BNB/USDT: Bullish Breakout from H&S and Pennant FormationHi guys!
The chart clearly shows a bullish structure forming after a strong upward move. Initially, the price completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. After the breakout above the neckline, the market continued to climb and started consolidating into a bullish pennant pattern , a continuation setup that typically follows a sharp rally (flagpole).
The pennant breakout confirms renewed bullish momentum, suggesting the next leg higher is underway. Based on the flagpole projection, the measured targets are around $1,282 for the first resistance zone and $1,362 as the extended upside target.
In summary:
Patterns identified: Inverse Head and Shoulders + Bullish Pennant
Trend direction: Bullish continuation
Targets: $1,282 and $1,362
Outlook: Positive as long as price holds above the pennant breakout level
Contains image
BITCOIN ENDING DIAGONAL: $160K OR $120K? (1HR CRITICAL UPDATE)While I typically avoid short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC analysis, this 1hr setup is too critical to ignore. Price is painting a textbook Elliott Wave pattern that could deliver a explosive move.
CURRENT STRUCTURE:
• Waves 1 & 2 ✅ COMPLETE
• Wave 3 (extended) now forming an ENDING DIAGONAL
• Current trading near critical "BUY BACK Area"
IMMEDIATE SCENARIOS:
BULL CASE (70%):
• Bounce from current BB-Zone → Push to complete Wave 3 at $129K-$130K
• Brief Wave 4 correction to $125K
• Wave 5 launch toward $136K+
• Final blow-off top: $140K-$160K
BEAR INVALIDATION:
• Break below $123K → Drop to $120K
• This invalidates the diagonal pattern
KEY LEVELS:
• Must Hold: $123K
• Buy Zone: $121K-$123K
• Wave 3 Target: $129K-$130K
• Wave 4 Pullback: $125K
• Wave 5 Target: $136K+
The next few hours are CRITICAL. This ending diagonal suggests exhaustion in the current move, we either get one final push to $130K or breakdown to $120K.
Like if you're watching these levels! Share if you agree with this analysis! Comment with your take!
Gold Grid Trading Overview: Effective Strategy for 20% gains🪙 Gold Breakout-Stop Grid Strategy: Overview & Rationale
Grid trading is often built using limit orders above and below a base price, expecting the market to oscillate and capture many small profits. But in a strongly trending or volatile asset like gold, there is often breakout momentum that drives price through grid zones rather than bouncing.
By instead using buy stops above and sell stops below (i.e. breakout triggers), you capture directional thrusts, while still retaining a grid structure (i.e. multiple layers). Think of it as a hybrid between a breakout strategy and a grid.
Key advantages in gold:
• ✨ Gold often exhibits strong trending phases, with momentum after breakouts of supply/demand zones.
• 📊 Volatility is higher than many forex pairs, so you can space your grid more widely, reducing overcrowding.
• 🎯 With breakout stops, you reduce “false bounce” whipsaws inside the range; only when momentum validates do you trigger entries.
Risks / caveats:
• ⚠️ If price doesn’t break strongly and whipsaws, you could trigger and then reverse, creating drawdown.
• 📉 In a sideways gold market, fewer breakouts may be triggered, lowering trade frequency.
• 🛡 You must carefully size exposure and use drawdown controls, especially with leverage.
I’ll now walk through how to set this up, with gold-tailored specifics and sample trades (with increased aggressiveness), using realistic current spot prices (≈ $3,862) Investing.com.
________________________________________
🧮 Setup: Account, Leverage, Risk & Grid Sizing
📋 Account & Leverage
• Account size: $10,000
• Leverage: 1:100
• This means your maximum notional exposure is huge but margin and maintenance rules will limit you.
• We’ll now risk ~20–25%+ of equity in an aggressive version of this system (in order to aim for 20-30% weekly), i.e. $2,000–$2,500 at most drawdown limit for a grid run.
Note: This is very aggressive and only for demonstration. Many traders would never risk this much per grid.
