Get started

Es1

Day 24 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$264 Overnight WinWelcome to Day 24 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was all about patience and levels. I noticed the market had already made a huge move yesterday, so I bet it couldn’t push much further overnight. I shorted at 6525 and woke up to a $250+ profit by market open. That was enough for me — the plan worked perfectly, so I stayed mostly on the sidelines for the rest of the day. Both our overnight level and yesterday’s level played out exactly as expected, which made this a clean session. Closed the day at +264.83. 📰 News Highlights U.S. ADDS FEWER-THAN-EXPECTED 22,000 JOBS IN AUGUST, BOOSTING ODDS OF 50BPS CUT 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6470 = Remain Bullish Below 6450 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
1
Labor Market vs. Inflation Risks: What Traders Should WatchCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CBOT:ZN1! CBOT:ZB1! ECONOMICS:USNFP The stock market is currently holding near all-time highs. Today, the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) report, which includes the NFP (non-farm payrolls), will be released at 7:30 am CT. Market participants are closely watching the non-farm payrolls, with the forecast at 75K, as well as any prior revisions to earlier NFP numbers. The unemployment rate is expected at 4.3%, a slight increase of 0.1%. Looking ahead, upcoming key events include inflation data and the September FOMC rate decision: • Aug PPI (Sep 10): A gauge of upstream price pressures. Hot numbers would signal renewed inflation risks. • Aug CPI & Core CPI (Sep 11): Critical headline data. A softer print would support the dovish case. • Fed Decision (Sep 17): This meeting comes after the Aug NFP data release (Sep 5). While there is broad optimism and euphoria in the market, we remain cautious based on our analysis of major futures indexes. Traders should be mindful of signals that could point to a pullback. Our reasoning: Markets are currently pricing in two 25 bps cuts for the September and October FOMC meetings, which would bring the target rate down to 3.75%–4.00%. Additionally, markets are now pricing in four 25 bps cuts in 2026. Prior to the Jackson Hole meeting and recent Fed-related developments, expectations were for three cuts in 2025 and two cuts in 2026. Does this imply that the effective tariff rate is benign? Is inflation expected to fall, or does this suggest that the Fed is willing to tolerate average inflation in the 2.5%–3.0% range? The upcoming Fed meeting is likely to emphasize risks to the labor market, while downplaying inflation risks, highlighting the tradeoff within the Fed’s dual mandate. Other considerations: Seasonal and cyclical flows also suggest that equity indexes tend to underperform in September and October on average. Risk-Monitoring Framework: Signs of a Pullback Given the deteriorating macro backdrop, further steepening of the yield curve, persistently high long-end yields, and the heavy concentration of stock market capitalization in the Mag 9 stocks, it is critical to monitor: 1. Rates & Yield Curve • 2s10s & 5s30s steepening: Excess steepening with long-end yields above 4.5% would tighten financial conditions. • SOFR futures spreads: Divergence vs. FOMC guidance can signal rate-path misalignment. 2. Labor Market Signals • NFP revisions: Downward revisions of >50K would reinforce labor weakness. • Unemployment rate: Sustained above 4.3% could mark a turning point for the Fed’s labor mandate. 3. Inflation Data • PPI upside surprises: A risk that supply-side shocks re-ignite inflationary pressures. • CPI/Core CPI stickiness: Core >3.1% YoY would challenge the market’s dovish pricing. 4. Equity Market Internals • Mag 9 leadership: Watch for relative weakness in NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSLA, GOOG, AVGO, and BRK.A. • Breadth indicators: Advance/decline line and % of S&P 500 above 200-day MA. Narrowing breadth = fragility. • Volatility (VIX): A spike above 20 would indicate stress returning to equity risk sentiment. 5. Cross-Asset Indicators • Credit spreads (IG & HY): Widening signals stress in funding markets. • USD & Commodities: Rising USD and higher energy prices would tighten global liquidity. Conclusion While optimism remains strong, we caution that macro deterioration, yield curve dynamics, and concentrated equity leadership create fragility. Pullback risks rise if: • NFP disappoints sharply, • inflation re-accelerates, or • outperformance in the Mag 9 begins to roll over. Traders should monitor these risk indicators closely, as they often precede market drawdowns in September–October.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EdgeClear
