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S&P 500 E-Mini Futures

ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Thu (Nov 6)The daily trend has softened following the formation of a lower high. Analysis of the 4-hour chart indicates a bounce that encountered resistance near the 6860–6870 range, subsequently retreating to the 6810 support level. As we look ahead to tomorrow's trading, consider the 6805–6808 range as the key intraday “threshold” while the 6830–6835 zone will serve as the first significant resistance level to watch. Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1; NY KZ 09:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET) 1. Acceptance long from support Trigger: 15m holds S1 6805–6808 → 5m reclaim 6823 VWAP → 5m close above 6830. Entry: 6831–6834 on first 1m HL after the 5m re-close. SL: 6821 (hard) or 15m trigger-wick −0.25–0.50 pt. TP1: 6856–6861 (≥2R gate). TP2: 6870–6873. TP3: 6890–6895 if squeeze. Management: No partials before TP1; at TP1 close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trail before TP2. 2. Rejection fade short from resistance Trigger: Pop into 6856–6861, stall, then 5m full-body re-close back below 6856 with 1m LH. Entry: 6850–6854. SL: 6864.25 (hard) or 15m wick +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6830–6832. TP2: 6823 VWAP. TP3: 6805–6808. Note: If 5m re-claims 6861 after entry, exit early; setup invalid. 3. Breakdown continuation short Trigger: 5m body close below 6805 with retest fail from beneath. Entry: 6800–6803. SL: 6810.75 (hard) or 15m wick +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6790–6795. TP2: 6768–6772. TP3: 6747–6752. Note: If reclaim and 5m closes back above 6808, cancel. 4. Breakout continuation long Trigger: 5m acceptance above 6861 and hold on retest. Entry: 6862–6865 on first 1m HL. SL: 6853.25. TP1: 6870–6873. TP2: 6885–6890. TP3: 6905–6912. Note: If acceptance fails (5m body back under 6861), flip bias back to fade R3. Event map for Thursday (ET) FOMC meeting Day 1 (runs Thu–Fri; Fed is not affected). EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage 10:30. Most BLS/DOL macro releases (e.g., Productivity & Costs, Weekly Jobless Claims) are suspended during the shutdown. Expect fewer 8:30 prints and thinner liquidity until the cash open.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups for Wed (Nov 5th)News & timing (ET): ADP 8:15; ISM Services PMI 10:00; EIA Crude 10:30. Release status: all three are scheduled to run (not shutdown-affected). Bias & context: Short-term trend remains lower after a sequence of 15m lower-highs/lows and failure to hold 6,793–6,805. Expect dip-buys to be sold unless 6,860+ is reclaimed and defended. Overnight → NY forecast: Base path: probe 6,748–6,756 into Asia/London, bounce to 6,793–6,805, then decide at NY open. Lose 6,748 on momentum and the magnet becomes 6,713–6,725. Alt squeeze: reclaim and hold above 6,852–6,860, push to the 6,900–6,906 “gate”, then 6,940–6,955. Only above 6,955 can 6,968–6,985 and 7,020–7,052 come into play. Bear extension: clean break and 15m body acceptance below 6,713–6,725 opens 6,660s (deeper extension) before any meaningful bounce. Key-Zones Resistance (top→bottom): 7,020–7,052 premium band (W3 major; first touch favors profit-taking) 6,968–6,985 measured-extension / weak-high pocket (W2) 6,940–6,955 prior distribution top / supply shelf (W2) 6,900–6,906 immediate ceiling “gate” (W2 pivotal) Support (top→bottom): 6,852–6,860 defended floor / quick-reclaim bounce zone (W2) 6,793–6,805 swing-equilibrium magnet (W2) 6,748–6,756 next demand shelf / measured support (W2) 6,713–6,725 extension target and last strong shelf before deeper repricing (W3) Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1) Rejection Fade (short): sell 6,852–6,860 or 6,900–6,906 after a 15m rejection close back inside → 5m re-close in your favor; use the 15m wick +0.25–0.50 pts as hard SL. TP1 = next opposing MAJOR level (e.g., 6,805 then 6,756). Acceptance Continuation (long): only after a full-body 15m close above 6,860 and a 5m pullback that holds; target 6,900–6,906 → 6,940–6,955; invalidate on a 15m close back below 6,852. Quick-Reclaim Bounce (Tier-2): flush into 6,748–6,756, instant reclaim on 1–5m, enter on first HL; TP1 = 6,793–6,805; invalidate on a 15m close back below the shelf. Exhaustion Flush (Tier-3): if 6,748 breaks with force and a 15m body holds below, sell the first 1–5m LH; TP1 = 6,713–6,725; runner eyes 6,660s if momentum persists. Risk & management (use consistently): Instructions: only take a setup if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick SL. At TP1: close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; runner aims TP2 at the next major level. No trailing before TP2. Time-stop 45–60m if neither TP1 nor SL hits. Max 2 attempts per level per session. Kill-zones (ET): London 02:00–05:00 (optional ½–¾ size); NY AM 09:30–11:00 (primary); NY PM 13:30–16:00 (primary). Manage only 12:00–13:00. What flips decision: Bullish: sustained 15m acceptance above 6,860 then above 6,906 turns path toward 6,940–6,955 → 6,968–6,985. Bearish: 15m acceptance below 6,748 invites 6,713–6,725; losing that level opens 6,660s before any notable bounce.