$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Incredible Weekly Close!The Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap showed incredible resilience after nuking ~25% this week.
Closed the Week just below the WEMA9 at $3.86T, but above the .236 Fib and stayed cleared of the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Notice that wick all the way down to the 50WMA where it bounced literally right off the trendline breakout I drew back in July.
Those MMs are really respecting my TA these days huh 🤓
This dump covered the 50% Gann level retrace, which give me confluence that the hardest part of behind us.
Bears weren't even able to form a Bearish Engulfing candle.
Next up Bulls need to reclaim the 9WEMA as mentioned in the previous post.
Fibonacci Retracement
JPY Analysis & Outlook: Friday’s Options Flow Tells the StoryFriday’s trading on the options market revealed two key developments in JPY:
🔸 Two Straddles appeared in the current front-month expiry series
Plus a mid-sized Call Spread near 0.00675
Upper boundaries: 0.00674 and 0.006799 (marked on chart)
🔍 Key Takeaways:
Option traders are positioning likely for a correction in JPY futures after last week’s sharp drop.
But, Straddle isn’t a directional bet — it’s a volatility play with structure.
Call Spread is a a directional bet
As usual, when price approaches either Straddle boundary, option players will likely convert positions into synthetic calls or puts, reinforcing these levels as BE zones.
🎯 Strategic Levels:
0.00674 – 0.006799 → Potential resistance zone in the medium term
But here’s what’s interesting:
If you apply a Fibonacci retracement tool, the 61.8% level aligns almost perfectly with one of the already marked Straddle levels.
That kind of confluence?
It could attract additional downside liquidity from traders using Fib grids — especially those selling into "expected" reversal zones.
Is it a coincidence?
Sure, probably 😉
ZECUSD → The altcoin exception that is growingBINANCE:ZECUSDT withstood the blow of the global decline that affected the entire cryptocurrency market, liquidating long positions worth $10 billion. But even in such a situation, there can be exceptions ;)
The cryptocurrency market is in panic and liquidation. Bitcoin is testing 100K amid massive liquidation. However, against the backdrop of the entire market, there are several coins that have withstood the blow, one of which is ZECUSDT, which is growing and testing resistance
ZEC was also hit by the decline, but after testing the control point in the area of maximum volume density 145-155, the market aggressively and quickly bought up the altcoin, indicating bullish strength at the moment.
Resistance levels: 280.30, 305.65
Support levels: 242.64, 208.76
Focus on the trigger at 280.26. If, during the current retest, the price does not form a deep pullback but continues to consolidate and storm the specified resistance, then the chance of a breakout will be high. A closing price above 280.30 - 280.50 could trigger a rally to 305 - 345.
Best regards, R. Linda!
(GOLD) H4 – $4,000 Reclaimed, Where is the Optimal Strategy?🎯 Macro Summary: The Safe-Haven Demand Dominance
The new trading week kicks off with a strong signal from Gold: the price has successfully recaptured the critical psychological level of $4,000 and is trading around $4,020.
Primary Driver: Geopolitical risk concerns and escalating US-China tensions (with the US President announcing "very strange things" happening in China and countermeasures being considered) have driven the market to seek Gold as a safe haven.
Record Trend: Buyers are looking to sustain the momentum, aiming for an eighth consecutive weekly gain, indicating a powerful underlying trend that cannot be ignored.
The Warning Level: To maintain the bullish trend and avoid a deep correction toward $3,900, Gold must hold above the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $3,962 (on a weekly candle close).
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4): Pinpointing Fibo Reaction Zones
Based on the current H4 market structure and the use of Fibo/Liquidity React Zone tools—the signature of FranCi$$_FiboMatrix—we have the following strategic trading areas:
1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones:
These are strong Fibo resistance areas where we will look for SELL corrections if buying momentum stalls:
SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844) The nearest critical Fibo resistance zone. Price is currently reacting here.
SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811) The powerful FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 target. This is the next target if price breaks SELL ZONE 1 and continues its strong ascent.
BUY ZONE (LIQUIDITY) 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674) The crucial Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. This is the ideal point to look for long entries (BUY) when the price corrects down, close to the psychological $3,900 mark.
Great! Based on the in-depth, precise Fibo and reaction zone analysis that defines the FranCi$$_FiboMatrix channel on TradingView, I will fully translate and standardize your content into a comprehensive and professional weekly market outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the H4 chart.
