GBP-USD Resistance Above! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is hovering below
The strong horizontal resistance
Level of 1.3595 so after the
Pair makes a retest of the
Resistance on Monday
We will be expecting a
Local bearish pullback
Sell!
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SPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 657.28
Target Level: 646.51
Stop Loss: 664.45
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and the price
Has crossed yet another
Strong barrier of 41.60$
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday!
Buy!
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MFFL – TECHNICAL BUY CALL | 14 SEPT 2025 (1D TF)MFFL – TECHNICAL BUY CALL | 14 SEPT 2025 (1D TF)
The stock reversed upwards in a V-shape after a selling climax at Rs. 145, tested at a higher low around Rs. 175, and has since been in an uptrend.
Key Points:
Previous Downtrend: Ended with a selling climax at Rs. 145
V-Shaped Reversal: Tested at a higher low around Rs. 175
Recent High: Rs. 224
Pullback: Seems to be over at a juncture of two important bullish structures
SPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 657.41 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 650.13
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP_AUD Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD will soon make
A retest of the horizontal
Resistance level of 2.0460
And as the pair is trading in
A downtrend we are bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down on Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Doge...Is a 50% Pump Coming?Hello guys!
Trend Structure:
The price is moving within a broad ascending channel, with both upper and lower boundaries acting as dynamic resistance and support. The midline (dotted blue) appears to function as a short-term pivot zone.
Recent Movement:
After a mid-July decline from around $0.29, the price found support just above $0.17 and has since rallied sharply, now trading around $0.2367.
Projection Shown in Chart:
The drawn black curved arrow suggests a potential short-term pullback from the current levels before resuming the uptrend toward the $0.314 resistance, which corresponds to the upper boundary of the channel.
Key Levels:
Immediate resistance: $0.24 – $0.25 zone
Major resistance target: $0.314
Immediate support: Around $0.21 (midline of channel)
The outlook here is bullish, assuming that the midline support holds during any pullback. A break and close above $0.25 would strengthen the likelihood of a move toward $0.31.
SPX500USD could go higherHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD played out exactly as predicted in my previous outlook. Right at the open it started the upmove and it continued the whole week making a new ATH.
Next week we could see this pair going up some more.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small pullback and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Correction down for goldHi traders,
Last week gold went exactly as I've said in my previous outlook. After a small correction down it went up again. Then it started a bigger correction down (orange wave 4).
Next week we could see some more downside to finish the correction, but after that this pair could go up again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish and the next impulsive wave up. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Upmove for Bitcoin is almost finishedHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin continued the corrective upmove exactly as I've said in my previous outlook.
Now we could see the corrective upmove continue to the orange B area. And after that it could go down again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: This is not the right time to trade Bitcoin.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Best Lot Size for Gold Trading (XAUUSD) Explained
If you trade Gold with fix lot, I prepared for you a simple manual how to calculate the best lot size for your XAUUSD trading account.
Step 1
Find at least the last 10 trades that you took on Gold.
Step 2
Measure stop losses of all these trades in pips
Step 3
Find the trade with the biggest stop loss
In our example, the biggest stop loss is 680 pips
Step 4
Open position size calculator for XAUUSD
Step 5
Input your account size, 1,5% as the risk ratio.
In "stop loss in pips" field, write down the pip value of your biggest stop loss - 680 pips in our example.
Press, calculate.
For our example, the best lot size for Gold will be 0.22.
The idea is that your maximum loss should not exceed 1,5% of your account balance, while the average loss will be around 1%.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Balance of Payments & World Trade ImbalancesPart I: Understanding the Balance of Payments
1. What is the Balance of Payments?
The Balance of Payments is a systematic record of all economic transactions between residents of a country and the rest of the world. It includes trade in goods and services, cross-border investments, transfers, and monetary flows.
In principle, the BoP always balances: total credits (money coming in) equal total debits (money going out). However, the composition of transactions—whether surpluses or deficits in certain accounts—matters for economic stability.
2. Main Components of BoP
a) Current Account
The current account records trade in goods, services, primary income (investment income, wages), and secondary income (remittances, foreign aid).
Trade balance: Exports minus imports of goods.
Services balance: Exports minus imports of services such as tourism, IT outsourcing, shipping, etc.
Primary income: Interest, dividends, wages.
Secondary income: Transfers like remittances, pensions, grants.
