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DXY

$USINTR -Fed Delivers Rate Cut (October/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR October/2025 source: Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 bps to a target range of 3.75%–4.00% at its October 2025 meeting, in line with market expectations. The move followed a similar cut in September, bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022. Policymakers cited increasing downside risks to employment in recent months while inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated. The Fed said it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of its goals. In addition, the central bank decided to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1.
ECONOMICS:USINTR
by Mr_J__fx
FOMC OutlookAs US–China trade war concerns ease, the market’s attention is turning to today’s FOMC meeting. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that is already fully priced in. The decision comes amid “rising risks in the labor market,” as emphasized by nearly all Fed members. In addition to today’s expected 25 bps cut, markets are also pricing in another reduction at the December meeting. With inflation increasing more slowly than expected and Trump easing tariffs, the Fed now has greater flexibility to lower rates, aligning with our outlook. Two main topics will be in focus at this meeting. The first is quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed slowed QT earlier this year, and based on Powell’s recent comments, it could slow further or even be halted entirely. The 10-year Treasury yield has already fallen below 4% in anticipation of such a move. The Fed is likely to announce the end of QT or signal that it will conclude soon. If the announcement did not come, it will be seen as hawkish. The second topic is further rate cuts in 2026. Markets are pricing in two to three additional cuts that year. Powell’s tone regarding the 2026 outlook could be one of the key drivers of today’s market reaction. The dollar index remains calm ahead of the meeting. After testing the long-term trendline from 2011 (white line), the dollar recovered above its 100-day moving average and has since turned flat. The 99.60–100.80 zone, previously a major support, now acts as resistance. The dollar is currently trapped between that resistance and the long-term trendline. Depending on the outcome of today’s FOMC meeting, the index could start to move either toward the resistance area or back to the trendline.
TVC:DXY
by ftdsystem
Bearish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.93 1st support: 98.09 1st Resistance: 99.54 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Consolidation Ahead of FOMC Dollar Index weakens ahead of FED rate decision today. The market formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on a daily. A breakout of one of its boundaries after an interest rate decision announcement will accurately indicate a future direction of the market. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by VasilyTrader
1
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D29| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D29| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 45.69877 💰TP: 41.19089 ⛔️SL: 48.77557 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: Metals remain a mid-term sell priority. For silver, the most likely scenario is the formation of a small accumulation near 47.48680 (main scenario), where the price expectedly paused its decline. Given the Fed's interest rate decision today, we can't rule out volatility, which could lead to a retest of the point of control (POC) area around 48.80 (alternative scenario). The downside target remains in the 41-42 range. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by StopLoss222
Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.33660 💰TP: 1.31160 ⛔️SL: 1.34654 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The pound's first downside targets, previously noted, have already been reached, namely 1.33000. Sell priority remains, but given potential volatility (the Fed's interest rate decision is today) and the presence of seller liquidity near 1.34 (sellers's stop-loss levels), a short-term strengthening of the pound is likely. This doesn't change the mid-term trend, and downside targets of 1.32, 1.31, and 1.30 are still being looked for. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 3968.251 💰TP: 3623.107 ⛔️SL: 4088.396 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: Metals have broken the lower border of previously identified accumulations. For gold, this is the price range of 4005 - 4143, indicating a highly probable downward impulse previously anticipated toward the 3600 - 3700 region. Currently, the main scenario is a breakout and entry around 3970. If the stop loss is triggered, re-entries can be considered. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by StopLoss222
GC Futures – Are We Flipping Bearish Into Midweek?Tuesday closed below Monday’s low, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment. Currently, price is approaching a 1H FVG inside the prior Asian range, just below the Weekly Low (W-L) and Daily High (D-H) — a perfect liquidity pocket. I’m watching for signs of rejection here to confirm a bearish continuation. If price holds above this area, we may see a short squeeze back into higher value. Bias remains bearish, but confirmation is key. What are you seeing here — are we setting up for continuation or a fakeout? #Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #ICT #NoFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
1
DXY Approaching 98.900 — Weak Labor Market Could Push Fed DovishHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.900 zone. The index continues to trade within a descending channel and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance. Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar. Next move: Watching for bearish confirmations around the 98.900 zone — rejection here could resume the broader downtrend. 💬 What’s your outlook on the Fed’s next move? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
TVC:DXYShort
by JoeChampion
6
EUR/USD – Buyer Zone Activation | Wave Projection 🌊We’re currently watching EUR/USD retrace into the buyer zone (1.1620–1.1645). This area aligns perfectly with Wave D of the ongoing corrective structure, setting up for a potential Wave C impulse toward 1.16925. 📊 Technical Outlook: Structure: ABCD completion before impulsive C Key Support Zone: 1.1620–1.1645 Target Zone: 1.1690–1.1700 Bias: Bullish from buyers’ zone Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Invalidation: If price closes below 1.1620, structure may extend into a deeper correction. 🧠 Insight: Smart money often accumulates within such retracement zones before the next impulsive leg. Patience at key levels builds confidence and accuracy.