Here is the weekly market analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on the H4 chart, integrating both macro and technical elements:
⚡️ WEEKLY OUTLOOK: XAUUSD (GOLD) H4 – $4,000 Reclaimed, Where is the Optimal Strategy?
Version: Weekly Outlook – H4 Analysis | FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Channel
🎯 Macro Summary: The Safe-Haven Demand Dominance
The new trading week kicks off with a strong signal from Gold: the price has successfully recaptured the critical psychological level of $4,000 and is trading around $4,020.
Primary Driver: Geopolitical risk concerns and escalating US-China tensions (with the US President announcing "very strange things" happening in China and countermeasures being considered) have driven the market to seek Gold as a safe haven.
Record Trend: Buyers are looking to sustain the momentum, aiming for an eighth consecutive weekly gain, indicating a powerful underlying trend that cannot be ignored.
The Warning Level: To maintain the bullish trend and avoid a deep correction toward $3,900, Gold must hold above the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $3,962 (on a weekly candle close).
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4): Pinpointing Fibo Reaction Zones
Based on the current H4 market structure and the use of Fibo/Liquidity React Zone tools—the signature of FranCi$$_FiboMatrix—we have the following strategic trading areas:
1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones:
These are strong Fibo resistance areas where we will look for SELL corrections if buying momentum stalls:
Zone Price Range Analysis Basis
SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844) The nearest critical Fibo resistance zone. Price is currently reacting here.
SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811) The powerful FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 target. This is the next target if price breaks SELL ZONE 1 and continues its strong ascent.
Xuất sang Trang tính
2. Strategic BUY Liquidity Zone:
This zone is the prime area to catch the next BUY wave when the market retraces:
Zone Price Range Analysis Basis
BUY ZONE (LIQUIDITY) 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674) The crucial Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. This is the ideal point to look for long entries (BUY) when the price corrects down, close to the psychological $3,900 mark.
Xuất sang Trang tính
📈 Optimal Weekly Action Plan
Scenario A: Distribution and Re-accumulation (Correction to BUY Zone)
Action 1 (SELL/SHORT): Actively look to SELL at the 402x - 403x zone (SELL ZONE 1) upon clear H4/H1 bearish reversal candle signals.
Sell Target (TP): Aim for the LIQUIDITY REACT FIB BUY ZONE 392x - 389x.
Action 2 (BUY/LONG): Wait for strong bullish confirmation signals at 392x - 389x to enter a long trade, following the main trend.
Buy Target (TP): Aim back towards SELL ZONE 1 or SELL ZONE 2 at 411x - 412x.
Scenario B: Acceleration (Breakout):
If the price executes a decisive breakout and closes above the 402x - 403x zone, we disregard the SELL setup and prioritize buying the momentum.
Next BUY Target: REACTION SELL ZONE 411x - 412x.
⚠️ Risk Warning (Risk Management):
Deep Correction Risk: Pay extremely close attention to the $3,962 level. If the Gold price breaks and closes below this level, the risk of a deeper correction toward $3,900 is very high. Maintain strict risk management (SL) for long trades if the price moves below this mark.
Will BTC go further down?🧩 1. General Context
Bitcoin is currently declining after rebounding from around $124,000.
The chart shows a clear descending channel (yellow lines), where the price bounced off the upper and lower boundaries.
Currently, the daily candle is testing the lower boundary of the channel and the support zone (red rectangle) between ~$110,000 and $107,000.
📉 2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance 1) 115,699 EMA50/SMA200 average zone — possible retest from below
Resistance (2) 119,875 resistance with a potential bounce
Resistance (3) 124,585 strong resistance with a potential bounce
Support (1) 110,000 Daily support currently being tested
Support (2) 107,111 200-day SMA — a strong defensive line in the uptrend
Support (3) 105,000 Lower boundary of the September demand zone
📊 3. Moving Averages
The 50-day EMA (~115,700) recently crossed the 200-day SMA (~115,600) → a possible death cross if it holds below.
Price below the EMA50 and SMA100, approaching the SMA200 → momentum is definitely bearish in the short term.
⚙️ 4. MACD
The MACD indicator shows a fresh crossover of the downward signal.
The histogram deepens into the negative zone → confirmation of downward pressure.
Momentum is negative, with no signs of upward divergence.
💪 5. RSI
RSI = 37.9, close to the oversold zone, but not yet extreme.
A technical rebound could potentially occur when touching 30–35.
No divergence is visible yet (RSI confirms price movement).
