Contains IO script
Gap down and go?This could just keep grinding higher, but I think an opportunity could be coming. This has been trading in a distribution pattern, I believe there are some weak hands that need to be shaken out. I’m looking for a correction into the zone outlined. I’ll be playing this with some long dated options / commons. This won’t be active until zone is hit.
ALT SEASON - Thoughts and timingALT SEASON!
We’re all waiting for it like 8-year-olds waiting for Christmas. 🎄
No one can promise it’ll come — but this chart is a reminder that if it does, it can be over very quickly.
Check out last year’s short period from Nov–Dec, when USDT.D dropped fast and we got that mini alt season. From today’s level to the anticipated alt-season low back then was just 30 days.
Just wowow!
BTC Bias — Watching for Breakdown & Short OpportuniesLast week I was leaning bullish on Bitcoin, but that bias has now been invalidated after losing structure on the daily. Price has broken below the 5/10/20 EMA stack and failed to reclaim it — signalling indecision and potential downside momentum building beneath the surface.
While the weekly chart is still holding the 20 EMA (so the higher-timeframe bias remains technically bullish), the constant back-and-forth on the daily suggests exhaustion. If BTC closes a full candle below the weekly 20 EMA, that’s my trigger for a confirmed shift — and at that point, I’ll begin actively watching for short setups across the board.
Many altcoins — especially hype names like HYPE, BONK, MOG, BRETT, and PEPE — are already showing clear weakness. If Bitcoin breaks down from here, those are likely to unwind hard, giving some of the cleanest short opportunities we’ve seen in months.
For now, I’m sidelined and patient — waiting for BTC to either reclaim the daily EMAs and re-establish strength, or confirm breakdown for a full risk-off move.
Questions for discussion:
– Do you think BTC holds the weekly 20 EMA or breaks it this time?
– Which altcoin looks weakest to you right now if Bitcoin rolls over?
– Are you staying flat, or preparing to position short on further confirmation?
Oil Finally Breaks the Range — Downside Momentum EmergingAfter weeks of sideways, messy price action where most traders got chopped up, CL has finally chosen a direction. During that entire range-bound phase, we stayed on the sidelines and focused on cleaner markets instead — waiting patiently for this exact moment of clarity.
Now price has broken below the range lows with the 5/10/20 EMAs stacked cleanly beneath the 50 EMA, confirming downside momentum and the start of a new expansion phase. For the first time in weeks, structure is aligned and directional — no more fakeouts, no more noise.
This is the kind of clean context where money is made, not lost. The plan now is simple: wait for a lower-high pullback into the EMA stack and look for continuation setups if structure holds.
Questions for discussion:
– Did you avoid trading this chop or get caught inside it?
– Are you seeing similar clean shifts forming in other markets right now?
– Do you prefer to sit out until context like this forms, or trade through the noise?
BTC update - CME GAP still openCRYPTOCAP:BTC 8H chart with updated paths from yesterday. CME GAP left open. They front run us which is very common tactic. You wait for some key level to trigger your entry as signal and it will make reversal just before.
It is good to remember that the data we 'retail' get isn't that deep what institutions and whales have. So it's not fair game in that sense.
Expecting some reactions on pink POC level but eventually breaking down to sweep the lows of pink dotted line which is VAL = Value Area High.
We still might reach green fib pullback zone from here if price closes above yellow SR flip zone.
Options...Lets talk about risk managment
Options are a tricky subject to learn. There are many technical terms to understand like the Greeks, contract size and more.
Today I wanted to illustrate a few examples of option calls (bullish bias) on NASDAQ:BRLT
Using a website called, optionprofitcalculator.com I can simulate my idea by specifying the strike price, date of expiration as well as entry price.
What you will get is a chart outlying different profit curves and what you would expect to see when exercised. I took the time to draw trendlines outlining the minimum the price would need to be by set a date to breakeven throughout the life of the option.
What I noticed is that not all options are created equally as we know. But, I never had such a visual as just how different they were. Observe each line, I provided projection for a few points of reference to compare.
Percentage at expiration (set at $6 expiration for comparison), the expiration date and breakeven projection line.
This little experiment is a simple example research first is important. Look First then Leap.
Cheers,
Uni.
Spring in Play, Structure SpeaksGRT is showing a fantastic range structure with a clean spring—an ideal case study in Wyckoff volume analysis.
Despite the historic $20B crypto liquidation on October 10th, GRT’s wick printed on lower volume than the Selling Climax (SC), suggesting no need for a Spring retest. Price closed decisively back inside the range and above the yearly S1 pivot classic signs of smart money absorption.
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the Spring
Targets:
TP1: ~$0.26 — strong resistance zone
TP2: ~$1.53 — projected range target aligned with macro 50% level
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re structurally derived. This is what the chart is telling us.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the Spring wick on the daily TF
Stop Loss: Based on daily structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
Smart Money Absorbs as Max Pain Setup UnfoldsSTX has been quietly range bound for nearly four years, but the recent price action demands attention. While most alts printed fresh lows during the October 10th liquidation flush, STX held firm its wick didn’t breach the Selling Climax (SC), and volume surged. This Last Point of Support (LPS) signals strong demand and potential smart money presence (weekly timeframe).
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the LPS
Targets:
TP1: Yearly pivot + major 50% level
TP2: If price breaks the range high, a projected range extension gives a minimal target of ~$42
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re derived directly from the chart structure, no hopium, just data.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the large wick
Stop Loss: Based on daily TF structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
XAU/USD OUTLOOK TODAY 14-10-25BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS(1):
1) Body Candle Close above the 4116.98 level.
2) Retest the 1h Bullish BOS at the 4116.98 level.
3) Create a 5/15m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4175.00 level.
BUYS (2):
1) Retest the 1h Bullish FVG at the 4090.76 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG).
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4175.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4085.98 level on the 1h timeframe.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bullish FVG at the 4085.98 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 4024.50 level
Trade Smart, Trade with a concise plan! Cheers
BTC Dominance Technical & Fundamental OverviewDescription:
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) represents the market share of Bitcoin relative to the total cryptocurrency market. Tracking BTC.D can help identify trends in altcoin cycles and overall market sentiment. This analysis combines technical patterns, support/resistance levels, and relevant market fundamentals to provide an informed perspective.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Always perform your own research before making any trading decisions.
Hashtags / Keywords:
#BitcoinDominance #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #AltcoinSeason #MarketTrends #BTCAnalysis #CryptoEducation #TradingView
Go for the Gold - I dare you 12 HOUR CHART:
This one of my personal charts... these days I build most of my indicators, however you cannot share them unless they published.
Up top is the RSI, super fancy I know.
The lines are extreme volume highlighted in the RSI.
This is yearly Fibonacci shown, and this is history in the making.
However you might see a problem. RSI set to 18 not 14.
Pumping the market on Columbus Day, just a tad divergent.
If you look at gold and silver as much as I do - you be alarmed how many times when you open your chart you read a news notification "safe-haven".
This is programming - its over and over. Look for yourself through the thunderbolts at the bottom of the chart.
I've highlighted some points of interest below.
The best to all of you.
IS the bull MARKET OVER! My next tradeIn this space, you’ll find my long-term outlook on Bitcoin 🪙 — helping you see the bigger picture of what’s been happening in the market over the past week 📉📈
🔥 You’ll get insight into:
🔑 Key levels to watch for your trading or investing strategy
💡 The next profitable trade to position yourself for
🧭 A clear perspective on where Bitcoin could be headed next
Yes, we’ve seen a crazy drop 😱 — but this is not the time to panic.
It’s time to pause, think, and plan your next move 🧠💪
🎥 Watch the full video for my detailed breakdown and upcoming trade setups! 🚀
The bull run is over? My next tradeIn this space, you’ll find my long-term outlook on Bitcoin 🪙 — helping you see the bigger picture of what’s been happening in the market over the past week 📉📈
🔥 You’ll get insight into:
🔑 Key levels to watch for your trading or investing strategy
💡 The next profitable trade to position yourself for
🧭 A clear perspective on where Bitcoin could be headed next
Yes, we’ve seen a crazy drop 😱 — but this is not the time to panic.
It’s time to pause, think, and plan your next move 🧠💪
🎥 Watch the full video for my detailed breakdown and upcoming trade setups! 🚀
Hello Traders!! Hello Tradingviewers!! it's been a long time since i post anything on here and the only reason is because i been learning a lot more from this market... but long story short here we are bitcoin hitting ath and rejecting from it as usual , now i been wanting to share this chart since last week just because i just wanted to share my thoughts on the next moves for the bitcoin price... end of november im starting to turn into a bear!!
BTC: primed for a rebound After the massive sell-off on October 10, when Bitcoin dropped, the market is gradually catching its breath. The structure is shifting — sellers’ momentum is fading, and pressure at lower levels is becoming less aggressive. My system hasn’t given a confirmed entry yet, but the groundwork for a possible upward bounce is forming.
It’s interesting to see multiple indicators align — volatility is easing, RSI is exiting oversold territory, and buy volume is picking up on local dips. All of this suggests that larger players are beginning to accumulate positions in anticipation of a potential recovery.
Experience teaches that markets don’t reverse out of the blue — structure forms first. And when the analytical system spots the early signs of an impulse shift, it’s important not to rush but to wait for confirmation. I prefer to hold off until the technical picture fully aligns with the strategy’s logic. Patience and discipline are what separate a trader from a gambler.