Get started

Equity

Can Stocks Hold Support?? 😳😦Stocks have retraced to support at 4462, a strong technical level which seems to be holding. We are hanging on by a thread and if we break down further, then 4440 is the next target after crossing the vacuum zone below. The Kovach OBV has slumped, suggesting momentum is nil and needs to pick up in order for us to see a breakout. If we are somehow able to break out, then 4580 is the next target which must be broken before we are able to hit higher levels.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
1
Can Stocks Recover??Stocks have retraced exactly to our level at 4462. Recall that this was the exact level we predicted yesterday. Stocks edged lower as they digested hawkish Fed minutes , and an increasingly Orwellian Covid lockdown situation in China . It does appear that we may be in the final stages of a corrective impulse and might be gearing up for another breakout. Stock futures should price in this news and break out at some point. The Kovach OBV has dropped but may appear to be bottoming out. Anticipate support from 4462 and 4440. The latter is a significant level, and if broken, we will likely test lower levels in the 4400's. If we are able to break out, then 4580 and 4632 are the next targets.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
Reverse Head & Shoulders on Industrials ETF, Target at 208Chart Pattern/Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart. The Vanguard Industrials ETF appears to be in a Reverse or Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern setup which began developing over the last couple of months. The Left Shoulder is observed around the 182.30 lows in 28th January 2022. The Head of the chart pattern setup is seen at the 176.31 low on 24th February. The Right Shoulder is spotted at the 183 support zone for the ETF. The Neckline for the chart pattern can be constructed from the lower highs of 194.82 and 191.89 respectively. The completion of the Reverse or Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern setup is seen around the 208 price level. A negation of this setup will be known if the ETF falls below the Neckline. Technical Indicators The technical indicators support the bullish view of this note. The ETF VIS is above its 145-SMA on the Daily Chart. Also, in mid March VIS closed above the sell zone of resistance at the 192 price level to enter a new buy zone. The ETF is still in this buy mode. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is above 0 and green, while the RSI is over the 50 level. There was some bullish divergence for the RSI, when VIS was making lower lows at the Left Shoulder and Head of the chart pattern setup, the RSI was making higher lows. The intra-day trend following indicators of VIS also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour time frames. The near-term support zone for the ETF is observed around the 191.75 to 195.75 price range. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 192 and a target of 208. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.53. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
AMEX:VISLong
by Ceddy86
Triple Bottom Setup on AAPL, Target at 205Chart Pattern/Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart. The Company stock Apple (AAPL) appears to have exhibited a triple bottom around the 150-155 support zone over the last 3 months. The stock had 3 declines, the first around the end of January, the second in late February and the last in mid-March. At the time of publishing the stock is testing resistance around the 180 price level. Expectations are for a rally towards the 205 price level. A negation of this view will be observed if AAPL falls back towards the support zone. There is some positive trending relative strength on AAPL on SPX as well as TLT. These occurred around March 21st. Technical Indicators The technical indicators corroborate a bullish view on the stock. There was a switch in the Supertrend indicator around the 160 resistance level with a close above. Also, AAPL had a positive crossover on its 50-day SMA. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is above 0 and green. Finally the RSI is above 50. The intra-day trend following indicators of AAPL also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour time frames. The near-term support for the stock is observed around the 167.00 to 167.25 price range. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 160 and a target of 205. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.42. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Ceddy86
2
The S&P 500 is Ranging, Can it Break Out??After topping out at 4632 as we anticipated, stocks have tested 4521, but appear to be equilibrating. We have mentioned that it is likely that the S&P 500 would either retrace or form a sideways corrective pattern and it appears the latter is the case. We are currently testing 4580, after which we have a vacuum zone back to 4632. It will take some volume to push us through this so watch for momentum at open. If this doesn't come through watch for continued support at 4521. If we break through this, watch 4462 and 4440 for further support.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
Will Stocks Resume their Rally?? 📈🚀Stocks have fallen further after their slight pullback from our target of 4632. We met steep resistance at this level, then drifted downwards a bit, finally taking a dive yesterday. We fell to 4545, one level above where we anticipated support at 4521. The price action does seem to be rounding off, suggesting 4632 might be a top for now. If so, then stocks should find further support at 4521, then 4462. The Kovach OBV seems oddly unaffected by the selloff. We will need to see more momentum come through in either direction before stocks make a definitive move. There is a chance that we see another wave of momentum come through. If that is the case, then 4632 is our barrier to higher levels. We will see if stocks are willing to resume the rally, or if they will correct further, either retracing to lower levels as discussed above, or form a sideways corrective pattern.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
Stocks Break 4 Day Winning StreakStocks are ranging just above 4580, the exact level we anticipated support, after breaking a four day winning streak. This comes after hitting our profit target at 4632. We have two red triangles on the KRI to confirm resistance here, but many green triangles from below to confirm support at 4580. We do not anticipate a further retracement, but if so, then 4521 is a likely floor for now. Our ultimate target before a significant retracement would be in the 4600's with 4649, 4668, and 4693 all likely candidates. The Kovach OBV has slumped over for now, reflecting a lack of momentum as stocks pause, so watch for momentum at open to confirm whether the rally will continue. If we see lackluster momentum, we could maintain the range between 4580 and 4632.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
Stocks Hit our Profit Target, What's Next??Our reports yesterday were spot on. We called out the breakout from 4580 perfectly, and we hit our profit target of 4632. We are currently seeing some resistance here, as confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. News that Ukraine may be offered neutrality may drive the markets higher. We feel this rally may still have legs, and should be able to clear some of levels above. In particular, we have 4649, 4668, and 4693. We could reach as high as 4729 before seeing a technical retracement. The Kovach OBV has been weak compared to the strength of the rally so this is a reasonable assertion. A retracement from current levels could take us back to support at 4440. This would be about a 61.8% retracement on the Fibonacci levels.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
Stocks Rally as Global Woes EaseStocks appear to be back in raging bull mode as the market appears to have fully digested the Federal Reserve rate hike plans, and Ukrainian ceasefire talks may also be contributing to a cheerier outlook. We have hit 4580, which was our previous target, and a relative high that had given the S&P 500 issues in the past. We are on the cusp of a vacuum zone to 4632. We are seeing some resistance confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI, and that is anticipated with the significance of the level which we are currently testing. The Kovach OBV is pretty strong, so there is no reason not to expect another breakout today. But if not, 4521 should provide support.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
Stock Breakout Near??Stocks have recovered from a retracement after testing 4521. The price action started to 'round off' and we suspected a technical retracement may be in store earlier this week. Our prediction came true and we found support at 4440 also as anticipated. Currently, we are testing relative highs again at 4521, but are encountering steep resistance from red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has been inching up but has leveled off slightly as stocks struggle to break out further. We are at some serious resistance, so watch for signs of momentum at open. If not, we will likely reject current levels and head to support at 4440. If we do see a breakout, then 4580 is our next major target.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy