Gold: The $4K - make it or break it?Gold was holding higher grounds during the previous week. Its price was moving in a relatively shorter range, between $4.002 and $4.130. Charts are showing a sort of narrowing moves within this range, in which sense, it might be expected a break in the coming period, whether to the up- or to the downside. The catalyst for such a move might be expectations of the Fed rate cut in December. Posted delayed jobs data are showing mixed signals, with the unemployment rate modestly increased in September to 4,4% from 4,3% previously.
The RSI was moving around the level of 50 during the week, reflecting the price movements without a clear trend. The MA200 is now strongly converging toward the MA50, where the potential cross might be expected in the near term period.
The support line at $4K remains strong, while it has not been tested during the week. The move above the $4.100 also remains a high challenge for gold at this moment. Considering the narrowing of price range traded during the day, a break to one side might be expected in the week(s) ahead. On the downside, the $4K remains a support, while a break from this level would lead the price of gold down to $3.920. On the upside, the $4,1K remains a short resistance, while the break of this level would lead the price toward the $4,2K.
Commodities
In the game of global trade, the referee is gold!!!What appears to be the convergence of two long-term downtrends formed by the parity of the gold to bitcoin ratio, and at this point when gold has broken its grip (thanks to the foolishness of Western governments past and present), we should see the price rise to the 1.59 range.
This is evidence that gold prices, even if they have not increased since the time of writing, are still in high demand! And gold is the best judge of the global economy!
Good luck
Copper continues to grow!The two price targets I envision on the chart, which indicate continued upward swings, are the powerful candles of the last two weeks that have made it easier to reach these targets in the medium term, and other than time, which requires more patience, I don't see any reason why we won't reach the desired target!
XAUUSD (Gold) – Target Analysis...(XAUUSD) Target Analysis based on my chart (2H timeframe):
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📌 XAUUSD (Gold) – Target Analysis
My chart shows:
A long-term ascending trendline
Price breaking below the trendline
Price also falling inside / below the Ichimoku cloud
A downward arrow drawn toward a lower support zone
This setup indicates bearish continuation.
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🎯 Main Target (Based on my Marked Level)
$3,940 – $3,960 zone
This matches the “Target Point” you marked on my chart.
This level is a strong support area where price may reach after the trendline break.
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📉 Why This Target Is Valid
Trendline breakdown indicates a shift from bullish → bearish
Price is below cloud → bearish momentum
Clean space below, meaning no strong support until $3,940 area
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📌 Suggested Trade Plan
Entry: After clean breakdown retest (approx. $4,030 – $4,050)
Stop-Loss: Above trendline → $4,085 – $4,100
Take Profit: $3,940 – $3,960
ETH/USD 1H Chart Pattern.📌 ETH/USD 1H Analysis
I have drawn two target levels on my chart, and based on the trendline break + Ichimoku signals, my targets look correct.
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1️⃣ Trendline Break
ETH has broken the downward trendline, which shows the beginning of bullish momentum.
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2️⃣ Ichimoku Cloud
Price is trying to move above the cloud.
If a candle closes above the cloud on 1H, the bullish continuation becomes stronger.
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🎯 Target Levels (Based on my Chart)
✔ Target 1 (Short-Term)
$3,040 – $3,060
This is the first resistance zone and the first realistic target after the breakout.
✔ Target 2 (Extended Target)
$3,220 – $3,250
If ETH breaks Target 1 with strong volume, it can move toward this higher target.
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Suggested Trading Plan
Stop-Loss: $2,775 – $2,785
Take Profit 1: $3,040
Take Profit 2: $3,230
ETH/USD (1H timeframe) ...ETH/USD (1H timeframe) on Coinbase, and it’s clearly showing a raisin trendline test with two downside “Target Points” already drawn. Let’s break it down:
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🔍 Chart Analysis
Price is $3,441, sitting right on the ascending trendline.
Ichimoku Cloud is turning bearish (price below the cloud).
Trendline break looks likely — momentum is weak and candles are closing below the cloud.
Two target zones (downside) are marked on my chart.
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📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If ETH breaks and closes below the ascending trendline (~$3,440 area):
First Target (TP1): around $3,230 – $3,250
→ This aligns with previous horizontal support and midpoint of the last bounce.
Second Target (TP2): around $3,000 – $3,050
→ This is my deeper support zone — the next strong demand level on the chart.
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⚠ Invalidation / Stop-Loss
If ETH closes back above $3,520 – $3,540, that would invalidate the bearish move (trendline reclaim + cloud flip).
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🧭 Trade Summary
Entry (Breakdown): Below 3,440
TP1: 3,240
TP2: 3,020
SL: 3,540
GOLD MARKET OVERVIEWAfter last week's sell mitigating 3990's, we saw gold make a bullish pullback up till 4060's before the market closed on friday. This weekm gold opens with nearish sentimens as gold 4040's inti currently ranges between 4040's with $20 decline in price from last weeks close.
4030 is a vital zone and if it breaks we may go lower up tilll 4010's.
Higher time frame bullish bias still valid.
Gold: Overview 24.11This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello, traders and investors!
The gold price on the daily timeframe is in a sideways range.
A seller initiative is active, with a target at 3928.
On the daily chart, the levels 4133 and 4154 are of interest for potential short opportunities, as well as the 4110 level — which is both an hourly timeframe level and the high of a seller candle with increased volume.
The first target for short positions is 3998.
Long positions should be considered only when we see signs of buyer strength on the daily timeframe — this may happen near 3998 or 3928.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Is This the Start of the Next Natural Gas Upswing?💨 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) — “Profit Pathway Setup” 🎯 Swing / Day Trade Edition
📊 Market Overview:
The Energies Market is heating up — and Natural Gas is showing its next potential boom move! After a confirmed Moving Average Breakout, bulls are sneaking back in. 🕵️♂️
This setup blends discipline + creativity, using the Thief-Trader layered entry method — designed to catch price action efficiently while minimizing emotional errors. ⚙️
⚔️ Trade Plan (Bullish Setup):
Entry Zones (Layered Buys):
🟩 3.500
🟩 3.600
🟩 3.700
(You can expand your buy layers depending on your own comfort and risk plan.)
Stop-Loss (Thief SL):
🧯 3.350 — just below the nearest lower-low candle wick.
💬 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — this SL is a personal style choice, not a fixed rule. Manage your risk your way.
Target (Profit Escape Zone):
🎯 4.100 — a strong resistance + overbought + trap + distribution zone.
💬 Reminder: I’m not forcing my TP; you’re the boss of your own bag — make your profits, then take them! 💰
📈 Why This Setup Works:
🧠 Technical Confirmation: MA breakout = bullish continuation in progress.
🎯 Layering Strategy: Multiple limit orders reduce average cost + improve flexibility.
🏗️ Structural Setup: Clear accumulation → breakout → markup pattern emerging.
🧩 Exit Logic: Resistance + trap-zone = high-probability exit zone for profit capture.
🌍 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Check):
💹 NYMEX:NG1! — Natural Gas futures benchmark, strong global mirror.
AMEX:UNG — U.S. NatGas ETF; sentiment confirmation.
🛢️ BLACKBULL:WTI / BLACKBULL:BRENT — closely tied to energy flow; when oil strengthens, gas often follows.
⚡ TVC:DXY — dollar strength can inversely impact commodity demand.
💵 FX:EURUSD — macro correlation to risk appetite across energy & FX.
Keep eyes on these pairs — their momentum helps confirm or contradict your NatGas bias. 👀
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Trend Bias: Bullish
💪 Setup Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid
🧮 Risk : Reward: Favorable above 1 : 3
⏳ Holding Window: Short-term → Mid-term (2 – 5 days typical)
🧭 Trade Management: Stick to your plan — don’t chase, layer smart.
⚠️ Pro Tip:
If price breaks below 3.350, it’s a signal to step aside — no hero moves. 🛑
Price structure > emotions. Stay patient, and let the plan do the heavy lifting. 🧘♂️
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NaturalGas #XNGUSD #EnergyTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #CommodityTrading #ForexTrading #TradingIdeas #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis #EnergyMarkets #TradingView #ChartAnalysis
Weekly Market Forecast: Indices Are Weak! Wait For Sells!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of Nov 24-29th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Potential bullish bounce?Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,928.53
1st Support: 3,823.55
1st Resistance: 4,200.91
Disclaimer:
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USOIL: Bullish Continuation
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USOIL chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD ANALYSIS 11/24/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is stabilizing after a recent period of weakness as markets expect the Fed to maintain lower interest rates in 2025, reducing pressure on gold.
• US Stock Market:
U.S. equities are seeing slight corrections, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes. When stocks stall, gold often benefits.
• FED:
Recent weak economic data has increased expectations that the Fed will cut rates earlier in 2025. Any dovish signals from the Fed will support gold prices.
• TRUMP Administration:
The Trump administration is considering a new economic stimulus package and adjustments to import taxes. Protectionist-leaning policies may cause volatility in the USD, but generally increase safe-haven demand — supporting gold.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has recently shown mixed buying and selling, indicating capital flows are not yet surging but also no longer experiencing heavy outflows. This is a neutral signal but slightly supportive of price stability.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East and concerns about the upcoming EU elections keep defensive capital flows active. These factors help support gold and limit the risk of deep declines.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is in a mild risk-off state, with capital shifting toward safe assets, though not strongly yet. This aligns with gold maintaining its base and having the potential to break out if key technical levels are breached.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Price is maintaining a long-term uptrend line from early November.
• A compression triangle pattern has been broken to the upside — a clear bullish signal.
• The 4,064 level is a key retest zone currently being tested.
• If this zone holds, upside targets will expand.
• RSI on the M30 timeframe is in a balanced zone, not overbought — favorable for further upside movement.
Conclusion: The trend leans bullish as long as price does not break below the trendline and the 4,029 zone.
RESISTANCE: 4,096 – 4,125 – 4,193
SUPPORT: 4,029 – 4,000 – 3,964
3. Yesterday’s Market (21/11/25):
• Gold fluctuated strongly from the 4,029 support area and bounced back along the trendline.
• Buyers dominated late in the session, setting up a foundation for today’s recovery.
• Volatility has been narrowing, signaling a potential breakout.
4. Strategy for Today (24/11/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4147 – 4145
SL: 4153
TP1: 4137
TP2: 4129
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 3964 – 3966
SL: 3960
TP1: 3972
TP2: 3978
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 24 - Nov 28]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD price continued to hold above the support level of 4,000 USD/oz, but the risk of price decline is increasing due to geopolitical tensions and expectations that the FED will cut interest rates at the December meeting is not enough to create a strong rebound for gold prices.
The gold price next week may continue to fluctuate in a narrow range, waiting for US economic data to clarify the FED's interest rate reduction roadmap.
Retail sales and producer price index (PPI) reports, along with other data due next week, could help us get a better idea of the US economic situation. If the US economic data is below expectations, it could increase expectations for a Fed rate cut in December, pushing gold back above $4,100/oz next week. However, if these data continue to reduce expectations for a Fed rate cut, gold could break the important support level of $4,000/oz next week, opening the door to $3,845-$3,800/oz.
However, in the long term, gold prices are still expected to continue to rise as central banks continue to buy, although the pace of buying may slow down due to the high gold price. Moreover, gold has proven its value, even when compared to other stores of value such as cryptocurrencies, due to the sharp decline of bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the appeal of gold is still very large and has no rivals in the financial investment environment.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, an important support level is established around the 4,000 USD/oz threshold. If this level is broken, the gold price is at risk of falling deeply to 3,900 or even 3,850 USD/oz. In case the gold price forms a double bottom pattern at 4,000 and breaks through the 4,132 resistance level, there is a chance to recover above the 4,200 USD/oz threshold.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3964 - 3966⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3960
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAUUSD) – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone
1. Key Zone: Strong Demand / Rejection Area
Price has reacted multiple times inside the blue demand zone (around 4040–4035).
This zone aligns with Fibonacci levels (0.705–0.79), strengthening the bullish probability.
Each touch shows buyers stepping in (long wicks + strong rejections).
2. Falling Wedge Breakout
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside.
Price retested the wedge but dropped again to retest deeper inside the demand zone.
A bullish continuation is expected after one more dip into the zone (green arrow).
3. EMAs: Bullish Confluence
EMA 50 and EMA 200 are close, tightening and suggesting a potential trend shift.
Price is expected to bounce off the demand zone and climb above EMAs.
4. Projected Move
After tapping the demand zone, price is expected to:
Break above recent structure highs
Build bullish momentum toward the target point: 4,143.06
SMC Trading point
5. Overall Idea
This setup indicates a bullish continuation forming after a correction.
The blue zone is the high-probability buy zone, and the projected path suggests a move toward 4143 after confirmation.
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Silver is in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts






















