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Fibonacci Extension

I would call this a Change of Character (CHoCH) for BTCI want to share with you that the 2 Day On Balance Volume (OBV) is now below its EMA(100). The last time this happened was at ATH in November 2021. Also the 2D OVB EMA(100) was spot on at the ATL in January 2023. BTC has reached it's 6.618 Fibonacci of Wave 1 resulting in 698%. Don't you think a correction would be in order? And yet people are still talking about a coming bull run ;))) I don't say this is the final top, even though it looks like it… one more high after a short correction could still be possible. I'm just saying this is something to keep in mind » Already 7x, bullish OBV is finished AND … according to a simple sine wave (yellow) we are now in a down phase until around February - March 2026. Let's see what happens.
Short
by Indicator-Jones
MRVL - RSI Back Above 50, Eyes Fibonacci Targets at 99 and 112MRVL - CURRENT PRICE : 86.00 - 88.00 MRVL is showing early signs of bullish continuation after finding support near the 50-day EMA and rebounding with positive momentum. The price structure remains healthy as it trades above the EMA 50, suggesting the medium-term trend is still intact. Key Technical Highlights : 1) Price Above EMA 50 The stock price is holding above the EMA 50, showing that the uptrend remains valid and buyers are still in control. 2) RSI Above 50 and Not Overbought RSI has crossed back above the 50 level, confirming improving momentum while staying below overbought territory, leaving more room for upside. 3) MACD Structure Although the MACD line is still below the signal line, both are positioned above the zero level, indicating the overall market tone remains positive with potential for a new bullish crossover. Based on Fibonacci extension, potential upside targets are at : 1st Target: USD 99.00 (0.618 level) 2nd Target: USD 112.00 (1.000 level) ENTRY PRICE : 86.00 - 89.00 FIRST TARGET : 99.00 SECOND TARGET : 112.00 SUPPORT : 80.50
NASDAQ:MRVLLong
by IMRAN_96
RAIL | Railroads on the Rise | LONGFreightCar America, Inc. is engaged in the manufacturing of railcars and railcar components. It operates through the Manufacturing and Aftermarket segments. The Manufacturing segment includes new railcar manufacturing, used railcar sales, and railcar conversions and rebodies. The Aftermarket segment deals with the selling of forged, cast and fabricated railcar parts and supplies for all railcar types, and provides aftermarket services including safety training, railcar inspections, and preventative maintenance. The firm offers freight cars including box cars, covered hoppers, open top hoppers, gondolas, intermodal, and non-intermodal flat cars that transport dry bulk and containerized freight products. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.
NASDAQ:RAILLong
by DivergenceSeeker
BB | BlackBerry Is About To Pop | LONGBlackBerry Ltd. engages in the provision of intelligent security software and services. It operates through the following segments: Cybersecurity, Internet of Things (IoT), and Licensing and Other. The Cybersecurity segment includes the brand Cylance, BlackBerry Spark, AtHoc, and SecuSUITE. The IoT segment focuses on software licenses, support, maintenance, and professional services. The Licensing and Other segment involves the intellectual property licensing arrangements and settlement awards. The company was founded by Michael Lazaridis, James Laurence Balsillie, and Douglas E. Fregin on March 7, 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
NYSE:BBLong
by DivergenceSeeker
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals. Core Setup Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276). A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets: TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8% Scenario 2: Correction First Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to: TP1: $2,920 TP2: $2,650 If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected. Macro Alignment Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid. Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold. Inverse correlation with DXY: DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold DXY above 100 → signals correction Effect on Altcoins If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins. If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold. This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BitonGroup
3
MRVL | Another Semi Run Coming | LONGMarvell Technology, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of integrated circuits. Its products include data processing units, security solutions, automotive, coherent DSP, DCI optical modules, ethernet controllers, ethernet PHYs, ethernet switches, linear driver, PAM DSP, transimpedance amplifiers, fibre channel, HDD, SSD controller, storage accelerators, ASIC, and Marvell government solutions. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Singapore, Israel, India, China, and Others. The company was founded by Wei Li Dai and Pantas Sutardja in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.