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Day 62 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Burry’s Big ShortRecap & Trades Day 62 — started red from overnight orders but recovered fast by staying disciplined. The market opened strong but started fading right at Bia’s resistance, so I shifted my bias and played structure reversals instead of fighting the trend. By midday, I was back green, ending with a clean +$422 and 5-for-5 signal accuracy. Lesson & Mindset When big headlines like “Michael Burry shorting the market” hit, most traders panic. But in reality, it’s about staying grounded in structure. Noise doesn’t pay — consistency does. News & Levels Futures dropped as Burry’s short position went public and bubble talk resurfaced. It’s the perfect reminder that sentiment flips fast — and you’ve got to react, not predict. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6890 bullish, below 6865 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
S&P500 Possibly the last buy signal before Bull Cycle ends.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a 5-month Channel Up and is currently about to complete its latest Bearish Leg. All such pull-back sequences have reached at least the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) before rebounding and kick-starting the next Bullish Leg, with the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) providing the ultimate Support of this pattern. As a result, especially since the 4H RSI also hit the 30.00 oversold barrier, we expect the index to initiate the new Bullish Leg and aim for a Higher High near the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 7150. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
4
Day 61 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Focused on the Grand CupRecap & Trades Day 61 — I shifted focus entirely to the Tradeify Grand Cup tourney account. Instead of trading multiple accounts, I traded larger — up to 2 ES contracts — and kept everything clean and simple. The morning structure was bearish, so I shorted early and caught 20–30 point moves before flipping at 10:40 for the reversal. Throughout the day, I played structure and gamma zones just like we do inside the VX Algo system. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes, focus beats multitasking. Trading one account with intention often leads to better results than juggling multiple screens. And when you scale up, you realize that discipline matters more than direction. News & Levels Big takeaway from today — Fed’s Daly said the October rate cut was appropriate and they’ll keep an open mind for December. That kind of language tells us the Fed is keeping optionality alive. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6910 bullish, below 6893 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DiYWALLST
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Tue (Nov 4th)Bias & context Range-to-slightly-bearish intraday while price remains capped under 6,900–6,906. A clean 15m body close above that “gate” shifts bias to the upside toward 6,940→6,985. Lose 6,852–6,860 on a 15m body-through and the path opens to 6,805→6,756. The key levels remain unchanged. Setups (15m→5m→1m) Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906: tag and 15m close back below → use the first 5m re-close lower and enter short on the 1m pullback; TP1 = 6,860, TP2 = 6,805, TP3 = 6,756; hard SL = 15m wick high +0.50. Acceptance Continuation through 6,906: 15m full-body close above → buy the 5m pullback that holds; TP1 = 6,940–6,955, TP2 = 6,968–6,985; invalidation = a 15m close back inside ≤6,900. Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860: sweep and instant reclaim → long back toward 6,900 “gate”; if the reclaim fails, stand aside and wait for the body-through short. Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756: only on a fast flush; first-touch responsive long back to 6,793–6,805; invalidate on a decisive 15m body-through below 6,748. Kill-zones (ET) NY AM 09:30–11:00 primary execution window; NY PM 13:30–16:00 continuation / reversal window. Calendar & shutdown check JOLTS (Sep) is scheduled for Tue, Nov 4 at 10:00 ET, but BLS warns releases may be delayed during the shutdown. Treat this as tentative. ADP National Employment Report (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 08:15 ET and is unaffected (private release). ISM Services PMI (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 10:00 ET and is unaffected (private release). Census/Commerce releases on Tue (Trade Balance, Factory Orders) are on the calendar, but federal data dissemination is paused under the shutdown; expect postponements. Major earnings Tue, Nov 4 (pre-market) include SHOP, UBER, PFE, SPOT, ETN, RACE, APO, MAR, TRI, ZTS, MPC, MPLX. Management: Instruction notes: only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1 close 70% and park 30% at BE; runner aims the next level. No trailing before TP2. Max 2 attempts per level per session.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