💰 Risk per Grid Step (Aggressive Version)
• Let’s target $50 risk per triggered order (instead of $10) so that each step is meaningful.
• That means if a triggered order goes adverse by its maximum “stop zone,” your loss is $50.
• If you trigger, say, 5 steps, that’s $250 worst case on that direction (if all hit adverse).
• You must still cap total drawdown (e.g. 25% or $2,500) and limit exposures.
📈 Gold Contract & Price Movements
• Spot gold (XAU/USD) currently trades about $3,862.74 Investing.com.
• Let’s assume a contract specification such that 1 standard lot gives $100 per $1 move (so $1.00 move = $100) — a common ballpark in retail gold CFDs.
• Then:
• A move of $0.01 = $1 (for 1 lot).
• Therefore, if you trade 0.50 lots, a $1 move = $50.
So with this, to get ~$50 risk per $1 adverse move, 0.50 lots is a candidate (because $1 adverse × 0.50 lots × $100/lot = $50).
You can scale lot sizes accordingly.
📏 Grid Spacing & Levels (Realistic & Aggressive)
Given gold’s volatility, use wider spacing. Let’s choose:
• Grid spacing = $3.50 between successive triggers (a robust distance).
• We’ll place buy stops and sell stops relative to a base zone around current spot.
Let’s pick base ~ $3,860 as our pivot.
So:
• Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50, $3,874.00, $3,877.50
• Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50, $3,846.00, $3,842.50
(Max 5 levels each side, but you may cap to 3–5.)
Take Profit / Exit Logic:
• Target profit per trade = $3.50 (same as spacing).
• Thus one successful step = $3.50 × lot_size × $100.
• If lot_size = 0.50 lots, $3.50 × 0.50 × $100 = $175 profit per triggered trade.
• If you get 3 successful triggers in a run: 3 × $175 = $525 gross.
• That’s 5.25% on $10,000 in one clean directional run (before commissions/slippage).
You see the scaling is now aggressive — you risk more per step, but also gain more per successful trade. Limit how many triggers you allow (e.g. max 3–4 per side) to cap exposure.
Define a hard equity stop: e.g. if floating drawdown > 25% ($2,500), close all and reset.
________________________________________
🧭 Trade Example: How It Plays Out in Gold (Realistic Prices & Aggression)
We’ll do two detailed scenarios. This time we target higher returns, with real price zones.
________________________________________
🎯 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout
Base price: ~$3,860 (spot)
Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50
Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50
Lot sizing: 0.50 lots per order (so $3.50 adverse = $175 risk).
TP per trade: +$3.50
Sequence:
1. Gold climbs and breaks $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1 at 3,863.50
o TP at 3,867.00 → profit if reached = ($3.50 × 0.50 × $100) = $175
2. Momentum continues, price breaks 3,867.00 → triggers Buy #2 there
o TP at 3,870.50 → another $175
3. Price surges, breaks 3,870.50 → triggers Buy #3 → TP = 3,874.00 → +$175
If all three succeed: Gross = $525 (5.25% gain) in one directional move.
If you allow up to 4 or 5 levels, total can scale to ~$700–900 (7–9%) in a strong move — if all hits. If reversal? If price reverses after buy #2, or before buy #3, you can:
• Close open longs immediately when opposite side’s sell stop triggers.
• Or cancel further buy stops once a reversal signal appears.
• Or net positions (if your broker supports hedging) — but that adds complexity.
Better to disable opposite side (sell stops) after the first buy triggers, to avoid collision exposures.
________________________________________
🔻 Scenario B: Bearish Breakout
Same base zone. Now price breaks downward.
• Sell stops at: 3,856.50, 3,853.00, 3,849.50
• TP each = –$3.50 from entry.
Sequence:
1. Gold breaks 3,856.50 → Sell #1 → target 3,853.00 → profit $175
2. Continues down, breaks 3,853.00 → Sell #2 → target 3,849.50 → +$175
3. Breaks 3,849.50 → Sell #3 → target 3,846.00 → +$175
If all three succeed: $525 profit.
If you allowed 4 levels: e.g. break 3,846.00 next → target 3,842.50 → +$175 more → total $700. Again, reversal risk must be managed.
________________________________________
📊 Mixed / Whipsaw Scenario
Suppose price crosses above $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1, moves a bit, then reverses and crosses down through 3,856.50, triggering Sell #1.
You now hold:
• Long from $3,863.50 (losing)
• Short from $3,856.50 (potential profit)
This is a collision. To avoid chaotic risk:
• Cancel all opposite-side stops when first side triggers.
• Or immediately close all on first collision signal.
• Or lock in partial profit/loss and pause grid until trend clarity returns.
That’s why many breakout-grid strategies disable the opposite direction after first breakout.
________________________________________
📈 Profit Potential & Drawdown Estimates (Aggressive Model)
Let’s simulate one clean grid run (bullish) where 3 steps succeed fully:
• Gross profit = $525
• If you risked 3 steps * $175 = $525, worst-case these same 3 steps lose you $525 (if all adverse)
• Net = +5.25% in one run
• If you manage 2–3 such runs per week (if market allows), theoretically 10–15%+ weekly is possible — but that is optimistic.
However, in real life, not all runs will hit all targets — sometimes partial, sometimes losses. A drawdown of 25% ($2,500) is your cap boundary.
With that, if you undergo 5 bad runs in a row, you’d hit your equity stop.
If average win per run is $400 and average loss per bad run is $500, you need a favorable win-loss ratio to hit ~20–30% weekly. This is extremely aggressive.
________________________________________
🔁 Adaptive Mechanics & Enhancements (for robustness)
To improve consistency and manage risk, add:
• 📐 ATR-based spacing: Use a 14-period ATR on H4 or D1 to set grid spacing. If ATR = $4, spacing = $4 or $5.
• 📈 Trend filter: Only open buy-side grids when price > 200-period MA (H4 or D1), or only open sell-side when price < MA. Prevent fighting trend.
• 🚫 Volatility filter / news blocks: Do not place or trigger near major gold-related news (Fed, CPI, central bank announcements).
• 🔄 Grid rebase / reset: After a winning cycle, re-center grid around new price and restart stop orders.
• 📈 Scaling rules:
– Aggressive scaling: after n consecutive wins, increase lot size (within risk caps).
– Defensive scaling: after a loss, reduce lot size or skip grid.
• 🛑 Equity-stop / margin cap: If floating drawdown > 25% or margin usage > 80%, close all and reset.
• 🧊 Cooldown periods: After a loss or big run, pause grid orders for some hours/days to let market settle.
________________________________________
🧮 Worked Example: Multi-Cycle Over a Week (Aggressive)
Say you run 3 grid cycles in a week under trending conditions:
Cycle Direction Steps hit Gross profit Net (after one partial loss)
1 Up 3 out of 4 levels hit fully +$525 +$490 (small drawdown on partial)
2 Down 2 of 3 hit, 1 reversed +$350 +$320
3 Up 4 levels hit fully +$700 +$700
Total gross = $525 + $350 + $700 = $1,575
Net after adjustments/slippage ~ $1,450–$1,500
That’s ~ 14.5% gain in one week.
If the market is more favorable, you may hit ~20–30%, but the risk is commensurate.
Over multiple weeks the compounding is powerful — but a few big losses can wipe gains.
________________________________________
✅ Summary & Implementation Tips
• Use breakout stops (buy stops above, sell stops below) instead of limits to catch directional thrusts in gold.
• Wider grid spacing (e.g. $3–$5) is essential to survive volatility.
• Lot sizing must match your desired risk per step (here $50).
• Limit max triggers per direction and enforce a hard equity stop (e.g. 25%) to avoid blow-ups.
• Employ trend / volatility filters to filter low-probability entries.
• After a net winning run, rebase grid to current price.
• Use scaling and cooldown mechanics to moderate aggression.
• On collision signals, cancel opp side stops or close everything to avoid contradictory exposures.
XAUUSD - Target $4,000 in Sight ⭐️Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
XAUUSD has continued its strong upward momentum since the start of the week, breaking past the $3,950 level and approaching the psychological barrier of $4,000. Demand for gold has surged amid concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown and expectations that the Fed will lower interest rates in the coming months.
Technically, gold is holding steady above key support levels of $3,900 and $3,950. If it continues to break through the resistance at $3,977, the next target will be the $4,000 level. However, the RSI is currently in the overbought zone, suggesting that a slight pullback may occur before the uptrend continues.
Personally, the economic and political situation continues to support the bullish trend for gold, and if these factors remain favorable, gold could easily break the $4,000 mark in the near future, potentially going even higher.
👋What do you think about gold? Will it keep rising or will there be a correction? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H CHART IDEA, which is playing out beautifully.
We started the week strong with our bullish target at 3907 hit perfectly, followed with our EMA5 cross and lock above, which opened 3937, also achieved with precision. Shortly after, another EMA5 cross and lock above 3937 opened 3965, which was beautifully hit, completing this bullish range in our true textbook fashion.
No further lock was confirmed beyond 3965, resulting in a clean rejection, and we are now range bound between 3937 and 3965. We will continue to monitor this consolidation and wait for a confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above or below this range to confirm the next directional move.
Current Market Context
Price is now holding between two weighted levels, with 3937 acting as support and 3965 as resistance. A confirmed EMA5 cross and lock on either side of this range will determine the next breakout zone and the following targets.
Until confirmation, we expect price to test both boundaries, offering short-term bounce opportunities within the range.
As always, we continue to buy dips from support levels, targeting 20–40 pips per trade consistent with our proven structure based strategy over the past 24 months.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3907 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3937 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3965 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4019
BEARISH TARGETS
3880
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3848
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3781
3743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Holds 3,900 Support Amid Dollar Slowdown and Global TensionHey Traders, in today’s session we’re closely monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,900 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction approaching key trend support.
Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, with price consolidating after its recent highs. The 3,900 level stands out as a technical pivot where buyers could regain control.
Macro context: The US Dollar Index is approaching major daily resistance around 98.300, suggesting potential exhaustion in the current USD rebound. Meanwhile, political and fiscal developments in Japan where a notably dovish administration has just taken power could further support demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.
Market sentiment: A combination of fiscal expansion abroad and rising uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US government shutdown is fueling risk aversion. If these pressures persist, Gold could retest the 4,000 zone sooner than expected.
Key focus: Watching how price reacts around 3,900 for potential bullish continuation in line with the broader trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AUDUSD - Steady Uptrend with Strong Support ? 👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:AUDUSD ?
AUDUSD has maintained a steady uptrend over the past few months, primarily consolidating in a defined price channel, with the price holding above key support levels. Technically, the pair is currently testing the support zone that aligns with the ascending trendline. This trendline has proven to be a reliable support in the past and continues to be a focal point.
On the other hand, the Australian dollar benefits from a favorable economic outlook and rising commodity prices, which bolster investor confidence in the currency. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to concerns over economic growth and the potential policy adjustments by the Federal Reserve.
With these two factors in play, I remain optimistic about this currency pair. 💬How about you?
$Solana $250+ or DOWN 216?In our recent post, we perfectly predicted the touch of 250 and 190.
Price has now reversed off the supply zone and is making its way back up, lets see what the potential out come for the next two weeks are!
Solana (SOL/USDT) 1H Chart Analysis
Current Price: ~$232
Trend : Price is was inside a clear ascending channel, respecting support and resistance lines - however has now breached resistance.
Key Levels
Support Zones:
$225 → Psychological support + 4H FVG.
$216 → Deeper 4H FVG and strong volume node. ( + 4 Hour Fib GP )
$200 → Major psychological level + prior supply zone flip.
Resistance Zones:
$250 → Psychological resistance + demand zone.
$275 → Next major resistance if $250 breaks.
Bullish Scenario
If SOL holds above $225 and consolidates within the trend channel, price could retest $250.
