XRP may being its upward" Ripple (XRP) may begin its upward move from the price levels of 2.8865, 2.7984, and 2.6634, aiming for a first confirmed target at 3.6641 and then $4." BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Economic Cycles
AUDUSD SellLit cycle. Daily cycle. Reaction off POI. Price does inducement and timing correlates with session
short market outlook on AUDUSD todayfor todays AUDUSD market we can except to short the market after price break Asia low and retraces up to premium zone and getting CHOCH
$NVDA: Tracking Formations🏛️ Research Notes
Frames of Reference
Interconnection of 3rd degree points fractal hierarchy
Multi-scale Interconnection
Merging into probabilistic layout
Market movement reflects proportional relationships inherent to its own scale. Fibonacci ratios, appear not by accident but as structural constants within this probabilistic environment. Price and time intervals often align with these ratios because markets are recursive systems where past structures inform the formation of new ones through scaled transformation. In this framework, the golden ratio serves as more than a tool for retracements or extensions, as encodes the geometry of market behavior itself via frames of reference. Whether in the spacing of pivots, the rhythm of cycles, or the layering of trends, its presence points to a self-organizing principle at work.
Crypto Total Market Cap Has Broken Its Prior Cycle HighEach of the past two crypto market cycles saw a clean breakout above prior highs, followed by significant expansion phases:
2023: ~105% rally post-breakout
2024: ~37% rally post-breakout
2025: Now underway?
We’ve entered the breakout phase again. If history is any indicator, this is the moment where things often accelerate.
While we don’t trade based on hope or symmetry, understanding how markets have behaved around these moments can provide valuable context for positioning, risk, and timing.
📊 Educational chart below
💬 Curious to hear your thoughts
Bitcoin: Interconnectedness of Defining CyclesJust a followup analysis on scalable structure from "Natural Patterns & Fractal Geometry" ed idea.
Additional Regularities:
2018 Downtrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Fibonacci ratios are not just mathematical abstractions; they manifest in Bitcoin's market structure due to human behavior and market psychology.
2020 Uptrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Unconventional use of Fibonacci ratios highlights areas where price has shown significant reactions. These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, underscoring the fractal and cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements.
2021 - Late 2022 Crash Metrics More detailed breakdown of emerging randomness:
The repetitive alignment of market cycles with Fibonacci levels underscores Bitcoin's tendency to oscillate between predictable extremes, offering insights for timing entries and exits.
Distinct cycles are clearly visible, separated by major tops (e.g., ATH in 2013, 2017, and 2021) and bottoms (e.g., the 84.12%, 72.26%, and 77.57% corrections). Each cycle adheres to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, demonstrating a self-similar structure .
Price expansions align with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 and beyond), showing that Bitcoin’s growth phases are not random but rather guided by harmonic principles.
The ascending channels mapped through Fibonacci ratios capture both the bullish and corrective phases, showcasing the market's bounded yet fractal rhythm .
The percentage swings (+2484.44%, +12804.20%, +1692.21%, +600.07%) highlight the explosive nature of Bitcoin during expansion phases, followed by steep corrections. These as well align with Fibonacci proportions, providing a blueprint for market rhythm.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 11 August 2025📆 Today’s Date: Thursday, Aug 7, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• Aug 11, 2025 (Monday) — Single-candle setup
• Aug 11–12, 2025 (Monday–Tuesday) — Two-candle combined range
🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes
✅ Gold has recently surged sharply from 3268 to 3396, approaching the key psychological level of 3400. Current market momentum still favors the bulls, and this trend may continue.
✅ I’ll be actively trading both the Aug 11 and Aug 11–12 setups as part of my strategy testing and live trade execution.
✅ This timing method and structure can also be applied across other instruments — including BTC, the US Index, and major commodities.
⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, feel free to skip the single-candle setup on Aug 11 and instead wait for the more confirmed two-day range (Aug 11–12).
📋 Execution Guidelines
🔹 Range Identification:
• Allow the high–low of the selected candle(s) to close fully.
• Purple lines will mark the formed range.
• After the daily close, the chart will be updated with:
• 60-pip breakout buffer
• Fibonacci zones
• Supporting indicators
🔹 Entry Conditions:
• Only trade breakouts that clearly move beyond the full range, including the buffer.
• No pre-break assumptions — wait for confirmation.
🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic:
• If SL is hit, either exit or reverse the trade.
• The next valid setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery.
📉📈 Chart Snapshots:
TV/x/Y33gLJNh/ (change TV to Tradingview and paste in your browser)
📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way.
🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup
• July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range
🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes
✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue.
✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis.
✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities.
⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1).
📋 Execution Guidelines
🔹 Range Identification:
• Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely.
• Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart.
• After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators.
🔹 Entry Conditions:
• Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone.
🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic:
• If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery.
📉📈 Chart Snapshot
🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/
📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way.
🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
Trade The Trend – Quick Guide In 5 StepsWhat is Trading the Trend?
Trading the trend means buying when the market is going up, and selling when it’s going down.
You're following the direction of the market, not fighting it.
If the trend is up:
Price makes higher highs and higher lows
You look for chances to buy (go long)
If the trend is down:
Price makes lower highs and lower lows
You look for chances to sell (go short)
Why it works:
You’re going with momentum
Simple rule:
Buy in an uptrend, sell in a downtrend — never trade against the flow
1. Assess the chart. Where is it headed? It's headed up.
2. Place your trend line by connecting the first two points.
3. Let the chart play out for a bit. Afterwards prepare your entry on previous failed trend line retest. Set your stop loss below the previous trend line retest, and your TP just before the previous sweep above.
4. Proceed to let the chart play out, then set your pending order.
5. Watch the Trade enter and play out with patience.
This method works for bearish trends as well, just reversed.
If you would like to see more 5 step guides, comment down below.
Thank you!
Bitcoin: Well defined consolation zoneI have had no real forecast for this market. The imbalances that have presented are formed in a consolidatory manor.
DXY is also in a strange place making it hard as well.
I am seeing sideways motion until we get a nice bullish close
NSDL (INTRESTING STOCK )👉🏻 NSDL – Equity Snapshot 👈🏻
🕛 Conclusion ⏱️
NSDL stands at a strategic inflection point — evolving from an institutionally heavy, legacy infrastructure provider to a retail and digitally agile depository. With a zero-debt model, strong cash flows, and clear retail growth plans underway, NSDL shows potential for steady earnings expansion and margin improvement over the next few years. The foundation is strong; execution will now drive the delta.
🙋🏻 Introduction
India’s largest depository by value, with over ₹450 lakh crore in Assets Under Custody (AUC).
Founded in 1996, primarily serving institutional and corporate clients.
Known for stability, trust, and core infrastructure services in the capital market.
🌸 Financial Performance (FY25)🌸
Total Revenue: ₹1,535 crore.
Depository Business Revenue: ₹660 crore (Approx. 43% share).
Operating Margin (Core Business): ~50%.
Net Margin: 22% – 24%.
Net Profit: ₹330+ crore.
Free Cash Flow: ₹558 crore+.
Debt: Zero (Fully debt-free).
Capital Expenditure: ~₹74 crore only (Low capex model).
🌸 Market Position🌸
Dominates in value terms (highest AUC in India).
Client base includes mutual funds, banks, insurers, and corporates.
Retail demat accounts: ~4 crore (behind CDSL’s 15+ crore).
High average demat account size (~₹1,100 crore) vs CDSL’s retail-heavy base.
Gaining ground in retail via partnerships with Zerodha, Groww, Angel One, etc.
🌸 Future Growth Focus🌸
Aggressively entering retail segment through schemes like ‘YUVA Plan’.
Enabling paperless, digital onboarding for faster account growth.
Investing in blockchain, T+1 settlements, and smart compliance tools.
Actively participating in SEBI & RBI-led digitization (e-KYC, e-insurance, GIFT city).
Expanding subsidiaries (NDML, NPBL) to boost recurring income beyond core biz.
🌸 Key Positives🌸
Strong free cash flow, high annuity-based revenue visibility.
Lean, tech-driven operations with low employee cost base.
Well-positioned to benefit from India’s growing retail investor base.
Diversified, recurring revenue streams through subsidiaries.
Digital-first strategy ensures scalable, low-cost growth ahead.
META: Price Entropy🏛️ Research Notes
Recent rejection from LH could be explained by spike out of scale, which in its turn was caused by buildup of counter force while correcting.
Those two are part of progression which was wired by longer selloff cycle.
If we scale back further, we would confirm overall structure's capacity set by growth patterns.
Those boundaries and space between them can be interpreted as supply zones, leaving us with this particular interconnection:
Though the object of observation would be the recent developments at minimal TF for publication (15m), so temporal patterns and cycle-derived levels can be thoroughly studies.
WTI Spot crudeinverted head and shoulder observed if breakout given target too in chart. Not a sebi registered analyst . No buy, sell and hold recommendation personal view.
Litecoin cleared the previous high liquidity and now is losing sIf CRYPTOCAP:LTC doesn't bounce from this area, the most likely outcome is that it reverts the whole pump.
Litecoin cleared the previous high liquidity and now is losing steam, doing what it likes to do:
Mean revert pumps.
Next predictions for ZoraI see two scenarios for Zora on the chart, one scenario is a head and Shoulder pattern , which pushes Zora down .
and the next scenario is the possibility of another bullish wave.
AUDUSD SellLIT cycle. Daily cycle. Liquidity grab or also known as inducement on the high. Session timing.
EURUSD BuyLIT cycle, daily cycle. Price took liquidity from the low and asia has equal highs which is first TP.
ARUSDT Gearing Up for a Powerful Wave 3 LaunhARUSDT has completed its corrective phase via a well defined ending diagonal, followed by a strong impulsive move completing wave 1. Price recently tested a significant supply zone, leading to a sharp retracement toward $4.48, aligning with the previous bottom structure.
This zone is projected to form the immediate base, and our plan is to accumulate within this range, targeting the anticipated wave iii, historically known as the strongest and most extended move in the Elliott Wave sequence.
The entry plan and potential targets are clearly outlined on the chart. Feel free to share your view.
SPK : Does history repeat itself?Hello friends🙌
✅You see that once a pattern was formed and after the resistance was broken, we had a good growth.
✅Now the same pattern has formed again and the price is in the accumulation phase.
✅We have to see if history repeats itself and if the buyers support the price again or not.
✅We have obtained important support areas for you, so that if it falls, you can buy in steps and if the pattern breaks, you can buy in steps right here, of course with capital and risk management.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
LTC Could Be Gearing Up for a Massive Wave 3 post 1-2, 1-2 Litecoin (LTC) appears to have completed a 1-2, 1-2 wave pattern, a classic bullish setup in Elliott Wave theory that often precedes an explosive move.
This nested formation signals strong internal momentum, where both the higher and lower degree structures are aligned for upside. If the count holds, LTC is now positioned to launch into Wave 3 of the larger Wave 3 — typically the most powerful and extended rally in the entire wave cycle.
GBPJPY Buydaily cycle, lit cycle. Inducement for london has happened and price should continue upward.
BTC: could this be it? It might be too early to tell, but this could be the top. Strong divergence in Weekly chart, but would only be confirmed if we breakdown the support levels as price can potentially push up into failure. Just a caveat, I can easily be wrong here.
The $CURE For Your Healthcare PortfolioHey team,
Everyone knows how the health sector is beat up.
The Trump administration hasn't shown any mercy to the health and pharma sectors. They’ve been hammering Big Pharma with a mix of fiery rhetoric and aggressive policy moves. Trump has brought back his “most favored nation” drug pricing plan, tying Medicare reimbursements to what other countries pay, slashing profits for drugmakers who’ve been charging Americans a fortune.
As a result, some of the top health stocks such as NYSE:PFE , NYSE:LLY , NYSE:JNJ , and NYSE:UNH , among many others, have been suffering.
We need, however, to understand that healthcare is sometimes cyclical, and there are some clues that tell us what's likely to happen next:
For most years, AMEX:XLV (health index ETF) is highly correlated with the $SP:SPX. Historically, when this correlation breaks, it's either because healthcare is lagging behind the S&P 500, or because the S&P 500 is crashing, and healthcare is holding well because healthcare is recession-resistant. Typically, these moments of uncorrelation are followed by a very well-performing healthcare sector.
AMEX:XLV / SP:SPX is now at a 25-year low! Healthcare stocks have never been so low in 25 years compared to the benchmark.
While the S&P P/E ratio is at 28, healthcare is at 14. This shows a potentially underdeveloped sector.
The spread between healthcare and the rest of the stock market is very large and unnatural. Considering this, it's more likely that it will regress to its mean and recover. You can see this in the Dual Z-Score indicator in the chart.
Additionally, the US midterms are coming, which can bring policy changes that might favor healthcare again.
Now, you might be wondering: Why invest in AMEX:CURE and not in AMEX:XLV ?
I plan to allocate around 2% of my portfolio to CURE, the 3x leveraged ETF, because it's an easier way to achieve the proper Kelly allocation to this sector, a sector that I believe will recover over the next couple of years. The leverage provided by this ETF will help compound returns.
Is this strategy risky?
Well, CURE is 3x more volatile than XLV, but this is the way I see it: healthcare is already too beat up to continue declining sharply from here. Additionally, healthcare is recession-resistant, meaning that it should not be too affected if the US economy suffers, enters a recession, or if unemployment numbers increase.
I think CURE gives me a potentially good risk/reward ratio, considering that if healthcare catches up with the S&P 500, CURE could return approximately (and very roughly) 100%.
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
