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Fibonacci Extension

XAUUSD – Gold Hits Fresh ATH! What’s Next?📊 Market Context Gold has just broken into a new All-Time High (ATH), pushing beyond previous resistance zones and confirming the strength of the ongoing uptrend. The correction earlier this week near 3,800 USD proved to be just a healthy pullback, allowing bulls to accumulate before launching this breakout rally. With safe-haven demand still strong amid US government shutdown risks and expectations of further Fed rate cuts, gold remains firmly supported. The focus now shifts to how far this bullish wave can extend. 📍 Key Technical Zones 🔴 SELL Reaction Zones 3,911 – 3,915 (Fibo Liquidity) → Strong resistance, possible profit-taking zone. 🟢 BUY Zones 3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Reaction 0.786 – Support Zone) → First demand zone on pullbacks. 3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support if deeper correction unfolds. 3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Long-term confluence support for swing entries. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup Entry: On retracements to 3,830 – 3,820 with bullish confirmation. Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, with potential for 3,950+ if momentum holds. Stop: Below 3,808 2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Opportunity Entry: Only at 3,911 – 3,915 if sharp rejection is seen. Targets: 3,871 → 3,830 Stop: Above 3,922 3️⃣ Deep Pullback Swing BUY Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo Liquidity zone). Targets: 3,830 → 3,900+ Stop: Below 3,735 ⚡ Trading Notes Gold remains in a powerful bullish channel → Priority should be on BUY setups. Short-term SELLs are tactical only, with tight stops. Watch US political headlines & Fed outlook as they may accelerate volatility near ATHs. 💬 Community Insight Do you believe Gold will hit 3,950 – 4,000 USD this week, or will we see a stronger correction first? Share your setups below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Francis FiboMatrix Plan | Eyes on $4,000?📊 Market Context Gold continues its unstoppable climb, approaching all-time highs near $3,820 – $3,885 with momentum pointing towards the psychological $4,000/oz mark. The rally is fueled by: 🏦 Expectations of further Fed rate cuts. 🌍 Rising geopolitical risks and global demand for safe-haven assets. 📉 Weakness in the USD Index (DXY) adding tailwinds. Silver is also aiming for its historical high near $50, reinforcing the bullish wave in precious metals. 📍 Key Technical Levels (H2/H4) 🟢 BUY ZONES 3782 – 3780 → Optimal intraday entry zone. If price holds above 377x, the bullish structure remains intact. 🎯 Target Levels TP1: 3800 TP2: 3829 TP3: 3848 TP4: 3885 → possible breakout zone before testing 3900+ ❌ SELL is invalid in current structure → Focus only on buying dips and holding long. ⚡ Trade Setup Entry: 3782 – 3780 Stop Loss: 3772 Take Profit: R/R scaling from 1:1 → 1:4, with extended holds if price sustains above 377x. 💡 Francis Notes Stay disciplined: avoid chasing highs, buy the dips at noted Fibo zones. Momentum suggests potential $4,000 test in the medium term. Keep an eye on intraday corrections as opportunities, not threats. 💬 Community Talk Do you believe gold will break $4,000 in October, or will we see a deep pullback before? Share your setups & charts 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Two-phase FOMC reaction on EURUSD explained: Where next?EURUSD experienced a classic "dovish-then-hawkish" whipsaw following the Fed's 25bp cut. The Initial dovish reaction saw the fibre surge above 1.19 to multi-year highs as the dot plot showed 50bp additional cuts vs expected 25bp in 2025. However, Powell's hawkish presser reversed gains within the hour, describing the cut as "risk management" rather than an aggressive easing cycle start. EURSD is finding support at 1.1778 (previous high), with the price having taken out the 100% Fibonacci extension from August lows. Critical support sits at 1.1740, with a break below invalidating the bullish