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DXY

DXY: Key Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce?The U.S. Dollar Index has found footing around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near 97.8, breaking a long downtrend. Its push toward the 99.35–100 range suggests a possible retest of a broken structure and alignment with the 50-day EMA. I noticed this move also aligns with short-term recovery signals. Technical View (1D) RSI climbing above 50 hints at renewed momentum. MACD turning green shows early signs of follow-through. Price is testing 100–101, a former support turned resistance. If momentum holds, 102, 104, and 106 are the next resistance zones. Support remains steady at 98, 97, and 95.8, which are shown as strong confluence points with Fibonacci structure. Scenarios: If DXY closes above 100.3, I’d expect continuation toward 102.4 or 104.2. Failure to clear 100 followed by a drop under 98.5 could send it back toward 97.2 or even 95.8. For now, my bias stays neutral to slightly bullish in the short term. A clean breakout above 100 would confirm a structural shift upward. None the less, I’m watching U.S. yields and upcoming CPI data closely and considering the factor that stronger inflation or a hawkish Fed tone could fuel the next DXY leg higher. Thank you for your time and support, and as always please remember that this is always NFA and DYOFR, respectfully.
TVC:DXY
by imaclone_eth
Bullish bounce off?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.77 1st Support: 98.41 1st Resistance: 100.14 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
USD/CHF Technical Outlook – Building Bullish StructureThe U.S. Dollar vs Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) pair is showing early signs of a structural shift, trading near 0.8040 after forming a solid base around 0.7829, its recent multi-month low. Price action has transitioned from a prolonged bearish phase into a potential reversal pattern, suggesting a medium-term bullish continuation. The key level to watch is 0.8100 — a breakout above this zone could confirm bullish intent, opening the way toward the 0.8300–0.8400 supply range, which previously acted as a major distribution area. If momentum sustains, an extended move toward 0.8720 remains on the table. A healthy pullback into 0.8000–0.7950 may serve as a retest opportunity for traders looking to join the trend, while a drop back below 0.7820 would invalidate the bullish scenario. 📌 Summary: Bias: Bullish above 0.8000 Targets: 0.8300 → 0.8400 → 0.8720 Risk: Rejection below 0.7820 This setup reflects a potential institutional accumulation phase, as USD strength re-emerges across safe-haven pairs. Keep an eye on DXY correlation and SNB policy tone for confluence before major breakouts.
Long
by TradeMarketWatch
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) — TECHNICALS FIRST, FUNDAMENTALS SECOND Technically, the key level this week is 99.197. If DXY manages a bullish close above it, we should see a weekly structure shift higher. That opens the door for 99.8 → 101.5 as internal algorithmic targets. This isn’t wishful thinking — this is how systems behave when liquidity regimes flip. Under that lens, any rejections beneath 99.197 or weak closes around it remain valid short setups — but only after structure gives the nod. Don’t force trades ahead of confirmation. In the background, the dollar is reacting to trade-war rhetoric and political shifts. Trump’s 100 % tariffs on Chinese imports raised volatility, but he later softened his tone, suggesting more cooperation than conflict. Its complet currency war. Meanwhile, some analysts argue a bullish case for the dollar remains due to relative U.S. productivity strength and higher real yields. These narratives give motive, but do not override price structure. So from CORE5’s frame: structure leads, news lags. Let clean price confirmation in the 99.197 zone tell you whether to lean into long bias or respect the risk of failure. Eyes locked.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
1
DXY Analysis – Bullish Structure Still IntactIn my latest DXY analysis, I mentioned that the 100.00 level remains the next key target for the U.S. Dollar Index. After an initial push higher to 99.55, the index faced some selling pressure and is now trading slightly below 99.00. However, the constructive bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 99.60 support zone. ________________________________________ 1. Technical Context • The recent pullback looks more like a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. • The higher-lows pattern remains valid, keeping the bullish momentum alive. • The 99.60 area now acts as a key pivot zone — holding above it favors a renewed push toward 100.00. ________________________________________ 2. Trading Implications Given this setup, selling rallies in EUR/USD and GBP/USD remains the preferred strategy, as both pairs are likely to face renewed dollar strength once DXY resumes its upward leg. ________________________________________ In short: The Dollar Index remains bullish. As long as 99.60 holds, the path of least resistance stays upward — and 100 remains on the radar. 🚀
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
9
US Dollar: Still Bullish. Wait For Buy Setups!Friday's candle notwithstanding, the USD is strong, and still bullish. Taking sells into the bullish Fair Value Area is not a good option. Looking for buys at the _FVGs is! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
7
Bullish bounce?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.54 1st Suport: 96.63 1st Resistance: 101.95 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? In the EUR/USD chart, we can see that price failed to close above the marked resistance zone and was rejected from that area. Additionally, the pair has broken its ascending trendline and closed below it, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. We expect a pullback toward the broken trendline or resistance zone, followed by a downward continuation toward the next support level. If a weekly candle closes above the resistance zone, this bearish scenario will be invalidated. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
22
Dollar at Max Deviation — Watching 99.197 CloselyThe dollar had another wild week, closing around 99.197 — right on the edge of major structure. Most traders see strength, but when you zoom out, this move looks stretched. Yields have started to cool off, which takes pressure off the dollar’s safe-haven run. We still got smaller data releases like PMIs and Fed talks, but the big stuff like CPI is on hold until the U.S. shutdown clears. Even the IMF warned about growing liquidity risks in global FX — meaning sudden spikes or fake outs can happen fast when markets get thin. Technically, we’re in a bearish zone on the higher timeframe. The last three months of liquidity targets are already taken, and the market’s now trading inside maximum deviation — a point where algorithms usually reset before any new trend forms. That’s why 99.197 matters: it’s the last shelf before structure confirms the drop. If price breaks and holds below that level early next week, momentum likely shifts bearish. If it holds above, expect more sideways chop before a correction. For now, it’s all about patience and tracking structure — not emotions.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
1
DXY Technical Analysis: Navigating Key Juncturre1. Big Picture & Market Context The DXY is consolidating near a critical technical juncture. Geopolitical tensions and shifting rate expectations continue to be the primary drivers, creating volatility perfect for both intraday scalps and strategic swing positions. 2. Multi-Timeframe Technical Snapshot Monthly/Weekly (Swing): Price is squeezed between the 50-week EMA (support ~98.20) and the 200-day SMA (resistance ~99.50). A decisive break either way will set the medium-term trend. Daily (Swing & Intraday Bias): The chart shows a potential bearish flag formation following the recent decline. RSI (14) is neutral at 48, offering no extreme bias. The Ichimoku Cloud is thick above price, representing a significant resistance zone. 3. Elliott Wave & Harmonic Perspective The pullback from the 100.50 high is being analyzed as either a Wave 4 (corrective) or the start of a larger bearish impulse. The key Harmonic zone for a potential bullish reversal (Bat pattern) lies between 98.30 - 98.50. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Strong Resistance: 99.50 (200-day SMA & prior swing high) Minor Resistance: 99.10 (Intraday) Immediate Pivot: 98.85 (Current Price) Strong Support: 98.50 (50-week EMA & 50% Fibonacci) Critical Support: 98.20 (Breakdown Level) 5. Gann & Wyckoff Analysis Gann Square of 9: Key levels align with 98.50 (support) and 99.20 (resistance). A close above 99.20 could trigger a run towards 99.80. Wyckoff Cycle: Price action suggests we are in a possible Re-Distribution phase. A failure to hold 98.50 would signal a new Markdown phase, targeting 97.80. 6. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M-1H Charts) Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: 98.55 - 98.65 (with bullish reversal candlestick confirmation) Stop Loss: 98.35 Take Profit 1: 98.95 Take Profit 2: 99.15 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: 99.05 - 99.10 (with bearish rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: 99.30 Take Profit 1: 98.70 Take Profit 2: 98.50 7. Swing Trading Strategy (4H-Daily Charts) Swing Long: Entry Zone: 98.30 - 98.45 (Accumulation Zone) Stop Loss: 97.90 (Daily Close) Target 1: 99.20 Target 2: 99.80 Swing Short: Entry Trigger: Daily close below 98.20 Stop Loss: 98.60 Target 1: 97.80 Target 2: 97.20 8. Indicator Cluster Consensus Bollinger Bands: Price is trading in the upper band, indicating neutral momentum. A squeeze is forming, signaling a volatility expansion is due. Anchored VWAP: (Anchored at last swing high) Price is below VWAP, indicating a Weak Bearish medium-term trend. Moving Averages: The 50 EMA is about to cross below the 200 SMA on the 4H chart—a potential "Death Cross" warning for the week ahead. Final Verdict: The DXY is at a make-or-break level. The bias is cautiously bearish below 99.10. The 98.50-98.20 zone is critical; a hold there could spark a relief rally, while a break opens the door for a significant swing down. Disclaimer: This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use stop-loss orders.
TVC:DXYLong
by sunya
DXY Ready for Next Bullish Leg After Liquidity SweepDollar Index maintaining bullish structure after recent BOS on 3H timeframe.Market formed consolidation phase early October before expansion.Buyers showing control pushing price towards 100.57 objective.Current retracement indicates liquidity grab before next bullish impulse.Demand zone 98.50–98.80 remains key area for continuation.Technical sentiment stays positive as long as price holds above 98.50.Fundamentally, dollar supported by strong U.S. data and cautious global tone favoring safe-haven demand.Momentum outlook remains bullish with potential continuation toward 100.50+ zone.
TVC:DXYLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel” I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now. 1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it. 2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal. 3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities. Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?” WRONG The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional. What does this really mean then? 4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run. Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit” WRONG Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required. Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market. And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION. We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all. Happy trading. - DD
Short
by DickDandy
5
DXY Buy Opportunity – Support Retest Before Next Leg UpPair: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Timeframe: 30 minutes Current Price: 98.602 Trend: Short-term bullish channel (highlighted in pink) 🧭 Key Levels Support Zone: 98.100 – 98.350 Entry Point: 98.353 (buy zone confirmation) Stop Loss: 98.099 (below support) Target Point: 99.140 📊 Market Structure The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady uptrend. It has recently reached the upper boundary of the channel and is now expected to retrace toward the support zone (blue box). After retesting this support level, a bullish continuation is expected. 🧩 Trade Idea Plan: Wait for price to retest the blue support area. If bullish candlestick confirmation appears (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer), enter a buy trade near 98.350. Stop Loss: below 98.099 (safe margin under support). Take Profit: near 99.140, aligning with the top of the projected move. Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3.5 — good reward compared to risk. ⚠ Possible Scenarios 1. ✅ Bullish Scenario: Price respects the support level → breaks above 98.80 → continues to 99.14. → Confirms continuation of bullish trend. 2. ❌ Bearish Scenario: Price breaks below 98.10 → invalidates bullish setup → channel structure fails → potential drop toward 97.80 zone. 📈 Conclusion Current trend: Bullish, but waiting for a retracement and confirmation is key. Buy zone: 98.35–98.10 Target: 99.14 Stop Loss: 98.09
TVC:DXYLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
14
GBPUSD Harmonic Analysis – Bullish OutlookOn the 1H timeframe, GBPUSD has completed a Deep Crab harmonic pattern, reaching the extended 2.000 Fibonacci leg – a strong reversal zone within the pattern structure. Price has reacted at the potential XA completion point, showing early signs of accumulation around 1.3297 support. With both T1 (1.3377) and T2 (1.3432) lining up as harmonic targets, bullish momentum could develop as the market transitions from the markdown to the markup phase. If buyers maintain structure above the recent low, a recovery towards these targets remains in play. Bias: Bullish Targets: T1: 1.3377 T2: 1.3432 Invalidation: A clean break below 1.3270 would invalidate the pattern and shift bias back to bearish.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
7