Break and close above $250 may extend rally toward $275.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold $225 could drag SOL to the $216 FVG or even $208.
A breakdown of $208 increases risk of revisiting $200.
Summary
Market structure remains bullish as long as price respects the rising trendline.
$225 is the key short-term pivot: holding above favors $250+, losing it opens downside risk toward $216–200.
Let me know what you think!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad open to the week with the support level not even needing to be visited and the red box breaking early session. We managed to complete all the red box targets again, in one swoop and now we're way stretched on price!
For that reason we would say resistance above 3880-5 needs to hold us down if visited first, and if we can get a RIP, potential to re-visit the order region 3850-55. We have to break above for higher at the moment, so please play caution. Sentiment is tipping not in the favour of bears, so pull backs may still remain limited.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3840
Bearish on break of 3830
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3890 for 3902✅, 3904✅, 3910✅, 3917✅, 3930✅ and 3933✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
As promised, here’s the latest update on our ongoing 1H Chart Idea, which continues to play out in true GoldViewFX fashion.
After completing all our previous bullish targets yesterday, we stated that price was now playing between 3937 and 3965, awaiting an EMA5 cross and lock to determine the next directional range.
3937 provided solid support and bounce, exactly as outlined. We then saw the 3965 retest, followed by a confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above, which has now opened 3993.
Price has already made a strong push upward, and we’re now waiting for the gap to complete before the next confirming continuation.
This move demonstrates yet again how our EMA5 cross and lock system continues to deliver accurate, repeatable setups with precision.
Current Market Context
We’re now trading above 3965, with momentum aligning for a potential test toward 3993. If we achieve a confirmed close above this level, the next bullish range toward 4019 will open. Until then, we’ll continue monitoring intraday price action and manage positions accordingly.
Bullish Progress Recap
✅ 3907 – Done
✅ 3937 – Done
✅ 3965 – Done
🎯 3993 – Now Open
📈 4019 – Next Target on EMA5 Cross & Lock Above 3993
Bearish Levels (Unchanged)
3880 – Key Support
3848 / 3819 – Below 3880 Opens Bearish Continuation
3781 / 3743 – Swing Range
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3907 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3937 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3965 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4019
BEARISH TARGETS
3880
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3848
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3781
3743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
ASTER/USDT: Critical Junction at Leading Diagonal's End The Price structure on ASTER is completing a potential Leading Diagonal pattern for Wave (I), a structure that typically marks the end of an early impulsive phase and the start of a much larger trend. The chart suggests we’re in the final wave of this formation, with market compression signaling an explosive move ahead.
A breakout above $2.4427 would confirm completion of the diagonal and trigger the next bullish impulse, targeting $6.2285 in the medium term. However, a breakdown below the Immediate Area of interest near $1.7224 would invalidate the structure and expose the price to a deeper correction into the $0.80–$1 main demand zone for re-accumulation opportunity.
At this stage, the market is coiled tightly momentum is building, and the next decisive move will define direction. We should remain patient and let confirmation guide positioning.
Action plan: Watch for a confirmed break above $2.4427 for long activation, with stops below $1.7224.
Do you agree with my findings on this coin? Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to like and share!
Lingrid | GOLD Persistent Bullish Trajectory ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is holding firm above 3900 after setting a new ATH near 3980 within the upward channel. Price action confirms bullish structure, with higher lows and trend continuation signals. A rejection support zone near 3920 could open the path for a retest of the 4000 psychological resistance. Momentum structure suggests bulls remain in control while targeting the upper boundary of the channel near 4000.
⚠️ Risks:
A breakdown below 3920 could trigger correction toward 3819.
Stronger USD remarks may limit upside potential.
Weakening global demand data could dampen gold’s bullish momentum.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
USDJPY - Strong Rise as the New Week Begins👋Hello everyone, let's dive into FX:USDJPY !
USDJPY has recently shown significant upward momentum. While the USD has faced some challenges lately, it is still outperforming the Japanese yen due to Japan's economic difficulties and lower interest rates. This fundamental driver has led to a strong push as the new week begins.