🕯️ 6. Candlestick Structure
The last three daily candles are:
Two strong bearish candles with large bodies (without significant shadows).
Today's candle with a lower wick is testing the 110,000 zone → a possible defense attempt by buyers.
📈 7. Short-Term Scenarios
🔻 Bearish:
A break of 110,000 and a daily close below 107,000 → a possible decline to 105,000 and even 101,000–102,000 USD.
The MACD and moving averages confirm this scenario.
🔼 Bullish:
A defense of 110,000 and a return above 112,000–113,000 → a possible retest of 115,000–116,000 (EMA50/200) is possible.
The RSI indicates that the market has cooled down → a short-term technical rebound is possible.
$BTC 200DMA Retest Prophecy Has Been FULFILLED!Ladies and Gents,
the 200D Retest Prophecy has been FULFILLED!
At 186 days, this was the second longest retest after a Death Cross in Bitcoin's history.
If PA convincingly reclaims the 50MA, that should mark the bottom.
PA looks like it will close the day outside of the DANGER ZONE, so I'm hopeful 🤓
GOLD → Retest 4000. Pullback before a breakout and rise to 4100?FX:XAUUSD , after a sharp sell-off and testing of the 3950 support zone, is aiming to return to the $4000 level on Friday, preparing for its eighth consecutive week in positive territory.
The Senate adjourned for the weekend until Tuesday, postponing a decision on the shutdown. John Williams supported further rate cuts, Mary Daly confirmed her readiness for cuts, despite the fact that Powell did not say anything particularly interesting about policy on Thursday.
The upward trend in gold remains unchanged. The potential for growth to new highs remains, provided the shutdown continues and the Fed maintains its soft policy. The $4000 level remains a key psychological support.
Resistance levels: 4000, 4059, 4075
Support levels: 3986, 3980, 3968
The 4000 zone may prove to be strong resistance, so expect a battle (consolidation or trading range in this zone), during which the price may form a pullback to 3980-3970 before returning to 4K for a breakout attempt.
Best regards, R. Linda!
LTCUSDT → False breakout of resistance...BINANCE:LTCUSDT is forming a distribution pattern after local consolidation. The price is testing the resistance zone and forming a false breakout, but there is a but. The cryptocurrency market is in correction...
Bitcoin looks quite weak at the moment, forming a correction and local consolidation before a possible continuation of the decline to 117-116K. The local pump in LTC may end in an aggressive decline if the price closes below the key resistance level.
Manipulation (false breakout) relative to resistance. Against the backdrop of a weak market, LTC is forming a rally, which may be a sign of a local trap before a drop to the break-even or liquidity zone (124.1 - 115.3).
Resistance levels: 132.0, 134.2
Support levels: 124.14, 115.36
A false breakout of resistance, while the entire altcoin market is declining, looks like a hunt for liquidity before catching up with the main market. Accordingly, confirmation of a false breakout of the resistance zone could trigger a drop in LTC.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → False breakout of the all-time high zoneBINANCE:BTCUSDT is rising amid the US government shutdown and testing the all-time high zone and resistance at 123.3K - 123.7K. A false breakout has formed and the market is moving into local consolidation.
The price is reacting aggressively to the retest of the uptrend support. A rally is forming, and Bitcoin is testing the ATH zone. As part of the distribution (14% rally), the price reaches an important resistance zone, behind which lies a liquidity pool - 123.3K - 124.5K. However, the growth ends with a false breakout and subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone. To break through such a strong zone, the market needs significant consolidation, which is currently lacking, and the news that caused the price to grow so strongly has already partially exhausted its potential. Thus, the market may move into consolidation, correction to accumulate potential, or wait for the next bullish driver.
Resistance levels: 123.3K, 123.7K, 124.5K
Support levels: 119.2K, 117.8K
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 123.7 - 124.5, but technically, on Friday, the market began a sell-off (profit-taking), forming a sufficiently long shadow on the daily candlestick. In the medium term, I expect a correction to the local break-even and imbalance zone of 119K - 117K before another attempt at growth is made
Best regards, R. Linda!
SPY potential bounce target (Fib / Trend Line)What a morning we had, I wish I would have caught the entire wave down, I did not expect a drop like this to happen, I was only able to capture maybe 20% of the drop in my short. Overall not a bad day. Usually after a drop we look to re-enter for a long. In order to avoid catching a falling knife, we are looking to break down out entry for long into 2.
1st Entry, right at the yellow support line, around 655.xx to 656
We would like to see a bounce then retest the yellow line and entry on the 2nd bounce.
2nd Entry would be at the Fib Level 0.382
I use E-wave pattern as a reference + fib retrace/ext to gauge most of my entry.
My biggest fear with this trade is that the pattern that I am expecting to happen end up finishing in ES before the market open on Monday.
So instead of buying 2 weeks out contract, I am going to buy calls closer to 4 weeks expiration in case I am wrong or ES movement on Sunday and I ended up missed out the entire structure.
TL:DR
Enter 1st long at $655.xx
If we dropped below $655
2nd Long is at 0382 FIB / $683.22
I will probably stop out if it dip below 0.5 FIB
I am not ruling out the possibility that we will go down further than 683.22 and head to 0.5 Fib or even 0.618 Fib.
As always trade with caution, always have a stop loss to prevent blowing up account.
The LINK/USDT will probably go lower📉 Trend and Structure
The price is currently trading within a descending channel (yellow lines), which has been in place since late August.
The price attempted to break out of the channel at the top around $23.40, but buyers lacked strength – it was rejected at resistance and fell back below the downtrend line.
Currently, the price is just below the upper edge of the channel and below the 50/200 EMA, confirming that the medium-term trend remains downward.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support:
$21.40 – local support, which is currently being tested.
$20.80 – strong support from previous price reactions.
$19.68 – lower boundary of the channel, a very important level for bulls.
Resistance:
$22.20–$22.70 – zone of the 50/200 EMA and previous rejections.
USD 23.40 – the last local high and the point of the false breakout.
USD 24.90 and USD 25.50 – key breakout levels from the channel, paving the way to USD 27–28.
⚙️ Technical Indicators
MACD:
The MACD line has crossed the upside signal → sell signal.
The histogram has turned slightly negative, indicating a loss of upward momentum.
RSI (14):
Currently around 51, with a slight downward slope.
Neutral, but with a strong upside – a drop to around 40 is possible before the bulls attempt a rebound.
🧭 Scenarios
🔻 Bearish Scenario (more likely)
If the price remains below $22 and the channel is not broken, a further decline to $20.80 is possible, or even a test of the lower band of the channel at $19.70.
Confirmation will be a close of the 4-hour candle below $21.40.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (less likely at this time)
If the bulls reclaim $22.70–$23.00 and close the 4-hour candle above it, a breakout from the channel could occur.
The targets will then be $23.40, $24.90, and $25.50, respectively.
Increased volume and confirmation on the MACD (bullish cross) are required.
How to use Candle Range Detector – Fibo-Based Volatility mapping🧠 Concept Overview
The Candle Range Detector (CRD) visualizes how market volatility expands and contracts across time.
Instead of using a static multiplier, it applies Fibonacci ratios (0.618, 1.0, 1.618, 2.618, etc.) to dynamically scale candle ranges, helping traders spot where price might react or exhaust.
Each detected candle range forms a zone or band representing potential continuation or reversal interest areas.
This adaptive approach captures market rhythm more naturally than uniform multipliers.
⸻
⚙️ How It Works
1. Range Detection:
The indicator measures the true range (high–low) of key candles and maps them forward on the chart.
2. Fibonacci Expansion Logic:
Instead of a normal “x times range” multiplier, Fibonacci levels are used to project natural extensions and contractions from each candle’s body or wick.
3. Zone Formation:
Each candle’s range forms a rectangular area (as shown on your chart).
• Thicker Boxes: Represent strong impulsive candles or high-volume bars.
• Lighter Boxes: Represent pullback or resting candles.
4. Automatic Overlap Handling:
When two zones overlap, the indicator visually merges them, highlighting confluence where multiple candle ranges align — a sign of strong market memory.
⸻
📊 How to Interpret
• When price revisits a previously detected Fibonacci expansion zone, it often reacts (pause or reversal).
• A cluster of zones at similar levels acts like a dynamic supply/demand region.
• Breakouts beyond upper/lower Fibonacci bands may indicate trend continuation.
• Tight clusters of small ranges suggest compression – potential breakout setup.
⸻
💡 Practical Use-Cases
• Identify where short-term volatility clusters before big moves.
• Spot pullback re-entries aligned with prior expansion zones.
• Detect imbalance areas that later act as resistance/support.
• Enhance confluence with volume, VWAP, or order flow indicators.
