XAUUSD Long: Demand Holds at 4,400 - Push Toward 4,500 in FocusHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. XAUUSD previously moved within a steady bullish structure, respecting a rising trend line that supported price during multiple pullbacks. After a strong impulsive rally, Gold transitioned into a consolidation phase, forming a well-defined range that highlighted temporary balance between buyers and sellers. This range eventually resolved to the upside with a breakout, confirming bullish continuation and renewed buyer control.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading between the 4,400 Demand Zone and the 4,500 Supply Zone, with price holding above the rising trend line. This shows that bullish structure is still intact, but price is once again approaching a key resistance area where a reaction is likely.
My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,400 Demand Zone and respects the rising trend line, the broader bullish bias remains valid. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 4,500 Supply Zone would confirm continuation toward higher levels. However, if price is rejected from supply and breaks back below demand, this could trigger a deeper corrective move toward the trend line. For now, price is compressing between demand and supply, and a decisive move is expected soon. Manage your risk!
Forex
XAU/USD | Bullish momentum continues (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the Hourly chart of Gold, the market opened at 4356 yesterday and then it went on a Bullish Move, reaching as high as 4475. That means in a matter of a single day, Gold moved more than 1000 pips!
Currently it is being traded at 4455, I can see it going going to the high of the FVG and then going upwards again.
Gold Targets for now: 4463, 4475, 4487 and 4500.
P.S: Be cautious with your trades and watch out for geo-politic events.
EURUSD: Fake Breakdown from Support Signals Potential ReversalHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a clearly defined range, where price moved sideways and showed equilibrium between buyers and sellers. From this range, price attempted a bullish breakout, but the move resulted in a fake breakout into the upper area, signaling strong selling pressure inside the Resistance Zone around 1.1750–1.1760. This zone was tested multiple times, and each attempt to hold above it failed, confirming it as a strong supply area.
Currently, price is trading below the key resistance and remains structurally bearish. The highlighted move suggests a potential corrective pullback from support toward the descending channel resistance, which aligns closely with the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1750.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1680 Support Zone and no strong bearish acceptance occurs below it, the bullish bias is favored in the short term. I expect buyers to push price higher toward the descending channel resistance and horizontal Resistance Zone around 1.1740, which acts as TP1. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 1.1750 Resistance Zone would confirm stronger bullish continuation and open the door for a move toward higher highs.
However, a decisive breakdown and close below the support zone would invalidate the long scenario and signal renewed bearish continuation. For now, the market is at a key reaction area, and the long setup depends on buyers continuing to defend support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Technical Rebound at Key EMA, Medium-Term Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone,
EUR/USD has just completed a fairly deep but well-controlled correction. The prior sell-off pulled price back toward the medium-term EMA zone around 1.1680–1.1700, and the subsequent rebound suggests selling pressure is no longer expanding, while buyers have started to step in to defend the broader structure.
Although price briefly printed a lower low in the short term, the medium-term picture has not been broken. At the moment, EUR/USD is fluctuating around the confluence of EMA 34 and EMA 89 near 1.1730–1.1740 — a key decision area. Holding above this zone would give the market room to continue consolidating and recovering; failure here could open the door for a retest of the prior lows.
From a macro perspective, the current backdrop does not place significant pressure on the euro. The Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, limiting the upside in US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a moderately firm stance, helping EUR hold a stable price base. Upcoming data such as services PMI and US jobless claims may trigger short-term volatility, but in my view, they are unlikely to alter the medium-term trend unless a major surprise emerges.
XAUUSD 30M – Bullish Trend Continuation SetupPrice is in a strong bullish structure, respecting the ascending trendline and holding above the key support zone near 4,395–4,410.
A healthy pullback into 4,450–4,460 can offer continuation entries, with first target at 4,495–4,500.
A confirmed breakout above 4,500 opens the path toward the main target zone at 4,520–4,530, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
XAU/USD – The bullish trend continues to strengthenAs we move into the early sessions of 2026, gold continues to reinforce its role as a safe-haven asse t amid escalating geopolitical tensions following U.S. military actions in Venezuela . The sharp 2.7% surge in the previous session signals a clear return of defensive capital flows, especially as global markets face rising uncertainty. At the same time, expectations of further Fed rate cuts this year are creating a favorable environment for non-yielding assets such as gold.
From a technical perspective, the H4 chart confirms that XAU/USD’s bullish structure remains firmly intact . After a brief corrective phase, price quickly rebounded from the 4,440 zone, validating it as a key instant support where buying pressure consistently emerges. The recovery legs are decisive and well-supported, indicating that buyers remain firmly in control of the broader trend .
As long as price continues to hold above this support area, the high-probability scenario points toward a renewed advance toward 4,520, followed by a potential extension to the 4,600 resistance zone. With safe-haven demand still active, any near-term pullbacks are likely to remain technical in nature, serving as a base for further upside continuation in XAU/USD.
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring NZDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.57600 zone. NZDUSD has successfully broken out of its previous downtrend, signaling a shift in market structure. The pair is now in a corrective pullback, approaching a key retracement level and the 0.57600 support-turned-resistance zone, which may act as a strong demand area for bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, ongoing weakness in the US Dollar, driven by growing expectations of a potential interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, continues to support USD-based downside moves. This macro backdrop favors risk-sensitive currencies such as the New Zealand Dollar, reinforcing the bullish bias on NZDUSD.
As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold, after its strong bullish rally, once again pushed toward the previous high but faced rejection from the resistance zone. Currently, price is trapped between a short-term descending trendline and a key resistance area, indicating temporary consolidation and compression.
At this stage, a corrective move toward the rising trendline and the highlighted demand zone is expected. This pullback would allow the market to absorb liquidity and rebuild momentum. From that support area, we anticipate a bullish reaction, followed by a breakout above the resistance zone and the potential formation of a new high.
As long as price holds above the rising trendline and support zone, the overall bullish structure remains intact.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAU/USD | Bullish Structure Remains Intact (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price first made a clean pullback to $4274, then strong demand stepped in and pushed gold sharply higher to $4440. After reaching this key psychological resistance, price corrected and is now trading around $4414.
If gold can close and hold above $4404, we can expect further upside. That said, a short-term pullback toward the $4334–$4346 zone is still possible. With ongoing geopolitical risks, gold could even push toward levels above $4550 in the short term. Let’s see how the market reacts next.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD Rising Support Holds - Next Target 4,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged consolidation phase, Gold was trading inside a well-defined range, indicating balance between buyers and sellers. This range acted as an accumulation zone before price initiated a bullish expansion. Following the breakout from the range, XAUUSD entered an ascending channel, confirming a shift toward buyer control with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. During this phase, price respected both the channel support and resistance lines, using them as dynamic structure levels. As price approached the upper boundary of the channel and the Resistance / Seller Zone around 4,500–4,510, bullish momentum started to weaken. Multiple fake breakouts above resistance signaled strong selling pressure at the highs. This led to a sharp corrective move lower, where price broke below short-term structure before finding support. Currently, XAUUSD is holding above the Buyer Zone around 4,400, which aligns with a key Support Level and a prior breakout area. Price has already shown a reaction from this zone and is now forming higher lows along a newly respected rising support line, suggesting buyers are attempting to regain control. The recent breakout back above local resistance reinforces the idea of a corrective pullback rather than a full trend reversal. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,400 Buyer Zone and respects the rising support line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 4,500 Resistance / Seller Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this level would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside. However, a decisive breakdown below the buyer zone would weaken the structure and increase the risk of a deeper correction back toward lower support levels. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Breakdown Confirmed, 1.1640 Support in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD initially traded within a well-defined ascending channel, showing a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows after the market started to grow from the lower levels. This bullish phase reflected steady buyer control, supported by a rising support line and multiple clean reactions along the channel structure. Eventually, price broke above the channel resistance, signaling momentum expansion. Following the breakout, EURUSD entered a clear range, where price consolidated between key highs and lows, indicating temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Multiple internal reactions and false moves within this range highlighted uncertainty and distribution near the highs. After topping out, price turned around and transitioned into a short-term descending channel, marking a shift in momentum. During this pullback, EURUSD broke below the range support and the descending channel support, confirming increasing bearish pressure. Price is now trading below the Resistance Level near 1.1720, which aligns with the former breakout area and the Seller Zone, reinforcing it as a strong supply region. The recent breakout below this level suggests sellers are gaining control in the short term. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near the Support Level around 1.1670. This area aligns with prior demand and has already produced a small bounce, indicating potential short-term reaction. However, the overall structure remains corrective within the broader move. My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1720 Resistance Level, bearish pressure is likely to persist, with TP1 targeting the 1.1640 Support Level. A clear breakdown below support would open the door for further downside continuation. Conversely, a strong reclaim and acceptance back above resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and signal a potential trend shift. For now, price is at a key decision zone where sellers hold the advantage while support is being tested. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold H1 Analysis: Resistance Reaction Signals a Healthy PullbackHello, I’m Camila.
