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BTC/USDT 1Hinterval support and resistanceHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on one hour time frame, the price is trading below the local falling trend line. To check the supports, we will use the trend based fib extension tool and as you can see, the first significant support is at $29,481, and then we have strong support at $29,306. Now let's move on from the resistance line, as you can see the price fights the resistance at $29783, then we have a strong resistance zone from $29930 to $30038 and then resistance at $30172. The CHOP index indicates that there is energy for further movement, the MAC maintains a downward trend, and the rsi is moving under the downtrend line, only when we exit it can we see the price increase.
by cryptodailyuk
ETC/UST 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC chart on the one-day interval. As we can see, the price did not manage to stay on the downtrend line and was quickly reversed. After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the price is holding just below the support at $19.19, the next support is at $16.69, then the third support at $14.84, and when we go lower we have a fourth very strong support at priced at $12.57. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the first significant resistance is at $21.67 with the downtrend line, then resistance at $24.15 and then the price will move to resistance at $27.26. At this point, it is worth including the EMA Cross 200, which indicates that the ETC attempted to return to a strong uptrend, but it was a false break and a quick return. The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicates the continuation of the downward trend, while the RSI has approached the middle of the range, so the move will be based on BTC price jumps.
by cryptodailyuk
Hello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB/USDT 4H ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart against USDT, also on a four-hour timeframe. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the uptrend channel in which the price is currently moving in the lower part, it is also worth marking the local downtrend line with the yellow line. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark support, and first we will mark a strong support zone in which the BNB price is currently located, but when it falls below this zone, the next support is at $ 233. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first strong resistance at the price of $ 249, and then it is worth marking a very strong resistance zone from $ 257 to $ 262, only when the price breaks out of it and then positively tests, we will see further increases. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used. The MACD indicator maintains an ongoing downtrend. On the other hand, on the RSI we have a strong rebound to the lower part of the range, which creates room for a future price increase, but it is worth being careful because there is room for the price to go a little lower.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the local sideways trend channel where the price is at its lower border, while using this line we can mark the downtrend lines in the current channel where the price is higher with a sideways move. Now let's move on to determining the resistance, for this we will use the trend based fib extension tool and as we can see the first significant resistance is at the price of $30705, then we have a strong resistance zone from $31220 to $31591, and only then the price will move towards the resistance at priced at $32,052. Looking the other way, we can also mark support places for BTC, as you can see the first support is at $29687, and then we can mark a very strong support zone from $29227 to $28897. Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicator remains in a downward trend, but is close to changing the trend, and after reacting, we have a sideways movement on the RSI with the place for the price to move towards the first resistance.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - MONDAY JULY 17, 2023Daily Market Analysis - MONDAY JULY 17, 2023 Key events: China - Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun) Eurozone - ECB President Lagarde Speaks Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks USA - NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jul) Friday witnessed a modest dip in US stocks, yet investor optimism prevailed amidst signs suggesting a prolonged era of disinflation. With contemplation on interest rates, market performance, and Federal Reserve decisions, the prevailing sentiment remained buoyant. NASDAQ Indices daily chart S&P500 Indices daily chart Dow Jones Indices daily chart Market sentiment reflects a growing confidence in the potential for a smooth economic landing. Yields have witnessed a notable decline, particularly towards the week's end, driven by factors widely regarded as favorable. Investors are recalibrating their expectations by removing inflation premiums, rather than assuming imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as a response to inflationary pressures. The unexpected decrease in US CPI has triggered market reactions, resulting in a narrowing of US-EU front-end rate spreads and a deepening inversion in US front-end rates. However, with the alleviation provided by the inflation drop and indications of progress towards a gentle economic landing, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its current stance and refrain from significant rate adjustments for the next 12 months. Consequently, the US Dollar is not expected to undergo a substantial depreciation. US Dollar Currency Index In terms of the rates outlook, there is limited divergence observed within a significant portion of the broad Dollar index. Many policymakers in emerging markets (EM) are already taking action in response to the lower inflation environment. The Eurozone is anticipated to follow suit, aligning its rate adjustments accordingly. While US rates were predominantly influenced by domestic factors, there were indications towards the end of the week that Eurozone rates were starting to respond. This suggests that developments in the US economy and relief from inflation are beginning to influence global rate trends, including those in the Eurozone. The upcoming second-quarter earnings season is set to commence, with Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) being the first among the prominent growth and technology companies that have been the driving force behind the US stock market's performance this year. Tesla's earnings report is scheduled for Wednesday. Tesla stock daily chart Tesla is a prominent member of the "Magnificent Seven," a group of colossal stocks that includes Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META). These companies have experienced remarkable share price surges ranging from 40% to over 200% this year, playing a significant role in driving the overall rally of the S&P 500. While the market rally appears to be extending to other sectors, it's crucial to acknowledge that these substantial gains have been accompanied by high earnings expectations. Failure to meet these expectations by Tesla or any of the other megacap companies during this quarter's earnings reports could have a severe impact on equity indices. In addition to Tesla's earnings report, several other major companies are scheduled to disclose their results in the upcoming week. The banking sector's earnings season continues, with Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) announcing its results on Tuesday and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) on Wednesday. Tuesday will also see the release of US retail sales data for June, with an anticipated 0.5% increase attributed to a recovery in auto sales and higher gasoline station sales. This indicates that consumer demand remains resilient despite certain challenges. Investors will also closely monitor reports on regional manufacturing activity, which is expected to remain sluggish. Furthermore, the weekly data on initial jobless claims will provide insights into the current state of the job market. US Retail Sales Wednesday will see the release of the UK's June inflation data, a significant factor that will impact the potential magnitude of the Bank of England's next interest rate increase. It is expected that the headline consumer price index will moderate to 8.2% year-over-year, down from May's 8.7%. This easing is mainly attributed to a decrease in food and fuel prices. While core inflation is anticipated to show a slight decline, the services component is expected to remain stable at a post-COVID high of 7.4%. GBP/USD daily chart In the minutes of the June meeting, the Bank of England emphasized the potential need for further tightening if the economy demonstrated sustained inflationary pressures, particularly in the services consumer price index (CPI). Consequently, the upcoming August meeting of the Bank of England is expected to be closely contested. Should there be an increase in the services CPI, it would likely strengthen expectations for another 50-basis point rate hike. Conversely, a lower reading would likely shift the balance towards a more modest 25-basis point increase. The inflation data will hold substantial sway in shaping the central bank's decision regarding future adjustments to interest rates.
by FOREXN1
13
BTC/USDT Short-Term 1HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart in one hour time frame. As you can see, the price has broken out of the local downtrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension mesh, we see that the price has bounced off the strong resistance at $30,442, and when it breaks the next resistance is at $30,550. Looking the other way, we see that the first support is at $30,318, then you can mark a strong support zone from $30,238 to $30,182, and then support at $30,114. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that the energy is almost used up, the MACD confirms the local uptrend and the RSI has a significant increase, however, there is some room for the price to go a little higher.
by cryptodailyuk
1
BNB 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BNB to USDT chart on a four-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has moved above the downtrend line. After unfolding the Fib Retracement tool, we see that the first support is at $247.82, then we have a strong support zone from $245 to $243, and then support at $240.97. Looking the other way, it is worth first marking the resistance zone from $ 253 to $ 256, and then the support at $ 261.37. The CHOP index indicates that there is energy for a further move, the MACD remains in a downtrend, and the RSI has a sideways move around the middle of the range, which may result in a slight upward move in price.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 4HInterval Daily ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a four-hour interval. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the uptrend channel in which the price is currently moving at its upper border. When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that it held the price nicely at the time of the correction. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. Here the first support we should take into account is at $1973, then we will mark the strong support zone from $1935 to $1911, however when the price breaks down from it we have another support at $1877. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at $2063, then we have a strong support zone from $2110 to $2144, only when the price goes up, it will move towards the resistance at $2188. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used. The MACD indicator confirms the uptrend. However, on the RSI we crossed the upper limit, which gives us moments of recovery.
by cryptodailyuk
2
BNB/USDT Short-Term ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BNB to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price has broken out of the local downtrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension mesh, we see that the first support is at the price of $ 239.8, the second at the price of $ 236.5. third at $233.3, and fourth at $228.7. Looking the other way, you should first mark the resistance zone from $247 to $250, and then the second zone from $254 to $257. The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy to move, MACD is on the verge of returning to the downtrend, and we have a rebound on the RSI, but there is room for the price to go lower.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT Daily Review 4HIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line from which the price went up. It is also worth mentioning that after turning on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that the moving average of 200 held the price before falling further. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we have the first support at $1843, the second support at $1801, and then we can mark a very strong support zone from $1760 to $1701. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here the first strong resistance that the price is currently fighting is $1882, then we can mark a very strong resistance zone from $1944 to $2030, and when it manages to break out above, the price will be able to move towards the resistance at the previous high of $2140. The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to continue the movement. The MACD indicator confirms the local uptrend. On the other hand, the RSI is moving around the middle of the range, which may indicate that there is still room for the price to break out of the first resistance.
by cryptodailyuk
AUDNZD I Retrace upward and potential downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** AUDZD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2
LTC/USDT Review 4H Analysis Hello everyone, welcome to the LTC review on a four-hour interval. Currently, with the help of blue lines, we will mark the downtrend channel, from which the price is fighting for an upper exit. Now let's move on to marking the support spots for the price and we see that the price is currently holding a very strong support at $94.76, however when it leaves the support below, we can see a drop to the second support at $82.24. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the first resistance is at $99.53, then we have the second resistance at $104.49, and then price needs to break a strong resistance zone of $108 to $112. The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy has been used, the MACD is struggling to return to the local uptrend, while the RSI is moving in the lower part of the range, which may also affect the reversal of the uptrend.
by cryptodailyuk
BNB/USDT 1DReview Resistance an SupportHello everyone, welcome to a review of the BNB vs. USDT pair, taking into account the one-day timeframe. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the sideways trend channel in which the price is currently approaching its upper limit. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and here we will first mark the strong support zone from $234 to $228, however, if the price falls below this zone, we can see a drop to around $220.4. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we see that the price is moving towards the upper border of the channel, where we have a strong resistance zone from $244 to $250, only when we exit it upside, we can attack the resistance at $256.8. Index CHOP indicates that there is still energy to continue this movement. The MACD indicator, despite corrections in the channel, maintains an upward trend. On the other hand, on the RSI we approached the middle of the range, despite everything we can see an attempt to attack the first resistance zone.
by cryptodailyuk
XRP/USDT 1D Review ChartHello everyone, welcome to the XRP chart review on a one-day timeframe. As we can see after defining the uptrend line, the price has fallen slightly below, but remains close to this line. Let's start by marking the support areas for the price and we see that first we have a support zone from $0.45 to $0.42, which is holding the price so far, but if the zone is broken, the next support is at $0.39. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently bouncing off the $0.48 resistance. Then we can mark a resistance zone from $0.51 to $0.52, and a second very strong zone from $0.54 to $0.57. The CHOP index indicates that a lot of energy has been collected, the MACD is struggling to return to the downtrend, while the RSI has a further rebound, which may positively affect the change of the price direction to an upward one.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on a single day time frame. As you can see, the price has fallen below the local uptrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that the price stayed in the first support zone from $1864 to $1828, and then there is the second support zone from $1793 to $1742. Looking the other way, we will check the resistances in the same way and here we see that the price must first break the resistance zone from $1909 to $1959, when it breaks it it will move towards the second zone from $2041 to $2101. The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for a move, the MACD is on the verge of returning to a downtrend, while the RSI has a pullback to the middle of the range, which may translate into an upward price move.
by cryptodailyuk
XRP/USDT Review 1DayInterval Hello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart on a one-day timeframe. As we can see after defining the uptrend line, the price has fallen slightly below, but remains close to this line. Let's start by marking the support areas for the price and we see that first we have a support zone from $0.45 to $0.42, which is holding the price so far, but if the zone is broken, the next support is at $0.39. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently bouncing off the $0.48 resistance. Then we can mark a resistance zone from $0.51 to $0.52, and a second very strong zone from $0.54 to $0.57. The CHOP index indicates that a lot of energy has been collected, the MACD is struggling to return to the uptrend, while the RSI has a further rebound, which may positively affect the change of the price direction to an upward one.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - FRIDAY JULY 07, 2023Key News: USA - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) USA - Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) USA - Unemployment Rate (Jun) During Thursday's trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded a decline as robust job market data sparked expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. This development subsequently led to a surge in Treasury yields, which raised concerns among market participants. The Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a notable decrease of 1.1%, resulting in a loss of 366 points. Similarly, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 also faced declines of 0.8% and 0.8% respectively. NASDAQ, SPX, and DJI indices daily charts Amidst the broader market decline, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) bucked the trend and achieved a gain of nearly 1% driven by optimism surrounding its advancements in artificial intelligence (AI). Morgan Stanley, a prominent financial institution, expressed confidence in Microsoft's position within the software industry, particularly in relation to the projected $90 billion growth opportunity in generative AI by fiscal 2025. In light of this positive outlook, Morgan Stanley increased its price target on Microsoft from $355 to $415, indicating a favorable investment potential for the company. Microsoft stock daily chart Despite the launch of its Twitter competitor app called Threads and the announcement by Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg that it had garnered over 30 million sign-ups since its recent introduction, Meta (formerly known as Facebook) faced a reversal of its early-day gains. The company's stock failed to maintain its upward momentum, and the gains dissipated as the trading session progressed. The market response to Threads and Meta's overall performance suggests that investors and traders may have reacted differently to the news, leading to the subsequent decline in the stock price. Meta Platforms stock daily chart In the Eurozone, inflation expectations for the medium term experienced a decrease in May. The gauge measuring the 12-month expectation dipped from 4.1% to 3.9%. Despite this decline, the long-term (three-year) inflation expectations, which hold greater significance for the European Central Bank (ECB), remained unchanged at 2.5%. This level is notably higher than the ECB's target inflation rate of 2%. The latest flash core Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for June further strengthen the argument for proponents of tighter monetary policies within the ECB. These estimates provide substantial justification for those who advocate for a more stringent approach to monetary policy, given that inflationary pressures persist in the Eurozone. The ECB, as the central bank responsible for maintaining price stability, closely monitors inflation expectations and aims to keep them in line with its target. The fact that long-term inflation expectations remain above the ECB's target suggests that there may be a need for increased vigilance and potential policy adjustments to curb inflationary pressures. The divergence between medium-term and long-term inflation expectations underscores the complexity of managing inflationary dynamics in the Eurozone. The ECB will need to carefully assess economic data, including CPI estimates, to make informed decisions regarding monetary policy and strike a balance between supporting economic growth and maintaining price stability. EUR/USD daily chart Today, the economic calendar in the Eurozone is relatively light, implying that the movement of the EUR/USD exchange rate will primarily be influenced by the market's reaction to data releases from the United States. The market's response to US data is of particular significance, as it has a notable impact on shaping the direction of the EUR/USD exchange rate. Positive data releases from the US could strengthen the US Dollar and potentially lead to a decline in the EUR/USD pair, while weaker-than-expected data could exert downward pressure on the US Dollar, potentially favoring an upward movement in the EUR/USD pair. Additionally, the market remains highly sensitive to price-related developments. In this context, there is ongoing concern regarding the Bank of England's aggressive tightening expectations. Speculation suggests that the BoE could implement a significant 140 basis point increase in interest rates by January 2024. This projection, if realized, raises the possibility of a reassessment in the market. If investors revise their expectations and perceive the tightening as too aggressive or potentially detrimental to economic growth, it could pose downside risks for the British Pound. Consequently, the GBP/USD exchange rate could experience downward pressure. GBP/USD daily chart The EUR/GBP pair has witnessed a decline over the past two sessions; however, it may find support at its current levels and potentially make a move towards the 0.8600 mark once again. This shift in the pair's direction could be driven by the potential threat of a repricing of the previously overbought British Pound, influenced by the actions of the Bank of England. The recent weakening of the EUR/GBP pair suggests that the Pound has gained strength against the Euro. However, the current levels may act as a support zone, potentially leading to a reversal in the pair's direction. If the support holds, it could provide an opportunity for the EUR/GBP pair to regain some ground and move towards the 0.8600 level. The potential repricing of the Pound is a significant factor that could influence the pair's movement. If market participants perceive that the British Pound had become overbought or overvalued in relation to its fundamentals, they may adjust their positions accordingly, leading to a corrective move in the currency. This adjustment could contribute to a potential reversal in the EUR/GBP pair, benefiting the Euro and causing the pair to move higher towards the 0.8600 mark. EUR/GBP daily chart Yesterday's market sell-off was primarily triggered by the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve, which revealed a greater inclination for further tightening of monetary policy than previously anticipated. This direction gained further momentum with the release of strong employment-related data, namely the ADP payrolls and ISM services reports, which indicated that the US labor market remains robust and is expected to continue performing well. The ADP payrolls report for June showcased an impressive addition of 497,000 new jobs. However, it is important to note that a significant portion of these positions were in lower-paid service roles, which could have implications for wage growth and overall economic recovery. In addition to the employment data, the prices paid component of the ISM services report indicated a slowdown, reaching its lowest level in three years. This decline in price pressures suggests that inflationary pressures might be easing, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's decision-making process regarding future monetary policy actions. The combination of the Federal Reserve minutes highlighting a stronger inclination for tightening, along with positive employment data and easing price pressures, contributed to the market sell-off observed. Investors and traders reacted to these factors, reassessing their positions and adjusting their expectations accordingly. US Employment Change The resilience of the labor market presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve in its pursuit of achieving its target inflation rate. Despite the possibility of a potential decrease in headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) to 3% in June, the task of returning inflation to the desired level becomes increasingly difficult. Today's release of the US nonfarm payrolls report for June has the potential to further reinforce optimism about the US economy. A strong jobs report would provide evidence of a robust labor market, indicating economic strength and potential future growth. However, there is also a concern that such a positive report could lead the Federal Reserve to overestimate the economy's resilience and prompt them to raise interest rates more aggressively than necessary. The market has already priced in these expectations, as reflected by the recent rise in yields. The anticipation of a stronger economy and the possibility of more aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have contributed to an increase in yields. This pricing-in of expectations suggests that there is a level of caution in the market regarding the potential actions of the central bank and the impact they may have on various sectors. Balancing the need to support the labor market with the goal of achieving the desired inflation rate remains a challenge for the Federal Reserve. The nonfarm payrolls report for June will be closely watched by market participants and policymakers alike, as it has the potential to shape future monetary policy decisions and market expectations. As always, it is important to monitor economic data releases, central bank statements, and market sentiment to gain a comprehensive understanding of the current landscape and make informed decisions regarding investments and trading strategies.
