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Economic Cycles

FET - Bear Market Bottom Repeat Pattern - Very bullish on FET!!To me, FET is repeating a bear market bottoming pattern now. We are on the 4D chart. As you can see from the previous market cycles, FET shoots up sharply from its market cycle bottom. It then does a .50 fib retracement of the move off of the market cycle bottom, and establishes a strong level of support. These areas can be seen in the light blue boxes: Sep 2020-into Q1 of 2021, and then in May of 2023 - October of 2023. When you look at what FET does in each of its market cycles; It bottoms right in that first area of support that we just discussed. When you take a look at what FET just did, it actually fell into that area of support that we established off of the 2022 market cycle bottom. That is, the level of support that we formed from May - Oct of 2023. We also have a repeat pattern on the 4D RSI. The 4D RSI will have 3 heavily overbought waves during its bull market, and then 3 heavily oversold waves during its bear market. We just completed a 3rd oversold data point on the 4D RSI for FET. This occurrence and the last occurrence both formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 4D RSI. We're actually in an extended period of bearishness for this FET bear market, too. We took a bit longer since we did a premature 200-ish percent bounce off of the bottom in April. With the Bitcoin dominance chart not having completed a market cycle of its own - I do think that altcoins will still have a nice run within a lengthened cycle for the first time ever. There are more repeat patterns, but I just don't have the time to discuss them right now. Thank you!
Long
by LoneWolf1425
Xauusd outlookGold has had a 9 week bullish run based on historical data this has only occured 6 prior times . This is a strong indication that this might be the last leg of the run for gold . With China finding mines of gold and south Africa having a massive reseve in gold up to 1. Trillion , we might see the supply increase if these countries decide to utilize these reserves . Outlook gold closes previous week high creating the top wick for the coming week and selling off to follow , Gold can either continue with this run to month end breaking history where gold has only ever traded once for 10-12 consecutive bullish Weeks . With us still looming in a shutdown , and no economic data release yet such as NFP. causing more uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by caylibhendricks007
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
2
WILL GBPUSD CORRECTION ENDS WITH SIMPLE WXY OR WXYXZ?Cable is undergoing a weekly having successfully break above the 1.34342 resistance now turned support level to extend its impulse trend. Will the pair's trend continue after a simple wxy correction, or a more complex wxyxz or even breakdown? N.B! - GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gbpusd #cable
Long
by BullBearMkt
BITCOIN ACCUMULATIONS MAY START <= 100KFor those planning to buy Bitcoin (BTC), you could wait for the price to decline to the $100,000 level or below. Currently, the price chart shows a "double top" formation, which is a potential bearish reversal signal. I suspect this could evolve into a "head and shoulders" pattern. A break below the neckline could push the price toward the discount or value area. N.B! - BTCUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #ethusd #crypto #btcusd
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by BullBearMkt
Bitcoin’s Bloodbath Was a Setup Smart Money Knows ItBitcoin remains structurally bullish despite the recent market turmoil. The monthly chart clearly shows that the main ascending trendline continues to hold firm acting as the backbone of the current bull cycle. The recent drop was nothing more than a controlled retest of this key support zone. As long as Bitcoin stays above $103,000 and the trendline remains intact, the bull market stands strong. Next upside projections: First target: $126K – $165K Extension target: $200K+ Only a confirmed monthly close below $103K would invalidate the bullish structure. Until then, this phase remains a buyers’ market, not a sellers’. Share your thoughts below do you believe this trendline can carry BTC to new highs? Like & share if you agree.
Long
by weslad
122
Copper and Oil: A Rare Divergence in the Commodity ComplexThe chart compares Copper (brown) and TVC:USOIL (blue) — two of the most cyclical commodities, both highly sensitive to global growth. Historically, they tend to move in tandem: when economic momentum improves, both rise; when demand weakens, both fall. But today we see an unusual divergence — -Copper holding near multi-year highs, supported by structural deficits and energy transition demand. -Oil trading below $60, its lowest since 2021, signaling cyclical slowdown and weak liquidity. This gap rarely lasts long. Either copper is too optimistic, or oil is too pessimistic — one of them is likely “lying.” Which one will be right this time?
TVC:USOIL
by OrbisInvestment
2
CONCENTRIX (CNXC) POTENTIAL DOUBLE BOTTOM LIKELY A BUY SIGNALCNXC stock price that has been heavily beaten down by market due to the fear over AI disrupting their business models. While the stock has seen a significant price drop, a compelling investment case is forming at these depressed levels, combining both the company's strong fundamental story and a potential technical buy signal. A weekly double bottom (or HL) price formation, will be a BUY confirmation. FUNDAMENTALS - Strong Financials: Despite the negative sentiment, CNXC continues to generate significant cash flow (a ~20% FCF yield). - Cheap Valuation: Trading at a forward P/E ratio of around 4.5x, the stock is priced as if it's in terminal decline, which seems disconnected from its stable operational performance. - Resilient Business: Only a small portion (~7%) of CNXC's business is the "low-complexity" work truly at risk of AI which is causing negative sentiment. But now, the company is actively integrating AI into its offerings, turning a threat into a high-margin opportunity. N.B! - CNCX price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #cncx #nasdaq #nyse
NASDAQ:CNXCLong
by BullBearMkt
Oil vs Gold: Transition to the Next Commodity CycleThe chart compares WTI crude (top) and the Gold/Oil ratio (bottom) on a weekly basis. Historically, when the Gold/Oil ratio spikes — meaning gold becomes very expensive relative to oil — it tends to mark the end of the precious metals phase and the beginning of the broader commodity cycle. In the past three cycles: -2009 → 2011: Oil +219% -2016 → 2018: Oil +188% -2020 → 2022: Oil +572% We’re seeing the same setup again: TVC:USOIL sits at long-term support. Gold/Oil ratio has reached historical extremes. In each of these cases, gold had already led the move — followed by silver, industrial metals, and finally oil — the last to rally as growth and inflation expectations picked up. If history rhymes, this could mark the rotation point where energy begins to outperform within the commodity complex.
TVC:USOILLong
by OrbisInvestment
5