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Elliotwaveanalysis

Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17800.Colleagues, I thought I'd update the forecast a bit. The target remains almost the same, but the wave layout has changed slightly. I believe that at the moment the development of wave “5” of the higher order and wave “3” of the lower wave is underway. Therefore, I still consider the area of 1.15765 as a support area and the area of 1.17800 as a target area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
32
OILUSD – Demand Zone Reaction (4H Analysis)Price has been moving in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Recently, it tapped into a strong demand zone (blue box) and is now showing signs of a bullish reaction. 🔎 Key Points: Price reacted strongly from the demand zone. A trendline break is visible, suggesting bearish momentum is weakening. Stop loss is placed below the demand zone (61.36). Take profit is set at the next supply zone / resistance around 66.05. 💡 If buyers hold this level, we may see a strong push toward 66.05. But if demand fails, price could revisit lower levels.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSDLong
by WINEGOTRADES
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – Neowave UpdateEthereum continues to move inside a short-term descending channel. Based on the Neowave count, the current structure can be interpreted as wave G of a Diametric pattern. 🔑 Main Scenario: • If ETH manages to hold above 4315, buyers could regain control. • In that case, a move toward the channel’s upper boundary around 4410 is likely, completing wave G of the Diametric. ⚠️ Alternative Scenario: • Failure to sustain above 4315 will keep the bearish tone intact. • In this case, ETH may retest the lower boundary of the channel, with possible extensions toward 4200–4150. 📌 Conclusion: Ethereum is at a decision point. A confirmed breakout above 4315 opens room for a rally to 4410, while rejection from this level could extend the corrective phase lower.
Long
by CryptoPilot
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, CPI & PPI in FocusXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, CPI & PPI in Focus Good day Traders, Gold posted a notable advance last week, recording new highs on a near-daily basis. While this type of price action is not unprecedented, it has introduced an element of caution to the market. Investor sentiment remains firmly skewed towards the long side, reaffirming gold’s position as a key safe-haven asset. Fundamental Outlook Attention this week will centre on the release of US CPI and PPI data. These figures will be critical in assessing the financial health of the US economy and could directly shape the Federal Reserve’s decision on a potential rate cut in September. Technical Outlook Price has already surpassed the Fibonacci 1.618 extension, with the next upside projection aligning near the 2.618 level at 3687. Prior to reaching this objective, a modest retracement into nearby FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones is possible. On a longer-term horizon, the 3467 – 3475 region is highlighted as a constructive area for accumulation, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo and Volume Profile. Trading Scenarios Upside Bias: Long positions remain the preferred approach. The 3467–3475 area offers a technically favourable entry zone for those with a longer-term outlook. Downside Case: Short exposure should only be considered upon evidence of a reversal structure, with confirmation via a break below 3510, or rejection from the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Final Thoughts For the week ahead, gold continues to be best approached from the long side. Nevertheless, traders should closely monitor price reactions at the identified technical levels and adjust accordingly. With key macroeconomic releases imminent, maintaining disciplined risk management remains essential.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – H4 Mid-Term OutlookBitcoin – H4 Mid-Term Outlook Good day Traders, Bitcoin remains in a broad sideways range. Although the recent NFP release generated strong trading volume, the market has yet to confirm a dominant direction. For now, price continues to rotate within the 107k – 113k area. Elliott Wave View There are signs that Wave 5 has likely completed, while an A–B corrective phase is developing. Within this structure, the market could still deliver one more upward move before clarity emerges. Trendline & Critical Levels A descending trendline is capping upside momentum, offering potential early short entries. Still, a decisive break below 107k would be needed to confirm a mid-term bearish structure. Alternatively, if price retests the trendline and rebounds, a wave C rally could unfold. It is also worth noting that BTC remains above its rising channel, signalling that sellers have yet to take full control. Possible Scenarios Bullish Scenario: Holding above 107k and breaking through 113k would open the way towards 115k – 118k. Long setups should ideally be backed by stronger volume or a confirming MACD signal. Bearish Scenario: A failure to defend 107k could accelerate selling pressure, dragging price back towards 104k – 101k, where key support lies. Professional Insight The market currently lacks clear direction in the mid-term. Monitoring price action at 107k and along the descending trendline will be critical for defining the next move. Until then, flexibility and strict risk management remain vital for traders navigating this environment.