On the chart, we can see that USDJPY has bounced sharply from the lower trendline area and formed a large gap. The price is now facing nearby resistance, and personally, I believe USDJPY may experience a slight pullback to fill the gap before the current trend continues.
If the price holds above the trendline, I’m still betting on a breakout, with the target being the highs above the resistance zone.
💬What do you think about USDJPY? Will it continue to rise, or could a pullback occur due to USD weakness?
EURUSD: Buying Interest Builds at 1.1610 as Shutdown DragsHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.16100 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a strong daily support area at 1.16100 that aligns with the ascending trendline.
Structure: The market has been maintaining higher highs and higher lows, with the current retracement offering a potential continuation setup within the bullish structure.
Key level in focus: 1.16100 — a critical zone of confluence between daily support and trend structure, where buyers have previously shown strong interest.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing the 98.800 daily resistance while facing headwinds from the ongoing US government shutdown. Extended fiscal uncertainty and a weakening DXY backdrop strengthen the bullish case for EURUSD.
Next move: Watching price reaction at 1.16100 for potential bullish continuation — sustained buying pressure here could pave the way for a move toward recent highs.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Momentum Builds for $4000 TestThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD continues to demonstrate remarkable strength, with each pullback presenting fresh buying opportunities for astute investors. The market has established itself as a premier risk-off asset, attracting capital flows that sustain its bullish momentum across multiple timeframes.
The technical architecture shows gold trading at $3,886, firmly within its ascending channel that projects toward the psychologically significant $4,000 milestone. The chart illustrates a classic A-B-C movement followed by renewed impulse legs, suggesting the market is building energy for its next major thrust after breaking EQHs. The current positioning near $3,855 sits comfortably above the upward trendline, indicating structural integrity remains intact.
Historical patterns suggest caution at current elevations. September's explosive 12.65% gain created the foundation for this rally, but similar momentum surges have previously preceded meaningful retracements. The daily chart's correction zone around $4,000 - $4,100 combined with the monthly perspective showing gold approaching $4,000 after completing its ABC pattern indicates possible exhaustion. A 9-10% pullback toward the $3,600-$3,650 support zone would mirror previous consolidation behavior and align with the upward trendline support at $3,720.
The equal highs formation and flag pattern suggest institutional profit-taking may be imminent. Smart money would view any decline toward channel support as a strategic reload opportunity before gold's anticipated assault on $4,000 and beyond.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support lower and then attempt the move higher monitoring the red box above which was active. It’s at that box we wanted to see a reaction, either a break or a RIP and as you can see, price did break upside hitting our daily and weekly targets as well as the red box targets.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For the early part of the week we have the immediate support level at the 3870-65 region which lines up with the red box and is the level that needs to be broken to go lower. If we target this level in the early session and support, price may want to attempt a new all time high again, this time into the 3901 level and above that 3910-12. It’s that level of 3910-12 that needs to be monitored as a possibility of a RIP there can cause us to get a minor correction but as above, we need to break below 3865-70 to see a change in dynamic.
If we do break below that 3970 level and get a decent close, with a clear reversal, we can then look to target the lower levels 3855 and below that 3838 initially. I would like to see lower, but due to NFP this week instead of last week, we may continue to stretch upside or range up here before then getting a retracement into mean.
We’re going to leave it there and as usual we will update traders best we can during the week with the box targets and the analysis.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3840
Bearish on break of 3830
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3890 for 3902, 3904, 3910, 3917, 3930 and 3933 in extension of the move
Break below 3868 for 3865, 3855, 3850, 3843, 3837 and 3830 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
TOP down analysis and Scaling the Range setups.Hey whats up traders,
lets have a look to the Timeframe alignment's, its a key point to clarity in the setups. Price is fractal and what is happening on one timeframe we can find on lower timeframe also.
📌 Why it's important to use correct timeframes?
- We should use timeframes based on what type of traders we are, not just random.
- We cant trade M5 reversal from Monthly etc. There must be structured approach.
