NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.599 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Forex
USD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 155.558
Target Level: 156.676
Stop Loss: 154.811
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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EUR/USD – Breakout, Consolidation, Continuation ScenarioOANDA:EURUSD After the impulsive breakout from the prior consolidation, price accelerated higher and then transitioned into a tight corrective structure, resembling a bullish flag. This type of behavior signals momentum digestion rather than distribution. The market is not showing panic selling—just a controlled pause as short-term buying pressure cools off.
From a structural perspective, price has temporarily stretched away from short-term value. That alone increases the probability of a pullback, not because the trend is weak, but because healthy trends need to rebalance before continuation. So far, sellers have failed to produce any decisive breakdown, which keeps the bullish bias intact.
At this stage, the 1.1820 – 1.1780 zone stands out as the key support area. This region aligns with the base of the consolidation, previous demand, and the internal structure of the flag. If price rotates lower into this zone, I would still view that as a constructive retest within the broader uptrend, not a trend failure.
➡️ Primary scenario: consolidation breaks down → controlled pullback toward 1.1820 – 1.1780 for a structural retest before continuation.
⚠️ Risk scenario: strong acceptance above current highs → direct continuation toward 1.1950, with extension potential toward 1.2050.
For now, I see this as a pause before continuation, not a reversal. As always, the key is how price behaves at structure—not predicting, but reacting.
If this aligns with your view—or if you’re seeing something different—I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
USD/JPY | Going back up? (READ THE CAPTION)USDJPY opened with rather big gap this week, spanning from 157.240 to 157.530, but right after the week's opening, it just dropped and dropped and dropped, over 200 pips, all the way to 155.52, hitting the Jan 26th NWOG high, and then afterwards it recovered a little bit and now it's being traded at 155.90.
I would like to see USDJPY testing the FVG at 156.14. the targets for USDJPY if it manages to stay above the FVG Low: 156.00, 156.10, 156.20 and 156.30.
If it fails: 155.82, 155.75 and 155.68.
XAUUSD — Bullish Pause Before the Next ExpansionOANDA:XAUUSD Price is respecting the bullish structure exactly as expected. After the strong breakout from the descending channel, gold pushed impulsively higher and then transitioned into a mini-flag consolidation, signaling momentum digestion rather than distribution. The move stretched price away from short-term value, which naturally invited a pause as buying pressure cooled.
At this stage, the 5,000 – 4,960 zone stands out as the key support area. This region aligns with the base of the mini-flag and prior demand, making it a logical magnet if price fails to hold current levels. A controlled pullback into this zone would still be healthy within the broader uptrend and could set the stage for the next leg higher.
➡️ Primary scenario: consolidation fails → pullback toward 5,000 – 4,960 for a structural retest.
⚠️ Risk scenario: strong acceptance above the flag high → continuation toward 5,080 – 5,120 and potentially higher.
For now, I see this as pause before continuation, not reversal. If this view aligns with yours—or you see it differently—drop your thoughts in the comments. I’m keen to hear your perspective.
XAUUSD 15M Key Support & Resistance Zones with Buy/Sell ScenarioGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading inside a well-defined range on the 15-minute timeframe.
This analysis highlights major support, resistance, and decision zones to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
📌 Buy Scenario:
Price holding above support with bullish confirmation → target previous resistance.
📌 Sell Scenario:
Price rejecting resistance or breaking below support → target lower demand zones.
⚠️ Avoid trades inside the decision zone without confirmation.
Always manage risk and wait for price reaction at key levels.
NZDUSD Review February 10 2026Short-term price movement ideas.
Price remains in an uptrend, with the objective of breaking the monthly high. At the moment, we have a test of the weekly FVG along with volume confirmation on the daily chart.The price is currently inside a daily area of interest, which contains a 4H FVG acting as a trigger. If this FVG is confirmed on the 1H chart, we can then consider opening a long position targeting a break of the daily high.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
EURUSD CHoCH Confirmation After Sell-Side Liquidity SweepEURUSD Price Action Analysis – CHoCH Confirms Bullish Continuation
EURUSD is showing early bullish structure shift after an extended consolidation phase. Price has respected a well-defined demand zone, swept sell-side liquidity, and is now printing a Change of Character (CHoCH) — a classic sign of potential trend reversal.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown
Price formed a Lower Low (LL), grabbing downside liquidity.
Strong bullish reaction followed, reclaiming internal range highs.
CHoCH confirmed as price broke previous minor structure resistance.
Current move has created a Higher High (HH), strengthening bullish bias.
📊 Liquidity & Order Flow
Sell-side liquidity below the range has been fully swept.
Price is now targeting buy-side liquidity resting above the range.
Previous supply zone overhead may act as a short-term reaction area, but overall flow favors continuation.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
If price holds above the reclaimed structure:
Expect a pullback into demand / discount zone
Continuation toward 1.1940 – 1.2000 liquidity pool
Momentum suggests higher highs & higher lows structure
⚠️ Risk Consideration
Failure to hold above CHoCH level could lead to deeper retracement
A break back below demand would invalidate the bullish setup
🧠 Trading Insight
This setup aligns with smart money concepts, focusing on:
Liquidity grab
Structure shift
Demand respect
Targeting external liquidity
Best suited for intraday to short-term swing traders waiting for confirmation on lower timeframes.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to 1.19523 (Nearest target).Colleagues, following on from the previous forecast, I believe it is necessary to come up with a new idea that does not contradict the old plan.
The price shows a resumption of the upward movement, and I think that now we need to highlight two main levels:
1) 1.17663 - if the price updates this level, it means that the structure is changing and the waves need to be redrawn.
2) 1.19074 - breaking through this level and above will mark the continuation of the upward movement. This means that the structure is not broken and wave “4” has formed lower than I originally thought, but within acceptable limits. In this case, I expect the nearest target of 1.19523 to be reached - the area of volume accumulation.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURCHF: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF broke and closed below a support line of a bearish accumulation
pattern on a daily time frame.
The pair will likely continue falling soon.
Next support - 0.91
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EURJPY: Bullish After Trap 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY may recover after a confirmed bearish trap
below an intraday key support.
I expect a pullback to 185.19 level.
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Bullish bounce off?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is also an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 154.52
1st Support: 153.58
1st Resistance: 157.16
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bulish reversal setupLoonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, which is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3554
1st Support: 1.3497
1st Resistance: 1.3624
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – H1 Chart AnalysisMarket Structure & Liquidity Perspective
Price recently expanded to the upside and printed a previous day high, followed by a pullback that appears corrective rather than impulsive. The current structure suggests the market is digesting liquidity after the earlier move.
A clear liquidity sweep is visible below recent swing lows, after which price reacted strongly, indicating the presence of institutional interest in that area. This aligns with the marked liquidity zone on the chart.
🔍 Key Observations
Price is currently trading above the H1 Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked on the chart
The highlighted blue zone represents an imbalance / inefficient price area, which often acts as a magnet for price during retracements
As long as price remains above the lower boundary of this zone, the structure remains constructive
The reaction from the liquidity area suggests mitigation has already occurred
🧠 Technical Bias (Contextual)
If price revisits the H1 FVG + previous daily low area, it may act as a support zone
Sustained acceptance above this zone could allow price to rebalance inefficiency toward higher levels
Failure to hold above the zone would indicate weak follow-through and potential deeper retracement
📌 Important Notes
This analysis is for educational and chart-reading purposes only
Always wait for confirmation from your own strategy
Risk management and position sizing are essential in all market conditions
Gold Looks Chaotic – But the Structure Is Crystal ClearRecently, the gold market has appeared rather chaotic. The upside momentum no longer looks smooth, price has been fluctuating aggressively, and many traders have begun to ask themselves: Is this the top, or just the beginning of a much larger trend?
However, when I take a step back and look at the entire structure, the story becomes remarkably simple.
Everything started with a break above a key resistance level, where price accelerated sharply and formed a clear ascending flag. This was not a random rally, but a momentum-driven expansion, clearly showing initiative from the buyers.
So what happened next?
Price did not reverse. Instead, it simply corrected within a controlled descending channel. Lower highs, lower lows, with every move respecting the trendlines. This is exactly how a healthy market cools down after a strong expansion. No panic. No collapse. Just a correction.
After that, price moved into a consolidation phase. And this is where most traders start to lose their bearings. The chart looks “boring,” nothing seems to happen, candles get smaller, and volatility contracts. Many mistake this simple pause for a full trend reversal.
But the market always follows a very familiar logic:
Compression → Expansion.
And as expected, price broke out of the consolidation zone. This breakout was not just another push higher; it was confirmation of trend continuation. Momentum returned precisely at the moment when most traders had already begun to doubt the trend.
✨ Here’s the most interesting part
After the breakout, price did not surge higher in a disorderly way. Instead, the market formed another flag pattern—smaller in size. A very clean mini flag.
And this is the key point to understand:
This small flag is not reversal pressure.
It is simply a tactical pause, where the market reloads energy before the next expansion.
The structure continues to follow the same logic:
- Clear bullish impulse
- Controlled corrective pullback
- Volatility compression
- Preparation for the next expansion phase
What many traders label as “noise” is, in reality, the market repeating the same behavior on a smaller scale.
Correction within a correction.
Fractal structure.
Order, not chaos.
🔁 A familiar scenario repeating itself
This is exactly where most traders get misled. They zoom in too much, see small candles chopping around, and conclude that the trend is over. But when I look at the broader structure, everything is crystal clear:
- A larger bullish flag
- Inside it, a smaller bullish flag
- A minor pullback holding just above the breakout zone
This is textbook behavior of a healthy uptrend:
momentum → correction → momentum.
What we currently have is:
Impulse → Flag → Impulse → Flag
Historically, this structure only ends when the final flag breaks in the opposite direction.
And for now, that has not happened.
🎯 My expectation
Given what we are seeing, I expect another breakout to form from the current area, continuing the existing uptrend. At the very least, the market still has room for another clear bullish leg before we need to reassess the bigger picture.
There is no need to overcomplicate it.
When you understand structure, the market speaks very clearly.
Bearish reversal off key resistance?Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.3710
1st Support: 1.3627
1st Resistance: 1.3782
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
EURUSD Corrective Rally Before Bearish ContinuationQuick Summary
EURUSD is expected to continue a corrective move higher toward 1.19632
This move is driven by an unfilled liquidity void left behind during the recent decline
The upside is considered corrective on the lower time frames, not a trend reversal
After filling this imbalance price is expected to resume its bearish continuation
Full Analysis
EURUSD remains in a bearish environment despite the recent downside extension
The market has left a clear liquidity void behind, which increases the probability of a corrective rally toward the 1.19632 level
This upside move should be viewed as a retracement on the lower time frames rather than a shift in overall market direction
Additionally, the previous low represents a strong liquidity area since price did not react from the nearby order block
This behavior acts as inducement, encouraging price to move higher before targeting liquidity to the downside
Once price reaches the liquidity void and completes the corrective phase, the expectation is for sellers to re-enter the market
Bearish continuation setups should only be considered after clear rejection or a shift in market structure on the lower time frames
XAGUSD – Rebound After Trendline Break, Momentum UnconfirmedSilver has staged a notable rebound after breaking above the short-term descending trendline, signaling that selling pressure is no longer fully in control. However, the current upside momentum remains cautious, as price is consolidating within a corrective structure, reflecting market hesitation following the previous period of heightened volatility.
Key fundamental factors:
Recent U.S. labor data have shown signs of cooling, keeping expectations alive that the Federal Reserve may maintain a more dovish stance in the period ahead. This backdrop is generally supportive for precious metals. That said, the U.S. dollar continues to hold relative strength as global capital flows favor cash and safe-haven assets, limiting the upside potential of Silver’s recovery.
As a result, the current bullish attempt remains vulnerable, with the market still requiring further confirmation from incoming data and capital flows.
Technical outlook:
Near-term support: 80.5 – 79.8
Resistance levels: 84.5 – 85.0, with a higher zone around 91.5
I expect that before attempting to challenge the upper resistance zones, Silver may revisit the 80–81 support area to test buying interest. If this zone holds, price could extend its recovery toward 85 and potentially higher. Conversely, a break below support would likely return the market to a sideways consolidation phase.
Kind regards, Louise !
Gold Is Rebuilding Its Elliott Wave StructureOn the H4 timeframe, gold appears to have completed a strong impulsive decline, which we can label as a completed Wave (A) or a larger corrective leg from the previous all-time high. This selloff was decisive and emotional, leaving behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — a classic signature of impulsive, non overlapping price action consistent with Elliott Wave theory.
From the recent swing low, price has started to form a corrective recovery structure. The current price action aligns well with an ABC corrective pattern within a larger corrective phase. Wave (A) pushed higher from the bottom, followed by a pullback forming Wave (B) into a demand + FVG zone. Price is now attempting to develop Wave (C), targeting the prior resistance region around 5,080–5,100, which also aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement and previous structural high.
Importantly, this Wave (C) is still unfolding inside a broader corrective context. For this move to evolve into a new impulsive bullish sequence (Wave 1 of a new trend), price must clearly reclaim and hold above the 5,088 resistance zone with strong H4 closes and expanding momentum. Failure to do so would suggest that this is merely a corrective rally before another leg lower, potentially retesting deeper demand or completing a more complex correction. In short: structure is improving, but the trend has not officially flipped yet confirmation is everything.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are inherently risky. Always apply proper risk management, wait for confirmation, and trade according to your own plan and tolerance. Trade what the market confirms not what you hope will happen.
Silver Is Climbing Into Supply — Breakout or Bull Trap Silver is rebounding strongly from a well-defined support area, forming a sequence of higher lows along an ascending trendline. This confirms short-term bullish momentum driven by aggressive dip buyers after the sharp selloff.
However, price is now approaching a stacked supply zone:
First Supply Zone (~81–83): Where price is currently reacting. This area has capped price before and is likely to attract short-term profit-taking.
Premium Supply Zone (~88–92): A higher-timeframe supply region where sellers previously entered aggressively.
As long as price holds above the ascending trendline, pullbacks are likely to remain corrective, not impulsive. A shallow retracement followed by continuation would suggest acceptance above the first supply zone and open the path toward the premium supply.
Key Scenarios
Bullish continuation: Price consolidates above the trendline, absorbs supply, and pushes higher toward the premium zone.
Bearish rejection: Strong rejection at current supply leads to a deeper pullback toward the trendline or even a retest of the support area.
Key takeaway: Momentum is bullish, but structure is testing supply. Chasing longs inside supply is risky confirmation or pullback is key.
Trade what price confirms, not what you hope.
This content is for educational purposes only, not financial advice
Gold Is Bouncing — But the Downtrend Still Sets the RulesGold on the H1 timeframe is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, confirming that the broader short-term structure remains corrective to bearish, not accumulative. After the sharp rebound from the prior selloff, price failed to reclaim the upper half of the range and was rejected near the EMA cluster and Fibonacci resistance (0.618–0.786 zone). This rejection reinforces that sellers are still active on rallies, keeping downside pressure intact within the channel.
The recent selloff into the highlighted support zone around 4,580–4,600 is structurally important. This area aligns with prior demand, the lower channel boundary, and a key reaction point from earlier price action. The current bounce should be viewed as a reactionary move, not a confirmed reversal. As long as price remains below the descending channel resistance and below the EMA slope, upside attempts are best classified as corrective pullbacks.
From a scenario perspective, two paths remain valid. A clean hold above the support zone could trigger a rotation back toward the channel midline and upper resistance near 4,900–4,950, where sellers are likely to defend again. Conversely, a decisive breakdown below support would invalidate the bounce and open continuation toward lower channel extensions. Structure is still bearish patience and confirmation matter. Trade what price proves, not what it promises.






