NASDAQ:MRVLLong
by DivergenceSeeker
Meta platforms, D ( Channel + 2 Fibonacci Extensions up & down )Hey Traders and Investors, I hope you all are doing well in your life. market is nature's response and Price is the God . Let's check the market with the help of natural levels tool : Trend Based Fibonacci Extension in addition with Trend Channel . After forming almost a ' Head and Shoulders ' pattern on Daily chart, Meta platforms has given a pull-back ( base for Fib-Extension UP level tool on the right side , $690.51 ). The Pull-back trend expect to continue till the retest level of 23.6% ( $765 ) of Fib-Extension UP level tool on the right side . The most near level for the re-test is the 50% level ( $664.14 ) of Fib-Extension Down level tool on the left side , for a new UP trend Entry ( investors ). Note: The marked Circle ⭕ enclosed candle is the important level candle, Up Trend channel's 50% trend line is intersecting with 23.6% of Fib-Extension UP level tool on the right side . Keep on checking this Level for your future trading decisions. " Buy 🟢 "above $731 with the stop loss🔻of $690 for the 🎯 Target 1: $765 🎯 Target 2: $811 🎯 Target 3: open. " Sell 🔴 " below $664 with the stop loss🔺of $690 for the 🎯 Target 1: $634 🎯 Target 2: $590 🎯 Target 3: open. Smart Levels is Smart Trading 👨‍🎓 ⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER : All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only. It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns. Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. Regards : Team @TradeWithKeshhav Happy Trading and Investing!
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradeWithKeshhav
Two-phase FOMC reaction on EURUSD explained: Where next?EURUSD experienced a classic "dovish-then-hawkish" whipsaw following the Fed's 25bp cut. The Initial dovish reaction saw the fibre surge above 1.19 to multi-year highs as the dot plot showed 50bp additional cuts vs expected 25bp in 2025. However, Powell's hawkish presser reversed gains within the hour, describing the cut as "risk management" rather than an aggressive easing cycle start. EURSD is finding support at 1.1778 (previous high), with the price having taken out the 100% Fibonacci extension from August lows. Critical support sits at 1.1740, with a break below invalidating the bullish bias. Bullish Scenario Targets : 1.1830, 1.1866 (critical level), then 1.2000-1.2032 Triggers : Hold above 1.1778, break above 1.1866 Rationale : ECB-Fed divergence theme intact with ECB holding, while Fed cuts Bearish Scenario (Potential Dead Cat Bounce) Targets : 1.1750, 1.1730 Entry : Short at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (~1.1832) Stop : Above 1.1878 R:R Ratio : 3.38 Where next? ECB pause vs Fed easing supports underlying bullish EUR/USD theme despite near-term volatility. But the next FOMC meetings are more critical as Powell emphasised a "meeting-by-meeting" approach. Current pullback is likely a retracement before a potential continuation higher, but watch for rejection at the weekly trendline resistance shy of 1.20. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Short
by ThinkMarkets
GBPUSD – Medium-Term H1/H4 Technical Outlook Overview: GBPUSD has broken below its ascending channel after failing to hold gains around the 1.3530–1.3575 supply zone. Price is now testing the 0.618 retracement (~1.3366) with the RSI (5) at heavily oversold levels (~13–14), suggesting scope for a corrective bounce before the broader bearish bias continues. For traders, the focus remains on selling into rallies while considering short-term buy opportunities at key liquidity zones. Market Structure Trendline Break: The uptrend line has been breached, turning the bias towards selling rallies. Resistance/Supply: 1.3537 and 1.3453–1.3428. Support/Demand: Initial levels at 1.3366 (Fib 0.618) and 1.3319; major demand between 1.3143–1.3093. Momentum: Oversold conditions increase the probability of corrective upside moves before continuation lower. Trading Scenarios Sell the Rally – Primary Plan Entry: 1.3500 – 1.3510 Stop Loss: 1.3550 Take Profit: 1.3480 – 1.3466 – 1.3445 – 1.3430 Rationale: Short opportunities on retests of broken structure. Bias only invalidated if price closes above 1.3550 on the 4H chart. Buy the Dip – Intraday Scalps Entry: 1.3310 – 1.3330 Stop Loss: 1.3290 Take Profit: 1.3355 – 1.3368 – 1.3390 – 1.3410 Rationale: Oversold conditions and demand at 1.3319 favour quick long scalps back into resistance. Deeper Liquidity Sweep – Swing Buy Entry: 1.3090 – 1.3110 Stop Loss: 1.3050 Take Profit: 1.3135 – 1.3160 – 1.3200 – 1.3240 Rationale: A sweep into the 1.3143–1.3093 demand zone could provide a stronger base for swing long positions. Risk Management & Invalidation A 4H close above 1.3550 invalidates the bearish scenario. A strong break below 1.3310 suggests focusing on the deeper buy zone rather than scalping longs. Stagger take-profit levels and move stops to breakeven once the first target is reached.