Day 23 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$200 & New Daily RuleWelcome to Day 23 of Trading Only S&P Futures! I locked in +200.45 on my competition account by shorting the MOB overnight and walking away once my target was hit. Later in the day, I came back to watch and ended up losing on other accounts — which sparked an important realization. From now on, I’m considering a rule: cap daily gains at 10% of account balance. For example, with a $2,000 account, my daily target should be $200 max. Anything more means overtrading, staying in the market too long, and risking unnecessary drawdowns. This might be the structure I need to keep consistent results. 📰 News Highlights U.S. JOB CUTS TOTAL 85,979 IN AUGUST, HIGHEST FOR THAT MONTH SINCE 2020 — CHALLENGER 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6470 = Remain Bullish Below 6450 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 22 — Trading Only S&P Futures & Market analysisWelcome to Day 22 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today I kept things simple — waited for the 10am JOLTS report to set direction and only got long after we held the 1-min MOB. Even then, I stayed cautious since price was still under 6465 resistance. I focused on gamma levels, which played out clean on both the buy and sell side. The only real slip-up was a FOMO long, and that reminded me of an important rule: I should only size up when I’ve got 2+ confirmations. If I take a trade with less, it needs to be 1 contract only — risk management first. Closed the session with +256.25, ending the day disciplined and green. 📰 News Highlights U.S. JULY JOLTS JOB OPENINGS FALL TO 7.181M (EST. 7.380M, PREV. 7.357M) — LOWEST SINCE MARCH 2021 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6470 = Flip Bullish Below 6450 = Remain Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 21 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$417 Tilted LossDay 21 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$417 Tilted LosWelcome to Day 21 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was a tough one — I turned a positive morning into a -417.18 loss. I started the day green, up about +150, but made the mistake of assuming the market had already bottomed at 6384. When it broke lower to 6374, I got stopped out at the true bottom of the day. Frustration set in, and I tilted. I put on a 10-contract short at the MOB, expecting a rejection, but the EOD MOC imbalance and strong news from Google pushed the market higher, blowing past my stop. The lesson today? Don’t fight the market, and never size up when you’re on tilt. 📰 News Highlights DOW ENDS DOWN 250 POINTS, VIX JUMPS AS STOCKS DROP TO KICK OFF SEPTEMBER 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6465 = Flip Bullish Below 6450 = Remain Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
S&P500 Strong buy signal if the 4H MA200 holds.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been pulling back since the August 28 All Time High (ATH) and is headed for a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test. This is a major short-term buy point as since April 25, every contact with this trend-line (6 so far) resulted into a new rally/ Bullish Leg. The last two in particular rose as high as the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. So as long as the 4H MA200 holds, that gives us a 6530 short-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
1
Day 20 — Trading Only S&P Futures + Monthly resultsWelcome to Day 20 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today’s session was all about patience and letting levels do the work. I started with the X3DD sell signal, but the move was too fast to size in big. Instead, I waited for price to break under 6485 (yesterday’s level) and added a couple of short positions. Later, I shifted focus to the 6463 bottom support — went long there a few times and those trades worked out great. By holding discipline and repeatedly trading around these levels, I closed the day with +365.28. 📌 This video is going up a little late — I’ve also asked ChatGPT to analyze my last month of trading data to highlight win rates, patterns, and improvements. That deeper analysis is also in the video. Here's the prompt "I have trade data from the last month that I’d like you to analyze. Please perform a detailed data analysis and highlight interesting insights, such as patterns, strengths, weaknesses, and potential improvements in my trading approach. A few important notes about my strategy and data: Risk/Reward: I typically trade using a 2x risk to 1x reward setup. This gives me more flexibility to turn trades into winners and avoid stop-loss hunts. Please calculate the win rate I need to achieve to be profitable with this risk/reward ratio. Trade Grouping: My trade count may appear higher than it actually is because sometimes I enter with multiple contracts and scale out at different price levels. If you see trades with the same entry or exit prices, please group them as a single trade. Analysis Goals: Show win rate, average profit/loss, risk-adjusted return, and drawdowns. Identify what worked well and what didn’t. Highlight any tendencies or biases (e.g., time of day, entry type, asset type). Suggest improvements based on the data. Please make the analysis as practical and data-driven as possible." 📈 Key Levels for Tomorrow: Above 6480 = Flip Bullish Below 6460 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
S&P 500 (ES1!): Short Term Sells For Longer Term Buys TargetsWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P500 has been strong, but gave a bearish close on Friday. Looking at the Daily, it is easy to see price is retracing lower, perhaps to the +FVG, which is a great place to look for longs once contacted. Short term sells are permissible, but be mindful the HTFs are bullish. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by RT_Money
Day 19 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Lessons From a Red DayWelcome to Day 19 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Not every day is green — today I finished -630. I’ve realized something important: my trading performance may be tied directly to my routine and supplements. Since I injured my back, I’ve been on painkillers and haven’t taken my usual supplement stack. Today I felt distracted, unfocused, and off my game — even though the setups were there, I just couldn’t execute with clarity. It’s a reminder that trading isn’t just charts and signals — your health, focus, and routines matter just as much as strategy. 📰 News Highlights U.S. Q2 GDP RISES +3.3%, EST. +3.0%; PREV. -0.5% 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6485 = Remain Bullish Below 6460 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 18 — Trading Only S&P Futures | NVDA Miss, Market DropsWelcome to Day 18 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today started with heavy sell signals — we had X10 chip stock sell signals and NVDA X7 sell signal right at the open. I leaned short early but got stopped out around 10:20 as the market squeezed higher. Instead of chasing longs into bullish structure, I waited for a cleaner level. When price tapped 6495 max resistance (gamma wall), I reloaded shorts. That patience paid off, and by the EU close I was sitting on +416.75 for the day. The key lesson here? Even when structure flips bullish, respecting higher-level resistance zones can deliver high-reward trades. 📰 News Highlights NVIDIA STOCK FALLS 3% AFTER DATA-CENTER SALES MISS FORECASTS, LACKLUSTER GUIDANCE 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6445 = Remain Bullish Below 6435 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 17 — Trading Only S&P Futures | A+ Setup, Done by 10AMWelcome to Day 17 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was all about conviction. I spotted a rare A+ setup: X7 ES buy signals, bullish market structure, and a buy right at MOB support. That kind of alignment doesn’t happen often — so I sized up 3x my usual and went long. The trade worked perfectly, and I wrapped up the day by 10AM with +295.37, making this the fastest finish to a session I’ve ever had in this challenge. 📰 News Highlights STOCKS CLOSE HIGHER, VIX DIPS AS NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA EARNINGS LOOM 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6450 = Remain Bullish Below 6435 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
5
S&P500 3-month Channel Up still valid. Buy.The S&P500 index (SPX) kept its 3-month Channel Up intact last week despite a short-term correction as the price stopped exactly on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and following Chair Powell's remarks on rate cut possibilities, it rebounded aggressively. Given also that the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been its long-term Support since May 01, the stage is set for the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last one being +8.80%, we expect the index to hit at least 6750 next. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
Day 16 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Rocky Start, Strong FinishWelcome to Day 16 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Started the session following bullish structure while the market whipped up and down, which made it tricky to hold conviction early. Toward the end of the day, a short at 6482 finally gave clean follow-through, helping me turn a rocky start into a solid +296.25 finish. The price action was choppy at times but still provided opportunities if you stayed patient. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6415 = Remain Bullish Below 6405 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
