beginsGold remains in focus as markets reassess Fed rate expectations and macro uncertainty. Slowing economic signals and potential declines in real yields continue to support gold, while its safe-haven role persists without panic-driven flows. This creates consolidation phases before directional moves.
Technically, XAUUSD is trading within a bullish structure after a strong rebound from recent lows. Price holds above a key support zone aligned with former resistance and the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Volatility compression and a developing wedge suggest a pending breakout. EMAs are trending higher and acting as dynamic support, confirming the bullish bias. RSI remains neutral, leaving room for continuation.
The main scenario favors holding above support and breaking higher from the current range. A confirmed breakout opens the path toward the 0.618 and 1.0 Fibonacci targets. A loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and shift the market into deeper correction.
Gold usually moves first and explains later.
Gold: Overbought but Not BrokenGold sits at $4,463.77 with clean bullish structure, price above all three EMAs, ADX at 52.7 confirming strong trend momentum. The setup screams overbought (Stochastic 96.2, MFI maxed at 100.0), but momentum remains intact with a fresh bullish MACD cross. The question isn't if we're extended, it's whether structure breaks before the next leg up.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Price holding above 20/50/200 EMAs in perfect bullish alignment
• ADX at 52.7 signals strong trending environment, not choppy consolidation
• Bullish order block at $4,440.55-$4,448.02 acting as critical demand zone
• Structure intact as long as we hold above that OB on 4H close basis
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bullish Signals:
• MACD just crossed bullish (MACD -1.18 vs Signal -3.79)
• ADX confirms directional moves likely to follow through
• Price respecting demand zone where buyers stepped in aggressively
Bearish Signals:
• Stochastic pegged at 96.2 (extreme overbought)
• MFI maxed at 100.0 (no fresh buying power)
• Immediate resistance at $4,474.80 bearish OB
The Conflict:
Overbought readings are yellow flags suggesting we may need to digest gains, but no bearish structure breaks yet. Context matters, momentum indicators haven't invalidated the trend.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🟢 Scenario A: Continuation Play
• Trigger: Pullback into $4,455-$4,460 zone while holding bullish OB
• Entry: $4,455 on bounce confirmation
• Target 1: $4,474.80 (bearish OB resistance)
• Target 2: $4,500.59 (weak high sweep, +0.8%)
• Stop: $4,440.00 (just below demand zone, ~15 points risk)
🔴 Scenario B: Rejection & Retest
• Trigger: Hard rejection at $4,474.80 + failure to hold bullish OB
• Target: $4,441.66 support, potentially deeper
• Invalidation: 4H close below $4,440.55 breaks demand zone and shifts structure bearish
MY VERDICT
The higher probability setup favors continuation toward $4,474.80 as long as we hold the $4,440.55 demand zone. Overbought readings aren't invalidating the trend yet, but they signal we might need consolidation before the next leg. Risk-reward favors bulls: 15 points risk for 20-30 point potential to targets.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Volume Reversal entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4450 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for January 8thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4540, Support: 4350
4-Hour Resistance: 4500, Support: 4400
1-Hour Resistance: 4440, Support: 4415
The daily gold chart shows a pullback, but the overall magnitude is not large. The short-term structure still maintains a bullish outlook. Although there is a technical pullback, it cannot be ruled out that this is due to the anticipated negative impact of the non-farm payroll data. The deviation correction of the moving average indicators has basically ended. The price is repeatedly testing the support level of 4420. The price is trading above the upward trend line support. On the daily chart, the gold price is still in an upward channel. Pay attention to the upward rebound energy after the technical indicators stabilize. The short-term resistance level is around 4500. Once 4500 is recovered, the historical high could be broken at any time.
The 1-hour chart shows a downward trend with oscillations. It is in a downward channel, with the moving averages crossing downwards. The resistance level is moving down in a step-like manner. The Bollinger Bands are widening and have a continued downward trend. Pay attention to the short-term resistance level around 4440 and the support level around 4400.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4408~4400
More Analysis →
USD/JPY | What's next? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the hourly chart of USDJPY, in the early hours of today, it managed to break through the NWOG and the FVG, going as high as 156.955, before dropping to the low of the FVG at 156.460. Currently it's being traded at 156.680 and it's retesting the NWOG. I expect it to continue working the NWOG and FVG. Bullish targets are: 156.780, 156.860, 156.940 and 157.020.
XAGUSD Double-Top Breakdown?Silver (XAGUSD) is still structurally bullish on the bigger picture, but the tape has shifted in the short term. After a powerful 2025 uptrend, price topped out near 83.00 and has since sold off aggressively, with expanding daily volatility (ATR rising). That kind of impulse pullback often signals exhaustion, especially when momentum flips.
Technically, a Double Top is forming at the peak, and momentum confirms the pressure: MACD has crossed bearish and the histogram is widening to the downside. The key level to watch is the neckline around 72.00—this is the line that turns a pullback into a true reversal attempt. As long as price is chopping above it, the base case is consolidation and stabilization.
If we get a sustained daily close below 72.00, that would validate the breakdown path, opening room toward 66.00 as the next meaningful support objective. Invalidation is clean: a push back above 75.00 would argue for a failed breakdown and a return to the broader bull structure. Keep 69.50 (SuperTrend support) on the radar—losing it would likely accelerate downside momentum. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
Thought of the Day 💡
The best trades often come from clarity: know your trigger, and respect your invalidation.
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EUR/USD | Falling further? (READ THE CAPTION)By analysing the 2h chart of EURUSD, it can be seen that after hitting 1.17429 on Teusday morning, EURUSD has been gradually dropping in price, falling into the FVG and consolidating there for a while, and then going as low as 1.16728, but by hitting the high of the next FVG it retraced a bit and now is being traded at 1.16810.
I expect EURUSD to retest the FVG above soon at 1.16850. If it goes through the FVG, the targets are: 1.16860, 1.16930, 1.17000 and 1.17070.
If it fails, then the bearish targets are: 1.16730, 1.16660, 1.16590 and 1.16520.
Gold Outlook: Consolidation Near Highs as Profit-Taking EmergesGold Futures Slip on Profit-Taking | Focus Shifts to U.S. Data
Gold prices edged lower as investors book profits and turn their attention to key U.S. economic data due this week.
At current levels, prices are becoming more sensitive to liquidity shifts and profit-taking, leaving room for sharp but temporary pullbacks, even as the medium-term bullish trend remains supported.
TECHNICAL VIEW (GOLD)
Price is expected to consolidate between 4436 and 4458 until a breakout occurs
Bearish Scenario
A 1H candle close below 4436 would extend weakness toward 4420 and 4407
A break below this zone may open the path toward 4378 and 4360
Bullish Scenario
Stability above 4458 supports a move toward 4475
A 1H candle close above 4475 would confirm bullish continuation toward 4500 and 4520
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4458
Resistance: 4475 – 4500 – 4520
Support: 4420 – 4407 – 4378 – 4360






