Long
by Greenfireforex
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue to Fall?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 30-minute timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The reduction in its downward momentum in the demand range will provide us with a better risk-reward buying position. A move towards the supply range above the channel will be our next short trade! Gold prices fell below $4,000 per ounce for the first time since October 10, following a sharp $125 decline. According to a Reuters survey, the average gold price in 2026 is expected to reach $4,275 per ounce, while silver prices are projected to average $50 per ounce in the same year. For 2025, the survey anticipates an average gold price of $3,400, up from $3,220 in the previous poll, while the average silver price is forecasted to rise to $38.45 from $34.52 previously. Analysts at Nomura stated that U.S.–China relations have entered a repetitive cycle of tension, escalation, and temporary détente, likely forming a “new normal” in the long term. Lu Ting, Nomura’s chief China economist, noted that the world’s two largest economies appear to be settling into a predictable pattern of “strain–escalation–pause”, which may define the framework of their relationship in the foreseeable future. Recent trade talks in Kuala Lumpur hinted at a temporary easing of friction, with both sides reportedly considering limited concessions, such as extending tariff suspensions and resuming soybean imports from the U.S. However, deep-seated disputes remain unresolved — including export restrictions on rare earth elements, compliance with trade commitments, and broader geopolitical disagreements — all of which cloud the outlook for bilateral relations. Lu cautioned that while short-term cooperation may continue due to mutual economic dependence, long-term strategic competition between Washington and Beijing is expected to intensify. Nomura believes this recurrent cycle of conflict and reconciliation will likely become the enduring pattern of U.S.–China relations. Such a backdrop implies persistent volatility in global markets, particularly in commodities and technology sectors, which are highly sensitive to trade developments between the two nations. Investors should prepare for alternating periods of optimism and renewed tension. Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs against Canada may turn into a major self-inflicted setback, as the move faces both a legal challenge before the U.S. Supreme Court and bipartisan opposition. Next week, the Supreme Court is set to hear a case focusing on Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to justify these tariffs. Trump initially invoked an emergency declaration related to fentanyl to impose them — despite the fact that such powers are typically reserved for sanctions against U.S. adversaries. The case represents not only a test of the tariffs’ legality, but also a measure of Trump’s and MAGA’s influence over the Court. Notably, Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, joined over 200 Democrats in sending a letter to the justices urging them to strike down the tariffs. The oral arguments are scheduled for November 5, and the final ruling, which could serve as a major market mover, is expected sometime next year. Currently, prediction markets estimate a 38% probability that the tariffs will be overturned. At the same time, Morgan Stanley reported that U.S. dollar positioning has turned positive for the first time in several months, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the U.S. economic outlook. This shift comes amid rising political instability in Japan and France, which has diminished the appeal of non-dollar assets and strengthened capital flows toward the greenback. Strategists at the bank added that demand for downside protection against the dollar has declined, indicating that investors perceive a low risk of a sharp correction in the near term. Nevertheless, Morgan Stanley warned that this uptrend might not be sustainable — if U.S. economic data, particularly employment figures, fail to show significant improvement, the dollar could again face renewed downward pressure, and rate-cut expectations from the Federal Reserve could rise. Finally, Treasury Secretary Scott Bassent confirmed that five candidates have been shortlisted to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair: Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Kevin Warsh, Kevin Hassett, and Rick Rieder. Bassent stated that one more round of interviews will take place, and he plans to submit the final shortlist to President Trump after Thanksgiving, with a final decision expected before year-end.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
USDCAD Faces Pressure as DXY Correction Nears Key Resistance!!Hey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.40200 zone. The pair remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the trendline and resistance area at 1.40200. From a macro perspective, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing its 98.900 channel resistance, where upside momentum may fade amid a weakening U.S. labour market and rising expectations for a dovish shift from the Fed. A potential DXY rejection from that level could amplify downside pressure on USDCAD, especially if oil continues to find demand and supports the Canadian Dollar. Next move: Watching for bearish confirmation near 1.40200 for potential continuation of the broader downtrend. 💬 What’s your view on USDCAD and the Dollar outlook this week? Share your thoughts below!
Short
by JoeChampion
6
DXY Long-Term big surprise revealed by Gold! Hi Guys, I've been doing some research on the DXY and Gold charts and I've been reading news headlines For the past 20 years and trying to link it with both DXY and Gold charts and I've found out Some interesting facts that literally flipped the market upside down. So I pointed each even with the corresponding candle and I would love to know what do you guys Think about this so feel free to comment and share your opinion on what's really going on behind The scenes.
TVC:DXYLong
by Crypto-Shrimp
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
1
Bullish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the major resistance. Pivot: 98.55 1st Support: 98 1st Resistance: 99.53 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.15381 💰TP: 1.14051 ⛔️SL: 1.16279 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: A breakout of the support area of ​​1.15000 - 1.16000 remains the main and more reliable sell scenario. More aggressive sell scenarios suggest entering near the current price, that is, from the local maximum of 1.16600. It is anticipated that the price will rapidly approach the 1.14000 area if the support area indicated is broken, as buyers liquidate their positions that have accumulated in large quantities below this level. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
Gold Sitting on the Edge – Liquidity Sweep Before the Bounce?Monday didn’t give much movement, and price is now hovering around last week’s low. I’m expecting a liquidity sweep of the current levels — likely taking out the Daily Low before moving to fill the full Weekly FVG below. Short-term bias is bearish for the Asian session, but I’ll be watching closely for a shift once that FVG is filled. If absorption shows up after the sweep, I’ll flip long for the bigger move higher into midweek. #FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #LiquiditySweep #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
EUR/USD – Triangle Breakout (CPI Data ahead)EUR/USD – Buy Entry (M30- Channel Breakout Pattern) The EUR/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Triangle Breakout Pattern on the M30 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. ✅Market Context: 1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern. 2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance. 3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones. ✅Trade Plan: Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (m30 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout). 💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead. 🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure. ✅Psychological Discipline : 1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades. 2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy. 3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade. 💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Long
by AM_AlphaTrading
35
GOLD 4H | Harmonic AB=CD Bearish Reversal in PlayGold recently formed a clear double top at the all-time high (ATH), accompanied by a bearish divergence on higher timeframes — signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. That divergence has played out perfectly, aligning with the current bearish market structure. The price has now broken below the key accumulation range between 4000 and 4149, confirming a shift in sentiment. With the trend consistently printing lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the overall market bias remains bearish. 🔹 Technical Breakdown We currently have a bearish AB=CD pattern completing near the 3800 zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden ratio (0.618) on the D leg. Although AB=CD is traditionally a bullish harmonic pattern, here it’s being used within a downtrend context to identify a potential reversal or continuation zone — depending on market reaction at D. Key Zone to Watch: 🟡 3800 – 3840 → Major potential reaction zone (Fib confluence + AB=CD completion). If sellers hold this level, we could see further downside momentum. 🔹 Daily Chart View On the daily timeframe, bullish momentum looks weak — every recovery candle is smaller, and volume favors sellers. With the AB=CD pattern confirmation and price failing to reclaim the 40050 zone, the bias stays bearish. 🔹 Weekly Chart Insight Historically, gold tends to retrace after 9 consecutive straight bullish weekly candles. From 1990 to 2025, each 9-week rally phase has been followed by a notable correction ranging from 6% to 14%, showing that extended rallies often precede profit-taking phases. This current rally phase mirrors that same behavior patterns — making a corrective move toward 3800–3700 highly probability. 🧭 Final BIAS The technical confluence between the bearish structure, double top + divergence, and AB=CD D-leg near golden ratio and 9 week rally gives a high-probability bearish setup. If 3940 fails to hold, next potential downside target lies near 3900-3775, aligned with long-term structure support.
TVC:GOLDShort
by awaisulabdeen
1
BTCUSD — Coiled Energy vs Dollar | Volume Flow Meets Patience🧭 Context Bitcoin started the week on the front foot, pressing toward the Flat TPO Top at 116 077. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) notched its fourth consecutive inside week, boxed between 97.56 and 99.19 — a quiet coil ahead of the Fed. Crypto stretches while fiat meditates — a calm standoff where market psychology meets structure geometry. 📐 Technical Map BTCUSD trades inside a bearish weekly range, yet buyers defend every dip. Volume confirms accumulation from imbalance lows. Key zones: 112.845 low → 116 077 high — measured-move corridor + prior TPO distribution shelf. A wick through 116 077 completes this week’s 10 % rotation 🌐 Fundamental Pulse DXY strength = tightening risk appetite. Fed decision mid-week sets November’s flow regime. Until then, Bitcoin trades inversely: Dollar up → Crypto breathes out. 📊 Volume & Order Flow Map Professional suite: Bookmap Tracking bid/ask delta pressure around 112 845 and 116 077. Liquidity depth shows absorption below range highs. Volume clusters reveal short-covering rotations — not new conviction (yet). Institutional footprint signals patience, not chase. 🎯 Plan Full bias shift only if BTC closes above 116 077 with confirmed volume expansion. If not, we reassess lower — control risk, collect flow, and stay structured. “The Market Therapist” Every trader thinks the market is emotional. It’s not. You are. The market doesn’t care about your caffeine, your new monitor, or your conviction. It only respects structure, flow, and timing — and it punishes anyone who confuses belief with evidence. So if Bitcoin grinds higher while the Dollar sleeps in a coil — breathe. Nothing’s changed yet. Pros wait. Amateurs anticipate. Only one gets paid.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN