Contains IO script
EUR/USD Long Setup: Riding the Wave After Powell’s Dovish TalkEUR/USD Long Opportunity Post-Powell Speech
Following Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks at the 2025 Jackson Hole Symposium, the EUR/USD is showing strong bullish potential. With the pair currently trading at 1.16626, I’m looking to enter buy positions targeting a move up to 1.18295. Key Points: Trade Direction: Strictly bullish. I see no reason to sell given the USD weakness post-Powell.
Entry Zone: Buying opportunities around 1.16626 or on a confirmed breakout above 1.1700.
Target: Aiming for 1.18295 (key resistance level).
Stop Loss: Place below 1.1597 to manage risk.
Market Context: The dovish Fed outlook supports EUR/USD upside, making this an ideal week for capturing momentum and passing prop firm trading challenges.
Risk Management: Use 1-2% position sizing to navigate volatility and ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio (targeting at least 2:1).
This setup offers a high-probability trade for swing traders and those aiming to pass funding challenges this week. Stay disciplined and monitor price action around key levels. Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor.
How to Use "Market Anomaly Detector (MAD)" 📊 Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) – Performance Walkthrough
🔑 Core Concept
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) is designed to spot both trend continuations and reversals using volatility-adaptive bands and a statistical anomaly filter.
• Trend Signals:
• ✅ Buy → when price closes above the upper (green) band.
• ✅ Sell → when price closes below the lower (red) band.
• Reversal Signals:
• 🔄 Sell → when price falls back below the upper (green) band after a breakout.
• 🔄 Buy → when price climbs back above the lower (red) band after a breakdown.
This dual-layer logic helps the indicator capture clean trending moves while also spotting failed breakouts/breakdowns.
⸻
📉 Z-Score Logic – Detecting Market Craze
The Z-Score filter measures how far price activity deviates from its normal behavior:
• 📈 Z > +1 → Market shows bullish strength / craze.
• 📉 Z < –1 → Market shows bearish strength / craze.
• ⚖️ Between –1 and +1 → Market is in neutral / low-momentum mode.
🔎 Current Snapshot (Weekend Session):
• Z-Score = –0.52 → clearly reflects very low momentum.
• Volume is also weak, as is typical during weekends.
• Despite low activity, MAD still adapts and keeps traders aligned with the actual statistical condition of the market.
⸻
🟢 Bullish Examples
• Captured breakout above 118K → 123K with clear momentum.
• Z-Score crossed +1 confirming bullish craze.
🔴 Bearish Examples
• Detected reversal near 121K → 116K with breakdown signals.
• Z-Score dipped below –1, validating the downside momentum.
⸻
🛠 How to Use
1. Look at band breakouts/breakdowns for trade triggers.
2. Watch Z-Score:
• Above +1 → only take bullish signals.
• Below –1 → only take bearish signals.
• Between –1 & +1 → reduce exposure / trade smaller size.
3. Works best on 15m / 1h / 4h with additional filters (VWAP, volume, S/R).
⸻
🎯 Summary
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) combines price bands with Z-Score statistics to give traders a 360° view of both market direction and market strength.
• 📊 Captures trends.
• 🔄 Detects reversals.
• ⚖️ Adapts to low-momentum phases (like weekends).
This balance makes MAD a versatile tool for traders who want to stay ahead of both momentum moves and false breakouts.
SOL — Growth Scenario from $187: TP4 Done, Position Still ActiveOn the 4-hour chart of Solana (SOL), our algorithmic model on August 20 identified a set of conditions favoring the continuation of the upward movement. The starting zone was around $187, where several factors aligned: strengthened buying volume, a breakout from the local range, and the defense of a key support level.
The trade has since unfolded according to the step-by-step management plan: price moved through the intermediate milestones, with profit-taking levels being triggered gradually. At this point, TP4 has been reached, with SOL already trading above $200. The position remains open, as the trend structure continues to hold and no confirmed reversal impulse to the downside has appeared.
The current working range is $198–$201. Holding this zone keeps the door open for continuation toward $205–$208, and potentially testing local highs around $212–$215. A breakdown and close below $198 would shift the focus back to the $194–$192 zone, where the model would reassess the buyer’s strength.
The key idea remains the same: we don’t try to guess direction but follow market structure and probabilities. The algorithm captures conditions where the trend has a statistical advantage, and the TP levels allow us to lock in profits step by step without giving control to emotions.
AAVE - Entered Short based on Lesson 15
Reading the chart with Lesson 15 methodology:
1. Location: Resistance coming from the weekly chart
2. Largest down volume wave after a long time
3. Place AVWAP at the of the last up wave. Price crossed it and pulled back to AWVAP
4. The Entry, a PS signal after the pullback to AVWAP
Enjoy!
PS. PVR show Buyers and Sellers locations.
Discipline in Trading: How to Not Break Your Own RulesSuccess in trading rarely depends on a single "magic" indicator or strategy. Over the long term, the deciding factor becomes discipline. It is what separates those who earn consistently from those who lose their deposit in emotional trades.
Why Discipline is More Important Than Knowledge
You can know dozens of patterns, read charts flawlessly, and even possess strong analytical skills, but all of this loses its value if a trader cannot follow their own rules. The problem for most beginners is not a lack of knowledge, but that they violate their own conditions: they move their stop-loss, enter with more leverage than planned, or close a trade early out of fear.
Trading is an environment where emotions work against you. Greed, the fear of missing out (FOMO), and the hope for a "bounce" turn trading into a chaotic process. Discipline, however, allows you to turn chaos into a system.
How Discipline is Formed
The first step is a clear trading plan. Every trade must have pre-defined entry points, stop-loss and take-profit levels, as well as an acceptable risk. When a trader opens a position without these parameters, they are essentially abandoning discipline.
The second step is to adhere to risk management. Even the most precise trade does not guarantee a profit, and a trader must be prepared to accept a loss. When risk is limited in advance, it is easier to maintain discipline: you know that the loss will not destroy your deposit.
The third step is to keep a trading journal. By recording all trades, the trader sees where they break the rules and can work on correcting mistakes. It is a simple but very effective control tool.
Why It's So Easy to Break the Rules
A trader's brain seeks quick results. When a trade is in profit, you want to "take" the profit early. When it's in a loss, you want to hold the position hoping for a reversal. It is at this moment that discipline is tested: will you be able to hold the position according to the plan, or will your emotions take over?
This is why experienced traders often say: trading is not a game against the market, but a game against yourself.
Conclusion
Discipline is the foundation of successful trading. It doesn't appear overnight; it must be developed through practice and constant self-control. A clear plan, risk management, and a trading journal are simple tools that help keep emotions in check.
In the market, you cannot control the price. But you can always control yourself. And that is what determines whether trading becomes a source of stable income or an endless series of mistakes.
Microcap Coil: MSV Poised for a Spring UnwindMSV is shaping up beautifully — potential spring in play. Price action suggests a classic Wyckoff Phase C moment, with signs of absorption and a possible reclaim on deck. But let’s be clear: this is a microcap, and that means elevated risk.
High caution required — thin liquidity, fast moves, and headline sensitivity make this one a sniper’s game, not a swing-for-the-fences setup. If the spring confirms, it could offer a sharp asymmetric move — but only if you’re disciplined with size and execution.
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisFundamental Outlook:
Powell’s dovish messaging at Jackson Hole has shifted market expectations toward a Fed rate cut, suppressing the USD and fueling bullish momentum in Gold. Monday’s U.S. housing and manufacturing data will likely serve as the next catalyst for directional movement.
**Technical Framework (4H):**
• Fib retracement from $3,321 to $3,379 identifies key support at the 50%–61.8% zone ($3,350–$3,343).
• Structure: CHoCH & BOS highlight recent bullish shift; demand zone near $3,322–$3,330 held firm.
• Supply/resistance: $3,375–$3,380 cluster remains a critical ceiling.
• RSI ~ 66 suggests bullish momentum, with a slight overbought bias.
.
Trading Plan:
• Buy the dip: Enter near $3,350–$3,343, SL below $3,340, target $3,400 → $3,450.
• Buy the breakout: Aggressive long only if $3,378–$3,380 breaks decisively, SL near $3,375.
Both scenarios align with fundamental tailwinds and technical structure.
Bottom Line:
Gold remains biased bullish in the medium term. A disciplined multi-timeframe strategy—backed by structure, Fibonacci, and confirmation—offers a high-probability edge.
Note: This is an educational analysis, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Technical Outlook with Key FundamentalsDescription:
Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and a leading blockchain for decentralized applications, smart contracts, and DeFi ecosystems. Its network is continuously evolving, with Ethereum 2.0 upgrades focusing on scalability, security, and sustainability. Market participants often view ETH not only as a digital asset but also as a fundamental infrastructure for the Web3 economy.
This analysis highlights potential technical levels and market structure for ETH. Traders are closely monitoring price action to assess possible continuation or reversal scenarios, taking into account both short-term momentum and broader market conditions.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or investment recommendations. Always conduct your own research and risk management before making trading decisions.
+12% potential trade in KRN KRN is showing strong signs of institutional participation with sustained money inflows and a clear Point of Control (POC) shift. After weeks of volume dry-up near the base, we now see a sharp expansion in relative volume (RVol > 6x), confirming demand absorption.
The stock is also respecting my 50 SMA baseline strategy, consolidating above the moving average and building higher lows. The supply zone around ₹933 is being tested, and a clean breakout with heavy volume can open the path toward the ₹1,010+ zone.
Why Long
Institutional money inflow visible in OBV/volume structure
PPV showing accumulation and higher control zone
Extended period of volume contraction → classic re-accumulation setup
Price reclaiming and holding above 50SMA baseline
Breakout from supply with strong relative volume (RVol 600%+)