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Elliotwaveanalysis

Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area 1.17420.Colleagues, the price has either completed or is completing a corrective movement in wave “2,” and I expect an upward movement to begin, which has either already started or will start soon. I believe there is a possibility of the local minimum of 1.16180 being updated to the 1.16036 area, but the main target is the 1.17420 area, which is the maximum area of the average corrective wave “B” and confirmation of the start of the upward wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
14
US30 (Dow Jones) – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings, I have prepared a US30 analysis for you. My friends, if the US30-Dow Jones index manages to close a candle above the levels of 48392.3-48151.0, I will open a buy position and target the 48,900 level. At the moment, the most important levels are 48392.3-48151.0. Expecting an upward move without breaking above these levels does not seem logical right now. My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨ Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by TraderTilki
8
$BABA Breaking Out Of A Bull FlagAlibaba has been trading within a downward channel for last few months, but the structure still looks corrective due to the clear overlaps. Because of that, traders can still watch for a potential turn higher, especially now after a rebound from 147.68 support area, which was also the high back in March 2025. If price can close and finish the day out of a downward channel, as well as above the bullish level at 163.94, then another fifth wave higher could unfold. At the same time, it is important to keep an eye on 134.35, as a break below that level would question the impulsive trend. Also note the weekly chart, which suggests the market may be in the later stages of wave C, with potential strong resistance later this year near the 78.6% retracement, slightly above the 200 level. Highlights – Overlapping structure suggests the move lower is corrective – Key support to watch is around 147.68 – Daily close above 163.94 would open the door for wave five higher – Invalidation sits at 134.35 –
NYSE:BABA
by ew-forecast
OPEN: base building for upsideOpendoor Technologies remains a highly volatile stock, but current price action suggests a potential medium-term reversal. The company continues adjusting its business model to a high-rate environment, focusing on cost control and cash flow stabilization. The US housing market is showing early signs of normalization, while expectations of future monetary easing increase investor interest in deeply oversold growth stocks. OPEN trades far below its historical highs, making it highly reactive to improving macro conditions or positive earnings developments. Technically, the price has broken out of a long-term descending channel with a strong impulsive move. After the breakout, the stock entered a consolidation phase, forming a price accumulation zone above the broken trendline. Price holds above key EMAs, supporting a bullish structure. The primary scenario favors trend continuation after accumulation, with gradual movement toward higher target zones. The scenario is invalidated if price falls back below the breakout area and holds there.
NASDAQ:OPENLong
by InvestWorld_777
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to max wave "1" 4564.Wave “2” appears to be complete, as waves “abc” are clearly visible, and at the moment I expect a correction in wave ‘2’ of the middle order 4397 to continue the upward momentum of the large wave “3”. The plan is to update the maximum of wave “1” and reach at least 4564. Next, we will look for an opportunity to continue the upward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
38
Palantir: Air is getting thin NASDAQ:PLTR recently reached our designated red short Target Zone, triggering an active short trade. We have been managing risk proactively, reducing the position by 50% after hitting the initial take-profit level. As a result, our stop-loss is now set at the entry price. As the weekly chart indicates, the stock is primarily in a major corrective phase, identified as wave II in beige. This correction is expected to continue, first pausing in the upper green Target Zone ($117.54–$95.10) before potentially extending down to the lower green Target Zone between $72.58 and $40.66. Alternatively, there is at least a 33% chance that the stock could first post a new high for wave alt.I in beige, above resistance at $207.23.
