Up from here towards 140?Today might be the last big drawdown. Hopefully it should recover towards 140 in next 6-9 months. All the best.
Not a financial advice.
Thanks
FI
Attractive valuation for long term safe compounding- NYSE:FI has kitchen sinked their guidance and is having troubles with debt management.
- However, valuation is very attractive and macro pressures could be handled but needs patience.
- PEG < 1
- EPS growth is >15% despite slowdown in the earning growth.
- I'm not counting on rosy scenarios and only paying willing to pay 10x forward p/e for mid teens eps growth which is very conservative multiple. Ideal multiple would have been 15x
- But with bear case, long turn around time, I'm pessimistically giving 10x multiple.
- Fair stock value:
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 10.15 | 11.77 | 13.64 | 15.63
EPS% | 15.66% | 15.91% | 15.91% | 14.60%
Fair stock price | $101 | $117 | $136 | $156.3
Fiserv | FI | Long at $69.91For the first time since its IPO in 1986, a "major stock" crash has happened to Fiserv NYSE:FI . Previously, the stock "crashed" and followed the trajectory of ups and downs of the S&P 500, but this one is different. And, perhaps, a major opportunity for savy investors.
I won't say much about the financials since after today's earnings call the stock plummeted and earnings/revenue projections will get revised serval times, but this was a high-growth opportunity in the past. What I see today is a huge overreaction to a company going through a growth transition, but by all means, not dead... yet www.tradingview.com
I think we'll see leadership shakeups, layoffs, and system adaptions into 2026. This drop, and where it landed near my major crash simple moving average, hints this price cut was planned (at least algorithmically) and I won't be surprised if the near-term bottom is in or almost in in the $60s. Thus, at $69.91, NYSE:FI is in a personal buy-zone.
Conservative Targets into 2028:
$85.00 (+21.6%)
$100.00 (+43.0%)
Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE: $FI) Tanks 45% Amidst Earnings Report Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:FI ) stock took a nosedive in early Wednesday market open losing roughly 50% With selling pressure increasing, the asset is already oversold as seen by the RSI at 13- this is really oversold.
However, we are expecting a bounced off from the $60 support point once buyers dominate the market buying pressure will increase.
In another news, Fiserv (FI.N), lowered its annual earnings forecasts for the second straight quarter on Wednesday and announced an overhaul of its senior leadership as the payments firm grapples with slowing growth.
Analysts and investors had been skeptical of Fiserv's ability to meet its full-year merchant business forecast, given the acceleration needed in the second half of the year.
About FI
Fiserv, Inc. provides payments and financial services technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through the Merchant Solutions and Financial Solutions segments. The company provides merchant acquiring and digital commerce services, mobile payment services, security and fraud protection solutions,.
DCA into $FI- NYSE:FI is big recognizable brand in Point of Sales. You might have seen clover handheld machines.
- I believe fundamentals on this blue chip company is getting cheap. I'm not going all in but have started DCA into this name.
- If it falls further 20-30 or even 40% I will be happy to DCA further.
- Fundamentally, I am buying it close to fair value.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 10.21 | 11.91 | 13.88 | 15.72
EPS% | 16.35% | 16.63% | 16.51% | 13.25%
- Any company which is growing EPS% mid teens with a recognizable brand value deserves a fair forward p/e of 20
Base Case Fair Value w/ forward p/e = 20:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $204 | $238 | $277.6 | $314.4
Conservative Base Case fair value w/ forward p/e=15:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $153.15 | $178.65 | $208.2 | $235
Bull Case Fair value w/ forward p/e=25:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $255 | $297 | $347 | $393
Bear Case fair value w/ forward p/e = 10:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $102 | $119 | $138 | $157
Fiserv: At the crossroadsWe primarily expect Fiserv to drop into magenta Target Zone between $134.54 and $120 as part of the same-colored wave (2). Investors could then open long positions there, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. Subsequently, we expect a rise above the resistance at $165.28. We consider an earlier break of this level to be 37% likely. In this case, however, it would only be the magenta-colored wave alt. (1).
Fiserv: Time to Descend 🧗🏽♀️The price of Fiserv should have recently placed the high of the magenta-colored wave (1). We now expect the magenta target zone to be reached between $134.54 and $120. Within this range we expect the low of the same-colored wave (2). We consider it 37% likely that a higher high of the magenta-colored wave alt. (1) will occur.
Fiserv: Ready for the descent 🛝Fiserv has retreated a little since last Thursday. We now consider the high of the turquoise-colored wave B to be in place and expect a sell-off to below $120 in order to complete the magenta-colored wave (E). A drop below the $130.74 mark should provide important downward momentum along the way. However, the 30% probable alternative still needs to be considered. This option would shift the high of the turquoise-colored wave alt.B slightly higher.
FIL about to bustI think if BTC can continue to trade steady FIL may look to break this long term resistance and go on somewhat of a trend reversal.
FLOW breakout?Hey traders, noticing a lot of top crypto coins are breaking out of these long down trends. Could we possibly be coming back? Big volume, surpassed previous overhead supply. If we can hold here and pass the initial level drawn out, this would further confirm the new uptrend. Keep an eye out on quality crypto projects. Could be making a comeback!!!!
ETH looking to flip Month long range ETH is testing and looking to flip where it has been ranging for almost the entire month of June from a technical standpoint. If we can flip and retest this level I feel comfortable opening a long position here.
The current defi craze is also making me lean very bullish as everything runs on ETH so some of that value will be captured no doubt with people seemingly hurrying to the space and the ETH network being very very active in recent weeks...
Something to keep an eye on.
SuperCyle Degree Complete? $DJIA $DIA #elliottwavesThis is fascinating...The progress from before the 20th century may have topped. Not wanting to be doom-and-gloom, but notice DJIA has reached the resistance line AND the VERY significant fibonacci ratio of 1.618. This is the golden ratio of phi. If this is correct, the decades which follow may be painful.
FI - Downward channel breakout Long from $7.19 to $9.24FI seems trying to break out a downward channel formation. It has very strong Twiggs money flow. We think it has very good upside potential.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- April 26, 2018
Pattern/Why- Downward channel breakout Long
Entry Criteria- $7.19
Exit Criteria- $9.24
Stop Loss Criteria- $6.63
Indicator Notes- Very strong Twiggs money flow index
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
AUDJPY LONGLooking for market to find support around the .618 Fibonacci retracement level in line with previous structure. Lower timeframe confirmation needed, don't blindly enter
GBPUSD FIB CONFLUENCE IDEABased on the pattern formation that starts looking like a H&S that lines up perfectly with fibs and trendlines i dont this might play out?
AUDCHF LONG HARMONIC PATTERN mid - long term As the chart suggested, Fibonacci levels 0.382, 0.5, and near 0.7 happens to be the liquidity areas. Possible to add or close contracts according to those levels.
EURUSD after weekly close at the top of channelSeems like correction is over at the top of the channel with the red candle testing it and negative div on MACD. Looking forward to breaking next important support area, after 2 attempts failed (first one after finding support on 0.382 fibo level and second one when testing the bottom of the channel).
Plenty of Downside Potential (Price and RSI cycles) After a new low at the end of bear cycle, market corrects in 2 waves to 61.8% from the previous bearish cycle. The bearish cycle in this chart begins after 3 requirements are fullfilled:
1. Break the bullish trendline of the correction from previous bear cycle
2. Break down the last month's daily EMA so that it becomes resistance
3. RSI breaks solidly the 40 level
In order for these requirements to be fullfilled, it can take more or less time, like it is highlighted in the elipses and it can be seen as an inflexion zone between the cycles.
We are now in the first leg down in the new bearish cycle and based on previous price action a couple of new legs can still be expected. We can notice in the past that the break of 40 RSI level never comes alone.
This chart can be watched together with the previous similar published chart:
All in all, it seems like we are still in a danger zone for prospective longs or BTC purchases, perhaps it would be wise to wait to see how it develops or wait for a breakout above 240s for the bulls waiting to buy or add another btcs to their holdings.
Thank you for the time reading and watching this published idea and good luck to you all!
