Stocks caught a nice pivot from lows just above our level at 3827. We saw some volume come through and were able to break past a relative low at 3887. Currently a bit of a retracement is taking us below that level again. We won't expect much action from the markets before the FOMC, so current levels are likely to hold. Watch for support at 3827 again, and...
Stocks are edging lower yet again, as investors price in a potentially historic rate hike. In order to combat the highest inflation we have seen in 40 years, most agree that we are looking at a 75 bps rate hike , but some suggest it could be as high as 100 bps . However, multiple indicators suggest we are in the thicket of a recession, and after this rate...
Stocks got slammed yesterday after retail sales suggested several areas of the economy are being hurt by inflation. The Fed is still expected to hike rates, and some fear that this will tip us deeper into a recession. Stocks closed lower, extending the worst selloff in over two years. We broke support here at 3887, and appear to be testing 3867, but a green...
Markets in Q2 2022 continued to suffer from entrenched inflation and aggressive rate hikes from central banks. They also reacted to the slowdown of the global economy and the increased risk of a recession in developed economies. These changing market conditions impacted equity factors differently. In this instalment of the WisdomTree Quarterly Equity Factor...
A hotter than expected CPI print tanked stocks yesterday, wiping out this week's rally and then some. The markets were hoping that CPI, which is the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, would show that inflation is plateauing and that their policies are working. Under these assumptions it would be reasonable to think that after September's rate hike, they would take...
Stocks have edged higher, breaking through to our next target of 4122, exactly as we predicted yesterday. Stocks are up ahead of key US inflation data, expected to come in at 8.0% , which is still high, but hopefully at least plateauing. It looks like we are meeting some resistance as confirmed by red triangles accumulating on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still...
Stocks have broken out, climbing significantly and reestablishing the 4K's. We have broken through 4009, and just broke out past the next level at 4068. We have already crossed one vacuum zone, and appear to be breaking out into another. If momentum continues today, then 4122 is the next target. The Kovach OBV has picked up sharply, suggesting there might be...
Hi Snipers, Please refer to the recording for the next price levels and scenarios. Thanks MS
Stocks snapped a losing streak yesterday as they gained strength off of Powells comments. The Fed is still expected to hike rates in September, with a 75 bps hike increasingly more likely. However, if and when inflation eases, we should see a more dovish stance. The S&P 500 broke through our target and upper bound at 4009, but is wavering in the vacuum zone...
After establishing new lows, stocks pivoted back to 3978, just one level below 4009, our target from yesterday. We are seeing red triangles on the KRI, indicating some resistance but if we can break through, 4009 is the next level to break before we can consider higher levels. If we reject this level, we could easily retrace the entire move, and head back to...
Stocks broke through relative lows at 3909 as anticipated. We gave up the 3900 handle entirely, and broke down into the 3800's, but found immediate support at 3887. We are testing 3909 from below at the time of this writing but the S&P 500 looks pretty weak. The Kovach OBV is on a steady downward decline, and we keep breaking levels from below. We should have...
SPX Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% SPX, 85% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Equities and Cryptos continue to sell off in favor of DXY and US Treasuries as Russia halts the Nordstream natural gas pipeline indefinitely (renewing fears of a brutal European winter energy crisis). Key Upcoming Dates: 10th GDPNow US Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 09/07 ; ...
Stocks opened the APAC session weak (as expected). The markets appear to still be pricing in the recession and the results of the FOMC September 21. We aren't likely to get much of a break in stocks until after this rate hike, which some conjecture might be the last . The S&P 500 saw support from 3909, which was an auspicious level corresponding to a July low....
The S&P 500 caught a small rally yesterday, but it could be short-lived. After such a strong selloff, we were due for a relief rally at some point. It appears the markets are still pricing in what the Fed will do this month at their FOMC meeting, but a 50-75 bps is the most likely. We tested the exact level we predicted at 3909. Subsequently, we bounced back...
Market seems oversold after the rejection of the 200MA. It looks like we are in time for a few rally days! Bear market rallies are the strongest. Volatility whips both ways! Historical Precedent I wanted to share the 1990 precedent that I mentioned first during early May. I would like to point to the idea that we are quite short-term oversold (by looking at...
Increasingly more market participants seem to be realizing that we are, in fact, in a recession, despite what our overlords are proffering in the propaganda outlets. The S&P 500 has careened into lower levels, finally finding support just one level above that which we predicted yesterday at 3909. Indeed, 3928 seems to be holding, with green triangles on the KRI...
Hi Guys, 2823.hk which is the A shares ETF of China listed in Hong Kong is currently at a major support which it has been holding since 2016. Also, it tested its 0.8 fib, broke previous high and now retraced back to 0.8 of the smaller wave. Classic PA. I am bullish on China A Shares and believe that price target should be north of $18. Buy at 14.84.
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% SPX, 85% Cash. *BOUNCE WATCH. Equities continued to take a plunge today as Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester mentioned that she would like to see rates above 4% by year end and for most (if not all) of 2023. In one of my previous analyses I incorrectly mentioned that only three Fed members voted on...