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Gold Eyes Record High BreakoutAs gold's price action continues to narrow within a 5-month consolidation, traders await confirmation of whether the formation represents an inverted head and shoulders pattern with an extended right shoulder, or a triangle consolidation—keeping markets on edge for a breakout signal. The 3450–3500 zone stands as a critical resistance barrier. A confirmed breakout above it could lead gold prices to extend toward 3780–3800 (equal to the height of the pattern), and ultimately test the 4,000 checkpoint—the target of a long-term monthly cup and handle pattern. On the downside, key supports lie at 3320 and 3280. A clear break below these levels could confirm a steep bearish breakout toward 3130 and 2900, which may, in turn, set the stage for long-term bullish opportunities back toward the 4,000 level. — Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is losing ground after three days of decline, trading around 1.1660 during Asian hours on Friday. The EUR/USD pair is depreciating amid a recovery in the US dollar (USD) due to US economic growth in the second quarter. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, exceeding initial estimates of 3.1% and the previous 3.0%. However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid renewed dovish sentiment regarding the prospects for Federal Reserve (Fed). According to Reuters, Fed member Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support lowering interest rates at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market. Concerns about the Fed's independence have intensified following recent statements by US Vice President Jay D. Vance. He noted: "I don't think we should allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without taking into account the opinions of people who were elected to serve the American people... The US president is much better equipped to make such decisions." Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1690, SL 1.1610, TP 1.1790
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD STRONG SIGNAL BUY SETUP LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONGWhat do you think? we have head and shoulder and have uptrend on high time frame reflect from real bottom after take liquidity and the price made fake breakout on another second shoulder the price reflect from strong support and made engulfing candle The price made bearish flag and is broken and retest on frame 4H which indicate an upward trend so I expect the price will rise what's your opinion? Don't forget to follow me and like . thank you
Long
by Market-Destroyer
11
GC Midweek Outlook – Daily Imbalance Tested, H4 FVG Still in PlaPrice has now completed the move into the Daily FVG (~3425–3443) that I highlighted earlier this week. This is the critical mid-week decision point. Bearish Case: If price rejects here, downside rotation into the untouched H4 FVG (3377–3396) remains possible before any larger move higher. Bullish Case: If buyers defend the H1 imbalance and hold above 3412, continuation toward the Monthly High (3451) is on the table. ADX remains under 25, suggesting no strong trending conditions yet — market is still liquidity-driven. I’ll be watching the Daily FVG reaction and how price handles the H1 imbalance as key intraday signals.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 26, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding onto its gains after rising more than three-quarters of a percent in the previous session, trading around 1.1630 during Asian hours on Tuesday. President Trump posted a letter on social media Tuesday morning announcing that he was removing Fed Governor Cook from the Fed's board of directors. However, Cook said she would not resign because there was no reason for her dismissal. “I will continue to fulfill my duties,” she added. President Trump also warned that he could impose a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if China refuses to supply magnets to the US. In addition, Trump threatened “additional tariffs” and restrictions on the export of advanced technologies and semiconductors in response to digital services taxes that have hit US technology companies. The EUR/USD pair is strengthening as the euro (EUR) receives support after the European Central Bank (ECB) signaled a pause in monetary policy easing amid a strengthening labor market in the eurozone. Meanwhile, details of the agreement between the EU and the US indicate that a 15% tariff will be imposed on most European goods, while cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors may be exempt from tougher US duties. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1655, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1765
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDCHF – Bearish Channel, But Bulls Eye This Zone!USDCHF has been sliding within a falling channel 📉 , keeping the broader outlook bearish. Yet, the pair is once again testing the 🟩 demand zone, an area that has acted as a strong base in the past. If buyers manage to hold this level 💪 , we could see a short-term rebound toward the upper bound of the channel. For now, the plan is simple: while the macro bias stays bearish, this zone offers a potential window for trend-following longs before the sellers step back in. ⚠️ Risk management remains key, as a clean break below the zone would signal that bears 🐻 are tightening their grip. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Gold Weekly Plan: Daily FVG → H4 FVGGold closed last week with a strong impulsive move into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). As we open the new week, I’ll be watching closely: Daily FVG (3423–3451): Potential resistance and rejection zone early in the week. H4 Bullish FVG (3390–3395): If price rejects the Daily FVG, I expect a retrace into this zone to set the weekly low between Monday and Tuesday. From there, we could see a bullish expansion for the rest of the week. The key question: Will Gold respect the Daily FVG as resistance before rebalancing lower, or will buyers push straight through? What’s your bias going into the week? 🚀📉
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
112K THE POWER RETURN OR THE END OF CYCLE? - BTC now still GREENBTC is currently at a critical point. From a cycle perspective, we are at the bottom of the cycle—a zone where major whales can decide whether to continue the cycle or bring it to an end. When BTC just slips below 112K it does not directly end the cycle; it need also provides time frame confirmation of at least 4H+ There is high chance BTC can return from 112k zone. If BTC holds its levels and rises above 112K with confirmation, we could the strong cycle. If BTC breaks down further below 12K–10K, it would signal the end of the cycle that started around 84K. At this moment BTC is still long for the cycle Momentframe by 112K /110K = END CYCLE Low time frame BTC = RED High frame time BTC = RED Cycle frame time BTC = GREEN
Long
by SatochiTrader
The Dollar's Descent: Understanding Historic WeaknessThe U.S. dollar, long considered the world's premier reserve currency and a symbol of American economic might, finds itself in unprecedented territory as it continues to hover near all-time lows against a basket of major currencies. This sustained weakness represents more than just a numerical decline on foreign exchange charts; it signals a fundamental shift in global economic dynamics, monetary policy effectiveness, and international confidence in American fiscal management. The implications of this historic depreciation extend far beyond currency traders and central banks, touching everything from household purchasing power to geopolitical relationships and the future architecture of the global financial system. The current situation represents a culmination of multiple converging factors that have been building over several years. The dollar's decline hasn't occurred in isolation but rather as part of a complex interplay between domestic fiscal policies, international trade dynamics, shifting reserve currency preferences, and evolving global economic power structures. Understanding this phenomenon requires examining not just the immediate catalysts but also the deeper structural changes that have eroded the dollar's traditional sources of strength. The Anatomy of the Dollar's Decline The measurement of the dollar's value against other currencies typically relies on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a weighted basket of six major currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. When analysts refer to the dollar approaching all-time lows, they're observing a sustained depreciation that has pushed this index to levels not seen in decades, with some bilateral exchange rates reaching historic extremes. The technical aspects of this decline reveal a currency under persistent selling pressure. Foreign exchange markets, which trade over six trillion dollars daily, have witnessed consistent dollar weakness across multiple timeframes and against virtually all major and emerging market currencies. This broad-based depreciation suggests that the issue isn't merely tactical positioning by traders but reflects fundamental concerns about the dollar's intrinsic value and future trajectory. Several immediate factors have contributed to this weakness. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, particularly its approach to interest rates and quantitative easing, has played a crucial role. While other central banks have moved more aggressively to combat inflation or support their currencies, the Fed's policies have often prioritized domestic economic stability over currency strength. This divergence in monetary policy has created interest rate differentials that make holding dollars less attractive relative to other currencies offering higher yields. The massive fiscal stimulus measures implemented in recent years have also weighed heavily on the dollar. The expansion of the federal deficit and the dramatic increase in the national debt have raised questions about the long-term sustainability of American fiscal policy. International investors, who must consider currency risk when purchasing U.S. assets, have grown increasingly concerned about the potential for future dollar depreciation as a means of reducing the real burden of this debt. Trade dynamics have further complicated the dollar's position. The persistent U.S. trade deficit means that more dollars flow out of the country to purchase foreign goods than flow in from exports. This structural imbalance creates constant selling pressure on the dollar as these funds are converted into other currencies. Additionally, the weaponization of the dollar through sanctions and financial restrictions has prompted some nations to seek alternatives for international trade settlement, reducing demand for dollars in global commerce. Historical Context and Precedents To fully appreciate the significance of the dollar's current weakness, it's essential to examine historical precedents and the evolution of the dollar's role in the global economy. The Bretton Woods system, established in 1944, positioned the dollar as the world's primary reserve currency, backed by gold and serving as the anchor for international monetary stability. When this system collapsed in 1971, the dollar transitioned to a fiat currency, deriving its value from the strength of the U.S. economy and the confidence of global markets rather than gold reserves. Throughout its modern history, the dollar has experienced several significant periods of weakness. The stagflation of the 1970s saw the dollar lose considerable value as inflation soared and economic growth stagnated. The Plaza Accord of 1985 deliberately weakened the dollar to address trade imbalances, demonstrating that currency depreciation could be a policy tool rather than merely a market outcome. The financial crisis of 2008 triggered another period of dollar weakness as the Federal Reserve implemented unprecedented monetary easing. However, the current situation differs from these historical episodes in several important ways. Previous periods of dollar weakness often occurred within a framework where the dollar's fundamental role as the global reserve currency remained unchallenged. Today, that supremacy faces genuine competition from alternative currencies and payment systems. The rise of the euro, the internationalization of the Chinese yuan, and the emergence of digital currencies all represent potential challenges to dollar hegemony that didn't exist during previous cycles of weakness. The geopolitical context has also shifted dramatically. During past periods of dollar weakness, the United States maintained relatively stable relationships with its major trading partners and allies. Current tensions, trade disputes, and the fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs have created an environment where dollar alternatives are not just economically viable but politically desirable for some nations. This represents a structural change that could make the current period of weakness more persistent and potentially irreversible in some respects. Global Economic Implications The ramifications of the dollar's sustained weakness extend throughout the global economy, creating both opportunities and challenges for different stakeholders. For American consumers, a weaker dollar translates directly into reduced purchasing power for imported goods. Everything from electronics to clothing to automobiles becomes more expensive as the dollar's depreciation increases the cost of foreign-produced items. This imported inflation adds to domestic price pressures, potentially eroding living standards and complicating monetary policy decisions. American businesses face a mixed picture. Exporters benefit from a competitive advantage as their goods become relatively cheaper in foreign markets, potentially boosting sales and market share. Multinational corporations with significant overseas earnings see those profits translate into more dollars when repatriated, improving their financial results. However, companies reliant on imported inputs face higher costs, and those with international supply chains must navigate increased complexity and currency risk. The impact on financial markets has been profound and multifaceted. Equity markets have shown remarkable resilience, with some sectors benefiting from the currency tailwind to earnings. However, bond markets face challenges as foreign investors demand higher yields to compensate for currency risk, potentially increasing borrowing costs for the U.S. government and corporate issuers. Commodity markets, traditionally priced in dollars, have seen significant price increases as the weakening currency makes raw materials more expensive in dollar terms. For emerging markets, the dollar's weakness presents both opportunities and risks. Countries with dollar-denominated debt benefit from the reduced real burden of their obligations, providing fiscal relief and potentially enabling increased domestic investment. However, those nations that have traditionally relied on dollar stability for their own monetary frameworks face uncertainty and potential instability. The shift away from dollar dependence requires careful management and potentially painful adjustments to monetary and fiscal policies. Developed economies have responded to the dollar's weakness in various ways. The European Union has seen the euro strengthen significantly, creating challenges for European exporters but providing relief from imported inflation. Japan faces particular difficulties as yen strength threatens its export-dependent economy, prompting potential intervention in currency markets. These dynamics have strained international cooperation and raised the specter of competitive devaluations reminiscent of the 1930s. The Reserve Currency Question Perhaps the most significant long-term implication of the dollar's sustained weakness concerns its status as the world's primary reserve currency. This privileged position has provided the United States with what former French Finance Minister Valéry Giscard d'Estaing called an "exorbitant privilege" – the ability to borrow in its own currency, maintain persistent trade deficits, and exercise significant influence over global financial conditions. The erosion of confidence in the dollar threatens this special status. Central banks worldwide have been gradually diversifying their reserves away from dollars, increasing holdings of gold, euros, yuan, and other assets. While the dollar still accounts for the majority of global reserves, its share has been declining steadily. This trend, if it continues, could fundamentally alter the global financial architecture and reduce American influence over international economic affairs. The search for alternatives has accelerated in recent years. The Chinese yuan's inclusion in the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights basket marked a significant milestone in its internationalization. Digital currencies, both central bank digital currencies and cryptocurrencies, offer potential alternatives for international trade settlement and value storage. Regional payment systems and bilateral currency swap agreements have proliferated, creating pathways for trade that bypass the dollar entirely. However, the transition away from dollar dominance faces significant obstacles. The depth and liquidity of U.S. financial markets remain unmatched, providing essential infrastructure for global finance. The rule of law, property rights protection, and regulatory framework in the United States continue to attract international investment despite currency concerns. No single alternative currency currently possesses all the attributes necessary to fully replace the dollar's multifaceted role in the global economy. Policy Responses and Future Scenarios Policymakers face difficult choices in responding to the dollar's weakness. Traditional approaches to currency support, such as raising interest rates or intervening in foreign exchange markets, carry significant economic costs and may prove ineffective against structural pressures. The Federal Reserve must balance its domestic mandate for price stability and full employment with the international implications of its policies, a task made more complex by the dollar's global role. Fiscal policy presents another set of challenges and opportunities. Addressing the structural factors undermining dollar confidence would require difficult decisions about spending, taxation, and debt management. Political polarization and competing economic priorities make comprehensive fiscal reform challenging, yet the consequences of inaction could be severe. The possibility of a dollar crisis, while still remote, has moved from the realm of theoretical speculation to a risk requiring serious contingency planning. International cooperation could play a crucial role in managing the transition to a new monetary order. Multilateral agreements on exchange rate management, similar to but more flexible than the Bretton Woods system, might provide stability during a period of adjustment. However, the current geopolitical climate makes such cooperation difficult to achieve. The fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs may accelerate the development of alternative currency systems, further undermining the dollar's position. Looking ahead, several scenarios could unfold. A gradual, managed decline in the dollar's dominance might allow for smooth adjustment to a multipolar currency system, with several major currencies sharing reserve status. This outcome would require careful coordination and policy discipline from major economies. Alternatively, a more chaotic transition could occur if confidence in the dollar erodes rapidly, potentially triggering financial instability and economic disruption. The technological revolution in finance adds another dimension of uncertainty. Central bank digital currencies could reshape international monetary relations in ways that are difficult to predict. The adoption of blockchain technology and smart contracts might enable new forms of international trade settlement that don't require traditional reserve currencies. These innovations could either accelerate the dollar's decline or, if led by the United States, potentially reinforce its position through digital dominance. Conclusion: Navigating Uncharted Waters The dollar's hover near all-time lows represents more than a cyclical fluctuation in currency markets; it signals a potential inflection point in the global economic order. The convergence of fiscal pressures, monetary policy challenges, geopolitical tensions, and technological disruption has created conditions unlike any previously experienced in the modern era of fiat currencies. The implications extend beyond exchange rates to encompass fundamental questions about economic governance, international cooperation, and the distribution of global economic power. For investors, businesses, and policymakers, navigating this environment requires careful consideration of both immediate risks and long-term structural changes. Hedging strategies, diversification approaches, and policy frameworks developed during periods of dollar strength may prove inadequate in a world where the greenback's supremacy can no longer be assumed. The ability to adapt to multiple possible futures, rather than betting on a single outcome, becomes essential for managing risk and capturing opportunities. The social and political implications of the dollar's decline deserve equal attention to the economic aspects. Currency strength has long been intertwined with national prestige and political power. A sustained period of dollar weakness could reshape domestic politics, alter international alliances, and influence the trajectory of globalization itself. The psychological impact of losing reserve currency status, should it occur, would reverberate through American society in ways that extend far beyond financial markets. As the world watches the dollar's trajectory with a mixture of concern and opportunism, the need for thoughtful analysis and measured response becomes paramount. The current situation demands neither panic nor complacency but rather a clear-eyed assessment of changing realities and proactive adaptation to new circumstances. The dollar's decline may mark the end of one era and the beginning of another, but the nature of that new era remains to be written by the collective actions of governments, markets, and societies worldwide. The path forward will likely be characterized by increased volatility, structural adjustments, and the gradual emergence of new monetary arrangements. Whether this transition enhances global economic stability or triggers periodic crises will depend largely on the wisdom and cooperation of global leaders. The dollar's current weakness serves as both a warning and an opportunity – a signal that the old order is passing and a chance to build something better in its place. The challenge lies in managing this transition while maintaining the stability and prosperity that the dollar-based system, despite its flaws, has helped facilitate for decades. In this context, the dollar's hover near all-time lows should be understood not as an isolated phenomenon but as part of a broader transformation of the global economy. The outcomes of this transformation remain uncertain, but its importance cannot be overstated. The decisions made in response to the dollar's weakness will shape international economic relations for generations to come, making this one of the most consequential periods in modern monetary history.
ICEUS:DX1!
by bryandowningqln
GBPUSD Bearish Setup – Rejection at Key Resistance (6H Chart)🧨 OANDA:GBPUSD Bearish Setup – Rejection at Key Resistance (6H Chart) GBPUSD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.36000 resistance zone. A lower high and bearish engulfing candle suggest sellers are stepping in. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell Entry: 1.35050 Stop Loss: 1.36000 Take Profit 1: 1.34000 Take Profit 2: 1.33100 Take Profit 3: 1.31500 Risk-reward is favorable, especially if price breaks below 1.33500 with momentum. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes. 📌 Scaling out at TP1/TP2 is advised. Invalidate the setup if price closes above 1.36000 with strength. #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #FXSetup #BearishReversal #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #6HChart #ForexStrategy Psychology Always Matters:
Short
by MJElahifx
2
Gold Futures | H4 FVG Fully Filled – What’s Next Into Weekly CloEarlier this week I was watching for price to pull back into the new H4 FVG after we closed above the Daily High. Price rejected from the Asian range mid and dropped cleanly into that zone, ultimately filling the H4 FVG completely. Now on Friday, price sits right at the Weekly Low (3775.9) and the bottom of that H4 gap. This is a key decision point going into the weekly close. 📌 Scenarios I’m Watching: ✅ Bullish: If price holds this filled H4 FVG / W-L zone, we could see a re-accumulation and a push back toward 3388–3392 rejection block and possibly the Daily High (3394.6) next week. ❌ Bearish: If price fails to hold here, the next liquidity pools below are 3367.4 (D-L) and 3362.5. 📌 Key Levels: Daily High: 3394.6 Weekly Low: 3775.9 Daily Low: 3367.4 Into Friday close, I’ll be watching whether we get acceptance above this zone (bullish continuation setup) or rejection that opens the door to new weekly lows. 👉 What do you think? Will this area hold as support, or do we see a deeper flush before the week closes?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
2
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥 Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ 🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦 Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨 📈 Entry: The Break-In Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels: 98.00 💸 98.20 💸 98.40 💸 98.60 💸 Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊. Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨. 🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️. Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️. Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥. 🎯 Target: The Getaway Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out! Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃‍♂️💨. 🧠 Why This Heist? The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡: Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍. Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉. Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰. ⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp! News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫. Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️. 💪 Boost the Heist! Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style! 🚀 Every like and view strengthens our crew, helping us rob the market with precision. Let’s make money and vanish like pros! 🤑 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, Thief OG’s! 🕵️‍♂️🎉
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Gold Futures | Watching Pullback into New H4 FVG for ContinuatioPrice pushed bullish after filling ~50% of the prior H4 Fair Value Gap and has now created a new H4 FVG just below. We also closed the day above yesterday’s high (3,394.1), showing strength. 📌 My Bias: I’m looking for a pullback into the new H4 FVG (around 3,377–3,382) for potential continuation higher. This zone also lines up with the edge of value on the volume profile. 📌 Key Levels: Daily High (D-H): 3,394.1 Weekly Low (W-L): 3,375.9 Daily Low (D-L): 3,353.3 📌 What I’m Watching: ✅ Acceptance above D-H = bullish continuation. ⚠️ Rejection back below D-H could signal a trap and return into prior value. Will look for lower timeframe confirmation at the H4 FVG edge before considering longs. Question for the community: Do you see continuation higher from here, or are we at risk of a failed breakout?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
USDOLLAR H4 | Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the take profit. Sell entry is at 12,738.37, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 12,786.05, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 12,682.74, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USDOLLARShort
by Tradu
DXY ready to drop ?DXY trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: 100.24 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top Weekly: Bearish engulfed formation with strong liquidity grab Daily: A sharp rejection with liquidity grab from the resistance Entry timeframe 4H : Upon retest of the order block, market has got rejected and potentially breaking out of the market structure to continue to drop to support level. Possible trade recommendation : Bearish entry with SL above sessions high
TVC:DXYShort
by ForexWizard01
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) recovered from a slight decline during the Asian session caused by mixed domestic data and on Wednesday showed positive dynamics for the second day in a row against the strengthening US dollar (USD). A government report showed that core orders for machinery and equipment in Japan unexpectedly rose in June. However, this was offset by a decline in Japanese exports in July for the third consecutive month, raising concerns about the outlook for the export-dependent economy. This added to uncertainty about the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and triggered some intraday selling of the Japanese yen. On the other hand, the US dollar is attracting some follow-up buying for the third day in a row amid a decline in the likelihood of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This is proving to be another factor providing some support for the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, traders still consider it more likely that the Fed will resume its cycle of rate cuts in September. In contrast, the Bank of Japan is expected to stick to its policy normalization course and raise interest rates before the end of the year. This, in turn, could limit the US dollar's gains and help contain deeper losses for the lower-yielding Japanese yen ahead of the FOMC minutes release. Trade recommendation: SELL 147.10, SL 148.00, TP 146.20
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD (Daily)EUR/USD Daily Chart shows a clear bullish trend, with demand consistently supporting higher prices. The most probable scenario is a breakout above 1.2000, targeting 1.2202. This aligns perfectly with your DXY analysis, where further USD weakness supports Euro strength. 🔎 Chart Context • Pair: EUR/USD • Broker: FXCM • Timeframe: 1D (Daily) • Date: 19 August 2025 This chart shows the Euro’s performance against the US Dollar. Since EUR/USD is strongly inversely correlated with the DXY, this analysis complements the DXY bearish outlook. 📊 Key Observations 1. Macro Trend • EUR/USD bottomed near 1.0200 earlier in 2025. • Since then, price has established a strong bullish uptrend, breaking through multiple resistance levels. • Current structure shows higher highs and higher lows, confirming a bullish market bias. 2. Support & Demand Zones • Key demand zone around 1.1100 – 1.1200, previously a resistance-turned-support. • A well-defined S/D (supply → demand flip) is visible, showing institutional accumulation. • Price respected this area on multiple retests, suggesting strong bullish interest. 3. Resistance Zones • 1.2000: Psychological resistance and liquidity pool. • 1.2202: Next major projected upside target, marked on the chart. • Price is consolidating below 1.2000, building energy for a potential breakout. 4. Liquidity Behavior • Market has absorbed sellers around 1.1600–1.1700, pushing into higher levels. • Liquidity likely rests above 1.2000, where stop orders are clustered. • If price clears this, a sweep toward 1.2202 becomes very probable. 5. Projected Path • Chart projection suggests a bullish continuation: • Short-term pullback → retest of demand zone (around 1.1600–1.1700). • Then breakout above 1.2000. • Final move toward 1.2202 liquidity zone. 📈 Bullish Case (Higher Probability) • Structure strongly favors bulls. • Scenario: • If EUR/USD sustains above 1.1600 demand, breakout above 1.2000 is expected. • Target 1: 1.2000 (psychological & liquidity). • Target 2: 1.2202 (projected liquidity sweep). • This aligns with DXY bearish outlook (as seen in your previous chart). 📉 Bearish Case (Low Probability, Countertrend) • Only valid if price breaks back below 1.1100 demand zone. • Downside targets: • 1.0800 (structural support). • 1.0500 (deep retracement). • This would require a sudden USD strength revival, which contradicts current DXY projection. ⚡ Trading Plan • Long Setup (Preferred): • Entry: Pullbacks into 1.1600–1.1700 demand zone. • TP1: 1.2000 • TP2: 1.2202 • Stop-loss: Below 1.1100 • Short Setup (Risky, Countertrend): • Entry: At 1.2000 liquidity zone if price rejects strongly. • TP: 1.1600 • Stop: Above 1.2202
Long
by Ikeyhan
Gold Futures | Accumulation in Play – Watching for Manipulation Gold Futures are currently sitting in the Accumulation phase of an AMD sequence. Price is ranging just above the Daily/H4 FVG demand zone (3350–3360) after rejecting supply at 3387–3394. Here’s what I’m watching: Accumulation: Current consolidation between 3368–3387. Manipulation: A clean sweep of yesterday’s low (3368) would complete this phase. Distribution: If manipulation plays out, I’ll look for price to rotate higher, targeting 3387 → 3404 and potentially higher levels. ⚖️ Bias: Waiting for liquidity run before positioning long. No need to rush — the sweep is the confirmation. Until then, patient observation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
GC Futures – Will Bulls Defend the Daily/H4 FVG Overlap?Gold Futures opened the week pressing directly into a stacked Daily + H4 FVG demand zone (3350–3360). Price action is sitting just above this level, making it the key battleground for the week. Support: 3350 (FVG low), 3332 liquidity sweep Resistance: 3377 → 3394 (prior D-H), 3451 (M-H) Scenarios: Bounce off demand could target 3380–3394, with a reclaim opening 3420–3450. Failure here points to deeper liquidity at 3332. Asian session may set the early range, but real direction likely comes during London/NY killzones. Watching closely for reaction inside the FVG overlap.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz