The classical Bitcoin theory about halvings is that they "cause" bull-markets because the supply mined gets halved, leading to a negative supply shock and therefore increasing the value per Bitcoin. This is not a surprising theory since it makes a lot of sense and has worked in the past. But, is the halving really that important for the Bitcoin price? I've...
The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021. Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Reference of Nasdaq: E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt Minimum...
In today's idea, we're going to entertain a "what if" scenario for CRYPTOCAP:BTC : what if the price of Bitcoin does an exact repeat of what happened back in 2019 up until the high in early 2021? This hypothesis is based off the candle pattern that starts from the 2019 mid-cycle high (1). So, assuming April 2023 was our mid-cycle high of $31,035, it's...
Bitcoin has an interesting relationship with it's 100 day SMA, how far will the pump take us this time?
As we can see on the chart, BESI has been moving within this long-term trend the past few years. It recently has touched the lower trendline again which has been acting as support for a long time. By looking at what BESI has done in the past few years and with those 2 trendlines in mind, we can expect BESI to be bullish for the next few years to come until it has...
COMP did play an important time before the breakdown trend, and it seems that's back for the 2023 trend. It's interesting to follow and to see where COMP can increase. This seems new cycle what could bring Comp to higher target, and our first expecting target is $64
Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: The Kumo has been green for 41 days and is about 13% wide and is starting to tighten, especially the Senkou Span B is...
I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's price weekly logarithmic chart. Firstly, the chart examines growth and fall cycles, sometimes referred to as economic cycles or trade cycles. As you can see in my analysis, the growth cycle usually lasts approximately 150 weeks and is always longer than the fall cycle that spans out over the course of approximately 51-60...
Salve amici! It's time to Long now, we probably closed the T-1 C so we are going to start with the New T Target the close of the Ti Time&Size -> that's all Have good nd Slow Trading Ciao
Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: Kumo has been green for 34 days and is about 12.9% wide. It has widened and is now flat. The various lines indicate a...
In this analysis I want to shed some light on the fact that the 2-week is an amazing tool to determine the start and end of Bitcoin trading cycles. In this specific example, I'm comparing all three previous bear-markets. Note that the MACD has performed in a very similar fashion. The first bearish cross confirms the bear-market, and the first bullish cross...
Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: Kumo has been green for 28 days and is about 10.8% wide. It has widened and is looking upward. The various lines...
imho CAT is the best benchmark stock to track cycle throughs ahead. In line with my view of a nearest major bottom sometime in Oct-Nov 2023. Upside should be expected until 2026-2027. Next major bottom is in 2030-2031.
We need to close the T+2 so we can enter short again on the close of the T-1i inside the box Have a Nice and Slow Trading Remember that everything you need to trade is TIME and SPACE Ciao
Ciclometrica is a new way to use TIME & VOLUME to understand any Market Enjoy this new Series Sorry for my English
Triple top at 65K - Potential For bitcoin to continue the massive range between 65k and 30k, racing to 65k leaving people behind, 100k feels imminent once again during the consolidation, at which point alts get a chance to rally but it's cut short by macro once again. Alts get absolutely rekt and return to the lows while btc returns to 30k. Market bottoms on...
According to this pattern, the uptrend has already begun and will continue until the end of the 2023/2024 solar cycle (Fall 2024) with a very likely possible extension into Spring 2025 and maybe as late as Fall 2025. Solar cycles coincide with major bull markets, while lunar cycles contain bear markets. The green vertical lines are the solar eclipses and the red...
How we know the crypto market is controlled by AI (Artificial Intelligence). This becomes evident when you study the cycles and patterns in market behaviour. For example Friday 8pm it turns off for the weekend, leaving just retail investors left, hence why the volume is always lower on weekends. The AI wakes up again Sunday evening, 6pm EST. Bringing back the...