Bitcoin Pumps +10% — Bull Trap or Trend Reversal?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced over a +10% increase in the past two days, which came as a surprise to many analysts considering the previous bearish momentum. In other words, Bitcoin is on something of a roller coaster lately😂.
The question now is whether Bitcoin has started a new bullish trend or if it’s likely to see another decline.
Let’s dive into the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching a resistance zone($94,850-$93,000), a Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($94,710-$94,063), and the monthly pivot point. This cluster of resistances, combined with the recent upward momentum, might make it challenging for Bitcoin to break through.
It’s also worth noting that the trading volume during this recent rally hasn’t been particularly high, so Bitcoin could still surprise us. This recent behavior shows that Bitcoin can move sharply both up and down, so it’s crucial to maintain proper risk management.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, considering Bitcoin’s recent decline, I initially expected that Bitcoin might at least test the low of its main wave 3 again. However, the recent rebound suggests that the main wave 5 may be truncated, and the corrective waves could still push Bitcoin lower, potentially even below $75,000.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin might be forming a bearish flag pattern, with the ascending channel acting as the flag’s pole.
In addition, the USDT.D%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is still on an upward trend, which indicates that the cryptocurrency market might still face downward pressure.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions, such as those between the U.S. and Venezuela, could also act as a trigger for further Bitcoin declines if they escalate.
Lastly, the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ), despite its recent bullish trend, doesn’t show the same positive correlation with Bitcoin. In fact, a decline in the S&P 500 could amplify Bitcoin’s downward movement.
Considering all these factors, I expect Bitcoin to continue its bearish trend and potentially test the heavy support zone. If these support levels break, we could see even more significant declines in the crypto market.
Based on the above explanation, I expect Bitcoin to have at least a correction to the targets I specified on the chart, and then depending on the momentum, we can expect a continuation of the decline or a resurgence.
Note: In general, with the opening of the US markets, financial market movements have become more intense these days than before, and it is better to be prepared for any scenario at that time.
What do you think? Do you believe Bitcoin will dip below $75,000, or will it bounce back?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,591-$96,688
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $91,860-$90,960
Stop Loss(SL): $96,200
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
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BTCUSD – Observing a Bullish Flag Structure on the 4H ChartBitcoin’s 4-hour chart is showing a period of consolidation following a strong upward movement. The recent rally created a steep impulse leg, and price is now moving within a compact range that resembles a bullish flag–type structure. This type of structure often appears when the market is taking a pause after increased momentum.
Several moving averages (EMA 7/21/50) are positioned below the current price, indicating that short-term trend conditions continue to lean on the supportive side. Price is holding above these EMAs while staying inside the consolidation zone.
If price continues to maintain support near this range, traders will often watch for a potential continuation scenario. On the other hand, if the market slips below the lower boundary, it may signal that the consolidation phase is extending or losing momentum.
This idea focuses on illustrating the pattern and highlighting how price is interacting with the EMAs, without suggesting any specific trading action.
Bitcoin - Fake drop! Soon return to 96k (December PUMP!)Bitcoin has dropped like crazy in the past day because we are in a strong bear market, but I think we should see a December rally! I have been warning you against these big crashes pretty much since Summer 2025. I knew it was going to happen - the question was not if but when.
The price created a huge FVG, and this gap is very unfilled. Pretty much it looks like a huge manipulation from big players (they sent the price down significantly to liquidate high-leverage traders on futures). You know that the Bitcoin market is completely manipulated by the Fed, banks, and huge institutions. They even have a roadmap, and they know what the price of Bitcoin will be in 2030 and 2040. I know everyone hates the Fed and banks, but this is how it is. We trade it, so you have to be able to predict their movements and trade with their plan.
I think Bitcoin will be very bearish in 2026, and we will see prices below 60k! It looked like sci-fi a few weeks ago, but this idea of 60k Bitcoin seems to be real. Moonboys are no longer spitting on these ideas, and some people are calling for 30k or 40k Bitcoin. Let me know in the comment section your prediction. I am curious! You have to understand that there is a lot of manipulation going on in this world. We live in a physical world that has been created recently. The original astral world is where the magic happens. And yes, the physical world is a scam and fraud. The sooner you understand that after you're dead, you wake up in the original astral world, the better for you.
Currently, I am pretty bullish, I think we will see a bullish rally sooner rather than later!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURCAD, Dollar Index, US30
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Correctional movement continues.
The price now formed a falling parallel channel - a bullish flag.
A bullish breakout of its resistance and a daily candle close above
will confirm a completion of a correction and a resumption
of a long-term uptrend.
2️⃣ #EURCAD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇦
The market is in a deep consolidation.
The price is stuck within a wide horizontal range on a daily
for more than a month.
We can expect a bullish continuation to a resistance of the range.
A bearish movement will most likely follow from that.
3️⃣ Dollar Index #DXY daily time frame $
The market reached a significant daily horizontal support cluster.
Due to its historic importance, there is a high probability
to see a pullback from that.
4️⃣ DOW Jones Index US30 daily time frame
The market continues coiling alongside a recently broken
trend line that turned into a strong vertical resistance now.
There is a high probability that we will see a stronger retracement
from that and a bearish movement.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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AUDUSDCup formation complete-handle formation to be waited. Divergence confirmed at 1H timeframe which make a expected retracement at fib retracement lvl of 0.368.
Order can be put with tight SL at top of cup or trade can be executed at smaller timeframe.
Will wait for proper cup&handle formation for the execution of long trade at top of cup/pole of flag
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$RDDT – Larger Head & Shoulders + Bear Flag = Trouble AheadReddit ( NYSE:RDDT ) is showing a bigger-picture head & shoulders pattern combined with a near-term bear flag, and the downside risk is real if the market continues to weaken — especially if NASDAQ:NVDA disappoints on earnings.
🔹 The Bigger Structure:
Head: The peak around $280
Right Shoulder: Forming around $230
This entire pattern is stretched over months — a structural topping pattern with heavy implications.
🔹 Near-Term Structure:
Between $180–$190, NYSE:RDDT is building a tight bear flag.
This is exactly the kind of setup that resolves to the downside when market sentiment turns.
🔹 Downside Levels:
First real support sits around $202, and that’s where sellers likely target first.
A breakdown of the flag could send it there quickly, especially in a risk-off tape.
🔹 Macro Risk:
If NASDAQ:NVDA misses earnings, this market is sitting on a cliff.
Momentum names and high-beta IPOs like NYSE:RDDT tend to get hit the hardest when liquidity dries up.
Combine macro weakness + a topping pattern + a bear flag… and you have a real setup for further downside.
🔹 My Trade View:
1️⃣ Bias: Bearish while under the 9 EMA.
2️⃣ Trigger: Breakdown under the bear flag ($180–$190 zone).
3️⃣ Target: $202 first, and potentially lower depending on market conditions.
4️⃣ Stop: Above the flag highs / 9 EMA.
Why This Matters:
You don’t often see a multi-month topping pattern line up cleanly with a short-term continuation short setup.
NYSE:RDDT has room to fall if the broader market unwinds.
This is one of the cleanest momentum breakdown candidates on the board.
Downfall of DXY?!? Bears Flag The Possibility!Here on TVC:DXY we can see that last week it ended in a Bearish Breakout of an Ascending Channel, the perfect Bear Flag scenario!
Now price closed the week on the ascent possibly being the Retest of the Breakout.
If the Channel holds price on a successful retest, TVC:DXY will drop!
Fundamentally, USD has impactful news all week this week. Even so, with limited data from back logged events not available until after next FOMC Meeting, this means the Federal Reserve will continue to make decisions in "the dark" and with a high probability of a Rate Cut coming in December!
If the Bear Flag is successful in being a continuation pattern set-up, we could see price drop down to the prior Low of November under 99!
GBPUSD - Flag + Bat= SARMy top trading idea of the week comes on GBPUSD, and it’s a unique scenario packed with multiple setups working together. The first is a potential bearish Bat pattern forming at higher prices. The second is a potential bullish flag pattern that develops before the Bat completes, offering an early opportunity to get involved on the long side.
The third setup ties everything together using a technique called the “Stop and Reverse.” This approach allows traders to transition directly from the bullish flag buy into the bearish Bat sell, creating a seamless shift from one opportunity to the next. In this video, we’ll break down how each setup works individually—and how combining them can unlock a powerful, multi-layered trading plan.
