Market Snapshotwww.investopedia.com
1. "An investment in knowledge pays the best interest." — Benjamin Franklin
When it comes to investing, nothing will pay off more than educating yourself. Do the necessary research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
2. "Bottoms in the investment world don't end with four-year lows; they end with 10- or 15-year lows." — Jim Rogers
While 10- to 15-year lows are not common, they do happen. During these times, don't be shy about going against the trend and investing; you could make a fortune by making a bold move or lose your shirt. Remember the first quote in this article and invest in an industry you've researched thoroughly. Then, be prepared to see your investment sink lower before it turns around and starts to pay off.
3. "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy only when others are fearful." — Warren Buffett
Be prepared to invest in a down market and to "get out" in a soaring market, as per the philosophy of Warren Buffett.
4. "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu
It's far too easy for investors to lose perspective. Whenever something big goes wrong, a lot of people panic and sell their investments. Looking at history, the markets recovered from the 2008 financial crisis, the dotcom crash, and even the Great Depression, so they'll probably get through whatever comes next as well.
5. "It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." — George Soros
Too many investors become obsessed with being right, even when the gains are small. Winning big and cutting your losses when you're wrong is more important than being right.
6. "Given a 10% chance of a 100 times payoff, you should take that bet every time." — Jeff Bezos
Most people dismiss many of the best and most profitable investment ideas simply because they probably won't work. These investors never stop to consider how much they could make if unlikely outcomes actually occur. Jeff Bezos took those bets and became one of the richest people in the world.
7. "Don't look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack!" — John Bogle
If it seems too hard to find the next Amazon, John Bogle came up with the only sure way to get in on the action. By buying an index fund, investors can put a little bit of money into every stock. That way, they never miss out on the stock market's biggest winners.
8. "To the extent we have been successful, it is because we concentrated on identifying one-foot hurdles that we could step over rather than because we acquired any ability to clear seven-footers." — Warren Buffett
Investors often make things too hard for themselves. The value stocks that Buffett prefers frequently outperform the market, making success easier. Supposedly sophisticated strategies, such as short selling, lose money in the long run, so profiting is much more difficult.
9. "The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing." — Phillip Fisher
That is another testament to the fact that investing without education and research will ultimately lead to regrettable investment decisions. Research is much more than just listening to popular opinion.
10. "In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable." — Robert Arnott
At times, you will have to step out of your comfort zone to realize significant gains. Know the boundaries of your comfort zone and practice stepping out of it in small doses. As much as you need to know the market, you need to know yourself too. Can you handle staying in when everyone else is jumping ship? Or getting out during the biggest rally of the century? There's no room for pride in this kind of self-analysis. The best investment strategy can turn into the worst if you don't have the stomach to see it through.
11. "How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts? I rest my case." — Robert G. Allen
Though investing in a savings account is a sure bet, your gains will be minimal due to the extremely low interest rates. But don't forgo one completely. A savings account is a reliable place for an emergency fund, whereas a market investment is not.
12. "If there is one common theme to the vast range of the world’s financial crises, it is that excessive debt accumulation, whether by the government, banks, corporations, or consumers, often poses greater systemic risks than it seems during a boom." — Carmen Reinhart
Beware of debts that seem sensible during periods of prosperity. When a crisis comes, individuals, companies, and even governments that ran up debts during the boom usually suffer the most.
13. "We don't prognosticate macroeconomic factors, we're looking at our companies from a bottom-up perspective on their long-run prospects of returning." — Mellody Hobson
It's very difficult to predict when the next recession or stock market crash will come, so many of the best investors don't even try. Instead, look for good companies with the strength to make it through the occasional challenging economic environment.
14. "Courage taught me no matter how bad a crisis gets ... any sound investment will eventually pay off." — Carlos Slim Helu
Don't despair amid the inevitable setbacks that all investors face, especially during a crisis in the market. If the reasoning behind the investment is sound, stick with it, and it should eventually turn around.
15. "The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator." — Ben Graham
You are an investor, not someone who can predict the future. Base your decisions on real facts and analysis rather than risky, speculative forecasts.
16. "The biggest risk of all is not taking one." — Mellody Hobson
There is a direct tradeoff between risk and returns. If investors stick to low-risk assets like the money market and bonds, then they run a high risk of low long-term returns.
17. "Returns matter a lot. It's our capital." — Abigail Johnson
The long-run rate of return on investments ultimately determines how much wealth people accumulate over time. Always look at returns when considering mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
18. "It's not how much money you make, but how much money you keep, how hard it works for you, and how many generations you keep it for." — Robert Kiyosaki
If you're a millionaire by the time you're 30 but blow it all by age 40, you've gained nothing. Grow and protect your investment portfolio by carefully diversifying it, and you may find yourself funding many generations to come.
19. "Know what you own, and know why you own it." — Peter Lynch
Do your homework before making a decision. Once you've made a decision, make sure to re-evaluate your portfolio on a timely basis. A wise holding today may not be a wise holding in the future.
20. "Financial peace isn't the acquisition of stuff. It's learning to live on less than you make, so you can give money back and have money to invest. You can't win until you do this." — Dave Ramsey
By being modest in your spending, you can ensure you will have enough for retirement and can give back to the community as well.
21. "Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas." — Paul Samuelson
If you think investing is gambling, you're doing it wrong. The work involved requires planning and patience. However, the gains you see over time are indeed exciting.
Many of the best quotes about investing urge thoughtfulness over impulsiveness, boldness instead of caution, and smart research over flavor-of-the-month decision-making.
Top Investing Quotes from Contrarians
22. "The four most dangerous words in investing are, it’s different this time." — Sir John Templeton
Follow market trends and history. Don't speculate that this particular time will be any different. For example, a major key to investing in a specific stock or bond fund is its performance over five years.
23. "Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing." — Warren Buffett
In the beginning, diversification is relevant. However, there are dangers of over-diversifying your portfolio. Once you've gotten your feet wet and have confidence in your investments, you can adjust your portfolio accordingly and make bigger bets.
24. "You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don't understand that's going to happen, then you're not ready, you won't do well in the markets." — Peter Lynch
When hit with recessions or declines, you must stay the course. Economies are cyclical, and the markets have shown that they will recover. Make sure you are a part of those recoveries.
25. "The most contrarian thing of all is not to oppose the crowd but to think for yourself." — Peter Thiel
Crash
Waiting and Waiting For The Generational Top Man, SPX has really doubled since I first wrote about the possibility of a generational top in markets, back in 2018. In that time, have there been material improvements to our quality of life? Have economic conditions for the average person actually gotten better? Instead, it seems, market orchestrators are finding new ways to profit in the digital age - digital currencies, leverage on digital currencies, leverage on companies who buy digital currencies with leverage...more and more leverage. Extract more and more profit from people's attention. Gamify trading and our lived experiences.
Looking at the long term monthly chart for SPX, historical crashes have had price drop below the 200 month Moving Average (teal). Price has also tended to gravitate towards that purple trendline eventually. It has not touched since 2009. Before 2009, it had not touched since 1982. That's 27 years. If we see a similar gap, we wouldn't see a generational bottom until 2036, or over a decade from now.
Perhaps some caution should be exercised. Price has ventured to the top purple trendline. When price gets up there, it tends to appear overvalued, which may indicate that a mean reversion must occur. Here it is zoomed in, showing a weekly bearish divergence.
There's also the Great Depression Fractal. This could easily (in hindsight) be a blowoff phase. Previous ideas about this are linked below.
I was obviously off the mark when I first posted about this in 2018, but I still think it's work looking at, as a point of interest. Not as a prediction, per se, but as an example of how bad a crash could get at these levels. Once the Dow broke above the orange megaphone, price more than doubled before crashing. At current levels, price has now more than doubled from the breakout point.
A number of external factors are at play - rising populism/authoritarianism, rising global conflict...all symptoms of challenges with resources. Things are shaky up here. Time will tell. Great resets offer great opportunities.
This is meant for speculation only!
-Victor Cobra
Noah or The Boy Who Cried Wolf?When I first started posting on Tradingview I was primarily focused on the broader markets and my expectation that we were nearing a generational top in multiple markets. In fact, by our estimation we should be the near the completion of a bull market that began at the bottom of the Great Depression lows.
I knew based on the price structure that the move up off the Covid lows would likely be the final move up to complete this generational bull market. I anticipated the 5000 level being significant so once I saw the pullback at 4800 in 2022 start, I began watching for its conclusion and the subsequent retracement back towards the high.
I did not expect the market to make a new high so I publicly begin calling out that a possible top was in back in May 2023:
Of course as we know the markets did not top and we have been on an almost parabolic rise since. While the size of this rally is unexpected, its resiliency is not. ALL bull markets die while clawing and grasping for every last scrap of liquidity.
With that in mind as the market reached critical junctions we prudently and publicly told people that a top could be imminent and to be extremely careful.
Yes, we added a healthy dose of hyperbole on the top. We felt that was necessary to hopefully shake whoever may see it out their drunken love with this bull market long enough to consider that the market was at extremes at almost every key metric...and you should pay attention!!!
Now we are at the point where I feel I need to make another bold public call:
SPX will most likely top at the 6400ish level sometime by January 15th 2025
We expect the decline that follows to feel "crash-like" from a sentiment perspective. Something similar to what we experienced, feeling wise, during the covid decline.
We expect the decline to last throughout 2025 into 2026 with price bottoming south of 4000 in the 3800 region (we will post more defined targets later).
So as you go through my posting history you will definitely see times where I have felt strongly that a top was imminent. You may think to yourself, "This guy is a crazy permabear who uses Elliott Wave mumbo jumbo to crystal-ball the market..no way he's right". And you know what..maybe you are right.
But you have to ask yourself:
Am I, metaphorically, the child from the story, "The boy who cried wolf", or Noah from the biblical account of the flood?
They both in their own way were screaming that "the sky was falling"...but one was actually telling the truth.
Final Post: The Collapse Is Brewing🚨 Final Warning: The Collapse is Brewing 🚨
The market is flashing unmistakable warning signals. If you’re still clinging to the idea of endless upside, it’s time to confront the data. Here are the key reasons why the market is on the brink of a major crash:
1. Record Dumb Money Investment, Consumer Debt, and Reckless Behavior
Small traders, often referred to as “dumb money,” are more heavily invested in equities than ever in recorded financial history. Historically, these traders are most bullish at market tops, while smart money—like institutional investors—are quietly exiting.
A prime example is Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the greatest investors of all time, has been signaling caution through his actions. Berkshire Hathaway is on track to finish its second straight year as a net seller of stocks, unloading a record $133.2 billion in equities through the first three quarters of 2024. The majority of these sales came from its largest holding, Apple (AAPL), generating over $125 billion in proceeds.
Buffett's reluctance to reinvest that capital is a significant red flag. Even more telling, Berkshire has not repurchased any of its own stock this year for the first time in six years, signaling that Buffett believes even Berkshire itself is overvalued. This aligns with his famous adage: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
At the same time, households are drowning in record levels of debt. Credit card balances have surged to all-time highs, and auto loan delinquencies are near record levels, signaling that consumers are stretched to the brink. Meanwhile, households have allocated more of their portfolios to equities than ever before, reaching record levels of stock investments as a percentage of total household equity.
This dangerous combination of overleveraged consumer spending and peak exposure to equities creates the perfect storm. When the market begins to fall, liquidity issues and forced selling could accelerate the crash dramatically.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis: A Probable Turning Point
When Wave 3 is extended, Wave 5 is typically shorter and often mirrors the length of Wave 1. In the chart above, I highlight a potential key target at 6,104.51 on the SPX, where Minor Wave 5 will equal 161.8% of Minor Wave 1. This level represents a probable turning point, as Wave 5 is unlikely to extend much further given the size of Wave 3 and the guideline concerning Wave 3 extensions.
Additionally, the Minor Wave 1-3 trendline, shown on the chart, is a critical resistance level and a reliable predictor for pinpointing the end of Wave 5. This trendline suggests that Wave 5 is ending very soon, most likely by the end of the year.
3. Uninverted Yield Curve (After a Record Inversion)
Buffetts favorite recession indicator! The yield curve has recently uninverted, a historically flawless predictor of recessions. But this time, it spent a record amount of time inverted, signaling extreme stress in the financial system.
There is a strong historical correlation between the length of the inversion and the severity and length of the subsequent recession. With this inversion lasting longer than any in recorded history, the implications for the economy could be catastrophic.
Final Thoughts
The writing is on the wall. With record dumb money investment, Elliott Wave pattern nearing completion, a recently uninverted yield curve after a record inversion, and record consumer debt, the market is primed for a crash.
Banks are sitting on over $500 billion in unrealized losses—and that’s just what we know of. The cracks in the financial system are growing, and in 2025, we should prepare for a 40-50% correction in US equities and banking failures across the globe.
Greed and recklessness have reached unsustainable levels. History shows that these excesses are always punished, and this time will be no different.
Stay cautious—this is your final warning. There will be no other post.
Zscaler (ZS): Liquidity Below $154—A Drop Imminent?Zscaler is becoming interesting again, not only due to its earnings call yesterday but also because it has formed a strong sell-side liquidity below $154.
After a period of sideways movement, we anticipate a sell-off to take out the liquidity below, most likely wicking into the $151-$122 area. If this plays out, it should conclude the wave C and wave (2).
We did not believe the earnings report will have a decisive impact, but it still could provide one last push into the $220-$237 range before the expected drop to wave (2).
At this point, we are not placing any limit orders but have set alerts to monitor the development of this scenario closely.
Market SnapshotHighly suggest you give it a read
www.elliottwave.com
The socionomic theory of finance (STF) proposes that economic and financial markets are fundamentally different from each other. The differences manifest at both the individual and aggregate levels and arise from the opposing contexts of relative certainty in the economic marketplace vs. pervasive uncertainty in the financial marketplace. In economic markets, producers and consumers, due to knowledge of their own values, consciously apply reason to decision making. This results in exogenously motivated objective pricing. In financial markets, speculators, due to ignorance of others’ future actions, unconsciously apply herding impulses to decision-making. This results in endogenously motivated subjective pricing.
The opposing motivations of producers and consumers cause economic markets to tend toward equilibrium, mean reversion and price stability, in a process regulated at the individual level by utility maximization and at the aggregate level by the laws of supply and demand. The unopposed motivations of speculators cause financial markets to tend toward dynamism in a process regulated at the individual level by spontaneous commands and at the aggregate level by the law of patterned herding. The pricing model for economic markets is the random walk. The pricing model for financial markets is a hierarchical fractal called the Wave Principle, described in the Elliott wave model. Neoclassical economic theory and, in finance, the efficient market hypothesis fail to discern all of these distinctions and inappropriately apply laws of economic causality to finance.
Alphabet (GOOGL): Perfect wave reaction. This is our planWhat can we say except—just take a look at this. Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) has followed our analysis perfectly over the last two months, reacting strongly to the targeted area for wave B and selling off immediately after reaching the exact 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentally, pressure is mounting on Alphabet. Last Wednesday, U.S. prosecutors presented a case to the Department of Justice arguing that Google must sell its Chrome browser, share data and search results with rivals, and potentially sell Android to dismantle its monopoly on online search. This landmark case could reshape how users find information, creating uncertainty around Alphabet’s future operational structure.
From a technical perspective, we still anticipate more downside for $GOOGL. The level of $137.8 now appears even more significant. It aligns with the Fibonacci retracement of wave (2), the Point of Control (POC), and the wave C target—an extremely strong confluence zone. This makes $137.8 a likely magnet and a strong candidate for support, offering a potentially lucrative long setup if the price reaches this level.
We are monitoring closely to see how NASDAQ:GOOGL performs in the coming weeks and how these levels react to ongoing market conditions and DOJ pressures.
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
Market SnapshotAbsolutely FANTASTIC article that encapsulates the sentiment of this update and our predictions for where the market is heading:
All credits for the article go to Avi Gilburt and his ElliottWaveTrader.Net team. Highly suggest you give their stuff a read
elliottwavetrader.net/p/analysis/Sentiment-Speaks-This-Is-My-Strong-Warning-To-You-202411179385907.html
Target (TGT): A Buying Opportunity in the GapAfter three months of waiting and planning this setup on NYSE:TGT , we are finally buying shares following the recent drop into the desired breakout gap. Before this move, the stock hovered around the Point of Control (POC), making a breakout in either direction inevitable. This decline now provides a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio, setting us up to aim for the all-time highs once again.
If the level of wave (4) is breached, we will need to reassess our bullish outlook and consider a potential deeper correction. However, the setup remains promising as the 78.6% and 88.2% Fibonacci retracements align perfectly with the lower edge of the gap.
Historically, NYSE:TGT ’s oversold RSI since 2019 has led to a minimum 50% pump in four out of six cases, further solidifying our bullish view. The next critical level to watch is $180—reclaiming this resistance will be crucial for continued upward movement. Until then, we will stay patient and monitor the situation. ✅
McDonald’s (MCD): Crisis Management and Market ReactionWhat a perfect flat this is on McDonald’s. Already back in the range and finished the wave ((ii)) at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Far more downside is expected for $MCD. If we are right about this intra wave count, we should see the level of wave ((iii)) to be at a minimum of $258.5.
The outbreak that caused the big drop was linked to slivered onions used in Quarter Pounder burgers, which affected 104 individuals across 14 states and resulted in one death. To address the crisis, McDonald’s will invest $35 million in marketing and advertising campaigns to rebuild customer trust and foot traffic. Additionally, $65 million will be directed toward franchisee support, including deferrals on rent and royalties.
To recover from this significant image damage, it will likely take much time for NYSE:MCD to resolve these challenges. Therefore, it would also be valid if NYSE:MCD sweeps the range low at the level of $245 before coming back to at least the range middle.
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone.
Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave.
For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability.
The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory.
The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround.
We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
Could BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 ($SOLANA) be the Next Shiba?The crypto world never ceases to amaze with its innovations, and today, we turn our attention to BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 ($SOLANA). This unique token combines elements of meme culture and utility, offering early investors a promising opportunity to capitalize on the upcoming bull market. While it may seem unconventional, this token is not just a novelty—it's a strategic play for savvy traders.
Why BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 Stands Out
1. Early-Stage Opportunity:
With just 2.99k holders, BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 (SOLANA) is in its infancy. It is not yet listed on any centralized exchanges (CEXs), making it an untapped opportunity for those looking to position themselves before mainstream adoption.
2. Meme Meets Utility:
Inspired by the concept of low gas fees that made Solana famous, this token mimics Solana's efficiency while leveraging the viral appeal of meme tokens like $SHIBA. As Murad, a prominent crypto analyst, recently stated, "Memecoins are now offering more utility than the altcoins we know."
3. Humanitarian Connection:
The crypto industry has often demonstrated its ability to impact humanity positively. The story of Vitalik Buterin donating billions worth of $SHIBA to natural disaster victims serves as a precedent. Tokens like BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 are positioning themselves at the intersection of meme culture and real-world impact.
4. Market Data:
- Trading Volume: $100,363 in the last 24 hours, despite a recent 43.20% dip.
- Market Cap: $1,810,585, ranking it #2973 on CoinGecko.
- Token Supply: 890 trillion tokens in circulation.
- Price Range: The current price is 86.30% below its all-time high of $0.00000071485, recorded on Oct 26, 2023, but 1,297.28% above its all-time low of $0.0000000091456 on Sep 18, 2023.
These fundamentals suggest a token with significant upside potential, especially as market activity stabilizes and liquidity increases.
Technical Analysis
On the daily price chart, $SOLANA is forming a bullish symmetrical triangle. This pattern historically precedes upward breakouts, with a potential rise to $0.000000072, coinciding with the October highs. This represents an estimated 254% surge from current levels.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 46, a neutral yet bullish zone suggesting the token is neither overbought nor oversold. This provides ample room for upward movement.
Similarly, A golden cross is forming as the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic bullish indicator that has historically signaled sustained price rallies.
How to Buy BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 ($SOLANA)
The token is currently available on decentralized exchanges, with Uniswap V2 (Ethereum) being the most popular platform. The active trading pair SOLANA/WETH recorded a 24-hour trading volume of $100,333, showcasing growing interest.
Conclusion
BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 ($SOLANA) is more than just another token—it represents a fusion of meme culture and blockchain utility. With its early-stage status, strong technical setup, and alignment with the growing trend of utility-rich memecoins, this token could be a game-changer.
As the market braces for the next bull run, now might be the perfect time to explore BarbieCrashBandicootRFK88 and secure a position before it gains broader recognition. Keep an eye on this potential breakout gem—it could redefine your portfolio.
Palantir looks like a classic Bubble in the MAKINGNow I don't like picking tops and bottoms, so that's why I have chosen Neutral for this.
However, the market is driven by more greed and potentially soon Fear than usual.
ANy market that climbs beyond 60 degree inclination, should indiate potential warnings of a major crash to come.
That's because, it gets to the points where the NAV is far below the actual price.
And what drove the market is perception of the people, which is fickle.
So we can watch and see how it plays out - But no way would I buy with a market that looks like this.
Market SnapshotA month or so ago we published an idea titled, Election Surprise, that essentially said it does not matter who wins the U.S. election...the market is still setting up for a massive downturn
What will be the catalyst?
Don't know but if we had to guess it will materialize in the Banking sector
Commercial Real Estate bubble finally bursting maybe?
Again we don't know or care what causes the downturn..we just know that something is coming and we are preparing accordingly
But hey..maybe we are wrong :)
Airbnb (ABNB): Bearish Setup or a Bullish Surprise?After finding support at $113, Airbnb NASDAQ:ABNB is experiencing a rapid rise, efficiently collecting all the imbalances left behind from the previous drop. As we approach Airbnb’s earnings report this Thursday, the company is expected to post a year-over-year decline in earnings, despite higher revenues for the quarter ending September 2024. The sustainability of any immediate price changes and future expectations will largely depend on management’s discussion during the earnings call.
While we don’t base our strategy solely on the earnings outcome, it’s crucial to note that a favorable outlook from management could give the stock a short-term boost. Still, despite the potential for this optimism, our analysis remains bearish on NASDAQ:ABNB for the foreseeable future.
Technically, the 61.8% Fibonacci level aligns perfectly with the point of control from the past three years, offering a strong setup. If this level is reached, it would also complete the filling of any remaining price imbalances. This makes for a compelling hedge against our other swing-long positions.
We aren’t setting a limit order just yet. We prefer to observe the market’s reaction to the earnings report before making a move. This could mean placing the limit order the following day, depending on how NASDAQ:ABNB behaves during and after the earnings call. For now, we remain patient and prepared.
Nasdaq (NDX): US Election Hype vs RealityThe US Elections are just around the corner – a global event that everyone is eagerly anticipating. But the big question remains: Will the election results really have a massive impact on the financial markets? Or, at the end of the day, does it even matter who wins – Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? 🤔
We shared our view months ago: It doesn’t matter who takes the presidency. We firmly believe that a major market correction is inevitable, regardless of the election outcome. The timing? Impossible to predict. But one thing is clear: the warning signs are everywhere. From rising unemployment and skyrocketing debt to relentless inflation, the economic data paints a bleak picture, reinforcing our thesis.
Looking at the weekly NASDAQ:NDX chart, a drop of over 20% could definitely happen. This isn’t something to ignore. But even in the middle of this chaos, there is a golden opportunity: A significant downturn could present a rare chance to accumulate high-quality assets at very cheap prices. This could be the moment to build a perfect portfolio, positioning yourself for long-term gains when the market rebounds.
So, how should you approach this?
See the upcoming volatility as an opportunity, not a threat. Secure your open positions, stay adaptable, keep an eye on the markets, and buy strong assets undervalued.
And most importantly:
Sit back and enjoy the show that both the markets and the political landscape are about to deliver! 🍿
Coca-Cola (KO): Pullback Opportunity as Limit Order FillsOur first limit order for Coca-Cola was filled last Friday as the stock retraced over 11% from its peak at the upper trendline. Despite Coca-Cola's management expressing confidence in their recent performance, investors remain cautious. Zoran Bogdanovic, CEO of Coca-Cola HBC AG, stated, “I am pleased that our Q3 results build on the strength of our first half... However, we remain mindful of macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.”
This pullback appears to be a natural and necessary correction. Coca-Cola is typically a slow-moving, stable stock, and its surprising 43% rise over the past year warranted a healthy correction. The RSI is inching closer to the oversold zone, and a hidden bullish divergence is forming, lending support to our long-term bullish outlook.
We’re prepared for a deeper retracement and have a second limit order set in the middle of the golden pocket (50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement), just above the Point of Control (POC). Given Coca-Cola’s reputation as a stable “safe haven” stock rather than a volatile investment, we’re maintaining a patient and calculated approach.
Market SnapshotIn every financial crisis in the past the professional market analysts (i.e. talking heads and article writers) from the major firms waited too late to tell you the house was on fire..and they always said things are better than they were
Do you know why that is?
Its because they have to protect AUM (Assets Under Management) at ALL COSTS...even at the costs of your investments
The last thing they EVER want you to do is SELL
Plan accordingly people
$MSFT 1W Bear ABCD Ext harmonic, expecting 50% + drop in priceABCD Ext harmonic pattern is active on MSFT 1W chart. Expect price to form an hns taking sharply lower--50%+ from current levels. See also recent idea on bearish patterns on ES1/NQ1/YM1. HNS will drive to point B, and there is a smaller ABCD bear harmonic that will drive the price to C point of the higher tf ABCD Ext pattern.