A current account surplus means a country is a net lender to the rest of the world, while a deficit means it is a net borrower.
b) Capital Account
This is usually small and records transfers of capital assets, debt forgiveness, and non-produced, non-financial assets (like patents or natural resource rights).
c) Financial Account
The financial account tracks cross-border investments:
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): Long-term investments in businesses abroad.
Portfolio Investment: Stocks, bonds, and securities.
Other Investments: Loans, trade credits, banking flows.
Reserve Assets: Central bank reserves (foreign currencies, gold, IMF position).
d) Errors & Omissions
Statistical discrepancies that arise due to imperfect data reporting.
3. Why is BoP Important?
Macro stability indicator: Reveals structural strengths/weaknesses in a country’s economy.
Policy formulation: Helps governments decide on fiscal, monetary, and trade policies.
Investor confidence: Influences credit ratings, exchange rates, and capital inflows.
Global coordination: Used by IMF, WTO, and G20 to monitor systemic risks.
Part II: World Trade Imbalances
1. Defining Trade Imbalances
A trade imbalance occurs when a country persistently runs a trade surplus (exports > imports) or trade deficit (imports > exports). While short-term imbalances are natural, structural and persistent gaps can destabilize the world economy.
2. Causes of Trade Imbalances
a) Differences in Productivity and Competitiveness
Countries with higher productivity (e.g., Germany, Japan) tend to export more, creating surpluses.
b) Currency Valuations
If a country’s currency is undervalued (e.g., Chinese yuan in the 2000s), its exports become cheaper, widening surpluses. Conversely, overvalued currencies contribute to deficits.
c) Consumption and Savings Behavior
The U.S. model: High consumption, low savings → trade deficits.
The Asian model: High savings, export-oriented growth → trade surpluses.
d) Resource Dependence
Oil-exporting nations like Saudi Arabia often run surpluses due to high energy demand.
e) Global Supply Chains
Multinational corporations fragment production globally. Goods may be “assembled in China” but use inputs from multiple countries, complicating trade balance measurement.
f) Government Policies
Subsidies, tariffs, currency interventions, and trade agreements influence competitiveness.
3. Consequences of Trade Imbalances
a) For Deficit Countries
Rising external debt.
Dependence on foreign capital.
Currency depreciation risk.
Political vulnerability (e.g., U.S.–China tensions).
b) For Surplus Countries
Overreliance on external demand.
Domestic underconsumption.
Exposure to global downturns.
Accusations of “unfair trade practices.”
c) Global Impact
Exchange rate misalignments.
Risk of trade wars and protectionism.
Global financial crises (imbalances partly fueled 2008).
Distorted capital flows—surpluses recycled into deficit-country debt markets.
Part III: Historical & Contemporary Case Studies
1. The U.S. Trade Deficit
Since the 1980s, the U.S. has run persistent current account deficits.
Driven by high consumption, dollar reserve currency status, and globalization.
Funded by foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds, especially by China and Japan.
2. China’s Surplus
Export-led industrialization strategy.
Massive trade surpluses in the 2000s, peaking near 10% of GDP in 2007.
Accumulated trillions in foreign reserves.
Gradual rebalancing after 2010, but surplus remains large.
3. Eurozone Imbalances
Germany runs huge surpluses, while southern Europe (Greece, Spain, Italy) historically ran deficits.
Imbalances within a common currency area created debt crises during the 2010 Eurozone crisis.
4. Oil Exporters
OPEC countries run surpluses during high oil prices.
But face volatility when prices crash.
5. Japan
Historically a surplus country due to its manufacturing strength.
Demographic decline now affecting its external balance.
Part IV: Policy Responses to Trade Imbalances
1. Domestic Policy Options
For deficit countries: Promote exports, encourage savings, reduce fiscal deficits.
For surplus countries: Stimulate domestic consumption, allow currency appreciation.
2. Exchange Rate Adjustments
Flexible exchange rates can correct imbalances, but in practice, many governments intervene in currency markets.
3. Trade Agreements & Protectionism
Tariffs, quotas, and trade deals aim to adjust trade balances, though they often create new distortions.
4. Role of International Institutions
IMF: Provides surveillance, loans, and adjustment programs.
WTO: Mediates trade disputes.
G20: Coordinates global responses to imbalances.
Part V: Future Outlook
1. Digital Economy & Services Trade
The rise of digital platforms, e-commerce, and remote services (IT, finance, design) is reshaping BoP structures. Countries strong in digital services (India, U.S., Ireland) may offset merchandise deficits.
2. Geopolitical Shifts
U.S.–China rivalry, reshoring, and supply chain diversification will affect trade balances.
3. Climate Transition
Green technologies, carbon tariffs, and energy transitions will change global trade patterns. Oil exporters may see reduced surpluses in the long term.
4. Multipolar Currencies
The U.S. dollar may gradually lose dominance, with the euro, yuan, and digital currencies playing larger roles in financial accounts.
5. AI & Automation
Advanced technology may reduce labor-cost advantages, altering comparative advantage and global imbalances.
Conclusion
The Balance of Payments is not just a technical accounting statement—it is a powerful lens through which to view the global economy. Persistent world trade imbalances reflect deep structural factors: consumption patterns, savings rates, productivity, resource endowments, and government strategies.
While deficits and surpluses are not inherently “bad,” their persistence at extreme levels poses risks of instability, inequality, and geopolitical friction. Addressing them requires coordinated domestic reforms, international policy cooperation, and adaptive strategies for a rapidly changing world economy.
In the 21st century, as global trade evolves with digitalization, climate change, and shifting geopolitics, the challenge will be to ensure that the Balance of Payments reflects not just imbalances, but sustainable, inclusive, and resilient patterns of global economic exchange.
BTC, 3rd BULL PHASE this year spotted... more hefty RISE ahead.First things first, chart is reverse metrics USDBTC.
BTC, took a breather for the past few weeks after tapping another ATH at 124.4k -- the trim down was warranted to fix price imbalance and paint a healthier sustainable higher basing area.
This week, the big shift has already come after waiting 8 weeks. This is the 3rd big ascending shift for this year 2025. Every time this resurfaced it is a special event -- price will proceed north with no turning back.
New higher basing zone has been cemented. Time for another hefty runup to North.
Rare opportunity to seed around this zone, which started at 110k -- currently at 116k now.
Targeting +20-30% price growth from here till Q4 of this year.
BULLS will definitely be a happy camper this forthcoming Christmas season.
and ALTS will get magneted by this pull up.
Spotted at 110k.
Interim target at 140k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
BITCOIN - Blow off top ? Well history doesn't repeat itself but it definitely rhymes.
My target for this cycle is still in the higher part of this longterm ascending channel between 160K - 220K.
Share your opinions
Do you think top is in ?
Or end of the year will be final expansion?
Can FED rates cut fuel this rally?
David Perk
$MYX Performing Ascending Triangle Chart PatternsHow to Trade an Ascending Triangle
Here’s how traders can approach a stock that’s forming an ascending triangle pattern.
Step 1: Identify the Pattern Formation
To find an ascending triangle pattern, look for a stock that had a strong uptrend and is now trading sideways. A horizontal area of resistance should be clearly visible in the chart, while drawing trendline across the stock’s lows should yield an ascending line.
Step 2: Wait for the Breakout
Ascending chart patterns can take weeks to months to fully develop. Each new test of the resistance area has the potential to break out, but traders should be wary of false breakouts. A sustained breakout will typically be accompanied by above-average trading volume. The closer the ascending trendline comes to meeting the horizontal resistance line, the more likely a breakout is to occur.
Step 3: Enter a Trade
Traders can enter a bullish trade once a breakout is confirmed.
Step 4: Exit the Trade
The expected price movement of the breakout is equal to the price difference at the widest part of the ascending triangle pattern. You can measure the distance between the resistance area and the lowest low at the start of the pattern and add that to the resistance area to calculate a profit target for the trade.
BTCUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for BTCUSD is below:
The market is trading on 11678 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 11582
Recommended Stop Loss - 11735
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Holds Sideways Above $3,640, Awaiting Fresh Momentum📊 Market Developments:
Gold prices are currently fluctuating around $3,648 – $3,650/oz during the Asian session.
Markets remain cautious ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting, with strong expectations for a rate cut.
A weaker USD and slightly lower bond yields support gold, but profit-taking pressure still prevents a clear breakout.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,657 – $3,670
• Nearest Support: $3,638 – $3,626
• EMA: Price remains above EMA50, maintaining a short-term bullish structure.
• Momentum: RSI around neutral zone (50–55), reflecting sideways consolidation awaiting signals.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue trading sideways within the $3,638 – $3,657 range until fresh U.S. economic data or Fed statements emerge.
• A breakout above $3,670 could open the way to $3,700.
• A breakdown below $3,626 may trigger selling pressure toward $3,600.
💡 Trading Strategy:
• 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3,657 – $3,660
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3663
• 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,626 – $3,623
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3620