WTI OIL Is it possible to crash at $30.00?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been declining for 3 straight months (current red 1M candle is the 4th one) since the June 2025 rejection on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). That has been the last rejection of a series of Lower Highs rejections on the 1W MA100 in the past 2 years.
On the much longer-term scale, this is the aftermath of the March 2022 market Top, made as a direct result of the Ukraine - Russia war. On a 17-year horizon, that was the 2nd Lower High of the multi-year Channel Down that WTI has been trading in since the July 2008 Top of the Housing Crisis.
As you can see, there is a high degree of symmetry on this pattern with Lower Lows in particular (market bottoms) getting formed around every 5-6 years. The use of the Time Cycles can fairly accurately project this. The next one is estimated to be towards the end of 2026, which matches perfectly the projected Bear Cycle bottom on the stock markets.
Based on this model, we may very well see WTI drop to as low as $30.00. A fairly solid bottom buy indicator would be when (if) the 1M RSI breaks below its 30.00 (oversold) barrier.
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Commodities
Natural Gas Attempts to Return to the Year’s Highest LevelsSince October 17, natural gas has maintained a steady bullish bias, posting an appreciation of nearly 43%, which has fueled sustained buying pressure on prices. This upward movement has been supported by increasing inventory levels in countries such as China, Japan, and South Korea, which have ramped up purchases ahead of the winter season and diversified suppliers amid potential sanctions involving Russia. If this pace of consistent buying continues in the coming weeks, the current bullish pressure could become even more significant in natural gas price movements over the next few sessions.
Strong Uptrend
In recent weeks, buying momentum has remained persistent, with the average upward impulses in natural gas prices forming a solid uptrend, bringing the market closer to the yearly highs near $4.9. So far, the short-term pullbacks have not been strong enough to break this aggressive bullish trendline. As long as there is no consistent selling pressure, the current uptrend is likely to remain dominant in the short term.
RSI
The RSI line remains above the 50 level, indicating that buying momentum continues to drive price movements. However, the indicator is now approaching the 70 level, suggesting a potential overbought signal. This may imply that, given the speed of the recent rally, the market could experience short-term pullbacks as this imbalance in buying pressure persists.
TRIX
Overall, the TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level, showing a consistent upward slope. This confirms that the long-term trend remains bullish, suggesting that buying pressure may continue to dominate natural gas price action in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
$4.80 – Resistance: Represents the recent high zone. A breakout above this level could trigger a more aggressive uptrend in the following sessions.
$4.46 – Intermediate Support: Marks the most recent retracement area, which could serve as a temporary barrier against short-term downward corrections.
$3.84 – Key Support: This is the most relevant retracement level of recent weeks. If prices drop to this zone, it could signal an emerging bearish bias, putting the current bullish trendlines at risk.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4068 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4114 and a gap below at 4057. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4114
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4114 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4175
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4175 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4232
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4232 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4289
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4289 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4361
BEARISH TARGETS
4057
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4057 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4006
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4006 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3965 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3923
3861
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Silver is close to it's next decisionIn the short-term, Silver is still digesting the next decision.
On the shorter term charts, a couple of H&S patterns have emerged. There is a chance of slight weakness for the remainder of 2025, but I'm not convinced until it falls below $46.
Right now $49 is still solid support.. so it could trend sideways before resuming it's bull run.
The thick yellow line around $39 below is a monthly/weekly gap from Sept... just something to keep an eye on until this enters all-time high territory. If this trends below $45, then the double top measured move could play out down to the gap area.
Gold NY Session Strategy 11/19: Will up to 4162 Gold Daily Plan – SMC Outlook (Nov 20)
Framework: CHoCH – BOS – FVG – POI – Premium/Discount Model
1. Market Context
Gold continues to recover after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is now approaching the Premium zone of the current bullish swing and tapping into H1 supply. The market shows:
Buyers still in short-term control
Momentum weakening as price reaches resistance
A corrective pullback into Discount is likely before any further expansion
2. Structural Overview (SMC Logic)
🔻 Overall Market Structure
A key BOS formed around 4090–4100 → confirms short-term bullish structure
Follow-up CHoCH signals continuation of the intraday uptrend
Price is moving toward the upper FVG + Supply Zone (4160–4162)
🔸 Orderflow Notes
Strong reaction at the 4140 area → clear presence of passive Sell Limit absorption
Demand POI at 4091–4089 held exceptionally well → main bullish mitigation zone
3. Trading Zones (POI)
✅ BUY Zone (Discount Area)
4091 – 4089
Demand + previous CHoCH + fib 1.272 confluence
Ideal low-risk long setup within Discount
Suggested SL: 4087
BUY Scenario:
Price retraces to POI → shows bullish reaction → long toward Premium.
❗️ SELL Zones (Premium Area)
Aggressive Sell Zone:
4143 – 4145
SL: 4147
Optimal Sell Zone:
4160 – 4162
Major supply + imbalance + fib 2.618 extension
Highest probability for reversal
SL: 4165
4. Trade Scenarios
📌 Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Price retraces into 4091–4089 Demand
Look for CHoCH/BOS confirmation on lower timeframe
Enter BUY → target 4143 → 4160
→ Classic SMC model: Buy from Discount → Sell from Premium.
📌 Alternative Scenario
If price rallies straight into 4143–4162 without retracement:
ONLY enter SELL when a clear bearish CHoCH or strong rejection forms
Target: 4100 → 4090
5. Intraday Bias
→ Bullish in Discount zones – Bearish in Premium zones.
Trade based on orderflow → Do not chase price in the middle range.
6. Summary
BUY: 4091–4089 (SL 4087) → TP: 4140 – 4160
SELL:
• 4143–4145 (SL 4147)
• 4160–4162 (SL 4165)
Wait for confirmation at each POI; avoid mid-range entries.
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 4038.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4059.3
Recommended Stop Loss - 4026.8
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
New Leg Up Possible, Yet I Expect Another Decline Toward 491. What Happened Since Yesterday
In yesterday’s analysis, I highlighted the possibility of a rebound from the confluence support and mentioned that Silver could rise toward the 50.50 resistance.
Not only did Silver reach that target — it broke above it, and the price is now trading above 51.00.
The bullish momentum was stronger than expected, confirming buyers stepped in aggressively from support.
2. Current Market Context
With price holding above 51, the short-term chart structure is slightly bullish, and a new leg up is possible in the immediate term.
However, despite this strength, I believe the overall correction is not yet complete. Silver has a habit of producing sharp counter-trend moves before continuing the broader direction.
3. Technical Outlook
Key levels to monitor:
Resistance:
- 52.00 – major short-term barrier; ideal area to search for shorts
- 50.50 – intraday resistance turned support
Support / Downside target:
- 49.00 – the next major support and my preferred downside target
Until Silver breaks and holds above 52, upside continuation remains limited in my view.
4. Trading Plan
My plan is straightforward:
If price reaches the 52 zone, I will look for short entries.
Downside target is 49.
I will reassess the bias only if Silver starts to stabilize well above 52, which would shift the structure back to bullish.
5. Conclusion
Silver exceeded expectations on the rebound, but the larger corrective structure appears intact.
Short-term upside is possible, yet I still expect another leg down, with 49 as the main target.
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 4089.3
Stop Loss - 4079.3
Take Profit - 4109.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QuyetP | XAUUSD Rises on Point — Waiting for the Key LevelTVC:GOLD ’s move up wasn’t noise — it lined up with the broader market tone.
U.S. real yields dipped again this week (10y TIPS down ~4 bps), and that almost always gives gold a little oxygen to breathe.
TVC:DXY also stalled under 104.5, not breaking higher, which removes short-term pressure on XAUUSD.
And yeah… the inverse head & shoulders played out clean. Not explosive, but directional. Real.
Now I’m watching how price reacts at $4k1. That zone matters because that zone last shown the equal strength of buyers n sellers. If buyers step in with conviction, the move continues. If they hesitate… then waiting is the smarter trade.
We’re traders, not prophets.
Chart goes first — we react after.
See the previous analysis in the link below.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Continuation After Pullback
There is a high chance that Silver will go up from the underlined support.
A bullish breakout if a neckline of an inverted head & shoulders pattern
provides a strong confirmation.
Expect a rise to 53.2 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Consolidates Within Symmetrical Triangle as Bulls Defend 4KGold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a well-defined consolidation pattern following its strong rally earlier in the quarter. The metal is currently forming a symmetrical triangle, bounded by rising support near 4,000 and descending resistance around 4,250. This setup reflects a period of equilibrium between buyers and sellers as momentum stabilizes after recent highs.
The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near 3,965 remains an important dynamic support, while the 200-day SMA far below at 3,427 indicates the broader uptrend remains intact. Price recently rebounded from the triangle’s lower boundary and the 50-day SMA, suggesting that short-term buyers are still active within the structure.
Momentum readings are neutral to mildly constructive. The MACD lines are flattening after a bearish crossover, signaling reduced downside momentum, while the RSI hovers near 56, consistent with balanced but improving sentiment.
As long as gold remains above the 4,000 region, focus stays on a potential breakout from this converging pattern — with direction likely dictated by whether bulls can overcome the upper trendline resistance or if sellers regain control near that zone.
-MW
GOLD → Market support, exit from consolidationFX:XAUUSD is feeling market support ahead of the news. The price is rebounding from trend support, breaking through strong resistance and enjoying high interest from bulls...