Hope you enjoyed my Top 5 this week!
Please leave any questions or comments below and I wish you guys a great week of trading.
Akil
EURAUD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇦🇺
There is a high chance that EURAUD will continue falling next week.
A bearish breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern
suggests a strong bearish sentiment.
Expect a fall at least to 1.765
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BNB 4h CRYPTOCAP:BNB 4H
Rejected on the first breakout attempt, but structure is still on bullish flag.
Price is retesting the breakout zone + FVG support.
A strong bounce here could send BNB toward the next FVG resistance levels at $910-$940.
Pattern still valid as long as support holds.
Let’s see if #BNB delivers.
SPX | Testing the Upper Flag Line After AVWAP Shifts The index has steadied as broader sentiment firms, with markets leaning on softer inflation trends and a more patient Federal Reserve tone. That backdrop has helped risk appetite rotate back into equities after the recent pullback.
Technical Lens:
The chart shows SPX rebounding cleanly from the lower boundary of its broader bullish channel, which also aligns with the anchored VWAP drawn from the August 2025 swing low. That confluence provided a strong reaction zone. Price has since pushed through the anchored
VWAP set from the 29 October high, suggesting momentum is shifting back towards the upper side of the structure. The index now sits just beneath the upper boundary of the short-term bull flag, and this zone becomes an important area to monitor as it acts as the immediate ceiling.
Scenarios:
If the upper flag line gives way, the move could open room for continuation along the channel towards the next structural resistance zones.
If the flag line holds, the market may consolidate or retest the mid-channel levels, with the prior AVWAPs acting as nearby reference points.
Catalysts:
US GDP revisions, PCE inflation data and major tech earnings later this week may be the triggers that decide whether the index pushes through or pauses here.
Takeaway:
This upper flag boundary is the key inflection point for SPX, with the anchored VWAP shifts helping define the directional bias.
Ranging USDT.d and how it defines what happens next for BTCi stated yesterday that USDT.d will range in this zone till its convenient to drop to 5.809 without breaking out og the channel... this simply means it is going to play out the bull flag from 5.809 and btc will dump a lot from that point ... so as it stands, BTC is remaining below 96k before the dump... This can only be avoided if usdt.d breaks the lower trendline of the channel and cancels the bull flag
NZDJPY | RBNZ Signals End of Cutting Cycle – Watching Bull-Flag RBNZ’s decision to cut rates but signal a pause in further easing has shifted the macro tone for the Kiwi. Markets now see New Zealand as nearing the end of its cycle, which contrasts with Japan’s still-uncertain path as the BoJ balances weak domestic data with the risk of further currency stabilisation efforts.
Technical Lens:
NZDJPY has spent the past months forming a broad ascending structure, now testing the upper boundary of a bull-flag channel. The price has repeatedly respected the lower trend line and is leaning towards a breakout attempt at the top of the formation.
Scenarios:
If the top of the flag continues to hold, the pair may consolidate or rotate back into the channel.
If momentum carries the break, the move could extend towards the wider resistance band around 92, where the last major supply cluster sits.
Catalysts:
Shifts in Japanese risk sentiment, safe-haven flows, or any fresh signals from the BoJ could alter JPY dynamics quickly. Conversely, confirmation that RBNZ remains comfortable with a pause may keep rate-differential support in NZD’s favour.
Takeaway:
The focus is on whether NZDJPY can clear the upper boundary of this flag as the market adjusts to RBNZ’s “end-of-cuts” stance.
TWLO | Big Moves Coming After 3 Year Consolidation | LONGTwilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platforms, and services. It operates through Twilio Communications and Twilio Segments. The Twilio Communications segment includes the platforms Messaging and Voice. The Twilio Segment involves Segment, Engage, Flex, Email, and others. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.
SMCI - Bull Flag Breakout SetupSMCI formed a strong bullish impulse followed by a bull flag pattern.
A breakout above the flag structure may signal continuation if confirmed with strong price action.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: On breakout or retest
• Stop Loss: Below flag support
• TP1: Recent high
• TP2: Measured flagpole extension
This setup is worth monitoring for potential bullish continuation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.






