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Microstrategy: Further DeclineAfter a brief consolidation, MSTR continued its decline since our last update, further developing turquoise wave 2, where we still see price positioned. We continue to anticipate the low of this wave above the support at $153.49. In the meantime, we have revised the magenta substructure of wave 2 to a - - formation, with the final (wave- ) leg currently unfolding. Once turquoise wave 2 completes, we expect a strong rally above resistance at $674.18, which should significantly advance the broader upward impulse. However, under our new alternative scenario, a different wave count could prevail: price may currently be forming magenta wave alt. to the upside, developing a blue three-part substructure in the process. In this 25% likely scenario, the next move would be for blue wave alt. (b) to finish within the nearby blue alternative Target Zone between $306.60 and $252.67, before wave alt. (c) pushes up toward the top of magenta wave alt. near $674.18. Within this alternative, the blue zone could offer long entry opportunities, though heightened caution is warranted: since this remains only an alternative scenario, risk is elevated, and we consider strict risk management—such as setting a stop 1% below the lower edge of the zone—absolutely essential.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by HKCM_Global
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3540.Colleagues, the forecast for an upward impulse has been confirmed and now I think that wave “3” is complete and I expect a correction in wave ‘4’ in the area of 3445 and then a continuation of the upward movement in the final wave “5”, which may meet resistance at the important level of 3540. The most interesting thing is that if this is what happens - it would mean that there is a pretty strong correction ahead, after the execution of the scenario, and then a continuation of the upward movement, but we will talk about these plans later. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
18
XAUUSD – Pullback, has the downtrend really begun?XAUUSD – Pullback, has the downtrend really begun? Hello traders, As you can see, gold is currently in a corrective move, already dropping around 40 dollars, showing clear selling pressure. Traders are accepting shorts at these levels. However, to truly confirm a downtrend, we need to see how price reacts around 3530 – this will be the key level to determine whether the pullback is genuine. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied nearly 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, which highlights the strong prior buying momentum. That said, today’s and tomorrow’s NFP data could force gold to give back liquidity and redistribute the market. Last month’s NFP was weak, and if this repeats, gold could still push higher – but that’s just a forecast and needs to be observed further. Trading strategy: Mid to long-term bias: look for selling opportunities around the 354x zone. Short-term buys may be considered at the FVG fill zones around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where major liquidity gaps remain from the earlier surge in buying. For now, my outlook is to hold a medium-term short bias. Feel free to share your views in the comments so we can discuss further.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
Trading Plan for Gold USD Using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci This trading plan combines Elliott Wave analysis with Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, focusing on key psychological points to guide entry, exit, and risk management decisions for the Gold/USD 1-hour chart. Fibonacci Levels & Psychological Zones: Wave 3 is approaching a Fibonacci extension zone near 3,558 - 3,616 (from 3.618 to 4.618 levels). This acts as a key resistance and potential Wave 3 target. The retracement for Wave 4 correction is expected to land within the important Fibonacci retracement zones: - 38.2% (~3,472) - 50% (~3,449) - 61.8% (~3,426) These Fibonacci levels serve as psychological support zones where Wave 4 could end and Wave 5 might begin.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD.TV
by famousone_chn
EUR/USD | Triangle Formation |EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Formation | Elliott Wave Count (ABCDE) Price action is currently developing within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with waves a–b–c–d–e in play. Demand Zone (Buyers Zone): Price recently tapped into demand, showing bullish reaction. Supply Zone 2 (1.1687): Acts as a key resistance level for short-term targets. Wave Structure: The market is respecting Elliott Wave triangle formation, suggesting a possible bullish breakout after wave e completes. Plan: Expect consolidation within the triangle before a potential push toward 1.1687. Break and close above may confirm continuation; failure could lead to retest of lower support levels. 📊 This setup aligns with both Elliott Wave theory and supply-demand dynamics, offering clear short-term trading opportunities.
Long
by Greenfireforex
XAUUSD – Sell Strategy in PlayXAUUSD – Sell Strategy in Play Hello traders, Gold reacted exactly as anticipated at the 3508–3510 zone. This correction suggests a bearish opportunity is forming. For confirmation, however, we need to see an M15 candle close below 3466. That would invalidate the previous bullish leg and significantly strengthen the short case. Structurally, price remains within the broader rising channel, so an early sell should ideally wait until liquidity in the small FVG above has been cleared. Technical signals are aligning with this view: MACD has shown steady downside momentum over the last four H1 candles. Bearish divergence is also emerging across several indicators. Sell zone to monitor: 3488–3491 Invalidation: a break above the nearest resistance At these levels, market appetite for fresh longs is fading – chasing buys here is risky. No trend rises endlessly; secondary corrections are always required before higher levels can be reached. This is my current outlook for gold. Use it as reference, and feel free to share your views in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin Update – The Next StepsBitcoin Update – The Next Steps Hello traders, BTC is still moving in line with the outlook I shared previously. Price is now approaching the short zone according to technical structure. For those who prefer not to enter immediately, it may be better to wait for a reaction on the M15–M30 timeframes. The downside is that entries may not be as perfect, but the win rate could improve thanks to additional confirmation. At the moment, BTC’s price action remains relatively slow. It’s possible that price will consolidate around the entry area for a while, as there is still significant liquidity from the previous long move and market sentiment continues to lean towards upside expectations. Patience is key here. I’ll update again if there are structural changes. In the meantime, use this scenario as reference and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss further.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Update – With US Banks Closed, Beware of a Possible TrapGold Update – With US Banks Closed, Beware of a Possible Trap Hello traders, With US banks closed today, market liquidity linked to the dollar may be thinner than usual, creating less predictable moves for gold. The rally during the Asian session has tempted many traders to look for a “sell the top” opportunity with hopes of sizeable profits. In my view, the market could set up a trap for short-sellers, meaning price may either push higher during the US session or remain sideways at current levels before revealing clearer direction. At this stage, it may be better to wait for a cleaner wave structure before committing. The priority should still be trading in line with the broader uptrend. Buy entry zone: around 3340–3345, with a stop-loss of roughly 10 dollars. For short positions: patience is key – wait for clear channel confirmation on the M15–H1 timeframes before considering entries. That’s my current view on gold for today’s US session. Use it as reference and manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3460.Dear colleagues, the idea is generally simple and clear. In the upward movement of waves “3”, “4”, “5” the price should update the maximum of waves ‘D’ and “B” 3448.87. This means that we should expect the price in the area of 3460. The target is quite close and I think there is reason to believe that it will be reached next week. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
9
Bitcoin – Technical Scenario for the New WeekBitcoin – Technical Scenario for the New Week Hello traders, BTC continues to move in line with expectations. On the chart, price has held firm after breaking below the rising channel, and the medium-term bearish structure on the H4 timeframe remains well intact. In the longer term, confirmation of deeper downside will require breaks of major support levels on higher timeframes. For now, however, the outlook remains unchanged from my previous analysis: Short zone: still valid around 111k Long zone: still valid around 105k At the start of the week, BTC may continue consolidating for another one or two sessions to build liquidity before committing to its next move. This is my current technical perspective on BTC for the week ahead. Trade with discipline, and feel free to share your outlook in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Trading Scenario – Start of the WeekGold Trading Scenario – Start of the Week Hello traders, A new week begins with gold holding steady above the 34xx zone, establishing a fresh value area. The current structure has already broken through key resistance levels on the higher timeframe – including the daily trendline and H4 barriers – confirming strong bullish momentum. The rally played out exactly as expected, reaching the target around 3450 (with a high of 3454). Price is now showing a slight pullback. This will only be seen as a trend reversal if price breaks below 3404. Otherwise, it’s simply a secondary correction in line with Dow Theory. Wave 5 may have already completed, but the ABC structure is not yet clear. For that reason, I continue to favour buying in line with the trend to maintain higher probability setups. Buy zone for today: 3408–3412. This area previously acted as resistance, but was broken on Friday and now serves as a solid support region. This is my medium-term outlook for gold at the start of the week. Take it as reference, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital