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Elliottwaveanalyis

USD/JPY: Downside Pressure MountsUSD/JPY has completed a corrective rally into the wave (2) region, stalling around the 152.00–150.50 supply zone and respecting the descending trendline resistance. This rejection confirms that the broader bearish cycle is intact, and the pair is now entering a wave (3) decline. From the structure, wave (1) has already unfolded strongly to the downside, and the recent corrective bounce aligns as a double three (W–X–Y) correction, which has likely ended. With this in place, we should see downside continuation, targeting lower levels in a clean five-wave decline. T1 = 144.289 T2 = 142.288 SL = 150.525 As long as USD/JPY holds below the 150.80–152.00 invalidation zone, the outlook stays bearish. Selling momentum remains strong, and any pullback is likely to create new opportunities for sellers until wave (5) completes.
by Money_Dictators
1
Mastering the Elliott Wave Pattern🔵 Mastering the Elliott Wave Pattern: Structure, Psychology, and Trading Tips Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+) This article is for traders who want to understand the logic behind Elliott Waves — not just memorize patterns. We’ll cover the structure, trader psychology behind each wave, and practical tips for applying it in modern markets. 🔵 INTRODUCTION The Elliott Wave Theory is one of the oldest and most respected market models. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, it proposes that price doesn’t move randomly — it follows repeating cycles of optimism and pessimism. At its core, Elliott Wave helps traders see the bigger picture structure of the market. Instead of focusing on one candle or one setup, you learn to read the “story” across multiple waves. 2021 BTC TOP TESLA Stock 🔵 THE BASIC 5-WAVE STRUCTURE The foundation of Elliott Wave is the Impulse Wave — a 5-wave pattern that moves in the direction of the trend. Wave 1: The first push, often driven by smart money entering early. Wave 2: A correction that shakes out weak hands but doesn’t retrace fully. Wave 3: The strongest and longest wave — fueled by mass participation. Wave 4: A pause, consolidation, or sideways correction. Wave 5: The final push — often weaker, driven by late retail traders. 🔵 THE CORRECTIVE 3-WAVE STRUCTURE After the 5-wave impulse comes a 3-wave correction , labeled A-B-C. Wave A: First countertrend move — often mistaken as a dip. Wave B: A false rally — traps late buyers. Wave C: A stronger decline (or rally in bearish market), often equal to or longer than Wave A. Together, the impulse (5) and correction (3) form an 8-wave cycle . 🔵 PSYCHOLOGY BEHIND THE WAVES Each wave reflects trader psychology: Wave 1: Smart money positions quietly. Wave 2: Retail doubts the trend — “it’s just a pullback.” Wave 3: Mass recognition, everyone piles in. Wave 4: Profit-taking and hesitation. Wave 5: Final retail FOMO. A-B-C: Reality check, trend unwinds before cycle resets. 🔵 TRADING WITH ELLIOTT WAVES 1️⃣ Spot the Trend Identify whether the market is in an impulse (5-wave) or correction (A-B-C). 2️⃣ Use Fibonacci for Validation Wave 2 usually retraces 50–61.8-78.6% of Wave 1. Wave 3 often extends 161.8% of Wave 1. Wave 5 is often equal to Wave 1. 3️⃣ Trade the Highest-Probability Waves Wave 3 (trend acceleration) and Wave C (correction completion) are often the cleanest opportunities. 4️⃣ Don’t Force It Not every market move is Elliott Wave. Use it as a framework, not a rulebook. 🔵 COMMON MISTAKES Over-labeling: Trying to force waves where they don’t exist. Ignoring timeframes: Waves may look different across scales. Trading every wave: Not all waves are high-probability setups. 🔵 CONCLUSION The Elliott Wave Theory isn’t about perfection — it’s about perspective. It helps traders understand market cycles, recognize crowd psychology, and anticipate major turning points. Use Elliott Wave as a map , not a prediction tool. When combined with confluence — volume, liquidity zones, or trend filters — it becomes a powerful edge. Do you trade with Elliott Waves? Or do you think they’re too subjective? Share your experience below!
