NZDUSDI also expect the dollar to make a comeback in this pair. Looking at the monthly chart, I am currently still missing a low, so I see the rise since the low in March only as the green X. I expect another low which should find its end in the area of the low in 2009. It is currently not quite clear whether another high is missing before the market goes into reverse gear.
EWT
Gold long term countTaking a closer look at the yellow precious metal, we have to state that, as in many forex pairs, an impulsive count is not possible and the market only forms 3-3-3 patterns.Looking at the current upward movement since 2015 and especially the run after the low in March is clearly a three-wave pattern. The question here is whether we have already reached the high, for this speaks that in the last movement in the yellow (wxy) the ( y ) has exactly hit the 1.00 extension or whether the market still reaches the 1.00 extension of the red circled Y to complete the complete upward pattern, which has formed since the beginning of the 20th century. In the blue C, the 1.00 extension is at 2108 that of the Y circled in red at 2285.
USDJPY In this pair, it is currently not quite clear to me whether the white circled X was actually already completed or whether here after the completion of the blue C still follows a downward wave. Which should ideally break the low in 2016 at 98.7 once again. With a view to the other dollar pairs, however, I have decided for this count.
NASDAQ 100 (USTech100)The Nasdaq may now have finally ended its upward momentum that began in 1985. The mandatory target of the superior wave 2, which should have been started now, is the 38.2 retracement of the entire movement and is currently at 8125. The downward movement since the high can be counted as a five-wave and thus represents a first important indication for the correction that is now starting to take place.
EURUSD 4hI have checked all my forex analyses again extensively in the last few days and have to discard my last EURUSD count, also with a view to the other dollar pairs. Basically, there is still some upside potential here. But the movement can also be counted finished. So that now the blue C could have been started.
EURUSD LongtermI have checked all my forex analyses again extensively in the last few days and have to discard my last EURUSD count, also with a view to the other dollar pairs. Basically, there is still some upside potential here. But the movement can also be counted finished. So that now the blue C could have been started.
AUDUSDIn the big picture, the last wave of the downward movement that started in 2011 should now be in place. Contrary to the count of the many, the movement since the low in March can in no way be counted impulsively. We have now probably completed the yellow X as a complex corrective pattern. The pair should now run again to the area of the 2008 low to complete the movement.
US500 (S&P500)The upward movement might have been completed with the last high. However, only the 0.618 of the red ( y ) was reached here so far. I would primarily assume here that a high in the region of 3867 is still missing before the market turns.
GBPUSDIn Sterling, two options are currently conceivable. Either the downward movement was completed with the low in March and the market is currently in the white (X) of the circled red X (marked as Alt.). Or the market has formed an overshooting X at the low in March and the current movement already completes the red circled X. Looking at the other dollar pairs, I would prefer the main scenario here.
USDCHFAdmittedly, this pair is basically not too nice to count. I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. What must of course always be taken into account with the corrective count is that the market can always still attach another corrective pattern. So the movement can be counted finished, but if it's really finished, only the future will show. It is possible that the 5 circled in green forms a Zig Zag and is therefore not yet finished. The target for this scenario would be 0,8721.
USDCADIt is currently not entirely clear in the USDCAD whether the downward movement in the form of the orange Y was completed or whether the yellow circled y was completed first. In the first scenario, the complete labeling would have to be set to a higher degree. To make the first scenario recognizable, I have drawn in here with Alt. In any case, the dollar should rise again in the coming weeks. It is possible that a small downward wave is still missing in the blue c.
Tesla. That's The Top. Roast Me.TSLA has had quite the come-up recently - I think I've said that phrase about 3 times in the past year. Here's the case - this looks like a solid third wave extension I identified this when I zoomed out to the daily candles. You can see the detailed wave-count on the 4-hour chart starting from November of last year.
Predicting a rather severe correction potentially ending in the lower 300 range - this move would be incredibly healthy for TSLA in the long term as it validates this entire bull run-up. Price points obtained with volume-profile and various fib retrace zones.
(Reference Image here for third-wave extension www.elliottwavetrader.net )






