bias. Bullish Scenario Targets : 1.1830, 1.1866 (critical level), then 1.2000-1.2032 Triggers : Hold above 1.1778, break above 1.1866 Rationale : ECB-Fed divergence theme intact with ECB holding, while Fed cuts Bearish Scenario (Potential Dead Cat Bounce) Targets : 1.1750, 1.1730 Entry : Short at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (~1.1832) Stop : Above 1.1878 R:R Ratio : 3.38 Where next? ECB pause vs Fed easing supports underlying bullish EUR/USD theme despite near-term volatility. But the next FOMC meetings are more critical as Powell emphasised a "meeting-by-meeting" approach. Current pullback is likely a retracement before a potential continuation higher, but watch for rejection at the weekly trendline resistance shy of 1.20. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Short
by ThinkMarkets
GBPUSD – Medium-Term H1/H4 Technical Outlook Overview: GBPUSD has broken below its ascending channel after failing to hold gains around the 1.3530–1.3575 supply zone. Price is now testing the 0.618 retracement (~1.3366) with the RSI (5) at heavily oversold levels (~13–14), suggesting scope for a corrective bounce before the broader bearish bias continues. For traders, the focus remains on selling into rallies while considering short-term buy opportunities at key liquidity zones. Market Structure Trendline Break: The uptrend line has been breached, turning the bias towards selling rallies. Resistance/Supply: 1.3537 and 1.3453–1.3428. Support/Demand: Initial levels at 1.3366 (Fib 0.618) and 1.3319; major demand between 1.3143–1.3093. Momentum: Oversold conditions increase the probability of corrective upside moves before continuation lower. Trading Scenarios Sell the Rally – Primary Plan Entry: 1.3500 – 1.3510 Stop Loss: 1.3550 Take Profit: 1.3480 – 1.3466 – 1.3445 – 1.3430 Rationale: Short opportunities on retests of broken structure. Bias only invalidated if price closes above 1.3550 on the 4H chart. Buy the Dip – Intraday Scalps Entry: 1.3310 – 1.3330 Stop Loss: 1.3290 Take Profit: 1.3355 – 1.3368 – 1.3390 – 1.3410 Rationale: Oversold conditions and demand at 1.3319 favour quick long scalps back into resistance. Deeper Liquidity Sweep – Swing Buy Entry: 1.3090 – 1.3110 Stop Loss: 1.3050 Take Profit: 1.3135 – 1.3160 – 1.3200 – 1.3240 Rationale: A sweep into the 1.3143–1.3093 demand zone could provide a stronger base for swing long positions. Risk Management & Invalidation A 4H close above 1.3550 invalidates the bearish scenario. A strong break below 1.3310 suggests focusing on the deeper buy zone rather than scalping longs. Stagger take-profit levels and move stops to breakeven once the first target is reached.
Short
by ANFIBO_
Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits🟠 Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits Gold has had a strong breakout above the symmetrical triangle and has now pushed into an extended move near $3,700+. While the trend remains bullish on the higher timeframe, the current leg looks overextended, and I’m looking to hedge profits with a short setup. 🔑 Key Technicals Pattern Breakout: Gold broke out of a long consolidation wedge and accelerated higher. Resistance Zone: Price is testing the Fib 1.618 extension near $3,750, a potential exhaustion area. Volume Profile: Strong demand zone sits between $3,300 – $3,360 where most volume is concentrated. A pullback could retest this area. Risk-Reward: Setup gives ~1:3.4 RR with stop above recent highs and target into the HVN zone. 📉 Trade Idea – Protective Short Entry: 3750 Stop Loss: 3800 (extension level). Take Profit: $3580 ⚖️ Strategy This is not a reversal call – the larger trend is still bullish. The short setup is hedge/profit-protection only, aiming to capture a pullback after the parabolic leg. I’ll be watching if buyers can defend $3,600 on the first dip; failure to hold could accelerate selling toward the high-volume zone. 📊 Bias Short-term: Bearish (pullback expected) Mid-term: Neutral to Bullish (trend intact above $3,300) What do you think – do we see a healthy correction here, or is gold too strong to fade yet?