⸻
🧩 Customization Tips
• Fib Ratios: You can select or deselect Fibonacci levels from the settings panel. Right now its set to 1.618
• Zone Opacity: Adjust transparency to visualize overlaps better.
• Lookback Range: Control how many historical ranges are plotted for context.
⸻
🏁 Summary
The Candle Range Detector (Fibonacci Mode) transforms traditional range analysis into a visual map of volatility zones.
By using Fibonacci expansion instead of arbitrary multipliers, it synchronizes with natural market rhythm and highlights where liquidity and volatility converge.
Holding $4,000 Before Powell Speaks: Bulls Still Have the EdgeGold remains resilient after the recent drop from its record high at $4,059, as buyers continue to defend the $4,000 psychological support zone. The market’s attention now turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech, which could trigger strong volatility in the next session.
Despite the correction, the structure remains technically bullish under the FiboMatrix framework — the price is consolidating within key retracement levels, preparing for its next expansion wave.
📊 FiboMatrix Technical Structure (M30)
Support Zone – Retest Area:
4010 – 4012 → Key trendline retest + Fibo 0.618 Reaction Zone, potential area for bullish re-entry.
Reaction Buy Zone:
402x → Watch for a confirmation bounce to rejoin the upward trend.
Resistance Zone (ATH):
4060 → Intraday ceiling and pivot point before testing higher liquidity above 408x.
SELL Reaction Zone:
4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, ideal for short-term rejection or scalp trades.
🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Setup)
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 4010 – 402x
Targets: 4060 → 4084
SL: Below 3996
⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp):
Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms)
Targets: 4040 → 4020
SL: Above 4096
🔑 Francis Outlook
Gold’s retracement looks healthy and controlled within the Fibo structure — not a breakdown.
As long as price holds above the $4,000 zone, the bullish sentiment dominates.
👉 Expect slower momentum and possible range play until Powell’s remarks.
👉 A confirmed breakout above 4060 – 4086 could extend the rally toward $4,100+ and beyond.
🚀 Bias: Still bullish while above 4010 – “Buy the dips, sell the Fibo reaction.”
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Change in local trend. Confirmation...FX:USDCHF confirms a change in the downtrend and is ready to move into a distribution phase amid growth in the dollar index.
The dollar is breaking through resistance and may continue its bullish correction within the global downtrend. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc is losing ground...
The currency pair is forming a breakout of the local trend. The breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle confirms bullish action. As part of the distribution, the price may test local highs.
Resistance levels: 0.8071, 0.8132
Support levels: 0.800
A consolidation of the price above 0.800 may form an intermediate bottom, which will provide support for the bulls before the next run.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets...
Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold.
Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100
Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986
Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared...
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → Retracement for consolidation before growth to 250.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT bounces off trend support, forms a reversal pattern, and enters a distribution phase, during which it updates its maximum but encounters strong resistance. What's next?
Bitcoin breaks through resistance, updating its maximum and opening up a new chance for growth for altcoins. Correction and retesting of support in the market may end with continued growth.
SOL is testing resistance at 231.5. The rally has temporarily stalled, and a correction is forming, during which the market may test the break-even and imbalance zone before returning to growth. It is worth keeping an eye on Bitcoin, as a resumption of growth by the flagship will support the growth of altcoins.
Resistance levels: 231.5, 235, 250
Support levels: 218, 205
A false breakout of 231.5 is provoking a pullback. It is necessary to monitor the further halt in price. I expect a retest of 220-218 before the price returns to growth.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
DOGEUSDT → Correction to 0.246. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P attempted to realize its potential after breaking out of the downward resistance. After updating the local maximum to 0.27, the price entered a phase of correction and consolidation...
Bitcoin slows down its growth after reaching the 125K zone. A correction may form in the altcoin markets due to the risk of profit-taking. For DOGE, there is a zone of interest at 0.2466
The price of DOGE has reached a strong resistance zone, where bears have increased pressure. A false breakout of 0.2653 - 0.2694 has formed. A sell-off is forming...
Resistance levels: 0.2653, 0.2694
Support levels: 0.2466, 0.2431, 0.2376
Against the backdrop of market correction, a downward rally associated with panic selling is forming. The support zone that is of interest to the market is 0.2466, and this zone is quite capable of stopping the decline. A false breakdown and holding the price above 0.246 - 0.243 may renew interest in growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Can NASDAQ Hold 24,600 and Push to New Highs?Hey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a potential buying opportunity around the 24,600 zone. NASDAQ remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key support/resistance level at 24,600.
