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GBPCHF - Bears Waiting at Structure… Trend Shorts Ahead!📉GBPCHF remains overall bearish, trading inside a clean falling channel for months. Every rally has been capped by the upper bound of the channel, making it a strong dynamic resistance level. As price approaches the orange structure zone, which aligns perfectly with the upper boundary of the falling channel, we will be looking for trend-following shorts. This area has rejected price multiple times and continues to act as a major barrier for the bulls. As long as GBPCHF stays below this structure, the bearish trend remains in full control. A rejection from this zone could lead to another move toward the lower bound of the channel. Only a clean break and hold above the orange structure would weaken the bearish outlook. We now watch the reaction… will the bears defend the trend once again? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
BTC bullish shark harmonicAfter yesterdays $20 billion worth of liquidations it was time to zoom out a little. Here I'm posting this bullish shark harmonic, yes, it doesn't look bullish considering what we witnessed yesterday and for me there was a lot of manipulation involved, directly after the CME closed we saw a massive liquidation event that not even your SL could save. President Trump posted something on Truth Social about China holding countries to ransom for their rare earth minerals, now, we all know that Trump won't take that lying down and will obviously set tarrifs against China (at time of posting, this hasn't happened yet) once it does then we could see a further drop. This shark harmonic is showing the way and a possible drop into the CME gap between $97k-$96k, at time of posting btc is currently at $111,770 which if given there's still a possible $15k drop to come, yesterdays liquidations saw btc dump around the same levels..... This is only my thoughts and not financial advice Stay safe......
by azda71
1
XAUUSD IDEAWhy the Upcoming NFP Matters So Much??? There has been no unemployment report for more than 7 weeks, so the market lacks fresh labor-market data. When uncertainty is high, NFP surprises have a stronger market impact. The Fed minutes recently showed concern about inflation → markets now expect less probability of a December rate cut (33%). Therefore, Friday’s employment numbers may change rate expectations sharply. Market forecasts NFP: +50K expected (vs. +22K in August) market expects a modest recovery. Unemployment rate: 4.3% expected. Wage growth: 3.7% y/y. Impact on Gold (XAUUSD) Weak NFP / rising unemployment / slower wages dovish Fed expectations lower yields bullish for gold. Strong NFP / lower unemployment / stronger wages hawkish Fed expectations yields rise bearish for gold. This NFP is therefore a binary catalyst. Trade Plan (XAUUSD Sell 4052–4055) Your setup suggests you expect stronger labor data OR hawkish Fed repricing, creating downward pressure on gold. Entry Zone Sell zone: 4052–4055 This implies: Price is approaching resistance Market may be pricing in too much optimism for gold You expect rejection near 4055 Take-Profit Levels TP1: 4025 Short-term support area. Logical frst liquidity zone. TP2: 3985 A deeper correction level; aligns with a bearish continuation after NFP if the data strengthens the USD and yields. TP3: 3947 A major downside target. This suggests: Expectation of a significant repricing after NFP Possible return to the bottom of the recent swing range Would require strong NFP or a hawkish reaction from bond markets Logic Behind the Sell Setup Gold is sensitive to Treasury yields and Fed expectations. Markets currently have high uncertainty → if NFP is strong, the adjustment may be sharp. Price near 4055 likely corresponds to: A technical resistance A potential area where buyers may be exhausted ahead of risk events Thus, selling into that resistance with multiple targets allows for: Quick partial profit (TP1) Medium-term continuation (TP2) Strong NFP shock scenario (TP3)
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FOREXRSMV
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Under Pressure, 4,078 Remains KeyGold delivered choppy price action yesterday due to the news releases, with buyers failing to break above the 4078 resistance. The metal has now slipped lower and is currently testing the upper boundary of the Support Zone. With price still holding below both the MA50 and MA200, the sellers maintain the short-term advantage, as these moving averages continue to act as dynamic resistance. For buyers to step back in, we need to see a clean recovery above 4053 and then a confirmed break of the key 4078 level for buyers to attempt a move toward 4115. If selling pressure remains, a full test of the Support Zone (4027-3996) is likely. A break below this area could trigger a deeper correction into the HTF Support Zone (3968-3921). 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4053 4078 4115 Support: 4027 3996 3968 3921 🔎Fundamental focus: A batch of U.S. data — including Flash PMI and Consumer Sentiment revisions — could bring volatility after yesterday’s choppy moves. We also have political headlines and Fed speakers throughout the day, which may add intraday swings as markets react to fresh news.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
1
USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USD/CAD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.403. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZDUSD → The hunt for liquidity. Bearish trend...FX:NZDUSD is forming a correction towards consolidation after updating its global minimum. Bears may play aggressively against the backdrop of a strong dollar. The dollar is quite strong after Thursday's news. After retesting resistance, the index is not falling, but is gathering strength and may continue to grow. The global trend is downward. After a long consolidation, the currency pair is breaking support and updating its low. The market sentiment is bearish. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD may continue to decline after retesting resistance at 0.560 and a false breakout... Resistance levels: 0.5606, 0.5635 Support levels: 0.555, 0.55 A false breakout, lack of bullish momentum, and price consolidation below 0.56 could trigger a further decline in price within the current trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
$JPIRYY -Japan CPI (October/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 3% October/2025 (+0.1%) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications -Japan’s annual inflation rate edged up to 3.0% in October 2025 from 2.9% in September, marking the highest reading since July. Electricity cost rose the most in four months following the expiry of government subsidies (3.5% vs 3.2% in September), even as gas prices slowed (0.7% vs 1.6%). Price growth also persisted for housing (0.9% vs 1.0%), clothing (2.5% vs 2.5%), transport (3.6% vs 3.0%), household items (1.8% vs 1.0%), healthcare (0.8% vs 1.2%), recreation (2.6% vs 2.0%), communications (7.5% vs 6.7%), and miscellaneous goods (0.7% vs 0.7%), while education costs fell further (-5.6% vs -5.6%). On the food side, prices rose 6.4% yoy, marking the softest gain since December 2024, largely due to the smallest rise in rice prices in 14 months (40.2%) amid Tokyo’s continued efforts to curb staple food costs. Core inflation also came in at 3.0%, matching forecasts and pointing to the highest in three months. Monthly, the CPI rose 0.4%, recording the highest level since January.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
to 65K soon BTC/USD – Historical Cycle Analysis & Mid-Term Outlook (1W) Exchange: Coinbase Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Key Observations: Long-Term Trendline Resistance The black ascending trendline has historically acted as a major resistance zone since 2017. Every touch of this line in the past has been followed by a significant correction. Bearish Divergences (DIV / HDIV) Red arrows indicate historical bearish divergences on RSI/MACD. Each divergence marked a local or macro top before a sharp retracement. Major Historical Resistance – $64,899 Derived from 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the primary cycle. Served as a key ceiling during previous cycles before new all-time highs. Bitcoin Cycle Behavior BTC historically forms parabolic tops followed by deep corrections. The current cycle (2024–2025) mirrors 2017 and 2021 structures, suggesting we may be approaching a macro inflection point. Mid-Term Scenario Price near the trendline (~$120K) implies high risk of volatility and correction. Primary support zone: ~$65K (historical + Fibonacci confluence). Likely scenario: range-bound movement between $65K–$120K before any sustainable breakout or new parabolic leg.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by oTokyou
Lingrid | AUDUSD Relief Rally Then Downtrend ContinuationFX:AUDUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price is pulling back toward the mid-range zone after rejecting the descending trendline, confirming that sellers still control the broader structure. The market continues to form lower highs and lower lows inside the downward channel, with the recent compression breakdown reinforcing bearish momentum. If price retests 0.64750 and fails to break above it, continuation toward the 0.64150 support becomes the most likely scenario as the trend resumes. Broader context shows a consistent bearish flow, with corrective rallies repeatedly turning into continuation moves. ⚠️ Risks: A clean breakout above 0.64750 may invalidate the bearish setup and trigger a deeper correction. USD weakness or unexpected macro data could disrupt downside continuation. Failure to maintain momentum along the trendline may lead to sideways consolidation instead of a clean drop. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
4
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
GOLD → Waiting for NFP... High importance level!FX:XAUUSD is stagnating ahead of the news. The market is in a phase of uncertainty, with long shadows and short candlestick bodies. The key factor will be the US employment data for September. We have not seen unemployment data for more than seven weeks, which makes this data highly significant. Complete uncertainty. Significant deviations from forecasts could significantly change expectations for Fed rates. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December fell to 33% after the publication of the minutes, in which the regulator expressed concerns about inflation. The market expects 50K jobs to be created in September, compared to 22K in August. The unemployment rate is forecast at 4.3%, with wage growth at 3.7% year-on-year. The further dynamics of gold depend on the NFP data. Weaker indicators may reinforce expectations of Fed policy easing and support price growth, while strong data will put pressure on the metal Resistance levels: 4082 - 4111 Support levels: 4040, 4006 In the current circumstances, having only one scenario means narrowing your view of the situation as much as possible. The market can be aggressive on news. Weak data could lock the price within the current range (trading between graces). However, a breakout of resistance at 4082 - 4111 and a close above this level could trigger growth. Otherwise, a breakdown and consolidation below 4040 could break the current bullish trend and trigger a sell-off to 3930 (especially against the backdrop of the Fed's weak but hawkish stance). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
EURUSD: Key Liquidity Levels in Focus – Big Move LoadingEURUSD Analysis – Friday, November 21 Welcome traders! 👋 I’m glad to have you here — we’re all learning and growing together in this amazing trading journey. Let’s dive into today’s analysis on EURUSD 👇 The previous day's analysis played out exactly as expected. Higher-Timeframe Overview On the weekly timeframe, EURUSD remains in a clear bearish trend, and the higher-timeframe narrative continues to point downward. However, on the daily and 4H timeframes, price has been forming higher lows, indicating a bullish corrective phase inside the overall weekly downtrend. This means buyers are still active within the retracement until premium POIs are reached.the price tapped to OBS zone now Today’s Scenarios Scenario 1 (Primary Expectation) Price first moves downward to collect sell-side liquidity below current lows. After sweeping liquidity of Asia session low and tapping into the discount POI, we anticipate a bullish reaction and continuation toward premium targets. ⚠️ Important Notes The market is never 100% certain — always wait for confirmation before entering. Manage your risk carefully at all times. Today’s high-impact USD news may influence volatility and invalidate setups, so stay aware and updated. Share your insights in the comments below. 📘 Educational Note This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own trading plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage your risk with discipline. Consistency comes from patience, clarity, and following your rules. Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights 💙 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SMC #OrderBlock #Liquidity #POI #MarketStructure #SmartMoneyConcepts #DayTrading #4HAnalysis #DailyAnalysis #ForexSetups #RiskManagement #PriceActionTrading #parisa_tl
Long
by parisa_tl