COMEX:GC1!
by JoshuaDanford
Gold hits record highs ahead of FOMC! Tech SetupGold reached fresh all-time highs near $3690 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting. Its rally reflects a perfect storm of Fed dovishness and geopolitical tensions, but technical divergences suggest positioning carefully ahead of Powell's decision. The 100% Fib extension and double divergence setup makes any hawkish surprise particularly dangerous for leveraged longs. CATALYSTS DRIVING THE RALLY: Fed rate cut fully priced in (25bps expected, some 50bps speculation) US-China tensions escalate (Nvidia antitrust accusations) Stephen Miron confirmed to Fed Board of Governors (dovish member) Dollar weakness supporting precious metals Surprising correlation: Nasdaq & S&P 500 also hit records alongside gold TECHNICAL LEVELS: Resistance : $3,700 - Key psychological level $3,750 - Next major target $3,800 - Extended upside if dovish Support : $3,660 - First support for entries $3,610 - Major support level Previous swing lows - Stop loss reference WARNINGS: Double divergence on 4H & 1H timeframes 100% Fibonacci extension reached RSI overbought conditions Momentum diverging from price action FOMC SCENARIOS: Bullish Case : Dovish 25bps + accommodative guidance → Target $3,750-$3,800 Risk Case : Hawkish surprise or even neutral tone → Profit-taking toward $3,600-$3,500 KEY RISKS: Powell emphasising inflation persistence Resistance to aggressive cutting cycle Hawkish dot plot projections Any break below $3,660 signals deeper correction potential This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ThinkMarkets
EUR/USD Bullish But... Trendline📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – August 19, 2025 The Euro/Dollar pair is currently trading around 1.1657, showing consolidation after recent strong moves. 🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels Immediate resistance at 1.1687 (38.2%). Psychological and technical barrier at 1.1775 (50%). Major resistance at 1.1867 (61.8%). Upside extension projected towards 1.2159 if the bearish trendline is broken. 🔹 Trend The descending trendline (in purple) continues to act as a dynamic ceiling. Unless broken decisively, upside potential may remain limited. 🔹 Important Supports First support at 1.1575 (23.6%). High-liquidity zone between 1.1450 – 1.1370, crucial to maintain the medium-term bullish structure. A break below 1.1275 could open the door to a deeper correction. 📌 Conclusion: The pair is at a decision point. A breakout above the trendline and 1.1687 could trigger fresh bullish momentum. On the other hand, losing the 1.1575 – 1.1450 zone would increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Long
by Axuview
2
Globant, Bright Future or Total Darkness?📊 Technical Analysis – Globant (GLOB) – Weekly The price of Globant (NYSE: GLOB) remains under strong bearish pressure, approaching a key long-term support area. 🔑 Fibonacci Levels 0.618 (61.55 USD): critical zone currently being tested. A clear breakdown could open the door to further declines. 0.5 (77.15 USD): first major resistance in case of a rebound. 0.382 (92.75 USD): secondary resistance, aligned with previous supply zones. 0.236 (112.04 USD): stronger resistance level; a breakout above would suggest a trend reversal. 📉 Support and Resistance Main Support: 65–61 USD, which acted as a strong base during 2019–2020. Immediate Resistance: 77 USD, followed by 93 USD. 🔄 Volume Volume has increased significantly over the past weeks, indicating strong institutional activity around this support area. This could hint at a potential technical rebound if the level holds. 📌 Conclusion As long as GLOB holds above 61 USD, there is room for a rebound toward 77–93 USD. A breakdown below 61 USD would open a more bearish scenario with medium-term targets around 50–45 USD. Current bias remains bearish, but we are at a key decision zone.