🧪 Know yourself
Based on your lifestyle, patience. Decide how much time you want to give to trading.
But remember - Trading is not employment. You are paid for best decisions & being in the right position, not for your time and effort. More trades are not equal more profits. Full time trading and day trading doesn't mean trading every and sit whole day behind PC.
🧪 What type of trader you are ?
• Position Trader - Trade the monthly range.
• Swing Trader - Trade the weekly range.
• Short Term Trader - Trade the daily range.
• Day Trader or Intraday Trader - Trade the daily candle's range.
• Scalper - Trade the hourly range.
🧩 Im mentioning ranges, because it's core of mechanical strategy, which I explained in the post below. 🔗Click to the picture below to learn more 👇
‼️ When analyzing the market don't start, just with the range. It's just one element of the trade. We need to understand whole market context. Always go step by step , rule based analysis of trade elements with correct timeframe sequences.
🧪 Timeframes of trade elements
• Trend / Bias - Higher Timeframe
• Ranges - Higher Timeframe
• Key Levels - Higher Timeframe
• Structure - Intermediate Timeframe
• Profiling AMD - Lower Timeframe
• Order Flow / Entry - Lower Timeframe
📌 Bullish Scenario 📌 Bearish Scenario 🧪 Whats your timeframes?
Position Trader - Monthly Key Level + Range- Daily Structure - H4 Profiling + Entries
Swing trader - Weekly Key Level + Range- H4 Structure - H1 Profiling + Entries
Short term Trader - Daily/H4 Key Level + Range- H1 Structure - M15 Profiling + Entries
Day Trader / Scalper - H1 Key Level + Range- M5 Structure - M1 Profiling + Entries
Im most confident in Swing Trading and Short term trading, hence I trade Weekly and Daily ranges. I use monthly ranges for HTF bias, but I will explain this later.
🧩If you apply these timeframes correctly, you will be easily buying lows and selling highs. I have explained this in this post below.
🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇
This framework by itself is good enough to be successful in the trading. I suggest you to create your own trade checklist and do always step by step analysis. Remember nothing comes easy to master anything takes time you need to give it at least 6 months, without jumping from strategy to strategy. Use Trading journal to collect information, without it you will not improve and will repeat the mistakes. To fasten the process run backtests at least 300 examples.
🧩Dont forget that whole concept is based on the liquidity, you must understand it also. I have explained in this post. 🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇 🧪 Power of scaling
If we look to the 1 minute chart and Monthly chart we will not recognize what chart it is. Patterns are playin on all timeframes. That is why is 100% mechanical approach based on liqudity and candles - Open , High, Low, Close powerful. What Im going to show you now you cant be achieved with diagonal drawings or random patterns.
📍First lets start with our basic knowledge
If the range is manipulated the CLS sequence is suggesting that opposing side of the range will be reached. It can be by just quick move - Model 1, or we can get Model 2 opportunity.
📍 Bullish continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 📍 Bearish Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 🧩Dont forget that best enties comes in trend on the right pullbacks.I have explained in this post. 🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇 🧪 Now lets use this knowledge as a fractal
I have clarified our Range timeframes for each type of trader, but you definitely should not skip bigger timeframes even if it's not your timeframe. Knowing the sequence from HTF give us a bias perspective so we can trade LTF ranges within HTF Range Models.
📍 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📍 BearishLTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. Now, practice that, you have one trading framework which you can apply to all timeframes and scale it down, means you are looking at the markets with always same approach and this receptiveness give you confidence and clarity = MASTERY ✨Trading Mastery is reflection of your life
Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life.
Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
Let your trades run. Give them space.One of the most important lessons in trading:
Let your trades run. Give them space.
On small timeframes, price moves can look chaotic a few pips up or down can stress you out.
But zoom out… on the bigger picture, those small moves don’t even matter.
A single losing trade can distort your stats and your mindset if you focus too much on the short term. Personally, I hold trades for days, weeks, sometimes even longer using proper risk management and trade management.
That’s how you build consistency.!!!
1. Patience is key. Let your trades breathe.
2. Proper risk management keeps you in the game.
3. Discipline builds consistency over time
4. Stay calm, stay focused, and trust your process
Cardano close to Critical Resistance, Targeting 14% Move to $099Hello✌️
Let’s analyze Cardano’s price action both technically and fundamentally 📈.
🔍Fundamental analysis:
Cardano (ADA) is moving forward with major upgrades focused on speed and scalability. If completed smoothly, it could strengthen ADA’s network use and ecosystem growth. 🔗
📊Technical analysis:
BINANCE:ADAUSDT is testing the top of its descending channel and a strong monthly resistance; a clean breakout could drive a 14% rally toward $0.99. 📈🔗
📈Using My Analysis to Open Your Position:
You can use my fundamental and technical insights along with the chart. The red and green arrows on the left help you set entry, take-profit, and stop-loss levels, serving as clear signals for your trades.⚡️ Also, please review the TradingView disclaimer carefully.🛡
✨We put love into every post!
Your support inspires us 💛 Drop a comment we’d love to hear from you! Thanks, Mad Whale
AUDUSD Eyes 0.65900 as Gold Nears Record HighHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65900 zone. AUDUSD remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price moving toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias is bullish, with price retracing toward trend support.
Key level in focus: 0.65900 — an important area where buyers may look to re-enter.
Fundamentals: Gold continues to rise and is nearing a fresh ATH, supported by a bearish US Dollar bias. Given the positive correlation between AUDUSD and Gold, further upside on the pair remains likely.
Next move: Monitoring price reaction at 0.65900 to assess whether the trend resumes higher.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AMD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 300% gains SWING TRADE🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for AMD.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for AMD bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively, so eventually AMD will to the
mean reversion trade and start to catch up with NVDA, however currently
pullback/correction mode in progress.
🔸Well defined swings - 160 to 58 65% correction, then 58 to 210 280% gains,
210 to 75 represents 65% correction, 75 to 290 is a 280% pump.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 75 usd in January 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 290 USD, 280% upside off the expected lows. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BTC's 2021 Playbook is Back Are You Ready for the Final Rally?History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. And right now, Bitcoin is composing a symphony we've heard before, one that ended in a PARABOLIC EXPLOSION.
We're looking at a potential BEARISH CRAB PATTERN on the daily chart, and it's a near perfect mirror of the 2017-2021 prototype that launched us to the last cycle top. Buckle up.
The Simple Breakdown:
1. THE ACTIVATION TRIGGER: A daily close ABOVE $124,545. This is the launch button.
2. THE BUY THE DIP ZONE: $118k to $120k. Any dip here could be a gift before the rip.
3. THE FAIL SAFE: A daily close BELOW $107k invalidates the setup. This is our line in the sand.
THE TARGETS:
1. Minimum Target: $136,576
2. Extended Target: $147,700-$160k
The Ghost of Cycles Past (Right Chart):
Look at the 2017-2021 prototype. The C to D leg wasn't just a rally; it was a BLOW OFF TOP of historic proportions. It delivered the targets and then some before exhaustion set in.
The current structure is screaming that we could be at the same inflection point.
This isn't just another pattern. This is a cyclical blueprint suggesting Bitcoin is gearing up for the FINAL, EXPLOSIVE LEG of this cycle.
If this Crab confirms, we are targeting the $136K to $147K+ zone as the potential cycle peak. This is where liquidity floods in and volatility goes vertical.
A Word of Caution:
Always trade with a plan. The invalidation level at $107K is crucial. A break below there means the setup is broken, and we must re-assess.
The takeaway? All eyes on the $124.5K breakout. This could be the start of the grand finale.
USDCAD – Testing a Major Resistance ZoneUSDCAD remains overall bullish, trading within a rising channel.
However, price is now approaching a key intersection between the upper trendline and a major resistance zone around 1.4000.
As price nears this confluence area, we’ll be looking for potential short opportunities, anticipating a possible rejection before any continuation higher.
The next support zone sits near 1.3750, where buyers might step back in if a pullback occurs.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr