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ETH - Same Pattern. Same Timeline. Same Outcome?Ethereum is showing something extremely interesting… and extremely familiar. When we compare the previous corrective cycle to the current one, both have unfolded almost identically, not just in structure, but also in duration, each measuring around 124 days. 🌊Both cycles followed a clean 1-to-9 wave sequence inside a falling channel before ETH broke out aggressively. And right now, ETH is completing the same exact structure, approaching wave 9 once again. 🔄If history rhymes, and it often does in crypto, ETH may be preparing for a major impulsive phase, similar to what happened after the previous 124-day correction. From the lower bound of the channel, we will be looking for trend-following longs, anticipating a potential bullish reversal that mirrors the last breakout. Cycles don’t repeat perfectly… But they rhyme more often than people think. 📈✨ ⚠️ For now, the trend remains bearish, however, ETH would invalidate the entire bearish structure if the upper trendline breaks upward aggressively, signaling that bulls have fully taken over. Do you believe ETH is about to repeat its previous breakout? Share your view below! 👇🔥 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
12
The Hidden Rhythm Behind Bitcoin’s Four-Year CycleSince 2015, Bitcoin has been moving like a heart beat that refuses to tick randomly. If you zoom out far enough, the timeline paints a pattern that repeats with crazy precision — a rhythm of 365 and 1,065 days, echoing across bull and bear cycles. Here’s the sequence: • 2017 All-Time High → 2018 All-Time Low: 365 days • 2018 All-Time Low → 2021 All-Time High: 1,065 days • 2021 All-Time High → 2022 All-Time Low: 365 days • 2022 All-Time Low → 2025 All-Time High: 1,065 days A perfect alternation, almost like Bitcoin inhales for a year… and exhales for three. This pattern aligns beautifully with the idea of a four-year cycle, but what’s fascinating is its precision. It’s not vague. It’s not approximate. It’s day-count accurate, which makes you wonder: Is this just market psychology repeating itself? Or is Bitcoin following a deeper structural rhythm embedded in its halving mechanism? But here’s where it gets interesting… This cycle might not stay “perfect” forever. We’re entering a new era where: • Countries are adding strategic Bitcoin reserves • Institutional funds, big company's are stepping in ( Microstrategy, Tesla, etc. ) • ETFs and sovereign buyers are absorbing supply that miners can’t replenish This pushes Bitcoin closer to becoming a macroeconomic asset, not just a speculative one. And when the character of an asset changes, its cycles can stretch, twist, or break. So maybe — just maybe — even though the 365/1065 rhythm held from 2015 to 2025 like clockwork… this time the real bull run might arrive later than expected. A delayed ignition. A late bloom. A cycle that still respects the past — but evolves with the future. Because for the first time in Bitcoin’s history, the buyers are not just retail dreamers or early believers. They’re nations. They’re institutions. They’re multi-decade players. And assets behave differently when the hands holding them change.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
by DECAPOSTOS
5
Sentiment cycle. Two sentiments and FUD.Based on Livermores "opposite day trading", Qullamaggies 10/20/50. Livermores emotion cycle doesn't fully explain price dynamic. In practice markets or crowd have a clear sentiment of "safety" and trust. and "danger" and distrust. You can have a strong market... that breaks and starts crashing --> You know the sentiment wont be the same. You see some risk taking fomo.. but it doesnt end nowhere. Because the core of every strong market is strong momentum technicals or setup. Odds in your favor etc. It's very clear where the SENTIMENT (cycle) shifts to crashing and "it wont be the same anymore". towards risk on (setup). Categorizing all market on RISK-ON, RISK-OFF (at near term) wouldnt explain the dynamic either... because like most of the time (maybe 80%) market is on a FUD mode. Livermore was good at explaining crowd temperature. Something could be bullish, but still on FUD mode -> and you get these tiny sell offs, losing due to SL or selling on fear. clear "RISK ON" is where, based on Qullamaggie, there are strong upsloping quick MAs (10/20/50). --> best explanation would be that people trust in the market. It's hard to lose, when everyone throws money at market. eventually it leads to FUD channels etc. or corrections. Even today --> there do always be some chance, that market just crashes. No guarantees. Strong technicals but FUD sentiment. //April, May, June were all FUD.. fear uncertainty doubt. Livermore said there was only two emotions, Fear and Greed.
NASDAQ:SOXXLong
by citsvar
2025 Bitcoin cycle over, prepare for 2029. Phase A — “Early Downtrend” Nov 2025 → Apr 2026 Bitcoin drifts down from $100K–$95K Enters $80Ks Weekly momentum failing Phase B — “Cycle Breakdown → Panic Flush” Jun 2026 → Nov 2026 Macro liquidity tight Miner stress increases ETF inflows slow or briefly reverse Price cascades into $60Ks and $50Ks Monthly oscillators bottom out You BUYS HERE: ($68–$55K) This is your PRIME accumulation zone. Rinse, repeat. This is how true Bitcoiners do it. UP FOREVER: Bitcoin Doesn't Care About Your Opinion @upforevermovie
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BTC-UpForeverSeries
5
Bitcoin - The Calm Before the Next Wave?📉Bitcoin has entered yet another correction phase within its long-term rising channel, following the same rhythm we’ve seen in previous cycles. Each major correction (highlighted in red) has historically been followed by a strong bullish impulsive move from the lower blue trendline, and this time, price is once again testing that key structural support. 🔁If history repeats itself, this could be the final retest before a major rally toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially aligning with the next cycle’s exponential phase. Will Bitcoin bounce from this level one more time, or is a deeper correction still on the table? 👀 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
15
Bitcoin - Will History Repeat Itself Again?📈Bitcoin continues to follow a remarkably similar path to its previous market cycles. Each major bullish impulse has been followed by a controlled correction, a fakeout towards the lower trendline, and then a strong rebound toward new highs. Looking closely at the current structure, BTC seems to be retesting the lower bound of its long-term rising channel, a pattern that played out multiple times before every major leg up. ⚔️If history repeats itself, this fakeout could mark the final shakeout before the next macro rally, with a potential reversal forming between late November and early January. 🏹From there, the next impulsive wave could push price toward the upper boundary of the channel, around the $150,000–$160,000 zone, aligning perfectly with Bitcoin’s long-term cyclical rhythm. The big question remains: will history rhyme once again, or is this time different? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis Entering Cycle C with Target Toward $144KBitcoin’s long-term market structure continues to evolve in well-defined phases, as visible through Cycle A, Cycle B, and the current Cycle C formation. Each previous cycle has followed a similar pattern: accumulation, expansion, correction, and new leg upward — and Cycle C appears to be following this same rhythm. Here’s what the structure shows: Cycle A: Represented the deep accumulation zone and base formation, bottoming near $39K–$75K. Cycle B: Brought a strong recovery and expansion phase, establishing a stable mid-level support around $110K. Cycle C (Current): Price is consolidating around the $110K area, likely preparing for the next expansion wave. If Bitcoin maintains this cyclical rhythm, the next major target lies near $144K, aligning with the top boundary of Cycle C. This zone represents the next major resistance level and potential completion point of the current macro cycle. Key observations: Holding above $109K keeps Cycle C active and healthy. Increasing volume during the next upward move could confirm a breakout continuation. A successful push beyond $120K would strengthen momentum toward the $144K region.
Long
by SatochiTrader
WIF/USDT – Accumulation Phase Before Potential RecoveryWIF continues to consolidate after an extended downtrend, currently trading around $0.53 within a well-defined range between $0.45 (support) and $0.85 (resistance). The structure shows signs of base formation, with steady accumulation and reduced volatility — a setup that often precedes directional movement. Support zone: $0.45 remains the key demand area where buyers are consistently stepping in. Resistance zone: The main resistance to watch is near $0.85 — a breakout above could confirm trend reversal. Volume behavior: Gradually increasing volume hints at potential momentum build-up for an upward move. If market sentiment improves, WIF could attempt a return toward the $0.75–$0.85 zone, marking a mid-term recovery phase. For now, holding above $0.50 keeps the structure constructive for a bullish continuation.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Bitcoin Weekend Volume Could Exceed 116K as Smart Money Accumula📊 Market Update Bitcoin has been building strength since the 106K–107K level, showing signs of a new uptrend. Both the lower time frames and the main trend are currently positive. There’s a strong possibility that BTC will target 112K as the first level, with 116K+ also possible depending on the weekend trading volume. 🔹 Market Structure The market structure is gradually building, suggesting smart money inflows into BTC over the last 10 hours. We’ll continue tracking this development closely further
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC GOLDEN CYCLE CAN START ANY MOMENT WITH BREAKOUT 112K AFTER..BTC Breakdown Completed — Potential Rebound Toward $112K 🔁 Bitcoin has successfully tested the 106K zone, completing the expected breakdown move. Price action now shows early signs of stabilization, suggesting that a recovery toward $112K–$113K could follow in the short term. 📊 Market Outlook: Support was confirmed near $106K, halting further downside pressure. Short-term resistance sits around $111.6K–$113.5K, the next likely retracement target. Momentum remains weak but improving — volume shows early buyer re-entry. 📈 Scenario: If BTC maintains support above $107K, a technical bounce toward the mid-range near $112K becomes likely before facing renewed resistance. However, failure to sustain current levels could risk a retest of $106K. 💬 Summary: BTC completed its breakdown to the 106K area and is now forming a possible relief rebound setup targeting $112K–$113K range. With the same data, we did expect before the breakdown from 115K to 106K zone
Long
by SatochiTrader
JST/USDT — Major Reversal Setup Forming, 200% Potential AheadJST/USDT — Major Reversal Setup Forming, 200% Potential Ahead 🚀 JST is showing early signs of a trend reversal after an extended accumulation phase. The price is stabilizing around $0.032, with visible compression and increasing volume — both classic signals of an upcoming breakout move. The next major resistance level sits around $0.10, representing a potential +200% move from the current range if momentum confirms. A breakout above $0.035–$0.040 could serve as the first confirmation of strength, leading to a rapid extension higher. 📊 Technical Overview: Support Zone: $0.026 Breakout Zone: $0.035–$0.040 Main Target: $0.10 (+200%) Structure: Long-term accumulation nearing breakout JST remains in a strong position for a multi-week breakout if current support holds and short-term buyers maintain momentum. 📈 Bias: Bullish 🎯 Targets: $0.040 → $0.065 → $0.10
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC - History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Rhymes!Bitcoin has always been a market of patterns, and when you zoom out, the weekly chart tells a familiar story. 🏹 Each major bull cycle follows a similar rhythm : a strong rally, a sharp correction, a fakeout below support, and then another impulsive leg higher. We’ve seen this movie before. In 2023, BTC broke its structure briefly before continuing its climb. Again in 2024, the market dipped below the trendline, shaking out late buyers, only to bounce and push to new highs. Now, in 2025, we’re testing that same rising trendline once again, showing another possible “fakeout before takeoff” scenario. 🔄If history continues to rhyme, this pullback could mark the final correction before BTC resumes its journey toward the upper boundary of the rising channel - possibly into the 150K–160K zone over the next phase. But if this time is different and BTC fails to reclaim the trendline, we could witness a longer consolidation phase before the next major impulse. The key remains the same: watch the weekly close around the trendline. Each time BTC dipped below and reclaimed it, the next move was explosive. History might not repeat perfectly - but it tends to rhyme beautifully. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
