bullflag target of 10480 confluence w/ risingwedge breakdwn trgtI love the symmetry of equal and opposite reactions and am a big fan of the newtonian physics because I see them play out all the time including in the charts...that's why I decided to place the projected breakdown target line at the same exact price as the projected breakout target to see if any confluence would appear and in doing so you can see the breakdown target lines up precisely at the super strong horizontal support line at 8504 we've been talking about since early 2019. This is the perfect zone for this to land on as it fills the gap on the cme futures chart as well as provides a perfect zone to bounce from. I wouldn't be surprised if I busted a fib retracement out on it it would probably line up well with either the 61.8 or the 32 key fulcrum lines. Anyways for now its still speculation that it will break down from the wedge at this exact spot but will be fun to see how close it gets to my projection. I think it will set a bear trap convincing people that the golden cross might turn into a fakeout then once its gathers enough shorts it will resume bullishness and liquidate them all. Just my guess not financial advice. Thanks for reading!
Confluence
EURJPY Potential ReversalEURJPY Potential Reversal
we are waiting for a momentum candle close below 122.480 to sell this one
Reason:
1- Regular Bearish Divergence on MACD (in red)
2- Objective Wedge Pattern (in red)
3- Resistance Zone from H4 and Daily (in blue)
Three confluences are enough to consider Selling EURJPY , after a break below 122.480 (in gray)
Gold Miner ETF Holds Key ZoneGold miners have been consolidating for the last six months and now the Market Vectors Gold Miner ETF is bouncing at a potentially key level.
GDX peaked around $28 between late October and mid-December. It then broke out and has now pulled back to find support at the old resistance. There's also some confluence with the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages at the same area.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index just made another lower high below its 50-day SMA. This isn't a huge surprise given the Fed's strongly dovish stance -- especially after last week's poor non-farm payrolls report AND this week's tepid inflation numbers.
GDX could also serve as something of a hedge against downside in the broader market. While the S&P 500 isn't showing many clearly bearish signs yet, a lot of good news is potentially priced in.
XAUUSD
BTC Bullish Swing ConfirmationChart says it all. Huge upside potential.
Only thing to be weary of is falling back into the orange descending wedge. Right now I'm looking for a doji to form on the current candle and a bounce off of the orange wedge.
When this wedge holds we will know the bottom for BTC in for this cycle. I hope you've been accumulating...
scripts + confluence = confidence for bitcoin longboth scripts have shown great results across the 3 day bitcoin chart but what makes this last move favorable long term is:
3day 200ma below price
ScriptA cloud thinning about to produce a long 'L' signal
Parasar now below price
7ema and 14ema have crossed above scriptA cloud
ScriptB is already a buy signal
^^^ would be a brutal bull trap to create these signals on htf and not continue to >$9k, second chance for those to ride this beautiful wave...
to take advantage of these scripts please visit tradingscripts.best
NZDUSD Big Short Opportunity ComingNZDUSD has been in a widening wedge pattern and has formed a shooting star candle on the daily timeframe. These are both signs of a reversal. Multiple confluence list:
1. Daily shooting star with 3rd test of trendline
2. Daily RSI overbought with 4 Hr RSI bearish divergence
Entry around 0.66150 with stop above high at 0.66450. TP1 0.65550 TP2 0.64550
This is for educational purposes only. This is in no way intended to be financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
Price near 61.8. Break out on minor trend line From the large time frame price is near 61.8 level. This is a close to an area of structure.
The weekly trend is downwards so this would be countering the main trend. However a small break out has shown itself on the 30 minute chart.
Couple this with RSI divergence and we should see some bullish momentum until the descending trendline.
EURUSD LongThe Euro has broken out of a descending channel and is about to retest the break of the channel for a long entry at 1.10100 confluent at the 38% fib. TP1 @ 1.10500 & TP 2 @ 1.10700 Stop below 1.09900. This is for educational purposes only. This is in no way intended to be financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
AUDUSD complete analysis (Part-2)AUDUSD complete analysis (Part-2):
1. The price was very close to completing cypher pattern at 0.67683 but missed 78.6 price. In such cases we usually get a deeper cypher at 1.618 Fib Extension
2. At 0.67347 we have confluence of :
0.886 Fib Level,
1.618 Fib Extension
Cross Trend Line
HTF Support Line
Possible RSI divergence
3. This is a great place to take a Long Position.
GBPJPY Support and Resistance Trading StrategySTRATEGY: S&R Trading Strategy
ID: 1209
Analysis TF: 1D
Focus TF: 1H
AOV: Minor Resistance Area
ET (1H): Bearish Engulfing
CP: Ascending Channel
1D Analysis
MS: Sideways - Price is moving in a range
1H Analysis:
CP: Ascending Channel - Price is moving inside the Ascending Channel. However, price failed to break above minor resistance of 140.597. It also looks like price made a pullback under the Ascending Channel.
Price closed with Bearish Engulfing which act as our Entry Trigger (ET).
Short Position
SL: Just above the Minor resistance (140.618)
TP: 2.19R - Just before Major Support
Note: This post is my personal journal/opinion only. Please trade at your own risk.
CADJPY Ascending/Descending Channel Support Zone ConfluenceSTRATEGY: Chart Patter/S&R Strategy (Ascending and Descending Channel)
Focus TF: 4H
TP Target: 2.04R
ET: 1H - Abandoned Baby; Bullish Engulfing
AOV: Ascending and Descending Channels' Support Zone (Confluence)
1D Analysis:
Long Term - Price moving inside a large Ascending Channel.
Short Term - Inside Ascending Channel, there's a Descending Channel and the price approached both Large Ascending and Descending Channels' Support Zone.
Pin Bars occurred on the Support Zone showing rejection of the area. There is a high probability that the price will bounce and hit the Major Resistance (Horizontal) area.
4H Analysis:
Price struggled to create a new low, showing mini consolidation and price rejection of the Support Zone
1H Analysis:
ET:
- Abandoned Baby
- Bullish Engulfing - Series of Bullish Engulfing occurred on 1H TF. These are a great sign that price is ready to bounce and go up.
Note: This post is my personal journal/opinion only. Please trade at your own risk.
SPY will run out of gas soonMost of my posts will have a lot more verbiage associated with them than this one but in this case I think a careful analysis of the chart will reveal everything I want to convey. SPY is toppy here with Fibonacci extensions from two separate impulse wave together in a confluence zone. I see 315 as a potential top if we manage to get there. As always anything is possible as I think we will know soon per the duration of previous up-trends if we will make many more new highs or capitulate, I'm leaning towards the latter scenario.
PYPL - high confluence bounceAt first glance this chart is a bit of a mess. There are many intermingling trend-lines, but my eyes are drawn to a falling wedge which I have colored with blue to help it stand out. After some analysis, Friday's (11/8) candle has bounced in a very interesting place. Prior resistance (red line & arrows), a newly confirmed up-trend (light-gray), our blue down trend and the 61.8% retracement.
Decent volume on this bounce, comparable to previous bounces along this trend-line.
RSI appears to be confirming the move.
I think we chop below $102 for a few days but eventually revisit the falling wedge top.
That is the end of the dump for Bitcoin. Next target @ $11,600That was it folks. Thanks for playing.
After that incredible pump from $7,400 to $10,600, we were guaranteed a nice big pullback to enter for the next leg up. As it happens, Bitcoin has just wicked down to the candle-body highs of the previous range, along with the 0.618 confluence of the bullish move from the $7400 lows.
I have increased my long position from this move today as I see it a premium buying opportunity, and the last significant low we will see for a while. If we dip below $8450 I will begin to pay serious attention to PA as it develops. Today's candle has already wicked back up near the 200DEMA and nearly reclaimed it as support.
If we do fail to reclaim the 200DEMA, I think we may be in a lot of trouble. Price has shown strong rejection from the 200DEMA both as a support and resistance level. To close on the other side would be very bleak for future bullish narratives.
As if to mock me, Bitcoins price has just moved down further away from the damn 200DEMA. Typical.
Target for this trade is at $11,600 area to take a bit off, before re-entering on the pullback for the move to 20k, finally.
Then the ATH's will come fast.
Keep it simple. Buy low, and sell way fucking high.






















