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NQ1!: CONFIRMED CHANNELS & OVERSUPPLY MOVE ON 12/13Note: In the chart above I have provided a clear distinction between what I would consider to be CONFIRMED CHANNELS that have been held for a considerable amount of time. Points: 1. With todays trading day on 12/13 we moved back into oversupply territory where price action failed to hold. 2. Oversupply move confirms a rejection of the 200 EMA Line. 3. Key Level for NQ1! to hold is 11,600 or we can be set to see new lows and lower highs. 4. Current channel we are resting on will collapse if NQ1! decides to break past 10,600 this would be the equivalent of $SPY breaking 350.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by DGSTBROKERACC
Bullish GOLD / 6M FIB AnalysisThe Graph presents DXY/GOLD = Inverse price of gold. Given Fibonacci levels have acted as great resistance/support lines, therefore might predict the next bull-run for gold. DXY/Gold is retesting its 2.414 Fibonacci resistance to break down; which is a bullish signal for gold. Fundamentally (refer to main graph) - Gold is a great inflation hedge - Currently massively undervalued - Falling returns or/and outlook on substitute investmentment instruments Technically (these 2 graphs) - Previous retests from Fib levels have shown a 100% accuracy on the 6M timeframe (breakouts represented by red circules and current by the blue circule) - The diagonal blue resistance line (which rejected 100% breakouts) has been reached with a significant rebound below the fib level. - The MA is extremely close to both the FIB and blue line resistance levels. Fun fact: These fib levels have been determined through price history between the years 1969-1976. 1M timeframe: 1W timeframe: Thanks for your time!
TVC:DXYLong
by Sanzhar_m
MATIC / USDT 1D chart Targets and StoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 1D MATIC to USDT chart. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can take into account: T1 = $0.9158 T2 = $0.9619 T3 = $1.0112 T4 = $1.0759 and T5 = $1.1616 Now let's move on to the stop loss in case the market goes down further: SL1 = $0.8502 SL2 = $0.7964 SL3 = $0.7643 SL4 = $0.7393 and SL5 = $0.6911 Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still a lot of energy for the next move on the 1D interval, while the MACD indicator indicates a downtrend.
M
by cryptodailyuk
6
DXY about to rekt crypto? Strong downwards move after US CPI came out - which looks good and people are now expecting FED to pivot into more dovish stance. But is that really going to happen in short term? We had a very nasty downfall in crypto markets yesterday with the whole FTX fiasco and the fear in markets is expected after that. Plus Solana unlocking 5M worth of SOL which was another catalyst for this big bang. Now we had a very nice recovery, which might be interpreted as break-down and honestly DXY could continue to dump. Still, there is a good chance that market-makers are not done with scooping up liquidity from very bullish long traders. There is still money on the table to be taken. Let's see if this plays out according to my plan.
TVC:DXY
by AtomicStag2000
Seems the fib trip may be over for now....For the past year, The markets have been on the slide, as you've noticed. From the fib extension POV, here is how the last year has broken down, why it rallied to where to did, then reversed to only go down further. This chart suggests that the full fib extension has played out and should put in a decent bear market rally. Given the time of year it is, one might even call it a Santa Claus rally. It even goes as far as suggesting 300+ by Thanksgiving. These fibs work very well and most of the time. However, in 2008 they bounced for a moment and blew right thru. That's when the large plunges began taking place. We're not in 2008, and the folks who run the markets run on greed and fear. I think the big dupe will be on the release of CPI creating a squeeze to push price back up into the 300's. It's too early to tell, but this is how inverted head and shoulders patterns are created... and it quite possibly could be "the head" being created right now, resulting in a bullish trend into the end of December.... possibly back to 350. This is what I am watching for myself.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by prd001
CHFJPY to fallOn weekly timeframe, CHFJPY has reached an overbought zone (RSI), an intersection between upper channel and horizontal support. On lower timeframe, we've seen a big rejection recently, and then a correction upward : here we reach the 80~88% fib levels of the last rejection (D1), with a bearish engulfing pattern yesterday. This behavior can be a potential sell signal. If we follow correlation to compare currencies, we find more confirmation : USDJPY has reached very high levels too fast, becoming overextended, and JPY will probably start a correction soon, meanwhile USDCHF is retesting a daily resistance for the fourth time, giving bullish signals, not yet an overextended move. Goodluck, Joe.