ES (SPX, SPY) Week Ahead Analysis, Nov 3rd - Nov 7thMarket Context The price is currently positioned just below a key near-term resistance level at 6,900–6,906, following a sharp reversal on Friday from around 6,845. The daily and 4-hour structures indicate an incomplete "weak-high" area above, but the 1-hour momentum has just shifted upward from oversold conditions. As we move into the Asia/London sessions, I anticipate a balance formation within the upper half of the previous session unless we see a decisive 15-minute close above 6,906. Short — Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906 Trigger: 15m rejection close back below the band → 5m re-close down with a lower high → 1m first pullback fail. SL: Above the 15m wick high +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,880 → 6,860 (≥2.0R gate). TP2: 6,805. Notes: If a retest holds below 6,900, add on a fresh 1m LH. Short — Rejection Fade at 6,940–6,955 Trigger: Same 15m→5m→1m sequence as above. SL: Above the band’s 15m wick +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,880–6,860; stretch TP3: 6,805. Long — Acceptance Continuation above 6,906 Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,906 → 5m pullback holds and re-closes up → 1m HL entry. SL: 5m pullback low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,940–6,955; TP2: 6,968–6,985; stretch TP3: 7,020–7,052. Notes: If 6,906 holds as support on retest, consider scaling on a clean 1m HL. Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860 Trigger: Sweep/flush below the band and instant reclaim (1–3m), confirmed by a 5m re-close up → 1m HL entry. SL: Below the sweep low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,940–6,955. Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,793–6,805 Trigger: Same reclaim logic; prefer fast tag → quick pop. SL: Below the 5m reclaim low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,860; TP2: 6,900; optional TP3: 6,940. Long — Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756 (stretch 6,713–6,725) Trigger: Fast liquidation into the band + momentum divergence → 5m reversal close → 1m HL entry. SL: Below the exhaustion low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,793–6,805; TP2: 6,860; trail only after TP2. Short — Continuation Below 6,852 Trigger: 15m body-through below 6,852 that holds on retest → 5m LH → 1m pullback entry. SL: Above the 15m break wick +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,805; TP2: 6,756; stretch TP3: 6,725. KILL-ZONES & EXECUTION NOTES Primary execution windows: NY AM 09:30–11:00 and NY PM 13:30–16:00. London 02:00–05:00 optional, reduced size. Asia optional, smallest size. Stops & viability: Anchor hard SLs to the relevant 15m wick; only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R. Max two attempts per level per session. At TP1: close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2. WEEK AHEAD GAME PLAN If Monday holds above 6,860 and forms a higher low, the outlook is modestly bullish, aiming for a move toward 6,940–6,955 early to mid-week. A decisive daily close above 6,955 would suggest a rally into the 6,968–6,985 range, with the potential to extend further to 7,020–7,052 later in the week. Conversely, if the price falls back below 6,852, the scenario shifts to a mean-reversion week, targeting 6,805 and then 6,756, with 6,713 as a potential stretch target.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Buy This Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P500 is bullish, and buys are valid. Price is currently in a +FVG, so looking for sells is prohibited! If the +FVG fails, only then will buys become invalid. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by RT_Money
SPY 30 minute outlook for 3 to 7 NovemberThe most important thing first Only trade at the map levels. For this week that list is short. 678, 682, 685, 690, and the gap zone 671 to 672. Everything else is noise until price reaches one of these spots. Your job is to listen for acceptance or rejection at the level, then act with a small number of simple rules. Why this matters this week The last print on Friday was near 682. Buyers defended higher lows for two weeks, yet supply still lurks above 685. This creates a tight battlefield where patience has an edge. We also walk into a week with event windows that can move liquidity at specific times. That makes a level based plan far more useful than chasing mid range impulses. The map you can trade Place these levels on a clean thirty minute chart. No indicators are required for the core read. 700 round number magnet. Respect the gravity if price runs 690 first upside checkpoint above the band 685 first breakout gate. Acceptance here often pulls price into 690 682 pivot around Friday close. That is the middle of the week map 678 first support inside balance 671 to 672 open gap zone from late October 665 next shelf under the gap 661 to 662 fifty day context on the daily, not a trigger but important reference Mark a simple session based VWAP if you like, only as a way to define impulse and pullback structure. If VWAP pins near 682 during cash hours, treat that as the intraday axle. Catalysts to respect Write the event times directly on your chart. Private payrolls, the two ISM prints, and Treasury supply updates are the likely spark plugs. The idea is not to predict the number. The idea is to protect your risk into the time stamp and let the reaction tell you when to press or stand down. Most reactions that stick will retest a level. That is the entry you want. Three rules for entries and exits Keep it simple. You need only three. Break and hold Above 685 for fifteen minutes, buy the first pullback that holds the breakout line. Use the impulse low as your stop. First target 690. If momentum stays firm, trail under higher swing lows and let the tape pull you toward 700. If the retest under 685 appears, stand aside and wait for a clean reclaim before trying again. Reject and rotate If price rejects 685 early and bleeds back under 682, fade pushes back into 682 only when the tape is balanced and liquidity is thick. First target the other edge at 678. Second target is a test of the 671 to 672 gap zone. Cut the idea if a higher low forms above 682 and buyers reclaim the pivot. Explore and revert If 678 breaks and fails to reclaim, let price explore 671 to 672. Two ways to trade it. Either do nothing and stalk reversal structure inside the gap zone, or short failed bounces that cannot get back above 678 with a target at the top of the gap. In both cases the invalidation is a fast reclaim of 682 with improving tape. How to size and manage Define one Discipline unit for the week. That is your full risk per idea Use one half unit when you trade against the outer edge of the weekly options expected move. At Monday open write the current expected move upper and lower bounds on your chart and treat them as fences for scaling Take partials into logical magnets. Into 690 from a 685 break. Into 678 from a 682 rejection. Into 671 to 672 after a 678 failure. The objective is to convert risk into house money early, then trail with intent What to watch intraday A breadth or depth improvement during a 685 reclaim. That is usually the cleanest long of the day. You will see it in tape speed and order book thickness rather than in oscillators A stall near 690 with lower highs on five minute bars. That is usually the place to stop pressing longs and to hand the rest of the work to the trail A false break under 678 that immediately rips back through 682. That is the place to flip your bias for a rotation toward 685 again Scenarios in plain language Trend continuation If buyers clear 685 and hold it on the retest, the path of least resistance is higher. Aim for a measured push into 690. If the tape is squeezing and liquidity stays supportive you can keep a runner for a look at 700. The evidence you need is simple. Higher lows on five and ten minute bars and no heavy selling into the bid. Range rotation If we reject 685 early, expect a ping pong week between 678 and 685 with a pivot near 682. You fade the edge only when the tape is calm. You do not fade when a data release has just hit, because the first reaction can keep running. Pullback to value If 678 gives way and cannot reclaim, let it go. The highest quality buy zone is down near 671 to 672 where trapped shorts may cover. The first long is often the retest that holds the top of the gap and prints a higher low on five minute bars. Risk and discipline Cut losers fast at the level, not in the middle of the range Never widen stops during event minutes Do not add size mid range. Add only at the level after confirmation If you take three trades and all three fail to hold structure, step away for an hour. That reset often saves the day Closing note You do not need ten indicators and a dozen opinions this week. You need five levels, three rules, and one risk unit. Write them down. Trade only when price comes to you. Let the market do the heavy lifting. Reminder Education and analytics only. No advice. No guarantees. Process beats prediction.
AMEX:SPY
by exlux
S&P Nearing Major Resistance (Update)This updates my previous S&P chart back last year showing the S&P still had room to run until any major resistance. We're nearing that major resistance at 7577. Looks like it might hit around January 2026. The trouble is this trend is heating up and we needed a pullback to 6295. With all the excitement from Nvidia and other major Hyperscalers I'm worried it's going to just go straight to Major resistance. *If it does* we could be looking at a decently large pullback next year (finishing around August) down to that 6295 area and back into the supporting trend line for the next big uptrend to start. If however we slow down here and get a pullback back to 6295 then I think we're good to make it over the major resistance without that big pullback next year. Either way once we hit the major resistance at 7577 we'll need to get close to that lower trend line at some point to begin a new bull run. Good luck and take caution as we approach this resistance!
SP:SPX
by bwy
Day 60 — Trading Only S&P Futures | 10-for-10 Green TradesStick around — at the end, I’ll break down the key levels I’m watching for tomorrow. Let’s go. Recap & Trades Day 60 — another clean session. We started the day with a bearish structure, so my plan was simple: wait for price to reach the 1-minute MOB and short it. Every trade lined up with VX Algo confirmations — short, lock profit, repeat. I was already up after the first few setups, and once I realized I was 10-for-10 on trades, I stopped. Lesson & Mindset This was a great reminder that it’s not about trading more — it’s about trading better. Consistency doesn’t come from being in the market all day; it comes from having discipline to stop when the job’s done. News & Levels The quiet story today — liquidity is draining from the system. US bank reserves just fell to $2.8 trillion, the lowest since 2020. That’s worth watching closely in the weeks ahead. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6915 bullish, below 6895 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Fri (Oct 31st)Kill-zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00; manage 12:00–13:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00. Event (Fri): 9:45 ET Chicago PMI (unaffected by shutdown). Upside continuation (LONG): 6,910 flips to support with a 15m close above → 5m pullback holds → 1m HL entry. SL: 15m trigger-wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1 6,928; TP2 6,945–6,955; TP3 6,980–7,000. Quick-reclaim bounce at 6,889–6,888: sweep and instant reclaim → ride to 6,898 → 6,904–6,910. Pop-and-fail shorts (SHORT): Reject 6,904–6,910 then 15m closes back under 6,904 → 5m LH entry. SL: 15m wick. TP1 6,898; TP2 6,889; TP3 6,879. Clean breakdown of 6,889 with a 15m close ≤6,887 → 5m LH entry. TP1 6,879; TP2 6,865; TP3 6,845. Management & risk Viability gate: only take a trade if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1: close 70%, set the 30% runner to BE; runner aims TP2→TP3. Max two attempts per level per session.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
Day 59 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$142 & Netflix Split Recap & Trades Day 59 — started off strong shorting 6930 resistance right out the gate. Those early plays hit perfectly, and I built up about +$300 in profit. Later, I got a little greedy — took a risky end-of-day setup, got stopped out right before a recovery, and ended up finishing at +$142. Could’ve been a bigger day, but I’ll take a green close any time I stick to the plan. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes the best win is walking away with discipline intact. Once you’re up early, your focus should shift from “how much can I make” to “how well can I protect it.” That mindset compounds long-term consistency. News & Levels Big market story today — Netflix just announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6920 bullish, below 6875 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DiYWALLST
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Thur (Oct 30th)Bias: Neutral → mild-bullish while 6,922 holds; momentum unlocks only on acceptance above the 6,966–6,972 pocket. Setups — Rejection Fade (short): Tag 6,966–6,972 and print a 15m rejection close back inside, then a 5m re-close lower with a lower high, then take the 1m first-pullback fail. Stop = 15m wick high +0.25–0.50. TP1 = 6,940. TP2 = 6,922. Runner aims 6,885. Setups — Acceptance Continuation (long): 15m full-body close above 6,972, 5m pullback holds and re-closes, then 1m higher-low entry. Stop = 6,966 wick. TP1 = 7,000. TP2 = 7,017. Stretch into low 7,040s if momentum persists. Setups— Quick-Reclaim Bounce (long): Flush into 6,922–6,926 that instantly reclaims on 15m, 5m re-close confirms, then 1m higher-low entry. Stop = 6,916. TP1 = 6,940. TP2 = 6,966–6,972. Setups — Breakdown Continuation (short): 15m body through 6,922 that holds below on a 5m retest. Stop = 6,929–6,932. TP1 = 6,900. TP2 = 6,885. Stretch 6,858 if pressure accelerates. Management: only take a setup if TP1 is at least 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1, close 70% and set the 30% runner to break-even; runner targets the next opposing major level. No trailing before TP2. Maximum two attempts per level per session. Invalidation: Bull idea is invalid below 6,916 (loss of the AS shelf). Bear idea is invalid once there is 15m acceptance and hold above 6,972 with 5m higher-low structure. Notes: Expect headline sensitivity. If we rip into 6,966–6,972 without a 15m close above, favor the fade. If we grind above and hold, ride acceptance toward 7,000 then 7,017.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
Day 58 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$304 & Easy FOMC GainsRecap & Trades Day 58 — clean and easy. We had some conflicting signals early, but once the structure aligned, it became a straightforward session. The key takeaway today was how FOMC movement tends to cap between 30–60 points, which makes it easy to plan trades if you size stops properly. Overall, simple setups, small size, steady gain — +$304 for the day. Lesson & Mindset You don’t have to trade aggressively to make progress. Low-effort, high-consistency days are often where real edge compounds. I’m learning that keeping your head calm on choppy news-driven days is what separates pros from gamblers. News & Levels Powell’s comments cooled expectations for further rate cuts, causing the Dow to fade late in the session. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6885 bullish, below 6840 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
4
Day 57 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$27 & Staying DisciplinedRecap & Trades Day 57 — a slower day, but still a win for discipline. We had X7 sell signals flashing early, hinting at downside, but the market structure stayed bullish and DP buy signals kept showing up. I went long near the MOB zone at 11:30, got shaken out on a quick drop at 11:35, and eventually decided to step aside. Closed for a small gain of +$27.50. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes the right play is to walk away. When signals conflict, overtrading only leads to frustration. Days like this are great reminders that trading small and reviewing later can be just as productive as hitting big wins. News & Levels Main headline — S&P 500 hit a new record high today ahead of major tech earnings. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6885 bullish, below 6840 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Wed (Oct 29)As we look at the current market conditions, the price is hovering just below the 6939-6946 resistance level. We should anticipate a test of this ceiling soon. A solid acceptance above 6946 on the 15-minute chart would likely trigger a movement towards the 6965-6975 range, which we can expect to see during the afternoon session in NY. In terms of our range path, if we see rejection in the 6939-6946 zone, we will need to monitor for rotations between 6939, 6928, and 6916. A clean break beyond any of these levels will help establish our direction moving forward. On the downside, a decisive 15-minute close below the 6916-6912 area could lead us back to the 6900-6896 levels. If that support fails, we could see a drop to 6892-6888, and then down to 6883-6880. Persistent acceptance below our S5 level would promote a further decline towards 6868-6864 and potentially trigger the gap references. Lastly, I want to highlight that we should expect a compression-to-expansion behavior in the market. Thus, the first acceptance beyond R1 or below S0 will likely dictate the market's direction for the day. Level-KZ Protocol (15/5/1). Execute inside London 02:00–05:00 (opt), NY AM 09:30–11:00, NY PM 13:30–16:00. Working levels: R2 6965–6975; R1 6939–6946; MP 6928–6924; S0 6916–6912; S2 6900–6896; S3 6892–6888; S4 6883–6880; S5 6878–6874. SETUP 1 — Acceptance-Continuation LONG (through R1) Trigger: 15m close ≥ 6946, then 5m pullback holds above 6940 and re-closes; 1m HL entry. Entry: 6942–6946 on the reclaim/HL. SL: Hard SL below the 15m pullback wick (typically 6937–6939) ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6965–6975 (R2). TP2: Leave runner only if momentum persists beyond R2 during NY PM. Invalidation: 15m close back under 6939 with a 5m LH. SETUP 2 — Rejection-Fade SHORT (at R1) Trigger: Sweep into 6939–6946 that fails → 15m close back inside; 5m LH + 1m first pullback failure. Entry: 6937–6943 on the fail. SL: 6948–6950. TP1: 6928–6924 (MP). TP2: 6916–6912 (S0). Stretch: 6900–6896 (S2) if acceptance forms below S0. Invalidation: 15m acceptance ≥ 6946. SETUP 3 — Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG (MP) Trigger: Fast flush into 6928–6924 that instantly reclaims on 1m and prints a 5m re-close. Entry: 6926–6929 on the reclaim. SL: 6923.25–6923.75. TP1: 6939–6946 (R1). TP2: 6965–6975 (R2) only after 15m acceptance through R1. Invalidation: 15m close back below 6924. SETUP 4 — Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG (S0 flip) Trigger: Sweep/flush into 6916–6912, immediate reclaim → 5m re-close. Entry: 6917–6920 on strength back above 6916. SL: 6911.50–6912.00. TP1: 6928–6924 (MP). TP2: 6939–6946 (R1). Invalidation: 15m body-through below 6912. SETUP 5 — Back-Inside Failure SHORT (under S2) Trigger: 15m body close < 6896, then 5m retest of 6900–6896 holds from below. Entry: 6898–6900 on the fail. SL: 6903.00–6903.50. TP1: 6892–6888 (S3). TP2: 6883–6880 (S4). Stretch: 6878–6874 (S5) — expect bounce attempts. Invalidation: 15m reclaim ≥ 6900 with 5m re-close.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
4
