Gold (XAUUSD) 4h: Expanding Flat Resistance at 50% FibCurrent price action lines up with the expanding flat (A-B-C) scenario, and we've just tagged the 50% Fibonacci retracement from the prior swing high. The B wave spike confirmed by structure now faces resistance right at this key level. RSI remains in overbought territory (above 76), giving extra weight to the idea of a local top forming.
Key points:
Structure: Expanding flat (A-B-C), with recent leg up overshooting wave A.
Levels: Price currently at the 50% Fibonacci (4,194 zone), upper resistance.
Next steps: Looking for signs of reversal—lower timeframe rejection, bearish pattern, or a strong close below 4,180 for confirmation.
Targets: If reversal holds, initial C-leg targets sit at 3799.91 for equal leg.
Still waiting for hard confirmation, but the context and confluence heavily favour a top and a possible sell setup brewing.
#XAUUSD #Gold #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis
Elliotwaveanalysis
XAUUSD : 4H Elliott wave at correction stageNow Correction stage
Short-term pattern :
Long to zone 4045 - 4193
Invalid if drops below 3884
Buy entry zone 3945-3975 if it breaks the yellow trendline
, will double confirm to C and end of X
Stop loss 3884
(If it can meet that green arrow zone, we wait and see a rejection candle for short again)
PS.
Medium-term pattern: Gold should drop below 3885, and wait for its reversal to get the bullish Long-term trend again
$RSP:TIME TO TAKE THE STAGEMoving forward, it will be essential to monitor the strength of the Equal Weight SP:SPX ETF. For the market to maintain its upward trend, broad participation is necessary. While bears may perceive a Double Top pattern, I see that the MACD is close to triggering a buy signal, and the 14-day RSI has recovered above the 50 line.
$SPX: DIP BUYNG IS THE RULE FOR NOW The strategy of buying on dips has proven effective once again, underscoring the current strength of the market. The 10- and 20-day moving averages are no longer relevant as support or resistance levels; instead, their slopes indicate the short-term trend. We will focus on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which remains in a positive slope. The key moving average for maintaining the upward trend is the 50-day SMA. The S&P 500 has easily recovered above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and is just 73 points away from its all-time high; it appears quite feasible to set a new record.
However, there is a slight concern regarding the technology sector, which seems to be carrying more weight in the market. If the end of the shutdown is indeed approaching, the uncertainty will likely conclude with the release of economic data. Therefore, given this display of market strength, a wait-and-see approach may develop, which could lead to sideways trading—a situation that could be quite frustrating.
AVAX Rally Keeps Bullish Outlook Intact Avalanche (AVAX) has recently posted significant gains, leaving our outlook unchanged. We continue to believe price is currently in a five-wave magenta upward move, which should soon push it above the resistance level at $36.19. Our alternative scenario also remains valid, in which AVAX could target new absolute lows below support at $8.64 (probability: 33%).
USDJPY Diagonal— Watch 155-156 for a ReversalUSDJPY has been in recovery mode for some time, forming higher swing lows and retesting the highs following a rebound in US yields, as Powell didn’t fully convince markets about a December rate cut. The BOJ has also kept rates unchanged, so until they turn more hawkish, the pair could stay supported — unless a broader dollar selloff begins due to risk-on, which would help drive USDJPY lower across the board whiel US yields could stay sideways till next FED meeting.
Looking at the wave structure from early October, price action over the last few weeks has become increasingly overlapping, which often signals an ending diagonal ; a powerful reversal pattern where bullish momentum starts to fade. This suggests that we may be approaching a very important bearish turn in the coming weeks. I’m watching the 155–156 region as key resistance; if the market fails to break and hold above the upper boundary of the diagonal and instead breaks below the lower trendline later on, that would confirm a potential bearish reversal.
I’m also keeping an eye on the large gap from early October; gaps of that size rarely stay open for long in the spot market, so a move back to fill it remains a realistic scenario, but dont know when...
Grega
Buy the Dip, Ride the Wave — DAX40 Targeting ~38000"DAX40 | FIBCOS
Wave 2 seems done and dusted ✅ — bulls getting ready to fire up Wave 3! 🚀
As long as price holds above 23,250, the bullish structure stays strong 💪
Targets ahead around 36K–40K as momentum builds within the rising channel 📈
The German Index continues to show power and potential — buy and enjoy the ride 🇩🇪✨
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only, not financial advice.