Short
by joe-abdallah
Jumping S-curvesIn this post, I will explain what jumping S-curves means and how you can identify potential S-curves before they jump . First, let's begin with the chart above (also copied below). This is a yearly chart of McKesson Corporation (MCK), a medical supplies company. As you can see in the chart below, this stock has been soaring over the past year despite most other stocks being significantly lower. Here is the performance of the S&P 500 over the same time period. Whenever I see something highly unusual in a chart, such as extreme outperformance, I check the higher timeframes to see what's driving price on a technical level. Below is the yearly chart for MCK. When I examine price action over a long time period, I always log adjust my chart. Below is the log-adjusted chart. Upon seeing this chart I immediately knew what was going on: the stock price jumped S-curves. I will try to illustrate below how I reached this conclusion. To begin, I drew Fibonacci levels from the last reaction low to the last reaction high on the yearly timeframe. The previous reaction low was the bottom of 2008 because that bottom was a Fibonacci retracement of some earlier reaction high, the reaction high is the top in 2015 because price did not surpass that high without first undergoing a Fibonacci retracement (to the golden ratio). As you can see above, from 2015 to 2018 the price retraced down to the golden ratio (0.618) on the yearly chart. It is often from this retracement level that the base of the second S-curve is created. (For simplicity, I only included the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the chart). Some may say that this pattern is merely a bull flag or pennant. (See chart below) Indeed, bull flags and pennants can be another way to visualize S-curve jumps. Whereas, on a deeper, more mathematical level, S-curve jumps are logarithmic spirals (approximated as Fibonacci spirals or Golden spirals). If you wish to delve deeper into logarithmic spirals, including the Golden spiral, you can check out this Wikipedia page: en.wikipedia.org These Fibonacci or Golden spirals are present on mostly every chart and they appear on mostly every timeframe (hence they are fractal ). One of the best charts you can use to visualize these spirals is the chart of Bitcoin. Below are charts of Bitcoin which attempt to show the endless fractal nature of Fibonacci spirals (or "S-curve jumps"). I've only illustrated a few of the spirals, but indeed there are numerous spirals. (I tried to do my best using the tools on Trading View to draw these spirals, but it can be quite hard to manipulate the curves perfectly to price action.) One may ask what about when price falls? That is obviously not an S-curve jump since the price is falling. Actually, when price is crashing it is usually just an S-curve jump, or Fibonacci spiral, on the inverted chart. Although I have not tested it with scientific rigor, I do hypothesize that Bitcoin's price movement is a series of infinitely fractal and competing Fibonacci spirals on various timeframes, including Fibonacci spirals on inverted scales. Price movement can be thought of as an infinite series of S-curve dilemmas where infinitely fractal S-curves, including those of which are inverse S-curves, compete to govern the next price move. Each dilemma is resolved when an S-curve reaches its inflection point, such that it governs price movement and price moves rapidly in that direction until it approaches capacity and faces its next dilemma. Those who know Calculus may recognize this chart. Indeed this is the graph of a logistic function. The mathematical terminology for an "S-curve" is sigmoid function . Here are some more interesting charts of S-curves (none of which is intended to be investment advice) Meridian Bioscience (VIVO) jumps S-curves on its yearly chart The U.S. Dollar Index jumps S-curves on its yearly chart The entire price action of Chinese EV Company (NIO) is an S-curve that just completed a perfect golden ratio retracement Japan's faces a population S-curve dilemma Citigroup underwent S-curve growth up until the Great Recession. Then it crashed or underwent S-curve growth on the inverted chart. In summary, price movement involves an endless series of S-curves or Fibonacci spirals. Identifying an S-curve on a high time frame before it reaches its inflection point and breaks out can lead to tremendous gains (among the most lucrative gains one can realistically make in the financial markets).
NYSE:MCKEducation
by SpyMasterTrades
22
SPY heading into a key level on long time frameSPY on the weekly chart is obviously in a long downtrend. Using the up trend from the Covid Crash to all-time highs the first week of January and then a retracement, price is presently between the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels for the past two weeks with big range downward momentum candles seen. The Mass Index is in mid-range while on the MACD indicator the blue MACD is crossing down on the red signal line and both are below the histogram. On this long-range analysis , SPY is in an established downtrend without anything to suggest a reversal. However, anything can happen to improve the macro outlook so I am watching for a reversal if/when SPY approaches the Fib 0.5 / 349.8. I am expecting however to see continuation down targetting at first the lower Fib level. s
AMEX:SPY
by AwesomeAvani