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EURJPY - Buy the gap, ride the trend!EURJPY remains overall bullish inside an ascending channel. Price is pulling back toward a support zone that coincides with the lower channel trendline—a strong confluence where I’ll look for trend-following longs. The small gap overhead adds fuel for a potential snap-back if buyers step in. I’ll wait for a bullish rejection (wick rejections, H4 bullish engulfing, or a break-retest back above the intraday lower highs) around 172.8–173.4 to enter. As long as this intersection holds, I’ll target the mid-channel first, then the upper boundary near 176.5 and 178.0–178.8. The plan is invalidated on a clean H4 close below 172.3 (under the zone and trendline), which would open a deeper correction before any new buy setup. ⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk (position sizing, stops, partials). All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
4
$SOL - LONG - ABOUT TO POP?Analysis: Following up on my Oct 14th BTC note — “Wait for arbitrage to balance spot markets” — we’re now nearing that blue box. As BTC approaches equilibrium, I’m eyeing CRYPTOCAP:SOL for a clean long setup. Here’s why 👇 AVWAP Confluence Zone: We’ve got the lower band of a HTF auction colliding with the VWAP line from another HTF auction — strong mean reversion and liquidity overlap. (Didn’t draw them out to keep the chart clean.) Fibonacci Confluence: A completed AB=CD right at 175.0, perfectly inside the HTF golden pocket (0.618). That’s a key structural retrace aligning with measured move completion. Bullish Harmonic (4H): A textbook bull harmonic forming — early signs of reversal pressure building. No position yet. Waiting for SOL (CME) to close the gap at ~174.7 — that’s my trigger to go long. 🎯 Target: 223 — with a possible sweep of the 229–230 zone where shorts are stacked. Expecting a short squeeze flush through that region. Seeing solid order flow confluence across the board. Will update this post as things unfold.
Long
by ThetaNomad
3
US100 A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for US100 below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 24.863 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 24.615 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDCAD What Next? BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDCAD is below: The market is trading on 1.4030 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.4040 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.4025 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6487 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.6498 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6481 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURJPY What Next? SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURJPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 176.39 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 176.05 Safe Stop Loss - 176.59 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 4307.6 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 4291.5 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 4335.3 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
EURGBP Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.8689 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear Bullish signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 0.8699 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDCHF On The Rise! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.7934 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 0.7972 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
NATGAS Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.000 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target -2.957 My Stop Loss - 3.022 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1655 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1684 Safe Stop Loss - 1.1640 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
CHFJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 189.87 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 189.51 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPCHF My Opinion! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GBPCHF and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.0619 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.0670 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
BITCOIN - PUMP BEFORE THE DUMP?Traders, Last time I talked about arbitrage inefficiencies between spot and perps. I expected a dip first, then a corrective move up. That view still stands — but I also expected a sweep up before the bigger move down. In my earlier notes I called for a sweep to clean the Sunday low, followed by a move back toward 120–122k with a short squeeze. That scenario is now in play. I planned to long near 109.350, after the sweep, and only if the data aligned with my thesis. What I projected vs what happened Sweep the Sunday lows, then squeeze up. Wait for the sweep and only enter if the data confirms around 109.550. Entered 109.550 once multiple signals lined up. Why I entered at 109.550 Stablecoin-margined CVD First pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a lower low while price made a higher low → hidden bullish divergence. Aggressive sellers were getting absorbed by resting bids. Second pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a higher low while price made a lower low → selling pressure fading, buyers absorbing again. Coin-margined CVD Coin Margined CVD kept making lower lows while price refused to follow → another hidden bull div. Shorts were leaning in, but passive buying held firm. Spot CVD Lower lows on CVD while price held flat or slightly higher → trapped aggressive sellers, absorbed by steady passive spot buyers. On Binance Perp Order Flow we could also see a regular bullish divergence into a smaller hidden bull div at the sweep — a clean reversal setup. Open Interest read Here’s where many traders miss the nuance. There are two main perp types on Binance and most major exchanges: Coin-margined contracts: collateralized with the underlying asset (e.g., BTC). Profits and losses are settled in BTC. Stablecoin-margined contracts: collateralized with a stable asset (e.g., USDT or USDC). Profits and losses are settled in dollars. This matters because the behavior and risk exposure of traders differ between the two: When coin-margined OI goes down, it usually means BTC-collateral traders are closing positions or getting liquidated. They’re forced to sell BTC to cover margin, which can create short-term downside pressure. When stablecoin-margined OI goes up at the same time, it often means new traders are entering positions with USDT collateral. That capital rotation usually signals fresh directional bets, often late shorts piling in after a move down. So when price stops making new lows while stablecoin OI keeps climbing, it’s a clear sign the market is loading up on shorts, but without continuation. That mismatch is short-squeeze fuel. Combine that with the CVD divergences above and it paints a strong case for a move back into overhead liquidity. Supplementary edge 1H RSI bullish divergence: RSI makes higher lows while price makes lower lows → loss of downside momentum, suggesting sellers are tiring. USDC.D and USDT.D bearish divergences: Stablecoin dominance charts make higher highs while RSI trends lower → stablecoin demand weakening. When that happens, capital tends to rotate back into BTC and risk assets, reinforcing the long bias. Broke above daily VWAP Together, these add extra confluence to the squeeze setup. Plan, target, invalidation Target: 122 area (blue box). At target: watching for rising price with fading delta, sell imbalances near highs, and absorption signals — that’s where I’ll start hunting shorts and let the market cool off. Invalidation: acceptance back below the Sunday sweep low with expanding negative delta and rising OI on the breakdown. That would kill the squeeze thesis. Summary: A clean sweep → multi-CVD bullish divergences → absorption → rising OI imbalance → RSI & VWAP confluence. All aligning for a controlled short squeeze toward 122k, before the market potentially resumes its broader corrective path. Does this mean we 100% go up? No. Markets don’t promise: they whisper. You listen, you align, and you risk what you can afford to be wrong about.
Long
by ThetaNomad
26
Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) - Financial ReportDate: October 16, 2025 Current Market Context: As of October 16, 2025, Bitcoin trades at approximately $111,469 USD, reflecting a volatile yet upward trajectory influenced by institutional adoption and macroeconomic factors. Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy, holds 640,031 BTC, valued at $71.3 billion USD as of today. The company's market capitalization stands at $84.15 billion USD, representing an 18% premium over its Bitcoin reserve value. This premium accounts for operational assets, including fixed costs, employee salaries, and intellectual property, while underscoring the market's perception of MSTR as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy. Notably, the company's substantial BTC holdings enable potential market influence through strategies involving futures and options, allowing for amplified exposure to cryptocurrency volatility. 1. Company Overview Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is a leading provider of AI-powered enterprise analytics software and services, operating in the business intelligence (BI) and software sector. Founded in 1989 by Michael J. Saylor and Sanju Bansal in Wilmington, Delaware, the company initially focused on data mining and BI tools inspired by systems-dynamics theory from their MIT studies. It secured its first major client, McDonald's, with a $10 million contract in 1992, driving 100% annual revenue growth from 1990 to 1996. By 1994, the firm relocated to Tysons Corner, Virginia, expanding to 50 employees. The company went public in 1998 and evolved into a pioneer in BI platforms, offering products like MicroStrategy ONE for non-technical insights and HyperIntelligence for contextual overlays. In August 2020, under Saylor's leadership, Strategy adopted Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, purchasing 21,454 BTC for $250 million—a move that transformed it into the world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder. This pivot positioned MSTR as a "Bitcoin spot leveraged ETF" proxy, blending software revenue with cryptocurrency exposure. In February 2025, it rebranded from MicroStrategy to Strategy Inc. to emphasize its dual focus on analytics and Bitcoin innovation. Today, it serves industries including finance, healthcare, retail, and government, with a global presence across North America, EMEA, LATAM, and APAC. Strategic Objectives and Corporate Vision Strategy's vision is to empower organizations with AI-driven analytics while leveraging Bitcoin as a superior store of value against inflation and currency devaluation. Core objectives include: - Expanding market share in BI through innovative technologies like cloud-native platforms and partnerships. - Executing the "21/21 Plan": Raising $21 billion in equity and $21 billion in fixed-income instruments over three years to acquire more BTC, enhancing treasury value. - Balancing software growth (e.g., via Strategy Mosaic for data governance) with Bitcoin strategy for long-term value creation. Saylor, the Executive Chairman, focuses on Bitcoin acquisitions, while CEO Phong Le oversees operations. The company holds 340 patents, emphasizing innovation in BI and blockchain applications. 2. Financial Analysis Consolidated Balance Sheet: Last Three Years Strategy's financials reflect modest BI revenue growth overshadowed by Bitcoin impairments and gains. Data is in USD millions, sourced from annual reports. | Metric | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |--------------------|---------|---------|---------| | Total Revenue | 463.0 | 496.0 | 496.0 | | Cost of Revenue | 138.9 | 148.0 | 152.0 | | Gross Profit | 324.1 | 348.0 | 344.0 | | Operating Expenses | -6,660 | 450.0 | 500.0 | | Operating Income | 6,660 | -102.0 | -156.0 | | Net Income | 4,790 | -670.8 | -1,470 | | Gross Margin (%) | 70.1 | 70.2 | 69.4 | | Net Margin (%) | 1,036.6 | -135.3 | -296.4 | Volatility stems from Bitcoin fair-value adjustments: 2024 gains drove net income surge, while prior years saw impairments. Revenue declined 6.6% YoY in 2024 due to subscription shifts, but gross margins remain robust at ~70%. Cash Flow Analysis Cash flows highlight Bitcoin-driven investing outflows, offset by financing inflows. Data in USD millions. | Category | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |-------------------------|-------- |---------|---------| | Operating Cash Flow | 50.1 | 65.0 | 45.0 | | Investing Cash Flow | -35,630 | -2,100 | -500.0 | | Financing Cash Flow | 35,500 | 2,050 | 450.0 | | Net Change in Cash | -80 | 15.0 | -5.0 | | Free Cash Flow Growth (%) | -1,069 | N/A | N/A | Operating cash flow remains positive but modest (~$50M in 2024), supporting software operations. Investing activities reflect massive BTC purchases ($35.6B in 2024 via debt/equity raises), while financing provides liquidity through convertible notes and ATM offerings. This structure amplifies BTC exposure but increases dilution risk. Key Performance Indicators Financial ratios reveal efficiency in equity utilization but asset strain from BTC leverage. | Ratio | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | Interpretation | |--------------- --|----------|----------|--------|----------------| | ROE (%) | 18.01 | -25.0 | -40.0 | Strong recovery via BTC gains; measures profitability per equity dollar. | | ROA (%) | 12.75 | -5.0 | -8.0 | Improved asset efficiency; net income/total assets. | | ROI (%) | 12.75 | -4.5 | -7.5 | Aligns with ROA; return on invested capital in BTC/software. | | Debt/Equity | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.30 | Low leverage; supports BTC strategy without excessive risk. | | Interest Coverage | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | Adequate coverage post-2024 gains; EBIT/interest expense. | ROE surged in 2024 due to unrealized BTC appreciation, calculated as Net Income / Average Shareholders' Equity. ROA = Net Income / Total Assets, highlighting BTC's role in boosting returns despite flat software assets. Debt Analysis Total debt stands at $8.21 billion (2024), primarily convertible notes for BTC buys. Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16 indicates conservative leverage, with current ratio at 0.68 signaling short-term liquidity pressure from BTC focus. Interest coverage improved to 5.2x in 2024, mitigating default risk amid rising rates. Strategies include ATM equity sales to repay debt. 3. Market Analysis Stock Performance: Last 12 Months MSTR delivered 43.55% returns over the past 12 months (October 2024–October 2025), far outpacing benchmarks. 52-week high: $473.83 (November 2024); low: $112.00 (October 2024). Current price: ~$296.76, with YTD loss of -1.12%. Volatility and Benchmark Comparison Annualized volatility: 114.6% (MSTR) vs. 20.5% (NASDAQ) and 15.2% (S&P 500), driven by BTC correlation (beta ~3.0 to BTC). MSTR outperformed S&P 500 (+71% vs. +16%) and NASDAQ over 12 months, but with 7x the volatility. Sharpe ratio: 1.82 (MSTR) vs. 0.92 (S&P 500), indicating superior risk-adjusted returns. Competitors and Market Position In Business Intelligence software, Strategy holds ~1.19% market share, trailing Microsoft Power BI (19.85%) and Tableau (16.11%). Key competitors: Tableau (Salesforce), Qlik, IBM Cognos, Oracle BI, and Power BI. Strengths include scalability and mobile BI; weaknesses are higher complexity vs. user-friendly rivals. As a BTC holder, it leads corporates (e.g., vs. Tesla's ~11,000 BTC), positioning MSTR as a unique hybrid: BI challenger with crypto dominance (~3% of BTC supply). 4. Future Outlook Growth Forecasts: 2025–2028 Analysts project 5–10% annual BI revenue growth to $550M by 2028, driven by AI integrations. BTC holdings could reach 1M+ via 21/21 Plan, implying 20–50% stock upside if BTC hits $150K (base case: $400–$600/share by 2028). EPS growth: 1557% in 2025, stabilizing at 15% CAGR. Overall revenue: $500M–$600M by 2028, with net income tied to BTC (projected $10B+ if holdings appreciate 30% annually). Expansion Plans, Acquisitions, and Initiatives - 21/21 Plan: $42B raise for BTC buys; recent $2B preferred stock offering targets Q1 2026. - Acquisitions: Potential in blockchain/BI (e.g., mobile analytics firms); no major 2025 deals announced. - Initiatives: Launch of Bitcoin-linked securities; expansion into APAC BI markets; AI enhancements like Strategy One for predictive analytics. Potential Risks and Mitigation - Risks: BTC volatility (80% drawdown potential); dilution from equity raises; regulatory scrutiny on crypto holdings; BI competition eroding 1–2% share annually. - Mitigation: Diversified revenue (BTC as 90% value driver but software as stabilizer); debt refinancing via ATM sales; hedging via futures/options with its BTC hoard for market influence. Scenario analysis: Base (BTC +20%/yr) yields 25% IRR; bear (BTC -30%) limits downside to 15% via operational cash. 5. Conclusion Overall Assessment and Investment Potential Strategy Inc. exemplifies a high-conviction, transformative play: a BI stalwart amplified by Bitcoin's asymmetric upside. With $84.15B market cap trading at an 18% premium to its $71.3B BTC holdings—factoring in ~$500M annual fixed costs, salaries for 1,530 employees, and BI IP—the firm offers leveraged exposure without direct crypto custody risks. Historical 1,620% returns since 2020 validate Saylor's vision, outperforming S&P 500 by 22x. Potential is strong for 2025–2028 if BTC adoption accelerates, with ROE/ROA signaling efficient capital deployment. Investor Recommendations Buy/Hold for Growth-Oriented Portfolios: Target $400–$500 by end-2026 (20–50% upside) on BTC momentum; allocate 5–10% for high-risk tolerance. Strengths: BTC treasury (market influence via derivatives); resilient 70% margins; innovation (340 patents). Weaknesses: Revenue stagnation (-3.2% CAGR); volatility (114% vs. 20% benchmarks); dilution risk (74% YTD BTC yield via shares). Conservative investors: Monitor Q4 2025 earnings (Oct 30) for BTC yield updates; diversify with S&P 500 ETFs. This is not financial advice—consult professionals.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by dPEngineering
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1657 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1623 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1