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Oil slips on weak U.S. demand, supply glut concernsOil slips on weak U.S. demand, supply glut concerns Oil prices dipped late Thursday as U.S. crude stocks rose 3.9M barrels, defying forecasts for a decline, while the IEA lifted supply estimates, signaling a larger surplus ahead. Losses were capped by rising geopolitical risks, with the U.S. and EU weighing tougher sanctions on Russia after fresh Ukraine-related tensions. Traders now balance bearish fundamentals with potential supply disruptions.
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by ProfessorSingapore
US CPI Number? Lets see What Crude Is Telling us... Today is the US CPI one of the most important events before the Fed’s next move I’ve often used the relationship between US CPI and Crude oil, and it has been a reliable guide many times before. Key points 👉Crude was down -8.5% in August → we may see a suprise with lower CPI 👉 Official expectations are for higher CPI: from 2.7% to 2.9% y/y → risk of a miss 👉Even if CPI hits 2.9%, dollar may not rally far → because its expected number 👉Dollar bottomed in Sep 2024 after Fed made 1st cut in while→ weak USD risk remains till FED cuts, then reversal
NYMEX:CL1!
by ew-forecast
Silver Near PRZ – Bearish Reversal Incoming?Today I want to share with you an analysis of SILVER ( OANDA:XAGUSD ). In my opinion, in terms of technical analysis , Silver has a more regular chart than Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) these days. Silver is currently trading near the Resistance line , Important Resistance lines , Yearly Resistance(2) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Silver has managed to complete microwave 3 of the main wave 5 , and after the support lines are broken, we can expect a decline and completion of microwave 4 . The end of microwave 4 could follow Fibonacci levels . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Silver to fall to at least $40.51(First Target) AFTER breaking the support lines . Second Target: $39.81 Stop Loss(SL): $42.18 Note: Today's US data release could cause a shock to Silver, but ultimately, Silver will continue its downward trend (at least to the first target). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
27
XAUUSD Analysis – September 11, 2025On the H1 timeframe, Gold is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold the key resistance zone. Price is currently trading around 3,622 USD, with short-term selling pressure becoming more visible. Key Technical Levels: Resistance: 3,634 – 3,657 USD → Strong supply zone where sellers are actively pushing price down. Support: 3,616 – 3,570 USD → A breakdown below this area could trigger a deeper pullback toward 3,552 USD. EMA Signals: Price has slipped below short-term EMAs and is now testing the mid-term EMA, signaling corrective momentum. The EMA200 (purple line) sits around 3,570 USD, overlapping with strong support → this level will be decisive for the next trend direction. Trading Strategy: Bearish Scenario (preferred): Consider short positions if price retests 3,630 – 3,634 USD. Targets: 3,616 → 3,570 USD. Stop-loss above 3,657 USD. Bullish Scenario (countertrend): Only consider long entries near 3,570 – 3,552 USD if clear reversal signals appear. Recovery targets: 3,616 → 3,634 USD. Conclusion: Gold faces short-term downside pressure and may test the 3,616 – 3,570 USD support zone. The reaction around EMA200 will determine whether this is just a technical correction or the start of a deeper bearish phase.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAU/USD: Resistance at 3,650 Triggers Potential Pullback SetupXAU/USD has reached the 3,650 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally within its upward channel, but momentum is now stalling. A visible top formation is emerging on the chart, with sellers actively defending this level, suggesting a possible corrective move ahead. If gold fails to break and sustain above 3,650, the price may retrace toward the next key support at 3,546. While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term momentum indicates a likely pullback phase. Upcoming economic data could also influence whether the market consolidates or corrects from current levels.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by RTED_Investing
Gold Faces 3700 USD Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Currently, gold is trading around 3645 USD in a price box, almost unchanged compared to the same session yesterday. Alternating rises and pullbacks indicate accumulation. Investors are now eagerly waiting for the upcoming CPI and Unemployment Claims data. If results come out weaker for the USD, gold may find an opportunity to challenge the key 3700 USD level. Let’s wait for the results and see how gold will move! Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
22
