DXY at a Critical Juncture — What’s the Fed’s Next MoveHey Guys,
I’ve put together a swing-style analysis for the DXY.
This one’s been highly requested — my followers are valuable to me, and I never turn them down.
DXY Daily Levels:
- Resistance: 100.606 – 99.837
- Support: 96.530 – 95.902
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently dropping due to Fed policies.
No steps are being taken to push the dollar higher.
Because of this, investors are choosing gold as a safe haven instead of buying dollars.
Gold keeps hitting new ATHs, and naturally, the dollar index is sliding.
Unless the Fed takes action to support the dollar, this decline will continue.
In short, the drop in the dollar is entirely due to the policies implemented by the Fed Chair.
Remember — DXY isn’t heavily influenced by technical analysis; it’s driven by Fed policy.
That said, since the index has fallen so much, I believe we might see some steps taken in the coming months to lift the dollar.
I’ll be sharing updates right here.📢
Once support or resistance levels are broken, I’ll post new insights immediately.
Every like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to all my friends who support me — you’re the best. ❤️
DXY
DXY Is it finally time for the Dollar to shine?The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom during the U.S. Housing Crisis. This pattern has been showing incredible symmetry, having clear correction phases (red Channels) followed by bullish phases, where the price rallied to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Right now the price has almost hit the bottom of this multi-year Channel Up, while at the same time making a new (2nd) bottom for the 2nd Bearish Leg of the (red) correction phase.
With the 1M RSI having already touched its 16-year Support Zone, which has provided the most optimal Buy Signals throughout this pattern, we expect the Dollar Index to start rising aggressively in the long-term, targeting at lest 120.000 on its way to the 1.618 Fib ext.
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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Pullback & Long Setup (2H Char1. Price Action & Structure
The chart shows a bullish channel (red shaded area) where price has been making higher highs and higher lows since around September 18.
Price recently reached the upper trendline of the channel and is now pulling back toward the middle/lower zone.
2. Key Levels
Support Zone: Around 97.575 – 97.257 (blue labels).
This is where the chart suggests a potential buy/long entry.
The gray box marks the area where price is expected to reverse to the upside.
Stop-Loss Level: Slightly below 97.257, around 97.238 (red level).
If price breaks below this, it would invalidate the bullish setup.
Target Point: 98.799 – 98.805
This is the projected move upward, shown with the big arrow.
3. Expected Scenario
The zigzag line indicates that price may dip into the support zone, consolidate, and then bounce back up strongly toward the target point.
This is a long (buy) trade setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio since the potential reward is much bigger than the stop loss risk.
4. Risk–Reward Ratio
Risk (downside): Around 0.3 points (from 97.575 entry to 97.238 stop).
Reward (upside): Around 1.2 points (from 97.575 entry to 98.799 target).
That’s roughly 4:1 R:R — a very good trade setup if price respects the support zone.
Summary
✅ Bullish Bias – Price is in an uptrend channel.
📉 Buy Zone: 97.575 – 97.257
📊 Target: 98.799 – 98.805
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 97.238
🎯 Expectation: Short-term dip followed by a strong bullish rally.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Overbought Market & Pullback
Dollar Index is testing a major daily resistance cluster now.
With a high probability, the market will retrace from that.
A double top pattern that was formed on an hourly time frame
indicates a clear overbought state.
The index may drop to 97.65
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Gold Futures – Pullback Into H4 Supply Before Drop to Demand?Price sold off strongly from 3812 resistance and is now correcting higher. On the H4, I see a bearish supply zone between 3791.4–3769.9, which aligns with prior POC acceptance around 3790. If price pulls back into this area and fails, I expect continuation lower into the H4 demand zone at 3746.3–3735.2, which also lines up with Daily Low (DL) and Weekly High (WH) liquidity markers.
Levels to Watch:
Bearish H4 Supply: 3791.4–3769.9
Bullish H4 Demand: 3746.3–3735.2
Invalidation: Break & hold above 3795 could target 3812 liquidity.
Targets: First 3746.3, extended 3735.2.
Bias: Bearish pullback scenario into supply → downside continuation.
XAUUSD-Gold Game Just Changed: Post-FVG Violation SetupHey Traders,
Gold is currently sitting at 3774. From here, I’m aiming straight for 3807.
Why?
FVG got violated—we now have a clean IFVG.
That’s why my target is locked: 3807.
Set your stop-loss based on your own margin.
I believe we’ll hit that level sooner or later.
Every single like you drop keeps me motivated
to keep sharing these insights.
Big thanks to everyone supporting!
DXY Bullish Channel Setup with 1:4.5 RRR (Entry 97.50 → Target 9Chart Analysis
Trend:
Price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (marked in red with blue borders).
Currently near the mid-to-upper side of the channel.
Setup Highlighted:
Entry Point: Around 97.50 – 97.52 (support zone).
Stop Loss: Around 97.15 – 97.18 (below support and channel bottom).
Target Point: Around 98.97 – 98.98 (near channel top).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Risk: ~0.33 points (97.50 → 97.18).
Reward: ~1.46 points (97.50 → 98.98).
RRR ≈ 1:4.5, which is a strong setup.
Price Action:
The chart suggests a retest of support (97.50 area) before a bullish continuation.
If buyers hold this level, upward momentum could push toward the 98.90–99.00 zone.
Invalidation:
A breakdown below 97.15 would invalidate the long setup and may push price toward 96.80 – 96.50 support levels.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above 97.15).
Plan: Wait for a pullback to the entry zone (97.50) for confirmation.
Target: 98.90 – 99.00.
Stop Loss: Below 97.15.
Strong RRR trade idea within the bullish channel.
XAU/USD | GOLD Breaking Records – $4K Target Loading…!By analyzing the TVC:GOLD chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that nothing seems to be stopping its series of new record highs — it almost feels like the $4,000 target isn’t too far away! Every small correction in gold is simply gathering more liquidity and demand to push toward higher levels.
At this very moment, gold has printed a new ATH at $ 3,734 , and I expect the rally to continue. The next possible upside targets are $3,740, $3,780, and $3,800.
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 97.434 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 97.299 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USD/JPY - Bank of Japan Holds Rates, Inflation RisingFX:USDJPY #USDJPY #Forex #Trading #FXAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BankOfJapan #ForexTrader #DayTrading #SwingTrading
The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged while raising its inflation forecast. This signals caution but also optimism that cooperation with the U.S. could help stabilize Japan’s economy.
On the chart, we see key demand zones (red) holding as potential support, with upside targets toward 148.700 – 149.200 (green key zones). If price sustains above the demand area, bullish momentum could push USD/JPY higher into these resistance levels.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals around support before entering long positions.
👍 Support with a like & drop your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
USD/JPY - Bullish Channel, Next Targeting 148.95 (23.09.2025)#USDJPY #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
USD/JPY is trading within a Bullish Channel Pattern on the 30M chart, holding above the rising trendline support. The pair is bouncing from the support zone (147.50 – 147.70), signaling potential upside continuation.
🔹 Market Structure:
Bullish channel intact with higher highs & higher lows.
Price rejected the support zone and trendline.
Momentum suggests buyers could retest upper channel resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 147.50 – 147.70
1st Resistance: 148.58
2nd Resistance: 148.95
📈 Trading Idea:
As long as USD/JPY stays above the support zone, bulls may drive price higher toward 148.58 → 148.95.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A break below 147.50 would weaken the bullish outlook.
“Discipline + Patience = Consistency 🔑”
DXY testing trend resistance after Powell comments
The dollar clawed back some ground after Jerome Powell’s latest remarks, but I’m not convinced this bounce has legs. With the Fed now leaning dovish, the bias still favours more downside unless we see consistent cracks in the jobs market to justify the two cuts priced in for 2025.
Powell reiterated on Tuesday that inflation risks are skewed higher while employment risks are tilted lower, adding: “Two-sided risks mean there is no risk-free path.” Translation: he’s keeping his options open ahead of the October meeting. Fed chatter will remain front and centre, with Mary Daly up later today, jobless claims tomorrow, and the key PCE inflation reading on Friday.
The dollar index is now testing resistance around 97.60–97.80 area — a confluence of the 21-day EMA, broken support, and a trendline. Until this area breaks, it’s hard to get bullish. The broader picture of lower highs and lows still screams corrective.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Gold’s Secret Driver Flashes Red – What That Means at 3,745 Sup.Gold’s rally just slammed into resistance at 3,780 - and now the market is deciding: does support at 3,745 hold for another leg up, or do rising USD and real yields flip the script? This is the most important zone of the week for gold traders.
Gold (XAUUSD) is pausing just below the 3,780 resistance zone after a strong run. The bigger trend remains bullish, but intraday momentum has cooled as the USD and yields firm up.
Daily Chart View (Big Picture)
• Trend intact: higher lows, structure still bullish.
• Support: 3,745 → 3,726.
• Resistance: 3,780 → 3,810 → 3,850.
• GLD ETF flows remain supportive on daily closes.
4H Chart View (Execution)
• Consolidation just under 3,780.
• Micro support: 3,745–3,750.
• Nominal yields (US10Y ~4.11%) and real yields (DFII10 ~1.78) are ticking higher → headwind.
• DXY firm at ~97.7.
• GLD 4H candles consolidating, not pushing higher.
Scenarios
1. Breakout Buy:
• 4H close >3,780 with DXY <97.5 & US10Y <4.10 and real yields easing.
• Target 3,810 → 3,850. Stop below 3,745.
2. Pullback Buy (Base Case):
• Dip into 3,745–3,750 holds, with GLD stabilizing.
• Target 3,780, then 3,810. Stop 3,726.
3. Bearish Flip (Lower Probability):
• 4H close <3,745 while DXY/real yields extend higher.
• Opens 3,726 → 3,700. Invalidation >3,780.
The daily trend is still bullish, but the 4H says momentum is cooling. Best risk/reward is to let gold test 3,745–3,750 for a dip-buy setup, or wait for a confirmed breakout >3,780 with the macro drivers aligned.
Are you buying the 3,745 dip, or waiting for a clean breakout at 3,780? Drop your view below ⬇️
US DOLLAR LIQUIDITY GAMES MAPThe U.S. Dollar is testing traders resolve.
Price action keeps pressing higher, and a daily close above 97.394 would confirm a classic “fractal low” — the kind of structural pivot that lures late buyers before the real move unfolds.
3 Key Insights
Macro Calendar – Stay alert:
Thu – Final Q2 GDP, Weekly Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders.
Fri – Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Spending, University of Michigan Sentiment (final).
These are the week’s steering currents for USD flows.
A daily close above 97.394 is the key trigger to confirm a fresh leg higher.
• EUR/USD short bias remains valid while DXY stays bid, but expect intraday volatility around data releases.
DXY – Post-Fed Cut: What’s Next for the Dollar?The Fed has cut rates — but the dollar didn’t flinch. No major reaction, which suggests the move was priced in.
I currently see two possible scenarios unfolding on DXY:
Scenario 1: Triangle Completed – More Downside Ahead
If we’ve finished a triangle correction, a break below 96.20 could confirm the move and open up downside toward $95–$92.
Chart:
Scenario 2: Ending Diagonal in Wave 5
Alternatively, the recent low may mark the end of a 5th wave diagonal, completing Wave 3 of the broader decline. If so, we could see choppy corrective action before any larger moves.
Chart:
Key level to watch: Break below $96.20
If price closes above $100.25 I will review the analysis as this may indicate the downward trend is complete.
Looks like we might finally get some pressure released on GoldIve been looking for price to break down. it has been on a bull run for well over a week now. and all this week it has pushed up with no pullbacks at all. Looks like we might have hit the high for the week and we could be getting a pullback from here. Waiting to see if we can break the previous Daily low for more bearish pressure.
Gold at Key Resistance: Watching 3745 Support vs 3780 Breakout (Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing into resistance near 3780 while holding strong above key support at 3745. The bigger picture remains bullish, but we are at an important decision point.
Macro Drivers
📉 US10Y nominal yield easing (4.10%) → supportive for gold.
💵 DXY drifting lower (97.2) → dollar weakness tailwind.
📈 Real yields (DFII10 at 1.78%) ticking slightly higher → mild headwind.
📊 GLD ETF still making new highs → strong institutional demand.
🛡️ VIX creeping up (16.6) → safe-haven premium adding support.
🔮 T5YIE flat (2.42%) → inflation expectations stable.
⚪ Silver (XAGUSD ~44) lagging slightly → not fully confirming gold’s strength.
Levels to Watch
• 🔺 Resistance: 3780 → 3810 → 3850
• 🔻 Support: 3745 → 3726 → 3680
Trade Scenarios
1. ✅ Breakout Buy: If 4H closes above 3780 with weak DXY + easing yields, target 3810 → 3850. Stop below 3745.
2. ✅ Pullback Buy: If price dips to 3745–3750 with GLD still rising, re-entry zone. Stop 3726, targets 3780 → 3810.
3. ⚠️ Avoid Longs: If DXY >98 + US10Y >4.25 + real yields rise, gold likely retests supports.
Bias remains bullish, supported by flows and a weak dollar, but near-term price action is stretched. I’m looking to either buy dips into 3745–3750 or wait for a confirmed breakout above 3780.
🔹 Sharing my driver-based setup so others can track gold beyond price alone. Feedback welcome. Let’s trade smarter together.
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥
Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦
Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨
📈 Entry: The Break-In
Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels:
98.00 💸
98.20 💸
98.40 💸
98.60 💸
Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊.
Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨.
🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route
Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️.
Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️.
Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥.
🎯 Target: The Getaway
Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out!
Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃♂️💨.
🧠 Why This Heist?
The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡:
Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍.
Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉.
Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰.
⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp!
News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫.
Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️.
💪 Boost the Heist!
Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style! 🚀 Every like and view strengthens our crew, helping us rob the market with precision. Let’s make money and vanish like pros! 🤑
Stay tuned for the next heist plan, Thief OG’s! 🕵️♂️🎉
Dollar Index Resistance & Support AnalysisDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is trading around 97.71, holding within an upward channel after bouncing from the 97.00–97.10 support zone. The structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the chart also highlights a potential “strong high” area near 98.20–98.40, where resistance from both Fibonacci retracement levels and channel tops converge. If DXY fails to break above this resistance, a retracement toward 97.20–97.00 is likely, with further downside risk toward 96.80 if that support breaks.
Based on the current setup, short-term upside toward 98.20–98.40 is possible, but overall bias suggests a likely pullback (downside) after testing resistance, especially if momentum weakens near the channel top.
🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup)
- Sell Zone (Resistance area): 98.20 – 98.40
- Sell Trigger: If price tests and rejects this zone with bearish candles (reversal signals).
🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup)
- Buy Zone (Support area): 97.20 – 97.30
- Buy Trigger: If price holds above this zone and shows bullish reversal candles (hammer, engulfing, etc.).
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
DXY | Bullish Reversal from IFVG – Targeting 99.50 Supply ZoneHello Billionaires!!
In DXY D1 Projection we know The US Dollar Index has tapped into the Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (IFVG) and shown signs of bullish reaction after sweeping Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). This aligns with a potential reversal model aiming towards higher liquidity levels.
🔹 Key Points:
SSL swept, confirming liquidity grab.
Price reacting from IFVG as demand zone.
Short-term retracement expected, followed by continuation.
Targeting the BPR supply zone around 99.50 and eventually Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) above 100.00.
As long as DXY holds above the IFVG zone, bullish continuation remains the primary outlook.