XRP: Target Zone in sightRipple’s XRP has seen a modest rebound recently, but this hasn’t altered our outlook. We continue to expect further declines as part of a blue five-wave move down into the turquoise Target Zone ($1.03–$0.38), which is suitable for long-side entries. Within this zone, we anticipate that the low of the larger wave B in turquoise will be established. From there, we expect wave C to rally above resistance at $4.09 and complete the larger wave (Y) in magenta. We still assign a 30% probability to the scenario in which the low of wave alt.B in turquoise has already been reached.
Wave 4 Finishing – Preparing for the Final Wave 5 Impulse (EW)We are currently completing wave 4 — both in the subwave and sub-subwave count — and getting ready for the final impulsive wave 5.
According to Elliott Wave rules, wave 4 cannot overlap with wave 1, which also defines our stop-loss level. As long as this level holds, the bullish structure remains valid.
Wave 4 has retraced between the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone, perfectly matching the expected correction depth. Since wave 2 was extended in time, we expect a shorter and faster wave 4, often characterized by a quick wick and rejection before continuation.
From the indicator side:
RSI, Stoch, and MACD are all oversold and starting to curl up on multiple timeframes — 15m, 45m, and 144m.
The B-leg of the correction was overbought, signaling exhaustion and confirming the upcoming C-leg completion.
With that, we are in position for the start of wave 5, which should complete the macro wave 3.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Current zone (0.382–0.5 retracement range)
Stop-loss: Below wave 1 invalidation level
Target: Extension of wave 5 from wave 3 to wave 4, We target the 2.618%
Summary:
Wave 4 is finishing, indicators align across timeframes, and all Elliott conditions are in place for a strong push into wave 5.
Hellena | GOLD (1H): SHORT to support area 3925.Colleagues, I believe that at the moment we see a rather complicated situation - the correction is not over yet and we may see a complicated correction. In most probability I see the completion of wave “B”, and the continuation of the downward movement to the support area of 3925.
The “ABC” correction may be completed this week. In any case, I expect the decline to continue.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Silver Correction Ending: Major Drop AheadSilver (XAG/USD) has completed a 5-wave decline, marking the end of Wave (A)/(1) near the 45.53 level. Since then, price has been retracing upward in a complex W–X–Y corrective structure, which appears to be forming the final leg of Wave (B)/(2). The rise is losing strength near the upper channel, hinting that bulls may soon exhaust. Once Wave (B)/(2) finishes, the next big move is expected to be a strong bearish Wave (C)/(3) decline targeting lower zones near or below 45. In simple terms: last leg of correction nearly done → next big drop ahead.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
$META: LONG SIDE OPPORTUNITY NASDAQ:META : Although it may seem incredible, the head and shoulders pattern TARGET has been reached. The stock has lost 24% of its value since hitting an all-time high in early August. The 14-period RSI indicates clear oversold conditions. Friday's hammer candlestick, combined with significant volume, is signaling a potential long-side opportunity.
BULLISH CRAB PATTERN COMPLETING ON DASHA Bullish Crab pattern is nearing completion on the DASH/USD chart, suggesting a potential reversal zone as price action approaches the final leg (point D). The harmonic structure aligns with key Fibonacci ratios across the XA, AB, BC, and CD legs, reinforcing the validity of the setup.
Additionally, a potential Wave 2 correction appears to be completing within the .618–.786 Fibonacci golden pocket, adding strong confluence between harmonic and Elliott Wave structures. This overlap highlights a high-probability reversal region that could trigger a significant bullish reaction.
I’ve outlined potential entry levels and profit targets based on this confluence zone for educational and analytical purposes. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as candlestick reversals, volume increase, or bullish RSI divergence before considering entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Block (XYZ): Weak Earnings, Bitcoin Exposure, and the Next Move📊 Fundamental Overview
I entered Block (XYZ) about a year ago when the company’s cash flow trends were very strong.
However, right now the picture is becoming more concerning.
EPS growth is not stable.
Previously, EPS was growing rapidly (65%, 38%, 155%), but the last two quarters showed only –10% and +13% growth.
Revenue growth stagnated.
Year-over-year revenue used to grow strongly —
2019: $4M → 2020: $9M → 2021: $17M → 2023: $21M → 2024: $24M — but is now roughly flat (~+1% YoY).
Forward P/E: ~22.7 — not particularly attractive considering the company’s decelerating fundamentals.
Share dilution stopped.
Since 2022, Block has halted share issuance, and total shares outstanding remain stable within ±2%, which is a positive signal compared to other fintech peers.
💥 Q3 Earnings Miss
In the latest earnings report:
Expected EPS: $0.63 → Actual: $0.54
Revenue: $6.11 B (below expectations)
The miss triggered a 15–18% drop after earnings, followed by a partial rebound as dip buyers stepped in.
But fundamentally, the company is clearly losing growth momentum.
₿ Bitcoin Exposure Risk
Block currently holds about 8,700 BTC (~$1 billion) on its balance sheet.
While this gives long-term upside potential, it also adds massive volatility risk.
If Bitcoin enters a –70% correction (which I expect in the next 3–4 months), that could hit Block’s balance sheet hard and accelerate the drawdown.
📈 Technical Structure
Technically, the stock has already corrected about –86% from its all-time high.
We’re currently sitting inside a major accumulation cluster between $50–80 — a very strong volume node.
If this cluster breaks down, the next major support zone is $8–15, which would imply a potential –90%+ drawdown, typically a “pre-bankruptcy” level of decline.
After the latest earnings report, XYZ dropped by nearly 18%, forming a noticeable gap down. However, the volume on this sell-off was relatively low compared to the massive volume spikes seen in July 2025.
Typically, such sharp post-earnings drops come with high capitulation volume, signaling panic selling and potential bottom formation, but this time, that confirmation is missing.
This raises the risk that the current decline might not yet be over, and that smart money may still be waiting lower, around the next demand zone.
From a wave-structure perspective, it looks like wave 1 is complete, followed by a sharp corrective move that has already exceeded the typical 38–62% retracement range, falling by about 86%, an unusually deep correction, but not impossible within a prolonged cycle.
The ongoing consolidation phase has lasted significantly longer than previous ones, which increases the probability of a final downward push, forming a classic zigzag pattern (A–B–C), a drop, consolidation, and one more leg down to complete seller capitulation.
Volume patterns in such structures usually peak in the middle of the formation, aligning with current price behavior.
Technically, both outcomes remain open,
we could see a short-term bounce from this zone or a double zigzag (dZ) structure unfolding lower before the true bottom forms.
Upside momentum currently lacks fuel, fundamentals don’t support a strong rally yet.
If price breaks above $100, the next upside target sits around $280, offering roughly 4× potential from current levels.
So the setup remains binary, either accumulation continues before reversal, or we break down further in sync with BTC weakness.
⚠️ Risk View
Fundamental growth has stalled.
Earnings miss raises red flags.
Bitcoin exposure magnifies downside risk.
If price breaks below $32–30, that would confirm a breakdown, potential free-fall to $8–15.
On the positive side, the company stopped share dilution, maintains good liquidity, and still has strong brand power in fintech.
🧩 My Position
I currently hold a protected position (protective puts) till march 2026, limited downside, but I’m considering a full exit.
There’s no visible fuel for strong upside, and with BTC risk rising, the short-term picture remains shaky.
If we see capitulation into the $30–40 range with BTC bottoming, that could be a smart-money accumulation zone again.
🔑 Key Levels
$100 → breakout confirmation, opens path to $280
$50–80 → main accumulation cluster
$32–30 → invalidation / stop-loss zone
$8–15 → next major demand zone if breakdown continues
🧭 Summary
Block’s fundamentals are slowing, its Bitcoin exposure is a double-edged sword, and technically we’re at a critical level.
If BTC corrects sharply, Block could retest the $30–40 area or even lower, but if it holds and reverses above $100, the next bull wave could be massive.
At this stage, risk management and patience are key.
Ethereum: Slipped belowEthereum recently slipped back below support at $3,357 and is currently struggling to reclaim this level. In line with our primary scenario, we expect further downside below this threshold to complete magenta wave within the lower magenta Target Zone ($2,749 – $2,149). From there, a significant corrective rally is likely, targeting the high of magenta wave (B) in the upper magenta Target Zone ($5,805 – $7,326).
NAS100 Rejection last 4H candle# 📊 NAS100 (SPOT NASDAQ100) Rejection TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🎯
## Week of November 10-14, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Setup
Close Price: 25,121 | Entry Point: November 8, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 💹
---
## 🔍 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - MULTI-TIMEFRAME PERSPECTIVE
The Nasdaq-100 index exhibits a compelling convergence of technical signals across all analyzed timeframes. Elliott Wave structure suggests we're navigating wave cycles with potential breakout scenarios emerging through harmonic pattern confirmations. Bollinger Bands are contracting, indicating volatility consolidation before directional expansion. RSI readings across 5M-1H timeframes show overbought extremes transitioning to neutral zones, creating premium entry opportunities for disciplined traders. Volume analysis reveals institutional interest patterns correlating with Ichimoku Cloud positioning.