Looking at the H1 chart, I can see that gold has reached a well-defined resistance zone and is now reacting rather than breaking through impulsively. Instead of aggressive continuation, price action is showing hesitation, with shorter candles and overlapping ranges. This behavior tells me that bullish momentum is pausing, not reversing, as the market reassesses value after the recent advance.
From a structural standpoint, the broader bullish framework remains intact. The prior impulse leg is still respected, and there is no evidence of a confirmed bearish break of structure. What we are witnessing now is a controlled pullback, typical in trend-driven markets, where price steps back to test whether previous demand is still active. In healthy uptrends, this kind of retracement is often a necessary process to build fuel for the next leg higher.
The zone I am monitoring most closely sits around 4,450, where price is likely to seek liquidity and test buyer commitment. If gold rotates lower into this area and selling pressure continues to fade, I would expect buying interest to re-emerge. Such a reaction would reinforce the bullish narrative and open the door for price to rotate back toward the upper resistance band around 4,520 – 4,550. Only a clean loss of this support area would force me to reassess the current bullish bias.
On the fundamental side, the backdrop continues to favor gold. Persistent geopolitical uncertainty and unresolved macroeconomic risks are keeping safe-haven demand alive. At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve will avoid a sharply hawkish shift are limiting upside pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. With several high-impact U.S. data releases ahead, I expect volatility to remain uneven, reinforcing the likelihood of a pullback-then-continuation environment rather than a one-directional move.
In summary, I view the current price action as a pause within an ongoing uptrend. As long as gold holds above the key support area and continues to show diminishing bearish momentum, the path of least resistance remains higher after this corrective phase.
Wishing you calm execution and disciplined trading.
XAU/USD | Still going strong (READ THE CAPTION)By analysing the hourly chart of XAUUSD, we can see that after reaching 4500 last night, it dropped all the way to 4441, hitting the high of FVG and then going back up to 4474 and is now being traded at 4465, just barely out of the IFVG zone. If Gold holds above the IFVG, it can reach to the Volume Imbalance zone to retest it and reach the low of the NDOG at 4494.
Bullish Targets: 4475, 4484, 449 and 4500.
Should it fail to hold above the IFVG, the targets are: 4458, 4449, 4441 and 4433.
USD/JPY | Where is it headed? (READ THE CAPTION)By analysing the Hourly chart of USDJPY, we can see that yesterday, it faced a massive drop in price after hitting the Consequent Encroachment of the FVG above, at 157.300. It had a small comeback yesterday, going as high as 156.98 before dropping yet again to 156.24, hitting the high of the FVG, and then going back up 156.80, hitting the the Consequent Encroachment of the NWOG, dropping again to 156.16, and now it's being traded at 156.300.
For the time being, the bullish targets are: 156.46, 156.63 and 156.80.
Bearish Targets: 156.11, 155.95 and 155.79.
XAUUSD: Buyers Defend Support, Retest of 4,490 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold previously traded under pressure near a descending triangle resistance line, where price action was compressed before buyers stepped in. After forming a solid base, XAUUSD broke above the triangle resistance and confirmed a bullish structural shift. This breakout initiated a steady upside move, supported by a rising trend line and a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Following the initial breakout, price entered a range, signaling temporary consolidation and accumulation. Buyers eventually gained control again, leading to a clean breakout above the range and continuation higher. This move brought gold into the key Resistance Zone around the 4,490–4,520 area, where price was recently tested and met with strong selling pressure.
Currently, after the rejection from resistance, XAUUSD pulled back sharply but found demand near the Support Zone around 4,310, which aligns with a previous breakout level and the rising support line. The current price action shows a corrective pullback rather than a full trend reversal, with buyers stepping in to defend this support area. The structure remains constructive as long as price holds above this key demand zone.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,310 Support Zone and respects the rising support line, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to continue defending this area and attempt another push toward the 4,490 Resistance Zone as the next upside objective.
However, a decisive breakdown below support would weaken the bullish structure and open the door for a deeper corrective move. Until that happens, the overall structure favors continuation to the upside after consolidation.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GJ's Rise Is RoundingOANDA:GBPJPY has formed a Rounding Top after making a Breakout of the Resistance level.
Price is currently trading back in the Resistance Level and is looking to potentially make a Bearish Break back down in the the Consolidation.
Once Price breaks back down below the Resistance level, this will generate Short Opportunities to take price down to the next Support Zone.
XAUUSD – A Healthy Reset Before Trend ContinuationHello, I’m Camila.
Observing the XAUUSD H4 chart, I believe the market is unfolding exactly as a technical correction within a well-defined uptrend. After price was rejected at the upper resistance of the ascending channel, gold deliberately pulled back to retest the channel’s dynamic support. This move should not be interpreted as a trend reversal, but rather as a natural and rational response following a steep and extended rally.
What stands out to me is how price behaves upon reaching the support zone. Selling pressure has not expanded further; instead, downside momentum has clearly slowed, accompanied by signs of supply absorption at the highlighted support area. This is classic price behavior in a healthy uptrend: the market retraces to lower levels to assess whether buyers remain committed to defending the underlying structure.
From a structural perspective, the ascending channel remains intact. Price has not broken below the lower boundary of the channel, and the entire pullback still falls well within acceptable corrective limits. This indicates that the medium-term bullish trend remains unbroken. I see no clear evidence of distribution at this stage; rather, the market appears to be undergoing a temporary rebalancing of supply and demand before the primary trend resumes.
My preferred scenario is for gold to stabilize and consolidate around the dynamic support zone, marked as a BUY area on the chart. If buying interest continues to emerge and price maintains its higher-low structure, the market is likely to form a technical rebound. From there, gold could move back toward a retest of the upper resistance zone previously highlighted. A decisive breakout above that area would confirm trend continuation and open the door to higher targets in the next phase.
From a macro perspective, the broader backdrop continues to support this bullish outlook. Ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties sustain demand for safe-haven assets, while expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve stance help cap U.S. dollar strength and Treasury yields. In this environment, pullbacks in gold are better viewed as strategic opportunities, rather than early signals of a trend reversal.
In summary, based on what the chart is showing, I consider the current decline to be a necessary step back before the next advance. Once the market completes its support test and buying strength is reaffirmed, gold is likely to revisit resistance and continue along the upward path already established.
Wishing you disciplined trading, a calm mindset, and decisions aligned with market structure.
How to audit your own trades like a risk manager would Auditing your trades is not about replaying charts to confirm whether you were right or wrong. A risk manager audits to protect capital durability, reduce mistake frequency, and identify exposures created by process, not emotion. When you adopt this mindset, performance leaks become easy to detect and easier to correct.
A professional audit begins with environment classification. Every trade is labeled by the market phase it was executed in. Volatility is assessed as expanding or compressing. Liquidity incentives are identified before execution, not after it. For example, BTCUSDT and SOLUSDT produce wider candle ranges during expansion and thinner order books when liquidity drains. These are high-invalidation conditions. If you increased size here, you paid an execution tax without a volatility reason. A risk manager never scales into widening ranges. They scale into tightening ranges.
The second step is measuring invalidation distance. Risk officers place stops beyond structure, not arbitrary percentages. A stop below a random 1% or 2% rule means nothing if the structure required 3.5% distance to invalidate the narrative. Your stop must sit beyond the point where the market proves the opposite story. If your invalidation distance widens while volatility expands, that is alignment. If it widens while volatility contracts, that is a process breach.
Next comes execution quality scoring. Professionals deconstruct execution into sequence components: liquidity sweep first, micro-structure break second, displacement third, retest respected fourth, impulse continuation fifth. A trade that triggered on the first touch of a level without displacement is not a good fill. It is the fill the market used for liquidity. Score execution quality based on whether the sequence completed before entry, not whether the P&L was positive.
The fourth layer is correlation risk. Risk auditors measure how many positions were open simultaneously on the same asset or narrative theme. One trade rarely kills a small account. Correlated trades during the same thesis do. Mistake correlation compounds drawdown faster than strategy flaws ever could. Limit correlation by design, not hindsight.
Finally, audit outcomes against process wins. A trade that worked without a reason is not audit approval. A trade that worked because it followed a reasoned sequence is. When you measure behavior instead of candles, you gain intervention points. Intervention points protect capital. Reflection points identify capital already lost.
Small accounts scale when traders audit like capital protection matters more than capturing the entire move. Your audit should produce fewer open questions and more closed rules. The goal is not to defend the trade. The goal is to defend the account.
Micro Silver Futures Rally Into Supply With Potential Pullback
This is a 2-hour Micro Silver Futures (COMEX) chart** showing price action from mid-December into early January 2026.
Trend context:
Price previously moved higher within an upward channel, indicating a strong bullish phase. That trend later transitioned into range-bound and corrective price action.
Supply zone (upper red band ~79–80)
The chart highlights a clear **supply/resistance area** where price was previously rejected. Current price is again approaching this zone, suggesting selling pressure may re-emerge.
Support zone / 1st target (~71–72)
A well-defined **support zone is marked below current price. This area acted as a reaction base multiple times and is labeled as the **first downside target** if price pulls back.
Lower support / 2nd target (~64–65)
A broader and deeper **demand/support zone** is identified as a **second downside target**, representing a more significant correction level.
Indicator structure:
The blue stepped lines (likely a volatility or channel-based indicator) show price oscillating between upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing the idea of **mean reversion between supply and support**.
* **Overall bias illustrated:**
The chart visually suggests **upside is limited near supply**, with arrows indicating a **potential downward move** toward the first support zone, and possibly the second if momentum weakens further.
In summary, the chart presents a market **testing resistance after a strong advance**, with clearly mapped **support levels below** that may come into play if a pullback occurs.
GBPUSD - Right Into Resistance… Again!GBPUSD is now trading at a very important intersection.
Price is pressing right into the upper red trendline, while also sitting inside the green resistance zone. This is not a random area... it’s a level that has already rejected price multiple times in the past.
From a bigger-picture perspective, the structure remains overall bearish, with price still respecting the descending channel. The recent push higher looks more like a corrective move rather than a true trend reversal.
As long as this trendline + resistance intersection holds, my focus stays clear:
I’ll be looking for trend-following shorts, preferably after lower-timeframe confirmation and signs of bearish control.
Only a strong and clean break above this zone would force a reassessment. Until then, sellers still have the edge.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC/USDT | More Bullish Move Ahead ? Let's See!By analyzing the CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart on the Daily timeframe, we can now confirm a powerful breakout above previous resistance. Bitcoin surged to $94,800 and is currently trading around $92,500.
If price manages to sustain above the key $90,000 level, the bullish scenario strengthens, and we may see an extension toward higher targets. The next key resistance zones to watch are $97,000, $99,000, $101,400, and $104,000.
The bias has shifted from bearish to bullish, but only if $90K holds as new support. Momentum remains in buyers’ hands as long as structure and volume confirm this shift.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD Liquidity Grab Above TrendlineQuick Summary
EURUSD may break the bearish trendline to collect more liquidity, After that move a downside continuation is expected
The main target is the liquidity void created yesterday after a strong bullish move of more than 80 pips without any mitigation
Full Analysis
There is a potential scenario on EURUSD where price may first break above the bearish trendline
This move would likely serve as a liquidity grab rather than a true trend reversal
Yesterday EURUSD rallied strongly for more than 80 pips without retesting any levels
This impulsive move left a clear liquidity void below which often acts as a magnet for price
By breaking the bearish trendline price can attract additional buy side liquidity before reversing lower, Once enough liquidity is collected the expectation is for EURUSD to resume the downside move
The liquidity void left behind represents a strong downside objective and As long as price behavior supports this scenario the focus remains on a potential drop after the liquidity grab above the trendline
AUD/USD – Corrective pressure emerges after inflation coolsIt can be observed that AUD/USD is starting to show signs of slowing down after a relatively smooth advance. While the medium-term trend has not been fully broken , the latest macroeconomic factors from Australia are making the market more cautious toward the AUD.
From a fundamental perspective, Australia’s November CPI fell more than expected (3.4% vs. a 3.6% forecast and down from 3.8% previously). This indicates that headline inflation pressures are easing rapidly, particularly due to lower electricity prices. For the market, this development reduces expectations that the RBA will maintain a hawkish stance, thereby adding short-term downside pressure on the AUD — despite core inflation remaining sticky.
On the chart, AUD/USD has moved close to the resistance zone around 0.6780 within its ascending channel and is starting to show signs of exhaustion. Price is pulling away from the upper boundary of the channel, while 0.6730 stands out as the nearest support level. The current structure leans more toward a technical correction rather than a renewed bullish breakout.
In the base scenario, if selling pressure persists , AUD/USD may pull back to retest 0.6730, or even extend lower toward the lower support area of the ascending channel. Only if core CPI unexpectedly shifts RBA policy expectations would the AUD have a chance to regain immediate upside momentum.
Overall, AUD/USD is entering a necessary “cool-off” phase . With inflation easing and technical resistance overhead, the current pullback is more likely a rebalancing move before the market commits to a clearer directional bias.






