The rise in demand for defensive assets is driven by concerns about the overvaluation of technology stocks and weak US labor market data. The number of applications for unemployment benefits rose significantly in October. Private employers cut jobs for four weeks. The Fed minutes may show disagreement over the regulator's future policy, and the probability of a rate cut in December is estimated at 50/50. The market's attention is focused on September NFP data (forecast: +50K).
Gold is awaiting signals from the Fed and employment data. The Fed's cautious stance and weak NFP data could support further price growth.
Resistance levels: 4145 - 4211
Support levels: 4097, 4082, 4055
Gold is entering a long zone. Any correction could be a good opportunity to enter the market. Pay attention to key support levels for trend trading...
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY - HUGE BULLISH TO $202 INCOMING!USDJPY is preparing for a huge bullish run in the coming years UPWARDS of $200! This is an amazing investment opportunity for long term traders & investors.
Prepare for this move, as opportunities like this bull run barely come along!
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 2 Complete (5 Sub-Wave Complex Correction).
⭕️Dollar Index Bullish.
⭕️Bullish Distribution Formed.
XAGUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 51.30
- Strong overlap resistance
- 38.2% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 52.077
- Pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 50.097
- Strong overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
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WTI resumes slideExcess supply concerns continue to hold back oil each time it tries to stage a recovery, and today it looks like the market has decided that it wants to trade below $60 per barrel. WTI has been testing this barrier from underneath for a few days but today it looks like the advance has been rejected once again. Prices have broken below the lows of the past two days, thus triggering some stops. From here $58.00 could be the next stop, below which there is nothing significant in terms of support until $55.00.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
SILVER TO 65 $ ?Silver is undergoing a consolidation in the 47 to 54 $ range recently.
There is an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming right now.
The implied price objective of 65 $
At a time where many (even smart) invesors are waiting for a dip down to 40 (and even 30) $ could that be the surprise that hot assets offer in a raging bull market ?
The pattern is there ! Will it play out ?
I am positioned.
Gold Roadmap => Short-termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving below the Support zone($4,053 – $4,025) , but given the cluster of supports ahead , we can consider this beak is a fake break .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that gold has completed its wave 5 near the support lines , and we can anticipate a corrective upward movement .
Also, we can observe positive Regular Divergence (RD+) in consecutive valleys.
I expect Gold to rise to the Resistance zone($4,125 – $4,097) in the next step after breaking the Resistance lines and confronting the $4,073 level .
First Target: $4,091
Second Target: $4,113
Stop Loss(SL): $3,987
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 19thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4082
1-Hour Resistance: 4120, Support: 4098
Technically, the weekly candlestick chart shows a rebound, indicating confirmed support. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a hammer pattern after the rise, strengthening confidence in the technical rebound. Intraday, the effectiveness of the Bollinger Middle Band support needs to be monitored. The 4000 level has stabilized in the short term. News and data in the next few trading days will remain a key focus for the market. Now that 4100 has been broken, short-term traders can follow the trend. If the NY market experiences a slight pullback, it's also a good opportunity to buy, targeting the 4220/4250 area. We need to focus on the probability of a December rate cut; if it returns to above 60%, gold could accelerate its upward movement.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded strongly in the European session, with the price action within an upward channel. Having broken through 4100, the short-term trend suggests further continuation. Watch for support levels from the MACD/KDJ indicators. For the European and American sessions, consider buying on a pullback to around 4095/4082.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4095~4082
SELL: 4150~4158
More Analysis →
Gold: A counterattack from the bullsGold rebounded yesterday after testing lower levels, initially falling before rising. The weekly chart shows a pullback to near 3998, finding some support. The RSI indicator remains near the midline, and the price is trading around the middle Bollinger Band. On the shorter-term 4-hour chart, moving averages are converging, the RSI is near the midline, and the price is trading between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands. Technically, gold is maintaining a wide-range trading structure. The trading strategy remains to buy low and sell high, with the intraday range to watch being 4040-4110.
Gold opened slightly higher today. The daily chart is forming a contracting triangle pattern, suggesting further upside potential. However, don't forget the release of the Fed meeting minutes during the New York session today; this news could be positive for gold, and upward momentum might be released before the news. Support below 4000 is very strong, and market sentiment has shifted from bearish to bullish. There is a high probability that the rebound will continue today; the trading strategy is to buy on dips, focusing on buying at support levels.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4062, Second Support: 4043, Third Support: 4025
First Resistance: 4090, Second Resistance: 4108, Third Resistance: 4126
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
Buy: 4045-4050, SL: 4035, TP: 4070-4080;
Sell: 4115-4120, SL: 4130, TP: 4100-4090;
More Analysis →






















