Is S&P 500 about to “CRASH”? Are we rushing into the possible next Big Short? So the S&P 500 futures contracts are depreciating in value, yes. Yet we foresaw this series of events. Has it been a rapid decline? No. The Price Action and structure continues sound. There is no sign yet of panic or rapid selling signaling the Risk Off scenario all are predicting. Do...
S&P500 is almost technically oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 30.205, MACD = -54.210, ADX = 37.499) with the price reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level from the March 13th Low. The last time the RSI was at 30.000 was on October 3rd, the previous LL of the Bearish Megaphone pattern. The two bullish sequences of this pattern have been around +4.60%. Since this is a...
Elon Musk still sees danger ahead for the US economy if the Fed does not contain the regional banking crisis. Financial blog Zero Hedge previously tweeted about the critical role of small and medium-sized banks in the US financial system — a hot topic following the sharp collapse this month of Silicon Valley Bank, a technology startup lender and the first bank to...
This naturally rimes with the Nasdaq signals and with the overall global equities outlook. Here, two opposing forces are the most significant factor; 1) The unfolding (and enduring!) USD strength - Downward pressure ; 2) The massive, continuously inbound (to US) capital flows , primarily from Europe - Upward pressure . Driven by the rapidly unraveling ...
There are looming risks that could "break" the US economy and end its current growth cycle. Third-quarter GDP estimates are tracking above 5% and the US economy has added more than 2 million jobs year-to-date. But there are three looming risks that could "break" the stock market and economy and end its current growth cycle, according to a Tuesday note from Ned...
Markets ability to rally yesterday afternoon after a late morning sell off is encouraging. Any test of ETH Low could provide direction for the day. Level to watch 4262 --- 4260 Reports to watch: US: New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET US:EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
SP500 price broke daily 233 EMA again not a good sign for Bull. Short again @ 4400 +/-
The S&P500 / US500 hit this week the 1week MA50 after 7 months. This is a major Support level, considering that it also made contact with the Rising Support of the 2022 market bottom. Also the 1week RSI hit the 12 month Support. As long as the 1week candles close over this, buy and target 4610 (annual High). This may be achieved before the end of the year since...
S&P500 broke for the second time the 200 EMA This time it seem serious with a VIX index above 20 and moving higher, and the S&P500 index on the right top of a huge double top. High yield bonds, war risks and recession risk add fuel to this move. Target for the double top is the area 2630-2525 in the long term. Bullish scenario only above 4600. Worth to be 100%...
The last week proved to be the straw that broke an important support level, to close the week at a recent low. This is very significant as it is the first indication of downward momentum, having bounced off the same support three prior weeks. MACD appears to be deteriorating again in the past week, and the VolDiv is definitely not improving. What this is...
S&P500 is making contact today with the 1D MA200 for the second time in 2 weeks. The 1D technical outlook is naturally bearish (RSI = 38.503, MACD = -22.450, ADX = 29.479) since the 3 month pattern is a Bearish Megaphone and we are on the third selling sequence. It is not necessary to make a new direct hit on the LL trendline as the utmost technical support level...
The S&P500 had a strong rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and made a 3 day bearish streak that brought it today on the verge of testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet again. The last time it made a triple test between 4 days October 03 - 06) and managed to close all candles above it. As a result, if the S&P500 is to recover, it is critical to hold...
The past few days were quite choppy for SPX. However, S&P 500 E-mini Futures have not broken above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That allows us to maintain a bearish stance and keep the recently introduced setup valid. As a result, there is not much to write about today, except for one noteworthy thing that caught our attention overnight: one of the largest...
The S&P500 got rejected twice near the MA50 (1d), causing a 7 day decline. Since the October rise has been stronger so far than this decline, we can consider it as a Bullish Flag. The price is approaching the MA200 (1d), where the October rally basically started. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4380 (MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d)...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/19 This week marks the beginning of the peak of Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers...
The bears are currently in control of the market, but in the bigger picture it is a two-way tape. It's important to note that interest rates are rising across the board. The 30-year rate is above 5% and the 10-year rate is approaching 5%. This is not a positive sign for stocks. As I've mentioned before, interest rates dictate market direction. When rates rise,...
Last several days S&P 500 has been trading sideways since bouncing off its 200 DMA. Any test of yesterday's Low could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 4382 --- 4384 Report to watch: US: Beige Book 2:00 PM ET
It's hard to pick a direction lately, but this 4 hour bear flag into prior support just screams bearish. Will it be a trap though?