Short
by ANFIBO_
Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits🟠 Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits Gold has had a strong breakout above the symmetrical triangle and has now pushed into an extended move near $3,700+. While the trend remains bullish on the higher timeframe, the current leg looks overextended, and I’m looking to hedge profits with a short setup. 🔑 Key Technicals Pattern Breakout: Gold broke out of a long consolidation wedge and accelerated higher. Resistance Zone: Price is testing the Fib 1.618 extension near $3,750, a potential exhaustion area. Volume Profile: Strong demand zone sits between $3,300 – $3,360 where most volume is concentrated. A pullback could retest this area. Risk-Reward: Setup gives ~1:3.4 RR with stop above recent highs and target into the HVN zone. 📉 Trade Idea – Protective Short Entry: 3750 Stop Loss: 3800 (extension level). Take Profit: $3580 ⚖️ Strategy This is not a reversal call – the larger trend is still bullish. The short setup is hedge/profit-protection only, aiming to capture a pullback after the parabolic leg. I’ll be watching if buyers can defend $3,600 on the first dip; failure to hold could accelerate selling toward the high-volume zone. 📊 Bias Short-term: Bearish (pullback expected) Mid-term: Neutral to Bullish (trend intact above $3,300) What do you think – do we see a healthy correction here, or is gold too strong to fade yet?
COMEX:GC1!
by JoshuaDanford
Gold hits record highs ahead of FOMC! Tech SetupGold reached fresh all-time highs near $3690 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting. Its rally reflects a perfect storm of Fed dovishness and geopolitical tensions, but technical divergences suggest positioning carefully ahead of Powell's decision. The 100% Fib extension and double divergence setup makes any hawkish surprise particularly dangerous for leveraged longs. CATALYSTS DRIVING THE RALLY: Fed rate cut fully priced in (25bps expected, some 50bps speculation) US-China tensions escalate (Nvidia antitrust accusations) Stephen Miron confirmed to Fed Board of Governors (dovish member) Dollar weakness supporting precious metals Surprising correlation: Nasdaq & S&P 500 also hit records alongside gold TECHNICAL LEVELS: Resistance : $3,700 - Key psychological level $3,750 - Next major target $3,800 - Extended upside if dovish Support : $3,660 - First support for entries $3,610 - Major support level Previous swing lows - Stop loss reference WARNINGS: Double divergence on 4H & 1H timeframes 100% Fibonacci extension reached RSI overbought conditions Momentum diverging from price action FOMC SCENARIOS: Bullish Case : Dovish 25bps + accommodative guidance → Target $3,750-$3,800 Risk Case : Hawkish surprise or even neutral tone → Profit-taking toward $3,600-$3,500 KEY RISKS: Powell emphasising inflation persistence Resistance to aggressive cutting cycle Hawkish dot plot projections Any break below $3,660 signals deeper correction potential This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ThinkMarkets
EUR/USD Bullish But... Trendline📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – August 19, 2025 The Euro/Dollar pair is currently trading around 1.1657, showing consolidation after recent strong moves. 🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels Immediate resistance at 1.1687 (38.2%). Psychological and technical barrier at 1.1775 (50%). Major resistance at 1.1867 (61.8%). Upside extension projected towards 1.2159 if the bearish trendline is broken. 🔹 Trend The descending trendline (in purple) continues to act as a dynamic ceiling. Unless broken decisively, upside potential may remain limited. 🔹 Important Supports First support at 1.1575 (23.6%). High-liquidity zone between 1.1450 – 1.1370, crucial to maintain the medium-term bullish structure. A break below 1.1275 could open the door to a deeper correction. 📌 Conclusion: The pair is at a decision point. A breakout above the trendline and 1.1687 could trigger fresh bullish momentum. On the other hand, losing the 1.1575 – 1.1450 zone would increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Long
by Axuview
2
Globant, Bright Future or Total Darkness?📊 Technical Analysis – Globant (GLOB) – Weekly The price of Globant (NYSE: GLOB) remains under strong bearish pressure, approaching a key long-term support area. 🔑 Fibonacci Levels 0.618 (61.55 USD): critical zone currently being tested. A clear breakdown could open the door to further declines. 0.5 (77.15 USD): first major resistance in case of a rebound. 0.382 (92.75 USD): secondary resistance, aligned with previous supply zones. 0.236 (112.04 USD): stronger resistance level; a breakout above would suggest a trend reversal. 📉 Support and Resistance Main Support: 65–61 USD, which acted as a strong base during 2019–2020. Immediate Resistance: 77 USD, followed by 93 USD. 🔄 Volume Volume has increased significantly over the past weeks, indicating strong institutional activity around this support area. This could hint at a potential technical rebound if the level holds. 📌 Conclusion As long as GLOB holds above 61 USD, there is room for a rebound toward 77–93 USD. A breakdown below 61 USD would open a more bearish scenario with medium-term targets around 50–45 USD. Current bias remains bearish, but we are at a key decision zone.
NYSE:GLOBLong
by Axuview
NVDA goes to $200NVDA keeps pushing towards $200 major resistance area, a very good momentum showed by a clear bullish trendline and stochastic momentum. No sign of bearish yet but still we've seen a slow but steady gain over the last couple days. Trend-based fibonacci is used to project the target price for NVDA. Short-term downward momentum might appear, however if NVDA isn't break down the 1.618 fibonacci level ($165-$170 price range) from the previous trend-based fibonacci, we could say that NVDA still remain bullish. Stop loss is optional on that level.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FractalNoise
AAPL Set for a Breakout? | Technical Checklist & Projections ▍Observation & Context ▪ AAPL has been moving sideways within a clearly defined range for the past three months . ▪ On July 07 , price tested the range resistance decisively, showing some interest in the upside. → Let's first explore the bullish breakout scenario. ▍What Makes a Good Breakout ? Before we talk about targets, let’s define what a good breakout looks like: ▪ A strong bullish candle breaking through the resistance in one clean move . ▪ Followed by a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support). ▪ After that, price should ideally: 1. Form a higher low , and 2. Reach the next resistance or target zone before pulling back. ▍Target Price – Method 1: Extension of the Range 🔹 Near-Term Target: 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci Extension - A common zone where momentum often pauses. - Aligns with the previous high from the last downtrend. - Technically, to reverse a trend, price needs to take out the previous high. Even though the range has “cooled off” the pressure, we still respect that level. 🔹 Ultimate Target: 2x Range Extension - Represents a 100% projection of the previous range. - Commonly used in range breakout targets. 🔹 Dream Target: 2.618x Fibonacci Extension - Aligns with the start of the last downtrend , adding significance to the level. - Often marks the exhaustion point of strong trends. ▍Target Price – Method 2: Projection from Higher Low Note: The new higher low is not yet confirmed at the time of writing. The levels below assume an upward breakout without dropping below 207.22 . However, the same logic can be applied once the higher low forms. 🔹 Near-Term Target: Same as Method 1 🔹 Ultimate Target: 100% Projection of Prior Swing - Projecting the prior swing (from previous low to recent high) from the new higher low . - This level also aligns with the 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci extension of that swing, increasing its significance. 🔹 Dream Target: Another 100% projection - Rare, but happens when momentum is very strong . - In such cases, price might skip any retracement and launch directly into a second leg , equal to the previous swing. - Here, the level aligns perfectly with the start of the last downtrend , just like the 2.618x extension in Method 1. ▋Mental Notes ▪ No one knows for sure if the breakout will be real or fake. But when it happens, knowing what to look for and where price might go next gives us a clear plan of action . ▪ The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow. ▋Not Financial Advice The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by stock_adelie