S&P500 Is it approaching the end of this Cycle?The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the October 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Since the July 2024 High, it also entered a shorter term Megaphone and those two patterns resemble the 2016 - 2019 Megaphones that emerged straight after the 2015 E.U. crisis and China's slowdown. As you can see, the 1W RSI sequences among the two fractals are also very similar and the Cycles seem to be repeated with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as the Support in times of aggressive uptrends, while the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) acting as the Support of the Bear Cycles/ correction phases. The former Megaphone peaked in early 2020 on its 1.618 Fibonacci extension. On the current pattern that Fib is at 7100 and may very well get hit by the end of this year. If it does, the probabilities of a strong technical correction towards the 1W MA200 and the bottom of the long-term Bullish Megaphone, rise dramatically. Especially if at the same time, the 1W RSI turns overbought well above the 70.00 barrier. It is also worth noting that 1W RSI levels below 35.00 are a strong technical Buy Signal. Long-term investors may seek to use this as a complimentary indicator in case this sharp correction materializes. So do you think SPX will start correcting if it hits that level by early next year? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
6
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Tue (Oct 28th)ES Context: The trend is upward on the higher time frame, approaching a "weak-high" area just above the previous day's high (PDH). With FOMC Day-1 and consumer confidence news approaching, I expect the Asia and London sessions to trade within a range around or below the PDH, with a risk of a sweep and retest before any potential extension. The bias is slightly bullish as long as we remain above yesterday’s value area. The invalidation point is a 15-minute close below the previous day's low (PDL). Setup 1 — Long above R1 (acceptance continuation) Trigger: 15m full-body close ≥ 6912, then 5m pullback holds/re-closes above 6912. Entry: 6913–6915 Stop: 6905 TP1: 6924–6930 TP2: 6965–6975 Cancel: if retest fails to hold above 6912. Setup 2 — Short at R1 (rejection fade) Trigger: Probe ≥ 6912 fails; 15m closes back below 6909; 5m LH re-close. Entry: 6907–6910 Stop: 6917 TP1: 6900–6896 TP2: 6883–6880 Runner: 6878 → 6867.50 if momentum continues. Setup 3 — Long from GMid (partial gap-fill reclaim ) Trigger: Wick into 6852–6855, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6856. Entry: 6856–6858 Stop: 6848 TP1: 6867.50 (GTop) TP2: 6900–6906 Setup 4 — Long from GBot (full gap-fill reversal) Trigger: Fast tag of 6841–6842, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6846. Entry: 6846–6848 on retest hold Stop: 6836 TP1: 6854.25 (GMid) TP2: 6867.50 (GTop) Cancel: 15m body closes back below 6841. Execution rules Trade inside kill-zones only (London 02:00–05:00 ET; NY AM 09:30–11:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00). Take a setup only if TP1 ≥ 2.0R versus the stated stop. At TP1 close 70% and set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2. Catalysts for Tue, Oct 28 (all times ET; all listed items expected to proceed despite the shutdown) 09:00 — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (private release). 10:00 — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (private release). All day — FOMC Meeting (Day-1) begins; Day-2 statement/PC tomorrow. 13:00 — U.S. Treasury auctions (notes/bills as scheduled). FYI tomorrow (Wed): 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (on schedule).
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES (SPX, SPY) - Week-Ahead Analysis, Levels Oct 27th - 31stBig picture (D/4H/1H ) Price is pressing a thin ceiling at 6,875–6,895. With ES at ATHs, the next upside extension targets sit at 6,968 → 7,044 → 7,128 on 4H. HTF trend is up, but intraday is stretched and vulnerable to a sweep-and-revert before any fresh leg. Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1) 1) Rejection Fade at R1 (Tier-1 A++): Look for a sweep above 6,888–6,895, then a 15m close back inside the band → 5m re-close under ~6,885 → take the first 1m pullback that stalls below. Entry: 6,886–6,892 on the retest from beneath SL: above the sweep wick (15m anchor) TP1: 6,845–6,835 (S2); TP2: 6,823–6,812 (S3); TP3: 6,798–6,784 (S4) Viability check: TP1 ≥ ~2R vs 15m-wick SL. At TP1 close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2. 2) Acceptance Continuation above R1 (Tier-1 A++): If 15m full-body closes ≥6,895, treat that as acceptance. 5m pullback holds 6,892–6,895 → buy the 1m HL. Entry: 6,893–6,898 hold SL: below 6,885 (15m wick anchor) TP1: 6,968–6,975 (R3); TP2: 7,040–7,052 (R4) Invalidation: 15m body back below 6,885. 3) Quick-Reclaim Bounce at S2 (Tier-2 A+): Fast flush into 6,845–6,835, tag/sweep, then immediate 1m reclaim with a 5m re-close back above ~6,840. Entry: on the reclaim/pullback that holds 6,838–6,842 SL: under 6,832 (15m wick) TP1: 6,888–6,895 (R1); TP2: 6,916–6,922 (R2) 4) Exhaustion Flush Bounce at S4 (Tier-3 A): If selling extends to 6,798–6,784 with momentum divergence/absorption, buy the first 1m reclaim that converts 6,792–6,796 into a floor. SL: under 6,780 (15m wick) TP1: 6,823–6,812 (S3); TP2: 6,845–6,835 (S2); optional TP3 6,888–6,895 (R1) Week-ahead catalysts to watch (plan risk around these) • Tue: Conference Board Consumer Confidence 10:00 ET. • Wed (AMC): MSFT earnings. • Thu 08:30 ET: US Q3 GDP (Advance); Thu (AMC): AAPL and AMZN earnings. • Fri 08:30 ET: Personal Income & Outlays (incl. PCE); Fri 09:45 ET: Chicago PMI. Expect headline-driven jolts around 08:30 ET Thu/Fri and at the big tech calls after the bell.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Wait For Valid Buy Setups!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P500 closed last week at ATHs. I expect more of the same next week. Look for valid dip buying opportunities, my friends. If the market disrespects the +OB, then buys become invalidated. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by RT_Money
1
Is ES1! Setting Up for Another Leg Up? Layer Entry Plan💼 ES1! | E-Mini S&P 500 Futures | Thief Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀📈 📊 Plan: Bullish Bias We are mapping the ES1! (E-Mini S&P 500 Futures) with a thief layering strategy for flexible swing/day trading. Thief Entry Layers (Layering Strategy Method) Instead of “one-shot” entries, we use multiple buy limit layers to scale into the move. 💰 Example entry levels: 🔹 6720 🔹 6740 🔹 6760 (👉 Add more layers if you wish, that’s the thief flexibility 🔑) 🛡 Stop-Loss (Thief SL) 📉 6680 ⚠ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to strictly follow my SL. Manage your own risk — protect your capital thief-style. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape Zone) 📈 6900 — key resistance area + potential overbought zone = possible bull trap! 💡 Escape with profits thief-style before the market traps late buyers. ⚠ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to strictly follow my TP. Take your own exit when you steal your bag. 🔑 Key Points & Correlations 🟢 ES1! (S&P 500 futures) often correlates with: CME_MINI:NQ1! (Nasdaq Futures) 📡 Tech-driven momentum CBOT_MINI:YM1! (Dow Futures) 🏦 Old-school industrials CME_MINI:RTY1! (Russell Futures) 📈 Small-cap sentiment gauge TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) ⚡ Inverse relationship with risk-on moves Watching these markets helps filter fake pumps and identify real liquidity grabs. ⚡ Thief Trading Philosophy This is not about exact entries — it’s about layering, adapting, and escaping with profits before the crowd realizes. Steal pips. Escape traps. Repeat. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy Map, created just for fun and market observation. This is NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always manage your capital wisely. #ES1 #SP500 #SPX #Futures #DayTrading #SwingTrading #IndexTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #ScalpAndRun
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by The-Thief
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Fri (Oct 24)ES Two-Way Plan (A++) — Level-KZ 15/5/1 Calendar (ET) — Fri Oct 24: 08:30 CPI (Sept). 09:45 S&P Global flash Manufacturing/Services PMIs. 10:00 Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (final). 14:00 Federal Reserve Board open meeting. Expect compression into 08:30 → expansion on release; execute inside NY AM 09:30–11:00 and PM 13:30–16:00 only. Bias & overnight→NY forecast: Into CPI, lean range-bound 6,770–6,787. A clean hold above the “weak-high” pocket should squeeze toward the 1.272–1.618 extension band; failure back inside favors a drift to the breakout shelves below. Treat the first post-CPI impulse as discovery; take the next confirmed 15m/5m/1m sequence only. Setups - Level-KZ execution (15m→5m→1m) 1) Short Rejection Fade @ 6,785–6,787 (W3): 15m rejection closes back inside → 5m re-close below ~6,783.5 with LH → enter first 1m pullback that stalls beneath the shelf. SL: above the 15m rejection wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,776–6,777. TP2: 6,759–6,762. TP3: 6,739–6,744. 2) Long Acceptance Continuation > 6,797 (W3): 15m full-body close above 6,797 → 5m pullback holds/re-closes → 1m HL entry. SL: below the 15m trigger/pullback wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,818 (1.618). TP2: 6,830–6,835. 3) Long Quick-Reclaim Bounce @ 6,759–6,762 (W2): fast flush into the shelf → instant reclaim (15m wick, 5m re-close back above) → 1m HL entry. SL: below the 15m flush wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,776–6,777. TP2: 6,785–6,787. 4) Short Acceptance Breakdown < 6,759 (W2): 15m body-through below 6,759 → 5m confirms → 1m LH entry. SL: above 15m trigger wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,739–6,744. TP2: 6,720–6,725.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1