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Crash

QQQ Ready to CollapseReasons the stock market could fall today: Government shutdown fears creating uncertainty and GDP drag White House instability after East Wing destruction shaking political confidence Rising China tensions and supply chain disruption fears New or expanded tariffs increasing costs and squeezing margins Inflation pressures staying elevated despite weak growth Stagflation worries combining slow growth with high prices Investor sentiment turning risk-off amid multiple uncertainties Corporate earnings at risk from weaker demand and higher input costs Global contagion from China or Europe worsening growth outlook
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by RidgeHavenCapital
The Great Reset In a modern equivalent of the 1929 stock market crash, a rapid and severe market collapse would be triggered by a combination of overleveraged speculation, inflated tech valuations, and sudden shifts in global monetary policy. Within days, trillions in market value could vanish as algorithmic trading amplifies the sell-off, investor panic spreads through social media, and liquidity dries up. Major financial institutions could face insolvency risks, prompting emergency interventions from central banks and triggering a global recession reminiscent of the Great Depression—now unfolding at digital speed.
TVC:DJI
by xueq
SOL — From Panic to PrecisionLast week, we witnessed a sharp, market-wide crash, a chain reaction of liquidations that flushed out overleveraged long positions. While many altcoins saw 60–90% drawdowns, the majors held relatively firm. Among them, SOL stood out as one of the most technically precise. Price perfectly tapped the 1.1 trend-based Fib extension, in confluence with the yearly level, the 21 monthly SMA and the 0.666 retracement, providing a high probability long setup. After that bounce, SOL revisited the lows, approaching the yearly level near $170, which remains the key structural support for maintaining bullish momentum. The support zone between $175–$170 aligns with the 21 EMA/SMA on the monthly timeframe, which currently spans $158–$170 → forming a strong macro confluence cluster that’s critical to hold. From there, price unfolded into a clean 5-wave impulsive structure, topping within a dense resistance zone between $208–$212, reinforced by: mOpen at $208.68 21 EMA/SMA (Daily TF) between $211–$212 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $211.43 This area offered the perfect low-risk short entry. Currently, SOL appears to be forming an ABC corrective pattern, likely targeting a move back into the $190–$185 range to fill imbalances and complete wave C. As another key element, the yearly open at $189.31 sits mid-range between resistance and support → a critical pivot level. That’s the region I’ll be monitoring for long setups. 🔍 Indicators used DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the monthly 21 EMA/SMA. ➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Long
by SiDec
8
13/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $126,237.39 Last weeks low: $102,038.44 Midpoint: $114,137.92 Well that was an interesting week... A small reminder that when Trump talks about tariffs the markets move, and move fast! From All-Time-High at the beginning of the week to a -19.2% move, a single hourly candle had -10.56% drawdown alone! What can be learnt from this? Despite all the technical analysis in the world, if the President of the United States makes an announcement it can shift the market greatly causing a leverage unwind via liquidations that cascade aggressively. Although these large scale crashes are rare, they are inevitable in this market and this will not be the last of its kind. This week will be very interesting because generally we do see a lot of backfilling the wick which would mean revisiting the key S/R level at 0.25 ($108,000). The bulls would not want to see price acceptance under this level or IMO this is the beginning of a bearish shift in HTF structure. This potential shift in structure would also line up with the 4 year cycle theory as October marks the end of the bull market. On the other hand, the bounce from the low has been strong, although still some way off the origin of the dump a lot of ground has been recovered. In the past these liquidation events have marked local lows in the market and serve as a launchpad for the next leg up. I do think it's too early to tell if that is the case this time around, I am in no rush to position either way until at least Mondays range is established. The altcoin market took a far worse turn, majors sinking as much as 80% in a single move! This week will be important to learn what projects are truly supported/fundamentally sound by how they recover. Projects such as: ZEC, TAO, ANYONE and BNB have all closed higher than their original price before the crash, other projects may never recover. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
BTC Game Plan - DTB ModelBTC Game Plan – DTB Model 📊 Market Sentiment After the sharp 10/10 crash triggered by Trump’s announcement of up to 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, risk assets — especially altcoins — faced massive liquidation, with some dropping over 80%. As of 12/10, headlines indicate that Trump may reach out to President Xi, with Vice President Vance clarifying the statement. The market reacted bullishly, showing a strong rebound. However, sentiment remains neutral, as volatility persists and geopolitical uncertainty continues to influence short-term direction. 📈 Technical Analysis BTC retraced into the HTF Demand Zone, running the daily swing liquidity inside it. Additionally, price retested the bearish trendline, confirming it as a key technical pivot. Currently, BTC is attempting to recover toward the equilibrium (0.5 Fibonacci) of the recent decline. 📘 Model to be used – Demand to Trendline Break (DTB Model) 1-Identify HTF trend and valid demand zones. 2-Wait for liquidity sweep inside demand for energy confirmation. 3-Watch for price recovery toward equilibrium (0.5 fib). 4-Confirm with a strong close above bearish trendline and equilibrium for entry signal. 📌 Game Plan I’ll be waiting for BTC to break and close above the 0.5 Fibonacci (equilibrium) and the orange bearish trendline. That will be the first confirmation that the bearish phase may end, and momentum may shift to the upside. 🎯 Setup Trigger Daily strong close above the orange bearish trendline and 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Below $107,500 (protecting capital is more important than chasing profits) Target: $126,300 (near previous all-time highs) 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
BTC BREAKING NEWS OR BREAKING CHARTS?📰 BREAKING NEWS OR BREAKING CHARTS? TRUMP IMPOSES TARIFFS, CAUSING A BITCOIN BLOODBATH — $20,000 DRAWDOWN IN 2 HOURS! Bitcoin was sitting comfortably at $121,000, before a sudden macro shock — triggered by newly imposed U.S. tariffs — sent prices spiraling down to $100,000 in a matter of hours. Bulls were liquidated. Bears rejoiced. Now, the market stands at a crossroads: will this become a major dump continuation, or the foundation for a secret pump? Chart Overview & Structure On the high timeframe, BTC continues to trade within a rising wedge formation, with price now showing a significant wick rejection from the upper boundary. This move suggests a potential shift in market structure — a moment that’s likely to shake inexperienced traders. The chart reveals a clear supply and demand structure: Supply Zone: $123,452 – $130,000 D emand Zone: $98,826 – $101,400 These zones define the battlefield between bulls and bears. In addition, eight psychological levels dominate the chart — $100K, $105K, $110K, $115K, $120K, $125K, and $130K — each representing potential liquidity clusters and reaction points. Adding to the complexity, we can see a golden pocket (0.618–0.65 retracement) forming around $106,000, perfectly aligning with prior swing lows and the midpoint of a large Fair Value Gap (FVG) overhead. This zone could serve as a reversal or continuation point depending on whether price can reclaim and hold above the major support trendline. Technical Insights The market has now tapped the rising wedge resistance three times, with the last tap forming a wick above $125K, triggering liquidity before the sharp collapse. This aligns with the classical exhaustion behavior of wedges. Moreover, a potential Head and Shoulders structure is beginning to emerge, with the right shoulder aligning near $115K — a confluence area that may attract strong bearish attention. For now, price is testing the lower support trendline — a crucial pivot area for determining whether BTC continues to break down toward demand or consolidates for recovery. This structure creates a make-or-break zone that will define the next macro leg. Bullish Scenario Despite the panic, this could be a classic liquidity flush — a “flush candle” event designed to wipe out leveraged long positions before a larger move upward. If BTC can maintain structure above the major support line and close above $106K–$110K, it opens the door for a relief rally. A reclaim of $115K would confirm buyer strength. Sustained momentum could push BTC back into the $120K–$125K range to retest the broken supply zone. Breaking through $125K would invalidate the bearish wedge, potentially igniting a run toward $130K+ and even new highs in “Pump-tober.” In this scenario, the deep liquidation event becomes fuel for a massive short squeeze, driving momentum and reigniting bullish sentiment across crypto markets. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold above $106K or decisively breaks below the demand zone at $98K, it would confirm a rising wedge breakdown. Below $100K, momentum could accelerate toward $95K–$92K — the next liquidity pools and volume gaps. The Head and Shoulders completion would confirm the bearish reversal structure, further strengthening the downside case. Macro sentiment, fueled by geopolitical and policy fears, could add weight to the bearish outlook. A rejection from $115K without sustained reclaim would also reinforce the bearish continuation pattern, with every psychological level above turning into resistance. Summary Bitcoin is at an inflection point — the $100K–$115K range will define the next macro move. The recent wick and structure breakdown hint at weakness, but the flush candle and liquidity sweep also suggest that a bullish rebound could be on the horizon. In short: Above $115K → Bullish continuation possible. Below $100K → Bearish expansion likely. With volatility at its peak, traders should expect massive liquidity hunts, fakeouts, and emotional traps on both sides. Whether this becomes the start of a macro correction or a secret accumulation phase before a major pump — the next few daily closes will tell the story.
by King_BennyBag
28
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel” I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now. 1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it. 2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal. 3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities. Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?” WRONG The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional. What does this really mean then? 4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run. Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit” WRONG Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required. Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market. And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION. We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all. Happy trading. - DD
Short
by DickDandy
5
ALERT: VIX-NDX COVARIANCE HITS DANGER ZONEA few days ago, my custom VIX–Price Covariance Monitor started flashing red... and it hasn’t cooled off since. Here’s what that means 👇 - The TVC:VIX (volatility index) and NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100) are now moving in the same direction. That’s not normal. Usually, when stocks rise, volatility falls. But when both start climbing together — it means something under the surface is fracturing. Half the times this correlation flips positive, the market corrects or worse, it crashes. I’m not panic‑selling, but I’m definitely not buying either for now. No new longs unless it’s a screaming opportunity. In the meantime? Stacking cash and sitting tight. This is time to play close attention to the market,
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by HenriqueCentieiro
5
October 1st. Best Trading Day of the Year?NOTE: This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. If anything, I’m posting this to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so you can execute your own trading system with calm, patience and confidence. I was told yesterday that October 1 is historically a great trading day. What does that mean? That we buy? That we sell? Or as traders, do we simply lean into the expected volatility in both directions, regardless of how it ends? Is it really about direction or is it more about volatility itself? And then I wondered, what about October as a whole? We’ve just come through a really strong September. That alone puts expectations on edge. Do we continue higher? Or do we fall off in line with October’s reputation? Because if you ask most people, October is “that scary crash month.” 1929. 1987. 2008. Big events that seared into collective memory. But the data tells a different story. Seasonality studies show October has often been one of the stronger months for the S&P 500. Yes, it tends to be more volatile with more big moves up and down. But zoom out and October often finishes in positive territory. Many times it has even marked the end of declines and the start of new rallies. So why does the “October crash” narrative persist? Because our brains are wired to latch onto the dramatic, painful events more than steady gains. We remember the sting of a crash, not the quiet consistency of recovery. That’s the mindset piece here. Markets are not just numbers, they’re stories. The ones we tell ourselves, and the ones that echo across generations of traders. If you believe October is dangerous, you’ll find evidence everywhere to confirm it. If you believe October is an opportunity, you’ll see that too. What matters is not October itself. It’s your relationship with volatility and how you meet uncertainty. Both in the markets and in your own mental state. Your ability to hold perspective in a month where the swings may be larger, the headlines louder and the ghosts of market history come knocking.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by soda8888
22
The Bursting House Bubble- Like usual, all details are marked simply on the chart : - Notice that after the 2007 crash, the trend was halted by a major resistance. - Also note that during the Covid crash, the rebound occurred at the same zone, where resistance had transformed into support. - The housing market is inflating beyond fundamentals. Prices are being pushed by speculation and unsustainable leverage. History shows that no bubble lasts forever. - Between 2027 and 2030, the real estate market faces a high probability of a major crash. - Don’t forget, since Covid-19 they haven’t printed money, but sooner or later, they’ll need an excuse to restart the printing machine… and it’s coming. Be careful, protect your capital now and diversify, buy when fear floods the streets, that’s how new wealth is created. Happy Tr4Ding !
TSE:REShort
by thecryer
9
PROM AT RISK ZONE FREE FALL POSSIBLEThe latest data indicate that PROM is in a risk zone and could experience a breakdown. The signal is present; it is now a matter of whether it will be confirmed or not. This provides a reason to monitor the coin closely, tracking the data step by step. This is not trading advice, as markets are inherently unpredictable. We have observed similar signals before on other coins that subsequently experienced a free-fall breakdown. For this reason, we are providing this update.
Short
by SatochiTrader
BTC - Short Trade Plan Updated details for this BTC short below, with a lower entry than first plan. DISCLAIMER - This is my personal trade only and I’m not advising you what to do with your money. Trading is risky and please use your own discretion and risk practices. Fundamental analysis of this trade can be found on my prior posts. Entry Range - 116,700 to 117,000 Stop Loss - 120,000 Target 1 - 88,000 Target 2 - 61,500 Target 3 - 35,000 Target 4 - 8,000 God speed. Let the dump begin.
Short
by DickDandy
12
Why The Bubble Theory Makes No SenseIt seems like every other week with tech stocks making new all time highs, there is a constant chatter of claiming we're in a bubble. One of the classic signs of a bubble, is excessive leverage betting on ever higher returns. This is a chart of securities margin loans provided by the Fed updated quarterly. As you can see since the 2008 financial crisis speculators have been very conservative with their use of leverage. It's almost like 2008 scared people so badly people more than a decade later are still behaving financially conservative. Some of the rational for the talk of a bubble is historically high PE ratios, but this can be explained by massive reinvestments into AI infrastructure by the biggest tech companies. The more investments they make the higher the PE ratios look. The key ingredient of a bubble is leverage and besides the small spike of it post-covid, there is no sign of excessive speculation. Remember tech stocks are absolutely going to have a pullback likely next year or 2027, but the fear of a dot-com era bubble is just simply unfounded.
FRED:BOGZ1FL663067003QLong
by bwy