Bitcoin - Is the top already in?Introduction This chart analyzes Bitcoin’s cyclical timing. The focus is on time, not price. It examines the number of days between structural moments such as cycle tops, cycle bottoms, and halvings. By comparing these intervals, we can understand rhythm and consistency. This helps determine whether the current cycle top may have already formed in early October. Cycle Top to Cycle Bottom The period from cycle top to cycle bottom represents the bear phase after a market peak. In the previous two cycles, this phase lasted about 365 days each. This pattern suggests that the market typically needs a year to recover. After that, a new accumulation phase usually begins. If the pattern holds, it provides a fairly predictable window for correction. It marks the transition from euphoria to rebuilding. Cycle Bottom to Cycle Top The phase from cycle bottom to cycle top defines the bull run itself. In the last two cycles, this period lasted 1,065 and 1,066 days. That is just under three years. During this time, Bitcoin rose from deep accumulation to a new all-time high. Based on current data, 1,065 days points to early October. In that month, a new ATH was reached. This makes the current phase consistent with past cycles. It supports the idea that the top may already be in. Cycle Top to Cycle Top The full duration from peak to peak measured 1,461 and 1,431 days in previous cycles. This shows a clear recurring rhythm. The market moves in fairly consistent four-year patterns. Comparing this with the current cycle shows a slight extension. If the peak occurred in early October, this cycle is longer than the last. That may suggest a more mature market. Growth is slower but structurally stronger. Halving to Cycle Top The time between a halving and the next cycle top is key. Halvings affect both supply and market sentiment. In past cycles, this interval was 518 and 548 days. We are now exactly at day 548 since the last halving. This aligns perfectly with historical timing. It supports the idea that the top was reached in early October. The moment fits the halving-to-top rhythm observed in earlier cycles. Conclusion Based on this timing analysis, it is very likely that the cycle top formed in early October. The bottom-to-top duration of 1,065 days and the halving-to-top of 548 days confirm this. Both match previous patterns. The current cycle is slightly longer than earlier ones, suggesting a slower rhythm. If Bitcoin sets a new ATH later, it would mark an extended cycle. Timing alone does not guarantee future price direction. Macro factors, policy shifts, and liquidity events can all change the rhythm. Use timing cycles as context, not as prediction. Combine them with price structure and on-chain signals. Maintain active risk management, since longer cycles often bring higher volatility and larger deviations from historical averages.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
37
DXY: Key Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce?The U.S. Dollar Index has found footing around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near 97.8, breaking a long downtrend. Its push toward the 99.35–100 range suggests a possible retest of a broken structure and alignment with the 50-day EMA. I noticed this move also aligns with short-term recovery signals. Technical View (1D) RSI climbing above 50 hints at renewed momentum. MACD turning green shows early signs of follow-through. Price is testing 100–101, a former support turned resistance. If momentum holds, 102, 104, and 106 are the next resistance zones. Support remains steady at 98, 97, and 95.8, which are shown as strong confluence points with Fibonacci structure. Scenarios: If DXY closes above 100.3, I’d expect continuation toward 102.4 or 104.2. Failure to clear 100 followed by a drop under 98.5 could send it back toward 97.2 or even 95.8. For now, my bias stays neutral to slightly bullish in the short term. A clean breakout above 100 would confirm a structural shift upward. None the less, I’m watching U.S. yields and upcoming CPI data closely and considering the factor that stronger inflation or a hawkish Fed tone could fuel the next DXY leg higher. Thank you for your time and support, and as always please remember that this is always NFA and DYOFR, respectfully.
TVC:DXY
by imaclone_eth
Bitcoin (BTC), End of Cycle Season Based on Cycle DurationBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin appears to have already formed its peak within the current bullish cycle and may now be preparing for a correction. Alternatively, if BTC makes another attempt to reach a new all-time high within October, that period could mark the final peak of this cycle. Looking at historical data, Bitcoin has shown a repeating pattern — an uptrend lasting approximately 3 years and 11 months (1,065 days) from the bottom, followed by a downtrend of about 1 year (365 days) from the peak. During down cycles, the cycle low has typically formed between the EMA 50 and EMA 100. Backtesting monthly charts shows that Bitcoin often breaks below the EMA 50, finds support above the EMA 100, and then breaks through the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling the start of a new bullish cycle. Become an early follower and be part of the journey.🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
Short
by Now_Trading