S&P500 has had a strong rejection on the MA200 (4h) level today. It happened after it rose by +4.70% from last week's low, the same degree of rise as the September 1st Lower High did. Since the pattern is a Falling Megaphone, selling is prioritized. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the first green (4h) candle. Targets: 1. 4300 (-2.40% decline like the September 7th pull...
ESZ2023 Short Shaping Up Price tagged into a weekly FVG and weekly OB. Just had strong bearish shift on H4. Will be hunting M15 short setups on a retrace into H4 premium. Target PWL.
Finally, the SPX rebounded to the level we initially expected it to reach (outlined last Friday). This move was accompanied by a bullish reversal in RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart. To support a continuation higher, we want to see these indicators continue to develop bullish structures. However, to support a thesis that this is merely a correction of...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/12 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation - reiterated by this morning's CPI numbers, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail...
S&P500 hit the 4,375 target of our last signal (chart at the end) and turned neutral on the 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 54.575, MACD = -15.020, ADX = 40.128). The rise is now approaching the 1D MA50, over which the new top was formed before on the LH of the Bearish Megaphone. We will wait for the top and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (TP =...
/ES formed another level of MACD Bearish Divergence near the HOP of this Bearish Bat, and from the $4,400 level of interest after briefly peaking above it. During the PPI release, it has peaked back above it again, but on what seems to be less relative strength, so I overall suspect that it will fail from here and come down to test $4,350, and if that level...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 10/11 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back (per Walmart's CEO)...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased last week. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball...
Equities have rallied for three straight days in a row. Any test of yesterday's High could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 4302 --- 4304 Report to watch: US:FOMC Minutes 2:00 PM ET
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 10/10 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back (per Walmart's CEO)...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased last week. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that...
We have shown numerous times that the S&P500 (SPX) was in a 2.5 month Channel Down/ corrective move but all within the larger Channel Up pattern, which keeps the long-term trend bullish ever since the bottom recovery last October (2022). Much like that bottom which was formed by the rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), 12 months after (October 2023), the...
There is a Bearish Bat with PPO Confirmation and MACD Bearish Divergence visible on the Hourly chart and if it plays out, it is very likely to bring us down to $4250. If that doesn't hold then it could go down to or even below $4000.
Day Trade Market Condition oct 09, 2023 levels for NQ ES CL BTC watch the table left side for trade, right side for trend I hope this message finds you all well. I wanted to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude to each and every one of you who has supported and engaged with my trading ideas and posts here on TradingView. Your views, comments, and...
S&P500 / US500 opened lower today but managed to hold the 4hour MA50 as its Support and is having a big boost intra day. It is not impossible to see one final pull back under the 4hour MA50 again as on August 24th but it's confirmed that this new bullish leg of the Bearish Megaphone is in full motion. Buy and target 4440 (under the 0.786 Fibonacci and top of...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 10/09 The geopolitical tensions with the attacks on Israel could be the main drivers of the market today and for the rest of the week. As we published in our trading plans on Thu. 10/05: "With JOLTS on Tuesday, Initial Jobless Claims Numbers this morning, and Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow, this week is all about Jobs and...
SP500 indeed completed wave A ( Red Circled ), now "pulling back" toward 4445 +/- a confluence zone of :- 1) Fibo 61.8% 2) Down Trendline (red) and etc.. Possible another -17.32%.
Previously mentioned that the supports are being broken. It gave way after an expected bounce. The dip that followed came with confirmation technical signals as well as a lower low… suggesting that there is downward momentum still. Saving grace lies with a pullback rally to end the previous week just above the support line. However, this appears to be futile, with...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 10/06 As we published in our trading plans yesterday, Thu. 10/05: "With JOLTS on Tuesday, Initial Jobless Claims Numbers this morning, and Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow, this week is all about Jobs and Jobs. So far, there is no sign of any letting up in the strength of the Job market". This morning's much stronger than...
Yesterday, the S&P 500 climbed back into our magenta Target Zone, which was important for our primary scenario to remain intact. In the next step, the index should now succeed in surmounting the resistances at 4365 and 4634 in order to establish the high of the magenta wave (v) above these marks. So, for now, it is essential for S&P to push the rise further and to...