US Dollar Index: Big Picture — Running Triangle Since the 1990sFrom a long-term Elliott Wave perspective, the US Dollar Index may have been developing a large Running Triangle since the 1990s.
This is not a simple structure to label, and there are several alternative interpretations. However, the key feature of the current scenario is that the major swings continue to develop mainly as three-wave structures, which supports the triangle idea.
In this scenario, wave (C) has already been completed and the market is now developing wave (D) of the triangle.
T
Dollar
GOLD — RANGE BREAK, FAILED EXPANSION… NOW WHAT?Monday and Tuesday kept Gold trapped in a pretty tight range. Then Wednesday finally gave us some expansion — price broke higher, pushed into a large Daily bearish FVG, and ultimately got rejected right back into the range.
Now we're heading into the first day of the new month/quarter, and I'm not interested in forcing a direction in the middle of this chop.
We also got stronger-than-expected ADP today, but I'm not going to assume that automatically means Friday's NFP will be hot. The reaction
NVIDIA — The Next Expansion Is Taking Shape🟢 NVIDIA has been holding inside a broad sideways structure, with buyers repeatedly defending the lower zone and pushing price back toward the upper boundary.
The latest recovery has brought price close to the top of the range again. This makes the current area an important decision point for the next move.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The overall structure remains constructive as long as the lower zone continues to hold. Buyers have recovered strongly from the previous lows and ar
WTI Crude Oil — The Next Break Could Be Big🛢️ WTI has been moving inside a broad sideways structure after the previous decline, with price repeatedly reacting between the upper and lower zones.
The latest bounce from the lower zone is interesting, but buyers still need to reclaim the upper structure to turn this recovery into a stronger bullish move.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The lower zone has once again produced a reaction, showing that buyers are still defending this area. If price can continue recovering and reclaim
Tesla — The Bull Activator Is Back in Play⚡ Tesla has been recovering strongly from the major selloff and has now built a broad sideways structure between the key zones.
The recent rejection from the upper zone has pushed price back toward the middle of the range, but the bigger structure remains interesting as long as the lower zone continues to hold.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The most important bullish signal on the chart is the bull activator around the kink and Dynamic SR area. A clean reclaim of this structure wo
SpaceX — The Next Expansion Is Taking Shape🚀 SpaceX has been moving inside a well-defined sideways range, with price repeatedly reacting between the upper and lower zones.
After defending the lower zone, buyers have started pushing price back toward the middle of the range. The structure is compressing again, putting the upper zone back in focus.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The lower zone has continued to act as a solid area of demand, and the recent recovery shows buyers are still defending the range.
If price can reclai
Silver — Can This Zone Stop the Selloff?🥈 Silver has broken down through the previous support structure and continued lower, turning the market decisively bearish in the short term.
Price is now trading near a major lower zone after another rejection from the recovery area. The key question is whether this zone can finally stop the selloff or whether sellers continue pushing lower.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The first step for buyers is to defend the current lower zone and build a meaningful recovery from here.
If pri
Apple — The Kink Is Holding🍎 Apple has recovered strongly from the lower zone and reclaimed the important kink, shifting the short-term structure back in favor of buyers.
Price is now consolidating beneath the major upper zone, while the latest dip was quickly bought back. The market is compressing right below resistance, making the next breakout attempt especially important.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The kink has acted as an important structural pivot, and price is still holding above it after the recent
GBP/USD — The Bulls Have Started the Recovery💷 GBP/USD remains trapped inside a broad consolidation after the previous bearish move, with price now recovering from the lower part of the range.
The latest bullish push reached the upper side of the internal structure before getting rejected, keeping the market at another important decision point.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
Price has shown a strong recovery from the lower zone and managed to push back toward the upper side of the range.
If buyers can reclaim the nearby resist
US30(Dow Jones) — The Breakdown Door Is Open📈 Wall Street Cash has been moving inside a broad consolidation after the previous bearish move, with price repeatedly reacting around the lower part of the current range.
The latest rejection from the upper side and return toward the lower zone keeps the market at an important decision point.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The main bullish trigger is a reclaim of the current range. If buyers can hold the lower zone and push price back through the internal resistance, the range could
XAUUSD | Gold Analysis & Resistance Level & Price Action 1.MARKET STRUCTURE
Gold is trading around **$4,155**, recovering after Monday’s sharp **4% selloff** that pushed price to approximately **$4,111**, the lowest level since August 5. The current move is a relief bounce within a broader bearish structure. The break below **$4,250–$4,260** confirmed bearish continuation, while the downside BOS through **$4,200** keeps sellers in control. No bullish CHOCH has been confirmed yet. The **$4,111** low represents the recent sell-side liquidity sweep, whil
USDJPY BEARISH CORRECTION?! While the weekly TF remains bullish longer term, can the 4H TF give us a final correction the downside? USDJPY selling scenario explained in 1 minute, using my 'Elliott Wave Theory' strategy!👇
Confluences:
⭕️Strong Bearish Impulse Waves.
⭕️A,B,C,D,E Full Correction Wave Yet Pending.
⭕️Fib Retracement Rejection From 0.618% Zone.
⭕️GOLD Rising.
GOLD — Waiting for the Market to Show Its HandGold has been in a pretty aggressive selloff, and we’ve now completely filled the Daily/Weekly FVG I was watching for.
Price is starting to slow down around the lows, so I’m watching closely to see whether this becomes the floor or if sellers still have more room to run.
For me, the next move is all about orderflow and reaction, not anticipation.
🟢 Bullish scenario:
If we sweep the current lows, see sellers lose control, and then get a strong push back up that breaks short-term structure, I’l
GOLD ANALYSIS | Liquidity Sweep & Price Structure1.MARKET STRUCTURE
Gold is trading around **$4,155–$4,165**, down roughly **2.3–2.6% today** after breaking below the **$4,262** support area. Daily and weekly structures remain bearish, with no confirmed bullish CHOCH. Price is also trading below last week’s value area, keeping short-term control with sellers.
2.KEY LEVELS
Key support sits at **$4,155**, followed by **$4,055**, while resistance is positioned around **$4,249** and **$4,320**. The preferred buy zone is **$4,055–$4,155**, while
AUDUSD Bearish Breakdown: Watch the Pullback for the Next MoveAUDUSD has broken below the previous bullish structure, and the current price action suggests that the downside trend may continue.
The key now is to watch for a pullback into the marked resistance zone before taking new risk.
The previous rising structure had been supporting price for a while, but after the breakdown, the market started making lower highs and lower lows. The latest move below the local support gives the bearish setup more structure.
I would not chase the current drop. The b
Gold XAUUSD 4H: Rejection Could Send Price Toward $4,230XAUUSD remains bearish on the 4H timeframe
Price is currently testing the marked pullback/resistance zone, and the downside move is still more likely as long as this area continues to reject price.
The setup is simple: sell from the current area or slightly higher after a clear rejection, with very low risk and a defined invalidation.
Setup: Short after rejection from the pullback/resistance zone
Invalidation: $4,396
Short-Term Target: $4,230
Main Target: $4,094
The first target at
NASDAQ — The Next Expansion Is Loading📈 NASDAQ has made a strong recovery from the lower demand zone, breaking out of the previous consolidation and pushing into a new upper range.
Price is now consolidating just beneath the major resistance zone after a powerful bullish expansion. The current structure remains constructive, but the reaction at this upper boundary will be important.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The recent move shows strong buying pressure, with price breaking out from the previous range and establishin
Gold — The Range Is Running Out of Room🥇 Gold has been moving inside a broad sideways structure, with price repeatedly reacting between the upper resistance and lower demand zones.
The recent action shows buyers defending the lower zone, but price is still trapped inside the range. The next clean break could finally decide the direction of the next expansion.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The lower zone has continued to attract buyers, keeping price above the recent lows and preventing a deeper breakdown.
If Gold breaks
USD/JPY — Hold the Zone or Lose the Recovery?💴 USD/JPY has recovered strongly from the previous lows, building a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows along the Dynamic SR.
Price recently pushed into the upper resistance zone and has now pulled back toward the Golden Zone. This reaction is important for determining whether the bullish structure can continue or whether the recovery starts to weaken.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The broader recovery remains constructive, with buyers repeatedly defending the rising Dyna
EUR/USD — The Bears Are Losing Their Grip💶 EUR/USD has been in a strong bearish structure, but the latest reaction from the lower demand zone shows buyers are starting to fight back.
Price has built a short-term recovery inside the current range and is now testing an important zone. The next reaction here could decide whether this recovery develops into a larger bullish move or turns into another rejection.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The recent bounce from the lower zone created a clear short-term recovery, with buyers
10 year US Notes Broke Lower, Keeps Dollar StrongUS yields are pushing higher again as strong US data keeps expectations for more Fed tightening alive, supporting the dollar and weighing on stocks. The US-China meeting is in focus today, with trade, tariffs, rare earths and technology likely key topics. Oil is seeing some rebound after the recent sharp pullback, but there is no major new escalation in the Middle East so far. For now, higher yields and a stronger dollar remain the main drivers across markets.
Looking at the US 10-year Treasury























