BHP holds steady as copper cracksCopper has been on a rollercoaster in 2025. It broke above US$5/lb in May, driven by strong demand signals from China and clean energy projects. Then came the reversal. US tariffs on Chinese copper goods triggered a sharp selloff. Futures dropped more than 20% in days.
Traders reacted to headlines. But the long-term story remains intact.
BHP, one of the world’s largest copper miners, just delivered record output—over 2 million tonnes in FY25, up 8% year-on-year. Its Escondida and Spence mines are performing strongly. Copper is becoming a key pillar of BHP’s future production and revenue.
The stock is currently trading on the ASX near its 200-day moving average, around AU$39. This is a technical and psychological level that often acts as support in long-term trends. It’s a point where value investors typically step in.
The investment case for copper hasn’t changed. Electrification, energy transition, and AI-driven infrastructure will need vast amounts of copper. Supply remains constrained. New projects are few, and development timelines are long.
Short-term shocks create long-term opportunities. The tariff-driven selloff may shake out weak hands, but it doesn’t weaken the structural demand for copper.
BHP offers a cleaner way to invest in the copper story. It has scale, operational discipline, and a strong dividend yield. Investors get exposure to copper without the risks that come with smaller miners or speculative plays.
We believe this pullback is an entry point. BHP near its long-term average, with strong fundamentals, looks attractive for medium to long-term investors.
Copper may stay volatile. But the direction is clear. BHP is well-placed to ride the next leg higher.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
Copper
Update to our BHP callBHP is up around 13% since our long call in early August . We’re maintaining our bullish position in BHP as the focus turns to cash generation businesses in 2026 and those who have operating leverage from rising commodity prices.
BHP is among the world’s most attractive diversified miners and while it has missed the recent gold and silver price rally, its core in iron ore and copper will come back to roost next year with strong earnings.
The world is increasingly looking to copper scarcity as electrification becomes an increasingly important investment theme.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
COPX: watching for upside momentum to continue Price is reacting constructively from the ideal mid-term support area established at the November bottom.
The trend structure suggests potential for at least one more leg to the upside into the 71–75 resistance zone, as long as the November lows continue to hold.
Chart:
Copper continues to grow!The two price targets I envision on the chart, which indicate continued upward swings, are the powerful candles of the last two weeks that have made it easier to reach these targets in the medium term, and other than time, which requires more patience, I don't see any reason why we won't reach the desired target!
Potential outside week and bullish potential for A1MEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:A1M above the level of the inside week following the potential outside week noted on 17th October (i.e.: above the level of $0.47).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the inside week on 22nd October (i.e.: below $0.415), should the trade activate.
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3992.755
💰TP: 3853.896
⛔️SL: 4067.971
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Gold is moving in line with the previous sell scenario, and this medium-term trade remains relevant. In the shorter term, additional selling below the point of control (POC) level, around 3992.755, could also be considered. An alternative short-term scenario is selling near 4100, where the last accumulation is located. The downside target is currently considered to be in the 3800-3900 area, but a decline to 3600-3700 remains possible.
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Profits for all ✅
Risk appetite will return again! With all the FUD that's going around in the market, I look back to dr. copper! Sometimes it's important to look back at the fundamentals and then you'll realize, everything is playing out the way it should.
Extreme bearish deviation from the mean on the COPPER/GOLD ratio
Massive macro pitchfork bottom reoccurring
Small caps can't catch a breath
All while talks of QE just being around the corner!
I don't believe the current liquidity strain on the system (High SOFR spreads, Large TGA build up, Lowest reverse repo reserves, Low bank reserves) will last too long before the printer restarts. Powell knows this!
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 50.07771
💰TP: 45.90144
⛔️SL: 51.62853
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: As noted earlier regarding gold, despite the aggressive short-term strengthening of metals, medium- and long-term selling pressure remains. Both gold and silver are trading near key resistance levels, indicating a potential reversal. A further approach to 52 is not ruled out for silver, so shorter-term selling is looked for if the price approaches 50, and it's best to wait for the price to close below 50.
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Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 4122.884
💰TP: 3895.119
⛔️SL: 4246.000
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: According to our previous review of this metal, the price is moving according to an alternative scenario, namely, a retest of the 4150-4200 range. Currently, short-term selling is being actively looked for, and the medium-term mood remains focused on levels of 3600-3700. We can expect additional manipulation/a slight move toward 4200 in the near future, but it's not a certain thing that we'll reach this round level, and we could reverse earlier.
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Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Copper(XCU/USD) Ready to Explode | Wave 3 to $10, Wave 5 to $100🧠 COPPER — The Sleeping Giant Ready for a Supercycle 🌍⚡
Copper, the “metal of electrification,” is setting up for one of the biggest macro-bull markets we’ve ever seen. From EVs to renewable grids to AI data-center power demand, copper is literally the blood of the new industrial era . Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇
🔮 Wave Theory Confluence (Elliott + Fibonacci Extensions)
Zooming out to the monthly timeframe , we can clearly see Copper finishing its Wave 3 within a long-term 5-wave impulsive supercycle.
✅ Wave 1 (2001-2008) fueled by China’s infrastructure boom.
✅ Wave 2 (2008-2016) a deep corrective phase, classic ABC zigzag.
⚡ Wave 3 (2016-2026) now unfolding with a 2.618 Fibonacci extension , targeting around $10–11 levels per pound by the late 2020s.
📉 After that, expect a macro Wave 4 correction —likely a complex ABCDE structure —before the final parabolic Wave 5 projection toward $100+ in the 2040s according to long-term fib confluence (4.618x extension).
This aligns perfectly with historical commodity supercycles—massive runs followed by decades of consolidation before exponential growth again.
🧩 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) – Liquidity & Institutional Order Flow
Smart Money has been quietly accumulating since 2016 👀
Liquidity grab below the 2020 lows cleaned out retail longs, allowing institutions to build heavy long positions.
The current structure shows higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs) — the signature of a bullish market structure shift.
Premium/Discount zones show Copper still trading in the discount range of the macro leg (below the 50% equilibrium), suggesting Smart Money accumulation continues.
Expect Wyckoff-style reaccumulation as price coils between $4–$6 before the breakout into the next expansion leg 🚀
🧭 Price Action & Market Structure
Monthly BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed above $5, flipping long-term market structure bullish.
Demand zones at $4.0–$4.5 act as strong re-entry levels.
Liquidity pools above the $6 level (previous highs) likely to be taken out as price seeks expansion to the Wave 3 target zone.
Look for a final shakeout into Wave 4 later in the decade before the next true parabolic move.
This PA structure mirrors textbook “smart accumulation > markup > distribution > reaccumulation” phases seen in previous copper supercycles.
💹 Fundamentals: The Perfect Storm
⚙️ Electrification Boom – Copper is the backbone of EVs, renewable grids, AI data centers, and defense manufacturing.
🔋 Supply Constraints – Global mine production growth slowing while demand from green tech surges.
🌎 Geopolitical Tensions – Supply concentration in Chile, Peru, and DRC adds a geopolitical risk premium.
💰 Inflation Hedge – Commodities entering a reflation cycle as central banks pivot back to stimulus.
All fundamentals point to structural deficits by 2026-2030, aligning perfectly with Wave 3’s macro push.
🧮 Fibonacci Confluence & Cycle Timing
Wave 3 projection: 2.618 × Wave 1 = ~$10.7
Wave 4 retracement: likely 0.382 fib (~$6–$7 zone)
Wave 5 extension: 4.618 × Wave 1 = $100+
The time cycle between major waves (≈10–12 years) also aligns with commodity supercycles, putting Wave 5’s blow-off top around 2045-2050.
🔔 Conclusion: The Long Game
Copper isn’t just a trade — it’s a multi-decade macro opportunity .
While short-term volatility (Wave 4) will shake weak hands, the structural setup screams “supercycle incoming.”
🟢 Bias: Long-term bullish
🕰 Accumulation Zone: $4–$5
🎯 Targets:
Mid-term (2026-2028): $10–11
Long-term (2040s): $100+
⚡ “Commodities move slow… until they don’t.”
The smart money has already positioned. The rest will chase the breakout. Don’t be the last one in.
#Copper #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #Commodities #MacroCycle #PriceAction #Fibonacci #TradingView #Investing #Metals
XCU/USD: Will This Demand Zone Hold for Bulls?🎯 XCU/USD: The Great Copper Heist Strategy | Multi-Layer Entry Setup 💰
📊 Asset Analysis
Copper vs U.S. Dollar (XCU/USD) - Metals Market
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMATION
🔍 Technical Setup Overview
The setup shows bullish confirmation with triangular moving averages converging in a demand zone - a classic institutional accumulation pattern. We're seeing strong support structure forming, making this an attractive risk-reward opportunity for multi-layer entries.
🎯 The "Layered Entry" Strategy Explained
This isn't your typical single-entry approach. We're using a multi-limit order layering strategy (what I call the "strategic accumulation method") to build positions gradually:
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Levels:
Layer 1️⃣: $4.9000
Layer 2️⃣: $4.9500
Layer 3️⃣: $5.0000
Layer 4️⃣: $5.0500
Layer 5️⃣: $5.1000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. The beauty of layering? You average into the position as price dips, reducing overall entry cost.
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $4.8000
This level invalidates the bullish structure and protects capital if the setup fails.
⚠️ Important Disclaimer: The stop loss mentioned is based on this specific analysis. You should always determine your own risk parameters based on your account size, risk tolerance, and trading plan. Take profits at YOUR comfort level - your risk, your rules! 🎲
🎯 Profit Targets & Exit Strategy
Primary Target: $5.4000 🎊
This represents a solid risk-reward ratio from our layered entries.
⚠️ Long-Term Resistance Warning: There's a major resistance zone around $28.00 (historical supply zone acting as a strong barrier + potential overbought conditions). If you're thinking ultra-long term, be aware that this level has trapped bulls before.
💰 Exit Strategy Note: The targets provided are guideline levels. Always manage your own exits based on price action, momentum, and your personal profit goals. Lock in gains when you're comfortable - trading is personal!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the copper move:
HG (Copper Futures) - Direct correlation, primary benchmark
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) - Major copper producer, equity proxy
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = stronger copper
CL (Crude Oil) - Industrial commodity correlation
AUD/USD - Australian dollar heavily tied to copper exports
CNY/USD - China is the largest copper consumer globally
💡 Key Point: If DXY weakens and AUD/USD strengthens while industrial commodities rally, this confirms the copper bullish thesis.
📈 Why This Setup Works
✅ Triangular MA convergence in demand zone = strong technical confluence
✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk
✅ Clear invalidation level for risk management
✅ Favorable risk-reward ratio to first target
✅ Industrial metals showing strength in current macro environment
⚡ Final Thoughts
This is a methodical approach to capturing potential upside in copper while managing downside risk through layered entries. Remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Build positions strategically, manage risk religiously, and let the market come to you.
🎭 Strategy Style Disclaimer
This analysis uses a creative "layered accumulation" approach for educational and entertainment purposes. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. This is not financial advice - trade at your own risk and always do your own research. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ⚠️📉
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XCU #Copper #MetalsTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #XCUUSD #CopperFutures #MultiLayerEntry
Copper extends gains amid risk on tradeFollowing the weaker US cpi report, risk assets have all rallied and copper is among those. The metal broke out of a triangle continuation pattern yesterday and held above $5.00 key level. With optimism over US-China sending stocks to new records today, copper could follow suit and gain further ground in the days and weeks ahead. Watch out for more upside potential.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
COPPER — 5.064 Long, Confluence and stacked oddsCMCMARKETS:COPPERZ2025
Fundamental: Bullish (5 Stacks) — supply disruptions and China demand.
Technical: Bullish (6 Stacks) — above EMAs, ADX 20.6, RSI 60.8.
Summary: Strong alignment; industrial momentum intact. Actionable Bullish Trade above 5.05.
Stop Loss: 4.96 Take Profit: 5.19 (~0.07 ATR × 1.52 / 2.6 R reward).
Copper breaks outNice breakout from a triangle continuation pattern in copper prices today. It looks like the metal has found a good base around $5.000 now and after a few days trying to test waters below this level, where the bears failed to exert pressure, prices have now broken higher. Good sign about global growth, apparently. We have seen stronger Chinse data this week. Can we now see a push towards the range highs again? Key levels to watch shown on the chart.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
COPPER - Following Gold?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 COPPER has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising wedge pattern in blue.
At present, COPPER is undergoing a correction phase and it is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a massive support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #COPPER approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold/Copper Signaling Recession & Market Super bubble!We're continuing to see extreme signals from Gold, and that should raise concerns.
Earlier, I highlighted the Gold/Oil ratio — now, I want to draw your attention to the Gold/Copper ratio:
🔗
Historically, such extreme readings in the Gold/Copper ratio have consistently preceded recessions. The only exception? A period of economic stagnation and sideways markets — not exactly a bullish outcome. See the chart from 2014 to 2016
🔗 www.tradingview.com
Quick recap:
Gold = Fear + Inflation hedge
Copper = Economic strength + Inflation signal
Oil = Similar to Copper; reflects growth and inflation expectations
These divergences aren't random — they’re warning signs of a recession & market Super Bubble that's about to POP!
These are not random fluctuations of prices. You can choose to view them as such. I get it. But from a macroeconomic perspective, this is bad JUJU!
Capitalism without failure is like religion without hell! Remember that!
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