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Elliottwaveanalyis

ETH 4H CAP: Turtle Soup to CHoCH. VRVP at 2,059.The Turtle Soup swept the highs into the OTE zone at 2,385 to 2,403. That was the bait. The CHoCH confirmed the trap had closed and handed the directional read to the bears. BOS printed the structural shift. Price has since broken through TP1 at 2,219 and is now compressing toward TP2 at 2,160. The final target is the VRVP POC at 2,059. That is where the entire volume profile is anchored on this chart. It is not a guess. It is the level the market has spent months building the most activity around, and it is the only level below current price with the structural weight to absorb what is coming. SH is marked at 2,385. Above that the thesis is invalid. Five gates confirmed in sequence. The CAP Framework mapped this before the first candle of the move closed.
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.PShort
by TheChartWhisperr
Treasury Yields Break Higher as Markets Reprice Inflation RiskAs you know, we are seeing very strong price action on US yields, with both the 2 year and 10 year yields breaking sharply to the upside. This is basically a bullish continuation after the higher CPI and PPI figures in the US, and with yields extending to new swing highs, the dollar is moving higher as well. Of course, this is one of the reasons why stocks could also see some pullback. It does not necessarily mean that a new bear market is starting, but it may not be a bad idea to stay patient and be prepared for some pullbacks, especially if we consider that US yields may still have plenty of room to the upside if this breakout is ocnfrimed at this levels with a weekly close price. Watch closely what happens around 4.62 on the 10 year yield, which could be the next important target area. That is basically the same swing zone from last April when Trump announced the tariff changes. When it comes to stocks, one thing they can keep them up, is good news from the Middle East or from US-China meetings. But I woudl still rather aim for A-B-C pullback first on SPX, rather than chasing market here. GH
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ew-forecast
ETH 12H: Two Paths. The OTE Is the Gift.Current price: 2,248. OI elevated at 526K. Funding: +0.0024. Read that last line and then go look at the BTC post. BTC has negative funding into strength. ETH has positive funding into weakness. Two different animals. Two different setups. Both resolve higher. But ETH has a tell BTC does not. Longs are paying on a chart that has not broken out. That is not conviction. That is impatience. And the market has a well-documented process for dealing with impatient longs. Two scenarios from here. Blue path. Price holds above 2,200, consolidates inside the channel, reclaims 2,385, and pushes toward the 2,520 to 2,560 upper channel target. Clean. Efficient. The reward for positioning before the obvious confirmation. This path closes the longs in profit and nobody learns anything. Red path. Price sweeps down to the 2,088 OB, tags the channel midpoint, flushes the impatient longs who added at 2,300 waiting for a breakout, resets funding to negative, and then delivers the same destination. The 2,050 yellow level is where the OTE lives. That is not a warning. That is the reload. The CVD drop on the right side of the data chart is the most important detail on this screen. Selling pressure in the derivatives while OI stays elevated means someone is distributing into the longs. That is not a breakout setup. That is a setup that needs one more shakeout before it goes. JPMorgan published a note today about ETH underperforming without meaningful network activity improvements. They are watching the wrong chart. The structure says 2,050 to 2,090 before 2,560. The funding says the market disagrees. One of them is right. Invalidation: 12H close below 2,050.
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.PLong
by TheChartWhisperr
4
ETH 1H: Ending Diagonal + SFP + Bear Div Short 3.71RETH/USDT 1-hour short. Bybit perpetual. Trade closed. Ending diagonal compressed into a swing failure pattern at 2,400. Bearish divergence printing on the oscillator as price made the final push into the high. Three signals announcing the same thing simultaneously. CHoCH confirmed the structural hand-off and the short triggered at 2,400.85. Stop at 2,430.62. TP hit at 2,306.63. 3.71R delivered. The divergence was the third confirmation layer. Price printing a higher high while momentum printed a lower high. The diagonal told you the structure was tired. The SFP told you who got trapped at the top. The divergence told you the fuel was gone. The CHoCH was the trigger. All four in sequence. That is what a high-grade setup looks like before the entry is placed.
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.PShort
by TheChartWhisperr
BTC 1D: Trendline Break Pressing Into ResistanceBTC has broken above the daily descending trendline and is now pressing into the overhead resistance cluster between $80,400 and $81,200. VRVP at $72,777 is holding as support below. That level is the floor of this structure. Two things that matter here: Does price close the daily above the trendline or get pushed back into it. Whether the delta on the current candle confirms buyers are in control or whether this is thin short-covering running out of steam. Resistance accepted means structure is shifting. Resistance rejected means the trendline break was noise. Not confirmed yet. Watching the close.
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
by TheChartWhisperr
DXY: 12M SFP at Macro ResistanceThe U.S. Dollar Index is printing a textbook structural breakdown on the 12-month timeframe. Price swept all-time resistance and failed to hold — forming a swing failure pattern with a bearish engulfing candle at the macro ceiling. This is not a minor pullback inside a trend. This is a rejection at the highest distribution zone on the chart. Price is now declining inside a corrective ascending channel that dates back decades. The structure is intact, but the character of price action has shifted. Lower highs into resistance. Selling pressure absorbed, not reversed. The 110.31 level remains the key reference. As long as DXY trades below that zone, the macro environment favors risk assets and hard money. What this means for BTC and gold: Dollar weakness is the single largest macro tailwind for both. Every leg lower in DXY has historically corresponded with expansion in BTC price and continued demand for gold as a reserve alternative. The regime is not bullish dollar. It is bearish dollar until structure proves otherwise. Watching for continuation inside the channel with a primary scenario targeting the lower channel boundary on the 2M timeframe.
TVC:DXYShort
by TheChartWhisperr
ETHBTC — Institutional OB In Play. Watching for ETH Long TriggerETHBTC is pressing into a significant 10-hour Order Block that has been respected since February. Price broke structure to the upside in March, distributed across the premium, and has now retraced directly into the origin of that move. What I'm watching: The OB sits between approximately 0.0286 and 0.0292. This is where institutional accumulation originated before the BOS. A reaction here would be the first signal that ETH is finding relative strength against BTC at a structurally meaningful level. Entry trigger: CAP Framework confirmation inside the OB. CVD must show absorption. No distribution wicks on the lower timeframe. Method B entry on confirmation of buyer control at the zone. If this triggers, I am long ETH with weight. The OB holds the argument. Price will confirm or deny it. Invalidation: Clean close below the OB on the 10H with no recovery. That changes the read.
BINANCE:ETHBTCLong
by TheChartWhisperr
2
SOL Has Taken A Good Smack Down, But Not FinishedEarlier I forecasted SOL to be in the early stages of a higher degree C down. This wave was the green (C). I believe we are done with purple wave 3 and almost done the the purple wave 4 also. So after the 4th purple wave is done, we are going to take the rollercoaster down in purple wave 5. I've updated the target of the end of green (C) and purple 5 since my last forecast. This could be a good short for the 5th wave down and then saddle in for Lift Off after that.
BINANCE:SOLUSDTShort
by TheDane
XAUUSD 4H — Rising Wedge Breakdown. TP1, TP2, TP3. All Hit.Rising wedge on the 4H chart with clear Fibonacci confluence at the 0.118, 0.236, 0.295, and 0.382 retracement levels marking the distribution zone. Price rejected hard off the upper wedge boundary and broke structure to the downside with expanding volume confirming institutional sell pressure. Three targets pre-marked before the move. All three hit in sequence. TP1 cleared. TP2 cleared. TP3 hit at the 4,560 demand zone. This is Gate 1 through Gate 5 of the CAP Framework running in sequence on Gold. Regime identified. BOS confirmed. Distribution zone mapped. Breakdown executed without interference. The wedge was the warning. The volume was the confirmation. The framework was the filter.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheChartWhisperr
ETH 3H — CHoCH Confirmed at OTE, TP1 and TP2 MappedETH 3H — CHoCH Confirmed at OTE, TP1 and TP2 Mapped Description: The structure on ETH 3H is clean. BOS confirmed the directional intent. Price retraced into the OTE zone between the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. CHoCH printed at the circled candle — the exact location where the framework demands confirmation before entry. That retracement was not weakness. It was the institutional entry zone doing exactly what it is supposed to do. From here the targets are mapped. TP1: 2,462 — the liquidity level where the prior sweep originated. TP2: 2,542 — upper channel extension with macro liquidity resting above. Invalidation: 3H close below the CHoCH level. Below that, the OTE zone has failed and the read is off. The Fed liquidity injection is the macro catalyst. The structure provided the entry logic. Both aligned simultaneously. That is what a confluence setup looks like before the move, not after.