S&P 500: Bullish! Buy It!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 25 - 29th: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P 500 ended the week with strong bullish momentum, closing above the previous 3 days. The structure is bullish on the HTFs, and there is not good reason to look for sells. Buy the bullish price action. No sells until there is a definitive bearish break of market structure! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by RT_Money
2
Day 15 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$121 Rate Cut RallyWelcome to Day 15 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Running on only 3 hours of sleep, I knew today wasn’t the day to overtrade. With two major events at 10am and 12pm, I kept it simple — placed my basket orders, let the setups work, and went 2-for-2 green. Locked in +121.69 and wrapped it up by noon. Sometimes the best edge is knowing when not to force trades. 📰 News Highlights STOCKS SURGE TO END THE WEEK, VIX PLUNGES AFTER POWELL OPENS DOOR TO RATE CUT IN JACKSON HOLE 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6415 = Remain Bullish Below 6405 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
1
ES Futures — Plan for Fri, Aug 22 Intraday trend on 15m/30m remains down. The 6,396–6,407 band is the pivot/decision zone. Tomorrow’s session is dominated by Powell’s Jackson Hole keynote (10:00 ET) — plan around it. Fundamentals & Risk Clock (ET) • 10:00 — Fed Chair Powell speaks at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Treat this as the day’s primary catalyst; no new entries 09:55–10:05 per risk rules.   • Otherwise, the U.S. calendar is relatively light vs. today’s prints; markets will key off the Powell tone and subsequent positioning.   Structure Map (carry-forward levels) Resistance / sell zones • 6,396–6,407 (pivot/decision band) – acceptance above flips bias; failure sends us back inside the range. • 6,412 → 6,418 – first upside magnets if the pivot breaks. • 6,433–6,436 – underside of prior distribution (primary cap). • 6,445–6,447 – secondary cap. • 6,469–6,471 & 6,476 – upper supply/“failure” lines. Support / buy zones • 6,392–6,388 – LVN pocket; moves often accelerate through here. • 6,386–6,382 – upper demand shelf. • 6,375–6,370 – NY low cluster/first demand band. • 6,366 → 6,357–6,352 – deeper HTF shelf if weakness extends. Preferred Setup (A++): Range-Continuation Short Take only with confirmation; score ≥9. • Trigger: First 5-minute close ≤ 6,390.5 after a failed probe of 6,396–6,407, and the next bar fails to reclaim 6,392–6,394. • Entry: 6,390.5 (MOS). • Stop: 6,396.5 (≈6 pts). • Targets: • TP1: 6,375.5 (+15) • TP2: 6,366.0 (+24) • TP3: 6,358.0 (+32) • Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move stop → BE only after a fresh 5m lower-low or a clean close through the TP1 zone. If no extension within 2×5m bars, cut to half/scratch. • Disqualifiers: Thick support immediately stacks under entry or a 15m acceptance back above 6,396–6,407. Flip Setup (A++ if accepted): Acceptance Long above Pivot Counter-trend unless 15m turns; size accordingly. • Trigger: First 5-minute close ≥ 6,407.5 and the next bar does not reclaim < 6,405. • Entry: 6,407.5 (MOS). • Stop: 6,401.5 (≈6 pts). • Targets: • TP1: 6,418.0 (+10.5 from trigger; acceptable given clean path) • TP2: 6,435.0 (+27.5) • TP3: trail toward 6,446+ if momentum persists. • Disqualifier: Quick slip back < 6,405 after trigger. Timing & Playbook • Primary trade windows: 09:45–11:30 ET and 13:50–15:45 ET. • Powell (10:00 ET): Plan around the speech; entries before the print must have exceptional quality, otherwise wait for post-event structure. • MOC module (15:40–16:10 ET): Use the imbalance as a tiebreaker: modest (<$0.5B) = range; strong (≥$1B) can drive a directional push into the cross.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MyAlgoIndex
Day 14 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Powell Speech CautionWelcome to Day 14 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was a major event day with Powell’s speech on deck, so I played it cautious. With the market under my posted levels and a lot of quick signal flips, I avoided rushing in. Instead, I waited for high-probability setups at major moving average levels and focused only on clean entries. That patience paid off, wrapped up the day with +187.94 while avoiding traps in choppy conditions. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6435 = Flip Bullish Below 6420 = Remain Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
3
S&P 500 (ES1!) : Time For A Pullback From The Highs?In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 18 - 22nd: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P 500 hit ATHs again last week, but the last three trading days were narrow in range. Friday was a bearish close. There is an untested Weekly and Monthly +FVG that price would potentially rebalance before going higher. I believe this will be the draw on liquidity next week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RT_Money
2