---
## 📈 TIMEFRAME-BY-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
### 5-MINUTE (Intraday Scalping) ⚡
Candle Pattern: Japanese candlesticks reveal micro-trend reversals with consecutive hammer formations suggesting buyer rejection zones. Evening Star patterns detected at resistance levels.
Elliott Wave: Sub-wave completion suggests wave 4 consolidation before wave 5 impulse move. Wave structure favors breakout traders targeting 25,280-25,420 resistance confluence.
Bollinger Bands: Middle band acts as dynamic support; lower band rejection patterns create high-probability short setups. Band squeeze indicating imminent volatility breakout.
RSI (14): Oscillating between 35-65 range—avoiding extremes. Divergences between price highs and RSI highs signal potential reversals at 25,180 and 25,240 levels.
Support & Resistance: Micro S/R zones at 25,095 | 25,140 | 25,180 | 25,220 | 25,280. Volume nodes clustered around 25,150.
VWAP: Price oscillating around session VWAP—each touch generates scalp opportunity. Aggressive traders fade upper band extremes.
### 15-MINUTE (Quick Swing) 🎢
Candlestick Analysis: Three-candle patterns emerging—flag continuation structures with potential for 60-80 pip breakouts. Engulfing bars confirming directional bias shifts.
Harmonic Patterns: Gartley Pattern formation detected—potential reversal zone (PRZ) at 25,165-25,195. Risk-reward ratio favorable at 1:2.5 for harmonic traders.
Wyckoff Theory: Accumulation phase evident with volume concentration and price consolidation. Distribution signs emerging—caution at resistance clusters.
Bollinger Bands: Band squeeze tightening—historical data shows 40-120 pip moves follow. Upper band resistance at 25,285; lower band support at 25,085.
Volume Analysis: Volume profile reveals point of control (POC) at 25,140—high-probability rejection zone. Volume surge required for breakout confirmation above 25,250.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish). Tenkan-sen at 25,205 acts as dynamic support. Kijun-sen (25,160) provides secondary support for pullback traders.
### 30-MINUTE (Intraday Swing) 🔄
Pattern Formation: Symmetrical Triangle formation with apex target at 25,290. Ascending triangle variant shows bullish bias—breakout above 25,270 targets 25,380-25,420 extension.
Dow Theory: Confirming higher highs & higher lows structure. Secondary trend remains bullish; pullbacks to moving average (EMA 20) present optimal entry zones.
RSI Divergence: Positive RSI divergence confirmed—price making lower lows while RSI forms higher lows at 42 level. Classic reversal setup targeting 25,260 minimum.
Exponential Moving Average: EMA 9 above EMA 21—bullish alignment. Price hugging EMA 9 (25,125) indicates strong intraday uptrend. EMA 50 (25,080) provides stop-loss anchor.
Support Zones: 25,080 (EMA 50) | 25,120 (EMA 9) | 25,160 (Kijun-sen) | 25,200 (Demand Zone)
Resistance Zones: 25,250 (Breakout trigger) | 25,290 (Triangle apex) | 25,350 (Weekly resistance)
### 1-HOUR (Core Swing Trade) 🎯
Elliott Wave Complete Picture: Primary trend shows potential Wave 3 completion near 25,350. Wave 4 correction (current consolidation) targeting 25,140-25,180 support zone. Wave 5 breakout anticipated—target: 25,450-25,520.
Pennant Pattern: Bullish Pennant formation within consolidation—breakout confirmation above 25,280 validates pattern. Minimum target: 25,450 (measured move from pole).
Bollinger Bands (1H): Upper band at 25,380 represents squeeze breakout target. Middle band (25,200) = bullish support. Lower band rejection creates risk-reward optimization point.
VWAP Daily: Price trading above VWAP—bullish gradient confirmed. Each hourly candle close above VWAP strengthens trend continuation probability. Rejection below VWAP = caution signal.
Volume Profile: Heavily traded at 25,150-25,180 (support) and 25,240-25,280 (resistance). Imbalances favor upside—low volume zone above 25,300 suggesting vacuum to fill.
Ichimoku Alignment: Price above Senkou Span A & B—cloud thickness indicates strong support. Chikou Span lag above candles = bullish confirmation. Cloud color shift (bullish green) reinforces uptrend.
Gann Theory: 45-degree angle trendline from swing low confirms rally angle. Resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci extension (25,280) precedes aggressive breakout phase.
### 4-HOUR (Swing Trade Foundation) 💼
Daily Chart Alignment: 4H timeframe shows potential Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—right shoulder completing (current zone: 25,120-25,180). Breakout above 25,280 neckline targets 25,450-25,520 extension.
Wyckoff Accumulation: Institutional buying evident—small barometer move (SBM) triggers accumulation phase. Spring tests below support anticipated 25,080-25,100 zone.
RSI 4H: RSI at 54-60 range—neutral bullish. Still room for upside extension without extreme overbought. RSI above 70 targets 25,350+. Below 30 requires defensive posturing.
Cup & Handle Pattern: Potential bullish Cup formation completing—handle stabilization near 25,150-25,200. Breakout above handle (25,280) targets cup depth extension = 25,420.
EMA Ribbon: EMA 8, 13, 21, 50, 200 = bullish alignment. Compression and expansion cycles indicate momentum phases. Ribbon support at 25,120 = critical hold level.
Support Tiers 4H: 25,050 (structural) | 25,120 (EMA 8) | 25,160 (EMA 21) | 25,200 (demand cluster)
Resistance Tiers 4H: 25,280 (key breakout) | 25,350 (extension) | 25,420 (major target) | 25,500 (weekly projection)
### DAILY CHART (Swing Trade Thesis) 📅
Macro Elliott Wave: We're potentially in Wave 3 of a larger cycle—still room for aggressive expansion. Wave structure favors break of 25,350 targeting 25,500-25,650 daily close.
Double Bottom Recognition: Historical pattern shows Double Bottom formation near 25,000 support—confirmed breakthrough above 25,250 neckline triggered. Second target near 25,450-25,500.
Bollinger Bands Daily: Upper band at 25,480 = realistic daily target. Mean (25,200) = healthy pullback support. Band slope indicates volatility expansion—expect 250-400 pip daily ranges.
Volume Signature: Daily volume profile shows strong buying volume bar at 25,050-25,100 zone (institutional accumulation marker). Selling volume decreasing—demand controlling.
Ichimoku Daily: Cloud thickness growing—bullish trend strengthening. Cloud support around 25,150-25,200. Kumo Breakout anticipated—targets cloud top edge at 25,350-25,420.
Harmonic Analysis: Butterfly Pattern potential completion—PRZ at 25,280-25,320 suggests reversal zone OR breakout confirmation. Confluence amplifies probability.
Gann Angles & Fibonacci: 50% retracement (25,100) + 61.8% extension (25,420) = key reversal zones. Gann fan angles suggest 25,350-25,400 as structural resistance before continuation.
Key Daily Support: 25,000 (psychological/structural) | 25,050 (accumulation) | 25,140 (weekly midpoint) | 25,200 (demand zone)
Key Daily Resistance: 25,280 (breakout trigger) | 25,350 (extension) | 25,420 (measured move) | 25,500 (weekly target)
---
## 🎪 TRADING SETUP PLAYBOOK - NOV 10-14
### BULLISH SCENARIO (Probability: 72%) ✅
Trigger: 4H candle close above 25,280 + volume surge + RSI above 55
Entry Zone: 25,200-25,250 (with breakout confirmation)
Target 1: 25,350 | Target 2: 25,420 | Target 3: 25,500
Stop Loss: 25,120 (below EMA support)
Risk/Reward: 1:2.8 (excellent entry)
### BEARISH SCENARIO (Probability: 28%) ⚠️
Trigger: Daily close below 25,200 + volume increase + RSI divergence
Entry Zone: 25,280-25,300 (short setup)
Target 1: 25,200 | Target 2: 25,140 | Target 3: 25,050
Stop Loss: 25,350 (above resistance)
Risk/Reward: 1:2.1 (acceptable but lower probability)
---
## ⚠️ VOLATILITY & OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD CONDITIONS
Current Volatility Status: Moderate compression → Expect expansion soon
5M/15M: RSI in 40-65 range (neutral)—room for 25-40 pip moves
30M/1H: RSI near 55-60 (bullish bias, not extreme)
4H: RSI 54-62 range—still room to run without overbought
Daily: RSI 58-68 (approaching caution zone)—be defensive if daily RSI>75
Overbought Recognition Points:
Watch for RSI>75 combined with Band upper rejection + Ichimoku cloud top break fails. Take profits on technical extremes.
Oversold Setups:
RSI<30 on 1H + price below EMA 50 = high-probability bounce back to 25,200-25,250.
---
## 🎯 ENTRY & EXIT OPTIMIZATION
### OPTIMAL ENTRY TIMING
For Bullish Scalpers (5M): RSI bounce from 40-45 zone after Band lower touch = 15-25 pip scalp target
For Swing Traders (15M-30M): 15M candle close above 25,250 with 4H alignment = 60-120 pip swing target
For Core Swings (1H-4H): 4H pennant breakout above 25,280 on volume = 150-300+ pip target (hold 24-48 hours)
For Position Traders (Daily): Daily close above 25,350 = continuation play targeting 25,500-25,650 (hold 5-7 days)
### EXIT STRATEGIES
Take Profit Levels: 1. Fibonacci 38.2% = 25,280 | 2. Harmonic PRZ = 25,320 | 3. Daily Band upper = 25,420 | 4. Weekly target = 25,500
Stop Loss Placement: Below most recent swing low + 10 pips (risk management priority)
Trailing Stops: Activate at 25,350—trail with 40-50 pip buffer for 4H+ trades
Breakeven Exit: Move stops to entry after 1:1 risk/reward achieved—reduce emotional trading
---
## 🔔 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT RECOGNITION CHECKLIST
### REVERSAL SIGNALS TO WATCH:
RSI divergence (lower highs on price, higher lows on indicator)
Candlestick engulfing patterns at resistance/support zones
Volume breakdown (declining volume on breakout attempts)
Ichimoku Cloud rejection (price fails to penetrate cloud layer)
Harmonic pattern completion (Gartley/Butterfly PRZ exact hit)
Elliott Wave 5th wave failure (truncation pattern)
### BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION RULES:
Close beyond resistance on high volume (>20% volume increase)
RSI confirms breakout direction (above 55 for bullish, below 45 for bearish)
VWAP crosses align with directional move
Bollinger Band breakout with band expansion (squeeze release)
Multiple timeframe confluence (5M + 15M + 1H aligned)
Ichimoku Cloud break (price clears all clouds smoothly)
---
## 💡 WEEK FORECAST SUMMARY - NOV 10-14
Monday (10th): Consolidation continuation—watch for range break direction. European open volatility catalyst expected.
Tuesday-Wednesday: Breakout window opens—25,280 represents key decision point. Expect 150-250 pip daily moves.
Thursday: Potential pullback/consolidation after breakout (profit-taking). Support retest of 25,250-25,200.
Friday (14th): Weekly close pattern formation—extension run anticipated if above 25,350. Week target: 25,420-25,500.
---
## 📍 CRITICAL CONFLUENCE ZONES
25,080-25,100: Major support (accumulation zone, Wyckoff spring testing area)
25,140-25,180: Secondary support (EMA 9, Ichimoku, volume POC)
25,200-25,250: Entry zone (demand cluster, Cup handle support)
25,280-25,320: KEY BREAKOUT ZONE (all timeframe resistance, harmonic confluence)
25,350-25,420: Primary upside target (Elliott Wave 5, daily Band, measured move extension)
25,500+: Weekly resistance/extension target
---
## 🏆 RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY
✅ Never risk >2% account per trade
✅ Use 1:2+ risk/reward minimum on all entries
✅ Scale profits at 1:1 and 1:2 levels
✅ Maintain tight stops (10-15 pips on 1H trades)
✅ Avoid breakout FOMO—wait for close confirmation
✅ Respect daily support zones—psychological holds matter
---
## #TRADINGSETUP #NAS100 #TECHNICALANALYSIS #NASDAQ100
#ELLIOTTWAVE #HARMONICPATTERN #BREAKOUTTRADING #SWINGTRADER
#DAYTRADING #INTRADAY #FOREX #TRADING #ANALYSIS #TRADINGVIEW
#BOLLINGER BANDS #RSI #ICHIMOKU #VWAP #TRADINGSTRATEGY
#WYCKOFFMETHOD #GANNTHEORY #DOWTHEORY #TECHNICALS
#SUPPORTANDRESISTANCE #VOLUMEANALYSIS #OVERBOUGHT #OVERSOLD
---
Disclaimer: This analysis is educational only. Always conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management. Past performance ≠ future results. Trade at your own risk.
Analysis Created: November 8, 2025 | Valid Through: November 14, 2025
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to resistance area 64.8.Colleagues, in fact, I have not changed the wave markup, but I have a slightly different view on the near-term price movement plan.
In the last forecast I emphasized that the target is the area of 58.9, but now it looks more likely that the completion of wave “C” in a complex correction (resistance area 64.8). Then I will consider the long-awaited downward movement again.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!






