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by BigBeluga
9
SILVER (XAG/USD): 12 AUG, 2025 | ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSISConclusion: The C-red wave may be moving lower. Bottom line: The C-red wave is pushing down to the nearest target at 37.07 or possibly lower, depending on the price action reaction at that level. On the other hand, the ALT alternate wave count depicted on the chart is gaining weight. But in the short term, the ALT view is likely to also move to 37.07. Then, if it moves higher above 38.50, it will trigger the ALT scenario. Invalidation Point: 39.52 ©By Hua Chi Cuong (Shane), CEWA-M | Certified Elliott Wave Analysis - Master Level.
TVC:SILVERShort
by ShaneHua
BITCOIN (BTCUSDT): 12 AUG, 2025 || ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSISConclusion: Wave iii))-green is continuing to move higher. Key Points: Wave iii))-green is extending, and subdividing into wave i)-purple to wave iv)-purple. I am not sure if wave iv)-purple is finished, but it should not move lower than 115,720 (Invalidation Point: Wave 4 should not overlap wave 1). On the other hand, 118,050.11 acts as a key level that price needs to hold higher, to gain confidence, weight for this view. ©By Hua Chi Cuong (Shane), CEWA-M | Certified Elliott Wave Analyst - Master Level
Long
by ShaneHua
XAG/USD Eyes Upside Targets as Wave C MaturesXAG/USD is currently trading in a corrective phase where wave B appears to have completed, and wave C is currently forming. Based on the current price action, it doesn’t seem likely that this entire move will result in a full bullish recovery. The structure suggests that this could be sub-wave C of wave 4, potentially completing around the 26.79944 level. Going forward, if the 5th wave begins to unfold, potential targets could be in the range of 29.74182  to  30.57528.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Money_Dictators
dollar elliott wave countingdxy is falling since it peaked in Q4 2022 since their last 75bps hike dollar is constantly falling and stocks, gold, bitcoin constantly rising and making new all time high wave W = wave Y (equal in length, 100% projection for wave Y) since starting of the year due to trump tariff dollar is falling this is year in first half dollar saw biggest collapse since end of gold standard now 100% projection target for wave Y at 95 area is big static support level if dxy recover back to 100 area then this will be first sign of reversal
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Sangam-Agarwal
Dollar In Fifth Wave-Reversal In Trend May Not Be Far Away.The Fed will announce its latest policy decision later, and expectations are that Powell will keep rates on hold, especially after last week's slightly higher inflation print and still solid US jobs data. We can see some stabilization in the US dollar ahead of this event, but we have to keep an eye on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which coudl also play a key role in driving safe haven flows. Meanwhile, the stock market continues to trade sideways, and I don't expect any major breakouts or strong moves ahead of the Fed. Also, tomorrow is a holiday in the US, so that could contribute to slower market conditions into the end of the week, unless, of course, the situation in the Middle East gets worse. Looking at the DXY waves structure, I see athree-wave move from the most recent lows, so the fourth wave I highlighted a few days ago could now be approaching completion near this week’s key resistance around the 99 level. That’s definitely a level to watch for a potential fresh, but possibly final sell-off toward new lows around 97, maybe even 96. That’s where the DXY could stabilize, as ending diagonal pattern signals that we are likely in the late stages of wave five, meaning this bearish cycle could soon come to an end.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by ew-forecast
Gold (XAUUSD) – Lower TF Wave (B) Top in Place? Higher TF Conflu⚠️ Price has now completed what appears to be a clean 5-wave advance into the key supply zone — potentially completing wave ((C)) of (B) on the lower timeframe. • Wave ((ii)) = expanding flat • Wave ((iv)) = expanding triangle • Final ((v)) push into supply with RSI/MACD divergence A breakdown below 3435 could confirm the reversal into wave (C). Downside fib targets align around 3400, 3350, and 3280. A marginal high can’t be ruled out, but structure is now favouring bears short term.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by EWaveInsights
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15691.Colleagues, I believe that wave “5” of higher order has actively started an upward movement. At the moment I see movement in wave “1” of medium order and it means that a correction in wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level (1.12434) is expected. But I would still advise to consider only upward movement and use pending limit orders. I see the maximum of wave “3” - resistance area 1.15691 as the target. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
26
SOL Hits Major Resistance — Patience Over FOMOOne of the most common mistakes traders make—especially in fast-moving markets—is jumping into trades impulsively at major resistance. It feels exciting when price is surging, but ironically, this is often where risk is highest and reward is most limited. Why? Because historical resistance zones—like the $175–$183 region on SOL—tend to attract heavy sell pressure. These are levels where many past buyers look to exit, where smart money hunts liquidity, and where false breakouts are most common. Without volume confirmation and a proper retest, breakouts through such zones often fail. That’s why experienced traders wait. The smarter approach is to let the market come to you, and only act when one of two things happens: A pullback into a well-defined, confluence-rich support zone A clean breakout above resistance, followed by a retest and confirmation SOL has respected structure beautifully, but now is not the time to chase. Either wait for a healthy correction into support, or let price prove its strength through a confirmed breakout. No trade is also a trade — and capital preservation is the foundation of long-term success. Patience isn’t passive — it’s a strategy. Let the market come to your desired levels. You don't need to catch every move, only the high-probability trades and there aren’t born from impulse — they’re built on patience, structure, and right timing. 💎 Technical Breakdown SOL has entered a major resistance zone between $175 and $183 — a historically significant level respected for over a year. Within this zone lie two key highs: $179.85: Recently swept with a clean Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) $180.52: Still untested — if broken, it would confirm a strong bullish continuation Breaking through such a well-established resistance on the first attempt is uncommon — it typically requires momentum and structure. A rejection here would suggest that SOL needs a healthy correction before mustering the strength for a true breakout. 📉 Elliott Wave Count Looking at the structure, we’ve completed a 5-wave sequence — signaling the potential end of this impulse leg. According to Elliott Wave Theory, a corrective phase is now expected before continuation. 📐 Additional Confluence: Fib Speed Fan The 0.618 Fib Speed Fan — drawn from the all-time high at $295.83 to the swing low at $95.26 — aligns perfectly with this resistance zone, adding more weight to the idea of a potential rejection or pause. 🟢 Long Setup: The Next High-Probability Entry Zone We now shift our focus to where the next long opportunity could arise. Here’s the technical confluence: Anchored VWAP from the recent low at $141.41 sits at $164.70 4H bullish order block around $164.46 0.382 Fib retracement of the full 5-wave impulse: $165.42 0.412 Fib retracement: $164.25 All these levels converge in a tight band, providing a solid long entry zone between: Long Entry Zone: $165.50 to $164.25 Stop-Loss: Below $160 (to protect against any deep wick) Targets: TP1: $171.75 (Point of Control from the range) TP2: $180.00 (resistance retest) TP3: $200.00 (psychological level) Estimated R:R: ~6:1 — High-conviction setup Bonus: If price returns to this $165 zone within 24 hours, it will also be supported by the 0.618 Speed Fan — adding one more layer of support. 🔴 Short Setup: Reversal Play at $200 For those watching from the sidelines or looking to fade the rally, the psychological level at $200 presents a strong short opportunity — but only on confirmation (e.g., SFP or bearish engulfing). Short Entry: On rejection at $200 Stop-Loss: $206.10 Target: $187.00 Estimated R:R: ~2:1 🧠 Summary: Completed 5-wave structure → potential correction phase underway Strong resistance at $175–$183 with SFP and speed fan alignment High-probability long setup at $165.5–$164.25 with multi-layered confluence Potential short at $200 on confirmation ⚠️ Key Takeaway: Don’t Chase the Highs This is where many traders slip — FOMOing into trades at major resistance. Please, don’t do it. Instead, wait for: A pullback into well-defined support (like the $165 zone), or A clean breakout above $180, followed by a confirmed retest ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Short
by SiDec
24
Gold Is Doing What Ever Gold Wants To DoPreviously I posted a reading where I said gold was to go a bit down before is went up. But Gold didn't go down, and went straight up. But it did go up right :D Right now I strongly believe gold is in a wxy correction. And I think will finish the y-wave i the green box area somewhere between 3,147 and 3,077, which is the 100-123% fib-level of the w-wave. The reason I believe this, is at that timewise the y-wave will here have taken as long as the w-wave, and I the price is heading for that cyan median line. And normally price will also go to the bottom and a bit below of the Kennedy line. Multiple factors are pointing to that level. When price hits that level, I believe we will see a 5th level to the upside where 4,000 definitely is in play. I will include a link to a higher degree reading, where you can see I believe gold has finished a third wave, so we still need a 5th wave to the upside.
COMEX:GC1!
by TheDane