by FOREXN1
7
ETH/USDT Short-Term Review 1HIntervalHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart taking into account the timeframe of one hour. As we can see, the price leaves the local downtrend line sideways. When we unfold the trend based fib extension tool, we see that we first have a support zone from $1872 to $1859, but when the price goes lower, then the support is at $1836. Looking the other way, we can mark a resistance zone from $1879 to $1889 where the price is struggling to break out, then we have a second zone from $1904 to $1915 and then strong resistance at $1930. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the MACD indicates the continuation of the local downtrend, and the RSI shows a significant rebound that may change the direction of the price to an upward one.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT Short-Term 1HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price is bouncing off the local downtrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see the first support zone from $30,309 to $30,138, and then the second support zone from $29,856 to $29,658. Now let's move on to the resistances, and here in the first place the price has to break the zone from $30661 to $30804, when it does it has a second strong resistance zone from $30949 to $31150. The CHOP index indicates that the energy is starting to gather strength, the MACD is on the verge of returning to the local uptrend, and the RSI after a strong recovery shows that there is room for price growth.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT Long-Term Review 1DIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, taking into account the one-day interval. Using the yellow line, we will mark the uptrend line, which, as we can see, holds the price nicely in corrections. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and here in the first place it is worth marking the support zone from $ 1845 to $ 1662, however, when the price drops below, we can see a return to a very strong support zone from $ 1363 to $ 1150. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $2237, before which the price once again turned back, the next resistance is at the price of $2552, and then the third resistance at the price of $3007. When we turn on the EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see the place of transition into a strong uptrend and how far the price stays in this trend. The CHOP index indicates that we have a lot of energy to use. The MACD indicator is in an uptrend. On the other hand, we have a rebound on the RSI, however, looking at the fact that we are in the upper part of the range, the price may go down to a lower level.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - WEDNESDAY JULY 05, 2023Key News: USA - FOMC Meeting Minutes Following a shortened regular session on Monday, US stock futures displayed a varied pattern during evening deals. Notably, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) witnessed a significant surge of 6.9% as a result of exceeding delivery and production expectations. The trading session concluded on a mixed note, with US stock futures reflecting divergent trends as investors reacted to the latest developments. Tesla Inc, the renowned electric vehicle manufacturer, emerged as a standout performer during this period. The company experienced a remarkable upswing of 6.9%, largely attributed to surpassing expectations in terms of both deliveries and production figures. Investors responded positively to Tesla's impressive performance, fueling optimism about the company's growth prospects. The notable surge in stock value serves as a testament to the market's confidence in Tesla's ability to deliver strong results and capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles. While other stock futures exhibited a more varied pattern, Tesla's exceptional performance contributed to the overall mixed nature of the evening deals. As investors assess the broader market landscape and navigate various factors impacting the financial markets, the strong showing by Tesla stands out as a notable highlight, capturing attention and generating excitement among market participants. Tesla stock daily chart At 19:00 ET (23:00 GMT), the futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average showed no significant change, maintaining stability in the evening trading session. Concurrently, the futures for the S&P 500 experienced a slight uptick of 0.1%, indicating a modest increase in value. In contrast, the futures for the Nasdaq 100 observed a minor decline of 0.2%, signaling a slight decrease in anticipated performance for the tech-heavy index. During this time, market participants closely monitored these futures indicators, seeking insights into the potential direction of the broader stock market. The stability in Dow Jones futures suggested a steady outlook for the industrial average, while the slight increase in S&P 500 futures indicated a positive sentiment among investors. However, the modest decline in Nasdaq 100 futures hinted at a relatively weaker performance for technology stocks. These movements in futures reflected the ongoing dynamics and sentiments surrounding the financial markets. Traders and investors assessed various factors, such as economic data, corporate earnings, geopolitical events, and market trends, to make informed decisions regarding their positions and strategies. While Dow Jones futures remained unchanged, and S&P 500 futures showed a modest increase, the slight decline in Nasdaq 100 futures added a layer of caution to the market environment. It highlighted the potential challenges and uncertainties faced by technology companies and the influence they might have on the overall market performance. As the trading session progressed, market participants continued to monitor these futures indicators, along with other relevant factors, to gain further insights and make informed decisions about their investment strategies. DJI and SPX indices daily chart In the afternoon of the previous day, the Australian dollar witnessed a decline in response to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision to leave the policy rate unchanged at 4.10%. The AUD/USD exchange rate dropped towards 0.6650, indicating a decrease in the value of the Australian dollar against the US dollar. Similarly, the AUD/NZD rate approached 1.0825, reflecting a weakening of the Australian dollar relative to the New Zealand dollar. The decision by the RBA to keep the policy rate unchanged surprised some market participants who had adjusted their expectations for consecutive rate hikes. This adjustment reflected a shift towards a more cautious approach from the RBA in terms of tightening monetary policy. Prior to the announcement, economists surveyed by Bloomberg held mixed views on whether the RBA would choose to implement another rate hike or maintain the existing policy rate. The divergence in expectations among economists and market participants underscores the uncertainty surrounding the RBA's future policy decisions. Traders and investors closely monitored the central bank's statements and actions for any indications of the direction of monetary policy. The outcome of the RBA's decision had a direct impact on the Australian dollar's performance, leading to fluctuations in currency pairs such as AUD/USD and AUD/NZD. As the market continues to digest the RBA's decision and assess the potential implications for the Australian dollar, market participants will closely follow any updates or communications from the central bank that could provide further insights into its future monetary policy stance. These developments will shape market sentiment and influence trading strategies related to the Australian dollar in the days ahead. AUD/USD daily chart The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), in its policy statement, provided reasoning for its decision to keep the policy rates unchanged for the current month. The central bank highlighted the importance of assessing the effects of previous rate increases and closely evaluating the overall economic outlook before making any further adjustments to the rates. While the RBA acknowledged a decline in the May monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicator, they maintained the view that inflation levels were still "too high" and expected to remain elevated for a significant period. This suggests that the RBA is keeping a close eye on inflationary pressures in the economy and is cautious about taking any actions that could potentially exacerbate the situation. By opting to maintain the current rates, the RBA aims to monitor the impact of its past policy decisions on inflation and the broader economy. This approach allows them to gather more data and assess the effectiveness of their previous rate increases. By doing so, the central bank can gain a better understanding of the overall economic conditions and make informed decisions about the future course of monetary policy. The RBA's emphasis on the elevated inflation levels suggests that they are committed to managing price stability and ensuring that inflation remains within their target range over the long term. This cautious stance is likely driven by their objective to strike a balance between supporting economic growth and preventing any significant inflationary pressures that could harm the economy. US Dollar Currency Index The Dollar Index, a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies, showed stability at 103.07, indicating a slight increase from the previous day's level of 102.92. This stability came amidst the expansion of the yield curve inversion in the United States between the 2-year and 10-year treasury yields. A yield curve inversion refers to a situation where shorter-term government securities, such as the 2-year treasury bonds, yield higher returns compared to longer-term bonds, such as the 10-year treasury bonds. This inversion is often seen as a potential signal of an economic downturn or recession, as it reflects investors' concerns about the future outlook of the economy. The expansion of the yield curve inversion implies that the gap between the yields of the 2-year and 10-year treasury bonds has widened. This can be interpreted as an indication of increased uncertainty and risk aversion in the market. Investors may be seeking the safety of longer-term bonds, pushing their yields lower, while demanding higher returns for holding shorter-term bonds. The impact of the yield curve inversion on the Dollar Index is multifaceted. On one hand, the inversion can be viewed as a sign of economic weakness, which may undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar and potentially lead to a decline in its value. On the other hand, the U.S. dollar is often seen as a safe-haven currency during times of market uncertainty, and increased risk aversion could lead investors to seek the relative stability of the dollar, supporting its value. The stability of the Dollar Index at 103.07 suggests that market participants are currently weighing the implications of the yield curve inversion and assessing its impact on the overall currency market. As economic data and market conditions evolve, investors will continue to monitor the yield curve dynamics and their potential influence on the U.S. dollar and other currencies. USD/JPY daily chart The US Dollar held its ground against the Japanese Yen, trading at 144.45, a marginal increase from the previous level of 144.40. This stability came in response to warnings issued by Japanese officials regarding excessive selling of the Yen. Masato Kanda, Japan's top currency diplomat, emphasized that authorities were in close communication with US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and maintaining ongoing dialogue with various countries regarding currency matters. The comments from Japanese officials aimed to address concerns about the weakening of the Yen, indicating their willingness to take appropriate measures if the currency were to weaken excessively. Such warnings and efforts to maintain communication with international counterparts demonstrate Japan's commitment to stability in the foreign exchange market. The US Dollar's stability against the Yen can be attributed to the market's response to these statements. Traders may have refrained from excessive selling of the Yen out of caution, given the potential intervention by Japanese authorities. This balanced approach helps to mitigate significant fluctuations in the USD/JPY exchange rate. The USD/JPY pair is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic indicators, monetary policy decisions, and geopolitical developments. In this case, the comments from Japanese officials added an element of stability to the currency pair, as market participants assessed the potential implications of any intervention measures that may be taken. As the situation evolves, traders will continue to monitor the communications between Japanese and US authorities, as well as other factors that can influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Market sentiment, economic data releases, and geopolitical developments will all play a role in shaping the future direction of the pair. EUR/USD and GBP/USD daily charts In a quiet trading session, the Euro (EUR/USD) faced a slight decline, slipping from 1.0910 to 1.0882. Conversely, the British Pound (GBP/USD) showed strength, rallying by 0.20% to 1.2715 compared to the previous level of 1.2695. The Pound's upward movement was spurred by a statement from UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, highlighting the government's commitment to employ both monetary and fiscal policies fully in order to address concerns about inflation. Sunak's remarks reassured market participants, signaling that the UK government is prepared to take necessary measures to tackle rising inflationary pressures. This proactive stance from policymakers boosted confidence in the Pound, leading to its gains against the US Dollar. The Euro's dip in value against the US Dollar can be attributed to the subdued trading conditions and perhaps a lack of significant catalysts during the session. The Eurozone's economic performance and other factors influencing the Euro may have contributed to the minor decline. As the market awaits further developments, traders will closely monitor any updates regarding inflation and the actions taken by central banks and governments to address the economic challenges. Economic data releases, monetary policy decisions, and geopolitical events will continue to influence the dynamics of the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs in the days ahead. XAU/USD daily chart Gold has shown a modest recovery in the past three sessions after dropping below the key support level of $1,900 per ounce last week. The main driver of the downward pressure on gold prices has been the concern over increasing US interest rates. Investor attention is currently focused on the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's June meeting, as they seek further insights into the future trajectory of US interest rates. While the central bank decided to keep rates unchanged last month, they had indicated the possibility of at least two more rate hikes this year due to persistently high inflation. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has reiterated this stance in recent testimonies and speeches over the past two weeks. Market expectations currently indicate an 88% probability of a 25 basis point rate increase by the central bank in July. Although recent data showed a decline in overall US inflation, core inflation remains stubbornly high and above the Fed's target range. This trend suggests potential further pressure on gold in the coming months, although the metal has also witnessed some safe-haven demand due to expectations of a potential US recession. Analysts at IG have mentioned that they would adopt a positive stance on spot gold if it manages to surpass a resistance level ranging between $1,925 to $1,935 per ounce. In today's economic calendar, the Eurozone will release its June Producer Price Index (PPI) data, with a forecasted month-on-month decrease of -1.8% (compared to -3.2% previously) and a year-on-year decrease of -1.3% (compared to -1.0%). Meanwhile, the United Kingdom will publish its S&P Global Final Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June, with a forecasted reading of 53.7 (compared to 55.2 previously). In the United States, the May Factory Orders data will be released, with a forecasted month-on-month increase of 0.8% (compared to 0.4% previously). Additionally, the May Core Factory Orders, excluding transportation, are expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.3% (compared to -0.2% previously). Lastly, the US will release the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index for July, with a forecasted reading of 43 (compared to 41.7 previously). These data releases will provide further insights into the economic conditions and sentiment, potentially impacting the financial markets including gold.
by FOREXN1
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BTC Short-Term Review 4HIntervalHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price stays on the local uptrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we can determine the first support zone from $ 30,701 to $ 30,490, but when the price drops lower, we have a second strong zone from $ 30,280 to $ 29,981. Now let's move on to the resistances and here we see that the price cannot break through the first zone from $31256 to $31530, when it does it will move towards the second very strong zone from $31974 to $32289. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that it collects more and more energy for the move, MAC is struggling to maintain the uptrend, while the RSI is at the upper limit, which may give a greater price rebound.
by cryptodailyuk
Daily Market Analysis - TUESDAY JULY 04, 2023Key News: USA - United States - Independence Day Australia - RBA Interest Rate Decision (Jul) Wall Street's main indices closed with modest gains on Monday in a shortened session, as Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) surged and bank shares showed resilience, signaling a subdued start to the second half of the year. Driven by news of record-breaking vehicle deliveries in the second quarter, Tesla saw a notable increase of 6.9% in its shares. Wells Fargo stock daily chart Citigroup stock daily chart In the realm of the financial markets, major banks emerged victorious as they adeptly navigated the rigorous annual health assessment conducted by the Federal Reserve, which, in turn, paved the way for them to raise their dividends. This accomplishment reverberated positively through the stock market, propelling their share prices to soar. Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), one of the prominent players in the banking sector, witnessed a remarkable 1.7% increase in the value of its shares, demonstrating its resilience and strategic prowess in the face of regulatory scrutiny. Meanwhile, Citigroup (NYSE: C), another heavyweight contender in the financial arena, experienced a solid ascent of 1.5% in its share price, attesting to its strong financial footing and ability to maintain stability in a constantly evolving economic landscape. The impact of the banks' successful performance was not confined to individual entities but had a broader effect on the industry. The S&P 500 banks index, serving as a barometer of the overall health and performance of major banking institutions, closed with a notable 1.5% gain, showcasing the collective strength and positive sentiment surrounding the financial sector as a whole. As investors and market participants alike acknowledged the banks' resilience and ability to meet regulatory requirements while delivering returns to shareholders, confidence in the stability and growth potential of the banking industry surged. This boost in investor sentiment bodes well for the financial sector, indicating a more optimistic outlook and paving the way for potential future expansions and innovations in the realm of banking and finance. S&P 500 daily chart The week ahead holds the promise of heightened volatility for the US dollar, as market participants brace themselves for