Gold | Waiting for CPI & FED rate cut | Priority Buy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 11/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context US PPI yesterday : Wholesale prices dropped sharply, below forecasts → strengthening expectations of a FED rate cut. FED probabilities : 100% odds for a -25bps cut next week, and even 16% of investors bet on -50bps. Today : US CPI & Jobless Claims – key data to assess inflation & labor, determining the specific cut. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : FED will certainly cut rates, so Gold remains supported in its bullish trend. Short-term fluctuations may occur due to sentiment or surprises (e.g., tariff news from Trump). 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance) : Bearish OB: 3645 – 3650 (near-term resistance) Weak High: 3674 (target if breakout succeeds) Golden Harbor (Support) : Near support: 3622 FVG Dock: 3603 Bullish OB: 3581 – 3585 (strong mid-term support) Market Structure : H1 shows a short-term bearish BoS, retesting support. Main trend remains bullish → possible pullback to 3622 or 3603 before rallying toward 3670+. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority with trend) Entry 1: 3621 – 3623 (Scalping) SL: 3619 TP: 3625 – 3630 – 3635 – 3640 – 36XX Entry 2 (FVG): 3603 – 3605 SL: 3592 TP: 3610 – 3615 – 3625 – 365x Entry 3 (Bullish OB): 3581 – 3585 SL: 3572 TP: 3600 – 3620 – 3640 ⚡ Sell (only short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone: 3645 – 3650 SL: 3658 TP: 3635 – 3628 – 3622 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails remain full of wind as the FED is almost certain to cut rates. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3622 – 3603) and the deeper OB 3581 – 3585 are safe havens to follow the bullish tide. If the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3645 – 3650) , only Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps are recommended. The larger voyage still heads north, steering Gold toward new highs at 367x.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Oil at the crossroads - buy zone or bear trap?Technically , WTI is testing the lower boundary of a converging wedge, hovering around the identified buy zone. Holding above 62–63 is critical for bulls, as a breakdown would expose targets at 61.30 and 58.80. Conversely, a rebound from current levels could trigger a move toward 70.50 and even 77.60 if momentum builds. The daily stochastic hints at a potential reversal to the upside, suggesting that a short-term bounce may be in play. Fundamentally , the outlook remains tense: weak demand from China and global economic uncertainty are weighing on prices, while OPEC+ continues to maintain control over supply. U.S. inventory swings, with alternating builds and exports, add to volatility. Overall, the setup looks neutral with elevated risk - macro data could easily tip the balance either way. Tactically , the market is facing a binary scenario: sustained strength above 63 opens the way to 70.50 and 77.60, while failure here brings 58.80–55.60 into focus. In short, oil is at a crossroads and the next decisive move depends on whether bulls can hold the line.
FX:USOILLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch. Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September. Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of ​​3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend. Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622 SL 3617 TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600 SL 3595 TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch. Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September. Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of ​​3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend. Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622 SL 3617 TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600 SL 3595 TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rubpitbeg
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy And sell Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish After Break : 3635 🩸Bullish Reversal : 3595 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
24
Silver Daily Channel After Breaking Above Major ResistanceI identified this channel at the beginning of August, and it has worked quite well for position trades to date. As daily fluctuations evolve, I may make minor adjustments to this channel using significant lows from the past, present, or future. The following is my August video explaining the construction of the channel: Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
Gold Promises New Highs👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ? Today, gold continues to hold a strong bullish trend, currently trading around 3,630 USD with a short-term pullback serving as momentum for the next move. The key support zone is located around 3,600 – 3,580 USD. If this level holds, the upside remains open with the first psychological target at 3,700 USD. Two major indicators to watch are PPI (Sept 10) and CPI (Sept 11), which could act as the next catalysts for XAUUSD. Keep a close eye to catch trading opportunities. Scalping Strategy – Optimal Profit Management ✔️ TP1 or 30 Pips: Close bad entry and move SL to entry ✔️ TP2 or 50–70 Pips: Close half of remaining profit, move SL to TP1 ✔️ TP3: Close all From my personal perspective, the main trend remains bullish. Pullbacks only serve as opportunities for safer long entries. And you—what do you think about gold’s trend?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
38
USOIL Trade Insights📢 NFX Trade Update – FX:USOIL USOIL (WTI-USD) Strong rejection at the 23.6% Fibonacci resistance, with price dropping exactly as expected, confirming the liquidity grab setup. A textbook SMC play. We anticipate further downside on Oil. Our trade is active, and for those who entered around $64.10 (per the last video analysis), you’re already sitting on +350 pips in profit. Looking ahead, I expect price to drop below the EIA entry level and potentially test the $62/barrel zone before Friday’s market close.
GBEBROKERS:USOILShort
by niclaxfx
XAU/USD (Gold) - Trendline Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3583 2nd Support – 3546 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
39
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish) Entry (Layering Style): Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers $3625 $3630 $3635 $3640 (Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite) Stop Loss (Thief SL): @3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️) Take Profit (Escape Point): Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰 ⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style. 📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis) 🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025) Price: $3,643.71 24h Change: +0.48% Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56 🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal) Long: 37% Short: 63% ➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup. 🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders) Net Long: +249,530 contracts Long: 315,796 Short: 66,266 ➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅ 🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility Neutral (shifting from Greed) VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop 📉 Macro & Fundamentals US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected) Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting) Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst 📐 Technical View Price holding above $3,625 support Ascending channel continuation Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks 🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes) USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup Institutions backing the move higher Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly 🔥 Related Markets to Watch OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver) TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) SP:SPX (S&P 500) TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield) BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
FX:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAUUSD Analysis – September 11, 2025 (H1 timeframe)Gold continues to respect its bullish structure after breaking out of the ascending channel and is currently unfolding a potential short-term Elliott Wave (3)–(5) pattern. Price is consolidating around $3,630–$3,640 after a corrective pullback. Technical Outlook Trendline: The bullish channel remains intact; no breakdown of structure yet. Key Resistance: $3,685–$3,700 (previous Wave (1) top). A clean breakout above this zone may open the door toward $3,720–$3,740. Immediate Support: $3,615–$3,605 (Wave (2) low). Holding above keeps the bullish scenario valid; a breakdown may drag price back to $3,585. EMA 50 & 100 (H1): Both acting as dynamic support, confirming bullish bias. RSI (H1): Cooling down from overbought, creating fresh upside room. Fibonacci retracement: Wave (2) corrected neatly around the 38.2% retracement, reinforcing the continuation scenario. Trading Strategy Buy zone: $3,615–$3,620, with stop-loss below $3,600. Take profit 1: $3,685–$3,700. Take profit 2 (if breakout holds): $3,720–$3,740. If price breaks below $3,600, step aside and wait for new signals. The main bias remains bullish. Focus on trading the impulsive waves and watch closely how price reacts at $3,615 support and $3,685 resistance.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold: Shallow pullback, target remains 3.65xAfter the BLS labour revision, gold on the H1 chart went through a sharp two-way move. Normally this release isn’t a big market driver, but this year it acted as a strong catalyst, causing heavy swings. The uptrend structure is still intact: price is holding along the Ichimoku edge, each higher low confirms buyers are active, and there’s an FVG layer supporting near 3.62x. If a stronger sell-off comes, 3.60x around the cloud body remains a familiar magnet for balance. From the macro side, today’s US PPI and tomorrow’s CPI, alongside jobless claims and the ECB press conference, will be key. Softer data could weigh on yields and the dollar, giving gold the tailwind to retest 3.64x–3.65x, with possible extension to 3.66x–3.67x. On the contrary, hot data risks dragging the metal back to 3.62x or even 3.60x before resuming higher. My bias still favours a shallow retracement as long as 3.60x holds. The 3.64x–3.65x band is the near-term lid: a firm candle close above strengthens the breakout case. Before the data, though, I’d rather wait for candle confirmation than chase intra-bar spikes. What about you? Do you think gold will break above 3.65x in this move, or will it need another balance around 3.60x first? Share your view below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
7
Gold Stalls Ahead of CPI – Pullback Setup Loading?Gold has been aggressively bullish for the past two weeks, but yesterday showed the first signs of exhaustion. Price stalled under the daily high ($3,690), leaving liquidity below untouched. With CPI and unemployment claims scheduled during the NY session, we may see the dollar strengthen — providing the catalyst for a deeper pullback on Gold. Key Zones I’m watching: Upside Liquidity: Sweep above $3,690 (D-H) could serve as a trap before reversing lower. Downside Targets: $3,654–$3,652 (D-L/W-H confluence) $3,600 node $3,530–$3,550 (H4/8H FVG rebalancing zone) If this week is to stay bullish overall, a proper low for the week forming inside the H4/8H FVG would set the stage for continuation higher. For now, patience until price makes its move around these zones.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
3
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first: - Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels. - Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices. - U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials. 📈 Now the Chart: P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void. Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up. The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline. 💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊 Happy new week to all §8-)
COMEX:HG1!Long
by HowToChart
A brief discussion on my views on recent gold price trendsLast night, I clearly outlined my outlook for gold. Today, the gold price retreated to the support range of 3635-3620 and then stabilized and rebounded. Our long orders have reaped considerable profits. It is a pity that the limit long order set at 3620 before going to bed failed to be triggered, and I missed out on a bigger profit. Currently, gold's volatility is relatively low, and it has rebounded again to around 3645, which aligns with my view that gold will remain in a range-bound pattern in the short term. Our trading strategy is still highly referenceable. If gold falls back to test the lower support again in the short term, we can still consider going long again. If gold slowly fluctuates upward in the European session, the first thing to pay attention to is whether it can effectively break through 3655. Once it effectively breaks through, gold may retest the short-term resistance of 3665-3680.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
2