Structure: The broader trend is bullish, with price moving within an ascending channel.
Key level in focus: 24,600 — a critical support area aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
Next move: Holding above this level could set the stage for a rebound toward 25,100, which represents the channel’s upper resistance and potential higher high formation.
Trade safe,
Joe.
ETHFIUSDT → Correction to support consolidation. Rally?BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is correcting after updating its local maximum to 1.9382. The breakout of the 1.6775 zone is an attempt to start distribution after a long consolidation. Will the bulls hold this zone?
Bitcoin is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. Against this backdrop, the entire cryptocurrency market is declining. However, the trend is bullish and the fundamental background is positive. The end of the correction may resume growth in the market.
ETHFI on the daily timeframe is trying to move into a distribution phase after 5-6 months of consolidation. The trend is upward, and after breaking through resistance, a correction to the liquidity zone of 1.6775 is forming. A false breakdown, a change in market imbalance, and consolidation above 1.6780 could increase buyer interest, which in turn could lead to growth.
Resistance levels: 1.8980, 1.9382
Support levels: 1.6775, 1.5343
The chart shows two key levels - 1.6775 and 1.5343. If the bulls hold their ground above the nearest level of 1.6775, this could lead to a rebound and growth, which in turn would confirm the continuation of the distribution phase. Otherwise, the market may test the POC zone at 1.5343, and liquidity capture may in turn trigger growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY breakout: Can the rally extend toward 155?The dollar-yen pair smashed through 150 with one of the strongest breakouts recently, confirming a new technical phase as it trades above the 61.8% Fib retracement. Here’s what’s fuelling the move and what traders should watch next:
Dollar strength returned as safe haven flows dominate, even with a US government shutdown, while Japan’s new prime minister’s dovish signals are sending the yen into freefall.
Key drivers
Safe haven flows : Investors seek shelter in the dollar as global uncertainty rises; DXY index hit a 6-week high.
Yield differentials : The Fed/BOJ spread powers further carry trade buying as Japanese rates remain ultra-low.
Japanese political shift : PM Takaichi’s win spurs fiscal stimulus and pushes back market hopes for BOJ tightening, deepening yen weakness.
Technical breakout : Clean break above multi-year resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement; watch for support validation and continuation toward the next 78.6% Fib at 154.80.
What to watch
Holding above 150 and 61.8% Fib support sets the stage for a bullish continuation.
Profit taking is possible near 153.25–154.80, as RSI shows signs of overbought.
Tonight’s FOMC minutes, Thursday’s BoJ/Ueda speech, and political headlines could trigger sharp moves.
Cross-pair momentum : EURJPY at record highs, GBPJPY surging, confirming broad-based yen weakness.
The bulls are in control as long as USDJPY stays above 151.15–150.50. Pullbacks to support offer opportunities to buy dips, with 154.80 as the next bullish target. Keep stop losses disciplined, and don’t ignore the chance for sharp reversals if intervention or a dramatic shift in sentiment emerges.
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GOLD H1 – Holding Above $4,000, Next Expansion in PlayGold continues to build momentum after the historic breakout above $4,000, confirming the zone 3996$ (Fibo 0.618 reaction) as a strong intraday support. Buyers are keeping control, with the market now looking towards higher Fibo expansion zones.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – Fibo Matrix)
3996$ Zone: Breakout ATH support + Fibo 0.618 → Key pivot, as long as price stays above, bulls remain in charge.
4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance → short-term reaction level.
4043$: Psychological resistance aligned with Fibo expansion.
406x – 407x: Major SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → possible scalp rejection zone.
4095$+: Extended expansion zone, next upside liquidity target.
🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Setup)
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 3996 – 4000 (retest support).
Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x.
Stop Loss: Below 3984.
⚠️ SELL Setup (Scalp only):
Entry: 406x – 407x if rejection confirmed.
Target: 4020 – 4000
Stop Loss: Above 4096.
🔑 Francis Key Takeaway
The breakout above $4,000 is a structural shift.
👉 As long as Gold holds 3996 support, dips remain strong buying opportunities.
👉 Short-term traders can watch the 406x – 407x Fibo reaction for potential rejections.
🚀 The path to $4,100 is open – trade with precision, follow the liquidity.






