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.PLong
by TheChartWhisperr
2
USDJPY Shows A Bullish Pattern USDJPY is moving higher but is now testing the red trendline resistance around 160, which is also a psychological level, so we could see a near-term pullback from here. There is also an unfilled Sunday gap around 159.26, which could be filled on the next retracement, ideally as wave E. Support is seen between 159 and 158, where we could see a rebound as part of a higher degree triangle before the pattern completes. Why= because all needed, abcde legs would then be in place, so market may start looking for a breakout; ideally, higher, above 160.50 The invalidation of a triangle is if subwave A near 157.50 is broken. Also, keep an eye on US yeilds, with latest hot inflation figure, higher yeilds can help USDJPY to stay in uptrend. Also, keep an eye on some FED speakets this week... Grega
Long
by ew-forecast
#BTCUSDT - 4H - Elliott Wave AnalysisTrading is not about predicting the future. It's about planning for every scenario. Wave 4 corrections are the most frustrating part of any trend. They feel uncertain. They test your patience. They make you want to force trades just to feel like you're "doing something." But here's what separates amateur traders from professionals: Amateurs try to predict which correction pattern will appear. Professionals prepare for ALL of them. Look at the current BTCUSDT structure. We're tracking a complex Wave 4 that could complete as: • Zigzag correction • Flat (regular, expanded, or running) • Triangle (contracting, expanding, or barrier) • Complex WXY or WXYXZ pattern Each pattern has different internal structures. Each has different completion points. The amateur approach: "I think it's going to be a triangle, so I'll buy here." The professional approach: Map two clear scenarios: 🔴 If price breaks below $65,000 directly, Wave 5 has started. We wait for the first pullback within that new impulse for a high-RRR entry. 🟢 If price continues higher, we track the Z wave correction completion and wait for confirmation before planning our next move. Wave 4s typically retrace to the 38.2% Fib level. But trading that level often means accepting low RRR. Patience pays better than guessing. The market hasn't decided yet. That's not a problem. That's information. Trading is process management, not fortune telling.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by ElliottWaveStrategy
US yeilds Breaking Triangle... More Dollar Strenght Ahead? US yields are moving sharply to the upside since the beginning of March, and the move has even extended higher in the last few days after the Fed signaled they are likely to stay on hold for longer. This means the odds for rate cuts are falling, which is supporting the rise in yields. Technically, yields now seem to be breaking out of a potential wave four triangle, suggesting we could see more upside ahead in wave five, possibly even moving closer to 5%. Under this scenario, the dollar will most likely remain supported and could continue to gain strength moving forward. Grega
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
1
EURUSD (4H) — 5 wave structure - waiting for the short 🧠 Wave count (4H) EURUSD looks to be in the final stage of a 5-wave impulse down — wave (5) is still developing. If this count is correct, the next high-probability sequence is a 3-wave corrective rebound (ABC) into the wave (4) retracement zone. 📌 Sell zone (wave 4 / Fib) I’m watching for an ABC bounce into: • 1.1668 → 1.1826 (key reaction area / prior structure) • Ideally extending into 38.2 → 61.8 Fib of the latest impulsive leg (wave (5) completion → retracement) ✅ Execution (strict confirmation) Shorts only after 1H confirms: 1. a clean 5-wave decline completes on 1H, then 2. a 3-wave (ABC) pullback that holds bearish structure, 3. best trigger: breakdown below the B-wave low (confirmation). 🎯 Target • 1.1050 (major downside objective / continuation leg) ✅ Trade safe ✅
Short
by ProTradyX
GBPUSD 2026: This Zone Will Decide the Next 12 Months🔹 Macro Market Context GBP/USD is currently developing Wave C inside Wave X of the higher-degree macro corrective cycle. This structure reflects the final bullish leg of a complex correction before the market transitions into the next major impulsive bearish phase. Wave X acts as a connector wave between two large corrective structures (W–X–Y). The current Wave C is performing the role of liquidity expansion, designed to sweep premium liquidity zones and establish institutional distribution before a macro trend reversal. 🔹 Higher Timeframe Structural Bias (Weekly) The market previously completed a five-wave impulsive bearish cycle (Wave W), followed by the development of a complex corrective phase (Wave X). Price action is now unfolding inside Wave C of X, forming a strong bullish corrective expansion. This phase typically: Targets premium liquidity zones Breaks key weekly resistance levels Completes the corrective cycle before trend continuation The structural integrity of Wave C is being confirmed through consistent higher highs, higher lows, and bullish displacement, indicating that upside expansion is still active. 🔹 Internal Wave Development of Wave C Wave C is unfolding as a five-wave impulsive sequence, confirming trend continuation toward higher targets. Sub-wave progression shows: Completion of the initial bullish impulse Corrective retracements holding above key demand zones Renewed bullish momentum suggesting continuation toward macro targets This confirms that price remains in the expansion phase of Wave C, where strong trending moves normally occur. 🔹 Fibonacci Confluence & Target Projection Wave C projection aligns strongly with 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels of the previous macro decline. These fib levels also align with historical weekly supply zones, making them high-probability termination areas. The primary completion zone for Wave C lies between 1.58 and 1.65, where: Major liquidity pools are resting Long-term supply imbalance exists Institutional distribution is expected to begin 🔹 Smart Money & Liquidity Framework The downside liquidity sweep near the 1.03 macro low marked a major institutional accumulation phase. Following this, the market delivered strong bullish displacement, confirming smart money participation. Multiple weekly and daily breaks of structure validate the bullish continuation. Each corrective pullback has respected bullish order blocks, showing controlled price delivery toward higher liquidity pools. This confirms that price remains in accumulation-to-distribution transition, typical behavior during Wave C. 🔹 Market Psychology Behind Wave C Wave C is psychologically the most aggressive leg of a correction, driven by: Retail trend participation Momentum traders entering late Institutional players preparing distribution This phase often generates maximum bullish sentiment, which is necessary to create sufficient liquidity for large institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trading Outlook & Strategy Framework Bullish Bias - While Wave C Is Active As long as price holds above major demand zones, the structural bias remains bullish. Optimal buy zones exist near: 1.3280 – 1.3100 1.3000 – 1.2850 Upside targets remain: 1.4370 1.5200 1.6000 – 1.6500 (Primary Wave C Completion Zone) Macro Reversal Expectation - After Wave C Completion Once price reaches the 1.58 – 1.65 zone, expect: Strong distribution behavior Structural exhaustion Formation of macro reversal patterns Beginning of Wave Y, initiating a multi-month bearish cycle This zone represents a high-probability macro sell region. 🔹 Final Technical Summary GBP/USD is currently completing Wave C within Wave X of its macro corrective cycle, driving a powerful bullish expansion phase. This move is designed to sweep premium liquidity before triggering a large-scale bearish reversal. Until Wave C completes, buy-the-dip strategies remain favored. Once price reaches 1.60+, traders should shift focus toward high-timeframe short setups. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. #InstitutionalTrading #MacroTrading #Liquidity #OrderBlocks #MarketStructure #BreakOfStructure #BOS #SupplyDemand #Wyckoff #ICT
Long
by fibcos
2
XAU/USD – Triangle Still Developing?Gold remains stuck in consolidation, and what appeared to be a completed triangle may still have more room to unfold. This highlights one of the key challenges of triangle patterns — they often extend or evolve in real time. Updated Take: Structure still fits within a potential contracting triangle No confirmed breakout yet — patience remains key Best approach? Wait for a clean 5-wave move out of the pattern before acting ⚠️ Until price breaks decisively above or below the triangle, this remains a high-risk zone for premature entries.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalService
BTCUSD - Cycle Analysis UpdateHi guys! 👋 🔔 As you can see on the chart, we are following the setup precisely. 🔔 I'm still expecting another red candle to complete the Three Black (Red) Crows pattern. 🔔 The third red candle will signal us for a short-term uptrend to revisit $100K and have a steep drop. 🔔 There's also a chance of having an extended impulsive moves which consists of 9 waves. 🔔 Nevertheless, the next week's candle is much important. The original Cycle Analysis is attached to this article. ✊ Good luck with your trades! ✊ • If you like the idea, hit the 🚀 button • Please ✍️ your thoughts in the Comments section • And follow me for more updates.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by azizelliott