Fib
Trading Idea for Ethereum💸In this idea, I'm going to share my own short-term trading plan on Ethereum . So this one is not an analysis it is an action plan with calculations.
As you can see on the chart (1H time-frame), ETH has reached a PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) around $1310. This is the high of the last bullish wave on our ascending trend (you can see the yellow trend-line to find my bullish trend). I came to this conclusion because of four reasons:
1. RSI bullish trend-line is broken downwards
2. There is a bearish divergence on MACD
3. The price has reached the level 1 Fibonacci Extension
4. The Red (sales) volumes are rising, and the Green (buys) volumes are decreasing
So it is time for a correction now, to find to size of the correction I've used to Fibonacci retracements on the last bullish wave. The "green box" is our strongest support area on the Fibonacci. But also if I want to make my support area stronger I'll pick the area that my green box overlaps with the yellow bullish trendline. This will be the area for me to buy Ethereum if the price hit it, it is somewhere between $1210 - $1220.
Here is the trading trick, this strong support area, is a good place for me to buy. But what will happen if things go wrong?!! Before anything else I'm going to plan to setup my stop-loss . There are two good stop-losses here:
1. Somewhere around $1190, it is our lower low from our previous low
2. When the yellow bullish trend-line is broken
So we have our stop-loss, it's time to calculate our take profit area . With drawing two Fibonacci extensions, from our two last bullish waves to our green box (if the price hit that area as the end of the correction), we'll get two level 1 Fibonacci Extension. First one around $1368 and second one around $1446. My tow take profit points will be below these levels. The good thing about this trading idea is its great R/R ration that you can see on the chart!
I will definitely update this trading idea as the market proceed, so make sure you follow my account and stay tuned.
As always feel free to ask any question you have about my idea and share your own thoughts on the comment section. And if you like this idea make sure you hit the BOOST button.
Probability for 15/12/22 No trade for me today. It seems that price is stuck between Buyside liquidity and Sellside liquidity. Innitially I knew price will retrace to 50% on fib but not right away, it took a while. Now we know it's there and I would expect to start to go down today and make way to 164.400 or even 164.000 but to me is 50/50 = no trades.
Please let me know your thoughts.
NQ1!: CONFIRMED CHANNELS & OVERSUPPLY MOVE ON 12/13Note: In the chart above I have provided a clear distinction between what I would consider to be CONFIRMED CHANNELS that have been held for a considerable amount of time.
Points:
1. With todays trading day on 12/13 we moved back into oversupply territory where price action failed to hold.
2. Oversupply move confirms a rejection of the 200 EMA Line.
3. Key Level for NQ1! to hold is 11,600 or we can be set to see new lows and lower highs.
4. Current channel we are resting on will collapse if NQ1! decides to break past 10,600 this would be the equivalent of $SPY breaking 350.
Short BTC from 17,5 K Harmonic is not really nice due to the lack off symmetry .
Just hit the naked point of control @ 17.28, with a nice reaction for a scalp.
The level 17.55 looks decent with a daily.
also it is the lowest point of the former range from juni till november this year.
Let's see if it plays out.
Bullish GOLD / 6M FIB AnalysisThe Graph presents DXY/GOLD = Inverse price of gold. Given Fibonacci levels have acted as great resistance/support lines, therefore might predict the next bull-run for gold. DXY/Gold is retesting its 2.414 Fibonacci resistance to break down; which is a bullish signal for gold.
Fundamentally (refer to main graph)
- Gold is a great inflation hedge
- Currently massively undervalued
- Falling returns or/and outlook on substitute investmentment instruments
Technically (these 2 graphs)
- Previous retests from Fib levels have shown a 100% accuracy on the 6M timeframe
(breakouts represented by red circules and current by the blue circule)
- The diagonal blue resistance line (which rejected 100% breakouts) has been reached with a significant rebound below the fib level.
- The MA is extremely close to both the FIB and blue line resistance levels.
Fun fact: These fib levels have been determined through price history between the years 1969-1976.
1M timeframe:
1W timeframe:
Thanks for your time!
MATIC / USDT 1D chart Targets and StoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 1D MATIC to USDT chart. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can take into account:
T1 = $0.9158
T2 = $0.9619
T3 = $1.0112
T4 = $1.0759
and
T5 = $1.1616
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case the market goes down further:
SL1 = $0.8502
SL2 = $0.7964
SL3 = $0.7643
SL4 = $0.7393
and
SL5 = $0.6911
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still a lot of energy for the next move on the 1D interval, while the MACD indicator indicates a downtrend.
Short Term Price Regression before upwards movement Splitit has fallen beyond 90% from all time highs. In respect to fibbonacci re-tracement and extension going downwards, I'm hoping to add more positions at 15c and 9c.
DXY about to rekt crypto? Strong downwards move after US CPI came out - which looks good and people are now expecting FED to pivot into more dovish stance. But is that really going to happen in short term?
We had a very nasty downfall in crypto markets yesterday with the whole FTX fiasco and the fear in markets is expected after that. Plus Solana unlocking 5M worth of SOL which was another catalyst for this big bang.
Now we had a very nice recovery, which might be interpreted as break-down and honestly DXY could continue to dump. Still, there is a good chance that market-makers are not done with scooping up liquidity from very bullish long traders. There is still money on the table to be taken.
Let's see if this plays out according to my plan.
Seems the fib trip may be over for now....For the past year, The markets have been on the slide, as you've noticed. From the fib extension POV, here is how the last year has broken down, why it rallied to where to did, then reversed to only go down further.
This chart suggests that the full fib extension has played out and should put in a decent bear market rally. Given the time of year it is, one might even call it a Santa Claus rally. It even goes as far as suggesting 300+ by Thanksgiving.
These fibs work very well and most of the time. However, in 2008 they bounced for a moment and blew right thru. That's when the large plunges began taking place. We're not in 2008, and the folks who run the markets run on greed and fear. I think the big dupe will be on the release of CPI creating a squeeze to push price back up into the 300's.
It's too early to tell, but this is how inverted head and shoulders patterns are created... and it quite possibly could be "the head" being created right now, resulting in a bullish trend into the end of December.... possibly back to 350. This is what I am watching for myself.
CHFJPY to fallOn weekly timeframe, CHFJPY has reached an overbought zone (RSI), an intersection between upper channel and horizontal support.
On lower timeframe, we've seen a big rejection recently, and then a correction upward : here we reach the 80~88% fib levels of the last rejection (D1), with a bearish engulfing pattern yesterday. This behavior can be a potential sell signal.
If we follow correlation to compare currencies, we find more confirmation : USDJPY has reached very high levels too fast, becoming overextended, and JPY will probably start a correction soon, meanwhile USDCHF is retesting a daily resistance for the fourth time, giving bullish signals, not yet an overextended move.
Goodluck,
Joe.






