NYSE:GLOBLong
by Axuview
NVDA goes to $200NVDA keeps pushing towards $200 major resistance area, a very good momentum showed by a clear bullish trendline and stochastic momentum. No sign of bearish yet but still we've seen a slow but steady gain over the last couple days. Trend-based fibonacci is used to project the target price for NVDA. Short-term downward momentum might appear, however if NVDA isn't break down the 1.618 fibonacci level ($165-$170 price range) from the previous trend-based fibonacci, we could say that NVDA still remain bullish. Stop loss is optional on that level.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FractalNoise
AAPL Set for a Breakout? | Technical Checklist & Projections ▍Observation & Context ▪ AAPL has been moving sideways within a clearly defined range for the past three months . ▪ On July 07 , price tested the range resistance decisively, showing some interest in the upside. → Let's first explore the bullish breakout scenario. ▍What Makes a Good Breakout ? Before we talk about targets, let’s define what a good breakout looks like: ▪ A strong bullish candle breaking through the resistance in one clean move . ▪ Followed by a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support). ▪ After that, price should ideally: 1. Form a higher low , and 2. Reach the next resistance or target zone before pulling back. ▍Target Price – Method 1: Extension of the Range 🔹 Near-Term Target: 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci Extension - A common zone where momentum often pauses. - Aligns with the previous high from the last downtrend. - Technically, to reverse a trend, price needs to take out the previous high. Even though the range has “cooled off” the pressure, we still respect that level. 🔹 Ultimate Target: 2x Range Extension - Represents a 100% projection of the previous range. - Commonly used in range breakout targets. 🔹 Dream Target: 2.618x Fibonacci Extension - Aligns with the start of the last downtrend , adding significance to the level. - Often marks the exhaustion point of strong trends. ▍Target Price – Method 2: Projection from Higher Low Note: The new higher low is not yet confirmed at the time of writing. The levels below assume an upward breakout without dropping below 207.22 . However, the same logic can be applied once the higher low forms. 🔹 Near-Term Target: Same as Method 1 🔹 Ultimate Target: 100% Projection of Prior Swing - Projecting the prior swing (from previous low to recent high) from the new higher low . - This level also aligns with the 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci extension of that swing, increasing its significance. 🔹 Dream Target: Another 100% projection - Rare, but happens when momentum is very strong . - In such cases, price might skip any retracement and launch directly into a second leg , equal to the previous swing. - Here, the level aligns perfectly with the start of the last downtrend , just like the 2.618x extension in Method 1. ▋Mental Notes ▪ No one knows for sure if the breakout will be real or fake. But when it happens, knowing what to look for and where price might go next gives us a clear plan of action . ▪ The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow. ▋Not Financial Advice The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by stock_adelie
JINDAL STEEL: Leading Diagonal Starting?JINDAL STEEL & POWER appears to be constructing an initial impulsive advance that may very well be taking the form of a Leading Diagonal. The advance from the 770 lows has so far developed into a structure where Wave 4 has overlapped with Wave 1 territory, suggesting that a classical impulse structure may not be applicable here. Instead, the price action fits neatly within the characteristics of a leading diagonal pattern, which allows such overlaps. Wave 1 terminated at 923.80 followed by a corrective pullback into Wave 2 at 833.60. The subsequent rise into Wave 3 reached 985.80, which completed near the 100% extension of Wave 1, supporting the diagonal scenario where extensions are often limited. This was followed by a clear a-b-c correction into Wave 4, which found support at 882.65. Notably, the c-leg of Wave 4 reached close to 1.618 times the length of Wave a, adding further symmetry to this structure. The current advance may therefore represent Wave 5 of this diagonal, projecting towards the 1036 to 1131 region of Fibonacci extensions. However, since leading diagonals typically signal the start of a larger structure, this entire formation could well be unfolding as either the first leg of a higher degree impulse (Wave 1) or as an initial Wave A of a larger correction. The labeling is thus kept open as "1/a" to reflect both possibilities at this stage. The invalidation level for the current bullish scenario remains at 882.65, below which this entire leading diagonal interpretation would require reassessment. Until then, the bias remains upwards as the final leg of this structure seeks completion. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JINDALSTELLong
by WaveXplorer
INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29). NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by rose_excellence
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25). Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards. Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200. Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
5
NZDUSD is preparing for a reversal and a fallNZDUSD is in consolidation and preparing to exit it. Ahead is possible breakout of trend support and fall to 0.5757 The reason is as follows: change of fundamentals background (positive signals on tariff war), dollar growth and market reversal. Scenario: break of consolidation support at 0.5885, price consolidation below this level - this will be a signal ready to start distribution, i.e. downward movement. Primary target 0.5 fibo, secondary target 0.7 fibo
Short
by AndeWave
13
VIRTUALUSDT can derail support with momentumVIRTUAL is consolidating after the rally, but it cannot continue its growth yet. A descending triangle with a clear base support and a fourth retest relative to 1.877 is being formed, which in general only increases the chances of support breakout and decline Scenario: if the compression of this format (within the descending triangle) continues and the price continues to compress to the support at 1.877, then in this case it will be possible to catch a breakout through a limit order. A sharp impulse is possible. As the first target I will wait for a decline to 0.5 fibo (1.73)
Short
by AndeWave
7