potential fluctuations. At present, the Dollar Index reflects a downward trend, indicating a weaker position for the American currency. However, there is a possibility that it may undergo a significant test, aiming to reach the 104 level in the near future. Such a scenario would likely be influenced by a combination of economic factors, global events, and market sentiment, which can swiftly impact currency valuations. On the other hand, the Euro, serving as a key counterpart to the US dollar, is anticipated to maintain a relatively stable trading range. Market projections suggest that the Euro will continue to fluctuate within the boundaries of 1.08 to 1.10 against the US dollar. This range highlights a level of consistency in the Euro's performance and reflects the current equilibrium between the two major currencies. Factors influencing the Euro's movement may include economic indicators, political developments in the Eurozone, and any major policy decisions made by the European Central Bank. US Dollar Currency Index daily chart The EUR/JPY currency pair faces a crucial hurdle in order to avoid being stuck in a sideways range. A decisive breakthrough above the 158 level is necessary to signal a potential upward momentum. Such a breakthrough would indicate a shift in favor of the euro against the Japanese yen, potentially opening up further opportunities for the pair to appreciate. Traders and investors will closely monitor the price action around this level to determine if the pair can gather enough strength to break free from the sideways range and establish a new upward trend. On the other hand, the USD/JPY pair faces a different scenario. If the pair remains below the 145 level, there is a possibility of a decline towards the 144 level. This implies that the US dollar might weaken against the Japanese yen, reflecting a potential shift in favor of the yen. The 145 level acts as a crucial resistance, and failing to surpass it could indicate a lack of buying pressure for the US dollar. Traders and investors will carefully monitor the price dynamics and market sentiment surrounding this level to assess whether the pair will continue its downward movement and potentially target the 144 level. EUR/JPY and USD/JPY daily chart persistent inflation, robust economic data, and the resulting anticipation of higher interest rates. These factors have collectively exerted downward pressure on the price of gold, contributing to a challenging environment for the precious metal. Despite a minor recovery witnessed in the past few trading sessions, during which the price briefly dipped below the $1,900 mark, the overall trajectory for gold remains bearish. This implies that the prevailing sentiment and market dynamics are tilted towards further downward movement in the price of gold. The persistence of inflationary pressures has been a primary factor influencing the demand for gold as a safe haven and inflation hedge. Strong economic data, indicating a robust and expanding economy, has bolstered market confidence and reduced the appeal of holding gold as a protective asset. Additionally, the expectation of higher interest rates has amplified the attractiveness of alternative investment options, potentially diverting capital away from gold. While short-term fluctuations and temporary recoveries are not uncommon in financial markets, the broader trend for gold suggests a bearish outlook. Traders, investors, and market participants will closely monitor key economic indicators, central bank actions, and any shifts in market sentiment that may impact the future trajectory of gold prices. XAU/USD daily chart Indeed, there are indications of weakening momentum around the $1,900 level for gold, which raises the possibility of a corrective move in the near future. This observation suggests that the selling pressure and downward momentum may be losing steam, potentially paving the way for a temporary rebound or consolidation in the price of gold. However, it's crucial to note that a loss of momentum alone does not guarantee an immediate and decisive reversal in price direction. If there is a significant break below the $1,900 level, it could potentially trigger another downward plunge for gold, especially if momentum gains strength. Such a scenario would reflect a shift in market sentiment, with increased selling pressure overpowering any temporary recovery or consolidation. The extent of the downward move would depend on various factors, including market dynamics, investor sentiment, and the overall economic landscape. Considering the nearly 9% decline in gold prices since early May, a correction would not come as a surprise. Corrections are natural and healthy price movements that often occur after a significant rally or decline. They allow the market to reassess the prevailing trend, absorb new information, and establish a more sustainable price level. Traders, investors, and market participants closely monitoring the gold market will keep a watchful eye on key levels, momentum indicators, and other relevant factors to gauge the potential for a corrective move. BTC/USD daily chart The cryptocurrency Bitcoin has been displaying notable volatility, primarily fluctuating between the range of $30,000 to $31,000. This range-bound movement can be seen as encouraging by the crypto community, especially considering Bitcoin's recent impressive rally. Although Bitcoin has not experienced further significant gains, the fact that it has not retraced a substantial portion of its recent surge suggests that traders and investors maintain an optimistic outlook. They perceive the current phase as a consolidation period within a larger upward movement. It is important to note that the ultimate outcome and direction of Bitcoin's price movement will depend on future news developments and market factors. The hypothesis of this consolidation phase serving as a stepping stone for a potential continuation of the upward trend is speculative and will require time to confirm or refute. However, based on the information available thus far, the current market behavior surrounding Bitcoin is generally viewed as positive. The absence of a significant retracement following a substantial rally can be interpreted as a sign of resilience and underlying strength in the market. It demonstrates that there is ongoing support and demand for Bitcoin, even amidst fluctuations and uncertainty. As with any investment or trading activity involving cryptocurrencies, it is crucial for participants to exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and stay informed about market developments. Cryptocurrency markets are known for their volatility and can be influenced by various factors, including regulatory decisions, adoption trends, and overall market sentiment.
by FOREXN1
12