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Momentum Breakout into Strength | D-H Flip ConfirmedStrong continuation from last session’s impulsive push. I caught my move during the Tokyo impulsive hour after price broke cleanly above 4175 — confirming a momentum breakout setup on the 15-min chart. The previous Daily High (4191.2) has now flipped into solid support, reinforcing the bullish narrative I’ve been tracking since the start of the week. My original weekly target was 4200 — we’ve exceeded that level now, and the momentum still looks healthy. Price action is slowing ahead of the London session, which could set the stage for another expansion leg. If bullish pressure holds, I’m watching 4230–4250 next, with 4500 as a stretch target. 💡 Key Notes: Setup: Momentum Breakout Bias: Bullish Entry: 4177.3 | Exit: 4185.1 Result: +$386 (5 Contracts) Time in Trade: 42m Context: Daily High Flip + Strong Impulse Continuation #Gold #Futures #DayTrading #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingView #MGC #Trader #NoFOMO #Discipline #MomentumBreakout #ICTInspired
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
DXY Weekly Outlook (Count 3)This is a weekly timeframe outlook of the TVC:DXY . This is in alignment with my previously posted outlook which so far is playing out close to how I expected. This shows the wider view of what I think could be playing out. Still targeting the same yellow zone for a potential termination of the yellow (C) wave, after which we could see a counter trend consolidation. Current price action on the lower timeframe looks like it is forming a bearish flat correction which could be wave 2 in red. I'll look get a lower time frame update together, when time allows. More comments on the chart.
TVC:DXYShort
by TheWaveCave
DXY: The Dollar’s Long Cycle — Heading Back to 9/11 Levels?The U.S. Dollar Index ( INDEX:DXY ) has navigated through decades of pivotal global shifts — from the end of the Gold Standard and the 1979 Oil Crisis to the Plaza Accord, the Global Financial Crisis, and now the post-pandemic monetary reset. Each of these events marked critical macro turning points — and each time the dollar found new structural strength after major dislocations. Now, DXY has consolidated above long-term resistance and appears to be building energy for another leg higher. If history rhymes, we may see the dollar rally toward the levels reached during the aftermath of the September 11 attacks — a zone that historically represented both global uncertainty and U.S. capital inflows. Bias: Bullish Target Zone: 120–122 Timeframe: Multi-year (monthly chart perspective)
INDEX:DXYLong
by The_Quantastic
Gold Off to the Races | No Pullbacks, Just PressureNew week and Gold came out the gate running. Momentum’s been relentless — no pullbacks, no hesitation. Price is still riding strong from last week’s 8HR FVG base, and now pressing into new highs around 4,150+. With global tension fueling safe-haven demand, this could be a continuation week — but it’s getting stretched. Watching 4,070–4,081 for possible re-entry if we get a midweek dip. A close below 4,100 could signal exhaustion, while staying above keeps bulls firmly in control. ⚖️ Staying patient, no chasing — letting the market show if this leg still has fuel. — Woodz | #NOFOMO #GoldFutures #MarketStructure
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
DXY: Key Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce?The U.S. Dollar Index has found footing around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near 97.8, breaking a long downtrend. Its push toward the 99.35–100 range suggests a possible retest of a broken structure and alignment with the 50-day EMA. I noticed this move also aligns with short-term recovery signals. Technical View (1D) RSI climbing above 50 hints at renewed momentum. MACD turning green shows early signs of follow-through. Price is testing 100–101, a former support turned resistance. If momentum holds, 102, 104, and 106 are the next resistance zones. Support remains steady at 98, 97, and 95.8, which are shown as strong confluence points with Fibonacci structure. Scenarios: If DXY closes above 100.3, I’d expect continuation toward 102.4 or 104.2. Failure to clear 100 followed by a drop under 98.5 could send it back toward 97.2 or even 95.8. For now, my bias stays neutral to slightly bullish in the short term. A clean breakout above 100 would confirm a structural shift upward. None the less, I’m watching U.S. yields and upcoming CPI data closely and considering the factor that stronger inflation or a hawkish Fed tone could fuel the next DXY leg higher. Thank you for your time and support, and as always please remember that this is always NFA and DYOFR, respectfully.
TVC:DXY
by imaclone_eth
SILVER (XAGUSD) 15M – Bearish Rejection Setup Ahead TVC:SILVER Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Price reached the accumulation + resistance zone, facing repeated rejections. Structure is forming a lower-high pattern beneath the descending trendline. If the rejection confirms, a sharp drop toward the next liquidity pool (49.00 area) can follow. Market Overview Silver has been ranging within a broad accumulation zone after rejecting the upper resistance region around 50.8–51.2. The market shows weakness near the top of the channel, hinting at a bearish continuation phase. If momentum fails to break above the diagonal resistance, a downside move toward 49.5–49.0 becomes highly probable before a possible reaction from the strong demand box. Key Scenarios ✅ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1: 49.52 | 🎯 Target 2: 49.03 | 🎯 Target 3: 48.70 ❌ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 50.80 | 🎯 Target 2: 51.20 (if resistance breaks cleanly) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴 : 50.80 – 51.20 Support 🟢 : 49.50 – 49.00 – 48.70 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:SILVERShort
by vipblueprintfx
BTCUSD 2H – Bullish Continuation Expected BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 🚀 Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Price reacted strongly from the strong demand box, confirming a potential bullish reversal zone. After sweeping liquidity below the previous low, BTC reclaimed structure and is now pushing upward If the yellow demand area (112–113 zone) holds, the market is likely preparing for the next impulsive move toward 120. Market Overview Bitcoin has completed a textbook liquidity grab beneath previous lows, followed by a clean recovery candle, signaling smart money absorption. The current move shows bullish intent as the market breaks short-term resistance. Holding above the demand box could trigger continuation toward 117–120, aligning with overall bullish structure reaccumulation after a major drop. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 117 | 🎯 Target 2: 119 | 🎯 Target 3: 120 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Downside Target 1: 112 (if demand fails) | 🎯 Target 2: 109 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴 : 117 – 120 Support 🟢 : 112 – 113 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by vipblueprintfx
Gold – Sitting on 8HR FVG Support Before CPI | Patience RequiredPrice rejected before taking yesterday’s high and is now sitting right on top of the 8HR FVG. We’ve finally got a clean retrace into structure after a week of impulsive bullish movement. I’m watching how price behaves here going into NY session + CPI release — this zone could be where the next leg starts if buyers step in. 📍 Key Levels: 4,077 → Liquidity above previous high 4,020 → Bullish confirmation zone 3,960 → Deep test into FVG If the market holds above 3,980 and shows strength, I’m expecting continuation toward 4,060–4,100+. If it fails and closes under 3,960, we could see a deeper correction first. ⚖️ Staying patient — news will likely reveal the real intent. — Woodz | #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
9
Gold Futures – Pre-Killzone WatchPrice spent all of yesterday grinding bullish with strong impulsive legs, but things are finally slowing down near the highs. We’re now seeing signs that the market might be ready for a pullback or liquidity grab before deciding its next leg. Current Range: 4,005 (D-L) → 4,081 (D-H) Bias: Bullish overall, but watching for short-term weakness. Gameplan: Look for a possible sweep above 4,081 during London or NY Killzone. If we get a sharp rejection or displacement after that sweep, I’ll be interested in a sell setup targeting the 4,046–4,005 range. If price holds above 4,046 and forms clean FVGs, continuation to 4,100+ stays on the table. This is the pause before the next move. No reason to front-run it — I’ll let the killzone reveal where the liquidity really wants to go. 💭 Patience pays — wait for the sweep and shift. — Woodz | #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
U.S. Dollar Index: Wave C Downtrend Targeting New LowsTVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY 📉 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Wave C in Progress The DXY remains in a corrective phase after completing Wave B₂. A clear A–B–C structure is unfolding, with the current move forming the final Wave C. The recent flag pattern (A–B–C–D–E) suggests a potential continuation to the downside. A break below 98.86 would confirm the start of Wave 5 of C, targeting the 95.4 → 94.3 support zone. Elliott Wave Overview: Wave A: completed Wave B₂: expanded flat Wave C: unfolding with 1–4 structure complete Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: 99.75 🔹 Confirmation Sell: 98.86 🔹 Targets: 96-95-94-93 Bias remains bearish while price trades below 99.75.
TVC:DXYShort
by Trwin
EURUSD – 1H | Rejection from Support Zone, Bullish Correction FX:EURUSD Market Overview EURUSD is currently reacting strongly from a well-defined demand/support base, following an extended downside leg. The lower trendline and psychological support are holding firm, indicating potential for a corrective bullish leg towards the mid-range resistance zone if price sustains above 1.1650. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 1.1683 🎯 Target 2: 1.1713 🎯 Target 3: 1.1778 (major rejection zone retest) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Invalidation below 1.1640 (clean break under support). Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 1.1713 / 1.1778 Support 🟢: 1.1645 / 1.1660 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by vipblueprintfx
XAUUSD Gold to 4KTimeline is 6 months - 2 years The crash has already started. At some point everyone will start to sell thier treasury bonds, yields will go up proportionally to inflation until the dollar loses it's status as the global currency and dramatic measures are used to stop inflation resulting in stagflation and yield recovery. Else hyper inflation and the dollar is replaced entirely. I see the momentum indicators shifting in various markets. Below is a brief summary of each, relevant indicators/markets. see charts. US1YRBILLS WTI CRUDE SILVERUSD BONKCOIN TSLA
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mikhiavelli
4
Gold Cant stop...Wont Stop....Price continues pressing into new highs with no meaningful pullback, showing strong safe-haven momentum amid rising geopolitical tension. Watching for signs of exhaustion near current highs — ideally a liquidity sweep above the Daily High (DH) before any structural shift confirms. No rush to fade strength. Waiting for: A clean displacement break below intraday structure. Retest of an unmitigated FVG or imbalance for potential short. Until then, bullish continuation remains in control. Bias: Neutral → Bullish (waiting for confirmation) Setup on Watch: Liquidity Sweep + SSB (Shift in Structure Break)
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 7, 2025 EURUSDThe euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) after France's new Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and his government resigned on Monday, just hours after the cabinet was announced. Sébastien Lecornu resigned just a few weeks after his appointment, making his government the shortest-lived in modern French history. This raises concerns about a new political crisis in France and puts some pressure on the euro. The ongoing US government shutdown may raise concerns about its impact on the country's economy, which could lead to a decline in the dollar and become a favorable factor for the main currency pair. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its October meeting amid signs of a weakening labor market. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1665, SL 1.1745, TP 1.1480
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY Watching 98.800 Resistance as Shutdown Risks Weigh on DollarHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.800 zone. The Dollar Index remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key daily resistance area. Structure: The market has been forming lower highs, consistent with bearish momentum. The 98.800 level aligns with both structural resistance and trendline rejection zones. Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown continues to pressure sentiment around the Dollar. The longer the impasse persists, the higher the risk of fiscal strain and downside pressure on the USD. Next move: Watching how price reacts around 98.800 — a rejection here could confirm further downside continuation in line with the prevailing trend. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYShort
by JoeChampion
11
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy! 📈 Setup Summary Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash) 📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀 🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”: 💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage! 🔹 Sample Limit Layers: • 97.800 • 98.000 • 98.200 (💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!) 🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL): ⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone” 👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer! 💰 Target Zone (TP): 🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely 💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes! ⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅 🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning ✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure ✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈 ✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually ✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack 🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs) Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍 💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY 💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation 💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY 🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY 💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY 💡 Key Tip: When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭 ⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers 👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs): I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼 You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭 This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠 Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun #DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
De-Dollarization and the Global Currency WarIntroduction: The Shifting Sands of Global Finance For decades, the United States dollar (USD) has reigned supreme as the world’s dominant reserve currency — the central pillar of global trade, finance, and economic stability. From oil transactions to international debt settlements, the dollar became more than just a currency; it was the bloodstream of globalization. But in recent years, a strong wave of economic nationalism, geopolitical rivalry, and strategic diversification has begun to challenge this hegemony — a process known as “de-dollarization.” Simultaneously, we’re witnessing an intensifying “currency war” — a global competition among nations to protect their economic sovereignty, control exchange rates, and reduce dependency on U.S.-led monetary influence. Together, de-dollarization and currency warfare are reshaping the financial map of the 21st century, with implications that reach from the energy markets of the Middle East to the central banks of Asia and Latin America. This 2000-word analysis dives deep into the rise of de-dollarization, explores its causes and strategies, examines the mechanics of currency wars, and forecasts the potential shape of the next global monetary order. 1. The Roots of Dollar Dominance After World War II, the 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement established the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, pegged to gold at $35 per ounce. Other global currencies were tied to the dollar, making it the foundation of postwar economic stability. Even after President Richard Nixon ended the gold standard in 1971, the dollar retained its dominance because of its stability, liquidity, and the economic might of the United States. By the late 20th century, the dollar had become: The primary reserve currency, held by central banks worldwide. The medium of international trade, particularly in oil (the “petrodollar” system). The currency of global finance, underpinning stock markets, bonds, and derivatives. In short, control of the dollar meant control of the global economic bloodstream — and this financial power translated into political leverage. 2. What Is De-Dollarization? De-dollarization refers to the deliberate process of reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade, finance, and reserves. It’s not about completely abandoning the dollar, but about diversifying away from it to limit vulnerability to U.S. monetary policy and sanctions. Countries and blocs leading this movement include: China, promoting the yuan (renminbi) in global trade. Russia, moving away from dollar-based settlements after sanctions. BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, now joined by others) working toward a shared currency system. Middle Eastern countries, exploring non-dollar oil transactions. Latin America and Africa, forming regional trade agreements in local currencies. The motivation? A mix of economic independence, geopolitical resilience, and strategic competition. 3. The Key Drivers Behind De-Dollarization (a) U.S. Sanctions and Weaponization of Finance The U.S. uses its control over global payment systems (like SWIFT and dollar-clearing banks) as a geopolitical tool. Nations such as Iran, Venezuela, and Russia have faced financial exclusion through U.S. sanctions. This has sparked fear among emerging economies that dollar dependency exposes them to political risk — accelerating efforts to create alternative payment systems (e.g., China’s CIPS, Russia’s SPFS, and India’s RuPay/UPI cross-border systems). (b) Rise of China and the Yuan China’s economic growth and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) have given the yuan increasing global exposure. Beijing aims to internationalize its currency by encouraging trade in yuan and developing offshore yuan markets (especially in Hong Kong, Singapore, and London). (c) The BRICS Challenge The BRICS alliance has emerged as a collective front against Western economic dominance. The bloc’s discussions around a BRICS common currency or a gold-backed trade settlement system indicate a long-term ambition to challenge dollar supremacy. (d) U.S. Debt and Inflation The U.S. government’s rising national debt (over $34 trillion) and the repeated use of quantitative easing have weakened confidence in the dollar’s stability. Countries fear that excessive dollar printing could erode their reserves’ value, prompting diversification into gold, the yuan, and other currencies. (e) Digital Currencies and Blockchain Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) offer new pathways for global payments. China’s digital yuan is leading this race, aiming to bypass the traditional dollar-based banking infrastructure entirely. 4. The Mechanics of a Global Currency War A currency war, also known as “competitive devaluation,” occurs when countries intentionally lower the value of their own currencies to boost exports, attract foreign investment, and reduce trade deficits. How It Works: By devaluing their currency, a country’s goods become cheaper abroad. This can strengthen exports but also increases import costs and inflation. When multiple countries engage in this simultaneously, global financial instability can follow — hence the term “war.” Historical Examples: 1930s Great Depression: Nations devalued currencies to recover from economic collapse. 1980s U.S.-Japan tension: Japan’s yen appreciation reshaped global trade. 2010s “Currency War 2.0”: After the financial crisis, countries used ultra-loose monetary policy and quantitative easing to stay competitive. Today, the modern currency war involves not just exchange rates but geopolitical influence, payment systems, and financial infrastructure. 5. De-Dollarization and Currency Wars: The Modern Battlefield In the 2020s, de-dollarization and currency competition have become two sides of the same coin. The following arenas illustrate this growing conflict: (a) Energy Markets The traditional petrodollar system — oil sold in U.S. dollars — is under strain. China and Russia have signed major energy contracts in yuan and rubles, while Saudi Arabia has hinted at accepting non-dollar payments for oil. The India-UAE rupee-dirham trade settlement is another example of regional diversification. (b) Central Bank Reserves According to IMF data, the dollar’s share of global reserves has declined from 70% in 2000 to around 58% in 2024, marking a slow but steady erosion. Central banks are increasing holdings in gold, yuan, and euro, signaling a rebalancing of trust. (c) Cross-Border Settlements Nations are exploring bilateral trade agreements in local currencies — for instance, India-Russia rupee-ruble trade, China-Brazil yuan settlement, and ASEAN nations’ local currency framework. (d) Digital Currency Warfare With the U.S. lagging in CBDC development, countries like China are pioneering digital payment systems that can function independently of SWIFT and U.S. banking oversight. This could redefine how international money moves in the next decade. 6. Winners and Losers in the De-Dollarization Era Winners: Emerging Economies – Greater autonomy over monetary policy and trade settlements. China and BRICS Members – Enhanced global financial influence and regional cooperation. Commodity Exporters – Ability to price goods in multiple currencies. Gold and Digital Asset Markets – Investors view these as alternative stores of value amid dollar uncertainty. Losers: U.S. Financial System – Reduced demand for U.S. Treasury bonds and the dollar may weaken the U.S. fiscal position. Dollar-Debt Dependent Nations – Countries heavily indebted in dollars could face volatility. Global Investors – Increased currency risk and reduced liquidity in traditional markets. 7. Is a New Global Currency Order Emerging? While de-dollarization is gaining traction, a complete end to dollar dominance is unlikely in the short term. The U.S. still has unmatched advantages: The deepest financial markets in the world. Global trust in its institutions and legal system. Military and geopolitical clout backing the currency’s credibility. However, the trend is unmistakable — the world is slowly transitioning toward a multipolar currency system, where the dollar, euro, yuan, and possibly regional digital currencies coexist in a competitive balance. Future trade blocs might operate on multi-currency platforms, and international reserves could become more diversified. 8. The Future: Cooperation or Confrontation? The next decade could unfold in one of two broad scenarios: Scenario 1: Cooperative Multipolarity Nations collaborate through institutions like the IMF, BRICS Bank, and AIIB, building systems that support currency diversity while maintaining global liquidity. In this world, de-dollarization doesn’t mean destruction — it means balance. Scenario 2: Financial Fragmentation Geopolitical rivalry intensifies, creating currency blocs (USD-based, yuan-based, euro-based). Trade becomes more regionalized, and financial flows become fragmented. This could lead to volatility, capital flight, and higher transaction costs worldwide. In either case, technological innovation — from digital currencies to blockchain trade settlements — will play a defining role in shaping monetary competition. Conclusion: The Dawn of a New Financial Era De-dollarization and the currency war are not isolated economic trends; they are strategic transformations redefining how power is distributed across nations. What began as a defensive move by a few sanctioned countries has evolved into a systemic global recalibration of monetary order. The dollar will likely remain powerful, but its monopoly is fading. The 21st-century global economy may no longer be built around a single currency but around a network of competing and cooperating monetary systems. For traders, policymakers, and investors, this means one thing: the world of finance is entering a new era — more decentralized, more digital, and more dynamic than ever before.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Gold Futures (MGC) – No Pullback, Just Pure StrengthPrice never offered a clean pullback yesterday — just an aggressive continuation straight through prior structure. That type of behavior usually signals either institutional repricing or momentum fueled by broader uncertainty (like the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk). 🔹 Bias: Bullish until a clear break of intraday structure 🔹 Current Levels: ‣ W-H: 3922.8 ‣ M-H: 3899.5 ‣ D-L: 3909.0 💡 Notes: Price is extremely extended, but until we see evidence of rejection or a 1H BOS (break of structure), the path of least resistance remains up. I’m watching closely for a controlled pullback into demand — ideally near 3920–3900 — to join the next wave higher. Still keeping an eye on news risk tonight; if the shutdown proceeds, volatility could spike and disrupt the structure. #GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading #PriceAction #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz