DOT — September 01, 2025.CRYPTOCAP:DOT #Polkadot — September 01, 2025.
Good ol' Polkadot is trading sideways on the daily chart and has hit the Long Max Pain level. I think this is a solid spot entry point with a potential for a +15% move.
Entry price: $3.612 - $3.650
Take Profit: $4.160 (+15.18%)
➖➖➖
Short Max Pain = $4.160
Long Max Pain = $3.612
Crypto
Crypto Market Is Recovering From Support; ALTseason To Resume?Good morning Crypto traders! No major changes in the Crypto market since yesterday, but we can see the Crypto TOTAL market cap chart recovering nicely within wave (C) or (3) as anticipated on September 1st:
There may still be room for more upside as the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to weaken. Since we are still in a risk-on environment, cryptocurrencies could experience a stronger recovery. Moreover, with the ALTcoin dominance chart breaking higher out of consolidation, ALTseason may resume soon.
Notice that Crypto TOTAL2 market cap chart, which excludes BTC, is still eyeing all-time highs, so we may see a breakout higher into final wave (5) of 5 soon.
Record Breaking Solana Highs & The Rise of Dark DexsDark DEXs routed through aggregators are eating Solana spot flow- leaving BINANCE:SOLUSDT & BINANCE:JUPUSDT as the cleanest upside while order-book DEXs fight for share.
TVL on Solana just hit all-time highs, with the biggest lift coming via Jupiter (JUP) routing.
Over the last 30 days, the largest spot volume was on a private “dark DEX” (Humidifi) - not Meteora, BINANCE:RAYUSDT , or BYBIT:PUMPUSDT .
These private venues plug into Jupiter’s aggregator, filling at better prices; efficiency accrues to the dark DEXs + the aggregator + the chain.
Net result: Raydium/Orca can rise with the tide short-term, but market share pressure is real if dark routing keeps compounding.
Trade view: The most direct upside is SOL + JUP. SOL’s pivotal level ≈ $175 - sustained breakout targets $250, then thin resistance up to ~$300.
Watching JUP share of routed volume, SOL TVL/fees, and spot depth for confirmation.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Bitcoin & Ethereum ICT Market Analysis | Liquidity Levels to WatIn this week’s crypto market outlook, I break down the total market cap, Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH) using the ICT trading strategy.
📊 What’s inside:
- Key ICT liquidity levels for BTC & ETH
- Market cap structure and directional bias
- My trade outlook for the week ahead
This video is designed to help traders understand the bigger picture and plan their setups with ICT concepts in mind.
👉 Comment below: Do you think BTC will hold above current liquidity, or sweep lower before moving up?
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #ICTTrading #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #ETH
ARKM ANALYSIS🔮#ARKM Analysis 💰💰
#ARKM is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and breakouts with high volume and we could see a bullish momentum in #ARKM. Before that we will see little bit retest and then bullish movement
🔖 Current Price: $0.595
⏳ Target Price: $0.791
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #ARKM. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#ARKM #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Eyeing Next Leg Higher After Consolidation📌 Overview
Despite the vast number of cryptocurrencies in circulation, the majority lack real long-term utility. Ethereum (ETH) stands out as a foundational asset in the evolving digital infrastructure—powering smart contracts, DeFi, and Web3 development.
📈 Technical Outlook
We’ve been tracking Ethereum closely for months and have actively participated in the ongoing rally. ETH is currently:
Holding above key support in the $4,000–$4,200 range (former resistance now turned support)
Consolidating within the $4,800–$5,000 resistance zone, near its previous all-time highs
We’re now observing the development of a symmetrical triangle pattern, which often precedes a continuation move.
🚀 Bullish Setup
Breakout above the upper triangle resistance could target the $5,700–$5,800 zone in the near term.
Our medium- to long-term target remains $7,000–$8,000, depending on market liquidity and macro conditions.
A confirmed breakout with strong volume could validate the next leg higher.
🔔 Key Levels to Watch
Support: $4,000 – $4,200
Resistance: $4,800 – $5,000
Short-term target: $5,700 – $5,800
Long-term target: $7,000 – $8,000
ETHUSD BUY NOW 4287🟢 ETHUSD – Bullish Setup at 4287 Long Opportunity
Ethereum is holding strong above key support at 4280–4290, showing signs of bullish continuation. Price action confirms buyer strength, with momentum indicators aligning for a potential breakout toward higher resistance zones.
🔹 Trade Idea: BUY ETHUSD @ 4287
- Entry: 4287
- Stop Loss: 4215 (below recent structure)
- Take Profit: 4450 / 4600
- Risk/Reward: ~2:1
📊 Technical Confluence:
- Bullish engulfing candle on 1H
- MACD crossover and RSI above 50
- Price respecting ascending channel
- Volume spike confirming accumulation
💬 Narrative:
ETH continues to attract institutional interest, with inflows rising and sentiment shifting bullish. A clean break above 4350 could accelerate toward 4600, especially if BTC maintains strength.
S&P500 | 100 year bullish channel | GTradingMethodHello Traders - Happy Monday!
I thought this was a very interesting perspective on S&P500.
What they don’t want you to see... 👀
The S&P has been moving inside a bullish channel for nearly 100 years (since 1925).
Right now, price is breaking out of that channel but is it fakeout?
If it’s a fakeout, the implications are huge: we could be looking at a 70% drop back to the bottom of the channel.
⚠️ Chart is on the monthly timeframe with a logarithmic scale.
What do you think — breakout or fakeout? Very keen to hear all your thoughts
#TradingLife
08/09/25 Weekly OutlookIt's CPI week is here once again, which means we're one week before FOMC and a likely interest rate cut by the FED, maybe the last week of choppy sideways action before the next leg up in Q4?
Last week BTC stopped just shy of the weekly high before settling around midpoint. Bullish structure throughout the week from start to finish reclaiming much of the losses from the week previous to that. As I have pointed out in the past late August & early September have historically poor returns and so far this year has followed the trend, down -13.6% from the highs of mid August.
All of this is to say the stars seem to be aligning once again for a repeat of previous cycles, a slow and negative August into September, print a local bottom and the next leg up/continuation higher in Q4 boosted by cheaper borrowing. There is even a growing chance of a 50bps cut on September 17th which would really fuel a risk-on surge going into the end of the year.
For this week I'm not overly concerned about CPI just because I believe the focus is on FOMC the week after. A reclaim of $113,500 before this weeks close may kickstart an earlier push by the bulls as currently that is the level keeping BTC down.
$104,500 is the 1D 200 EMA, a level untested since April, A retest as support before FOMC would be a great place to go long from IMO. Until either of those scenarios play out it's just noise and chop.
Good luck this week everybody!
WLD CAN DO IT AGAIN..It's been a long time since WLD showed a new increasing trend.
Following the coming hours to see if WLD is able to open a new cycle
Never enter any trend directly, wait for the confirmations, and trade only depending your setups.
WLD did show before at good cycle times, that it can do even 12 usd in short term
2h timeframe (SPCFD index, looks like US500 / S&P CFD).This is a 2h timeframe (SPCFD index, looks like US500 / S&P CFD).
Current price is around 6,403.
I have drawn a falling trendline from July, and price is now near the lower zone.
There’s also volume profile (VPVR) on the right side, showing key liquidity zones.
A target point is marked below, around the 6,200 level.
📌 Target Zone:
My chart suggests a downside target around 6,200 (highlighted with the blue arrow).
⚠ Notes:
If 6,400 support breaks clearly, sellers may push toward 6,300 → 6,200.
But if price reclaims above 6,480–6,500, the short-term bearish setup could fail, and we may see a bounce.
👉 Immediate target: 6,200
👉 Stop-loss to watch (invalidating short): above 6,500
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) on the 1D timeframe.XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) on the 1D timeframe.
---
Gold has broken above a long-term descending trendline.
Volume profile shows strong accumulation on the right-hand side.
The arrow is pointing upwards, suggesting a bullish breakout target.
---
🎯 Target Point
The chart clearly marks the target zone around 3,580 – 3,600 USD.
That’s the next major resistance area after the breakout.
---
⚠ Stop-Loss Idea
Below the breakout zone (~3,420 – 3,450 USD) to protect against a false breakout.
---
✅ Summary
Bullish breakout of long-term downtrend.
Target: 3,580 – 3,600 USD
Stop-loss: ~3,420 – 3,450 USD
XLM: Hidden Accumulation Before a Violent Breakout?Yello, Paradisers do you see what’s happening on Stellar right now? While most eyes are turned away, XLM has been quietly carving a base inside a major demand zone, and the setup looks like it could fuel a massive move soon.
💎After weeks of pressure inside a descending channel, #XLMUSDT finally broke out, confirming that sellers are losing strength. For the last several days, XLM has been consolidating right above demand at $0.34–$0.35, holding firm despite repeated retests. This zone remains the line in the sand: as long as it’s defended, buyers keep the upper hand.
💎The breakout area around $0.37 is crucial now. A sustained close above it can trigger momentum toward the $0.42 minor resistance, and eventually even $0.48 where strong supply waits. On the flip side, failure to hold the demand zone could open the door for a deeper flush down into the invalidation area near $0.28, a level that would completely shift the outlook back to bearish.
💎Momentum indicators are already hinting at early accumulation, with signs of buyers stepping in at each retest of support. If this continues, #XLM could deliver a sharp vertical move that catches most of the market unprepared.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
#NOT Ready to Make Massive Bullish Move | Must Watch for Bulls Yello, Paradisers! Is #NOTcoin about to explode into a bullish breakout, or is this just the calm before a brutal shakeout? Let’s break it down on #NOTUSDT:
💎After months of consolidation, #NOT has been trading inside a descending triangle, with clear descending resistance pressing price down and lower support holding the structure since April. Right now, the price is sitting at $0.00197, testing the upper boundary of this pattern.
💎A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance would open the door for a strong bullish rally. The 50 EMA is about to flip into support, which could act as extra confirmation if buyers step in.
💎In this scenario, the first target sits at moderate resistance around $0.0031, while a sustained push could bring us toward strong resistance at $0.0041. That zone aligns with the volume profile high and would likely trigger sharp profit-taking and volatility.
💎On the flip side, if bulls fail and GETTEX:NOT breaks below the support zone near $0.00158–$0.00119, the bullish structure becomes invalid. A drop into the demand zone would expose #NOT to fresh lows, potentially retesting all-time low levels. That’s where late longs risk getting wiped out, so this is the area where risk management becomes absolutely critical.
Stay patient, Paradisers. Let the breakout confirm, and only then do we strike with conviction.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Bitcoin September 2025 Outlook: a/b/c price fractal structureBTC enters September post-ATH with a seasonal headwind. Base case: a ~10% A-leg dip toward $108k, a B-bounce into ~$122k, then a C-flush near ~$94k—echoing April’s ABC rhythm. Once complete, the uptrend should re-assert into year-end. 📉🔁📈 #Bitcoin #Seasonality #Crypto
🟠 Bitcoin September Outlook: Seasonality vs. Structure
After a fresh ATH, September’s historical bias skews mildly red. Base case is a ~10% A-leg dip that develops into an A/B/C correction before trend continuation. Think controlled pullback → consolidation → next markup. 📉➡️🔁➡️📈
________________________________________
🗓️ Seasonality Snapshot (2015–2024)
• Mean (10-yr): −2.55% · Median: −4.52%
• Red months: 6/10
• Worst September: 2019 (−13.88%)
• Best September: 2024 (+7.39%)
• Last 3 yrs avg: +2.8% (2024 +7.39%, 2023 +3.99%, 2022 −3.09%)
• Last 5 yrs avg (2020–2024): −1.3%
Read: September has tended to be weak, but the last two years printed green. Seasonality is a headwind—not a handbrake. 🌬️
________________________________________
🧩 Structure Thesis (Fractal Analog)
You’re looking for a repeat of April 2025’s A/B/C rhythm—scaled up:
• April 2025 reference: A ≈ $92k → B ≈ $106k → C ≈ $80k
• Now (projected):
o A ≈ $108k (≈ 10% pullback from recent highs) 📉
o B ≈ $122k (relief rally / lower high) 🔁
o C ≈ $94k (final flush into demand, completing the correction) 🧱
Interpretation: A measured September fade aligns with the A-leg. A reflexive B-bounce can follow as funding resets and late longs get cleaned up, with a C-leg completing the pattern before the next expansion. 🚀
________________________________________
📊 How Seasonality Supports the Call
• Typical drag: Median −4.5% and multiple red Septembers justify a down-bias.
• Volatility window: The historical 21-point spread (best +7.39% vs worst −13.88%) means a 10% dip sits well within normal bounds.
• Cycle context: With a new ATH just printed, a shallow corrective phase is constructive—not bearish regime change.
________________________________________
🧭 Levels & Triggers
• Bias line: Momentum cools into $108k → watch for seller absorption and open interest reset.
• Relief cap: $122k acts as B-rally resistance; sustained closes above $122k would invalidate the ABC idea and argue for immediate continuation. ✅
• Completion zone: $94k (C) is the buy-the-dip completion area; clean breaks below raise risk of a deeper time correction rather than a swift V-reversal. ⚠️
________________________________________
🧪 What to Monitor (Confirmation/Invalidation)
• Liquidity & OI: De-leveraging into A, controlled OI rebuild into B, washout into C.
• Spot-ETF flows / stablecoin issuance: Weakening into A, stabilizing by late month supports B→C rhythm.
• Funding/basis: Overheated → normalize during A; negative spikes near C often mark capitulation.
• Breadth (alts): Underperform into A/C; broad risk-on breadth usually returns post-C.
________________________________________
📝 Base Case Path (Textbook)
September: drift to $108k (A) → bounce toward $122k (B) → final tag of ~$94k (C) → reset + markup into Q4.
(If price reclaims and holds above $122k early, treat that as trend continuation—not a correction.)
________________________________________
🔒 Risk Notes
• Seasonality is a tendency, not a rule. Macro catalysts (CPI, policy, liquidity) can dominate calendar effects.
• This is market commentary, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidation levels. 🛡️
Link has a good entry today.enter if Link price is within ±2% of 22.40.
take profit at 27.70.
this is a swing trade, not a quick one. patience pays off.
nb: if price goes against you, hold or move it to a Smart Rebalance Bot until the market turns.
don't allocate more than 5% of your portfolio per trade.
Bitcoin Is Hiding Something BIG (Target Revealed)In Episode 17 of my Bitcoin daily analysis , we just hit a +2.3% gain from the last long trigger, and now BTC is pressing against a critical resistance. If this level breaks with volume, the next +2.7% move could be right around the corner.
In this video, I’ll break Bitcoin down across weekly, daily, and 4H timeframes to show you:
Why this resistance is so important 🔑
How I set my next upside target step by step
The role of volume, BTC dominance, and TOTAL2/TOTAL3 in confirming moves
Whether altcoins (like ETH and SOL) are about to outperform Bitcoin
❌ Don’t FOMO.
✅ Stick to risk management.
✅ Trade your plan, not your emotions.
If you found this analysis helpful, share it with your trading friends and let’s grow smarter together.
BTC/USDT 4hour chart update !! BTC/USDT
Downtrend Channel Broken
Bitcoin was moving inside a descending channel (highlighted).
The price has now broken above the channel, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Support Zone
The green area around $107,000 – $108,000 acted as strong demand/support.
BTC bounced sharply from this zone, confirming that buyers stepped in.
50 Red MA (short-term) → Recently crossed above price, but BTC reclaimed it, turning it into support.
200 Green MA (long-term) → Sitting around $114,000, which may act as the next resistance.
Trendline Support
An ascending trendline (black) is holding current price action.
As long as BTC respects this line, the short-term outlook remains bullish.
Resistance: $114,000 (200 MA zone) → first big hurdle.
Higher target: $118,000 – $120,000 if momentum continues.
Support: $110,000 (trendline) and $108,000 (demand zone).
📈 Outlook
Bullish bias as long as BTC holds above $110,000 support/trendline.
A break above $114,000 could trigger a push towards $118K – $120K.
If BTC loses $110K, risk of retesting $107K – $108K support zone.
DYOR | NFA
After the TGE Spike, WLFI Faces Its First Real TestWLFI 4H Update
TGE week is behind us. Price dropped 57% from the weekly high at 0.3781 down to 0.1612, then bounced back into the 0.2445 area, just above green support.
Now with the new week starting, price is pulling back, hitting PSAR and closing out this bullish wave. My view: if current support fails, we’ll likely retest the lower level around 0.1700.
RSI is sitting below SMA and 0.5, MACD close to flipping red, which would confirm downside momentum.
That said, WLFI trades heavily on news—developments this week could shift price action fast.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.