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by HKCM_Global
ETH/USD: Triangle or Double Three in Wave B of a Zigzag?1. We are still in a sideways range. 2. This is a continuation of the previous idea, but the wave B of zigzag is not yet completed. 3. As I said earlier, another pattern may develop in wave B. 4. I am inclined towards a triangle or a double three. 5. However, Ethereum has not yet shown its strength globally, so there is every chance that it will fall even lower, which is why I presented this idea as the main one.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by UkrainianElliottWaves
QQQ – Weekly Update | Breakout Being TestedThesis QQQ remains in a late-stage bullish structure. Price is testing the upper boundary of a bullish wedge, with Wave 5 still the primary scenario while key supports hold. Context - Weekly timeframe - Long-term bull trend intact - Market approaching the final phase of the broader cycle What I see - Price tested the wedge breakout level twice this week - Weekly close held right on the breakout line near $623 - 50-day MA has now been tested and appears to be flipping to support - Structure remains compressive, not distributive What matters now - Breakout level needs to be clearly flipped to support to confirm continuation - Market is not pricing near-term event risk (tariff ruling next week) as bearish - As long as price holds above the $600 area, upside structure remains intact Buy / Accumulation zone - No aggressive adds at current levels - Long-term accumulation remains near the $440 area (200WMA confluence) Targets - Primary Wave 5 reference: $720–$725 area (2.618 Fib) Risk / Invalidation - Loss of $600 and failure to hold the wedge breakout would shift the structure to consolidation
NASDAQ:QQQ
by maratteo
XAUUSD – Structure Holding at the Blue BoxHi fellow traders, On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential continuation scenario. After a sharp corrective move, price is reacting from the blue box and holding above the key structural level, suggesting the correction may be complete and continuation to the upside remains possible. I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4270.00. My Take Profit is set at 4574.60, targeting continuation within the larger impulsive structure. If price breaks below the stop level, this trade is no longer valid. Structure first. Noise second. Good luck and trade safe!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by OGwavetrader
2
Barrick Gold slowly advancingWithin the ongoing three-wave pattern, the magenta wave (C) is expected to give the miner another boost, ultimately completing the green wave just below the resistance at $54.74. The following wave should then pull the stock back toward support at $30.35, from which wave is likely to start again. This move should once again lift Barrick higher, with the blue wave (w) projected to finish well above the $54.74 level. There is, however, a 30% chance that wave Alt.(w) could wrap up imminently. In that scenario, wave Alt.(x) would push price directly below $30.35, but would still bottom out before reaching the support at $5.95.
NYSE:BLong
by HKCM_Global
SPY – ATH into Heavy Macro Week | Trend Still IntactThesis AMEX:SPY continues to trade in a mature but intact bullish cycle, pushing to new all-time highs despite a heavy macro and event-driven calendar. Context - Weekly timeframe - CPI, PPI, Jobless Claims ahead - Start of key earnings season - Supreme Court ruling delayed into next week, adding uncertainty What I see - Market printed another ATH and closed the week at the highs - Price remains well above rising trend support - No visible distribution or topping structure yet - Momentum remains strong despite known macro risks What matters now - As long as price holds above the rising channel, the trend remains bullish - Last CPI print came in much cooler than expected - A second consecutive soft CPI would confirm a disinflation trend and likely fuel further upside - Market is clearly not pricing near-term stress Buy / Accumulation zone - This is not an area for aggressive new buying - Focus shifts from adding risk to managing and cleaning the portfolio - Selectively trimming positions that fully rode the last 5–6 years of the cycle Targets - Trend-following extension remains open toward higher Fib projections - No confirmed cycle top yet Risk / Invalidation - A sustained loss of the rising channel would signal the need to reduce exposure - Until then, price action favors holding, not anticipating a top
AMEX:SPY
by maratteo
BABA: Multi-Year Rounding Bottom Breakout — Wave 4 Support CheckThis chart for Alibaba (BABA) showcases a massive multi-year accumulation pattern, specifically a "Rounding Bottom" or "Cup" formation that began in late 2022. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the stock appears to have completed a primary Wave 3 impulse peak near the $190 level in late 2025 and is currently in the late stages of a Wave 4 corrective pullback. The long-term outlook for BABA remains highly bullish as it successfully transitions from a multi-year basing phase into a structural uptrend. The recent pullback from the October 2025 highs represents a textbook Wave 4 correction, which has found precision support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level ($143.58). This level aligns perfectly with the breakout point of the major rounding base, transforming old resistance into new support. Key Technical Levels: * Support Zone: The $143 - $150 area is critical; as long as the pivot at point 4 holds, the impulsive structure remains intact. * Wave 5 Target 1: A 1.0 Fibonacci extension projects an initial target of $205.42, which would reclaim the 52-week highs. * Wave 5 Target 2: The primary 1.618 extension sits at $242.59, aligning with major historical supply zones from early 2021. * Invalidation: A sustained daily close below the Wave 2 low (approx. $70-$80) would invalidate this specific count, though the $143 level is the immediate "line in the sand" for bulls. Projected Outlook: The current price action at $150.96 is forming what looks like a bullish consolidation (handle) following the massive cup breakout. With cloud and AI demand accelerating revenue growth into 2026, the fundamental narrative supports a re-rating toward the $200+ consensus analyst targets. Traders should watch for a breakout above the Wave 3 peak to confirm the start of the final fifth-wave leg higher.
NYSE:BABALong
by msezng
ELF - Completion of 5-Wave Impulse Down - Bullish ABC Underway?This daily chart highlights a potential trend reversal following the significant 1-2-3-4-5 impulse decline observed throughout late 2024 and 2025. The completion of this 5-wave sequence at the $49.40 low appears to have set the stage for a major corrective recovery or the start of a new bullish cycle. We are currently tracking an ABC zig-zag structure, with Wave 'b' recently finding support near the $80 level, aligning with the bottom of the descending parallel channel. Key Technical Levels: * Wave 'C' Target: The immediate focus is the 1.0 Fibonacci extension at $168.82, which represents an equal-leg move (a=c). * Long-Term Extensions: If the recovery develops into a larger impulsive move, the 1.618 extensions at $202.67 and $231.52 serve as secondary targets. * Invalidation: A breakdown below the recent pivot at point 'b' (approx. $75-$80) would delay the bullish outlook and suggest further consolidation within the channel. Projected Outlook: The price action is currently reacting to the median line of the descending channel. A sustained breakout above the $100-$110 resistance zone would confirm the Wave 'c' trajectory toward the May 2026 target window. This setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for those looking to play the recovery of a quality growth stock that was heavily oversold in 2025.
NYSE:ELFLong
by msezng
ETH/USD: A global bearish zigzag on Ethereum1. The main idea is a global zigzag {a}-{b}-{c} to the downside. 2. Wave {a} can be counted as a double zigzag WXY, but I don’t want to do that. 3. However, I still want to break this move down into a leading diagonal triangle (LDT), which is what I’m showing on the chart. 4. Locally, there is no clear strength, and the price action looks corrective. 5. So it’s crucial to know whether wave {b} is complete, as this move may develop into a more complex correction. 6. If wave {b} is complete, we may already be seeing the development of wave (iii) of {c} on the local scale. 7. The downside move could extend for a minimum of two more months toward the lower channel boundary. 8. If wave {b} becomes more complex, we may still see its full development into another corrective pattern, followed by the advance of wave {c}. 9. The basic targets of the decline are the 0.618 and 1 Fibonacci levels. For now, I don’t want to include the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the chart. 10. There’s a strong chance that in the future the price could reach the range between $2,033 and $1,141.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by UkrainianElliottWaves
2
Silver Pulls Back After Double Top TestSilver futures bounced off resistance at $82.67 on Tuesday. According to our primary scenario, the next key move will be for price to break through this level, which would open the way toward the red Target Zone between $92.25 and $111.28. In that area, we expect the prominent top of the green-labeled wave to form, followed by a larger corrective move. Based on this outlook, traders could consider entering short positions within the $92.25 to $111.28 range, using a stop set 1% above the upper boundary of the zone. Alternatively, it’s possible that the green wave alt. already peaked at $82.67 and price is now correcting directly below support at $69.26. If this scenario plays out—which we assign a 35% probability—a direct pullback into the alternative green long Target Zone between $53.26 and $47.16 would be expected.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by HKCM_Global
Silver Is Consolidating, Likely Looking For More UpsideHey guys, today I am looking at silver, as you know it made a blow-off top back in December, during the Christmas and holiday period, near 85, from where we then saw a sharp pullback of around 14–15% in just a few days. After that decline, the market stabilized around 70, and this kind of stabilization and choppy price action is very normal after a fast move higher followed by a sharp reversal lower. The next phase is usually consolidation, so for now we can see a relatively limited range, roughly between 70 and 84. From an Elliott wave perspective, it looks like silver is pausing for wave four. Wave four can take different forms, it can be a flat, a triangle, or a more complex combination. Based on the most recent substructure, especially on the 4-hour time frame, a triangle looks quite likely, which means we could still be missing a few legs before the market eventually resumes higher. The first key support area for a triangle is around 72.70, which also matches this week’s opening area and a small gap left behind, making it an interesting near-term support. Below that, a deeper and more important support zone comes in around 69–67. This lower area would matter if we see more liquidation and extended sideways action, and it could later provide a very attractive rebound zone. Overall, this still looks like a healthy pause within an uptrend, with potential for one more push higher in the first one to two months of 2026. The key invalidation level for this view is 54.43, since the market should not trade back into that area. Even a move closer to the 61.8% retracement near 62.35 would already raise concerns that this is not a wave four of the degree we are tracking. For now, price is still well above those levels, so patience is needed, allowing the market to settle and consolidate before the next directional move, all within the broader bullish trend visible on the daily and weekly charts. Thank you for your support Grega
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to support area 1.16457 (ABC).Colleagues, judging by the nature of wave “2” movement, I assume that the correction is not yet complete. This movement is slightly stretched, and we can clearly see waves “A” and ‘B’, which means we can expect an update of wave “A” minimum and reaching at least the support level of 1.16457. Somewhere below, I expect the completion of wave “C” and wave “2”, but that will be a slightly different forecast. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
11
BIDU – Breakout Confirmed | Watching Wave 3Thesis BIDU has completed a multi-year corrective phase and is now advancing within a developing Wave 3 structure following a confirmed breakout. Context - Weekly timeframe - Prolonged correction since 2021 - Structural transition from downtrend → base → breakout What I see - Clean breakout confirmed at the end of December - Prior support found on the 50-day moving average before expansion - Successful acceptance above former resistance - Price holding above long-term trend support - Structure now showing impulsive characteristics What matters now - Wave 3 remains intact while price holds above post-breakout support - After Wave 3 completes, attention shifts to a controlled Wave 4 pullback - Confirmed support during Wave 4 would define the next add opportunity Buy / Accumulation zone - Initial breakout already played - Next accumulation opportunity expected on confirmed Wave 4 support Targets - Primary upside reference at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension ($225 area) - Higher extensions remain possible if momentum persists Risk / Invalidation - Loss of key breakout support would delay the bullish structure
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by maratteo
ZETA – Breakout Confirmed | Primary Wave 3Thesis NYSE:ZETA is transitioning from long-term accumulation into the early phase of Primary Wave 3 following a confirmed breakout. Context - Daily / weekly structure - Primary Wave 2 completed near $10 (April 2025) - Wave 1 advanced to ~$22 - Recent phase was a controlled Wave 2 consolidation What I see - Price has broken out of the accumulation structure - Higher highs and higher lows now in place - Price holding above rising moving-average support - Former resistance has turned into support What matters now - Holding above the breakout level keeps the Wave 3 structure intact - Pullbacks toward former resistance should be viewed as constructive - Momentum confirms a shift from accumulation to expansion Buy / Accumulation zone - Initial accumulation was completed in the $14–$15 area - Post-breakout pullbacks into support remain add zones Targets - $38 area (structural resistance) - $65 area (1.618 Fib – Primary Wave 3) - $100 area (Primary Wave 5 extension) Risk / Invalidation - Loss of post-breakout support would delay the Wave 3 scenario
NYSE:ZETALong
by maratteo
3
BABA – Weekly / Daily Structure | Wave (4) Update Thesis NYSE:BABA remains in a broader bullish reversal, with the current pullback continuing to resolve as an intermediate corrective phase. Context - Weekly and daily timeframes - Multi-year base already completed - Prior impulsive advance followed by a controlled retracement What I see - Pullback continues to respect the prior breakout structure - Price is consolidating inside a descending corrective channel - Rising longer-term moving-average support remains intact - Structure remains consistent with an intermediate Wave (4) correction What matters now - The 50-day moving average is aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near the $159 area - A break and hold above this confluence would signal completion of Wave (4) - Failure to reclaim this level likely extends consolidation Buy / Accumulation zone - Current consolidation range within the Wave (4) retracement zone - Risk remains defined against the recent higher low Targets - A confirmed flip of the $159 confluence opens the path toward the $230 area - That level aligns with the next intermediate upside reference Risk / Invalidation - Loss of rising support would weaken the bullish reversal structure
NYSE:BABALong
by maratteo
XAU/USD | Bearish When $4,425 Confluence Support Is Breached⚡Critical Confluence Level ($4,425) ⚡Key Support: The $4,425 level is currently a key focus as it represents the confluence point between the 100-hour SMA and the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of the recent price rally. ⚡Breakout Scenario: If the price closes decisively below this level, it is expected to trigger further technical selling, which could drag Gold down towards the psychological level of $4,400. ⚡Stability: Holding the price above the 38.2% level is crucial to stabilize the faltering market sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NouzTrader
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.53 (Wave 5).Colleagues, the price is still forming a downward impulse of five waves, and given the geopolitical situation and rather loud news, we need to be cautious. Therefore, I believe that wave “5” will update the minimum of wave ‘3’, but I will not set a distant goal - I want to see the price in the support area of 54.53. This will be enough to confirm the structure of the momentum and think about the continuation of the large “ABC” correction. It is quite possible that we may see a small correction to the 57.00 area before the start of the downward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
7