SP500 price broke daily 233 EMA again not a good sign for Bull. Short again @ 4400 +/-
The S&P500 / US500 hit this week the 1week MA50 after 7 months. This is a major Support level, considering that it also made contact with the Rising Support of the 2022 market bottom. Also the 1week RSI hit the 12 month Support. As long as the 1week candles close over this, buy and target 4610 (annual High). This may be achieved before the end of the year since...
S&P500 broke for the second time the 200 EMA This time it seem serious with a VIX index above 20 and moving higher, and the S&P500 index on the right top of a huge double top. High yield bonds, war risks and recession risk add fuel to this move. Target for the double top is the area 2630-2525 in the long term. Bullish scenario only above 4600. Worth to be 100%...
The last week proved to be the straw that broke an important support level, to close the week at a recent low. This is very significant as it is the first indication of downward momentum, having bounced off the same support three prior weeks. MACD appears to be deteriorating again in the past week, and the VolDiv is definitely not improving. What this is...
S&P500 is making contact today with the 1D MA200 for the second time in 2 weeks. The 1D technical outlook is naturally bearish (RSI = 38.503, MACD = -22.450, ADX = 29.479) since the 3 month pattern is a Bearish Megaphone and we are on the third selling sequence. It is not necessary to make a new direct hit on the LL trendline as the utmost technical support level...
The S&P500 had a strong rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and made a 3 day bearish streak that brought it today on the verge of testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet again. The last time it made a triple test between 4 days October 03 - 06) and managed to close all candles above it. As a result, if the S&P500 is to recover, it is critical to hold...
The past few days were quite choppy for SPX. However, S&P 500 E-mini Futures have not broken above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That allows us to maintain a bearish stance and keep the recently introduced setup valid. As a result, there is not much to write about today, except for one noteworthy thing that caught our attention overnight: one of the largest...
The S&P500 got rejected twice near the MA50 (1d), causing a 7 day decline. Since the October rise has been stronger so far than this decline, we can consider it as a Bullish Flag. The price is approaching the MA200 (1d), where the October rally basically started. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4380 (MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d)...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/19 This week marks the beginning of the peak of Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers...
The bears are currently in control of the market, but in the bigger picture it is a two-way tape. It's important to note that interest rates are rising across the board. The 30-year rate is above 5% and the 10-year rate is approaching 5%. This is not a positive sign for stocks. As I've mentioned before, interest rates dictate market direction. When rates rise,...
Last several days S&P 500 has been trading sideways since bouncing off its 200 DMA. Any test of yesterday's Low could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 4382 --- 4384 Report to watch: US: Beige Book 2:00 PM ET
It's hard to pick a direction lately, but this 4 hour bear flag into prior support just screams bearish. Will it be a trap though?
ES has shown great strength lately. We've had a bull flag break, retest of that full flag, into more demand. I think we'll see a measured move.
Based on the symmetrical nature of price action after higher timeframe levels are engaged, this is the expected price movement of ES over the next 4-6 trading sessions. This plan is void if ES creates a new low beneath Oct 4, 2023 low.
The S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a larget Bearish Megaphone pattern, which is rising lately to price a Lower High on the Falling Resistance. This creates the potential for two Channel Up patterns, a dotted one more aggressive and a dashed one less aggressive. The determining factor is the 4hour MA50. So far it is holding and favors the more aggressive...
ES Hourly - Simple Analysis. To keep it as simple as possible: 4365 is a key level as clearly depicted. While we are below it, there is bearish sentiment. Above it, bullish. ~4345 is a one hour demand zone because this is where price was able to fill the gap, while also having a strong push above a previous high and breaking above prior resistance. Price has...
📉Bearish Bias Next Week 📉 🔴Weekly IRL Tagged 🔴Strong H4 Bearish PA after Weekly IRL Tag 🔴Looking to short towards Weekly ERL 🎯Target: 4235.5
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 10/13 Today marks the kick off of the Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation - reiterated by this morning's CPI numbers, extremely strong jobs market,...