VIX Breakout Wedge Breakout 11/2Hello,
I've been charting the VIX as we have entered an unusual uptrend. I didn't notice this until a deep some deep analysis and found the confluent trendline that has been keeping price down on the VIX.
Well, we broke out of that pattern and are attempting to reestablish bull trendlines.
I'll update this daily until the charted trendlines are no longer in play. CBOE:VIX
Election
Zoom 1hr Chart | Heavily Bearish, No Long Positions AvailableChart Summary:
The bulls did the best they could to hold the main bull trendline on the head of the head and shoulders. After that the bears feasted and heavily and broke through 3 trendlines with relative ease. We are now working on the 4th trendline which I do expect us to break through with similar velocity. If bearish momentum declines significantly, my buy zone could be potentially raised to the last trendline which would be around the 430-475 level, depending on when we are test it.
This was a chart requested and I am not recommending taking any position on this stock. We have a long way to go down before we really start looking at buying opportunities. We have never filled or tested the GAP up from last earnings but it's unclear to me if we will. However I think it's likely we drop down to the redzone with similar velocity we have been having. I do expect a lot of choppiness and depending on what's going on with politics and lockdowns, we could see a lot of bullish velocity from here and recapturing of some bullish trendlines
I'd love feedback on this chart from the community. I love recommendations and discussing possiblities.
GBPUSD SHORT TRADE IDEAHELLO EVERYONE,
Coming to Analysis of GBPUSD , here are a few points to be considered :
--Price Has broken out of the channel and we have a clear "break and retest" .
--Price has broken a 4Hr structure and retested the low .
--Currently I am looking for a nice move to the downside .
--The Targets have been defined over Critical Demand/ Supply zone to ensure accuracy over the targets
EURUSD - Potential sell re-entry EURUSD rejected the 0.618 fibonacci retracement level + descending channel resistance.
The market broke down below the pullback support.
Potential retest of flip trendline resistance + fibonacci retracement levels.
Sell re-entry at confirmed bounce off the retest ⬇️.
November 1 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription:
An analysis for the week ahead.
Points of Interest:
Two-Day Balance, 100% Retracement Level And LVN Below $3,200.
Technical:
Broad-market equity indices ended the week lower with S&P 500 retracing nearly 100% of the rally that began after the September sell-off.
During Last Week’s Action: Alongside a materialization of the Federal Reserve's growth risk factors -- a lack of fiscal support, resurgence of the COVID-19 coronavirus, as well as a tightening of financial conditions -- U.S. index products showed increased confidence in their exploration lower.
Going back, last week started off with a clear break from balance and acceptance below the October 22 excess low, which suggested a change in directional conviction. The selling intensified, after a failed response at the $3,370 high-volume concentration, and continued into Friday’s close, through the $3,330 level, which marked the upper boundary of a low-volume concentration, initially formed by upside directional conviction.
Given Friday’s end-of-day rotation, away from value, the week ended within a two-day balance area, providing a clear trading framework for the week that follows. Therefore, if participants were to initiate and spend time outside of the balance area, then it's likely the market will continue in that particular direction. Otherwise, prices will remain range-bound, favoring short-term, responsive trade.
Fundamental:
Alongside a resurgence of the COVID-19 coronavirus, in a commentary, Bloomberg discussed the notion that the fear of COVID-19 is more impactful on the economy. In support is the following statement by Variant Perception, an independent economic research provider. bloom.bg
“As long as policymakers and the media present a more alarmist view of the virus’s impact than can be justified by a dispassionate analysis of the data, recoveries will continue to stutter. On the other hand, an easing of the fear portrayed would likely allow recoveries to accelerate at a much faster rate.”
Continuing, Moody’s Capital Markets Research finds that medical professionals claim a second COVID-19 wave will not exact the same toll on hospitalizations and deaths. bit.ly
With that, Bloomberg adds that the focus on mandatory lockdowns is overdone since the mere idea of catching the deadly virus invokes voluntary social distancing, which has a greater impact on mobility than the lockdowns. This is validated by IMF data which found that the lifting of the lockdowns generally had a more limited impact than imposing one.
As a result, Variant Perception suggests that negative coverage of COVID-19 be lightened.
Key Events:
Monday: Markit Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Presidential Election.
Tuesday: Factory Orders.
Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, ADP Employment Change, Balance of Trade, ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity, ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment, ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change, EIA Distillate Stocks Change.
Thursday: Continuing Jobless Claims, Initial Jobless Claims, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Fed Press Conference.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Change, Average Hourly Earnings, Average Weekly Hours, Nonfarm Payrolls Private, Participation Rate, Wholesale Inventories, Consumer Credit Change.
Recent News:
The U.S. faces the biggest week of 2020 with the election, Fed, and jobs report. bloom.bg
High-yield spreads are showing a muted response to ultra-high equity volatility. bit.ly
Independent traders doubt new lockdowns in Europe will lead to a further oil rout. bloom.bg
BlackRock Inc (NYSE: BLK) will benefit from its 2021 ETF expansion in Brazil. bit.ly
Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) and Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM) cut spending. reut.rs
Honeywell International Inc (NYSE: HON) profit beats as cost cuts soften sales hit. reut.rs
The October equity market sell-off anticipates a meaningful drop in business sales. bit.ly
Tech companies will have to explain how algorithms work under a new EU ruling. reut.rs
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) plans to test its COVID-19 vaccine in ages 12-18. reut.rs
Cboe Global Markets Inc (BATS: CBOE) tops profit views as retail activity supports. reut.rs
Under Armour Inc (NYSE: UA) sees demand for sneakers, masks driving revenue. reut.rs
Walmart Inc (NYSE: WMT) unit Sam’s Club and DoorDash team on medicine delivery. reut.rs
Joe Biden’s clean-energy ‘revolution’ faces challenge to match fossil-fuel jobs, pay. reut.rs
U.S consumer spending beats forecasts; worries over decreasing government money. reut.rs
Federal Reserve cut loan minimums, easing terms for Main Street Lending Program. reut.rs
Key Metrics:
Sentiment: 35.3% Bullish, 29.4% Neutral, 35.3% Bearish as of 10/28/2020. bit.ly
Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) -78,315,991 as of 10/30/2020. bit.ly
Dark Pool Index: (Trending Neutral) 43.6% as of 10/30/2020. bit.ly
Disclaimer:
This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me.
In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
VIX Analysis of 1992-2016 Elections & What it Means for 2020Summary
Evaluating the historic change in the VIX from the 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 elections we can see that Q4 of each election year is a downtrend and results in lower volatility until the inauguration in January of the ensuing year, regardless of the result.
**CLINTON ADDED To chart AFTER POST PUBLISHING**
Will 2020 be different?
Other factors to consider
Nov. 4th is a Wednesday/Contract Expiration Day
DJIA, IXIC and SPX are all sitting on resistances-flipped-supports from ATH beginning of 2020
Should be interesting to watch on several fronts.
5TH WAVE | GOLD ANALYSIS | XAUUSD| BEARISHFIVE ELLIOT WAVE IN A FLAT DOWN CHANNEL,
WAITING FOR BIG VOLUME TO GET THE REAL BREAK AND HIT SOME OF THE FIB LINES,
I GOT YOU THE STOPLOSS AND THE PROFIT RATES,
FOR ANY QUESTION SEND ME A MESSAGE,
WOULD LOVE TO HEAR IF THERE IS ANY OTHER IDEA YOU BELIEVE IN!!?
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE,
VIX 8 Hour Bullish ChartHello,
This is a bullish view on the VIX using Technical Analysis. Let me know if you have any suggestions or notice anything.
Personally, I'm very bearish on the market right now due to delayed stimulus, the possibility of a contested election, and a possible second wave of coronavirus.
Thanks! CBOE:VIX
TRUMPTRUMP !!! 🔻🤫
Tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, we will have to buy and sell the Corona chart, of course, if this chart of the American elections is correct! 😅
This analysis is a personal opinion and so far it has not been proven that he technically predicted the elections, but I think that the absence of either of these two will certainly not be useful for us Iranians with this mismanagement and ... maybe temporary and Greenhouse) ...
Unless 13 Aban (5 days until the US elections), according to him (Trump), is not present for the elections and hits everything (I remembered someone's peak, in front of the communists of the world).
Translated by Google Translator (I hope he translated correctly)
BidenAnd Joe must ...
But I would like to put the same text of Trump's analysis before here!
TRUMP !!! 🔻🤫
Tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, we will have to buy and sell the Corona chart, of course, if this chart of the American elections is correct! 😅
This analysis is a personal opinion and so far it has not been proven that he technically predicted the elections, but I think that the absence of either of these two will certainly not be useful for us Iranians with this mismanagement and ... maybe temporary and Greenhouse) ...
Unless 13 Aban (5 days until the US elections), according to him (Trump), is not present for the elections and hits everything (I remembered someone's peak, in front of the communists of the world).
Translated by GoogleTranslator (I hope he translated correctly)
SPY 29/10/2020Hi, traders.
My name is Lukas and I am a beginner in trading, respectively, I only trade 12 months. But that means I have to do the necessary analyzes without it I can't trade. I want to show you how I work on myself and document my beginnings. I use Vix and my strategy is built on to return to average. I highlight the important support levels and resistances that flow from the volume profile, all drawn on graph. These zones determine the ability to respond in some way to the market from 1 to 3, with 1 being the largest.
Short description of analysis:
First thing, that 3/11 will be president election. Mr. Market is unpredictable, we need to expect any situation.
My desicion on Market. There are two options:
1. Option – the Market react on support zone (cca 325 USD), because VIX is at 40 points, what is reaction zone.
2. Option – The market break this support zone (325 USD) and it´ll continued at another support zone (cca 300 USD)
Therefore, i decide to split the risk of entry, that I´ll been split on 2 half parts, in case of falling, we´ll average the price. I think, that rather averagating the price than betting all on one price
Trade carefully!
Of course, my analysis does not serve like market forecasts and I am not responsible for your trades if you use my analysis for your own trades.
Please Follow me on Twitter :) Thanks!
EURUSD : first stop around 1.16 ?
Actually the EU situation is critical concerning the COVID context.
The European Central Bank wont change anything about policy parameters.
All decision will be made on December.
Actually, the price is under 1.17, the next step is 1.16 . if the 1.16 is broken so im waiting for a return at 1.13.
good trade
EUR/USDHello guys!
First, thank you the follows! I love you guys
And i want to thank this, i made description to my analsis to help trading!
EUR/USD Short
Max respecting the Daily 61.8 fibonacci levels.
And we have bearish trend. Looking good for sells,
For me first
1TP 1.16000
2TP 1.15000
3TP 1.14500
BE CAREFUL THE ELECTIONS! DONT RISK MORE THEN 2%
AUDCAD pair is looking obvious for trend reverseWe are looking audcad for trend reverse pattern BUT we need more proofs then only picture. We are giving you away possible options.
Trend description
Trend way hasn't reverse yet. Price is at first testing perioud. The question is: Are we going to continue sell?
If price will follow one of breaking options, your job as Elite trader is to focus at breaking spots and momentum story.
1. Option Buyers are going to test lower low straight away
2. Option, might happen with strong volume from sellers side - use our Elite indicator tool and follow momentum story
3. Option - Buyers might push price even higher. If this is going to happen, do not trade this until first resistance level is broken and retraced.
Trending: Possible sell reverse. Still at decision zone.
If trend will reverse, then price could go much lower then you could imagine.
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Elitefxacademy
SP500 USED TO PREDICT THE NEW PRESIDENTSince 1928 the stock market used to correctly pedict the outcome of evey presidential election based on the peformance in the 3 months leading up to it. If the market was up in those 3 months the incumbent party would win, if was lower the incumbent party would lose. This methodology had correctly predicted 87% of the time.






















